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Prodoc-GCF-Signed Project Document for nationally implemented projects financed by the Green Climate Fund (GCF) Project title: Scaling-up Multi-Hazard Early Warning System and the Use of Climate Information in Georgia Country: Georgia Implementing Partner: Ministry of Environmental Protection and Management Arrangements : National Agriculture Implementation Modality (NIM) UNDAF/UNSPS Outcome 8: Communities enjoy greater resilience through enhanced institutional and legislative systems for environment protection, sustainable management of natural resources and disaster risk reduction UNDP Strategic Plan Output: 1.3: Scaled up action on climate change adaptation and mitigation cross sectors which is funded and implemented UNDP Social and Environmental Screening Category: UNDP Gender Marker for the project output: GEN2 moderate as per Annex H Environmental and Social Assessment Report Atlas Project ID (formerly Award ID): 00094354 Atlas Output ID (formerly Project ID): 00098463 UNDP-GEF PIMS ID number: 5846 GCF ID number: FP068 Planned start date: 01/12/2018 Planned end date: 30/11/2025 PAC meeting date: 08/11/2018 Brief project description: Due to the complex mountainous terrain and climate, Georgia is subject to both geological and hydro- meteorological hazards. According to Georgia’s 2nd and 3rd National Communications and other studies1, under climate change the frequency, intensity and geographical spread of extreme hydrometeorological hazards will increase. Georgia’s INDC estimates economic losses from climate-induced hazards without adaptation measures for the period 2021-2030 to be $US 10-12 billion, while the cost of adaptation measures is estimated to be 1.5-2 billion USD2. To date, hydrometeorological hazard risk management has relied on the limited and expensive hard structural protection measures; emergency response with limited reliance on forecasts and early warning of the population; post event compensation and relocation of victims, resulting in eco-migrants; and post event recovery and risk reduction. In order to adapt to climate change, Georgia needs to adopt a proactive integrated climate risk management (CRM) approach centred around risk reduction, prevention, and preparedness through the establishment of a multi-hazard early warning system and an enhanced use of climate information in planning and decision-making across all sectors. This GCF project will address the main barriers to the establishment of a multi-hazard early warning system (MHEWS) and all other aspects of a priori climate risk management required to support an effective MHEWS. 1 World Bank project: Reducing the Vulnerability of Georgia’s Agricultural Systems to Climate Change; USAID/GLOWS project: Integrated Natural Resources Management in Watersheds of Georgia; Regional Climate Change Impacts for the South Caucasus Region’ funded through ENVSEC (Environmental Security) initiative and commissioned by UNDP 2 Georgia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution submission to the UNFCCC 1 | P a g e I. TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Table of Contents ............................................................................................................................................... 3 II. Development Challenge ..................................................................................................................................... 4 III. Strategy .............................................................................................................................................................. 7 IV. Results and Partnerships.................................................................................................................................. 11 V. Project Management ....................................................................................................................................... 20 VI. Project Results Framework .............................................................................................................................. 22 VII. Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Plan ........................................................................................................... 29 VIII. Governance and Management Arrangements ................................................................................................ 37 IX. Financial Planning and Management ............................................................................................................... 44 X. Total Budget and Work Plan ............................................................................................................................ 47 XI. Legal Context ................................................................................................................................................... 77 XII. Risk Management ............................................................................................................................................ 78 XIII. Mandatory Annexes ......................................................................................................................................... 80 Annex A: GCF Funding Activity Agreement and Notice of Effectiveness ................................................................ 81 Annex B: GCF Board approved GCF Funding Proposal ............................................................................................ 82 Annex C: Letter of agreement between the Implementing Partner and Responsible Parties ................................ 83 Annex D: Letters of co-financing ............................................................................................................................. 84 Annex E: Timetable of project implementation ...................................................................................................... 85 Annex F: Procurement plan ..................................................................................................................................... 86 Annex G: Terms of References for Project Board and Project Team ...................................................................... 87 Annex H: UNDP Social and Environmental and Safeguards screening procedure (SESP) and Environmental and Social Assessment Report (ESAR) .......................................................................................................................... 109 Annex I: Stakeholder Engagement Plan ................................................................................................................ 114 Annex J: Gender Analysis and Action Plan ............................................................................................................ 131 Annex K: UNDP Risk Log ........................................................................................................................................ 154 Annex L: LOA with the government in case DPCs are applied .............................................................................. 159 Annex M: Capacity Assessment including HACT micro assessment ...................................................................... 161 Annex N: Learning and Knowledge Management ................................................................................................ 162 Annex O: UNDP Project Quality Assurance Report ............................................................................................... 166 3 | P a g e II. DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGE 2.1/ Country Situation and Development Context Climate Change (CC) and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) context. Georgia, as a country with transitional economy has undergone notable social-economic and political transformation since 2003. Despite the notable economic growth since 2003 poverty levels, particularly in rural areas, and income inequality, remains high. 43% of the population lives in rural areas, and 56% of people are engaged in mainly subsistence agriculture. Due to the diverse and complex terrain of the Caucasus mountains and the influence of the Black Sea and Caspian Sea on the climate and weather of the region, Georgia faces a number of climate-induced hazards including floods and flash floods, climate-induced geological hazards (including landslides, mudflow, debris flows), droughts, soil erosion, severe winds, hailstorms and avalanches. There is a growing evidence that the frequency of climate-induced natural disasters and associated damages have been increasing over the past decades. According to Georgia’s 2nd and 3rd National Communications to the UNFCCC, under climate change the frequency, intensity and geographical spread of extreme hydro meteorological hazards will increase, and may result in significant impacts on key sectors including agriculture, health, critical infrastructure, tourism and protection of culture heritage, environment, natural resources and ecosystems. Georgia’s NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution) to the UNFCCC underlines the problem of intensifying climate-induced extreme events and states that the “establishment of Early Warning Systems for climate related extreme events is considered as priority measure by the Government”. It also states that without international support the country is unable to deal with negative impacts of the climate change. CC scenarios show more extremes as prolonged rainfall events, concentrated in a short period of time with the potential to generate more runoff during these short periods, thereby increasing the potential for flash flooding (due to high peak river flows), mudflows and landslides. The
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