Von Braun Symposium October 20, 2009 – Huntsville, Alabama A premier aerospace and defense company
IndustryIndustry PerspectivePerspective onon ExplorationExploration
Presented by: Jim Halsell Vice President Space Exploration Systems ATK Space Systems
Innovation … Delivered. 0 Emerging Consensus
• Program of Record is technically viable but not executable within current budget • Adjusted for budget shortfalls, Ares I is on schedule and cost • The program has no insurmountable technical barriers • A Heavy Lift vehicle is essential • Enables exploration beyond LEO • Provides expanded science and DOD capabilities • Extending ISS to at least 2020 • Honors international agreements • Enables a scientific and exploration return on investment • Shuttle retired after ISS assembly is completed • Stimulate new commercial launch industry for the benefit of the nation
1 The Vision for Commercial
To dramatically expand the ability to exploit the resources of human space exploration
• Lowered cost for access to space
• Enable emerging economic opportunities
• Exploit space for profitable endeavors
• On-orbit energy generation and transmission
• Commercial exploitation of ISS (life and material sciences break-through)
• Exploitation of lunar surface resources
• Harnessing entrepreneurial creativity to build new industries
• Doing all the above at a profit
• Government is one of many customers
2 Potential Commercialization Challenges
• Viable business case for launch vehicle commercialization elusive • The costs are too high • Not low enough to enable emerging markets (requires ~10X reduction) • Risks are high • Returns on investment take too long to materialize • Multiple companies have demonstrated the difficulties of achieving commercialization • Decreasing cost of access and reducing risk of loss are diametrically opposed • Programs with government oversight have demonstrated 3X higher success rate • Proposed path to commercial crew transport still emerging • Technical/economic challenges are more demanding than cargo
MSNBC.com Satellite destroyed as rocket explodes on liftoff
No one was hurt, but rocket and payload were destroyed The Associated Press updated 4:03 p.m. MT, Thurs., Feb. 1, 2007 NASA warns Rocketplane Kistler on COTS cancellation LOS ANGELES - A rocket carrying a commercial communications satellite exploded Tuesday during launch from an By Graham Warwick October 9, 2007 ATK ’s Sub orbital Rocket Carrying NASA Experiments Crashes off Wallops Rocketplane Kistler's contract with NASA to demonstrate commercial transportation services to support the International Space Station has been threatened with cancellation. Island By Brian Berger Space News Staff Writer August 22, 2008 Sea Launch Co. files for Chapter 11 reorganization
WASHINGTON — An Alliant Techsystems (ATK)Wednesday, ALV- X1June suborbital 24, 2009 rocket carrying two NASA hypersonic flight experiments was destroyed by range officials shortly after its Friday launch from the U.S. In its Chapter 11 filing, the Long Beach-based company listed assets of between $100 million and $500 million against 3 liabilities of between $500 million and $1 billion. Balanced Exploration Investment Portfolio
• Continue Commercial Resupply Services path
• High potential payoff
• Opportunity to demonstrate operational success
• Potential to evolve for crew capability
• Continue Program of Record
• Low risk path to crew transport
• Leverage investments in Constellation program
• Transition/bridge from Shuttle to Ares V
• Developed technologies can transfer for commercial use
COTS Provides Complementary Path for Constellation Program
4 Ares I serves as a “Bridge” to Ares V
• Ares I and Ares V form a “Blue Print” for heavy lift
• Ares I will assist in workforce and critical skills retention to Ares V
• Ares I/Ares V have common elements, design, and infrastructure , resulting in long-term savings in Life Cycle Costs
• Above all, Ares I is the safest launch vehicle for crew
• Capitalize on existing flight-proven human-rated Technology
Utilizing Ares I Investments Provide Solid Path for Heavy Lift 5 Ares I Safety = Commercial Success
Designed to meet CAIB Safety requirements Probability of Loss of Crew on Ascent • The only vehicle with reliability approaching 1/3,000 probability of loss of crew 1 in15,530 • Separates crew and cargo • Simplified inline configuration ∼ * * * • Integrated crew escape system design • Existing human-rated heritage • 100% crew abort coverage
1 in 4,000
1 in 3,000 ___2,811 2,547 Simple is Safer 1 in 2,000 1,116 1,331 1 in 1,000 670 420 462 ___ 283 147 A two-stage design with one engine ___1 in 1 ___ A ___ A S D S r r e e h e h per stage provides 4 – 5x the s s u l u ta t I V tt t l le reliability and safety of a more e I C V complex architecture. Source: NASA Ares I Simplicity Drives Safety and Enables Commercial Success 6 Maximizing First Stage Reliability for Human Space Flight
RSRM: 21 Years of Unparalleled Post Flight Reportables Shuttle Launch Reliability Flight Readiness RSRM All Other Systems
Launch Scrubs/Aborts 0 58 (excluding weather) Launch Count Issues 0 44 Affecting Planned T-O
Launch Date Delays Many but 0 For Agency FRR Issues unquantified Baseline Manifest 3 91* Postponements 0 since1996 * Single count per mission regardless of the number of issues/delays 3 193+ 3
DM-1 Ares Stage 1 Static Test 2 September 10, 2009
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20 40 60 80 100 120
7 Unmatched Reliability and Repeatability Ares will enable space exploration and research for decades to come
Commercialization can be part of balanced space access approach without risking safety
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