The impact of Brexit on UK small & mid-caps Quoted Companies Alliance Small & Mid-cap Sentiment Index July 2019
August 1, 2019 Executive summary
•59% of small and mid-caps say preparing for Brexit has distracted from running The last three years of their business (and 95% of advisors believe it has distracted companies) preparing for Brexit has •16% have invested less in the UK because of Brexit (although for the majority it negatively impacted small has had no impact) and mid-sized quoted •31% say that recruiting EU nationals has got harder since the 2016 referendum. companies: •43% say that preparing for Brexit has had a negative impact on their company’s growth. The information that the UK Government has •Only 24% of small & mid-caps believe the government has provided adequate provided to help prepare information to companies to help them prepare for Brexit. for Brexit has been inadequate: Small and mid-caps are •More than half of companies have taken steps to prepare for a no deal scenario. taking action to prepare •Stockpiling goods and moving operations outside of the UK are two of the most for no deal: popular actions. Small & mid-caps are most •47% of small and mid-caps say it would be best for their company if the UK likely to favour remaining remained in the EU under its current terms. in the EU:
2 Impact of Brexit on company priorities How much time, if any, has preparing for the possibility of Brexit since 2016 taken away from other priorities for your business / small and mid-cap UK quoted companies?
Small & Mid-cap companies Advisers A lot + A little = 59% A lot + A little = 95% 5%
41% Advisers think 45% impact is greater than the companies themselves 50% 50%
10%
A lot A little Almost none Don't Know A lot A little Almost none Don't Know
3
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES; 38 ADVISORY COMPANIES Impact of Brexit on investment decisions How, if at all, has the possibility of the UK leaving the European Union impacted your company's investment decisions in the UK?
65%
16% 12% 8%
We have invested more as a result The prospect of the UK leaving the EU has We have invested less as a result Don't know had no impact on our investment decisions
4
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES; Impact of Brexit on recruitment and retention Since the referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union, have you found / do you think small and mid-cap UK quoted companies have found... (not including UK citizens)
Small & Mid-cap companies Advisers Harder The same Easier Not applicable Don't know Harder The same Easier Not applicable Don't know
11% 11% 5% 5% 21% 29% 28% 27% Again, advisers’ perceptions are at odds to what 31% 37% the companies 74% say themselves 66%
31% 25%
Attracting EU nationals to work Retaining EU nationals that work Attracting EU nationals to work Retaining EU nationals that work for you... for you... for you... for you...
5
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES; 38 ADVISORY COMPANIES Impact of Brexit on turnover growth What impact, if any, has the possibility of the UK leaving the European Union had on your company's turnover growth?
7% - Positive impact 43% - Negative impact
Impact on turnover 6%1% 45% 35% 7% 5% growth
Strong positive impact Slight positive impact No impact Slight negative impact Strong negative impact Don't know
6
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES; Estimated impact of Brexit on turnover growth since 2016 By how much, if at all, do you estimate the impact of the possibility of the UK leaving the European Union to have had on your company's turnover growth since 2016?
47%
3% - Don’t know
25%
6% 7% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1%
7
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES; Actions taken to prepare for ‘no deal’ scenario What actions, if any, has your company taken in order to prepare for a 'no deal' scenario?
Reviewed government technical notices 17%
Stockpiled goods 17%
Secured supply chains 16%
Moved operations outside the UK 14%
Sourced additional working capital 13%
Established or acquired EU subsidiaries 12%
Hedged currency 12%
Adapted for import/export duties 8%
Adjusted contracts 5% Set aside contingency funds 5% 42% of companies have Invested to increase productivity 5% done none of these Lobbied government 2%
Increased prices 1%
Other 2%
Don't know 4%
8
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES Has the Government provided adequate help to prepare for Brexit? Companies: Do you believe that the Government has provided adequate information to help your company prepare for the UK leaving the European Union?
Don’t know Yes 21% 24%
No 55%
9
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES Companies’ views on information provided to businesses to help them prepare for Brexit
“There are still too many open “Too little, too late. EU questions where decisions haven’t information was available been made, making it very on a more timely basis.” difficult to plan – e.g. regulatory impact on medical devices.”
“The guidance has been very high level but there are a raft of unknowns around leaving without a deal where the government could have stated clearly how they would “All small companies need is clarity – operate (which would have also signalled preparedness to they can adjust an adapt. It is only big leave with no deal to the EU). As two examples, the impact companies that have entrenched on personal importation allowances and VAT reporting for positions that benefit from the current imported goods are two areas where we have no idea what stalemate. Small companies naturally the changes mean but will impact our business.” have to invest to grow – and they are unable to do so at the moment.”
10
QUESTION: ANY FURTHER COMMENTS ON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED TO COMPANIES BY GOVERNMENT AND REGULATORS REGARDING THE POSSIBILITY OF THE UK LEAVING THE EU? Most beneficial Brexit outcomes to small & mid-caps
Companies - Which of the following outcomes would be most beneficial for your company?
Advisers - Which of the following outcomes would be most beneficial for small and mid-cap UK quoted companies?
47%
42%
26%
16% 14% 11% 10% 3% 8% 7% 0% 5% 5% 5%
Parliament revoking The UK leaving the The UK leaving the The UK to remain in a The UK to join the Other Don't know Article 50 and the UK European Union without European Union with an permanent Customs European Free Trade remaining in the a deal agreed deal and Union with the EU as Association (EFTA) and European Union under transition period (i.e. part of any deal European Economic current terms Theresa May's deal) Area (EEA) with countries such as Norway
11
BASE: 74 SMALL AND MID-CAP PUBLICLY QUOTED COMPANIES; 38 ADVISORY COMPANIES Methodology
• 117 interviews were conducted between 17/04/19 and 04/06/19.
• 78 from small and mid-cap UK quoted companies, 39 from advisory companies (this includes investors, auditors, accountants, lawyers, brokers, and AIM NOMADs etc.)
• This survey was conducted by YouGov using an online interview administered to members and associates of the QCA. An email was sent to the QCA database, inviting them to take part in the survey and providing a link to it. A link to the survey was also circulated by the QCA to their contacts. The sample definition is "small and mid-cap UK quoted companies and advisory companies". The responding sample is weighted by industry to be representative of small and mid-cap UK quoted companies, as derived from London Stock Exchange data, but the advisory companies are not weighted in any way.
• Note: Where the percentages for a chart are calculated on bases fewer than 40 respondents these must not be reported as they do not represent a wide enough cross-section of the target population to be considered statistically reliable. These questions and figures will be italicised.
12 Appendix: background
The Small & Mid-Cap Sentiment Index: • The QCA/YouGov Small & Mid-Cap Sentiment Survey has been running since 2011. • This is the 22nd wave and is conducted twice yearly. It is an established source of information about the small and mid-sized quoted company sector.
The small & mid-cap sector in the UK: • In 2019, there are around 1,250 small and mid-size quoted companies in the UK, representing 93% of all companies quoted on UK stock exchanges. • They employ approximately 3 million people, representing 11% of private sector employment in the UK, and contribute over £26bn in annual taxes (source).
The Quoted Companies Alliance: • The Quoted Companies Alliance is the independent membership organisation that champions the interests of small to mid-size quoted companies. • For more information please visit www.theqca.com.
13 Appendix: All UK quoted companies by market capitalisation
140,000.00
120,000.00
100 biggest companies ) (FTSE 100)
100,000.00 (millions 80,000.00
60,000.00
40,000.00 1,249 small and mid-cap companies Market capitalisation capitalisation Market
20,000.00
0.00
Ilika Ilika PLC
Relx PLCRelx
Boku Boku Inc
Bunzl plc Bunzl
Fiske PLC
IXICO PLCIXICO
Tesco Tesco PLC
Oleeo PLC Oleeo
Savills PLC Savills
Britvic Britvic PLC
Capita PLCCapita
Senior PLCSenior
Fastjet PLCFastjet
Toople PLC
Renold Renold PLC
Softcat PLCSoftcat PLCADVFN
Easyjet Easyjet PLC
Lonmin PLCLonmin
Solo Oil Oil PLC Solo
Victoria PLCVictoria
Spectris PLC Spectris
Hunting PLC
T Clarke PLC T Clarke
Forterra PLCForterra
Centrica PLC Centrica
Cobham PLCCobham
Unilever PLCUnilever
A.G.Barr PLC A.G.Barr
Fresnillo Fresnillo PLC
Sportech Sportech PLC
Marlowe PLC Marlowe Synnovia PLC
Focusrite PLCFocusrite PLCSynectics PLC Sosandar
Bodycote PLCBodycote
Concepta Concepta PLC
Microgen Microgen PLC
Earthport PLCEarthport
Kingfisher Kingfisher PLC
Ovoca Bio PLCBioOvoca
Digitalbox Digitalbox PLC
WANdisco PLC WANdisco
Shoe Zone PLC Shoe Zone
Whitbread PLC PLCRedcentric
RPC Group PLCRPC Group
Thinksmart Ltd Thinksmart
Integumen PLCIntegumen
Vitec Group Vitec Plc
Park Group PLC Park Group
Strix Group PLC Strix Group
Henry Boot Henry PLC Boot
URU Metals URULtd
Serabi Gold SerabiPLC
Rank Group PLC Rank Group
ProPhotonix LtdProPhotonix
EMIS Group EMIS PLC
Huntsworth PLC Huntsworth
Lidco Group PLC Lidco Group
Echo Energy PLC Echo Energy
Galliford TryPLCGalliford
Morses Club PLC Club Morses
Keller Group PLC Keller Group
Condor Gold CondorPLC
Scapa Group PLC Scapa Group
Falanx Group Ltd Falanx Group Centers NV Plaza
MPAC Group PLC MPAC Group
KCOM KCOM Group PLC Group Mears PLC
Autins Group PLC Autins
Innovaderma Innovaderma PLC
Vianet Group PLCVianet Group
7digital Group plc 7digital Group
DFS Furniture DFS PLC
Travis Perkins Perkins PLCTravis
Mi-Pay Group PLC Mi-Pay Group
Exillon Energy ExillonPLC PLC GroupTricorn
Getech Group PLC Getech
MySale Group MySale PLC
Chagala Group Ltd Chagala Group
Medica Medica Group PLC PLC Colefax Group
Qinetiq Group Qinetiq PLC Group CostainPLC
Tekmar Group PLC Tekmar
Equiniti Group PLC Equiniti Group Mining Avocet PLC
Webis Holding PLC Holding Webis
HSBC Holdings PLC HSBC Holdings
Limitless Earth PLC Limitless Earth
Grafton Group PLC Grafton
ContourGlobal PLCContourGlobal
Regency Mines PLCMines Regency
Staffline Group PLC Staffline Group
Halfords Group PLC Halfords
Petra LtdDiamonds Petra
ATTRAQT Group plc ATTRAQT Group
Jarvis PLCSecuritiesJarvis
Rose Petroleum PLC Rose Petroleum
Judges Scientific PLC Judges Scientific PLC Enteq Upstream
Anglesey Mining PLC Anglesey Mining
Harvest Minerals Ltd Harvest Minerals
Quartix Holdings Holdings PLC Quartix
Immotion Group PLC Immotion
Leaf Clean Energy CleanLeafCo Energy
Sureserve Group SureservePLC
Dixons Carphone PLC Dixons Carphone PLC ResourcesEgdon
J D Wetherspoon PLC J Wetherspoon D
Sylvania Platinum Platinum Ltd Sylvania
Proactis Holdings Proactis PLC
Wizz Air Air Holdings WizzPLC
JD Sports Fashion PLCFashion SportsJD
Bezant Resources PLC ResourcesBezant
Alexander Mining PLC Alexander Mining
Bigblu Broadband PLC Bigblu Broadband PLC Appscatter Group
Actual Experience PLC ExperienceActual
Stilo International PLC International Stilo
Gooch & Housego Housego PLC Gooch & StoreGroup Lok'nPLC
Strategic Minerals Strategic PLC
Tri-Star Resources PLC Tri-Star Resources
WH Ireland Group PLC WH Group Ireland
Macfarlane Group MacfarlanePLC
Shearwater Group PLC Shearwater Group
Hilton Food Group Hilton PLC
Kape Technologies PLCTechnologiesKape
Access Intelligence Intelligence PLC Access
Richland Resources Ltd Richland Resources
Ethernity Networks Ethernity Ltd
Somero Enterprises Somero Inc Enterprises
Proteome Proteome Sciences PLC
Energean Oil & Gas Oil & PLCGas Energean
Anglo Asian Mining PLC Asian Anglo Mining
Norman Broadbent PLC Norman Broadbent
Central Asia Metals PLC Asia MetalsCentral
Savannah Resources Plc Savannah Resources
IronRidge Resources Ltd IronRidge Resources PLCPier BrightonGroup
Arena EventsGroup PLC Arena
Biome Technologies Biome PLC Technologies
Creo Medical Medical Group CreoPLC
Arricano Real Estate PLC Real Arricano Estate
Amino Technologies PLCTechnologies Amino
Rainbow Rare Earths Ltd Rare RainbowEarths
Gulf Marine PLC ServicesMarine Gulf
Flowtech Fluidpower FlowtechPLC Fluidpower
Hill & Smith Holdings PLCSmith Hill Holdings &
OPG OPG Power Ventures PLC
Tissue Regenix Group PLC Tissue Regenix
Catalyst Media Group PLC GroupCatalyst Media
Domino's Pizza Group PLC Domino's Group Pizza
Chaarat Gold Holdings Ltd Gold Chaarat Holdings
United Utilities Group PLC United Utilities Pharmaceuticals Oy Faron
Pan African Resources PLC Pan Resources African
Accrol Group Holdings PLC Group Accrol Holdings
African Battery Metals PLC BatteryAfrican
VR EducationPLCVR Holdings
Legal & General Group PLC & Legal GroupGeneral
Sabre InsuranceGroup PLC Sabre
RA International Group PLC RA Group International
Anglo African Oil & Gas PLCGas Oil African Anglo &
Spire Healthcare Group PLC Healthcare GroupSpire
Polymetal International PLCInternationalPolymetal PLCBanking ParagonGroup
Dechra Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC
TF & JH Braime Holdings Holdings & PLC BraimeJHTF
Premier African Minerals Ltd Premier Minerals African
Zegona Zegona Communications PLC
Concurrent Technologies PLCTechnologiesConcurrent
Sabien Technology Group PLC Group Sabien Technology
Circassia Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceuticals PLC Circassia
Georgia Healthcare Group PLC Healthcare Group Georgia
Tatton Asset Management Tatton AssetPLC
Big Sofa Technologies Group PLC Big Group Sofa Technologies
Litigation Capital Management Ltd ManagementCapital Litigation
K3 Business Technology Group PLCTechnologyBusiness K3Group
London & Associated Properties PLC London & Properties Associated
Port Erin Biopharma Investments Investments BiopharmaLtd Port Erin
Reach4Entertainment PlcEnterprisesReach4Entertainment
Sherborne Investors (Guernsey) C LtdC Investors Sherborne (Guernsey)
Premier Technical Services Group Services Premier PLC Technical
Conroy Gold and Natural Resources PLC and Natural Conroy Resources Gold
Symphony Environmental Technologies Environmental PLC Technologies Symphony
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA Consolidated International Airlines Secure Property Development & Investment & PLC Investment DevelopmentSecure Property All companies quoted on London Stock Exchange Main Market and AIM
Source: How small and mid-cap quoted companies make a substantial contribution to markets, employment and tax revenues, May 2019, QCA/Hardman & Co