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Disaster Risk Management and Food Security Sector

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Disaster Risk Management and Food Security Sector Joint Government – Humanitarian Partners National Flood Contingency Plan 2018 kiremt Flooding in Shabelle Zone, Somali region, April 2018 7 July 2018 Addis Ababa 0 Table of Contents ACRONYMS .................................................................................................................................................... 2 1. BACKGROUND ........................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................................................3 1.2 FORECAST FOR KIREMT2018 ............................................................................................................................... 3 1.3 NMA FORECAST FOR JULY 2017 ........................................................................................................................4 2. FLOOD PRONE AREAS ............................................................................................................................ 5 2.1 FLOOD PRONE AREAS - 2018 .............................................................................................................................5 3. ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE CONTINGENCY PLAN ............................................................................. 5 3.1 MOST-LIKELY SCENARIO ...................................................................................................................................5 3.2 ASSUMPTIONS IN AT-RISK REGIONS .............................................................................................................5 4. PROPOSED INTERVENTIONS FOR THE MOST-LIKELY SCENARIO ......................................... 7 4.1 MITIGATION AND PREPAREDNESS ...................................................................................................................7 4.2 SECTOR-LED FLOOD CONTINGENCY PLANS ..................................................................................................8 4.2.1 Search and Rescue .............................................................................................................................................8 4.2.2 Emergency Shelter and NFI ................................................................................................................................9 4.2.3 Agriculture Sector ............................................................................................................................................. 11 4.2.4. Health Sector .................................................................................................................................................. 13 4.2.5. Nutrition ......................................................................................................................................................... 14 4.2.6 Food ................................................................................................................................................................. 17 4.2.7 Water Sector .................................................................................................................................................... 18 4.2.7.1 Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) ............................................................................................. 18 4.2.7.2 Strengthening flood prevention, control, early warning and communication ......................................19 4.2.8. Education ....................................................................................................................................................... 23 5. Mitigation and preparedness .................................................................................................................... 24 6. IMPLEMENTATION MODALITIES ..................................................................................................... 25 5.1 FEDERAL LEVEL .................................................................................................................................................. 25 5.2 REGIONAL LEVEL ................................................................................................................................................ 25 5.3 ZONAL LEVEL ....................................................................................................................................................... 25 5.4WOREDA/COMMUNITY LEVEL ......................................................................................................................... 26 6. Evaluation .................................................................................................................................................... 26 Annexes ........................................................................................................................................................... 26 Annex I: Identified flood at risk /prone areas of the country for 2018 kiremt flood contingency planning exercise 26 1 Acronyms ATF Agriculture Task Force AWD Acute Watery Diarrhea BMS Breast Milk Substitute CERF Central Emergency Response Fund CP Contingency Plan DRM Disaster Risk Management EHF Ethiopian Humanitarian Fund EHK Emergency Health Kits EOC Emergency Operation Centre EPRP Emergency Preparedness and Response Plan EMWAT Emergency Water Kit ES Emergency Shelter FTF Flood Task Force ICP Incident Command Post IEC Information, Education and Communication IYCF-E Infant and Young Child Feeding in Emergencies LLIN Long-Lasting Insecticide Treated Nets MoWIE Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity MT Metric Ton MUAC Mid-Upper Arm Circumference NDRMC National Disaster Risk Management Commission NFI Non-Food Item NGO Non-Governmental Organization NMA National Meteorology Agency PLW Pregnant and Lactating Women PTAs Parent Teacher Associations RFTFs Regional Flood Task Forces RUSF Ready to Use Supplementary Feeding RUTF Ready to Use Therapeutic Feeding SBCC Social and Behavioral Change Communication SNNPR Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples Region SMAC Strategic Multiagency coordination TSFP Targeted Supplementary Feeding Programs TMAC Technical Multiagency coordination WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene 2 1. BACKGROUND 1.1 Introduction The NDRMC-led Flood Task Force (FTF) prepared the Flood Contingency Plan in order to mitigate the adverse impacts of anticipated floods in the 2018 kiremt (June to September) rain season. The Contingency Plan (CP) will also serve as a tool to mobilize resources to respond to priority needs in relevant sectors. The CP identifies the most likely scenarios based on the weather forecast and analysis of preparedness and response capacities of at-risk or affected communities. The National Meteorology Agency (NMA) forecast for 2018 kiremt, which formed the basis for the development of the Alert document and CPs, warns that flooding is anticipated in many areas including the northern, northeastern, central, western, southwestern, eastern and adjoining rift valleys of the country. This Contingency Plan provides flood-related requirements by sector for the 2018 kiremt season, including other mitigation and preparedness measures. In April 2018, the NDRMC-led multi-sector National Flood Task Force issued the first Flood Alert based on the National Meteorology Agency (NMA) Mid-Season Forecast for the belg/gu/ganna season (April to May 2018). Subsequently, on 20 May, the National Flood Task Force updated and issued a second Flood Alert based on the monthly NMA weather update for the month of May 2018 which indicates a geographic shift in rainfall from the southeastern parts of Ethiopia (Somali region) towards the western, central and some parts of northern Ethiopia including southern Oromia, some parts of SNNPR, Amhara, Gambella, Afar and Tigray during the month of May 2018. On 29 May, the NMA issued a new weather forecast for the 2018 kiremt season indicating that many areas of northern, northeastern, central, western, southwestern, eastern and adjoining rift valleys are expected to receive dominantly above normal rainfall. In addition, southern highlands and southern Ethiopia are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall activity, while normal rainfall activity is expected over pocket areas of northwestern Ethiopia. It is also likely that occasional heavy rainfall may inundate low-lying areas in and around river basins. The Flood Alert has therefore been revised for the third time to provide updated information on the probable weather condition for the 2018 kiremt season and identify areas likely to be affected in the country to prompt timely mitigation, preparedness and response measures. The Alert will be further updated based on revisions in the NMA forecast and changes in the situation on the ground. The Alert formed the basis for preparations of the contingency plan. 1.2 Forecast for kiremt 2018 The NMA identified 1996 and 2006 as the best analogue years for the 2018 seasonal outlook. The outlook indicates that the season (June to September 2018) will be characterized by the following phenomenon: The onset of the seasonal rain is expected to be within the normal periods across the Southwestern and western Ethiopia and slightly late over Northwest. Normal Cessation for the 2018 kiremt benefiting areas is expected. Many places of northern, northeastern, 3 central, western, south western, eastern, and adjoining rift valleys are expected to receive dominantly above normal rainfall.
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