Work in progress, 20 October 2016. TECHNOLOGY GIANTS, THE “MOLIGOPOLY” HYPOTHESIS AND HOLISTIC COMPETITION: A PRIMER Nicolas Petit* INTRODUCTION This paper originates from a disconnect. On the one hand, technology pundits daily describe the information and communications technologies giants (the “technology giants” or the “tech giants”) as oligopoly firms at war with each other. In 2012, Farhad Manjoo wrote in Fast Company a column entitled “The Great Tech War of 2012: Apple, Facebook, Google, and Amazon Battle for the Future of the Innovation Economy”.1 A year later, Manjoo inaugured in Slate a fictional dialogue with Matt Yglesias entitled “WarGames: Google vs. Apple” with the following sub-narrative “what would happen if the world’s two great powers went to (actual) war”.2 Their fictional conversation closed with Microsoft Bing becoming the default search engine in the US. On the other hand, antitrust lawyers and economists tend to classify the technology giants as entrenched monopolists, shielded from competition. In 2010, Columbia Law School Professor Tim Wu concluded an op-ed titled “In the Grip of the New Monopolists” in the Wall Street Journal with the following statement “let's not pretend that we live in anything but an age of monopolies”.3 Since then, not a year has passed without a major antitrust jurisdiction levelling monopolization concerns against companies like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple or Facebook (hereafter, “GAFAM”).4 * Professor, University of Liege (ULg), Belgium.
[email protected]. This study has benefited from no funding. I wish to express my gratitude to Jorge Marcos Ramos for excellent research assistance.