Catcha Group Or That SEA Would Have More Internet Here’S a Midway Checkpoint of Those Users Than the US? Predictions
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December 2018 8 Predictions for the Southeast Asian Tech Scene – A Checkpoint Plus 3 New Predictions for Indonesia 2 FOREWORD Hey folks! brand-new ones just for Indonesia! Even I never expected that SEA’s tech If you know me, you know how much of entrepreneurs would be killing it at this Let’s see how many we get right. And a Southeast Asia (SEA) believer I am! level! more importantly, let’s see if SEA can surpass even Catcha’s wildest I’m always impressed, inspired and But my team and I like a challenge. So expectations in the next 24 months! invigorated by the talent, opportunities, we thought we’d try to predict the BOOM! and growth coming out of this region. future. That’s why, since 2017, we’ve That’s why I’ve focused my entire released our predictions for where the journey as an entrepreneur out of here. SEA tech landscape would go. Would you have guessed that a local Earlier this year, we announced 8 startup would acquire its competitor, predictions which we felt would reshape the largest provider and pioneer of e- the market till 2020. And today, just in Patrick Grove hailing services? time for Wild Digital Indonesia 2018 (our Co-Founder & Group CEO rockin’ premier tech conference), Catcha Group Or that SEA would have more Internet here’s a midway checkpoint of those users than the US? predictions. Bonus: we’ve added 3 If you have any questions on the report, please reach out via [email protected]. Opinions expressed are solely perspective of Catcha Group. Neither Catcha Group or any of its respective affiliates or employees makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document. All figures as in USD. www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. About ABOUT CATCHA GROUP Our portfolio of companies – past and present Catcha Group is Southeast Asia’s leading internet group. The Group was established in 2004 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.We build and invest in disruptive internet companies across emerging markets Video on Demand service for emerging markets, currently globally. Today, we are also looking at solutions to grow the tech and start-up present in 24 countries with 5m+ monthly users, raised $303m in funding since inception in 2015 ecosystem via co-working spaces, building Malaysia’s first KL Internet City, applying blockchain to equitize content creation, and delivering impact. Malaysia’s largest coworking space with over 100,000 sqft in total to date 18+ 60+ Purpose-built digital hub for the SEA regional tech ecosystem Years of enabling disruptive Investments globally held businesses directly or indirectly SEA’s leading digital media group. Acquired by Media Prima 3,000+ #1 for $24m in May 2017 Employees globally across Market leadership across portfolio of companies multiple categories SEA’s No. 1 network of online automotive portals with 7 brands 5 $550m+ across Malaysia, Thailand and Indonesia IPOs in the last 10 years Combined value of 2 strategic (4 on ASX, 1 on Bursa Malaysia) exits over the last 3 years Leading operator of online classifieds businesses in emerging markets. Its 17 portfolio companies are present in 19 markets 30+ 10x Countries which our portfolio Average return on investment SEA’s leading internet and digital conference, held across 5 companies are present in across major portfolio assets cities with 1000+ attendees Operator of Asia’s no. 1 network of property websites. Acquired $2bn+ by Rupert Murdoch’s REA Group for $534m in Nov 2015 Value creation since inception across portfolio REVIEW 8 predictions for the SEA tech scene over the next 24 months, as made in February 2018 6 REVIEW 8 Predictions for the SEA tech scene over the next 24 months, as made in February 2018 By the end of 2019, SEA will have 460m • Internet penetration is on track, with 350m internet users internet users and $10b raised in private tech Tech funding in 2018 has reached $9.1b, 50% more compared 1 funding to 2017. First Decacorn ($10b+ valuation) will emerge • Yes, Grab is now SEA’s first decacorn. 2 from SEA • No sign of this yet but startups valued from $10mil to A new Unicorn will be built in less than 3 $100mil are raising funds at record volumes in 2018, years from launch 3 compared to the last 3 years. Chinese companies remain the largest source • Yes, China is emerging to be the largest source of funding in 4 of tech funding SEA. www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. 7 REVIEW (CONT.) 8 Predictions for the SEA tech scene over the next 24 months, as made in February 2018 5 At least 2 more IPOs in excess of $500m • There have been no new IPOs in SEA in 2018. Consolidation of the SEA tech landscape – • In March 2018, Grab acquired Uber’s operations in SEA, with there will be 2 acquisitions in excess of Uber taking a 27.5% stake in Grab. 6 $500m • Yes. Corporates such as Toyota, Hyundai and Microsoft have Corporates and governments in SEA will invested in SEA startups. Government participation has also invest at least $1bn in the startup ecosystem 7 been increasing. • Virtual currencies are only legal to trade. However, At least one SEA country will accept/issue a Philippines, Indonesia and Singapore have regulatory 8 virtual currency as a legal tender frameworks in place. Thailand is also mapping out its own central bank digital currency. www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. 8 PREDICTION #1 ✓ On By the end of 2019, SEA will have 460m internet users and $10bn raised in private track tech funding SEA Private Tech Funding, # Internet Users, Fixed Broadband Speed (2007-2019E) 460m ▪ SEA currently has 350m internet SEA private tech funding users. Indonesia, Malaysia, 23 Mbps 22.8 Mbps 22 Mbps 350m Philippines, Thailand among the 21 Mbps Internet users 20 Mbps Top 10 most engaged countries on 19 Mbps Fixed broadband speed 18 Mbps mobile internet globally 17 Mbps 16 Mbps ▪ Fundraising in SEA in 2018 has 15 Mbps 246m 16.0 Mbps 14 Mbps 219m increased by more than 50% 13 Mbps 11.2 Mbps $10.0b 12 Mbps 186m compared to 2017 11 Mbps $9.1b 10 Mbps 166m 9 Mbps 148m 7.8 Mbps 8 Mbps 127m 7 Mbps 111m 5.5 Mbps 6 Mbps $6.0b 80m 3.9 Mbps 5 Mbps 68m 75m 2.9 Mbps 4 Mbps 1.9 Mbps2.3 Mbps 3 Mbps 1.1 Mbps1.2 Mbps1.5 Mbps1.6 Mbps 2 Mbps 1 Mbps $2.3b 0 Mbps -1 Mbps $1.3b -2 Mbps $0.8b $0.1b $0.2b $0.1b $0.5b 2007$0.0b 2008$0.0b $0.0b2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Source: World Bank, Google-Temasek Report, Internet Live Stats, Akamai, Crunchbase, Pitchbook; Figures are as at 30 Nov 2018. Only disclosed deals from startups that are backed by angels, accelerator/incubator, seed funds, and VC/PE funds are included. www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. 9 PREDICTION #2 ✓ On First Decacorn ($10bn+ valuation) will emerge from SEA track China in 2010 SEA in 2019E Internet Population Average SEA unicorn 459m 460m valuation could reach up to $12.4bn Combined Market Capitalisation of Market Leaders $94.5b $86.5b* Tencent: $13bn Tencent: $13bn Baidu: $6.6bn Baidu: $6.6bn Source:, Crunchbase, Company Annual Report, Press Releases. *Estimation is based on extrapolation from SEA market capitalisation in 2017, assuming SEA between 2017 and 2019 achieve the same growth rate of market capitalisation per internet user as China between 2008 and 2010 www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. 10 PREDICTION #2 ✓ On First Decacorn ($10b+ valuation) will emerge from SEA track Funds raised by SEA unicorns $7.1b $6.5b $2.8b 2016 2017 1H 2018 Funds raised ▪ SEA recorded 524 deals by venture capitalists, 4 times more compared to 2012. ▪ Most funding in 2018 went to SEA’s unicorns, with Grab emerging as the region’s 1st decacorn, after landing investments from Toyota, SoftBank, and a number of financial firms including including OppenheimerFunds, Ping An Capital, Vulcan Capital, Macquarie Capital and Lightspeed Venture Partners. Source: Google-Temasek Report, Crunchbase, Pitchbook, press release, company website; Figures are as at 30 Nov 2018. www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. 11 PREDICTION #3 ⌽ Not A new Unicorn will be built in less than 3 years from launch known Companies Year founded Year achieved Years taken Unicorn status * It is becoming faster than ever 1995 2014 19 to become a Unicorn – it took * 4.7 years on average for the 2007 2015 8 Unicorns above to attain $1b+ valuation 2009 2015 6 2009 2014 5 2010 2016 6 2011 2014 3 2012 2017 5 2012 2015 3 Company X 2018/2019 2021 < 3 years Source: Crunchbase, press release, company website. www.catchagroup.com © 2018 Catcha Group. All Rights Reserved. 12 PREDICTION #3 ⌽ Not A new Unicorn will be built in less than 3 years from launch known Funds raised by SEA non-unicorns $1.4b $1.0b $1.0b $0.9b $0.8b $0.7b $0.4b $0.4b $0.3b SEA’s internet economy is currently 2016 2017 1H 2018 experiencing a funding surge as the ecosystem Startups valued <$10 mil matures – startups valued from $10mil to Startups valued $10mil - $100mil $100mil are raising funds at record volumes Startup valued $100mil - $1b compared to the last 3 years.