PUBLIC HEALTH AND ENVIRONMENT Climate change is expected to affect many aspects of health. This Quantitative risk assessment report presents an assessment of the expected effects on a subset of these health outcomes, for which quantitative evidence is available at the global level; heat-related mortality, coastal fl ood mortality, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue and undernutrition. Although the of the effects of climate change assessment does not include all potential health risks, it makes clear that climate change is likely to have signifi cant impacts in coming decades, and indicates the scale and nature of the challenges that on selected causes of death, need to be addressed through strengthening health resilience to climate risks, and mitigating climate change 2030s and 2050s Public Health & Environment Department (PHE) Health Security & Environment Cluster (HSE) ISBN 978 92 4 150769 1 World Health Organization (WHO) Avenue Appia 20 – CH-1211 Geneva 27 – Switzerland www.who.int/phe/en/ http://www.who.int/globalchange/en/ E-mail:
[email protected] Editors: Simon Hales, Sari Kovats, Simon Lloyd, Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum WHO Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data Quantitative risk assessment of the effects of climate change on selected causes of death, 2030s and 2050s. 1.Climate Change. 2.Environmental Health. 3.Mortality – trends. 4.Risk Assessment. I.World Health Organization. ISBN 978 92 4 150769 1 (NLM classification: WA 30.5) © World Health Organization 2014 All rights reserved. Publications of the World Health Organization are available on the WHO website (www.who.int) or can be purchased from WHO Press, World Health Organization, 20 Avenue Appia, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland (tel.: +41 22 791 3264; fax: +41 22 791 4857; e-mail:
[email protected]).