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1 1. As You May Know, Andrew Scheer Has Resigned As Leader the Conservative Party of Canada

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1 1. As You May Know, Andrew Scheer Has Resigned As Leader the Conservative Party of Canada 1_1. As you may know, Andrew Scheer has resigned as leader the Conservative Party of Canada. A vote will be held in August among party members to elect a new leader. The following people are running for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party. For each one, please indicate how favourable you are towards them. - Peter MacKay REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 550 70 67 31 206 118 58 139 104 165 107 121 429 275 275 Favourable 28% 26% 29% 25% 27% 25% 44% 22% 27% 34% 35% 28% 27% 28% 27% ABCDE G GH 471 62 57 31 206 85 30 149 87 119 76 93 378 232 238 Unfavourable 24% 23% 25% 25% 27% 18% 22% 24% 22% 24% 25% 22% 24% 24% 23% E 980 137 102 62 359 274 46 339 197 208 126 211 769 466 514 Don't know enough about them to have an informed opinion 49% 51% 45% 50% 47% 57% 34% 54% 51% 42% 41% 50% 49% 48% 50% F F F BDF IJ IJ 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 1_2. As you may know, Andrew Scheer has resigned as leader the Conservative Party of Canada. A vote will be held in August among party members to elect a new leader. The following people are running for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party. For each one, please indicate how favourable you are towards them. - Erin O'Toole REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 272 35 44 15 126 36 17 70 50 78 55 64 208 117 156 Favourable 14% 13% 19% 12% 16% 7% 12% 11% 13% 16% 18% 15% 13% 12% 15% E E E G 362 43 44 26 146 74 29 118 67 85 72 77 285 174 188 Unfavourable 18% 16% 19% 21% 19% 16% 22% 19% 17% 17% 23% 18% 18% 18% 18% I 1367 190 139 83 498 368 88 439 271 329 182 284 1083 683 684 Don't know enough about them to have an informed opinion 68% 71% 61% 67% 65% 77% 66% 70% 70% 67% 59% 67% 69% 70% 67% BCDF J J J 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 1_3. As you may know, Andrew Scheer has resigned as leader the Conservative Party of Canada. A vote will be held in August among party members to elect a new leader. The following people are running for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party. For each one, please indicate how favourable you are towards them. - Derek Sloan REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 155 14 15 15 72 37 3 34 37 47 24 43 111 62 92 Favourable 8% 5% 6% 12% 9% 8% 2% 5% 10% 10% 8% 10% 7% 6% 9% AF F F G 314 45 39 15 129 62 24 102 47 71 68 71 243 161 153 Unfavourable 16% 17% 17% 12% 17% 13% 18% 16% 12% 14% 22% 17% 15% 17% 15% HI 1532 210 173 94 569 379 107 490 304 374 217 310 1221 749 782 Don't know enough about them to have an informed opinion 77% 78% 76% 76% 74% 79% 80% 78% 78% 76% 70% 73% 77% 77% 76% J J 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 1_4. As you may know, Andrew Scheer has resigned as leader the Conservative Party of Canada. A vote will be held in August among party members to elect a new leader. The following people are running for the leadership of the federal Conservative Party. For each one, please indicate how favourable you are towards them. - Leslyn Lewis REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 198 16 31 19 87 35 10 41 42 64 38 42 155 80 117 Favourable 10% 6% 14% 15% 11% 7% 7% 6% 11% 13% 12% 10% 10% 8% 11% AE AEF A G G 260 47 27 14 104 48 19 92 41 61 50 65 195 126 134 Unfavourable 13% 17% 12% 12% 14% 10% 14% 15% 11% 12% 16% 15% 12% 13% 13% E H 1544 205 169 91 579 395 105 493 305 367 221 318 1226 767 777 Don't know enough about them to have an informed opinion 77% 77% 75% 73% 75% 83% 78% 79% 79% 74% 72% 75% 78% 79% 76% BCD J 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 2_1. How likely would you be to consider voting for the Conservative Party if it were led by one of these potential leadership candidates in the next federal election? - Peter MacKay REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD Date of completion COMPOSITION Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K - $60K - $100K+ Kids No Kids August August <$60K <$100K 17th 18th A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 2001 241 200 197 702 461 200 525 357 555 391 453 1548 1000 1001 Base: All Respondents (wtd) 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 781 106 113 59 307 138 58 202 161 214 140 210 571 400 381 Top 2 Box (Net) 39% 40% 50% 47% 40% 29% 44% 32% 41% 43% 45% 50% 36% 41% 37% E DE E E E G G G L 263 28 50 25 96 47 18 60 38 91 57 66 197 129 134 Very likely 13% 10% 22% 20% 12% 10% 13% 10% 10% 19% 18% 15% 13% 13% 13% ADEF ADE GH GH 518 78 63 34 211 91 41 142 123 123 83 145 373 270 248 Somewhat likely 26% 29% 28% 28% 27% 19% 30% 23% 32% 25% 27% 34% 24% 28% 24% E E E E E G L 1220 162 113 65 463 341 76 425 227 278 169 215 1006 574 646 Bottom 2 Box (Net) 61% 60% 50% 53% 60% 71% 56% 68% 59% 57% 55% 50% 64% 59% 63% B ABCDF HIJ K 593 62 55 41 246 153 35 211 100 139 78 102 491 276 318 Not very likely 30% 23% 25% 33% 32% 32% 26% 34% 26% 28% 25% 24% 31% 28% 31% A A A HJ K 627 100 57 24 217 188 41 214 127 139 91 113 514 298 329 Not at all likely – I would never vote for the Conservatives led by this leader 31% 37% 25% 19% 28% 39% 30% 34% 33% 28% 29% 27% 33% 31% 32% BCD C BCD C K 2001 268 226 124 770 478 134 626 388 492 309 425 1576 973 1028 Sigma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Statistics: Overlap formulae used - Column Proportions: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) - Column Means: Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L,M/N Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*) 2_2.
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