COMPANY ANALYSIS 1 March 2018 Summary THQ Nordic (THQNO.ST) List: Power-up! Market Cap: 11,190 MSEK The company had an immense release schedule with loads of Industry: Gaming new content during the quarter. The reported numbers beat CEO: Lars Wingefors Chairman: Kicki Wallje-Lund our estimates. Even though that THQ Nordic produced a record quarter, the thing stole the spotlight was the announcement of the acquisition of Koch Media; we get into OMXS 30 THQ Nordic detail about the acquired company in this research update. 160 The acquisition is a prime example of THQ Nordic’s 140 acquisition strategy. We believe that the market is yet to fully 120 100 grasp the underlying value and cash flow generating 80 capabilities of THQ Nordic’s growing IP portfolio, which was 60 enhanced significantly by the acquirement. 40 20 We raised our Base-case valuation to 140 SEK per share 0 28-Feb 29-May 27-Aug 25-Nov 23-Feb based on a Back-Of-The-Envelope assessment on the same day as the acquisition. Following a more in-depth analysis, we increase our fair value estimate further to 168 SEK per share. We argue that the new addition to the Group was acquired at a low price and that the long-term possibilities following the purchase are vast. Redeye Rating (0 – 10 points) Management Ownership Profit outlook Profitability Financial strength 8.0 points 9.0 points 7.0 points 6.0 points 8.0 points Key Financials 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E Share information Revenue, MSEK 302 508 3,666 3,909 4,300 Share price (SEK) 141.0 Growth 42% 68% 622% 7% 10% Number of shares (m) 79.4 EBITDA 132 273 929 1,009 1,212 Market Cap (MSEK) 11,190 EBITDA margin 44% 54% 25% 26% 28% Net cash (MSEK) 255 EBIT 95 188 616 696 849 Free float (%) 50 % EBIT margin 31% 37% 17% 18% 20% Daily turnover (’000) 60 Pre-tax earnings 93 182 616 696 849 Net earnings 72 139 480 543 662 Net margin 24% 27% 13% 14% 15% Analysts: Kristoffer Lindstrom 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E
[email protected] Dividend/Share 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E EPS adj.