Liberal Base 'Less Than Enthusiastic' As PM Trudeau Prepares to Defend
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Federal Politics
REPORT FEDERAL POLITICS st DATE FebruaryNUMÉRO1 DE, 2020 PROJET METHODOLOGY METHODOLOGY Web survey using computer-assisted Web interviewing (CAWI) technology. From January 29th to January 30th, 2020 1,501 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, randomly recruited from LEO’s online panel. Using data from the 2016 Census, results were weighted according to age, gender, mother tongue and region in order to ensure a representative sample of the population. No margin of error can be associated with a non-probability sample (Web panel in this case). However for comparative purposes, a probability sample of 1,501 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.53%, 19 times out of 20. The research results presented here are in full compliance with the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements. 2 METHODOLOGY Notes on Reading this Report The numbers presented have been rounded up. However, the numbers before rounding were used to calculate the sums presented and might therefore not correspond to the manual addition of these numbers. In this report, data in bold red characters indicate a significantly lower proportion than that of other respondents. Conversely, data in bold green characters indicate a significantly higher proportion that that of other respondents. A more detailed methodology is presented in the appendix. If you have questions about the data presented in this report, please contact Christian Bourque, Associate and Executive Vice-Present at the following e-mail address: [email protected] 3 FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS Q1A/Q1B. If FEDERAL elections were held today, for which political party would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for...? In the event a respondent had no opinion, the following prompting question was asked: Even if you have not yet made up your mind, for which of the following political parties would you be most likely to vote? Would it be for the .. -
ONLINE INCIVILITY and ABUSE in CANADIAN POLITICS Chris
ONLINE INCIVILITY AND ABUSE IN CANADIAN POLITICS Chris Tenove Heidi Tworek TROLLED ON THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL ONLINE INCIVILITY AND ABUSE IN CANADIAN POLITICS CHRIS TENOVE • HEIDI TWOREK COPYRIGHT Copyright © 2020 Chris Tenove; Heidi Tworek; Centre for the Study of Democratic Institutions, University of British Columbia. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution- NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License. CITATION Tenove, Chris, and Heidi Tworek (2020) Trolled on the Campaign Trail: Online Incivility and Abuse in Canadian Politics. Vancouver: Centre for the Study of Democratic Institutions, University of British Columbia. CONTACT DETAILS Chris Tenove, [email protected] (Corresponding author) Heidi Tworek, [email protected] CONTENTS AUTHOR BIOGRAPHIES ..................................................................................................................1 RESEARCHERS ...............................................................................................................................1 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ...................................................................................................................2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................................3 INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................................5 FACING INCIVILITY IN #ELXN43 ....................................................................................................8 -
Dealing with Crisis
Briefing on the New Parliament December 12, 2019 CONFIDENTIAL – FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY Regional Seat 8 6 ON largely Flip from NDP to Distribution static 33 36 Bloc Liberals pushed out 10 32 Minor changes in Battleground B.C. 16 Liberals lose the Maritimes Goodale 1 12 1 1 2 80 10 1 1 79 1 14 11 3 1 5 4 10 17 40 35 29 33 32 15 21 26 17 11 4 8 4 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 2015 2019 BC AB MB/SK ON QC AC Other 2 Seats in the House Other *As of December 5, 2019 3 Challenges & opportunities of minority government 4 Minority Parliament In a minority government, Trudeau and the Liberals face a unique set of challenges • Stable, for now • Campaign driven by consumer issues continues 5 Minority Parliament • Volatile and highly partisan • Scaled back agenda • The budget is key • Regulation instead of legislation • Advocacy more complicated • House committee wild cards • “Weaponized” Private Members’ Bills (PMBs) 6 Kitchen Table Issues and Other Priorities • Taxes • Affordability • Cost of Living • Healthcare Costs • Deficits • Climate Change • Indigenous Issues • Gender Equality 7 National Unity Prairies and the West Québéc 8 Federal Fiscal Outlook • Parliamentary Budget Officer’s most recent forecast has downgraded predicted growth for the economy • The Liberal platform costing projected adding $31.5 billion in new debt over the next four years 9 The Conservatives • Campaigned on cutting regulatory burden, review of “corporate welfare” • Mr. Scheer called a special caucus meeting on December 12 where he announced he was stepping -
Environmental
Back to normal is still a long way off Gwynne Dyer p. 12 What now of the Michael environmental Harris movement in Canada? p.11 Phil Gurski p. 11 Some MPs donating their salary increases to charities p. 4 THIRTY-FIRST YEAR, NO. 1718 CANADA’S POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT NEWSPAPER MONDAY, APRIL 13, 2020 $5.00 News Remote caucus meetings Analysis Feds’ response Analysis: Did In the time of the pandemic, the feds flip- flop on closing Liberals holding national caucus the border or wearing meetings seven days a week masks amid The Liberals' daily Liberals meetings start with the COVID-19 are using a an update for MPs on new developments outbreak? regular daily and the government's initiatives from BY PETER MAZEREEUW conference Deputy House Leader Kirsty Duncan, he federal government says call for their left, International science and expert advice is Trade Minister Mary T caucus behind its decision to shut the Ng, and Minister border to travellers and its chang- meetings. The of Middle Class ing advice on whether Canadians Prosperity Mona should wear masks amid the CO- Conservatives Fortier. Usually, VID-19 outbreak. While Canada’s a member of the are using top health official pointed to COVID-19 cabinet new science related to using face Zoom and committee, or masks, one expert says there is another cabinet no scientific evidence that could the New minister also joins have informed Canada’s decision them in updating Democrats to close its border on March 16. caucus members. “There is no science about The Hill Times are using whether it works to restrict all photographs by travel into a country,” said Steven GoToMeeting. -
Chong Favoured in Conservative Leadership Contest
Chong Favoured in Conservative Leadership Contest Chong and Raitt favoured among party members, Half want “someone else" TORONTO December 8th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1304 Canadian voters, Michael Chong leads preference for a Conservative leader among the general public (10%), followed by Lisa Raitt (8%), Michael Chong leads Kellie Leitch (7%), Chris Alexander (6%) and Maxime Bernier (5%) and Steve preference for a Blaney (5%). Andrew Scheer (3%) and Brad Trost (2%) have less support. Other Conservative leader candidates were excluded for brevity. among the general public It must be pointed out that fully half the sample opts for “someone else” (53%), (10%), followed by Lisa other than the 8 candidates listed. Raitt (8%), Kellie Leitch (7%), Chris Alexander (6%) Among Conservative voters, there is no clear favourite, and Chris Alexander (8%), and Maxime Bernier (5%) Steve Blaney (9%), Michael Chong (8%) and Lisa Raitt (8%) are evenly matched. and Steve Blaney (5%) One half choose “someone else”. “We are drawing closer to Among a very small sample of Conservative Party members (n=65), Raitt (12%) the Leadership and Chong (10%) are tied, and followed by Chris Alexander (9%) and Kellie Leitch Convention, and (8%). One half want “someone else” (48%). interested voters have had “We are drawing closer to the Leadership Convention, and interested voters have the chance to see two had the chance to see two debates now. Yet, Conservatives still haven’t seen the debates now. Yet, candidate they want, and one half won’t support any of the people running," said Conservatives still haven’t Forum Research President, Dr. -
BACKBENCHERS So in Election Here’S to You, Mr
Twitter matters American political satirist Stephen Colbert, host of his and even more SPEAKER smash show The Colbert Report, BACKBENCHERS so in Election Here’s to you, Mr. Milliken. poked fun at Canadian House Speaker Peter politics last week. p. 2 Former NDP MP Wendy Lill Campaign 2011. p. 2 Milliken left the House of is the writer behind CBC Commons with a little Radio’s Backbenchers. more dignity. p. 8 COLBERT Heard on the Hill p. 2 TWITTER TWENTY-SECOND YEAR, NO. 1082 CANADA’S POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT NEWSWEEKLY MONDAY, APRIL 4, 2011 $4.00 Tories running ELECTION CAMPAIGN 2011 Lobbyists ‘pissed’ leaner war room, Prime Minister Stephen Harper on the hustings they can’t work on focused on election campaign, winning majority This campaign’s say it’s against their This election campaign’s war room Charter rights has 75 to 90 staffers, with the vast majority handling logistics of about one man Lobbying Commissioner Karen the Prime Minister’s tour. Shepherd tells lobbyists that working on a political By KRISTEN SHANE and how he’s run campaign advances private The Conservatives are running interests of public office holder. a leaner war room and a national campaign made up mostly of cam- the government By BEA VONGDOUANGCHANH paign veterans, some in new roles, whose goal is to persuade Canadi- Lobbyists are “frustrated” they ans to re-elect a “solid, stable Con- can’t work on the federal elec- servative government” to continue It’s a Harperendum, a tion campaign but vow to speak Canada’s economic recovery or risk out against a regulation that they a coalition government headed by national verdict on this think could be an unconstitutional Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff. -
Democracy Bootcamp 2018
Democracy Bootcamp 2018 SCHOOL Toronto, ON | April 5-6, 2018 . AGENDA Thursday, April 5 The Globe and Mail Centre, 351 King Street East - Level 17, Suite 1600 6:00 – 6:30pm Registration 6:30 – 6:45pm Welcome 6:45 - 8:30pm Fake News and News Literacy Experts in the field of ‘fake news’ and media literacy discuss the current threats – and how we can prepare young people today to become media-savvy in an age of disinformation. • Peter Adams (News Literacy Project) • Elizabeth Dubois (University of Ottawa) • Craig Silverman (Buzzfeed) • Moderator: Sabrina Nanji (Toronto Star) 8:30pm Reception Friday, April 6 The Globe and Mail Centre, 351 King Street East - Level 17, Suite 1600 7:00 – 8:00am BREAKFAST 8:00 - 8:15am Opening remarks/table introductions 8:15 - 8:45am Review of Student Vote A review of the Student Vote program, how it works and the materials you will receive. 8:45 - 9:15am Why are we here Voting trends and research, the importance of civic education and key findings from the recent Student Vote Evaluation. 9:15 – 10:00am Small group discussion 10:00 - 10:15am BREAK DEMOCRACY BOOTCAMP 2018 3 10:15 - 10:40am Presentation: Election Issues Exploring election issues and ways to ‘elevate the debate’ during the Ontario provincial election. • Sean Speer (University of Toronto School of Public Policy and Governance) 10:40 - 11:00am Small group discussion 11:00am - 12:00pm Panel discussion: On the Campaign Trail A discussion on recent events, major issues and predictions for the upcoming Ontario election campaign. • Martin Regg Cohn (Toronto Star) • Jessica Smith Cross (QP Briefing) • Adam Radwanski (Globe and Mail) • Moderator: Jane Taber (National Public Relations) 12:00 – 12:45pm LUNCH 12:45 – 2:00pm Panel discussion: Inside the War Room Understanding the strategies and tactics of the parties during an election campaign. -
PDF for Liberal Party of Canada
REGULATED FUNDRAISING EVENT REPORT Section A – Party information Party's full name Liberal Party of Canada Chief agent's full name The Federal Liberal Agency of Canada Section B – Event information Event held during a general election period Yes No Event date yyyy/mm/dd 2019/09/17 Event start time 6:00 PM Event name An Evening with the Hon. David Lametti and Marc Miller Venue name Buffet Roma City Saint-Léonard Prov./Terr. QC Postal code H1R 2S4 Section C – Contribution or payment amount Amount of contributions required to have been made to attend the event $ 0-500 Amount required to have been paid to attend the event, part of which was a contribution $ 500 Section D – Beneficiaries Entity A – Registered party B – Registered association C – Nomination contestant D – Candidate E – Leadership contestant Full name Ville-Marie -- Le Sud-Ouest -- Ile-des-Soeurs Federal Liberal Association Entity Full name Entity Full name Entity Full name Entity Section E – Prominent attendees Position: A – Party leader B – Party interim leader C – Leadership contestant D – Cabinet minister Full name David Lametti Position Full name Position Full name Position Full name Position Full name Position Section F – Organizers Full name Ville-Marie -- Le Sud-Ouest -- Ile-des-Soeurs Federal Liberal Association Full name Full name Full name Full name Section G – Privacy notice Personal information in this Regulated Fundraising Event Report (Report) is collected for the administration of the political financing requirements as set out in the Canada Elections Act (Act). This information may be shared with the Commissioner of Canada Elections to ensure that the Act is complied with and enforced. -
The Honourable Ginette Petitpas Taylor, PC
The Honourable Ginette Petitpas Taylor, P.C., M.P. Minister of Health House of Commons Ottawa, ON K1A 0A6 Re: Dedicated ALS Research Funding Dear Minister Petitpas Taylor, I am writing to you today on behalf of the nearly 3,000 Canadians living with ALS today and the 1,000 Canadians who will be diagnosed each year in the future, all of who continue to face the realities of this challenging and terminal disease – realities that led Carol Skinner and Eddy Lefrançois, two Canadians affected by ALS, to start a letter-writing campaign. The campaign asked Members of Parliament to hold themselves accountable following their unanimous approval of Motion M-105, which called on the government to play a leadership role in supporting ALS research and national efforts to find a cure. Over the course of four months, more than 2,300 Canadians joined Carol and Eddy in their initiative. But even that short time proved to be too long for someone living with ALS: Eddy Lefrançois died in January 2019 before he could see the results of his initiative. The reality is that ALS continues to be a devastating disease and the impact on families – emotionally, financially, and psychologically – is tremendous. Despite advancements in research the causes of ALS are unknown, and 80 per cent of people with ALS die within two to five years of being diagnosed. Since the unanimous approval of M-105 in April 2017, there has been little action from the federal government to act on the repeated calls from the ALS community to invest in dedicated, sustained funding for ALS research. -
1 1. As You May Know, Andrew Scheer Has Resigned As Leader the Conservative Party of Canada
1_1. As you may know, Andrew Scheer has resigned as leader the Conservative Party of Canada. A vote will be held in August among party members to elect a new leader. The following people are running for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party. For each one, please indicate how favourable you are towards them. - Peter MacKay REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 550 70 67 31 206 118 58 139 104 165 107 121 429 275 275 Favourable 28% 26% 29% 25% 27% 25% 44% 22% 27% 34% 35% 28% 27% 28% 27% ABCDE G GH 471 62 57 31 206 85 30 149 87 119 76 93 378 232 238 Unfavourable 24% 23% 25% 25% 27% 18% 22% 24% 22% 24% 25% 22% 24% 24% 23% E 980 137 102 62 359 274 46 339 197 208 126 211 769 466 514 Don't know enough about them to have an informed opinion 49% 51% 45% 50% 47% 57% 34% 54% 51% 42% 41% 50% 49% 48% 50% F F F BDF IJ IJ 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 1_2. -
New Federal Health Minister: Cabinet Shuffle Recap By: Grant Burns, Public Affairs and Communications Manager
Be in the Know with OBIO… New Federal Health Minister: Cabinet Shuffle Recap By: Grant Burns, Public Affairs and Communications Manager As part of a federal cabinet shuffle announced on Monday, August 28, Canada’s Minister of Health is now Ginette Petitpas Taylor, Member of Parliament from the riding of Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe in New Brunswick. In total, six MPs had their portfolios changed, addressing two issues for the federal government: 1. The Ministry of Indigenous & Northern Affairs was split in two: the previous Minister of Health, Jane Philpott, will now take over the new Ministry of Indigenous Services and Carolyn Bennett will remain responsible for the Ministry of Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs. To replace Minister Philpott at Health, it is noteworthy that Ginette Petitpas Taylor was promoted from outside cabinet, where she had been serving as Parliamentary Secretary to Minster of Finance. 2. To fill the vacancy in the Ministry of Public Services & Procurement caused by Min Judy Foote stepping down last week, Carla Qualtrough was promoted from the Ministry of Sport & Persons with Disabilities. To replace her, Kent Hehr was moved out of the Ministry of Veterans Affairs and he was replaced by Seamus O’Regan, who had been the Associate Minister, National Defence. Name New Portfolio Previous Portfolio Notes Ginette Petitpas Taylor, MP Health Parliamentary Secretary, Finance Jane Philpott, MP Indigenous Services Health Carolyn Bennett, MP Crown-Indigenous Relations Indigenous Relations & Northern Affairs Carla Qualtrough, MP Public Services and Procurement Sport and Persons with Disabilities To replace Min Judy Foote who stepped down last week Seamus O'Regan, MP Veterans Affairs National Defence (Associate Minister) Kent Hehr, MP Sport and Persons with Disabilities Veterans Affairs Background Minister Petitpas Taylor has a bachelor’s degree in social work from the Université de Moncton and prior to her election, she was the coordinator for the Victim's Services Program of the local detachment of the Royal Canadian Mounted Police. -
Canada Gazette, Part I
EXTRA Vol. 153, No. 12 ÉDITION SPÉCIALE Vol. 153, no 12 Canada Gazette Gazette du Canada Part I Partie I OTTAWA, THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2019 OTTAWA, LE JEUDI 14 NOVEMBRE 2019 OFFICE OF THE CHIEF ELECTORAL OFFICER BUREAU DU DIRECTEUR GÉNÉRAL DES ÉLECTIONS CANADA ELECTIONS ACT LOI ÉLECTORALE DU CANADA Return of Members elected at the 43rd general Rapport de député(e)s élu(e)s à la 43e élection election générale Notice is hereby given, pursuant to section 317 of the Can- Avis est par les présentes donné, conformément à l’ar- ada Elections Act, that returns, in the following order, ticle 317 de la Loi électorale du Canada, que les rapports, have been received of the election of Members to serve in dans l’ordre ci-dessous, ont été reçus relativement à l’élec- the House of Commons of Canada for the following elec- tion de député(e)s à la Chambre des communes du Canada toral districts: pour les circonscriptions ci-après mentionnées : Electoral District Member Circonscription Député(e) Avignon–La Mitis–Matane– Avignon–La Mitis–Matane– Matapédia Kristina Michaud Matapédia Kristina Michaud La Prairie Alain Therrien La Prairie Alain Therrien LaSalle–Émard–Verdun David Lametti LaSalle–Émard–Verdun David Lametti Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Sherry Romanado Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Sherry Romanado Richmond–Arthabaska Alain Rayes Richmond–Arthabaska Alain Rayes Burnaby South Jagmeet Singh Burnaby-Sud Jagmeet Singh Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Marc Dalton Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Marc Dalton Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke Randall Garrison Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke