DOCSLIB.ORG

India's Global Challenge

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
India's Global Challenge INDIA’S GLOBAL CHALLENGES GLOBAL INDIA’S Ugo Tramballi “India wins yet again!” Narendra Modi announced in is ISPI Senior Advisor in charge of May 2019, just after securing a second term as prime the Institute’s India Desk. He was INDIA’S GLOBAL minister of the world’s largest democracy in a landslide global correspondent and columnist Founded in 1934, ISPI is with the newspaper Il Sole 24 Ore. general elections victory. When Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party were elected for a first term five years ago, CHALLENGE an independent think tank committed to the study of Nicola Missaglia they promised India would win back its place at the high st international political and is a Research Fellow at ISPI’s .Growth and Leadership in the 21 Century table of leading world powers. Indeed, after decades of economic dynamics. Asia Centre, in charge of the India sustained growth, India today is at a tipping point both in Desk and of the Institute’s Digital edited by Ugo Tramballi and Nicola Missaglia It is the only Italian Institute Publications. terms of economic progress and of the human potential – and one of the very few in of its 1.35 billion citizens. As the global balance of power introduction by Paolo Magri Europe – to combine research and economic growth shifts towards Asia, and a whole activities with a significant new set of forces is seeking to redefine the international commitment to training, events, order, opportunities abound for the subcontinent to carve and global risk analysis for out its place as a leading, democratic, global actor. companies and institutions. Is India ready to do so? Which domestic and international ISPI favours an interdisciplinary challenges will the world’s second most populous nation and policy-oriented approach made possible by a research have to overcome in its rise to the world stage? team of over 50 analysts and an international network of 70 universities, think tanks, and research centres. In the ranking issued by the University of Pennsylvania, ISPI placed first worldwide as the “Think Tank to Watch in 2019”. euro 12,00 India’s Global Challenge Growth and Leadership in the 21st Century edited by Ugo Tramballi and Nicola Missaglia © 2019 Ledizioni LediPublishing Via Alamanni, 11 – 20141 Milano – Italy www.ledizioni.it [email protected] India’s global challenge. Growth and leadership in the 21st century Edited by Ugo Tramballi and Nicola Missaglia First edition: June 2019 The opinions expressed herein are strictly personal and do not necessarily reflect the position of ISPI. Cover image created by Diana Orefice Print ISBN 9788855260060 ePub ISBN 9788855260084 Pdf ISBN 9788855260107 DOI 10.14672/55260060 ISPI. Via Clerici, 5 20121, Milan www.ispionline.it Catalogue and reprints information: www.ledizioni.it Table of Contents Introduction........................................................................ 7 Paolo Magri 1. India’s Turn: Groundbreaking Reforms for a Global India............................................................. 15 Gautam Chikermane 2. How Solid Is India’s Economy?........................................ 41 Bidisha Ganguly 3. Defining the Indian Middle Class................................... 67 Antonio Armellini 4. Inequality: Global India’s Domestic Bottleneck?.............. 85 Nicola Missaglia 5. A “Paper Tiger”? What India Wants to Be(come)............ 111 Abhijit Iyer-Mitra 6. Facing Global China: India and the Belt and Road Initiative............................. 141 Christian Wagner 7. India, Europe and Italy: Time to Boost Partnership............................................... 159 Claudio Maffioletti The Authors........................................................................ 179 Introduction “India stands tall as a space power!” tweeted Prime Minister Narendra Modi just weeks before securing a second, spectac- ular landslide win in India’s general election in Spring 2019 by an even bigger margin than many had expected. Minutes earlier, he had announced in a rare televised speech that India had just succeeded in shooting down one of its own satellites in low-Earth orbit with a ballistic ground-to-space rocket. Modi also added that the effort had been a fully “indigenous” one, accomplished entirely by Indians. Blasting apart a satellite that orbits the globe at 17,000 mph, analysts say, represents a technological breakthrough, one that puts India in the small club of nations with such a capability, along with the United States, China, and Russia. The event es- tablished the country as a military space power and confirmed a significant military advance in an area where China want to be a dominant power. “Now, it’s India’s turn”, Prime Minister Modi assured the country in a speech arguing for a bigger role for it on the world stage, delivered in Kuala Lumpur back in 2015, one year after his Bharatiya Janata Party stormed to vic- tory in a landslide general election. India’s explosive economic growth over the last three decades has rapidly made it one of the world’s major emerging powers. Today, the country is at a tipping point both in terms of eco- nomic growth and in terms of the opportunities available to its people, who now number far more than one billion. India is the world’s sixth largest economy, with a GDP that has soared 8 India’s Global Challenge from US$270 billion in 1991 to US$2.6 trillion in 2017, and has a projected 2019 GDP growth rate of almost 7.5%, as the country continues – and will continue – to be a leading en- gine of world economic growth. India is also the world’s largest democracy – which China is not – and will soon become the world’s most populous nation, with almost 1.35 billion Indians in thousands of large (and growing) cities, as well as small towns and villages. Looking ahead to 2030, according to World Economic Forum estimates, India will still be a relatively young nation with an average age of 31 years (compared to 40 in the US and 42 in China), and will add more working-age citizens to the world’s workforce than any other country. The sheer scale of these numbers means that, whether willing or not, India’s actions will have a major global impact in the medium and longer term. Economic growth has transformed it from a bit player on the international stage to a leading actor. Yet there is a widespread feeling throughout the country that India – now ages away from the land of beggars and gurus portrayed until recently in the Western media – has not yet been given its due on the global stage, despite its size, its achievements and its vibrant democracy. It is no accident that governments in New Delhi have long been urging the international community to recognise India’s rise with a greater global voice at the high table of world powers, and a greater role in global institutions such as the United Nations Security Council. Pressure from India to reform twentieth-century organisations such as the IMF and the World Bank so as to take the growing weight and chang- ing interests of emerging economies into account is another demonstration of the country’s growing confidence. India is not a revisionist power, though: while clearly becom- ing less reticent about its global ambitions, New Delhi has re- affirmed its commitment to multilateralism – in the form of the Paris Climate Agreement, for instance, where it stood by its responsibilities just as the United States chose to withdraw. India today also plays a more prominent leadership role as a vocal member of global institutions such as the World Trade Introduction 9 Organization and the Group of Twenty (G20). “India stands for a democratic and rules-based international order”, said its External Affairs Minister, Sushma Swaraj, in a public speech in early 2019. “While the prosperity and security of Indians, both at home and abroad, is of paramount importance”, she added, “self-interest alone does not propel us”. This kind of commit- ment is no small feat at a time when the liberal democratic world order and its multilateral institutions are under threat from a growing number of actors including, alas, their principal architect. Despite these times of global uncertainty, India is undeniably on the path to becoming a regional and global power. What kind of global power does it want to be? Its commitments have made this fairly clear, although only time will tell whether it will be able to put those commitments into practice in its ac- tions, legislation and response to change. One thing, however, is sure: no success comes without chal- lenges; and for India challenges abound, old and new, at home and abroad. Long haunted by endemic indigence, India has lift- ed hundreds of millions out of extreme poverty since 1990; but even now one in five Indians is poor, the country is plagued by massive – indeed growing – inequality, and low-income states are home to almost half the population. With ten to twelve million new job seekers a year over the next decade, the govern- ment faces a huge challenge in terms of job creation, education, and training. New Delhi will also need to ensure a healthy and sustainable future for the people, and the socioeconomic inclu- sion of rural India in a country where, despite rapid urbanisa- tion, 60% of the population are expected to still be living in rural areas in 2030. As India’s rise on the world stage progresses, the country also has to face a whole new set of regional and international challenges. In addition to the ever-present tension with neigh- bouring Pakistan and the international terrorist threat, China’s growing assertiveness in the region poses a new and increasingly complex problem for India. This is especially true as Beijing 10 India’s Global Challenge steadily expands its influence in South Asia and the Indian Ocean, an area which India has traditionally considered part of its own sphere of influence.
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Pakistan Response Towards Terrorism: a Case Study of Musharraf Regime
    PAKISTAN RESPONSE TOWARDS TERRORISM: A CASE STUDY OF MUSHARRAF REGIME By: SHABANA FAYYAZ A thesis Submitted to the University of Birmingham For the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Department of Political Science and International Studies The University of Birmingham May 2010 University of Birmingham Research Archive e-theses repository This unpublished thesis/dissertation is copyright of the author and/or third parties. The intellectual property rights of the author or third parties in respect of this work are as defined by The Copyright Designs and Patents Act 1988 or as modified by any successor legislation. Any use made of information contained in this thesis/dissertation must be in accordance with that legislation and must be properly acknowledged. Further distribution or reproduction in any format is prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder. ABSTRACT The ranging course of terrorism banishing peace and security prospects of today’s Pakistan is seen as a domestic effluent of its own flawed policies, bad governance, and lack of social justice and rule of law in society and widening gulf of trust between the rulers and the ruled. The study focused on policies and performance of the Musharraf government since assuming the mantle of front ranking ally of the United States in its so called ‘war on terror’. The causes of reversal of pre nine-eleven position on Afghanistan and support of its Taliban’s rulers are examined in the light of the geo-strategic compulsions of that crucial time and the structural weakness of military rule that needed external props for legitimacy. The flaws of the response to the terrorist challenges are traced to its total dependence on the hard option to the total neglect of the human factor from which the thesis develops its argument for a holistic approach to security in which the people occupy a central position.
    [Show full text]
  • Terrorism in Afghanistan: a Joint Threat Assessment
    Terrorism in Afghanistan: A Joint Threat Assessment Terrorism in Afghanistan: A Joint Threat Assessment Introduction 7 Chapter I: Afghanistan’s Security Situation and Peace Process: Comparing U.S. and Russian Perspectives (Barnett R. Rubin) 9 Chapter II: Militant Terrorist Groups in, and Connected to, Afghanistan (Ekaterina Stepanova and Javid Ahmad) 24 Chapter III: Afghanistan in the Regional Security Interplay Context (Andrey Kazantsev and Thomas F. Lynch III) 41 Major Findings and Conclusions 67 Appendix A: Protecting Afghanistan’s Borders: U.S. and Russia to Lead in a Regional Counterterrorism Effort (George Gavrilis) 72 Appendix B: Arms Supplies for Afghan Militants and Terrorists (Vadim Kozyulin) 75 Appendix C: Terrorism Financing: Understanding Afghanistan’s Specifics (Konstantin Sorokin and Vladimir Ivanov) 79 Acronyms 83 Terrorism in Afghanistan Joint U.S.-Russia Working Group on Counterterrorism in Afghanistan Working Group Experts: Javid Ahmad1 Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council Sher Jan Ahmadzai Director, Center for Afghanistan Studies, University of Nebraska at Omaha Robert Finn Former Ambassador of the United States to Afghanistan George Gavrilis Fellow, Center for Democracy, Toleration, and Religion, University of California, Berkeley Andrey Kazantsev Director, Center for Central Asian and Afghan Studies, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO University) Kirill Koktysh Associate Professor, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO University) Member, Expert Council, State Duma Committee of Nationalities Mikhail Konarovsky Former Ambassador of the Russian Federation to Afghanistan Col. (Ret.) Oleg V. Kulakov* Professor of Area Studies, Military University, Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation Vadim Kozyulin Member, PIR Center Executive Board Researcher, Diplomatic Academy, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation Thomas F.
    [Show full text]
  • An Introduction to Pakistan's Military
    An Introduction to Pakistan’s Military July 2011 Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Harvard Kennedy School 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Fax: (617) 495-8963 Email: [email protected] Website: http://belfercenter.org Design and Layout Tim Duffy Copyright 2011 President and Fellows of Harvard College Printed in the United States of America Contents Introduction 4 Pakistan’s Strategic Challenges: Traditional Threats and New Adversaries 8 External Threats, Inconsistent Partners 8 Internal Threats 19 A Short History of Pakistan’s Military 22 Indian Partition, Kashmir, and the Use of Proxies 22 US Military Aid, the First Military Regime, and the 1965 War 23 The 1971 War and a Return to Civilian Rule 24 Islamization, the Mujahideen, and Nuclear Stumbling Blocks 25 A Return to Civilian Rule 26 Musharraf and Kargil 27 The Post-September 11 World 27 Conventional Capabilities 30 Army 30 Air Force 31 Navy 32 Proxies 32 Nuclear Strategy and Security 34 Command and Control 35 Nuclear Doctrine 36 Key Concerns About Pakistan’s Nuclear Program 36 Counterinsurgency 38 Appendices 40 Acronyms 41 Endnotes 42 Introduction Pakistan’s military is a central actor in many of today’s most pressing security challenges, and few institutions face such extreme pressures from such diverse forces. In recent years the military has been asked to simultaneously combat a vicious internal insurgency, suppress international terror- ist groups, and respond to Pakistan’s worst floods in eighty years, all while squaring off against a much larger rival in one of the most strategically complex regions in the world. Pakistan’s armed forces are not only an instrument of the state’s foreign policy, but also the most influential actor in the country’s internal politics.
    [Show full text]
  • Synergy Journal Print Publication 2016
    Synergy The Journal of Contemporary Asian Studies Volume 1 Academic Articles, Op-Eds and Event Reports about East, 2016 Southeast and South Asia Volume 1, 2016 Daniel C. Park edited by Gloria Liu Sameen Zehra Layout and Timothy Law Design by Cathy Nguyen Synergy: The Journal of Contemporary Asian Studies Copyright © 2016 Synergy: The Journal of Contemporary Asian Studies, Asian Institute, Munk School of Global Afairs, University of Toronto All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means without permission from the publisher. Brief passages may be quoted for review. ISSN 2369-8209 Key Title: Synergy (Toronto. 2016. Print) Variant title: Journal of Contemporary Asian Studies Contact Us If you have any questions regarding the contents, submissions, and or Synergy Journal’s operations, please contact us at: [email protected] or 416-738-7769 www.utsynergyjournal.org Our mailing address is: Synergy Journal, Asian Institute, Munk School of Global Afairs, University of Toronto 1 Devonshire Place Toronto, ON M5S 3K7 Canada i Synergy Editorial Committee 2016-2017 Core Editorial Committee Editor-in-Chief Daniel C. Park PhD Advisors Steven C. Denny Pushpa R. Acharya Associate Editor-in-Chief Gloria Liu Lead Editor Gloria Liu East Asia Lead Editor Southeast Asia Arthur Lui Lead Editor South Asia Sameen Zehra Design & Layout Managing Editor Timothy Law Associate Design & Layout Managing Editor Cathy Nguyen South Asia section Southeast Asia section Deputy Lead Editor Saniya Rashid Event Reporters
    [Show full text]
  • Download Full
    JSSA Winter 2018 Volume IV, Number 2 NSG Expansion for Non-NPT States: Criteria and Candidacy Dr. Zafar Khan Is the United States sll the World's only Superpower Dr. Kenneth Holland Regional Security Complex Theory Dr. Lubna Sunawar Nexus between Climate Change and Human Insecurity: Implicaons for Pakistan Adeel Mukhtar Islamic State in Afghanistan: Challenges for Pakistan Asad Ullah Khan & Arhama Siddiqua Ballisc Missile Defence and Mulple Independently Targetable Re-entry Vehicles: Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia Ahyousha Khan Journal of Winter 2018 Volume IV, Number 2 S. Sadia Kazmi Dr. M. Anjum Sarfraz Beenish Altaf Prof. Dr. Marvin Weinbaum, Professor Emeritus of Political Science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and is currently a scholar-in-residence at the Middle East Institute in Washington DC. Dr. Kenneth Holland, President of the American University of Afghanistan. Dr. Dale Walton, Assoc. Prof. of International Relations at Lindenwold University, Missouri, United States. Dr. Tariq Rauf, Director, Disarmament, Arms Control and Non-Proliferation Program, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Sweden. Dr. Bruno Tertrais, Director Adjoint (Deputy Director) Foundation for Strategic Research, Paris, France. Dr. Zulfqar Khan, Head of Dept, Department of Strategic Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad. Dr. Adil Sultan, Visiting Research Fellow, Department of War Studies, King's College London. Dr. Zafar Nawaz Jaspal, Professor, School of Politics and International Relations, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. Dr. Rizwana Abbasi, Associate Professor, Department of Humanities & Social Sciences, Bahria University, Islamabad. Lt Gen. (retd) Khalid Naeem Lodhi, Former Defence Minister, BE (Civil), M.Sc War Studies, MA International Relations, Freelance Writer, Defence Analyst.
    [Show full text]
  • NIAC Intelligence Information Sharing Study
    National Infrastructure Advisory Council Intelligence Information Sharing Final Report and Recommendations January 10, 2012 Alfred R. Berkeley, III Wesley Bush Philip G. Heasley Former Chairman Chairman, President and President and Chief Pipeline Trading Systems, LLC Chief Executive Officer Executive Officer Northrop Grumman ACI Worldwide James B. Nicholson James A. Reid Michael J. Wallace President and Chief President Former Vice-Chairman and Executive Officer CBRE Group, LLC Chief Operating Officer PVS Chemicals, Inc. Eastern Division Constellation Energy Table of Contents Executive Summary ........................................................................................................... ES-1 1.0 Study Overview: Challenges and Approach ..................................................................... 1 1.1 The Challenge of Sharing Intelligence in Complex Systems .......................................................... 2 1.2 Study Approach ............................................................................................................................. 3 2.0 Study Context ................................................................................................................. 6 2.1 Federal Authority and Policy ......................................................................................................... 7 2.2 Critical Infrastructure: Now a Customer and Provider of Intelligence Information ................... 10 3.0 Findings .......................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • For One Tooth, the Entire Jaw: Cross-Border Extremism, Coercive Diplomacy, and the India- Pakistan Security Dyad
    For One Tooth, the Entire Jaw: Cross-Border Extremism, Coercive Diplomacy, and the India- Pakistan Security Dyad Aateeb Khan, advised by Bruce Jentleson, PhD A thesis submitted to the Public Policy Department for Honors Duke University Durham, North Carolina 2018 Khan: For One Tooth, The Entire Jaw Table of Contents 1. Introduction: “A Tooth for a Jaw” 4 a. Literature Review 5 b. The Kargil War 14 c. Method 22 2. Case Study I: The Twin Peaks Crisis (2001) 26 a. Contextual Factors 27 b. Strategic Decision-making During Conflict 31 3. Case Study II: The Mumbai Attacks (2008) 40 a. Contextual Factors 41 b. Strategic Decision-making During Conflict 45 4. Case Study III: The Uri Incident (2016) 51 a. Contextual Factors 52 b. Strategic Decision-making During Conflict 5. Analysis 61 a. Coercive Diplomacy and Third Party Diplomacy 61 b. Deterrence by Denial and Deterrence by Punishment 66 c. Nuclear Posturing and Pakistan’s Nuclear Umbrella 70 6. Conclusion 74 7. Works Cited 76 Abstract 2 Khan: For One Tooth, The Entire Jaw This thesis analyzes the factors that affect the stability of the current security dilemma between India and Pakistan. In particular, it develops a strong link between the advent of cross-border militant attacks and the potential for escalation to nuclear-level conflict. A survey of three major case studies—the 2001 “Twin Peaks” crisis, the 2008 Mumbai attacks, and the 2016 Uri incident—suggests that a number of changing contextual and strategic factors contribute to the increasing destabilization of the status quo. These factors are as follows: Pakistan’s acquisition/posturing of tactical nuclear warheads, India’s shift from a strategy of coercive diplomacy to persuasive compellance, and the growing internal security threat that violent extremists pose within Pakistan.
    [Show full text]
  • Federal-Provincial Coordination Framework
    Contents NACTA Federal-Provincial Coordination Framework ................................................................1 Context/Purpose................................................................................................................ 1 Board of Governors ............................................................................................................ 1 Key Functions .................................................................................................................... 2 Key Stakeholders ............................................................................................................... 2 Strategic Approach to Counter -Terrorism and Extremism ................................................... 4 Basic Framework of Coordination between NACTA and its Stakeholders ............................. 8 NACTA's Specific Coordination Measures for Enhancing National Efficiency Against Terrorism/Extremism ......................................................................................................... 9 NACTA: Model of Operations ............................................................................................... 10 Appendix 1 .......................................................................................................................... 11 Key Stakeholders by NACTA Functions .............................................................................. 11 Appendix 2 .........................................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Inculcating Professionalism in Defence for National Development: the Pakistan Perspective
    Proceedings of 8th International Research Conference, KDU, Published November 2015 Inculcating Professionalism in Defence for National Development: The Pakistan Perspective Major General Noel Khokhar Director General, Institute for Strategic Studies Research and Analysis, National Defence University, Pakistan [email protected] Abstract-The evolving security environment today, pose multiple challenges to the armed forces insofar, For optimum professionalism excellence in each of these substantive changes in threat matrix and expansion in fields is essential. It is acquired at different stages of their roles, tasks and national expectations are professional life of a soldier and each stage leads to concerned. Inculcating professionalism for national amelioration in standards. Progressively pushing military development, provides a perspective to understand the leaders closer to excellence with very step in career impact of this interplay. In the recent past, Armed Forces advancement. of Pakistan have experienced full spectrum impact of such changes, ranging from external to internal threats, Optimum professionalism is achieved through a punctuated frequently by assistance to civil combined use of the expertise acquired in these fields administration for disaster management. Pakistan Armed and then their application according to the context. The Forces adapted efficaciously to combat these challenges ultimate test of professionalism lies in accomplishment effectively, while maintaining high degree of of the assigned task in a cost effective manner. professionalism and contributing meaningfully towards The term professionalism in all its attributes captures national security and development. what it means to be a professional soldier, what is expected of him and for today’s focus how this can be In the context of today’s topic, Inculcating inculcated to generate effects in the field of national Professionalism in Defence and National Development, I development.
    [Show full text]
  • Drone Strikes in Pakistan
    “WILL I BE NEXT?” US DRONE STRIKES IN PAKISTAN Amnesty International is a global movement of more than 3 million supporters, members and activists in more than 150 countries and territories who campaign to end grave abuses of human rights. Our vision is for every person to enjoy all the rights enshrined in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and other international human rights standards. We are independent of any government, political ideology, economic interest or religion and are funded mainly by our membership and public donations. Amnesty International Publications First published in 2013 by Amnesty International Publications International Secretariat Peter Benenson House 1 Easton Street London WC1X 0DW United Kingdom www.amnesty.org © Amnesty International Publications 2013 Index: ASA 33/013/2013 Original Language: English Printed by Amnesty International, International Secretariat, United Kingdom All rights reserved. This publication is copyright, but may be reproduced by any method without fee for advocacy, campaigning and teaching purposes, but not for resale. The copyright holders request that all such use be registered with them for impact assessment purposes. For copying in any other circumstances, or for reuse in other publications, or for translation or adaptation, prior written permission must be obtained from the publishers, and a fee may be payable. To request permission, or for any other inquiries, please contact [email protected] Cover photo: Nabeela, eight-year-old granddaughter of drone strike victim Mamana
    [Show full text]
  • Chapter 20 the Role of Intelligence in the Prevention of Terrorism (Early
    Chapter 20 The Role of Intelligence in the Prevention of Terrorism (Early Warning – Early Response) Kenneth A. Duncan This chapter outlines how intelligence has adapted to the ever-changing threat of terrorism, and the crucial role “warning” has played and will continue to play in countering and mitigating this threat. To better understand warning’s capabilities and limitations, it also explores the nature of intelligence as well as the factors underlying warning’s collection, analysis, production, dissemination, and reception. It traces the relationship between intelligence and law enforcement agencies as it evolved as part of the US government’s organizational response to terrorism from the late 1960s onward, highlighting both its strengths and weaknesses. Finally, it discusses problems arising from the often-troubled relationship between intelligence producers and consumers – from policymakers to the general public – which can lead to obstacles in turning an early warning into an early response. Keywords: 9/11, early warning, homeland security, intelligence, prevention, public warning, TIPOFF, United States. HANDBOOK OF TERRORISM PREVENTON AND PREPAREDNESS 645 “The terrorism threat is constantly evolving in response to social, political, and technological change, as well as adapting in response to counterterrorism pressure’. Daniel Byman 1 Introduction: Understanding Intelligence At the main entrance to CIA’s headquarters building in Langley, Virginia. is an inscription from the Gospel of St. John: “The truth shall make you free,” which reflects Intelligence Officers’ belief that their role is to “speak truth to power.” But contrary to this common view regarding intelligence assessments, nothing could be further from the truth. Intelligence and warning are not about the objective truth at all.
    [Show full text]
  • Pakistan--Violence Versus Stability
    Pakistan—Voilence versus Stability versus Pakistan—Voilence Pakistan—Violence versus Stability versus Pakistan—Violence a report of the csis burke chair in strategy Pakistan—Violence versus Stability a national net assessment 1800 K Street, NW | Washington, DC 20006 Tel: (202) 887-0200 | Fax: (202) 775-3199 C E-mail: [email protected] | Web: www.csis.org ordesman Authors Anthony H. Cordesman Varun Vira Cordesman / V ira / Vira September 2011 ISBN 978-0-89206-652-0 CSIS Ë|xHSKITCy066520zv*:+:!:+:! CSIS a report of the csis burke chair in strategy Pakistan—Violence versus Stability a national net assessment Authors Anthony H. Cordesman Varun Vira September 2011 About CSIS At a time of new global opportunities and challenges, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) provides strategic insights and bipartisan policy solutions to decisionmakers in government, international institutions, the private sector, and civil society. A bipartisan, nonprofit organization headquartered in Washington, D.C., CSIS conducts research and analysis and devel- ops policy initiatives that look into the future and anticipate change. Founded by David M. Abshire and Admiral Arleigh Burke at the height of the Cold War, CSIS was dedicated to finding ways for America to sustain its prominence and prosperity as a force for good in the world. Since 1962, CSIS has grown to become one of the world’s preeminent international policy institutions, with more than 220 full-time staff and a large network of affiliated scholars focused on defense and security, regional stability, and transnational challenges ranging from energy and climate to global development and economic integration. Former U.S.
    [Show full text]