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Democratic Republic of the Congo Insight and Key Trends by the World Food Programme (WFP) | 31 August 2021

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Democratic Republic of the Congo Insight and Key Trends by the World Food Programme (WFP) | 31 August 2021 HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends By the World Food Programme (WFP) | 31 August 2021 FOOD INSECURITY AT A GLANCE 18.5M M 26.2M Chronic hunger 105.9 Acute hunger Population (undernourishment) (WFP D.R. Congo, 2021) IPC Phase 3+ (SOFI Report, 2021)1 (IPC, Aug 2021 - Dec 2021)2 The HungerMapLIVE tracks core indicators of acute hunger in near real-time. Acute hunger is measured by key indicators such as household food consumption, livelihood behaviors, child nutritional status, mortality, access to clean drinking water and other contextual factors. The HungerMapLIVE primarily tracks trends on household food consumption, consumption-based coping and livelihood changes to track multiple aspects of food insecurity. As these are outcome level 1 indicators in the Integrated Food Security Phase Classication (IPC) Framework, they can provide early indications of potential shifts in acute food insecurity. Insucient food consumption (HungerMapLIVE data)3 40.9M → 42.2M As of 2 June 2021 As of 31 August 2021 Crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies (HungerMapLIVE data)3 53.5M → 45.9M As of 2 June 2021 As of 31 August 2021 Methodology Note: The HungerMapLIVE includes data from two sources: (1) WFP’s continuous, near real-time monitoring systems, which remotely collect thousands of data daily through live calls conducted by call centres around the world; and (2) machine learning-based predictive models. Therefore, to note this dierentiation, this report indicates whether a region’s data is based on WFP’s near real-time monitoring systems (marked ‘ACTUAL’) or predictive models (marked ‘PREDICTED’). 1 Chronic hunger (undernourishment) is dened by people not able to meet long-term food consumption requirements. Source: FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO. 2021. The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2021. 2 Source: IPC/CH analysis (ipcinfo.org) 3 Source: WFP HungerMap LIVE analysis, updated daily. Current food security outlook There are 13 regions considered High Risk or Moderate Risk and Deteriorating in Democratic Republic of the Congo Nord-Ubangi Bas-Uele Haut-Uele Sud-Ubangi Mongala Ituri Tshopo Equateur Tshuapa Nord-Kivu Maï-Ndombe Market Sud-Kivu (≥ 40% prevalence Sankuru access challenges) Maniema Vegetation Kinshasa (< 80% vegetation Kwilu anomaly) Kongo-Central Lomami Kasaï Kasaï-Oriental Tanganyika Kasaï-Central Kwango Haut-Lomami Haut-Katanga Lualaba The HungerMapLIVE divides regions into various tiers of risk based on: the prevalence of insucient food consumption and the prevalence of households utilizing crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies, as well as the change in these prevalences from 90 days ago (2 June 2021) until now (31 August 2021). Regions are divided into these tiers based on the following criteria: Tier 1: High Risk and Deteriorating. Regions with Tier 2: High Risk and Stable. Regions with more than Tier 3: Moderate Risk and Deteriorating. Regions Tier 4: Moderate Risk and Stable. Regions with less more than 40% prevalence for the average of the 40% prevalence for the average of the above two with less than 40% prevalence for the average of than 40% prevalence for the average of the above above two indicators AND signicant deterioration indicators AND no signicant deterioration the above two indicators AND signicant two indicators AND no signicant deterioration observed for the average of both indicators from 90 observed for the average of both indicators from 90 deterioration observed for the average of both observed for the average of both indicators from 90 days ago. days ago. indicators from 90 days ago. days ago. Regions marked for deterioration for these metrics must satisfy one of the following conditions: (1) >40% prevalence: 15% increase, (2) 20-40% prevalence: 20% increase, (3) <20% prevalence: 25% increase. HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends 31 August 2021 Regions with the highest prevalence of insucient food consumption Currently, the regions with the highest prevalence of insucient food consumption, in order of severity, are: Kasaï-Central* ACTUAL, Kasaï* ACTUAL, Maniema* ACTUAL, Sankuru* ACTUAL, Kasaï- Oriental* ACTUAL, Lomami* ACTUAL, Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL, Ituri* ACTUAL, Tshopo* ACTUAL, Bas-Uele* ACTUAL, Haut-Uele* ACTUAL, Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL. These regions account for 61% of the total number of people with insucient food consumption in Democratic Republic of the Congo—amounting to approximately 25.8M people, increasing by 758k (3.0%) compared to 90 days ago. PREVALENCE OF INSUFFICIENT FOOD CONSUMPTION TOTAL NO. (HIGH → LOW) POPULATION AFFECTED Kasaï- 68% 4.94M 3.38M Central* ACTUAL Kasaï* ACTUAL 68% 3.94M 2.69M Maniema* ACTUAL 54% 2.72M 1.46M Sankuru* ACTUAL 53% 2.12M 1.12M Kasaï- 53% 5.60M 2.96M Oriental* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL 53% 4.13M 2.18M Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL 47% 7.34M 3.47M Ituri* ACTUAL 38% 5.75M 2.21M Tshopo* ACTUAL 38% 3.07M 1.18M Bas-Uele* ACTUAL 38% 1.29M 498k Haut-Uele* ACTUAL 38% 1.87M 720k Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL 37% 10.7M 3.92M Trends of the prevalence of insucient food consumption over the past 90 days These graphs, all on a scale from 0% to 100%, show the trend in the prevalence of insucient food consumption over the past 90 days. The percentages detailed below the region name indicate the change in the prevalence of insucient food consumption from 90 days ago to today, with regions sorted by the increase in prevalence of insucient food consumption. Maniema* ACTUAL Kinshasa* ACTUAL Lualaba* ACTUAL Haut- Haut- Tanganyika* ACTUAL 41% → 54% 24% → 29% 25% → 28% Katanga* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL 25% → 28% 25% → 28% 25% → 28% May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug Sankuru* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL Kasaï- Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL Kasaï- Kasaï* ACTUAL 48% → 53% 48% → 53% Oriental* ACTUAL 34% → 37% Central* ACTUAL 67% → 68% 48% → 53% 67% → 68% May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug *Admin 1 areas have been grouped into regions for analysis, therefore share the same trend. See methodology note for more details. HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends 31 August 2021 Regions with the highest prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies To support the global COVID‑19 response, WFP has expanded its near real-time remote monitoring systems to assess the food-based coping situation in Democratic Republic of the Congo. The table below shows the current situation in regions with the highest prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies. These regions account for 48% of the total number of people currently monitored for food-based coping in Democratic Republic of the Congo—amounting to approximately 22.1M people. PREVALENCE OF CRISIS OR ABOVE CRISIS LEVEL FOOD-BASED TOTAL NO. COPING STRATEGIES (HIGH → LOW) POPULATION AFFECTED Kasaï- 57% 4.94M 2.81M Central* ACTUAL Kasaï* ACTUAL 57% 3.94M 2.24M Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL 52% 7.34M 3.84M Kasaï- 51% 5.60M 2.87M Oriental* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL 51% 4.13M 2.12M Sankuru* ACTUAL 51% 2.12M 1.09M Maniema* ACTUAL 50% 2.72M 1.37M Sud- 49% 2.96M 1.45M Ubangi* ACTUAL Tshuapa* ACTUAL 49% 2.18M 1.07M Mongala* ACTUAL 49% 2.60M 1.27M Equateur* ACTUAL 49% 2.52M 1.24M Nord- 49% 1.63M 798k Ubangi* ACTUAL Trends of the prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies over the past 90 days These graphs, all on a scale from 0% to 100%, show the trend in the prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies over the past 90 days. The percentages detailed below the region name indicate the change in the prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies from 90 days ago to today, with regions sorted by the increase in prevalence of crisis or above crisis level food-based coping strategies. Maï- Kwango* ACTUAL Kwilu* ACTUAL Lomami* ACTUAL Sankuru* ACTUAL Kasaï- Ndombe* ACTUAL 37% → 39% 37% → 39% 53% → 51% 53% → 51% Oriental* ACTUAL 37% → 39% 53% → 51% May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL Mongala* ACTUAL Sud-Ubangi* ACTUAL Tshuapa* ACTUAL Nord-Ubangi* ACTUAL Equateur* ACTUAL 48% → 44% 54% → 49% 54% → 49% 54% → 49% 54% → 49% 54% → 49% May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug May Aug *Admin 1 areas have been grouped into regions for analysis, therefore share the same trend. See methodology note for more details. HungerMapLIVE: Democratic Republic of the Congo insight and key trends 31 August 2021 Regions with the highest prevalence of challenges accessing markets1 To support the global COVID‑19 response, WFP has expanded its near real-time remote monitoring systems to assess the market access situation in Democratic Republic of the Congo. The table below shows the current situation in regions with the highest prevalence of challenges accessing markets. These regions account for 63% of the total number of people currently monitored for market access in Democratic Republic of the Congo—amounting to approximately 33.5M people. PREVALENCE OF CHALLENGES ACCESSING MARKETS TOTAL NO. (HIGH → LOW) POPULATION AFFECTED Sud-Kivu* ACTUAL 79% 7.34M 5.76M Maniema* ACTUAL 71% 2.72M 1.94M Nord-Kivu* ACTUAL 61% 10.7M 6.53M Kasaï- 60% 4.94M 2.97M Central* ACTUAL Kasaï* ACTUAL 60% 3.94M 2.37M Haut- 50% 4.23M 2.13M Lomami* ACTUAL Haut- 50% 6.34M 3.19M Katanga* ACTUAL Tanganyika* ACTUAL 50% 3.28M 1.65M Lualaba* ACTUAL 50% 2.44M 1.23M Kasaï- 48% 5.60M 2.70M Oriental* ACTUAL Sankuru* ACTUAL 48% 2.12M 1.02M Lomami* ACTUAL 48% 4.13M 1.99M Trends of the prevalence of challenges accessing markets over the past 90 days These graphs, all on a scale from 0% to 100%, show the trend in the prevalence of challenges accessing markets over the past 90 days.
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