AR6 WGI Report – List of Corrigenda to Be Implemented the Corrigenda Listed Below Will Be Implemented in the Supplementary Material During Copy-Editing

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AR6 WGI Report – List of corrigenda to be implemented The corrigenda listed below will be implemented in the Supplementary Material during copy-editing.

CHAPTER 10 SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL Document Section Page :Line Detailed info on correction to make (Chapter, (based on Annex, Supp. the final Mat…) pdf FGD version) 10SM Table 12 East Asia : Hail : Obs : add 12.4.2.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 12 : East Asia : Hail : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 12 : East Asia : Tropical Cyclones : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 13 : East Central Asia : Snow, glacier and ice sheet : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 13 : East Central Asia : Permafrost : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 13 : East Central Asia : Lake, river and sea ice : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 13 : East Central Asia :Heavy snowfall and ice storm : Projections : add Table 10.SM.2 12.4

10SM Table 13 : East Central Asia : Hail : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 13 : East Central Asia : Snow avalanche : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 14 : Tibetan-Plateau : Mean precipitation : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 14 : Tibetan-Plateau : River flood : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 14 : Tibetan-Plateau : Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood : Projections : add 10.SM.2 Table 12.4

10SM Table 14 : Tibetan-Plateau : Aridity : Projections : add Table 12.4 10.SM.2 10SM Table 52 Replace entries for Coastal and Oceanic CIDs in Caribbean Small Islands from 10.SM.9 “12.4.7.5” with “12.4.7.4”, with the exception for Ocean acidity which is still 12.4 10SM Table 53 Replace entries for Coastal and Oceanic CIDs in Pacific Small Islands from 10.SM.9 “12.4.7.5” with “12.4.7.4”, with the exception for Ocean acidity which is still 12.4 10SM Table 53 Remove “1.3.1” for Relative sea level (Observational column) for Pacific Islands 10.SM.9 10SM Table 54 Remove “1.3.1” for Relative sea level (Observational column) for Western Indian 10.SM.9 Ocean Islands 10SM Update the Data Table with omitted data citations for climate model data.

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1 2 10.SM Chapter 10: Linking global to regional climate change - Supplementary Material 3 4 5 6 Coordinating Lead Authors: 7 Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes (Spain), Anna A. Sörensson (Argentina) 8 9 10 11 Lead Authors: 12 Mansour Almazroui (Saudi Arabia), Alessandro Dosio (Italy), William J. Gutowski (United States of 13 America), Rein Haarsma (The Netherlands), Rafiq Hamdi (Belgium), Bruce Hewitson (South Africa), Won- 14 Tae Kwon (Republic of Korea), Benjamin L. Lamptey (Niger, Ghana/Ghana), Douglas Maraun 15 (Austria/Germany), Tannecia S. Stephenson (Jamaica), Izuru Takayabu (Japan), Laurent Terray (France), 16 Andrew Turner (United Kingdom), Zhiyan Zuo (China) 17 18 19 20 Contributing Authors: 21 Martin Jury (Spain/Austria), Gudfina Aðalgeirsdóttir (Iceland), Bhupesh Adhikary (Nepal), Muhammad 22 Adnan (Pakistan), Bodo Ahrens (Germany), Muhammad Amjad (Pakistan), Paola A. Arias (Colombia), 23 Farooq Mohamed Azam (India), Ségolène Berthou (United Kingdom/France), Melissa S. Bukovsky (United 24 States of America), Alex J. Cannon (Canada), Ana Casanueva (Spain), Annalisa Cherchi (Italy), Erika 25 Coppola (Italy), Faye Abigail Cruz (Philipines), Joseph D. Daron (United Kingdom), Marie-Estelle Demory 26 (Switzerland/France, Switzerland), Claudine Dereczynski (Brazil), Alejandro Di Luca (Australia, 27 Canada/Argentina), Leandro B. Díaz (Argentina), Hervé Douville (France), Sergio Henrique Faria 28 (Spain/Brazil), Baylor Fox-Kemper (United States of America), Shin Fukui (Japan) Laura Gallardo (Chile), 29 Subimal Ghosh (India), Nathan P. Gillett (Canada), Melissa I. Gomis (France/Switzerland), Hugues Goosse 30 (Belgium), Irina V. Gorodetskaya (Portugal/Belgium, Russian Federation), Michael Grose (Australia), José 31 Manual Gutiérrez (Spain), Pandora Hope (Australia), Akm Saiful Islam (Bangladesh), Christopher D. Jack 32 (South Africa), Richard G. Jones (United Kingdom), Martin W. Jury (Spain/Austria), Asif Khan (Pakistan), 33 Akio Kitoh (Japan), Svitlana Krakovska (Ukraine), Gerhard Krinner (France/Germany, France), Hiroyuki 34 Kusaka (Japan), Stefan Lange (Germany), Flavio Lehner (United States of America /Switzerland), 35 Christopher Lennard (South Africa), Jian Li (China), Fei Liu (China), Martin Ménégoz (France), Thanh 36 Ngo-Doc (Vietnam), Dirk Notz (Germany), Friederike Otto (United Kingdom /Germany), Wendy Parker 37 (United States of America), Carlos Pérez García-Pando (Spain), Izidine Pinto (South Africa/Mozambique), 38 Jan Polcher (France/Germany), Krishnan Raghavan (India), Roshanka Ranasinghe (The Netherlands/Sri 39 Lanka, Australia), Ingo Richter (Japan/Germany), Alex C. Ruane (United States of America), Lucas Ruiz 40 (Argentina), Sajjad Saeed (Belgium, Italy/Pakistan, Belgium), Ramiro I. Saurral (Argentina), Reinhard K. H. 41 Schiemann (United Kingdom /Germany), Sonia I. Seneviratne (Switzerland), Chris Shaw (United Kingdom), 42 Theodore G. ShepherdACCEPTED (United Kingdom /Canada), Jonathan VERSION K. P. Shonk (United Kingdom ), Jana Sillmann 43 (Norway/Germany), Didier Swingedouw (France), Izuru Takayabu (Japan), Bart van den Hurk (The 44 Netherlands), Robert Vautard (France), Victor Venema (Germany/The Netherlands), Sergio M. Vicente- 45 Serrano (Spain), Piotr Wolski (South Africa/Poland), Cunde Xiao (China), Jakob Zscheischler (Germany) 46 47 48 49 Review Editors: 50 Gregory M.SUBJECT Flato (Canada), Fredolin Tangang TO(Malaysia), MuhammadFINAL Irfan Tariq EDITING(Pakistan) 51 52 53 54 Chapter Scientist: 55 Martin W. Jury (Spain/Austria) 10.SM-1 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 2 This Supplementary Material should be cited as: 3 Doblas-Reyes, F. J,. A. A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W. J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. 4 Hewitson, W-T. Kwon, B. L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T. S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, Z. 5 Zuo, 2021, Linking Global to Regional Climate Change Supplementary Material. In: Climate Change 2021: 6 The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the 7 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. 8 Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. 9 Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Available from 10 https://ipcc.ch/static/ar6/wg1. 11 12 13 Date: August 2021 14 15 16 17 This document is subject to copy-editing, corrigenda and trickle backs. 18

ACCEPTED VERSION

SUBJECT TO FINAL EDITING

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1 Table of contents 2 3 10.SM.1 Regional Traceback Matrices ...... 3 4 10.SM.2 Data Table ...... 60 5 References ...... 94 6

EDITING VERSION

FINAL TO ACCEPTED

SUBJECT

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1 2 10.SM.1 Regional Traceback Matrices 3 4 [START TABLE 10.SM.1 HERE] 5 6 Table 10.SM.1: Regional Traceback Matrix for Africa. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional assessment 7 using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as described in 8 Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the WGI AR6 9 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: (Mediterranean) North Africa (MED), Panel B: 10 Sahara (SAH), Panel C: West-Africa (WAF), Panel D: Central-Africa (CAF), Panel E: N.Eastern- 11 Africa (NEAF), Panel F: S.Eastern-Africa (SEAF), Panel G: W.Southern-Africa (WSAF), Panel H: 12 E.Southern-Africa (ESAF), Panel I: Madagascar (MDG). Blank cells in the observations and 13 projections columns corresponding to the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” category as 14 described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution columns 15 correspond to no studies being available. 16 Panel A) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name (Mediterranean) North Africa (Mediterranean) North Africa (Mediterranean) North Africa Accronym [MED] [MED] [MED] Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 EDITING12.4.1.1, Table 12.3 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1, Table 12.4 Frost 12.4.1.1 VERSION 12.4.1.1, Table 12.3 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2, Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Heavy precipitation and 11.4.2, 11.5.2,Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5,Table 11.5, pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3; Aridity 8.3.1.6, 12.4.1.2 FINAL 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, 8.4.1.6 11.6.5, Table 11.6,, 12.4.1.2, Hydrological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, Table 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6,, 12.4.1.2, ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, Table 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2TO 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow, glacier and ice Snow and Ice ACCEPTEDsheet 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 SUBJECTCoastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3

Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-3 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 Panel B) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Sahara Sahara Sahara Accronym SAH SAH SAH Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Wet and 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2, Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5, Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3; Aridity 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Hydrological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 11.6.4, Table 11.6, Table 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, EDITINGTable 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 VERSION12.4.1.3, Table 12.3

Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and ice Ice sheet Permafrost FINAL Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.1.4 TO 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 2 SUBJECT 3 4

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1 Panel C) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name West-Africa West-Africa West-Africa Accronym WAF WAF WAF Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Wet and 1.4.5.2, 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2, 8.4.1.3, 8.4.2.4.3, 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, Dry Mean precipitation 8.3.1.3, 8.3.2.4.3, BOX 8.2 Atlas 4.2 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 8.3.2.4.3, 11.4.2, 11.5.2,Table 11.4.5, 11.5.5,Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 11.5, 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3; Aridity 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Hydrological 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Table drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Table ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, EDITING12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 VERSION 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and Ice ice sheet FINAL Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm TO Hail 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 SUBJECTRadiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3

2 3 4

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1 Panel D) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Central-Africa Central-Africa Central-Africa Accronym CAF CAF CAF Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Wet and 1.4.5.2, 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Dry Mean precipitation 8.3.1.6 Atlas 4.2, 8.3.1.6, 8.4.1.3, 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2,Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5, Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3; Aridity 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Hydrological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, Table 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.3 11.6.4, Table 11.6, EDITINGTable 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 VERSION12.4.1.3, Table 12.3

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1 Panel E) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.Eastern-Africa N.Eastern-Africa N.Eastern-Africa Accronym NEAF NEAF NEAF Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Wet and 1.4.5.2, 12.4.1.2, Atlas 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Dry Mean precipitation 4.2,8.3.1.3,8.3.1.6, BOX 8.2 Atlas 4.2, BOX 8.2 8.4.1.3, 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2,Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5, Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3; Aridity 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Table Hydrological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Table ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.3 11.6.4, Table 11.6, EDITING12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 VERSION12.4.1.3, Table 12.3

Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and ice Ice sheet 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Permafrost FINAL Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.1.4 TO 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 2 SUBJECT 3 4

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1 Panel F) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.Eastern-Africa S.Eastern-Africa S.Eastern-Africa Accronym SEAF SEAF SEAF Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4; 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Wet and 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2, 8.3.1.3, BOX 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Dry Mean precipitation 8.2 Atlas 4.2, BOX 8.2 8.4.1.3, 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2,Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5, Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Tropical cyclone 11.7.1.2, 12.4.1.3 11.7.1.4 11.7.1.5, 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3

Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and ice Ice sheet 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Permafrost FINAL Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.1.4 TO 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 2 SUBJECT 3 4

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1 Panel G) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name W.Southern-Africa W.Southern-Africa W.Southern-Africa Accronym WSAF WSAF WSAF Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Wet and 8.4.1.3, BOX 8.2, 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2, 8.3.1.3 Atlas 4.2 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2, Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5, Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4,Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Aridity 8.3.1.6, 12.4.1.2 8.3.1.6, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, 8.4.1.6 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Hydrological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, Table 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.3 11.6.4, Table 11.6, EDITINGTable 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 VERSION 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and ice Ice sheet FINAL Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm TO Hail 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4.1.6 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4.1.6 12.4, Table 12.3 SUBJECTRadiation at surface 12.4, Table 12.3

2 3 4

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1 Panel H) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.Southern-Africa E.Southern-Africa E.Southern-Africa Accronym ESAF ESAF ESAF Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Wet and 8.4.1.3, BOX 8.2, 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.1.2, Atlas 4.2, 8.3.1.3 Atlas 4.2 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2, Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5,Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4, Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Landslide 12.4.1.2; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3; Aridity 8.3.1.6, 12.4.1.2 8.3.1.6, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, 8.4.1.6 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, Hydrological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2 11.6.4, Table 11.6, Table 12.3 Agricultural and 11.6.5, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.2, ecological drought 11.6.2, Table 11.6, 12.4.1.3 11.6.4, Table 11.6, EDITINGTable 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.1.2 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.1.3 VERSION 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Severe wind storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Tropical cyclone 11.7.1.2, 12.4.1.3 11.7.1.4 11.7.1.5, 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3

Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and ice Ice sheet FINAL Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm TO Hail 12.4.1.4 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4.1.6 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4.1.6 12.4, Table 12.3 SUBJECTRadiation at surface 12.4, Table 12.3

2 3 4

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1 Panel I) Region AFRICA AFRICA AFRICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Madagascar Madagascar Madagascar Accronym MDG MDG MDG Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Heat and Mean air Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.2; Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4, 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Cold temperature 12.4.1.1, Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.1, 4.5.1.1, 4.6.1.1 Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Extreme heat 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.4 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 11.1; Table Table 11.2; Table 11.4;11.3.5; Cold spell 11.4;11.3.2,12.4.1.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.4;11.3.5 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3;

Frost 12.4.1.1; Table 12.3; Table 12.3; Wet and 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3, Atlas 4.4, Dry Mean precipitation Atlas 4.2 Atlas 4.2 4.4.1.3, 4.5.1.4, 4.6.1.2 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.1.2 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3 Heavy precipitation 11.4.2, 11.5.2, Table 11.5, 11.4.5, 11.5.5, Table 11.5, and pluvial flood 12.4.1.2 11.4.4, 11.5.4, Table 11.5, 12.4.1.2, Table 12.3

Tropical cyclone 11.7.1.2, 12.4.1.3 11.7.1.4 11.7.1.5, 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3

Sand and dust storm 12.4.1.3 12.4.1.3, Table 12.3 Snow and Snow, glacier and ice Ice sheet Permafrost FINAL Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.1.4 TO 12.4.1.4, Table 12.3 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 CoastalACCEPTED flood 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Coastal erosion 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Marine heatwave 12.4.1.5 12.4.1.5, Table 12.3 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.3 Air pollution Other weather 12.4.1.6 12.4, Table 12.3 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4.1.6 12.4, Table 12.3 Radiation at surface 12.4, Table 12.3 2 SUBJECT 3 [END TABLE 10.SM.1 HERE] 4 5

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1 [START TABLE 10.SM.2 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.2: Regional Traceback Matrix for Asia. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional assessment 4 using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as described in 5 Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the WGI AR6 6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: E.Asia (EAS), Panel B: E.C.Asia (ECA), Panel 7 C: Tibetan-Plateau (TIB), Panel D: S.Asia (SAS), Panel E: S.E.Asia (SEA), Panel F: Arabian- 8 Peninsula (ARP), Panel G: W.C.Asia (WCA), Panel H: W.Siberia (WSB), Panel I: E.Siberia (ESB), 9 Panel J: Russian-Far-East (RFE). Blank cells in the observations and projections columns 10 corresponding to the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” category as described in the CID 11 framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution columns correspond to no 12 studies being available. 13 Panel A) Region ASIA - EAST ASIA ASIA - EAST ASIA ASIA - EAST ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.Asia E.Asia E.Asia Accronym EAS EAS EAS Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas5.1.4 12.4.2.1, Table Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas 5.1.2 12.4.2.1 10.4.1.1 12.4 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4, 11.3.5 Extreme heat 12.4.2.1 11.3.2 Table 11.7 11.3.4 Table 11.7 Table 11.7 11.3.5 11.3.2 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 12.4.2.1, Table Cold spell Table 11.7 11.3.4 Table 11.7 12.4 Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 8.3.2.4.2 10.4.1.1 Atlas 5.1.2 EDITINGAtlas 5.1.4 8.4.2.4.2 12.4.2.2, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.2.2 10.3.2.2 Table 12.4 River flood 10.4.1.1 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and 8.3.1.3 10.4.1.1 12.4.2.2 VERSION12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, 11.4.5 pluvial flood 11.4.2 Table 11.8 BOX 11.4 11.4.4 Table 11.8 Table 11.8 Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, Aridity Table 11.9 Table 11.9 Table 11.9 10.4.1.1 11.6.2.4 11.6.2.5 Hydrological drought Table 11.9 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 8.4.1.6 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 FINAL 11.6.5.3 Agricultural and ecological 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, drought 11.6.2.3 Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 Table 11.9 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3TO 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4

8.4.2.5 11.7.1.5 Tropical cyclone 12.4.2.3 11.7.1.2 12.4.2.3 Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Atlas 5.1.2 Snow and Ice Snow,ACCEPTED glacier and ice sheet 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Hail 11.7.3.2 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 SUBJECTCoastal flood 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Coastal erosion 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Marine heatwave 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-12 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 Panel B) Region ASIA - EAST ASIA ASIA - EAST ASIA ASIA - EAST ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.C.Asia E.C.Asia E.C.Asia Accronym ECA ECA ECA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Extreme heat 12.4.2.1 11.3.2 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Cold spell 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 River flood 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 11.4.2, 12.4.2.2 11.4.5, 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Aridity 8.3.1.6 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Hydrological drought 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3 EDITING12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 VERSION 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4

Permafrost 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4 Heavy snowfall and ice storm FINAL Hail 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level Coastal flood TO Coastal erosion Marine heatwave Ocean acidity Other ACCEPTEDAir pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel C) Region ASIA - SOUTH ASIA ASIA - SOUTH ASIA ASIA - SOUTH ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Tibetan-Plateau Tibetan-Plateau Tibetan-Plateau Accronym TIB TIB TIB Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.2.1 Box 10.4 Box10.4 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4, Box 10.4

Extreme heat 12.4.2.1 11.3.2 Box 10.4 11.3.5 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Cold spell 11.3.2 12.4.2.1 Box 10.4 11.3.5 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.2.2 Box 10.4 12.4.2.2 River flood 12.4.2.2 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 11.4.2 Box 10.4 11.4.5 Box 10.4 Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Aridity 12.4.2.2 11.6.5.1 12.4.2.2 Hydrological drought 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.2.3 EDITING12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 VERSION12.4.2.3, Table 12.4

Snow, glacier and ice 9.5.1 9.5.3 12.4.2.4 Box 10.4 9.5.1 9.5.3 12.4.2.4 Box 10.4 Snow and Ice sheet 8.3.1.3 8.3.1.7 12.4.2.4 8.4.1.7.1 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4. 9.5.2 12.4.2.4 Box 10.4 9.5.2 12.4.2.4 Box 10.4 Permafrost 12.4.2.4 Box10.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4.

Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Heavy snowfall and ice FINAL storm 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Hail 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level TO Coastal flood Coastal erosion Marine heatwave ACCEPTEDOcean acidity Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel D) Region ASIA - SOUTH ASIA ASIA - SOUTH ASIA ASIA - SOUTH ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.Asia S.Asia S.Asia Accronym SAS SAS SAS Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas 1.1.4 Atlas 1.1.2 Atlas 5.3.5.4 10.6.3.6 10.6.3.7 Heat and Atlas 5.3.5.2 Atlas 5.3.5 10.6.2 10.6.3.10 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4, Cold Mean air temperature 10.6.3 10.6.10 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 Atlas 1.1.2 Atlas 5.3.5 Atlas 5.3.5.2 12.4.2.1 Table 11.5 10.6.3.9 12.4.2.1, Extreme heat 11.3.2 Table 12.4, 11.3.5 Cold spell 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4, Table 11.7 Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4, Table 11.7 Atlas 1.1.4 Atlas 1.1.2 Atlas 5.3.5 Atlas 5.3.5.4 Atlas5.3.5.2 8.3.1.3 8.3.2.4 8.4.1.3.1 8.4.2.4 10.3.3.3.1 Wet and 10.3.3.3.1 10.6.3.2 10.6.3.3 10.6.3.6 10.6.3.7 10.6.3.10 Dry Mean precipitation 10.6.3.10 12.4.2.2 10.6.5 Atlas 1.1.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, 11.4.1 River flood 8.2.3.2 12.4.2.2 11.5.4 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, 11.5.5 Heavy precipitation and 11.4.1 11.4.5 11.5.5 12.4.2.2, pluvial flood 8.3.1.3 11.4.2 12.4.2.2 CH11.4.4 Box 11.4 Table 12.4, Table 11.8

Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Aridity 12.4.2.2 EDITING11.6.5.1 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Hydrological drought 8.3.1.6 11.6.2.5 12.4.2.2 10.6.3.5 11.6.5.3 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Agricultural and ecological drought 8.3.1.6 12.4.2.2 VERSION 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 11.7.4 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 11.7.3.2 12.4.2.3 11.7.3.4 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4

Tropical cyclone 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 FINAL 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Snow 9.5.1 9.5.3 12.4.2.4, Table and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 9.5 9.5.3 12.4.2.4 12.4 Permafrost 9.5.2, 12.4.2.4 9.5.2, 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Heavy snowfall and ice TO storm 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Hail 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Coastal and ACCEPTED Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Coastal flood 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Coastal erosion 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Marine heatwave 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 10.6.3.6 12.4, Table 12.4 SUBJECTAtmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 10.6.3.6 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4

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1 Panel E) Region ASIA - SOUTH EAST ASIA ASIA - SOUTH EAST ASIA ASIA - SOUTH EAST ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Sub-Region Name S.E.Asia S.E.Asia S.E.Asia Accronym SEA SEA SEA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas 3.1 Atlas 5.4.1 Atlas 3.1 Atlas 5.4.1 Atlas Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas 5.4.2 12.4.2.1 5.4.4 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Extreme heat Atlas5.4.2 11.3.2 12.4.2.1 11.3.4 11.3.5 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4

Cold spell 12.4.2.1 11.3.5 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Frost Atlas 3.1 Atlas 5.4.1 Atlas5.4.2 Atlas 3.1 Atlas 5.4.1 Atlas5.4.4 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, 11.5.5 8.4.1.5 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, River flood 12.4.2.2 11.5.5 Heavy precipitation and Atlas 5.4.2 12.4.2.2 11.4.2 8.4.1.5 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, pluvial flood 11.5.2 11.4.5 11.5.4 Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Aridity 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 12.4.2.2 11.6 11.6.2.4 Hydrological drought 11.6.2.5 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, 11.6.5.4 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, BOX 11.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 Box 11.4 EDITING12.4.2.2, Table 12.4, BOX 11.4 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3 VERSION 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Tropical cyclone 12.4.2.3 11.7.1.4 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4

Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 9.5.1 9.5.1 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 9.5.3, 12.4.2.4 9.5.3, 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche TO Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Coastal flood 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Coastal erosion 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Other Air pollution weather 2.2.5.3 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel F) Region ASIA - SOUTH WEST ASIA ASIA - SOUTH WEST ASIA ASIA - SOUTH WEST ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Arabian-Peninsula Arabian-Peninsula Arabian-Peninsula Accronym ARP ARP ARP Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.5.5.2, 12.4.2.1 Atlas.5.5.4 Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1, Table Extreme heat 12.4.2.1, Table 11.7 Table 11.7 12.4 Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1, Table Cold spell 12.4.2.1, Table 11.7 Table 11.7 12.4

Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Atlas.5.5.4 12.4.2.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas.5.5.2, 12.4.2.2 12.4; River flood 12.4.2.2, FAQ 8.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and pluvial FAQ 8.2, Table 11.8, Table.11.8, 12.4.2.2, Table flood 12.4.2.2 Table 11.8 12.4;

Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Table Aridity 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4 Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Table Hydrological drought Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4 Agricultural and ecological 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Table drought 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 EDITING12.4.2.2, Table 12.4; Wind Mean wind speed 11.7.4, 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 11.7.4, 12.4.2.3VERSION 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Tropical cyclone 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Coastal flood 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Coastal erosion 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Marine heatwave 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; ACCEPTEDOcean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel G) Region ASIA - SOUTH WEST ASIA ASIA - SOUTH WEST ASIA ASIA - SOUTH WEST ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name W.C.Asia W.C.Asia W.C.Asia Accronym WCA WCA WCA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.5.5.4, 12.4.2.1, Table Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.5.5.2 12.4.2.1 12.4; Table 11.7, 11.3.5, 12.4.2.1, Extreme heat Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 Table 12.4 Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1, Table Cold spell Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 12.4

Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Atlas.5.5.4 12.4.2.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas.5.5.2 12.4.2.2 12.4; River flood 12.4.2.2, FAQ 8.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood FAQ 8.2, Table 11.8, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.8 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4

Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table 11.9, 11.6.5.1, 12.4.2.2, Table Aridity 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 11.9, Table 12.4; 8.4.1.6, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Hydrological drought 8.3.1.6, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 Table 12.4; Agricultural and ecological 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, 8.3.1.6, 8.4.1.6, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, drought Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 Table 12.4; Fire weather EDITING12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3 VERSION 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 9.5.1, 9.5.3, 12.4.2.4, Table Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 9.5.1, 9.5.3, Atlas.5.5.2 12.4 Permafrost 9.5.2; 12.4.2.4 9.5.2; 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4; Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4 FINAL 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Hail 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Coastal flood 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Coastal erosion 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel H) Region ASIA - NORTH ASIA ASIA - NORTH ASIA ASIA - NORTH ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name W.Siberia W.Siberia W.Siberia Accronym WSB WSB WSB Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.5.2.4 12.4.2.1, Table Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.5.2.2 12.4.2.1 12.4 11.3.5, Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1, Extreme heat Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 Table 12.4 Table 11.7, 12.4.2.2, Table Cold spell Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 12.4

Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Atlas.5.2.2, 12.4.2.2, 2.3.1.3.4, 8.3.1.3, 10.4.1.2, Atlas.5.2.4 12.4.2.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 10.4.2.4 12.4 River flood 12.4.2.2, FAQ 8.2 11.5.5, 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and 8.3.1.3, FAQ 8.2, 11.4.2, Table Table 11.8, 11.4.5, 12.4.2.2, pluvial flood 11.8, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.8 Table 12.4

Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table 11.9, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Table Aridity 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4 8.4.1.6, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Hydrological drought Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 Table 12.4 Agricultural and ecological 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table 11.9, 8.4.1.6, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, drought 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 EDITINGTable 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 2.3.1.4.4, 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3 VERSION12.4.2.3, Table 12.4

Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 2.3.2.2, 8.3.1.7.2, 9.5.1, 9.5.3, 9.5.1, 9.5.3, 12.4.2.4, Table Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Atlas.5.2.2 3.4.2 12.4 Permafrost 9.5.2; 12.4.2.4 FINAL 9.5.2; 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4; Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Hail 12.4.2.4TO 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level Coastal flood ACCEPTEDCoastal erosion Marine heatwave Ocean acidity Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel I) Region ASIA - NORTH ASIA ASIA - NORTH ASIA ASIA - NORTH ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.Siberia E.Siberia E.Siberia Accronym ESB ESB ESB Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.5.2.4 12.4.2.1, Table Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.5.2.2 12.4.2.1 12.4 11.3.5, Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1, Extreme heat Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 Table 12.4 Table 11.7, 12.4.2.2, Table Cold spell Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 12.4

Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Atlas.5.2.2, 12.4.2.2, 2.3.1.3.4, 8.3.1.3 10.4.1.2 Atlas.5.2.4 12.4.2.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 10.4.2.4 12.4 River flood 11.5.2, 12.4.2.2, FAQ8.2 11.5.5, 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and 8.3.1.3, 11.4.2, Table 11.8, Table 11.8, 11.4.5, 12.4.2.2, pluvial flood 12.4.2.2, FAQ 8.2 Table 11.8 Table 12.4

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1 Panel J) Region ASIA - NORTH ASIA ASIA - NORTH ASIA ASIA - NORTH ASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Russian-Far-East Russian-Far-East Russian-Far-East Accronym RFE RFE RFE Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.5.2.4 12.4.2.1, Table Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.5.2.2 12.4.2.1 12.4 11.3.5, Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1, Extreme heat Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 Table 12.4 Table 11.7, 12.4.2.2, Table Cold spell Table 11.7, 12.4.2.1 Table 11.7 12.4

Frost 12.4.2.1 12.4.2.1, Table 12.4 Atlas.5.2.2, 12.4.2.2, Atlas.5.2.4 12.4.2.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 2.3.1.3.4, 8.3.1.3 12.4 River flood 11.5.2, 12.4.2.2 11.5.5, 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Heavy precipitation and 8.3.1.3, Table 11.8, 11.4.2, pluvial flood 12.4.2.2 Table 11.8 Table 11.8, 11.4.5, 12.4.2.2

Landslide 12.4.2.2 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table 11.9, 11.6.5.1, Table 11.9, Aridity 11.6.5.1, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Table Hydrological drought Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4 Agricultural and ecological 8.2.3.3, FAQ 8.3, Table 11.9, Table 11.9, 12.4.2.2, Table drought 12.4.2.2 Table 11.9 12.4 Fire weather 12.4.2.2 EDITING12.4.2.2, Table 12.4 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Severe wind storm 12.4.2.3 VERSION 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.2.3 12.4.2.3, Table 12.4 8.3.1.7.2, 9.5.1, 9.5.3, Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Atlas.5.2.2 9.5.1, 9.5.3, 12.4.2.4 Permafrost 2.3.2.5; 9.5.2; 12.4.2.4 9.5.2; 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4; Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.2.4 FINAL 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Hail 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Snow avalanche 12.4.2.4 12.4.2.4, Table 12.4 Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Coastal flood 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Coastal erosion 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.2.5 12.4.2.5, Table 12.4; Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.4 2 3 [END TABLE 10.SM.2 HERE] 4 5 SUBJECT 6 7 8 9 10 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-21 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 [START TABLE 10.SM.3 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.3: Regional Traceback Matrix for Australasia. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional 4 assessment using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as 5 described in Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the 6 WGI AR6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: N.Australia (NAU), Panel B: 7 C.Australia (CAU), Panel C: E.Australia (EAU), Panel D: S.Australia (SAU), Panel E: New-Zealand 8 (NZ). Blank cells in the observations and projections columns corresponding to the “not broadly 9 relevant” or “no evidence” category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in 10 the detection and attribution columns correspond to no studies being available. 11 Panel A) Region AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.Australia N.Australia N.Australia Accronym NAU NAU NAU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.3.1; Atlas.6.2 CH1.3.6 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Extreme heat 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Cold spell 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5

Frost 12.4.3.1 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.3.2; Atlas.6.2 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.5.4 EDITING11.5.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Heavy precipitation and Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: pluvial flood 11.4.2; 12.4.3.2 VERSIONTable 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.4.4 11.4.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Landslide Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Aridity 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Hydrological drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 FINALTable 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Fire weather 12.4.3.2 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Severe wind storm 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Tropical cyclone 12.4.3.3TO 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Sand and dust storm 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice ACCEPTEDHeavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal flood 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal erosion 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 SUBJECTMarine heatwave 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5

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1 2 Panel B) Region AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name C.Australia C.Australia C.Australia Accronym CAU CAU CAU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.3.1; Atlas.6.2 CH1.3.6 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Extreme heat 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Cold spell 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5

Frost 12.4.3.1 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.2 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.5.4 11.5.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Heavy precipitation and Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: pluvial flood 11.4.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.4.4 11.4.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5

Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal flood 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal erosion 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5

Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 3 4 SUBJECT 5

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1 Panel C) Region AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.Australia E.Australia E.Australia Accronym EAU EAU EAU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.3.1; Atlas.6.2 CH1.3.6 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Extreme heat 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Cold spell 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5

Landslide Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Aridity 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Hydrological drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Fire weather 12.4.3.2 EDITING12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Severe wind storm 12.4.3.3 VERSION 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Tropical cyclone 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Sand and dust storm 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Snow avalanche Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal flood 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal erosion 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel D) Region AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.Australia S.Australia S.Australia Accronym SAU SAU SAU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.3.1; Atlas.6.2 CH1.3.6 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Extreme heat 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Cold spell 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5

Landslide Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Aridity 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Hydrological drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Fire weather 12.4.3.2 EDITING12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Severe wind storm 12.4.3.3 VERSION 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Tropical cyclone 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Sand and dust storm 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Snow avalanche 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal flood 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal erosion 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel E) Region AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA AUSTRALASIA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name New-Zealand New-Zealand New-Zealand Accronym NZ NZ NZ Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.3.1; Atlas.6.2 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5; Atlas.6.4 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Extreme heat 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.2; Table 11.6: Cold spell 11.3.2; 12.4.3.1 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.3.4 11.3.5; 12.4.3.1; Table 12.5

Landslide 12.4.3.2 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Aridity 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Hydrological drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.1; Table 11.6: Table 11.1; Table 11.6: drought 11.6.2; 12.4.3.2 Table 11.1; Table 11.6: 11.6.4 11.6.5; 12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Fire weather 12.4.3.2 EDITING12.4.3.2; Table 12.5 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Severe wind storm 12.4.3.3 12.4.3.3; Table 12.5 Tropical cyclone VERSION

Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice FINAL storm 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Hail 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Snow avalanche 12.4.3.4 12.4.3.4; Table 12.5 Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal flood 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Coastal erosion 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 Marine heatwave 12.4.3.5 12.4.3.5; Table 12.5 ACCEPTEDOcean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.5 2 3 [END TABLE 10.SM.3 HERE] 4 5 SUBJECT

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1 [START TABLE 10.SM.4 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.4: Regional Traceback Matrix for Central America. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional 4 assessment using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as 5 described in Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the 6 WGI AR6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: S.Central-America (SCA), Panel B: 7 N.Central-America (NCA). Blank cells in the observations and projections columns corresponding to 8 the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 9 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution columns correspond to no studies being available. 10 Panel A) Region CENTRAL-AMERICA CENTRAL-AMERICA CENTRAL-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.Central-America S.Central-America S.Central-America Accronym SCA SCA SCA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2: Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 8.4.1.3; 12.4.4.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 8.3.2.4.4; 12.4.4.2 12.6 River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and pluvial Table 11.14; 11.4.2; EDITINGTable 11.14; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Landslide 12.4.4.2 VERSION 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 8.4.1.6; 12.4.4.2, Table Aridity 8.3.1.6; 12.4.4.2 8.3.1.6; 12.6 Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; Hydrological drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Fire weather 12.4.4.2 FINAL 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Sand and dust storm TO

Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice ACCEPTEDHeavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 SUBJECTMarine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 11 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-27 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 2 Panel B) Region CENTRAL-AMERICA CENTRAL-AMERICA CENTRAL-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.Central-America N.Central-America N.Central-America Accronym NCA NCA NCA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.6.1, Atlas.5.7.2 Atlas.5.7.4 Extreme heat 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Cold spell 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Frost 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.6.2 Atlas.5.7.4 River flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Landslide 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Aridity 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Hydrological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Fire weather 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.6.3 EDITING12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Severe wind storm 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Tropical cyclone 12.4.6.3VERSION 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Sand and dust storm 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm FINAL Hail 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal flood TO12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal erosion 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Marine heatwave 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Other ACCEPTEDAir pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 3 4 [END TABLE 10.SM.4 HERE] 5 SUBJECT

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1 [START TABLE 10.SM.5 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.5: Regional Traceback Matrix for South America. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional 4 assessment using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as 5 described in Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the 6 WGI AR6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: N.W.South-America (NWS), Panel 7 B: N.South-America (NSA), Panel C: N.E.South-America (NES), Panel D: South-American-Monsoon 8 (SAM), Panel E: S.W.South-America SWS), Panel F: S.E.South-America (SES), Panel G: 9 S.South-America (SSA). Blank cells in the observations and projections columns corresponding to the 10 “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. 11 Blank cells in the detection and attribution columns correspond to no studies being available. 12 Panel A) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.W.South-America N.W.South-America N.W.South-America Accronym NWS NWS NWS Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2; CH1.4.2.2 Atlas7.2.4 Table 11.13; 11.3.2; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2: Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.1 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 8.3.1.3; 12.4.4.2; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 EDITINGAtlas7.2.4 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 12.6 Heavy precipitation and pluvial Table 11.14; 11.4.2;VERSION Table 11.14; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6

Fire weather 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm TO12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDLake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 SUBJECTMarine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6

Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6

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1 Panel B) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.South-America N.South-America N.South-America Accronym NSA NSA NSA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature CH1FAQ1.2 Atlas7.2.2; CH1.4.2.2 Atlas7.2.4; CH1.4.3.2 Table 11.13; 11.3.2; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2: Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.4.2; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4

River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and pluvial Table 11.14; 11.4.2; Table 11.14; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6

Landslide 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Aridity 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; Hydrological drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Fire weather 12.4.4.2 EDITING12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 VERSION12.4.4.3, Table 12.6

Sand and dust storm 8.4.1.7.1; 12.4.4.4, Table Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Marine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDOcean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel C) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.E.South-America N.E.South-America N.E.South-America Accronym NES NES NES Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2; CH1.4.2.2 Atlas7.2.4 Table 11.13; 11.3.2; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2: Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 8.3.2.4.5; 12.4.4.2; 8.4.1.3; 12.4.4.2, Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 12.6; Atlas7.2.4

River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and pluvial Table 11.14; 11.4.2; Table 11.14; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6

Landslide Aridity 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; Hydrological drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Fire weather 12.4.4.2 EDITING12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 VERSION12.4.4.3, Table 12.6

Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level TO12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Marine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDOcean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel D) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name South-American-Monsoon South-American-Monsoon South-American-Monsoon Accronym SAM SAM SAM Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2; CH1.4.2.2 Atlas7.2.4 Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat Table 11.13; 11.3.2; 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell Table 11.13; 11.3.2: 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.1 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 8.3.1.3; 8.3.2.4.5; 12.4.4.2; Box 8.2; 8.4.2.5; 12.4.4.2, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas7.2.2 8.3.1.3; 8.4.1.5; Atlas7.2.2 Table 12.6; Atlas7.2.4

River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and Table 11.14; 11.4.5; pluvial flood Table 11.14; 11.4.2; 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6

Landslide 8.4.1.6; 8.6.2.1; 12.4.4.2, Aridity 12.4.4.2 Table 12.6 Table 11.15; 11.6.5; 12.4.4.2; Hydrological drought Table 11.15; 11.6.2; 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 Table 12.6 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.5; 12.4.4.2; drought Table 11.15; 11.6.2; 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 Table 12.6 Fire weather 12.4.4.2 EDITING12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm 12.4.4.3 VERSION 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel E) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.W.South-America S.W.South-America S.W.South-America Accronym SWS SWS SWS Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4 Table 11.13; 11.3.2; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2: Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.1 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 8.3.1.3; 12.4.4.2; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas7.2.2 8.3.1.3; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4

River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and pluvial Table 11.14; 11.4.2; Table 11.14; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6

Landslide 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 8.4.1.6; 12.4.4.2, Table Aridity 8.3.1.6; 12.4.4.2 8.3.1.6; 12.6 Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; Hydrological drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.2; Table 11.15; 11.6.5; drought 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.4.2; Table 12.6 Fire weather 12.4.4.2 EDITING12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm 12.4.4.3 VERSION 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Sand and dust storm 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Marine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDOcean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel F) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.E.South-America S.E.South-America S.E.South-America Accronym SES SES SES Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4 CCB10.3; Table 11.13; 11.3.2; CCB10.3; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 CCB10.3; Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.5; 12.4.4.1, Cold spell Table 11.13; 11.3.2: 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.1 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 8.3.1.3; 8.3.2.4.5; 10.4.2.2; 8.5.2.1; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.4.2; Atlas7.2.2 8.3.1.3; 10.4.2.2; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4

River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and Table 11.14; 11.4.5; 12.4.4.2, pluvial flood Table 11.14; 11.4.2; 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; Table 12.6

Landslide 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Aridity 12.4.4.2; 12.4.4.2 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Table 11.15; 11.6.5; 12.4.4.2; Hydrological drought Table 11.15; 11.6.2; 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 Table 12.6 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.5; 12.4.4.2; drought Table 11.15; 11.6.2; 12.4.4.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 Table 12.6 Fire weather 12.4.4.2 EDITING12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Severe wind storm 12.4.4.3 VERSION 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Tropical cyclone 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Sand and dust storm 12.4.4.3 12.4.4.3, Table 12.6 Snow, glacier and ice Snow and Ice sheet 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche TO Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel G) Region SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA SOUTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name S.South-America S.South-America S.South-America Accronym SSA SSA SSA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.4.1; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4 Table 11.13; 11.3.2; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Extreme heat 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 Table 11.13; 11.3.2: Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Cold spell 12.4.4.1 Table 11.13; 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6

Frost 12.4.4.1 12.4.4.1, Table 12.6 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.4.2; Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.2 Atlas7.2.4

River flood 11.5.2; 12.4.4.2 11.5.5; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6 Heavy precipitation and pluvial Table 11.14; 11.4.2; Table 11.14; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.4.2 Table 11.14; 12.4.4.2, Table 12.6

Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 8.3.1.7.1; 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Permafrost 12.4.4.4 12.4.4.4, Table 12.6 Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level TO12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal flood 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Coastal erosion 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 Marine heatwave 12.4.4.5 12.4.4.5, Table 12.6 ACCEPTEDOcean acidity 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4; Table 12.6 2 3 4 [END TABLE 10.SM.5 HERE] 5 6 SUBJECT 7 8 9 10 11 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-35 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 [START TABLE 10.SM.6 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.6: Regional Traceback Matrix for Europe. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional assessment 4 using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as described in 5 Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the WGI AR6 6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: N.Europe (NEU), Panel B: West&Central- 7 Europe (WCE), Panel C: E.Europe (EEU), Panel D: Mediterranean-Europe (MED). Blank cells in the 8 observations and projections columns corresponding to the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” 9 category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution 10 columns correspond to no studies being available. 11 Panel A) Region EUROPE EUROPE EUROPE Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.Europe N.Europe N.Europe Accronym NEU NEU NEU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.8.2, 12.4.5.1 A.8.2; 1.4.2.2 A.8.4 Extreme heat Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7

Cold spell 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 Frost 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7, 8.4, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation A.8.2 A.8.2 A8.4 River flood 12.4.5.2 EDITING12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Landslide 12.4.5.2VERSION 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Aridity 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Hydrological drought Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Agricultural and ecological drought Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7

Fire weather 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.5.3FINAL 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Severe wind storm 12.4.5.3 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm TO12.4.5.4 9.5.1 A.8.2 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet A.8.2 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7; A8.4

Permafrost 12.4.5.4 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 ACCEPTEDHail 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Snow avalanche 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Coastal flood 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Coastal erosion 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Marine heatwave 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 SUBJECTOcean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 Radiation at surface 12.4 A.8.2 12.4, Table 12.7 12 13 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-36 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 2 Panel B) Region EUROPE EUROPE EUROPE Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name West&Central-Europe West&Central-Europe West&Central-Europe Accronym WCE WCE WCE Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.5.1; A.8.2 A.8.2; 1.4.2.2 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7; A.8.4 Extreme heat Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7

Cold spell 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 Frost 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation A.8.2 A.8.2 12.4.5.2,8.4.1.3,A8.4

River flood 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7

Landslide 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Aridity 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Hydrological drought Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Agricultural and ecological drought Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7

Fire weather 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.5.3 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Severe wind storm 12.4.5.3 EDITING12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.5.3VERSION 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 12.4.5.4 9.5.1 A.8.2 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet A.8.2 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7; A8.4

Permafrost 12.4.5.4 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Hail FINAL 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Snow avalanche 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Coastal flood 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Coastal erosion TO12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Marine heatwave 12.4.5.5 12.4.5.5, Table 12.7 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 ACCEPTEDAtmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 Radiation at surface 12.4 A.8.2 12.4, Table 12.7 3 4 5 SUBJECT

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1 Panel C) Region EUROPE EUROPE EUROPE Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.Europe E.Europe E.Europe Accronym EEU EEU EEU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature A.8.2 A.8.2 A.8.4 Extreme heat Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7

Cold spell 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 Frost 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7, 8.4, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation A.8.2 A.8.2 A8.4

River flood 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7

Fire weather 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.5.3 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Severe wind storm 12.4.5.3 EDITING12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.5.3 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 12.4.5.4 9.5.1VERSION A.8.2 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet A.8.2 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7; A8.4

Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Hail FINAL 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Snow avalanche 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level Coastal flood Coastal erosion TO Marine heatwave Ocean acidity Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 ACCEPTEDAtmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.7 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel D) Region EUROPE EUROPE EUROPE Region type (Land / Ocean) Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Sub-Region Name Mediterranean-Europe Mediterranean-Europe Mediterranean-Europe Accronym [MED] [MED] [MED] Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature A.8.2 A.8.2 A.8.4 Extreme heat Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7

Cold spell 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 Frost 12.4.5.1 12.4.5.1, Table 12.7 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7, 8.4, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation A.8.2 A.8.2 A8.4

River flood 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood Table 11.8 Table 11.8 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7

Fire weather 12.4.5.2 12.4.5.2, Table 12.7 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.5.3 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Severe wind storm 12.4.5.3 EDITING12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.5.3 12.4.5.3, Table 12.7 12.4.5.4 9.5.1VERSION A.8.2 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet A.8.2 12.4.5.4, Table 12.7; A8.4

1 [START TABLE 10.SM.7 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.7: Regional Traceback Matrix for North America. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional 4 assessment using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as 5 described in Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the 6 WGI AR6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: N.W.North-America (NWN), Panel 7 B: N.E.North-America (NEN), Panel C: W.North-America (WNA), Panel D: C.North-America 8 (CNA), Panel E: E.North-America (ENA). Blank cells in the observations and projections columns 9 corresponding to the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” category as described in the CID 10 framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution columns correspond to no 11 studies being available. 12 Panel A) Region NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.W.North-America N.W.North-America N.W.North-America Accronym NWN NWN NWN Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.6.1, Atlas.5.7.2 Atlas.5.7.4 Extreme heat 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Cold spell 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Frost 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.6.2 EDITINGAtlas.5.7.4 River flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.6.2VERSION 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Landslide 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Aridity 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Hydrological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Fire weather 12.4.6.2FINAL 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Severe wind storm 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm TO 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8, Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.6.4 Atlas.5.7.4 Permafrost 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 ACCEPTEDHeavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8

Hail Snow avalanche 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal flood 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal erosion 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 SUBJECTMarine heatwave 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 13 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-40 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 2 Panel B) Region NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name N.E.North-America N.E.North-America N.E.North-America Accronym NEN NEN NEN Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.6.1, Atlas.5.7.2 Atlas.5.7.4 Extreme heat 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Cold spell 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Frost 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.6.2 Atlas.5.7.4 River flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Landslide Aridity 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Hydrological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Fire weather 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.6.3 EDITING12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Severe wind storm 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Tropical cyclone VERSION Sand and dust storm 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8, Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.6.4 Atlas.5.7.4 Permafrost 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.6.4FINAL 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Hail Snow avalanche 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal flood TO12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal erosion 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Marine heatwave 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Other ACCEPTEDAir pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 3 4 5 SUBJECT

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1 Panel C) Region NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name W.North-America W.North-America W.North-America Accronym WNA WNA WNA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.6.1, Atlas.5.7.2 10.4.2.3; 1.4.2.2 Atlas.5.7.4

River flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Landslide 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Aridity 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Hydrological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Fire weather 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Severe wind storm 12.4.6.3 EDITING12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Tropical cyclone 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Sand and dust storm 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 VERSION12.4.6.4, Table 12.8, Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.6.4 Atlas.5.7.4 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Hail 12.4.6.4FINAL 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Snow avalanche 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal flood TO12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal erosion 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Marine heatwave 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 ACCEPTEDAtmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel D) Region NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name C.North-America C.North-America C.North-America Accronym CNA CNA CNA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.6.1, Atlas.5.7.2; 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature CH1FAQ1.2 1.4.2.2 Atlas.5.7.4; 1.3.6

Extreme heat 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Cold spell 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Frost 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.6.2 Atlas.5.7.4 River flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Landslide Aridity 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Hydrological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Fire weather 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.6.3 EDITING12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Severe wind storm 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Tropical cyclone 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Sand and dust storm 12.4.6.3 VERSION12.4.6.3, Table 12.8

12.4.6.4, Table 12.8, Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.6.4 Atlas.5.7.4 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.6.4 FINAL 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Hail 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Snow avalanche Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level TO12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal flood 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal erosion 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Marine heatwave 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Other ACCEPTEDAir pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel E) Region NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA NORTH-AMERICA Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.North-America E.North-America E.North-America Accronym ENA ENA ENA Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.6.1, Atlas.5.7.2 Atlas.5.7.4 Extreme heat 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Cold spell 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 Frost 12.4.6.1 12.4.6.1, Table 12.8 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.6.2 Atlas.5.7.4 River flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Landslide 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Aridity 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Hydrological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Fire weather 12.4.6.2 12.4.6.2, Table 12.8 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Severe wind storm 12.4.6.3 EDITING12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Tropical cyclone 12.4.6.3 12.4.6.3, Table 12.8 Sand and dust storm VERSION12.4.6.4, Table 12.8, Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 12.4.6.4 Atlas.5.7.4 Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Hail 12.4.6.4FINAL 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Snow avalanche 12.4.6.4 12.4.6.4, Table 12.8 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal flood TO12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Coastal erosion 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Marine heatwave 12.4.6.5 12.4.6.5, Table 12.8 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 ACCEPTEDAtmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.8 2 3 [END TABLE 10.SM.7HERE] 4 5 6 7 8 SUBJECT 9 10 11 12 13 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-44 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 [START TABLE 10.SM.8 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.8: Regional Traceback Matrix for Polar. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional assessment 4 using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as described in 5 Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the WGI AR6 6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: Russian-Arctic (RAR), Panel B: 7 Greenland/Iceland (GIC), Panel C: Arctic N.W.North-America (aNWN), Panel D: Arctic N.E.North- 8 America (aNEN), Panel E: Arctic N.Europe (aNEU), Panel F: E.Antarctica (EAN), Panel G: 9 W.Antarctica (WAN). Blank cells in the observations and projections columns corresponding to the 10 “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. 11 Blank cells in the detection and attribution columns correspond to no studies being available. 12 Panel A) Region POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Russian-Arctic Russian-Arctic Russian-Arctic Accronym RAR RAR RAR Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Atlas.11.2.4; 12.4.9.1; Table Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.1 Atlas.11.2.3 12.11; Fig. 4.22; 4.3.1; 4.5.1. Extreme heat 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Cold spell 12.4.9.1 Atlas.11.2.3 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Frost 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Wet Atlas.11.2.4; 12.4.9.2; Table and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.2 Atlas.11.2.3; 8.3.2.8 12.11 River flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3 EDITING12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.9.2 8.3.2.8 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Landslide 12.4.9.2 VERSION12.4.9.2, Table 12.11

Aridity 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Hydrological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Fire weather 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 FINAL 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.4, Atlas.11.2.4; 12.4.9.4; Table 12.2.3.2.2, 12.2.3.2.3,TO 2.3.2.2, 12.11, 8.4.1.7.1, 8.4.1.7.2, Snow 2.3.2.3. 8.3.1.7.1., 8.3.1.7.2, 9.5.1.3., 9.5.3.3., Fig 9.21, fig and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 9.5.1.1.9.5.3.1.,Fig. 9.20 Atlas.11.2.3, 3.4.2, 3.4.3 9.23 Permafrost 9.5.2.1; 12.4.9.4 9.5.2.1; 9.5.2.2 9.5.2.3; 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.4; CCB1.1; CH1.3.1; CH1BOX1.2; ACCEPTEDCH1.4.2.1; CH1.5.3.1; Atlas.11.2.4 12.4.9.4; Table Lake, river and sea ice CH1FAQ1.2, 2.3.2.1.1., 9.3.1. Atlas.11.2.3, 3.4.1. 12.11 9.3.1 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Hail Snow avalanche 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 SUBJECTCoastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Coastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Marine heatwave 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11

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Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 1 2 3 Panel B) Region POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Greenland/Iceland Greenland/Iceland Greenland/Iceland Accronym GIC GIC GIC Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Atlas.11.2.4; 12.4.9.1; Table Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.1; CH1.2.1.2 Atlas.11.2.3 12.11; Fig. 4.22; 4.3.1; 4.5.1.

Extreme heat 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Cold spell 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Frost 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Wet and Atlas.11.2.4; 12.4.9.2; Table Dry Mean precipitation 1.1.1.2; 1.1.2; 12.4.9.2 Atlas.11.2.3; 8.3.2.8 12.11 River flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3.1 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3.1; 8.3.2.8 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11

Landslide 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Aridity 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Hydrological drought 12.4.9.2 EDITING12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Fire weather 12.4.9.2 VERSION 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.4, FINAL 12.2.3.2.4.1; CH1.3.1; CH1BOX1.2; Atlas.11.2.4; 12.4.9.4; Table CH1.5.1.1,2.3.2.2.,2.3.2.3.,2.3.2. 12.11; CH1BOX1.2; CH1FAQ1.1, 4.1. 8.3.1.7.1, 8.3.1.7.2, 9.5.1.1, 8.4.1.7.1, 8.4.1.7.2, 9.4.1.3, Snow 9.5.3.1.Fig. 9.16, Fig. 9.20 Fig 9.4.1.4.,9.5.1.3.,9.5.3.3. Fig. and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 9.23TO Atlas.11.2.3, 3.4.2, 3.4.3; 8.2.3.1 9.17, Fig 9.21 Permafrost 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Atlas.11.2.2; 12.4.9.4, Lake, river and sea ice 2.3.2.1.1., 9.3.1. Atlas.11.2.3,3.4.1. 12.1.1.4; 12.4.9.4; Table 12.11 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 8.2.3; 12.4.9.4 8.2.3 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 ACCEPTEDHail

Snow avalanche 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Coastal and Oceani 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11; c Relative sea level 12.4.9.5; CH1.2.1.2; CH1.3.4 CH1BOX1.2 Coastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 SUBJECTCoastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Marine heatwave 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-46 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 2 Panel C) Region POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Arctic N.W.North-America Arctic N.W.North-America Arctic N.W.North-America Accronym aNWN aNWN aNWN Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.9.1, Atlas.5.7.2; Atlas.9.2; 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.11.2.2 Atlas.9.4; Extreme heat 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Cold spell 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Frost 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.9.2; Atlas.9.2; 8.2.3.1; 8.3.2.8; 8.4 Atlas.9.4; 8.4.2.8 River flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3.1 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3.1; 8.3.2.8 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11

Landslide 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Aridity 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Hydrological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Fire weather 12.4.9.2 EDITING12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 VERSION 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm 12.4.9.4; Atlas.9.2 2.3.2.2., 2.3.2.3, 8.3.1.7.1., 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11; Snow, glacier and ice 8.3.1.7.2.,9.5.1.1., 9.5.3.1.,Fig. Atlas.9.4, 8.4.1.7.1, 8.4.1.7.1, Snow and Ice sheet 9.20, Fig 9.23 3.4.2, 3.4.3; 8.2.3.1 9.5.1.3., 9.5.3.3. Fig. 9.21 Permafrost 9.5.2.1; 12.4.9.4 FINAL8.2.3.1; 9.5.2.1; 9.5.2.2 9.5.2.3; 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.9.4, 2.3.2.1.1., 9.3.1. 3.4.1. 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.9.4 8.2.3.1 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Hail TO Snow avalanche 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Coastal and Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Coastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 ACCEPTEDCoastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Marine heatwave 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 3 4 SUBJECT 5

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1 Panel D) Region POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Arctic N.E.North-America Arctic N.E.North-America Arctic N.E.North-America Accronym aNEN aNEN aNEN Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 12.4.9.1, Atlas.9.2; 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11, Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.11.2.2 Atlas.9.4 Extreme heat 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Cold spell 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Frost 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.9.2; Atlas.9.2; 8.2.3.1; 8.3.2.8; 8.4.2.8 Atlas.9.4; 8.4 River flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3.1 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.9.2 8.2.3.1; 8.3.2.8 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11

Landslide Aridity 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Hydrological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Fire weather 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2, Table 12.11 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 EDITING12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm VERSION

12.4.9.4; Atlas.9.2,2.3.2.2., 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11; 2.3.2.3, 8.3.1.7.1., Atlas.9.4, 8.4.1.7.1, 8.3.1.7.2.,9.5.1.1., 8.4.1.7.1, 9.5.1.3., 9.5.3.3. Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet 9.5.3.1.,Fig. 9.20, Fig 9.23 3.4.2, 3.4.3; 8.2.3.1 Fig. 9.21 Permafrost 9.5.2.1; 12.4.9.4 8.2.3.1; 9.5.2.1; 9.5.2.2 9.5.2.3; 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Lake, river and sea ice 12.4.9.4, 2.3.2.1.1., 9.3.1. FINAL3.4.1. 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.9.4 8.2.3.1 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11

Hail Snow avalanche 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Coastal and TO Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Coastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Coastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel E) Region POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC POLAR-ARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name Arctic N.Europe Arctic N.Europe Arctic N.Europe Accronym aNEU aNEU aNEU Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Heat and Cold Mean air temperature CH1.4.2.2; Atlas.8.2, 12.4.9.1 Atlas.8.2 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11; A.8.4 12.4.5.1, 12.4.9.1, Table 12.7, Extreme heat Table 11.8; 12.4.5.1, 12.4.9.1 Table 11.8 Table 12.11 12.4.5.1, 12.4.9.1, Table 12.7, Cold spell 12.4.5.1, 12.4.9.1 Table 12.11 12.4.5.1, 12.4.9.1, Table 12.7, Frost 12.4.5.1, 12.4.9.1 Table 12.11 Atlas.8.2; 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2; 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2, Table 12.7, Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas.8.2; 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 8.3.2.8; 8.4.2.8 Table 12.11; Atlas.8.4; 8.4 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2, Table 12.7, River flood 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 Table 12.11 Heavy precipitation and 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2, Table 12.7, pluvial flood Table 11.8; 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 Table 11.8; 8.3.2.8 Table 12.11

Landslide 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 Aridity 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2, Table 12.7, Hydrological drought Table 11.8; 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 Table 11.8 Table 12.11 Agricultural and 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2, Table 12.7, ecological drought Table 11.8; 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 Table 11.8 Table 12.11 EDITING12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2, Table 12.7, Fire weather 12.4.5.2, 12.4.9.2 Table 12.11 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 VERSION12.4.9.3, Table 12.11

Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm Atlas.8.2; 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, 2.3.2.2., 2.3.2.3, 8.3.1.7.1., 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11; Snow, glacier and ice 8.3.1.7.2.,9.5.1.1., Atlas.8.4, 8.4.1.7.1, 8.4.1.7.1, Snow and Ice sheet 9.5.3.1.,Fig. 9.20, Fig 9.23 FINALAtlas.8.2, 3.4.2, 3.4.3 9.5.1.3., 9.5.3.3. Fig. 9.21 9.5.2.1; 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, 9.5.2.3; 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, Permafrost 2.3.2.5 9.5.2.1; 9.5.2.2 Table 12.7, Table 12.11 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, 2.3.2.1.1., 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, Table 12.7, Lake, river and sea ice 9.3.1. 3.4.1. Table 12.11, Heavy snowfall and ice TO storm 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, Table 12.7, Hail 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4 Table 12.11 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4, Table 12.7, Snow avalanche 12.4.5.4, 12.4.9.4 Table 12.11 Coastal and Oceanic ACCEPTEDRelative sea level 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11

Coastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Coastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Marine heatwave 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5, Table 12.11 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Atmospheric CO2 at SUBJECTsurface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Radiation at surface Atlas..8.2; 12.4.0 Atlas.8.2 12.4, Table 12.11 2 3 4

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1 Panel F) Region POLAR-ANTARCTIC POLAR-ANTARCTIC POLAR-ANTARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name E.Antarctica E.Antarctica E.Antarctica Accronym EAN EAN EAN Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.11.1.4; 12.4.9.1; Table Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.11.1.2; 12.4.9.1 Atlas.11.1.2 12.11; Fig. 4.22; 4.3.1; 4.5.1.

Extreme heat 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Cold spell 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Frost 12.4.9.1 12.4.9.1, Table 12.11 Atlas.11.1.4; 12.4.9.2; Table Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Atlas.11.1.2; 12.4.9.2 Atlas.11.1.2; 8.3.2.8 12.11

River flood NA NA Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood 12.4.9.2 8.3.2.8 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11

Landslide 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Aridity 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Hydrological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Agricultural and ecological drought NA NA Fire weather NA NA Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 EDITING12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Tropical cyclone NA Sand and dust storm NA VERSION

9.4.2.1, 9.5.1.1; 2.3.2.4.2; Atlas.11.1.2; 12.4.9.4, 9.4.2.3, Atlas.11.1.4; 12.4.9.2; CH1.2.1.1; CH1.3.1; 9.4.2.1, 9.5.1.1; Atlas.11.1.2, Table 12.11; CH1BOX1.2 Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet CH1BOX1.2, 3.4.3.2 9.4.2.5, 9.4.2.6. Fig. 9.18

Permafrost 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 12.4.9.4; CCB1.1; FINAL 12.4.9.4; Table 12.11; Lake, river and sea ice CH1BOX1.2,2.3.2.1.2., 9.3.2. 3.4.1. CH1FAQ1.2 Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Hail Snow avalanche 12.4.9.4TO 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Coastal and 9.6.3; 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11; Oceanic Relative sea level 9.6.1; 12.4.9.5 Box 9.1, 9.6.1 CH1BOX1.2

Coastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11 Coastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11 ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave 9.2; 12.4.9.5 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather Atmospheric CO2 at surface CH1.2.1.2; 12,4 12.4, Table 12.11 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 2 3 4 SUBJECT

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1 Panel G) Region POLAR-ANTARCTIC POLAR-ANTARCTIC POLAR-ANTARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Land Land Land Sub-Region Name W.Antarctica W.Antarctica W.Antarctica Accronym WAN WAN WAN Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.11.1.4; 12.4.9.1; Table 12.11; Fig. 4.22; 4.3.1; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Atlas.11.1.2; 12.4.9.1 Atlas.11.1.2 4.5.1.

River flood Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood NA 8.3.2.8 NA

Landslide 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Aridity 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Hydrological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.9.2 12.4.9.2; Table 12.11 Fire weather Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.9.3 EDITING12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Severe wind storm 12.4.9.3 12.4.9.3, Table 12.11 Tropical cyclone VERSION Sand and dust storm 9.4.2.1, 9.5.1.1; Atlas.11.1.2; 12.4.9.4; 9.4.2.5, 9.4.2.6, CH1.2.1.1; CH1.3.1; 9.4.2.1, 9.5.1.1; Atlas.11.1.4; 12.4.9.4; Table Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet CH1BOX1.2, 2.3.2.4.2; Atlas.11.1.2, 3.4.3.2. 12.11; CH1BOX1.2 9.5.2.3; 12.4.9.4; Table Permafrost 9.5.2.1; 12.4.9.4, 2.3.2.4.2FINAL 9.5.2.1; 9.5.2.2 12.11 9.5.2.3; 12.4.9.4; Table 12.4.9.4; Table 12.11; Lake, river and sea ice 12.11,2.3.2.1.2., 9.3.2. 3.4.1. CH1FAQ1.2

Heavy snowfall and ice storm 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Hail TO Snow avalanche 12.4.9.4 12.4.9.4, Table 12.11 Coastal and 9.6.3; 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11; Oceanic Relative sea level 9.6.1; 12.4.9.5 Box 9.1, 9.6.1 CH1BOX1.2

Coastal flood 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11 ACCEPTEDCoastal erosion 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11 Marine heatwave 9.2; 12.4.9.5 12.4.9.5; Table 12.11 Ocean acidity 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 Other Air pollution weather Atmospheric CO2 at surface CH1.2.1.2; 12,4 12.4, Table 12.11 Radiation at surface 12.4 12.4, Table 12.11 2 3 [START TABLESUBJECT 10.SM.8 HERE] 4

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1 [START TABLE 10.SM.9 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.9: Regional Traceback Matrix for Small Islands. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional 4 assessment using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as 5 described in Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the 6 WGI AR6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: Caribbean (CAR), Panel B: Pacific 7 Islands (EPO/SPO), Panel C: Western Indian Ocean Islands (EIO/SIO). Blank cells in the 8 observations and projections columns corresponding to the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” 9 category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution 10 columns correspond to no studies being available. 11 Panel A) Region SMALL ISLANDS SMALL ISLANDS SMALL ISLANDS Region type (Land / Ocean) Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Sub-Region Name Caribbean Caribbean Caribbean Accronym CAR CAR CAR Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; Atlas.10.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.7.1 12.4.7.1, Table 12.9 Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; Table 11.13; 11.3.5; Table 11.13; 11.3.2; 12.4.7.1, Extreme heat 12.4.7.1 Table 11.13 Table 12.9 Atlas.10.2; Cold spell Table 11.13; 11.3.2 Table 11.13 Table 11.13; 11.3.5 Frost EDITING Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; Atlas.10.4; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.7.2 VERSIONCross-chapter Box Atlas.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 11.5.2; 11.5.5; River flood 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2 Heavy precipitation and Table 11.14; 11.4.2; Table 11.14; 11.4.5; pluvial flood 12.4.7.2 Table 11.14 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Landslide 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; FINAL Aridity 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Table 11.15; 11.6.5; Hydrological drought Table 11.15; 11.6.2; 12.4.7.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Agricultural and ecological Table 11.15; 11.6.5; drought Table 11.15;TO 11.6.2; 12.4.7.2 Table 11.15; 11.6.4 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Fire weather 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.7.3 12.4.7.3, Table 12.9 Severe wind storm 12.4.7.3 12.4.7.3, Table 12.9 Tropical cyclone 12.4.7.3 12.4.7.3, Table 12.9 Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice ACCEPTEDSnow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Coastal and Table 1; Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 Coastal flood 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 SUBJECTCoastal erosion 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 Marine heatwave 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 12.4; Ocean acidity 12.4 Table 12.9 12.4; Other Air pollution weather 12.4 Table 12.9 12.4; Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 Table 12.9 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-52 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

12.4; Radiation at surface 12.4 Table 12.9 1 Panel B) Region SMALL ISLANDS SMALL ISLANDS SMALL ISLANDS Region type (Land / Ocean) Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Sub-Region Name Pacific Islands Pacific Islands Pacific Islands Accronym [EPO/SPO] [EPO/SPO] [EPO/SPO] Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; Atlas.10.4; Heat and Cold Mean air temperature 12.4.7.1 12.4.7.1, Table 12.9 Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; 11.3.2; Extreme heat 12.4.7.1 12.4.7.1, Table 12.9 Atlas.10.2; Cold spell 11.3.2 Frost Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.10.4; Wet and Dry Mean precipitation 12.4.7.2 Atlas.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 11.5.2; 11.5.5; River flood 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Heavy precipitation and pluvial 11.4.2; 11.4.5; flood 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Landslide 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Cross-chapter Box EDITING Atlas.2 Table 1; Aridity 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Hydrological drought 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Agricultural and ecological drought 12.4.7.2 VERSION12.4.7.2, Table 12.9

Fire weather 12.4.7.2 12.4.7.2, Table 12.9 Wind Mean wind speed 12.4.7.3 12.4.7.3, Table 12.9 Severe wind storm 12.4.7.3 12.4.7.3, Table 12.9 Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Table 1; Tropical cyclone 12.4.7.3 FINAL 12.4.7.3, Table 12.9 Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail TO

Snow avalanche Cross-chapter Box Coastal and Atlas.2 Table 1; Oceanic Relative sea level 12.4.7.5; 1.3.1 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 Coastal flood 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 ACCEPTEDCoastal erosion 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 Marine heatwave 12.4.7.5 12.4.7.5, Table 12.9 12.4, Ocean acidity 12.4 Table 12.9 12.4, Other Air pollution weather 12.4 Table 12.9 12.4, Atmospheric CO2 at surface 12.4 Table 12.9 12.4, Radiation at surface 12.4 Table 12.9 2 SUBJECT 3 4

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1 Panel C) Region SMALL ISLANDS SMALL ISLANDS SMALL ISLANDS Region type (Land / Ocean) Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Land-Ocean Western Indian Ocean Western Indian Ocean Western Indian Ocean Sub-Region Name Islands Islands Islands Accronym [EIO/SIO] [EIO/SIO] [EIO/SIO] Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Heat and Cold Mean air temperature Table 1 Atlas.10.4 Extreme heat Cold spell Frost Atlas.10.2; Cross-chapter Box Atlas.2 Wet and Dry Mean precipitation Table 1; Atlas.10.4 River flood Heavy precipitation and pluvial flood Landslide Aridity Hydrological drought Agricultural and ecological drought Fire weather EDITING Wind Mean wind speed Severe wind storm VERSION Tropical cyclone Sand and dust storm Snow and Ice Snow, glacier and ice sheet Permafrost Lake, river and sea ice FINAL Heavy snowfall and ice storm Hail Snow avalanche Cross-TOchapter Box Atlas.2 Coastal and Table 1; Oceanic Relative sea level 1.3.1 Coastal flood Coastal erosion ACCEPTEDMarine heatwave Ocean acidity Other Air pollution weather Atmospheric CO2 at surface Radiation at surface 2 3 [END TABLE 10.SM.9 HERE] 4 SUBJECT 5 6 7 8 9 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-54 Total pages: 95 Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1 [START TABLE 10.SM.10 HERE] 2 3 Table 10.SM.10: Regional Traceback Matrix for Open Ocean Regions. Table shows chapter traceability of the regional 4 assessment using observed trends, attribution of trends or events, and climate model projections, as 5 described in Cross-Chapter Box 10.3. The Table is divided into separate panels that correspond to the 6 WGI AR6 Reference Regions. African sub-regions are: Panel A: Arctic-Ocean (ARO), Panel B: 7 N.Pacific-Ocean (NPO), Panel C: Equatorial.Pacific-Ocean (EPO), Panel D: S.Pacific-Ocean (SPO), 8 Panel E: N.Atlantic-Ocean (NAO), Panel F: Equatorial.Atlantic-Ocean (EAO), Panel G: S.Atlantic- 9 Ocean (SAO), Panel H: Arabian-Sea (ARS), Panel I: Bay-of-Bengal (BOB), Panel J: Equatorial.Indic- 10 Ocean (EIO), Panel K: S.Indic-Ocean (SIO), Panel L: Southern-Ocean (SOO). Blank cells in the 11 observations and projections columns corresponding to the “not broadly relevant” or “no evidence” 12 category as described in the CID framework in Chapter 12. Blank cells in the detection and attribution 13 columns correspond to no studies being available. 14 Panel A) Region ARCTIC ARCTIC ARCTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Arctic-Ocean Arctic-Ocean Arctic-Ocean Accronym ARO ARO ARO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, 12.4.9 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, 4.3.2, 9.3.1, 4.3.2, 9.3.1, 2.3.2.1.1, 9.3.1, 2.3.2.1.1, EDITING12.4.8, Table 12.4.9, Table Sea ice 9.3.1, 12.4.8, 12.4.9 3.4.1.1, 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, VERSION4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8, 12.4.9 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 15 16 Panel B) Region PACIFIC PACIFIC PACIFIC Region type (Land / FINAL Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name N.Pacific-Ocean N.Pacific-Ocean N.Pacific-Ocean Accronym NPO NPO NPO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections TO 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 ACCEPTEDSubsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 17 18 SUBJECT

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1 Panel C) Region PACIFIC PACIFIC PACIFIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Equatorial.Pacific-Ocean Equatorial.Pacific-Ocean Equatorial.Pacific-Ocean Accronym EPO EPO EPO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.2, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 2 3 Panel D) Region PACIFIC PACIFIC PACIFIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name S.Pacific-Ocean S.Pacific-Ocean S.Pacific-Ocean Accronym SPO SPO SPO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 EDITINGBOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 VERSION , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 4 5 Panel E) FINAL Region ATLANTIC ATLANTIC ATLANTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name N.Atlantic-Ocean N.Atlantic-Ocean N.Atlantic-Ocean Accronym NAOTO NAO NAO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 ACCEPTEDSevere storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 6 7 SUBJECT

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1 Panel F) Region ATLANTIC ATLANTIC ATLANTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Equatorial.Atlantic-Ocean Equatorial.Atlantic-Ocean Equatorial.Atlantic-Ocean Accronym EAO EAO EAO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.2, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 2 3 Panel G) Region ATLANTIC ATLANTIC ATLANTIC Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name S.Atlantic-Ocean S.Atlantic-Ocean S.Atlantic-Ocean Accronym SAO SAO SAO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 EDITINGBOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 VERSION , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 4 5 Panel H) FINAL Region INDIAN INDIAN INDIAN Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Arabian-Sea Arabian-Sea Arabian-Sea Accronym ARSTO ARS ARS Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.2, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 ACCEPTEDSevere storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 6 7 SUBJECT

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1 Panel I) Region INDIAN INDIAN INDIAN Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Bay-of-Bengal Bay-of-Bengal Bay-of-Bengal Accronym BOB BOB BOB Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.2, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 2 3 Panel J) Region INDIAN INDIAN INDIAN Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Equatorial.Indic-Ocean Equatorial.Indic-Ocean Equatorial.Indic-Ocean Accronym EIO EIO EIO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.2, Table 12.10 EDITINGBOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 VERSION , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 4 5 Panel K) FINAL Region INDIAN INDIAN INDIAN Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name S.Indic-Ocean S.Indic-Ocean S.Indic-Ocean Accronym SIO TO SIO SIO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 ACCEPTEDSevere storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, Sea ice , 12.4.8 , 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 6 7 SUBJECT

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1 Panel L) Region SOUTHERN SOUTHERN SOUTHERN Region type (Land / Ocean) Ocean Ocean Ocean Sub-Region Name Southern-Ocean Southern-Ocean Southern-Ocean Accronym SOO SOO SOO Data Type Observational Detection & Attribution Projections 4.5.2.1,9.2.2.1, 12.4.8, Open Oceans Mean ocean temperature 2.3.3.1, 9.2.2.1, 12.4.8 3.5.1.1, Table 12.10 BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8, Table Marine heatwave BOX 9.2:, 12.4.8 12.10 Severe storm and waves 9.6.4.1, 9.6.4.2, 2.3.2.1.2, 9.3.2, 2.3.2.1.2, 9.3.2, 9.3.2, 12.4.8, 12.4.9, Sea ice 9.3.2, 12.4.8, 12.4.9 3.4.1.2, Table 12.10 Subsea permafrost 5.4.9.1.3, 5.4.9.1.3, 4.5.2.2,5.3, 12.4.8, Table Ocean acidity 2.3.3.5,5.3, 12.4.8 12.10 Dissolved oxygen 2.3.3.6, 12.4.8 5.3.3.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 Ocean salinity 2.3.3.2,9.2.2.2, 12.4.8 3.5.2, 9.2.2.2, 12.4.8, Table 12.10 2 3 [END TABLE 10.SM.10 HERE] 4

EDITING VERSION

FINAL TO ACCEPTED

SUBJECT

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1 2 10.SM.2 Data Table 3 4 [START TABLE 10.SM.11 HERE] 5 6 Table 10.SM.11: Input Data Table. Input datasets and code used to create chapter figures. 7 8 Figure Dataset / Type Filename / License Dataset / Code Dataset / Code URL Related publications / Software used Notes number Code name Specificiti type citation es

Figure 10.6 Figure 10.6 Code recipe_box https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Code plot_Med. MValTool- working_corde yml AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/EDITING x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10/ ESMValCore branch Figure 10.6 Figure 10.6 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ESVERSION Requires Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , FINAL colormaps/ directory Figure 10.6 Figure 10.6 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure 10.6 Berkeley Input Land_and_ TOhttp://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/auto/Glob (Rohde et al., 2013) land_source_h (a) Earth Ocean_Lat al/Gridded/Land_and_Ocean_LatLon istory = "13- Long1.nc g1.nc Jan-2020 17:22:52", ocean_source_ history = "07- ACCEPTED Jan-2020 10:46:06" Figure 10.6 CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) (a) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-60 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

tmp.dat.nc ent tmp/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.tmp.dat.nc Licence .gz http://ww w.nation alarchive s.gov.uk/ doc/open - governm ent- licence/v ersion/3/ Figure 10.6 HadCRUT4 Input HadCRUT. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem (Morice et al., 2012) (a) 4.6.0.0.me Governm perature/HadCRUT.4.6.0.0.median.n dian.nc ent c Licence EDITING http://ww w.nation alarchive VERSION s.gov.uk/ doc/open - governm ent- licence/v FINAL ersion/3/ Figure 10.6 HadCRUT5 Input HadCRUT. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem (Morice et al., 2021) Absolute (a) 5.0.0.0.ano Governm perature/HadCRUT.5.0.0.0.anomalies values build malies.ens ent .ensemble_mean.nc by adding the emble_me Licence TO anomaly an.nc and http://ww https://crudata. absolute_v w.nation uea.ac.uk/cru/ 5.nc alarchive data/temperatu s.gov.uk/ re/absolute_v5 doc/open .nc ACCEPTED- governm ent- licence/v Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-61 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

ersion/3/ Figure 10.6 E-OBS 0.1° Input tg_ens_me https://knmi-ecad-assets- (Cornes et al., 2018) (a) an_0.1deg prd.s3.amazonaws.com/ensembles/da _reg_v21.0 ta/Grid_0.1deg_reg_ensemble/tg_ens e.nc _mean_0.1deg_reg_v21.0e.nc Figure 10.6 E-OBS 0.25° Input tg_ens_me https://knmi-ecad-assets- (Cornes et al., 2018) (a) an_0.25de prd.s3.amazonaws.com/ensembles/da g_reg_v21. ta/Grid_0.25deg_reg_ensemble/tg_en 0e.nc s_mean_0.25deg_reg_v21.0e.nc Figure 10.6 WFDE5 v1.0 Input Tair_WFD The https://doi.org/10. https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsa (Cucchi et al., 2020) (a) E5_CRU_[ dataset is 24381/cds.20d54e pp#!/dataset/derived-near-surface- 197901- distribute 34 meteorological- 201812]_v d under variables?tab=overview 1.0.nc the Licence to Use EDITING Copernic us Products. VERSION The correctio ns applied are based upon FINAL CRU TS4.03, distribute d under the Open TO Database License (OdbL) Figure 10.6 ERA5 Input tas_Amon https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Hersbach et al., 2020) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis Server/CREATE- "face81a8- _ERA5_19ACCEPTEDIP/reanalysis/ECMWF/IFS - 3ecc-4a72- 7901- Cy41r2/ERA5/mon/atmos/tas/tas_A b1af- 201912.nc mon_reanalysis_ERA5_197901- a1a430405c7b 201912.nc " Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-62 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

Figure 10.6 ERA-Interim Input tas_Amon CC BY- https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Dee et al., 2011) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis SA 4.0 Server/CREATE- "0a105dae- _ERA- IP/reanalysis/ECMWF/IFS- 21fd-4f6e- Interim_19 Cy31r2/ERA- b8e9- 7901- Interim/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amon_rea 0a0fada689d1" 201908.nc nalysis_ERA-Interim_197901- 201908.nc Figure 10.6 CERA-20C Input tas_Amon https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Laloyaux et al., 2018) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis Server/CREATE- "22f6cece- _CERA- IP/reanalysis/ECMWF/IFS- ad07-4444- 20C_1901 Cy41r2/CERA- a07d- 01- 20C/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amon_reanal 7a91f12b1b6e 201012.nc ysis_CERA-20C_190101-201012.nc " Figure 10.6 JRA-25 Input tas_Amon https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (ONOGI et al., 2007) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis Server/CREATE- "98441bb9- _JRA- IP/reanalysis/JMA/JRA-25/JRA-EDITING 1b0f-4919- 25_197901 25/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amon_reanaly b6ee- -201312.nc sis_JRA-25_197901-201312.nc fea8f886dd14" Figure 10.6 JRA-55 Input tas_Amon CC BY- https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/fileVERSION(Kobayashi et al., 2015) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis SA 4.0 Server/CREATE- "9e276e16- _JRA- IP/reanalysis/JMA/JRA-55/JRA- 79d7-46e5- 55_195801 55/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amon_reanaly a3da- -201912.nc sis_JRA-55_195801-201912.nc 39ecf1c2a871" Figure 10.6 CFSR Input tas_Amon https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Saha et al., 2010) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis Server/CREATEFINAL- "4ff071f5- _CFSR_19 IP/reanalysis/NOAA- 37b4-4414- 7901- NCEP/CFSR/CFSR/mon/atmos/tas/ta 9ba1- 201912.nc s_Amon_reanalysis_CFSR_197901- d2eab7e24d0f" 201912.nc Figure 10.6 MERRA Input tas_Amon TOhttps://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Rienecker et al., 2011) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis Server/CREATE- "d742c24b- _MERRA_ IP/reanalysis/NASA-GMAO/GEOS- 6ed0-41d0- 197901- 5/MERRA/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amon a02a- 201602.nc _reanalysis_MERRA_197901- dd7039f245b2 201602.nc " Figure 10.6 MERRA2 Input tas_AmonACCEPTED https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Gelaro et al., 2017) tracking_id = (a) _reanalysis Server/CREATE- "e77fd4de- _MERRA2 IP/reanalysis/NASA-GMAO/GEOS- 19c2-45ad- _198001- 5/MERRA2/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amo afe2- Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-63 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

201912.nc n_reanalysis_MERRA2_198001- ce3f6c1eb148" 201912.nc Figure 10.6 CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Precipitation is (b) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ conditioned on pre.dat.nc ent pre/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.pre.dat.nc.g stn (nc file Licence z variable, http://ww number of w.nation stations alarchive contributing to s.gov.uk/ each datum) doc/open being at least - 1. governm Seasonal ent- statistics licence/v requires 2 out ersion/3/ EDITING of 3 seasons to be valid. Climate VERSION statistics requires 80% of data to be valid. Figure 10.6 GPCC Input full_data_ may be doi: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) Precipitation is (b) V2018 1.0° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ conditioned on 2018_10.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_10.nc.gzFINAL numgauge (nc c.gz any 18_100 file variable, restrictio gauges per ns gridcell) being provided at least 1. that the TO Seasonal source is statistics acknowle requires 2 out dged of 3 seasons to https://w be valid. ww.dwd. ACCEPTEDde/EN/se rvice/cop yright/co pyright_ Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-64 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

node.htm l Figure 10.6 REGEN Input REGEN_A http://dapds00.nci.org.au/thredds/file (Contractor et al., 2020) Precipitation (b) llStns_V1- Server/ks32/CLEX_Data/REGEN_Al data is 2019_[195 lStns/v1-2019/REGEN_AllStns_V1- conditioned on 0 … 2019_[1950 … 2016].nc the Quality 2016].nc Mask. and Seasonal REGEN_A statistics llStns_V1- requires 2 out 2019_1950 of 3 seasons to - be valid. 2016_Qual ityMask.nc Figure 10.6 E-OBS 0.1° Input rr_ens_me https://knmi-ecad-assets- (Cornes et al., 2018) (b) an_0.1deg prd.s3.amazonaws.com/ensembles/daEDITING _reg_v21.0 ta/Grid_0.1deg_reg_ensemble/rr_ens e.nc _mean_0.1deg_reg_v21.0e.nc Figure 10.6 E-OBS 0.25° Input rr_ens_me https://knmiVERSION-ecad-assets- (Cornes et al., 2018) (b) an_0.25de prd.s3.amazonaws.com/ensembles/da g_reg_v21. ta/Grid_0.25deg_reg_ensemble/rr_en 0e.nc s_mean_0.25deg_reg_v21.0e.nc Figure 10.6 GHCN V2 Input precip.mon ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Datasets/ghcng (Jones and Moberg, 2003) (b) .total.nc ridded/precip.mon.total.nc Figure 10.6 WFDE5 v1.0 Input Rainf_WF The https://doi.org/10. https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsaFINAL (Cucchi et al., 2020) (b) DE5_CRU dataset is 24381/cds.20d54e pp#!/dataset/derived-near-surface- +GPCC_[1 distribute 34 meteorological- 97901- d under variables?tab=overview 201612]_v the 1.0.nc Licence TO to Use Copernic us Products. The ACCEPTEDcorrectio ns applied are based Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-65 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

upon CRU TS4.03, distribute d under the Open Database License (OdbL) Figure 10.6 CFSR Input pr_Amon_ https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Saha et al., 2010) tracking_id = (b) reanalysis_ Server/CREATE- "db487707- CFSR_197 IP/reanalysis/NOAA- b207-4649- 901- NCEP/CFSR/CFSR/mon/atmos/pr/pr ac4b- 201912.nc _Amon_reanalysis_CFSR_197901- 3ed9942b869b 201912.nc " Figure 10.6 ERA-Interim Input pr_Amon_ CC BY- https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/fileEDITING(Dee et al., 2011) tracking_id = (b) reanalysis_ SA 4.0 Server/CREATE- "6d7345ee- ERA- IP/reanalysis/ECMWF/IFS- 46d9-460d- Interim_19 Cy31r2/EVERSIONRA- b367- 7901- Interim/mon/atmos/pr/pr_Amon_rean 7a91644196a9 201908.nc alysis_ERA-Interim_197901- " 201908.nc Figure 10.6 ERA5 Input pr_Amon_ https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Hersbach et al., 2020) tracking_id = (b) reanalysis_ Server/CREATE- "54f6aaa0- ERA5_197 IP/reanalysis/ECMWF/IFSFINAL- 00f1-468e- 901- Cy41r2/ERA5/mon/atmos/pr/pr_Am 9d1d- 201912.nc on_reanalysis_ERA5_197901- f25b04bb9fb3" 201912.nc Figure 10.6 JRA-55 Input pr_Amon_ CC BY- https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Kobayashi et al., 2015) tracking_id = (b) reanalysis_ SA 4.0 TOServer/CREATE - "d5394ca7- JRA- IP/reanalysis/JMA/JRA-55/JRA- e30d-4724- 55_195801 55/mon/atmos/pr/pr_Amon_reanalysi 8569- -201912.nc s_JRA-55_195801-201912.nc e56293cebfaf" Figure 10.6 MERRA Input pr_Amon_ https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Rienecker et al., 2011) tracking_id = (b) reanalysis_ Server/CREATE- "eca6f8ec- MERRA_1ACCEPTEDIP/reanalysis/NASA -GMAO/GEOS- 36af-4a15- 97901- 5/MERRA/mon/atmos/pr/pr_Amon_r a5ed- 201602.nc eanalysis_MERRA_197901- 606531c7c686 201602.nc " Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-66 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

Figure 10.6 MERRA2 Input pr_Amon_ https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Gelaro et al., 2017) tracking_id = (b) reanalysis_ Server/CREATE- "d204afb4- MERRA2_ IP/reanalysis/NASA-GMAO/GEOS- 0503-47ee- 198001- 5/MERRA2/mon/atmos/pr/pr_Amon 9935- 201912.nc _reanalysis_MERRA2_198001- eb0d75dc31ac 201912.nc " Figure 10.7 Figure 10.7 Code Code Figure 10.7 ERA-Interim Input Daily data, https://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/i (Dee et al., 2011) concatenated Geopotenti nterim-full-daily/levtype=pl/ with ERA-40 al at (ERA-40: 500hPa 1962–78, ERA-Interim: 1979–2011, see Schiemann EDITING et al., (2017) Figure 10.7 ERA-40 Input Daily data, https://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/e (Uppala et al., 2006) concatenated Geopotenti ra40-daily/levtype=pl/ with ERA- al at VERSION Interim (ERA- 500hPa 40: 1962–78, ERA-Interim: 1979–2011, see Schiemann et al. (2017) Figure 10.8 FINAL (a) MTSAT-2 (a) Visible Data (Haiyan ftp://mtsat.cr.chiba-u.ac.jp/MTSAT- match-up) 2/gridded_V2.0/quicklooks/201311/ (gridded), Nov TOMTSAT2 -145E-201311070357UTC- 07, 2013 04:30 GSMaP Input VIS.jpg (Kubota et al., 2020) (UTC) Figure 10.8 (b) Guiuan (b) radar, addapted from Takayabu et PAGASA Input ACCEPTED al. (2015) Figure 10.8 Meso- Input Member of https://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/ti (Swinbank et al., 2016) (c) meso- (c) ensemble WEPS gge/levtype=sfc/type=cf/ ensemble forecast (60 (Weekly forecast (60 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-67 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

km) Ensemble km) Prediction System) operational ly driven by JMA (Japan Meteorolo gical Agency). Data is uploaded as a member of TIGGE (THORPE EDITING X Interactive Grand VERSION Global Ensemble). Figure 10.8 (d) NHRCM (d) (20 km) model, FINAL addapted from NHRCM (20 Takayabu et km) Input al. (2015) Figure 10.8 (e) NHRCM (e) (5 km) model, TO Addapted from NHRCM (5 Takayabu et km) Input al. (2015) Figure 10.8 (f) WRF (1 (f) km) model, Addapted from ACCEPTED Takayabu et WRF (1 km) Input al. (2015) Figure 10.9 Figure 10.9 Code recipe_Co https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Code ppolaAlps. MValTool- working_corde Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-68 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

yml AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Figure 10.9 Figure 10.9 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , colormaps/ directory and CH10_add itional_dat a/ECoppol EDITING a_Alps directory Figure 10.9 Figure 10.9 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ESVERSION Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure 10.9 4 GCM Input GCM.nc https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES GCM data from from Giorgi et al. (2016) (a) mean MValTool- (CMIP5) AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ precipitation diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10/CH10_ad change ditional_data/ECoppola_Alps/GCM.nFINAL c Figure 10.9 6 RCM Input RCM.nc https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES RCM data from from Giorgi et al. (2016) (b) mean MValTool- precipitation AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ change TOdiag_scripts/ar6_wgi _ch10/CH10_ad ditional_data/ECoppola_Alps/RCM.n c Figure Figure 10.10 Code recipe_Do https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.10 Code uglas_SES MValTool- working_corde _DJF.yml AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 ACCEPTEDrecipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Figure Figure 10.10 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.10 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-69 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , colormaps/ directory and CH10_add itional_dat a/Atlas_re gions directory Figure Figure 10.10 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.10 Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/EDITING(Harris et al., 2020) Precipitation is 10.10 (b) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ conditioned on pre.dat.nc ent pre/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.pre.dat.nc.g stn (nc file Licence z VERSION variable, http://ww number of w.nation stations alarchive contributing to s.gov.uk/ each datum) doc/open being at least - FINAL 1. governm Seasonal ent- statistics licence/v requires 2 out ersion/3/ of 3 seasons to TO be valid. Figure GPCC Input full_data_ may be doi: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) Precipitation is 10.10 (b) V2018 2.5° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ conditioned on 2018_25.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_25.nc.gz numgauge (nc c.gz any 18_250 file variable, restrictio gauges per ACCEPTEDns gridcell) being provided at least 1. that the Seasonal source is statistics Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-70 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

acknowle requires 2 out dged of 3 seasons to https://w be valid. ww.dwd. de/EN/se rvice/cop yright/co pyright_ node.htm l Figure MPI-ESM Input DM: Home/03 - Drafts/25 - 10.10 metadata FGD/Data Tables/Chapter 10/Model metadata files/Fig10-10_md_MPI- GE.csv CCB 10.2 reprint Addapted from Maraun et al. (2017) Figure 1 EDITING Figure Figure 10.11 Code recipe_Sah https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.11 Code el.yml MValTool- working_corde AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/VERSION x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Figure Figure 10.11 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.11 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10FINAL ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , colormaps/ directory TO and CH10_add itional_dat a/ATurner _Aerosols directoryACCEPTED Figure Figure 10.11 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.11 Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Precipitation is Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-71 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

10.11 (a) (b) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ conditioned on (e) pre.dat.nc ent pre/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.pre.dat.nc.g stn (nc file Licence z variable, http://ww number of w.nation stations alarchive contributing to s.gov.uk/ each datum) doc/open being at least - 1. governm Seasonal ent- statistics licence/v requires 3 out ersion/3/ of 4 seasons to be valid. Climate EDITING statistics requires 80% of data to be VERSION valid. Area statistics requires 80% of data to be valid. Trend FINAL calculations required at least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure GPCC Input full_data_ may be doi: TOhttps://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) Precipitation is 10.11 (e) V2018 2.5° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ conditioned on 2018_25.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_25.nc.gz numgauge (nc c.gz any 18_250 file variable, restrictio gauges per ns gridcell) being ACCEPTEDprovided at least 1. that the Seasonal source is statistics acknowle requires 3 out Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-72 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

dged of 4 seasons to https://w be valid. ww.dwd. Climate de/EN/se statistics rvice/cop requires 80% yright/co of data to be pyright_ valid. node.htm Area statistics l requires 50% of data to be valid. Trend calculations required at least 7 out of EDITING 10 years to be valid. Figure CSIRO- Input pr_Amon_ https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.11 (e) Mk3-6-0 CSIRO- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csirVERSION Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.pr.html l_rcp85_r[ 1..30]i1p1 _185001- 210012.nc FINAL Figure d4PDF Input pr_1951- https://w https://climate.mri- (Mizuta et al., 2017) 10.11 (e) 2014_run[ ww.miro jma.go.jp/pub/d4pdf/HPB_1951- 001..100].g c- 2014/pr/pr_1951- rd gcm.jp/~ 2014_run[001..100].grd pub/d4P TO DF/img/ d4PDF_ Data_Pol icy_En_2 0180820. ACCEPTEDpdf Figure HadGEM3- Input https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Model papers are: 10.11 (c) GC3.1 0.2x MValTool- doi:10.1002/2017MS001115 and aerosol AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ doi:10.1029/2018MS001370 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-73 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

scaling diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10/CH10_ad ditional_data/ATurner_Aerosols/ The scaling experiment is described in SMURPHS_r[1…5]_0p2_outJJAS.nc Shonk et al. (2020) Figure Figure 10.12 Code recipe_SE https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.12 Code SA.yml MValTool- working_corde AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Figure Figure 10.12 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.12 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le and colormaps/ EDITING directory Figure Figure 10.12 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.12 Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2VERSION Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Precipitation is 10.12 (b) (c) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ conditioned on (d) pre.dat.nc ent pre/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.pre.dat.nc.g stn (nc file Licence z variable, http://ww number of w.nation FINAL stations alarchive contributing to s.gov.uk/ each datum) doc/open being at least - 1. governm TO Seasonal ent- statistics licence/v requires 2 out ersion/3/ of 3 seasons to be valid. Area statistics ACCEPTED requires 70% of data to be valid. Trend Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-74 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

calculations required at least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure GPCC Input full_data_ May be doi: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) Precipitation is 10.12 (c) (d) V2018 2.5° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ conditioned on 2018_25.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_25.nc.gz numgauge (nc c.gz any 18_250 file variable, restrictio gauges per ns gridcell) being provided at least 1. that the Seasonal source is statistics acknowle requires 2 out dged EDITING of 3 seasons to https://w be valid. ww.dwd. Area statistics de/EN/se VERSION requires 70% rvice/cop of data to be yright/co valid. pyright_ Trend node.htm calculations l required at FINAL least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure CSIRO- Input pr_Amon_ https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.12 (d) Mk3-6-0 CSIRO- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- TOo_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.pr.html l_rcp85_r[ 1..30]i1p1 _185001- 210012.nc Figure d4PDF Input pr_1951ACCEPTED- https://w https://climate.mri - (Mizuta et al., 2017) 10.12 (d) 2014_run[ ww.miro jma.go.jp/pub/d4pdf/HPB_1951- 001..100].g c- 2014/pr/pr_1951- rd gcm.jp/~ 2014_run[001..100].grd Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-75 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

pub/d4P DF/img/ d4PDF_ Data_Pol icy_En_2 0180820. pdf Figure Figure 10.13 Code recipe_NA https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.13 Code M.yml MValTool- working_corde AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Figure Figure 10.13 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.13 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 EDITING ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , and VERSION colormaps/ directory Figure Figure 10.13 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.13 Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Precipitation is 10.13 (a) (b) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/FINAL conditioned on (c) pre.dat.nc ent pre/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.pre.dat.nc.g stn (nc file Licence z variable, http://ww number of w.nation stations alarchive TO contributing to s.gov.uk/ each datum) doc/open being at least - 1. governm Annual ent- statistics ACCEPTEDlicence/v requires 10 out ersion/3/ of 12 months to be valid. Trend Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-76 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

calculations required at least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure GPCC Input full_data_ may be doi: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) Precipitation is 10.13 (a) (c) V2018 1.0° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ conditioned on 2018_10.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_10.nc.gz numgauge (nc c.gz any 18_100 file variable, restrictio gauges per ns gridcell) being provided at least 1. that the Annual source is statistics acknowle requires 10 out dged EDITING of 12 months https://w to be valid. ww.dwd. Trend de/EN/se VERSION calculations rvice/cop required at yright/co least 6 out of pyright_ 10 years to be node.htm valid. l Figure REGEN Input REGEN_A http://dapds00.nci.org.au/thredds/fileFINAL (Contractor et al., 2020) Precipitation 10.13 (a) (c) llStns_V1- Server/ks32/CLEX_Data/REGEN_Al data is 2019_[195 lStns/v1-2019/REGEN_AllStns_V1- conditioned on 0 … 2019_[1950 … 2016].nc the Quality 2016].nc Mask. and TO Annual REGEN_A statistics llStns_V1- requires 10 out 2019_1950 of 12 months - to be valid. 2016_Qual Trend ityMask.ncACCEPTED calculations required at least 8 out of 10 years to be Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-77 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

valid. Figure GPCP v2.3 Input precip.mon https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/g (Huffman et al., 2009) 10.13 (a) (c) .mean.nc ridded/data.gpcp.html Figure CSIRO- Input pr_Amon_ https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.13 (c) Mk3-6-0 CSIRO- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.pr.html l_rcp85_r[ 1..30]i1p1 _185001- 210012.nc Figure d4PDF Input pr_1951- https://w https://climate.mri- (Mizuta et al., 2017) 10.13 (a), 2014_run[ ww.miro jma.go.jp/pub/d4pdf/HPB_1951- (c) 001..100].g c- 2014/pr/pr_1951- rd gcm.jp/~ 2014_run[001..100].grd pub/d4P EDITING DF/img/ d4PDF_ Data_Pol VERSION icy_En_2 0180820. pdf Figure CSIRO- Input pr_Amon_ https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.15 (b) Mk3-6-0 CSIRO- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthlyFINAL 0_historica _ave.pr.html l_rcp85_r[ 1..30]i1p1 _185001- 210012.nc TO Figure Figure 10.18 Code Cape- https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.18 Code Town_case MValTool- working_corde _study.py, AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 ar6_wgi_c diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore h10.mplsty branch le , ACCEPTED colormaps/ directory and Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-78 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

CH10_add itional_dat a/Cape_To wn directory Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.03. Open https://dap.ceda.ac.uk/badc/cru/data/c (Harris et al., 2020) 10.18 (c) (d) v4.03 1901.2018. Governm ru_ts/cru_ts_4.03/data/pre/cru_ts4.03. pre.dat.nc ent 1901.2018.pre.dat.nc.gz Licence http://ww w.nation alarchive s.gov.uk/ doc/open - governm EDITING ent- licence/v ersion/3/ VERSION Figure GPCC Input full_data_ may be doi: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) 10.18 (c) (d) V2018 0.5° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ 2018_25.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_05.nc.gz c.gz any 18_050 restrictio ns FINAL provided that the source is acknowle dged TO https://w ww.dwd. de/EN/se rvice/cop yright/co ACCEPTEDpyright_ node.htm l Figure Station data Input [NUWEB Station data are, obtained directly Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-79 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

10.18 (a) (b) ERG, from SAWS, available upon (c) (d) RUSTFON request from TEIN, [email protected]. Some TUSSENB station data that were used are EIDE, available from: BOSKLO OF, https://www.dws.gov.za/Hydrolog ROBBEN_ y/ ISLAND, VRUGBA AR, BELLEVU E, RHEBOK SKRAAL, HOPEFIE EDITING LD, DARLING _- VERSION _THE_TO WERS, TOUWSRI VIER, PIKETBE RG-SAPD, FINAL ELANDSF ONTEIN, MERTEN HOF, REENEN, TO PUTS, VANRHY NSDORP, CALVINI A_BO- DOWNES,ACCEPTED DE_HOOP , NUWERU Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-80 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

S] stations Figure NCEP- Input slp.mon.m CC BY- ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Datasets/ncep.r (Kalnay et al., 1996) 10.18 (c) (d) NCAR ean.nc SA 4.0 eanalysis.derived/surface/slp.mon.me an.nc Figure ERA-20C Input Monthly https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_re (Poli et al., 2016) 10.18 (c) (d) mean sea a.cgi?id=someone@somewhere level pressure from KNMI climate explorer Figure 20CR v3 Input Monthly https://climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_re (Slivinski et al., 2019) 10.18 (c) (d) mean sea a.cgi?id=someone@somewhere level pressure EDITING from KNMI climate VERSION explorer Figure 8km CCAM Input precipitatio (Engelbrecht et al., 2011) CSIR (the 10.18 metadata n data institution that generated data) does not FINAL provide access to these data. Figure Figure 10.19 Code recipe_Indi https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.19 Code anMonsoo MValTool- working_corde n.yml AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 TOrecipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Figure Figure 10.19 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.19 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_cACCEPTED branch h10.mplsty le , colormaps/ Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-81 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

directory , CH10_add itional_dat a/ATurner _SouthAsi a directory and CH10_add itional_dat a/Atlas_re gions directory Figure Figure 10.19 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.19 Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Precipitation is 10.19 (b) (c) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/EDITING conditioned on (d) (e) pre.dat.nc ent pre/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.pre.dat.nc.g stn (nc file Licence z variable, http://ww VERSION number of w.nation stations alarchive contributing to s.gov.uk/ each datum) doc/open being at least - 1. governm FINAL Seasonal ent- statistics licence/v requires 3 out ersion/3/ of 4 seasons to be valid. TO Climate statistics requires 80% of data to be valid. Area statistics ACCEPTED requires 80% of data to be valid. Trend Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-82 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

calculations required at least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure GPCC Input full_data_ may be doi: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_envi (Schneider et al., 2018) Precipitation is 10.19 (d) (e) V2018 2.5° monthly_v used 10.5676/DWD_G ronment/GPCC/full_data_2018/full_ conditioned on 2018_25.n without PCC/FD_M_V20 data_monthly_v2018_25.nc.gz numgauge (nc c.gz any 18_250 file variable, restrictio gauges per ns gridcell) being provided at least 1. that the Seasonal source is statistics acknowle requires 3 out dged EDITING of 4 seasons to https://w be valid. ww.dwd. Area statistics de/EN/se VERSION requires 80% rvice/cop of data to be yright/co valid. pyright_ Trend node.htm calculations l required at FINAL least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure REGEN Input REGEN_A http://dapds00.nci.org.au/thredds/file (Contractor et al., 2020) Precipitation 10.19 (d) (e) llStns_V1- Server/ks32/CLEX_Data/REGEN_Al data is 2019_[195 TOlStns/v1 -2019/REGEN_AllStns_V1- conditioned on 0 … 2019_[1950 … 2016].nc the Quality 2016].nc Mask. and Seasonal REGEN_A statistics llStns_V1- requires 3 out 2019_1950ACCEPTED of 4 seasons to - be valid. 2016_Qual Area statistics ityMask.nc requires 80% Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-83 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

of data to be valid. Trend calculations required at least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure APHRO-MA Input APHRO_ http://aphrodite.st.hirosaki- (Yatagai et al., 2012) Variables 10.19 (a) (d) V1101 0.5° MA_050de u.ac.jp/download/ precip ((d) and (e) g_V1101.1 (e))and rstn 951- (a). 2007.nc.gz Seasonal .tar statistics requires 3 out EDITING of 4 seasons to be valid. Area statistics VERSION requires 80% of data to be valid. Trend calculations required at FINAL least 8 out of 10 years to be valid. Figure IITM Input iitm- ftp://www.tropmet.res.in/pub/data/rai (Parthasarathy et al., 1994) ALL-INDIA 10.19 (d) regionrf_al n/iitm-regionrf.txt RAINFALL l_india.csv TO (1871-2016), 30 SUBDIVISIO NS AREA, column JJAS Figure CSIRO- Input pr_Amon_ https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.19 (e) Mk3-6-0 CSIROACCEPTED- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.pr.html l_rcp85_r[ Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-84 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1..30]i1p1 _185001- 210012.nc Figure d4PDF Input pr_1951- https://w https://climate.mri- (Mizuta et al., 2017) 10.19 (e) 2014_run[ ww.miro jma.go.jp/pub/d4pdf/HPB_1951- 001..100].g c- 2014/pr/pr_1951- rd gcm.jp/~ 2014_run[001..100].grd pub/d4P DF/img/ d4PDF_ Data_Pol icy_En_2 0180820. pdf Figure Figure 10.20 Code recipe_Me https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.20 Code diterranean MValTool- EDITING working_corde .yml AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore VERSION branch Figure Figure 10.20 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.20 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty FINAL le , colormaps/ directory, CH10_add itional_dat TO a/Mediterr anean_stati on_info directory and CH10_addACCEPTED itional_dat a/GvdSchri er_pdfs Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-85 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

directory Figure Figure 10.20 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.20 Code MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure E-OBS Input stations_in https://knmi-ecad-assets- (Cornes et al., 2018) 10.20 (b) station fo_tg_v21. prd.s3.amazonaws.com/ensembles/da information 0e.txt ta/stations_info_tg_v21.0e.txt tg Figure Donat et al. Input As (Donat et al., 2014) 10.20 (b) 2014 station indicated information in Table 1 of Donat et al. (2014) Figure Berkeley Input Land_and_ http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/auto/Glob (Rohde et al., 2013) land_source_h 10.20 (c) (d) Earth Ocean_Lat al/Gridded/Land_and_Ocean_LatLon istory = "13- (e) (f) (g) Long1.nc g1.nc Jan-2020 EDITING 17:22:52", ocean_source_ history = "07- VERSION Jan-2020 10:46:06" Figure CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) 10.20 (e) (f) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ tmp.dat.nc ent tmp/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.tmp.dat.nc Licence .gz http://ww FINAL w.nation alarchive s.gov.uk/ doc/open - TO governm ent- licence/v ersion/3/ Figure HadCRUT5 Input HadCRUT. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem (Morice et al., 2021) Absolute 10.20 (e) (f) 5.0.0.0.anoACCEPTEDGovernm perature/HadCRUT.5.0.0.0.anomalies values build malies.ens ent .ensemble_mean.nc by adding the emble_me Licence anomaly an.nc and http://ww https://crudata. Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-86 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

absolute_v w.nation uea.ac.uk/cru/ 5.nc alarchive data/temperatu s.gov.uk/ re/absolute_v5 doc/open .nc - governm ent- licence/v ersion/3/ Figure NOAA Input NOAAGlo https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/noaa- (Zhang et al., 2019) 10.20 (c) Global Temp balTemp_v global-surface- v5 5.0.0_grid temperature/v5/access/gridded/NOA ded_s1880 AGlobalTemp_v5.0.0_gridded_s188 01_e20210 001_e202102_c20210308T133310.nc 2_c202103 08T13331 EDITING 0.nc Figure CRUTEM4 Input CRUTEM. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem (Jones et al., 2012) 10.20 (c) 4.6.0.0.ano Governm perature/CRUTEM.4.6.0.0.anomaliesVERSION malies.nc ent .nc Licence http://ww w.nation alarchive s.gov.uk/ FINAL doc/open - governm ent- licence/v TO ersion/3/ Figure GISTEMP Input gistemp25 https://data.giss.nasa.gov/pub/gistem (Lenssen et al., 2019) 10.20 (c) version 4 0_GHCNv p/gistemp250_GHCNv4.nc.gz 4.nc Figure CSIRO- Input tas_Amon https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.20 (f) Mk3-6-0 _CSIROACCEPTED- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.tas.html l_rcp85_r[ Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-87 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

1..30]i1p1 _185001- 210012.nc Figure d4PDF Input tas_1951- https://w https://climate.mri- (Mizuta et al., 2017) 10.20 (f) 2014_run[ ww.miro jma.go.jp/pub/d4pdf/HPB_1951- 001..100].g c- 2014/tas/tas_1951- rd gcm.jp/~ 2014_run[001..100].grd pub/d4P DF/img/ d4PDF_ Data_Pol icy_En_2 0180820. pdf Figure Figure 10.21 Code recipe_Me https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.21 Code diterranean MValTool- EDITING working_corde .yml AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore VERSION branch Figure Figure 10.21 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires 10.21 Code _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty FINAL le and colormaps/ directory Figure Figure 10.21 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES 10.21 Code TOMValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Figure CSIRO- Input tas_Amon https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/data (Jeffrey et al., 2013) 10.21 (b) Mk3-6-0 _CSIRO- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.tas.html l_rcp85_r[ 1..30]i1p1ACCEPTED _185001- 210012.nc Box 10.3 Box 10.3 Code recipe_Urb https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-88 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

Figure 1 Figure 1 anBox.yml MValTool- working_corde Code AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch Box 10.3 Box 10.3 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Figure 1 Figure 1 _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde Code R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , colormaps/ directory and CH10_add itional_dat EDITING a/Urban_B ox_data directory VERSION Box 10.3 Box 10.3 Code https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Figure 1 Figure 1 MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Code Box 10.3 Urban Input cities.csv https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES (Hamdi et al., 2020) Figure 1 (a), Warming MValTool- (c) data AR6/blob/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltoolFINAL /diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10/CH10_ad ditional_data/Urban_Box_data/cities. csv Box 10.3 Urban Input countries.c https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES (Hamdi et al., 2020) Figure 1 (a) Warming sv TOMValTool - data AR6/blob/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool /diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10/CH10_ad ditional_data/Urban_Box_data/countr ies.csv Box 10.3 Tokyo and Input Tokyo_Ch https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Tokyo and Choshi station Japan Figure 1 (b) Choshi oshi_annuaACCEPTEDMValTool - Meteorological Agency (JMA) (Japan) l.csv AR6/blob/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool temperature /diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10/CH10_ad evolution ditional_data/Urban_Box_data/Tokyo Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-89 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

_Choshi_annual.csv Box 10.3 CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Figure 1 (a), v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ (c) tmp.dat.nc ent tmp/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.tmp.dat.nc Licence .gz http://ww w.nation alarchive s.gov.uk/ doc/open - governm ent- licence/v ersion/3/ Box 10.3 Berkeley Input Land_and_ http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/auto/GlobEDITING(Rohde et al., 2013) land_source_h Figure 1 (c) Earth Ocean_Lat al/Gridded/Land_and_Ocean_LatLon istory = "13- Long1.nc g1.nc Jan-2020 VERSION 17:22:52", ocean_source_ history = "07- Jan-2020 10:46:06" Box 10.3 HadCRUT5 Input HadCRUT. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem (Morice et al., 2021) Absolute Figure 1 (c) 5.0.0.0.ano Governm perature/HadCRUT.5.0.0.0.anomaliesFINAL values build malies.ens ent .ensemble_mean.nc by adding the emble_me Licence anomaly an.nc and http://ww https://crudata. absolute_v w.nation uea.ac.uk/cru/ 5.nc alarchive TO data/temperatu s.gov.uk/ re/absolute_v5 doc/open .nc - governm ent- ACCEPTEDlicence/v ersion/3/ Box 10.3 Cowtan Way Input had4sst4_k https://www- (Cowtan and Way, 2014) Figure 1 (c) rig_v2_0_ users.york.ac.uk/~kdc3/papers/covera Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-90 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

0.nc ge2013/had4sst4_krig_v2_0_0.nc Box 10.3 GISTEMP Input gistemp25 https://data.giss.nasa.gov/pub/gistem (Lenssen et al., 2019) Figure 1 (c) version 4 0_GHCNv p/gistemp250_GHCNv4.nc.gz 4.nc CCB 10.4 CCB 10.4 Code recipe_HK https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Figure 1 Figure 1 H.yml MValTool- working_corde Code AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 recipes/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore branch CCB 10.4 CCB 10.4 Code diagnostic https://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Requires Figure 1 Figure 1 _IPCC_A MValTool- working_corde Code R6_CH10. AR6/tree/ar6_chapter_10/esmvaltool/ x_2.2 py , diag_scripts/ar6_wgi_ch10 ESMValCore ar6_wgi_c branch h10.mplsty le , EDITING colormaps/ directory , CH10_add VERSION itional_dat a/Atlas_re gions directory and CH10_add FINAL itional_dat a/HKH_sh ape directory CCB 10.4 CCB 10.4 Code TOhttps://github.com/ESMValGroup/ES Figure 1 Figure 1 MValCore/tree/working_cordex_2.2 Code CCB 10.4 Berkeley Input Land_and_ http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/auto/Glob (Rohde et al., 2013) land_source_h Figure 1 (a) Earth Ocean_Lat al/Gridded/Land_and_Ocean_LatLon istory = "13- (b) (c) Long1.nc g1.nc Jan-2020 ACCEPTED 17:22:52", ocean_source_ history = "07- Jan-2020 Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-91 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

10:46:06" CCB 10.4 CRU TS Input cru_ts4.04. Open https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/hrg/ (Harris et al., 2020) Figure 1 (a) v4.04 1901.2019. Governm cru_ts_4.04/cruts.2004151855.v4.04/ (b) (c) tmp.dat.nc ent tmp/cru_ts4.04.1901.2019.tmp.dat.nc Licence .gz http://ww w.nation alarchive s.gov.uk/ doc/open - governm ent- licence/v ersion/3/ CCB 10.4 APHRO-MA Input APHRO_ http://aphrodite.st.hirosaki- EDITING(Yasutomi et al., 2011) Figure 1 (a) V1808 0.5° MA_TAV u.ac.jp/download/ (b) (c) E_050deg_ V1808.nc VERSION CCB 10.4 JRA-55 Input tas_Amon CC BY- https://esgf.nccs.nasa.gov/thredds/file (Kobayashi et al., 2015) tracking_id = Figure 1 (a) _reanalysis SA 4.0 Server/CREATE- "9e276e16- (b) (c) _JRA- IP/reanalysis/JMA/JRA-55/JRA- 79d7-46e5- 55_195801 55/mon/atmos/tas/tas_Amon_reanaly a3da- -201912.nc sis_JRA-55_195801-201912.nc 39ecf1c2a871" CCB 10.4 CSIRO- Input tas_Amon https://www.earthsystemgrid.org/dataFINAL (Jeffrey et al., 2013) Figure 1 (d) Mk3-6-0 _CSIRO- set/ucar.cgd.ccsm4.CLIVAR_LE.csir Mk3-6- o_mk36_lens_new.atm.proc.monthly 0_historica _ave.tas.html l_rcp85_r[ 1..30]i1p1 TO _185001- 210012.nc CCB 10.4 d4PDF Input tas_1951- https://w https://climate.mri- (Mizuta et al., 2017) Figure 1 (d) 2014_run[ ww.miro jma.go.jp/pub/d4pdf/HPB_1951- 001..100].g c- 2014/tas/tas_1951- rd ACCEPTEDgcm.jp/~ 2014_run[001..100].grd pub/d4P DF/img/ d4PDF_ Do Not Cite, Quote or Distribute 10.SM-92 Total pages: 95 SUBJECT Final Government Distribution 10.SM IPCC AR6 WGI

Data_Pol icy_En_2 0180820. pdf FAQ 10.1, paper Input (Hamdi et al., 2020) Figure 2 1 2 [END TABLE 10.SM.11 HERE] 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EDITING 11 VERSION

FINAL TO ACCEPTED

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1 References 2 3 Contractor, S., Donat, M. G., Alexander, L. V., Ziese, M., Meyer-Christoffer, A., Schneider, U., et al. (2020). Rainfall 4 Estimates on a Gridded Network (REGEN) – a global land-based gridded dataset of daily precipitation from 1950 5 to 2016. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 24, 919–943. doi:10.5194/hess-24-919-2020. 6 Cornes, R. C., van der Schrier, G., van den Besselaar, E. J. M., and Jones, P. D. (2018). An Ensemble Version of the E- 7 OBS Temperature and Precipitation Data Sets. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 123, 9391–9409. 8 doi:10.1029/2017JD028200. 9 Cowtan, K., and Way, R. G. (2014). Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent 10 temperature trends. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 140, 1935–1944. doi:10.1002/qj.2297. 11 Cucchi, M., Weedon, G. P., Amici, A., Bellouin, N., Lange, S., Müller Schmied, H., et al. (2020). WFDE5: bias- 12 adjusted ERA5 reanalysis data for impact studies. Earth Syst. Sci. Data 12, 2097–2120. doi:10.5194/essd-12- 13 2097-2020. 14 Dee, D. P., Uppala, S. M., Simmons, A. J., Berrisford, P., Poli, P., Kobayashi, S., et al. (2011). The ERA-Interim 15 reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 137, 553–597. 16 doi:10.1002/qj.828. 17 Donat, M. G., Peterson, T. C., Brunet, M., King, A. D., Almazroui, M., Kolli, R. K., et al. (2014). Changes in extreme 18 temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. Int. 19 J. Climatol. 34, 581–592. doi:10.1002/joc.3707. 20 Engelbrecht, F. A., Landman, W. A., Engelbrecht, C. J., Landman, S., Bopape, M. M., Roux, B., et al. (2011). Multi- 21 scale climate modelling over Southern Africa using a variable-resolution global model. Water SA 37. 22 doi:10.4314/wsa.v37i5.2. 23 Gelaro, R., McCarty, W., Suárez, M. J., Todling, R., Molod, A., Takacs, L., et al. (2017). 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Soc. 146, 1999–2049. doi:10.1002/qj.3803. 34 Huffman, G. J., Adler, R. F., Bolvin, D. T., and Gu, G. (2009). Improving the global precipitation record: GPCP 35 Version 2.1. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L17808. doi:10.1029/2009GL040000. 36 Jeffrey, S., Rotstayn, L., Collier, M., Dravitzki, S., Hamalainen, C.,FINAL Moeseneder, C., et al. (2013). Australia’s CMIP5 37 submission using the CSIRO-Mk3.6 model. Aust. Meteorol. Oceanogr. J. 63, 1–14. doi:10.22499/2.6301.001. 38 Jones, P. D., Lister, D. H., Osborn, T. J., Harpham, C., Salmon, M., and Morice, C. P. (2012). Hemispheric and large- 39 scale land-surface air temperature variations: An extensive revision and an update to 2010. J. Geophys. Res. 40 Atmos. 117. doi:10.1029/2011JD017139. 41 Jones, P. D., and Moberg, A. (2003). Hemispheric andTO Large-Scale Surface Air Temperature Variations: An Extensive 42 Revision and an Update to 2001. J. Clim. 16, 206–223. doi:10.1175/1520- 43 0442(2003)016<0206:HALSSA>2.0.CO;2. 44 Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., Collins, W., Deaven, D., Gandin, L., et al. (1996). The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year 45 Reanalysis Project. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 77, 437–471. doi:10.1175/1520- 46 0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2.ACCEPTED 47 Kobayashi, S., Ota, Y., Harada, Y., Ebita, A., Moriya, M., Onoda, H., et al. (2015). The JRA-55 Reanalysis: General 48 Specifications and Basic Characteristics. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan. Ser. II 93, 5–48. doi:10.2151/jmsj.2015-001. 49 Kubota, T., Aonashi, K., Ushio, T., Shige, S., Takayabu, Y. N., Kachi, M., et al. (2020). “Global Satellite Mapping of 50 Precipitation (GSMaP) Products in the GPM Era,” in, eds. V. Levizzani, C. Kidd, D. B. Kirschbaum, C. D. 51 Kummerow, K. Nakamura, and F. J. 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