Joint Government – Humanitarian Partners National Flood Contingency Plan 2018 kiremt

Flooding in Shabelle Zone, Somali region, April 2018

7 July 2018 Addis Ababa

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Table of Contents

ACRONYMS ...... 2 1. BACKGROUND ...... 3 1.1 INTRODUCTION ...... 3 1.2 FORECAST FOR KIREMT2018 ...... 3 1.3 NMA FORECAST FOR JULY 2017 ...... 4 2. FLOOD PRONE AREAS ...... 5 2.1 FLOOD PRONE AREAS - 2018 ...... 5 3. ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE CONTINGENCY PLAN ...... 5 3.1 MOST-LIKELY SCENARIO ...... 5 3.2 ASSUMPTIONS IN AT-RISK REGIONS ...... 5 4. PROPOSED INTERVENTIONS FOR THE MOST-LIKELY SCENARIO ...... 7 4.1 MITIGATION AND PREPAREDNESS ...... 7 4.2 SECTOR-LED FLOOD CONTINGENCY PLANS ...... 8 4.2.1 Search and Rescue ...... 8 4.2.2 Emergency Shelter and NFI ...... 9 4.2.3 Agriculture Sector ...... 11 4.2.4. Health Sector ...... 13 4.2.5. Nutrition ...... 14 4.2.6 Food ...... 17 4.2.7 Water Sector ...... 18 4.2.7.1 Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) ...... 18 4.2.7.2 Strengthening flood prevention, control, early warning and communication ...... 19 4.2.8. Education ...... 23 5. Mitigation and preparedness ...... 24 6. IMPLEMENTATION MODALITIES ...... 25 5.1 FEDERAL LEVEL ...... 25 5.2 REGIONAL LEVEL ...... 25 5.3 ZONAL LEVEL ...... 25 5.4WOREDA/COMMUNITY LEVEL ...... 26 6. Evaluation ...... 26 Annexes ...... 26 Annex I: Identified flood at risk /prone areas of the country for 2018 kiremt flood contingency planning exercise 26

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Acronyms ATF Agriculture Task Force AWD Acute Watery Diarrhea BMS Breast Milk Substitute CERF Central Emergency Response Fund CP Contingency Plan DRM Disaster Risk Management EHF Ethiopian Humanitarian Fund EHK Emergency Health Kits EOC Emergency Operation Centre EPRP Emergency Preparedness and Response Plan EMWAT Emergency Water Kit ES Emergency Shelter FTF Flood Task Force ICP Incident Command Post IEC Information, Education and Communication IYCF-E Infant and Young Child Feeding in Emergencies LLIN Long-Lasting Insecticide Treated Nets MoWIE Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity MT Metric Ton MUAC Mid-Upper Arm Circumference NDRMC National Disaster Risk Management Commission NFI Non-Food Item NGO Non-Governmental Organization NMA National Meteorology Agency PLW Pregnant and Lactating Women PTAs Parent Teacher Associations RFTFs Regional Flood Task Forces RUSF Ready to Use Supplementary Feeding RUTF Ready to Use Therapeutic Feeding SBCC Social and Behavioral Change Communication SNNPR Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples Region SMAC Strategic Multiagency coordination TSFP Targeted Supplementary Feeding Programs TMAC Technical Multiagency coordination WASH Water, Sanitation and Hygiene 2

1. BACKGROUND

1.1 Introduction The NDRMC-led Flood Task Force (FTF) prepared the Flood Contingency Plan in order to mitigate the adverse impacts of anticipated floods in the 2018 kiremt (June to September) rain season. The Contingency Plan (CP) will also serve as a tool to mobilize resources to respond to priority needs in relevant sectors. The CP identifies the most likely scenarios based on the weather forecast and analysis of preparedness and response capacities of at-risk or affected communities. The National Meteorology Agency (NMA) forecast for 2018 kiremt, which formed the basis for the development of the Alert document and CPs, warns that flooding is anticipated in many areas including the northern, northeastern, central, western, southwestern, eastern and adjoining rift valleys of the country. This Contingency Plan provides flood-related requirements by sector for the 2018 kiremt season, including other mitigation and preparedness measures.

In April 2018, the NDRMC-led multi-sector National Flood Task Force issued the first Flood Alert based on the National Meteorology Agency (NMA) Mid-Season Forecast for the belg/gu/ganna season (April to May 2018). Subsequently, on 20 May, the National Flood Task Force updated and issued a second Flood Alert based on the monthly NMA weather update for the month of May 2018 which indicates a geographic shift in rainfall from the southeastern parts of (Somali region) towards the western, central and some parts of northern Ethiopia including southern , some parts of SNNPR, Amhara, Gambella, Afar and Tigray during the month of May 2018.

On 29 May, the NMA issued a new weather forecast for the 2018 kiremt season indicating that many areas of northern, northeastern, central, western, southwestern, eastern and adjoining rift valleys are expected to receive dominantly above normal rainfall. In addition, southern highlands and southern Ethiopia are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall activity, while normal rainfall activity is expected over pocket areas of northwestern Ethiopia. It is also likely that occasional heavy rainfall may inundate low-lying areas in and around river basins.

The Flood Alert has therefore been revised for the third time to provide updated information on the probable weather condition for the 2018 kiremt season and identify areas likely to be affected in the country to prompt timely mitigation, preparedness and response measures. The Alert will be further updated based on revisions in the NMA forecast and changes in the situation on the ground. The Alert formed the basis for preparations of the contingency plan.

1.2 Forecast for kiremt 2018 The NMA identified 1996 and 2006 as the best analogue years for the 2018 seasonal outlook. The outlook indicates that the season (June to September 2018) will be characterized by the following phenomenon:  The onset of the seasonal rain is expected to be within the normal periods across the Southwestern and western Ethiopia and slightly late over Northwest.  Normal Cessation for the 2018 kiremt benefiting areas is expected.  Many places of northern, northeastern,

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central, western, south western, eastern, and adjoining rift valleys are expected to receive dominantly above normal rainfall.  In addition, southern highlands and southern Ethiopia are likely to receive normal tending to above normal rainfall activity. Whereas, normal rainfall is expected over pocket areas of northwestern Ethiopia.  It is also likely that occasional heavy falls at places that may inundate low-lying areas and around the river basins.  South and southeast (climatologically dry) portions of the nation will receive occasional rainfalls during early June and September  In general, with the expectation of near normal episodic event of the Pacific Ocean during the upcoming NH summer monsoon, most of the 2018 kiremt benefiting areas of the country are anticipated to have at most wet weather activity.

1.3 NMA forecast for July 2018 The NMA forecast for July 2018 indicates that the kiremt bearing weather system will be strengthen in most kiremt rain benefiting areas. Hence, normal to above normal rainfall is expected in most parts of the country including east and west Wellega, Jimma, Illuababora, west, east and north Shewa, west and east Hararghe, Arsi and Bale zones in Oromia region , west and east Gojjam, north and south Gondar, Bahir Dar Zuria, Awi, north Shewa, north and south Wello zones in , all zones in Tigray, Gambella and Benishangul Gumuz regions , and Keffa, Bench Mazi, Guraghe, Hadiya, Wolayita, Dawuro, Gamogofa and Sidama zones in SNNPR .The rains in some areas is anticipated to be heavy and will likely cause flash and river floods. On other hand, near normal rainfall is likely in Siti and Jigjiga zones in Somali region, Dire Dawa Administrative Council, Harari, Zone One, Zone Three, Zone Four and Zone Five in Afar region, south Omo and Segen people’s administrative zones in SNNPR.

2. FLOOD PRONE AREAS

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2.1 Flood prone areas - 2018 In Ethiopia, flooding usually takes place at the peak of the kiremt rainy season (July and August) in most flood-prone areas. In Gambella flooding often occurs during August and September. In Somali region, heavy rains in the neighboring highland areas of Oromia usually cause flooding during the kiremt season. Unseasonal and above-normal rainfall during October to January could also cause flooding in areas along Wabe Shebelle and Genale rivers in Somali region and Omo River in SNNPR. Similarly, heavy rainfall in the surrounding highlands of Amhara, and Tigray often results in the overflow of the Awash River and its tributaries and flash floods in Afar. Flooding around Lake Tana (Fogera and Dembia Plains) is induced by backflow of Lake Tana and overflow of its major tributaries (Rib and Gumera Rivers in Fogera and Direma and Megech in Dembia) at times of heavy rainfall.

3. ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE

CONTINGENCY PLAN Table 1: Number of people likely to be affected and displaced Looking at the weather forecast for kiremt during kiremt 2018 season and analyzing historical data from analogue years (1996 and 2006), the 2017 Population Estimated predicted and affected population figure and Region at Risk IDP considering regional preparedness and Tigray 70,633 17,658 response plans of at-risk areas, the Somali 373,969 93,492 following most likely scenario is SNNP 580,401 145,100 established. 176,889 Oromia 707,556 3.1 Most-likely scenario Gambella 42,066 10,516 This scenario is based on the assumptions D/D 32,098 8,025 that Flooding will take place in many areas B/Gumuz 24,701 6,175 as the NMA forecast indicated as follows: Amhara 562,320 140,580 Afar 154,654 38,663 • Many places of northern, north eastern, central, western, south Harari 2,114 529 western, eastern, and adjoining rift TOTAL 2,550,512 637,628 valleys are expected to receive dominantly above normal rainfall. • In addition, southern highlands and southern Ethiopia are likely to receive normal tending to above normal rainfall activity. Whereas, normal rainfall activity is expected over pocket areas of north western Ethiopia. • It is also likely that occasional heavy falls at places that may inundate low –lying areas. Based on this scenario and the assumptions, it is estimated that 2,550,512 people would be affected by river and flash floods in 2018 kiremt. Out of these 637,628people across the country are likely to be displaced at some point (see Table 1 for woreda breakdown). The scenario and the associated numbers are used by sector task forces (food, ES/NFI, Agriculture, Health, Nutrition and WASH) to develop simple and responsive sector-led contingency plans.

3.2 Assumptions in at-risk regions*

Somali: Somali region is highly prone to both flash and river floods given the geographical location where excessive rains from highlands of neighboring Oromia overflow major rivers in the region. Floods result in losses of property, displacement and damages to infrastructures at times of excessive and heavy rains in the region. During the 2018 kiremt season, it is estimated that an average of 373,969 people will likely be affected by flood in Addile, Afdem, Ayisha, Bera’ano, Chereti, Danan, 5

Debeweiyne, Dollo Ado, Dollo Bay, East Imy, Elkari, Erer, Ferfer, Gode, Hadigala, Hargelle, Jigjiga, Jigjiga Town, Kabribayah, Kebridehar, Kelafo, Miesso, Mustahile, Shelabo, Shinile, Togo Chale, Warder and west Imy woredas

Oromia: In Oromia region, flood often results from heavy rains causing overflow on the surface. Much of the flood disasters in Oromia are related to rivers that overflow and burst their banks following heavy rains and inundated lowlands. Taking into consideration the forecast for the 2018 kiremt season, it is estimated that 707,556 people will likely be affected in Abaya, Adama, Agarfa, Babogambel, Becho, Bedeno, Berbere, Boku, Boset, Chole, Dadar , Dawaserer, Dendi, Dire, Dodota, Dugda, Dugda Dawa, Ejere, Fentale, Gasera, Gelana, , Girawa, Gola Oda, Gololcha, Gololcha (Arsi), Gorodola, GoroGutu, Gursum, Habro, Haromaya, Hawi Gudina, Hitosa, Illu, (E.Harerghe), Jarso (W.Wellega), Jeju, Kersa, , Kondala, Kumbi, Lega Hida, Liben, Melka Soda, Menesibu, Merti, Meta, Mieso, Miyo, Moyale, Oda Bultum, OnkdoWabe, Sababoru, Sebeta Awas, Seru, Shala, Siraro, Wolmera, Wonji,,Ziekula, and Zeway Dugda. woredas .

SNNPR: Most flood occurrences in the region are related to overflow of rivers and burst of banks following torrential rains. Floods in the region at times result in displacement, loss of property, depletion of natural resources and disruption of social services and damage to infrastructure. Considering anticipated excessive rain in 2018kiremt season 580,401 people are expected to be affected in the flood-prone areas including Dasenech, Nyangatom, Hammer, BenaTsemay, Jinka town, Selamago, Debub Are and Semen Are, Shashogo, Mirab Badewacho and Lemo, Awassa City, Kochere, Kachabira, Tembaro, HaderoTunto, KedidaGamela and Damboya, Humbo, Damotwoyide, Damot Sore, Duguna Fango, KindoDidaye, Ofa, Sodo Zuria and Kindo Koyisha, Alaba special woreda, Lokaabaya, Hawassa zuria, Dilla, Hula and Shebedino, Dalocha, Sankura, Lanfuro, Silti, Mesqan, Mareqo, Muhur Na Aklil, Sodo and Butajira, Arba Minch town, Daramalo, Bonke, Deramalo, Mierab Abaya and Boreda, Gimbo and Basketo Special woreda (Basketo) woredas

Amhara: Floods result in property loss, displacement and damages to infrastructures at times of excessive and heavy rains in the region. During the 2018 kiremt season, it is estimated that an average of 562,320 people will affected by flood in Antsokiya Gemza, Efrata Gidm, Kewet and Tarma Ber, Dehnan, Sekota, Gaz Gibla, Ziquala, Dembia, Gonder Zuria, Matema and Chelga, Libo Kemkem, Fogera, Dera, Simada, and Tache Gaint, Semen Achefer, Debube Achefer, Baher Dar Zuria, Mecha and Degadamot, JileTumuga, Arthuma Fursi, Dewa Chefa, Shewa Robit, and Kemisie town Ankeshia Dejen Kobo, Guba Lafto, Bugna, Habru, Mekete, , Kembolcha, Wegadi, Desse, Ambasel and Thehulederie woredas.

Gambella: Heavy rainfall often results in flooding in low-lying areas of Gambella along the Baro, Gilo, and Akobo Rivers. During kiremt 2018, floods will likely affect 42,066 people in Etang special woreda Etang), Lare, Jikawo, Akobo, Mackoye and Wanthewa and Gambella town, Gambella zuria, Jor, Gog and Dimma woredas.

Afar: Heavy rainfall in the surrounding highlands of Amhara, and Tigray regions often result in flash flood and overflow of Awash River and its tributaries in Afar. During kiremt 2018, 154,654 people are likely to be affected by floods in Dubti, Afambo, Elidaar, Asayita, Mille and Chifra, Ab’ala, Berhale, Megale, Dalule and Koneba, Amibara, Dulecha, Gewane, Awash Fentale and Buremudaytu, Teru, Yalo and Gulina and, Semurubi woredas.

Tigray: 70,633 people would likely be affected by flash and river floods in Weri Lake and Adwa, Saesi Tseade Emaba, Humera, Alamata, Raya Azebo, Enda Mekoni, Maichew, Emba Alaje during the 2018 kiremt season.

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Dire Dawa: 32,098 people will likely be affected by flash flood during the 2018 kiremt season in Dire Dawa City administration and Kaka woreda.

Harari: 2,114 people would likely be affected by flash flood in Harari Region.

Addis Ababa: Pocket areas in Addis Ababa will likely be affected by both river and flash floods in the season.

*The numbers corresponding to the regions above are not inclusive of some of the woredas identified as at-risk. Complete list of at flood risk prone areas appears in Annex I.

4. PROPOSED INTERVENTIONS FOR THE MOST-LIKELY SCENARIO

4.1 Mitigation and Preparedness Early Warning and Early Actions: Incidences of floods (both river and flash flood) have been one of the most common hazards in Ethiopia. Flash flood, in particular, due to its unexpected nature have long been causing substantial damages on human lives and properties. 7

In order to monitor and manage such flood risks, an effective and well-organized flood monitoring and management system is required through early detection and subsequent actions. Following this approach, linkages among different and responsible sectors including NMA, MoWIE, and regional, zonal and woreda level experts/officials should be strengthened and/or established (where they don’t exist). This would enable to monitor the rainfall and flood situation in their respective areas; collect, analyze and interpret flood information; provide timely flood alert/warning; and timely disseminate information to decision-makers and vulnerable communities for early actions. It is also strongly advised that the channel and mode of communication on early warning and early actions are as equally important as the information itself as this governs the timeliness and quality of responses. The flood information shall comprise updated weather forecasts, anticipated flash/river floods events, close monitoring of water levels in rivers, reservoirs and lakes and evacuation plans – and most importantly the anticipated risks on lives and livelihoods.

Flood vulnerable communities in all flood prone woredas need to be put on alert for possible serious flooding. Consequently, people in these areas should be encouraged to build at a level high off the ground to keep families, stocks and properties out of the way of incoming flood waters. Livestock should also be relocated to safer grounds.

Floods protection ditches and dikes: The woreda flood task forces, together with woreda water bureaus will coordinate preparation of low-cost sand bags, and other context specifics local structures, and construction and maintenance of flood protection ditches and dikes. Maintenance of drainage channels in main towns should also be strengthened by town administration and municipalities, whenever such threats are soaring.

Experience shows that one of flood damage aggravating factors is abandoned traditional irrigation canals and temporary diversion structures that are left after the end of irrigation periods. In such cases, the canals unnecessarily lead flood waters into farmlands and houses causing damages easily. Preliminary removal of temporary diversion structures and closing of riverside canals is therefore highly recommended to safeguard lives and properties.

Evacuation plan: Flood Task Forces at all levels should be activated to closely monitor the rainfall and flood situation in their respective areas. It is also expected that the Floods task force will have to work in close collaboration with other sectoral coordination platforms for supplementary and integrated approaches and for collective actions as relevant. The Federal Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity in collaboration with the regional flood task forces, regional/zonal/woreda administrations, water bureaus and the community are responsible to closely monitor water levels of rivers/dams and immediately evacuate people at-risk, as required.

4.2 Sector-led Flood Contingency Plans

4.2.1 Search and Rescue Based on the most likely scenario that identified an estimated 2,550,512 people to be affected of which 637,628 would be displaced, it is recognized that immediate humanitarian and lifesaving interventions are required. Considering that floods bring about devastating damages on infrastructure, many people could be surrounded by water inhibiting the supply of food and other emergency response items to affected communities. It is anticipated that there will be a need for heavy equipment and means of transport for search and rescue and lifesaving interventions including trucks, boats, helicopters, rubber boots, lifesaving jackets and other essentials to transport and support stranded households. In such circumstances, although NDRMC will continue coordinating with the Ministry of Defense to undertake search and rescue operations together, it is advisable that the regional government takes up the initiative to explore for more options of engaging, including community mobilization and reaching out to local 8 private sectors outlets as part of wider public private partnerships. This approach will also allow participations and subsequent engagements of all stakeholders and could be used to further expand the risk reduction efforts not only to floods but to other disaster risks as well.

4.2.2 Emergency Shelter and NFI People in need: 138,283 households People targeted: 80,317 households (pillar 2)/23,186 households (pillar 3) Financial Requirements: $10 million (pillar 2)/$9 million (pillar 3) Number of partners: 12

Emergency shelter and NFI’s are often key humanitarian needs in the aftermaths of flood disasters, which often wash away houses and dwellings with all household items and other personal belongings, leaving inhabitants with no shelter exposed to harsh weather conditions and diseases. Provision of essential items including emergency shelter, bedding sets, cooking items, mosquito sets, and hygiene kits are core life-saving assistance to flood affected IDP’s. To facilitate the return or reintegration of the displaced population, recovery activities including house repair and construction of transitional shelters are also crucial.

Distribution of ES/NFI kits: It is estimated that 50 per cent of the estimated population or 57,966 households will be in need of ES/NFI support. In addition to that, the Cluster will have to mobilize resources to provide support to the current flood affected, who remained unassisted up-to-date. A total of 22,351 households have been identified in Oromia, SNNPR and Somali (Shabelle still has 13,506 unassisted IDP’s households).

So far, the Cluster has mobilized support for 23,000 households through CERF and ECHO grants. The assistance modality is expected to be 50 per cent in-kind and 50 per cent in cash depending on market access in the affected areas. Market assessments conducted by IOM revealed that cash assistance was feasible in Dolo Ado woreda, Afder zone but not in the woredas along the Shabelle River. Further assessments will be planned in the immediate aftermath of disasters.

The total estimated budget requirement to support 57,317 households (total of 80,317 households – 23,000 households supported through CERF and ECHO) under pillar 2 is $10 million.

Repair and Reconstruction Activities: Support under pillar 3 will be provided to 10 per cent of the estimated displaced population, representing a total of 23,186 households (11,593 for each type of assistance).

The Cluster has mobilized support for 6,000 households through the second CERF grants. Therefore, the total estimated budget requirement for repair and reconstruction activities are $3.2 million and $5,5 million, respectively.

Priority: Vulnerable groups, including women and children, and people with disabilities will be prioritized. Priority woredas are those with a) a high percentage of their overall population being displaced, b) a concentration of conflict and climate induced IDP’s.

Recovery activities can create unintended environment impacts. As such, measures will be taken to minimize unnecessarily garbage and waste materials and avoid a loss of important ecological resources. The houses will be repaired and rebuilt using partly natural and sustainable materials sourced locally. In addition to it, small changes will be made to traditional house designs to improve water resistance in the longer term.

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Activities Indicator Target Distribution of ES/NFI kits or Number of households with 80,137 households cash grants adequate shelter Repair activities Number of households with 11,593 households repaired shelter Reconstruction activities Number of households with 11,593 households rebuilt shelter

Prediction for 2018 Kirmet Season Region Population at risk – HH Expected Population to HH in need of shelter be displaced- HH and NFI support Oromia 128,647 32,162 16,081 SNNPR 105,527 26,382 13,191 Amhara 102,240 25,560 12,780 Somali 67,994 16,999 8,499 Afar 28,119 7,030 3,515 Tigray 12,842 3,211 1,605 Gambella 7,648 1,912 956 Dire Dawa 5,836 1,459 730 Beninshangul Gumuz 4,491 1,123 561 Harari 384 96 48 TOTAL 463,728 115,932 57,966

Region Shelter and Financial Repair Financial Reconstructi Financial NFI kits- Requiremen Activities - Requiremen on Requiremen HH* ts (USD) HH ts (USD) Activities- ts (USD)- HH Oromia 18,246 3,193,028 3,216 1,206,065.6 3,216 2,090,514 SNNPR 14,488 2,535,378 2,638 989,315.6 2,638 1,714,814 Amhara 12,780 2,236,500 2,556 958,500.0 2,556 1,661,400 Somali 27,388 4,792,943 1,700 637,443.8 1,700 1,104,903 Afar 3,515 615,103 703 263,615.6 703 456,934 Tigray 1,605 280,918 321 120,393.8 321 208,683 Gambella 956 167,300.00 191 71,700.0 191 124,280 Dire Dawa 730 127,662.50 146 54,712.5 146 94,835 Beninshang 561 98,240.63 112 42,103.1 112 72,979 ul Gumuz Harari 48 8,400.00 10 3,600.0 10 6,240 TOTAL 80,317 14,055,475 11,593 4,347,450 11,593 7,535,580 Total - 57,317 10,030,475 8,593 3,222,450 8,593 5,585,580 Mobilised Ressources

*these numbers include 50 per cent of the estimated displaced population for the Kimret season PLUS the number of flood affected population still unassisted as of 19 June.

4.2.3 Agriculture Sector In the disaster response phase, the initial emphasis is inevitably on saving human lives. However, early emphasis is also necessary on saving livestock, in particular moving them from flood affected areas to higher ground. Shelter for poultry is required as well. Livestock that are relocated need access to animal health services. Livestock will need to be vaccinated against diseases and treated for parasites. Seed, short maturing and varieties cultivated by residual moisture distribution, should also be continued as required depending on 10 the season and recessional agricultural practices of the respective areas in order to reduce the need for emergency food in later months. Some flood mitigation measures are also included to protect grazing and agricultural lands during and immediately after flooding to reduce negative impacts of flood events. See Table 2 below for details on agriculture sector response plan.

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Table4: Agriculture sector response plan for flood 2018 Region Population Expected Estimated Area in Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated budget Estimated Total Estimated to be Population to no. of hectare seed(Qts) No. of budget for seed for livestock (USD) budget for Budget required affected be displaced HHS required* Livestock (USD) mitigation (USD) (USD) 70,633 650 1,670 3,675 940 27,000 1,974,000 950,000 4,500,000 7,424,000 Tigray 24,560 5,6 7,260,2 977,313 4,230,123 950,000 5,207,436 19,438 Somali 363,606 118,829 18 44 SNNP 564318 271,823 Oromia 687,950 315,327 17,953 9,443 9,443 53,859 36,449,980 1,454,193 37,904,173 Gambella 42,066 10,517 D/D 32,098 8,025 B/Gumuz 24,701 6,175 Amhara 546,738 265,110 Afar 63,000 44,000 12,600 2,728 494 50,200 4,748,959 1,760,000 6,508,959 Harari 2,114 529 Total (USD) *Short maturing varieties of seeds including maize, wheat, pulses and vegetable seed.

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4.2.4 Health Sector The health sector plan is prepared on the predicted population of likely to be displaced in order to provide health care services, disease surveillance, prevention and control of outbreaks of vector borne diseases such as Malaria, Yellow and Dengue fever, chikungunya and water- borne diseases like AWD, AFP, and scabies. More over this contingency plan of health part incorporates surveillance, prevention and control on outbreaks of Measles, Pneumonia, and sever acute malnutrition. The details of each of the health issues due to flood are identified as follows. Basic Health Service: One of the challenges in flood is that the health facilities in the affected areas might also be affected in different ways that disrupt the delivery of basic and essential health services. On the other hand, the flood may cause internal displacement of the population which leads to displacement to areas where there is no health facility or the health facility does not have a required capacity. Therefore, it is important to ensure that the continuity of these basic health services is achieved. Resources that are required for this purpose include emergency health kits (IHK) and health professionals including mobile clinics. Malaria: Although FMOH has rolled-out LLINs to all malaria prone woredas, the households might lose their nets due to the flood emergency. So it is assumed each household who will be displaced will receive at least one LLIN. In addition, it is assumed that 10 per cent of the population to be affected by floods and dislocated to malaria prone areas will be diagnosed and treated for malaria. Water Born Diseases: During flooding clean water scarcity is one of the major problems. The existing water schemes either be broken down or contaminated with flood. The risk of acute watery diarrhea and other water-borne diseases is high. Accordingly, drugs and supplies for treatment of such diseases are considered in this proposal. Note: Water treatment chemicals and EMWAT kits are included under WASH topic.

Measles: Flood situation increases the risk of measles outbreak, such as malnutrition and displacement weakens the immunity of the children. Therefore, there is a need for mass vaccination for children under 15 years old who would be affected by the flood.

Based on the anticipated risk areas, the total estimated budget required to respond to the flood health emergencies is $38,196,480. The summary of the beneficiaries of each of the hazards and the budget are indicated in the table below.

Table 5: Summary of Number of Beneficiary and budget required to manage health issues in flood affected area in Ethiopia - July 2018

Estimated number Estimated of Populations Beneficiary Required Activities affected Number (USD) AWD 2,550,512 5,101 121,753 Measles 2,550,512 3,826 1,056,727 Scabies 2,550,512 382,577 247,828 Meningitis 2,550,512 1,785,358 861,211 Dengue Fever and ITNs 2,550,512 1,417,461 7,085,215 Yellow Fever 2,550,512 8,927 259,554 Rabies 2,550,512 765 78,367 RF 2,550,512 382,577 2,248,554 IDP Kit 2,550,512 2,550,512 13,287,700 Pneumonia Management 2,550,512 127,526 328,722 Total (USD) 25,575,631 13

Organisational Needs Numbers Unit cost - USD Total cost - USD

Transportation of all supplies* 6,393,908

Impact assessment by RRT 309 650 200,869

MHNTs for response for 3 months 309 7,500 2,317,720 Vehicle rental: MHNTs inclusive of fuel costs for 3 months 309 12,000 3,708,352

Sub Total 12,620,849 *Assuming 25% of the total supplies cost goes to transportation

4.2.5. Nutrition

The outlined contingency response for nutrition is inline with Objective one and three in the HDRP March 2018 to ensure quality treatment and services accessibility is maintained for SAM and MAM treatment among children aged 6-59 months and pregnant women and nursing mothers. Admission and screening data is not yet systematically disaggregated for sex. Beyond the National HDRP response, this Flood contingency proposes additional technical operational and commodity support for targeted areas where flash floods and high risk flooding is now predicted during the kremt season. Nutrition Cluster proposed  Priority Actions Gap analysis and projection of elevated caseloads for additional needs: – map capacity of Govt to manage CMAM service delivery, flag gaps and identify locations, communities and activities/response not covered in HDRP. Out of the 226 woredas so far listed as high flood risk priority, some 86 are currently Priority 1. Using regional prevalence, incidence and coverage estimates from HDRP- additional elevated caseloads are planned for as contingency 25% SAM (and 20% additional SC admissions) , plus 10% elevation on MAM in U5 and PLW. This is factored in to the targeted IDP AM response needs for 6 month period July-December 2018 and is in addition to the UNICEF plan/needs for 350,111 SAM, and WFP 2 million MAM response (within the national 3.48 million).

Ensure support for RHBs to deliver quality service provision for SAM and MAM treatment and management through Government CMAM with TSFP. UNICEF has planned for additional 255 SC treatment kits (standard pack of therapeutic milks, first and second line antibiotics, materials for SC) plus 355 SC opening kits to allow replacement/refurbishment in target areas; Additional RUTF is based on projected additional 619 children with SAM in the target woredas/IDP for 6 months and BP5 procurement as back stop in the event of road inaccessibility when CSB++ and GFD delivery is disrupted, the BP5 high energy biscuits are used for U5 and PLW as break through ration for up to 14 days. Technical assistance through CMAM monitors and zonal coordination is continued in Somali Region. WFP – beyond the operation to support Govt to treat and manage circa 2 million individuals with MAM (U5/PLW), WFP plan contingency response for an additional 28,282 individuals for 6 month (2 round TSFP)- total around 480 MT of specialised nutritious foods (CSB++, and Plumpy Supp for children reached by RHB MHNT in Afar and Somali).

NGO support for full CMAM/TSFP is promoted for better quality and coverage of SAM and MAM treatment especially in remote and hard to reach areas. In Non priority HS woredas, where floods

14 have caused high influx of IDP beyond Govt capacity- special operations arrangements to be started using RRT and MHNT as options managed by NGOs. NGO support for MAM in these areas needs special arrangement with WFP to manage MHNT supplies for MAM.

Micronutrient deficiency prevention – through top up of Vitamin A and deworming service provision for children (costed by UNICEF within HDRP)

Enhanced promotion of IYCFE practices and support through enhanced counselling especially among displaced populations; strengthen/establish mother to mother support groups for peer group leaning and protection; close monitoring of Breast Milk substitutes in the response and ensure Govt relief commodities containing powdered milk are well labelled with C4D follow up in the community and at distribution points – to mitigate infants being fed potentially life threatening powdered milk (high mortality and morbidity risk caused by contamination and inappropriate nutritional content for infants).

In areas that are Hard to reach, very remote and ‘beyond the reach of static health and nutrition services’- provide outreach Health and Nutrition service package where feasible (using Health Centre base, with vehicle and trained staff deployed daily with full PHC and SAM/MAM treatment kits and capacity, reaching communities within a one day drive round trip); and MHNT for more remote areas and communities cut off from the static health and nutrition services (full package of health and nutrition to be assured in each MHNT). RHB and partners to ensure regular screening for nutrition- monthly or bimonthly, especially where high influx of IDP reside, to ensure vulnerable communities are flagged for additional response. UNICEF continued financial and technical support for RHB screening, RENCU to continue to analyse and consolidate reports from screening and share with RHBs, FMOH and Cluster partners.

Coordination-Enhanced zonal level coordination in target areas to promote better multisectoral response, manage information flow, and early identification of alerts. UNICEF plan to continue 9 zonal coordinators and 9 zonal nutrition officers in Somali Region, and will deploy an additional 6 in other regions as per priority needs.

 Monitoring indicators The National and International performance indicators will be used specific to CMAM and to TSFP re % cure, death and default rates; service coverage>80% for TSFP; Monthly reporting on targeted reached v plan; host/IDP disaggregated data from screening (treatment data is consolidated at woredas health office level for SAM and MAM treatment) Note that ENCU/UNICEF is planning to provide technical support and training of key focals from RHBs in Addis Ababa, Harari and Dire Dawa to manage TFP data and reporting. This activity planned for June ahs been pushed back to August due to FMOH availability. This will help the reporting of SAM treatment and management outcomes in these priority areas.

 Target The Nutrition Cluster used the same regional prevalence, incidence and correction factor and coverage estimates during this exercise as reflected in the HDRP, with the following contingency ‘worst case scenario’ factors considered:.

SAM: UNICEF projects an additional 619 children with SAM will be treated in these affected 226 woredas over a 6 month period July-December. An increased caseload by 25% SAM with 20%

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increase SC admissions has been planned for within this target. This is in addition to the annual 350,111 children in the HRD:

MAM target 28,282 individuals: WFP flood contingency target 17,867 U5 with MAM, and 10,415 PLW with AM in addition to the 2.2 million annual projection in P1, second gen and the flood contingency areas. An additional 10% contingency is planned for above the 6 month projected caseload for each woredas.

NGO support for full CMAM/TSFP in all P1, with MHNT for IDP in line with RHB/Health cluster deployment plan. Plus, preparedness to deploy MHNT in urban sites, in remote areas (non HS) as directed by RHB with commodities arranged by WFP, UNCIEF and Health Cluster (operations and EDK)

Table 1: Estimated nutrition beneficiaries number by IDPs Region #Woreda Pop@risk Estimated Estimated Additional Additional IDPs (25%) 6-59 SAM SC month caseload 6 IDPs mo (15%) Afar 22 154,656 38,664 5800 58 4 Amhara 42 562,321 140580 21087 36 1 B/Gumu 2 24701 6175 926 1 0 D/D 2 32098 8025 1204 72 11 Gambela 10 42068 10517 1578 5 0 Harrari 1 2114 529 79 89 13 Oromia 63 707558 176890 26533 77 3 SNNP 48 580404 145101 21765 56 3 Somali 27 373969 93492 14024 222 34 Tigrai 9 70634 17659 2649 4 0

Table 2: Required budget for supply procurement (USD) Region RUTF SC opening SC treatment BP5 Technical kit kit assistance Afar 2724 7840 3588 144772 943,000 Amhara 1703 21560 6552 526200

B/Gumu 66 490 312 23114 943000+2386687 = 3,329,687 is D/D 3360 490 1248 30036 the required Gambela 215 4410 1560 39366 budget Harrari 4146 490 1560 1978 Oromia 3984 66150 9828 662107 SNNP 2607 42630 7488 543121 Somali 10371 13720 6240 349947 Tigrai 168 6370 1404 66097 Grand Total 28954 164150 39780 2,386,687

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4.2.6. Food

In 2018, the national flood taskforce is projecting that 2.5million people will be affected by floods during the kiremt season, particularly in low-lying areas. This is in additional to people affected by floods in the Somali region during the belg season. The taskforce is also estimating that 25 percent of the affected people will be displaced (637,628 individuals) in the 10 regions. This will likely result in increase in number of people that will require food assistance in 2018. Two scenarios are therefore being presented on the food needs and estimated costs of responding to the response in flood risk areas. In order to respond to the food needs of affected households, below two scenarios are being considered

Scenario 1: Support only to 637,628 displaced people [US$24.4million]  Displaced households will be prioritized for food assistance for three months, at an estimated cost of US24.4million. Region Displaced Cereals (Mt) Pulses(Mt) Oil (Mt) Total(Mt) US$ Afar 38,664 1,740 174 52 1,966 1,476,514 Amhara 140,580 6,326 633 190 7,149 5,368,528 B/Gumuz 6,175 278 28 8 314 235,823 D/D 8,025 361 36 11 408 306,442 Harari 529 24 2 1 27 20,183 Somali 93,492 4,207 421 126 4,754 3,570,315 Tigray 17,658 795 79 24 898 674,349 Gambela 10,517 473 47 14 535 401,627 Oromiya 176,889 7960 796 238 8,995 6,755,117 SNNPR 145,100 6,530 653 196 7,378 5,541,168 Grand 637,628 28,693 2,869 861 32,424 24,350,066 Total

Scenario 2: Support to 2.55 million people affected by the floods [US$97.4million]  Food operators will be expected to provide assistance based on the food insecurity status of the affected households. Table below shows food requirements for three rounds per region for the 2.55 million people that are projected to be affected by the floods. The estimated cost for the three months is approximately $97.4million1. This is the worse-off scenario, if all the affected households will be food insecure, however, not all the affected households may require food assistance. Region At Risk Cereals(Mt) Pulses(Mt) Oil(Mt) Total(Mt) US$ Afar 154,656 6,960 696 209 7,864 5,906,057 Amhara 562,321 25,304 2,530 759 28,594 21,474,111 B/Gumuz 24,701 1,112 111 33 1,256 943,290 D/D 32,098 1,444 144 43 1,632 1,225,770 Harari 2,114 95 10 3 107 80,730 Somali 373,969 16,829 1,683 505 19,016 14,281,259 Tigray 70,634 3,179 318 95 3,592 2,697,396 Gambela 42,068 1,893 189 57 2,139 1,606,508 Oromiya 707,558 31,840 3,184 956 35,979 27,020,472 SNNPR 580,404 26,118 2,612 784 29,514 22,164,671 Grand 2,550,512 114,774 11,477 3,443 129,694 97,400,265 Total

1 Estimated based on full cost recovery - US$751 per MT 17

WFP already supported 165,000 people that were affected by the floods in Somali region during the belg season.

A. Recommendations  Beneficiary verifications will be strengthened to minimize overlap with other food assistance activities including the HDRP and PSNP transitory support.  Comprehensive assessment and monitoring to be conducted on the food security status of flood affected households.  Prioritize and ensure timely distribution of food assistance to flood affected locations.  The flood alert update to be disseminated to local level stakeholders (kebeles).  Operators should be pre-positioning food commodities for response in flood prone areas.  Pipeline analysis of on-going food responses (HDRP, PSNP and IDP response) will be conducted to determine if these additional humanitarian needs from flood, will be covered. 4.2.7 Water Sector 4.2.7.1Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH)

In Ethiopia, flood is one of the common hazards which damages infrastructures including houses, farmlands, schools, health facilities, roads and forcing people to leave flooded villages, exposing them to homelessness, water-borne diseases and malnutrition. The potential impacts of flood in the WASH sector are contamination of water sources, damage water schemes and sanitation facilities which brings deterioration of livelihoods, increments of morbidity and mortality rates in the affected community. To tackle the impact of flood particularly in the flood prone areas, contingency planning of WASH sector is prepared focusing on the following interventions based on national meteorological Kiremt 2018 seasonal forecast and national flood Task force assumptions The contingency planning is including structural flood mitigation measures before the hazard, rapid responses including WASH supplies and early recovery of flood emergency through rehabilitation, maintenances and upgrading of damaged WASH infrastructures. Among the activities which will be done throughout  Procurement and distribution of household water treatment chemicals with orientation of proper utilization to ensure safe drinking water in the flood affected areas,  Procurement and distribution of water storage containers at household level like Jerry can and water tankers at community level  Procurement and distribution of body and laundry soaps to promote hygiene,  Installation and maintenance of previously installed EM-WAT Kits for communities who live around rivers along with provision of water purification and disinfectant chemicals  Water trucking to displaced and affected households and to households with damaged water schemes until immediate rehabilitation of water structures will have been made  Rehabilitation and maintenance of water supply schemes damaged by floods at community and institutions levels  Construction of trench latrines for the displaced communities to reduce fecal contamination of water sources and living areas because of open defecation.  Conduct hygiene promotion activities to pass the basic hygiene message through different mechanisms including campaigns - IEC/BCC  Conduct mass environmental cleaning campaigns through community mobilization.

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Table 1: WASH sector’s Kiremt seasonal Flood contingency plan for response, June 8, 2018 S/N Item Unit Quantity Quantity Gaps Unit price Total gap in Needed Availabl (Birr) (birr) e 1 Water purification and carton 104,879 23,518 81,361 1.3 105,769 disinfection (sachets) 2 Soap (laundry) Each 69,031 17,121 51,910 5 259,548 3 Soap (bathing) 75 g 12 soap per Each 47,938 27,649 20,289 5 101,444 household 4 HTH drums (45gram per Drum) Each 102 73 29 1400 40,600 5 Aluminum Sulphate (50 Kg Sack 80 80 - 831 - sack) 6 Disinfectant Tablets Carton 716 716.00 - 1 - 7 EMWAT kits Each 5 - 2 380,000 760,000 8 Water Trucking ( per day ) Each 20 - 8 6000 48,000.00 9 Buckets , 20ltr (pcs) Each 207,000 21,224 185,776 60 11,146,560 10 Jericans 20 Ltr Each 230,040 11,219 218,821 92 20,131,532 11 Roto tanks (10000ltr)/Water Each 71 30 41 42000 1,722,000 tank,collapsible,10000l,w/dist.ki t 12 Rehabilitation of damaged Each 30 - 30 1,600,000 48,000,000 schemes 13 construction of temporary Each 250 - 250 120,000 30,000,000 latrines in the IDP sites 14 Emergency C4D interventions Lap 500,000 (hygiene promotion activities sum Total cost (ETB) 112,815,454 USD $4,102,380.15

4.2.7.2 Strengthen Flood Prevention, control and early Warning Communication Efforts should be placed to strengthen regular monitoring of rivers, dams and catchments in the flood prone areas. Below mentioned flood protection, appropriate mitigation and preparedness measures will be undertaken to minimize the likely adverse impacts in flood prone areas through application of flood management mechanisms (structural and non-structural measures)  Dissemination of early warning information to the population at risk,  Enhancing communication linkages between woreda officials in highland areas that receive heavy rainfall and those downstream that are at risk of flooding,  Strengthen the regional flood taskforces in areas that are likely to be affected, and preparation of evacuation plans  Awareness of communities to develop self-resilience systems through government structure and community media.  Construct flood risk evacuation access roads for Awash, Abay (Nile) and rift valley basins,  Remove silt at main rivers which is contributing factor for occurrence of flooding particularly in Overflow Rivers including Awash, Abay (Nile) and rift valley basins.  Strengthen dike construction along the river courses to protect over flow of Awash, Abay (Nile) and rift valley basin.  Construction of feasible and local specific flood prevention measures by the River Basin Authorities (Awash, Abay, and Rift valley).

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Table 2: Estimated budget for Flood prevention and control activities in flood-prone areas S/N Requirement Beneficiary (ETB) Number 1 Early warning and communication 380,000.00 2,550,512 Allowance for observers for 44 observers (5 basin and 42 river sites 150,000.00 ) Allowance for data collector and analyzers (HQ, 10 persons) 150,000.00 Logistic costs (communication, transportation, 80,000.00 monitoring and materials) 2 Flood protection and Social mobilization 354,430,000 2,550,512 Abay River Basin 165,200,000 Rift valley River (lake) Basin 24,030,000 AWASH River Basin 64,004,639 Grand Total 253,234,639

Table 3: Summary of required budgets and targets S/N Requirement (ETB) Beneficiary Number 1 WASH Responses 112,815,454.03 1.55 2 Early warning and communication 380,000.00 2,550,512 3 Flood protection and Social mobilization 253,234,639 Grand Total ( 17 million USD) 366,430,093.03

Map of Flood Prone Areas in the Basin Abay River Basin Authority –

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Flood Risk Mitigation Measures in the Abay River Basin S/N Major activities Total budget (Birr) 1 Building flood forecasting and analysis at all level 400,000 2 Improving the use of flood forecasting information for managing floods 500,000 3 Training of experts and community facilitators on flood acquisition and management 500,000 4 Stakeholder meetings and consensus building 500,000 5 Awareness creation for communities 300,000 6 Provision of different early warning systems 1,000,000 7 Provisions temporary shelter, tents, clothes, foods, and Public toilet 15,000,000 8 Provision of adequate Boats 2,000,000 9 Prevention and treatments of outbreak disease of animals and humans 6,000,000 10 Install alternative energy technologies /solar light technologies/ 2,000,000 11 maintenance of accesses road 15,000,000 12 construction of accesses road, feeder routes, bridges and dykes 40,000,000 13 Construction of community infrastructures facilities 30,000,000 14 maintenance of community infrastructures facilities 6,000,000 15 Rental machines 6,000,000 16 Operation costs including fuel, perdim etc. 4,000,000 17 Dike construction along the river courses to protect overflow 10,000,000 18 Flood mitigation including construction of river embankment structures. 10,000,000 19 Silt Removal and River embankment protection 5,000,000 20 Establish drainage systems 5,000,000 21 Construction of diversion structures 2,000,000 22 Provision of gabion and sack for dike construction 4,000,000 165,200,000

1. Rift Valley River Basin

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Flood Risk Mitigation Measures in the Rift Valley River Basin S/N Activities Budget in Birr 1 flood forecast, early warning communication and reporting 290,000 2 Established Committee, social mobilization and follow up 60,000 3 Identification of flooding factors፣ Flood prone area mapping, feasibility study 80,000 and planning 4 Construction of Flood prevention and mitigation measures 400,000 5 Maintenance of highway culvert, bridge and others 400,000 6 dyke construction and rehabilitation 12,000,000 7 land drainage modification 800,000 8 Drainage Canals in urban areas 10,000,000 24,030,000

Awash River Basin

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Awash River Basin Summary of Emergency Budget

Awash Basin # Description Upper Middle Low Total

1 Machinery Rent 12,929,367.00 32,860,415.49 4,790,692.50 50,580,474 2 Service vehicle 1,089,460.00 1,378,080.00 372,600.00 2,840,140 3 Fuel 3,339,732.00 5,095,249.63 928,042.50 9,363,024 4 Gabion, sand bag,& flood protection 180,000 200,000 250,000.00 630,000 equipment 5 Daily laborer 166,000.00 200,000.00 225,000.00 591,000 6 Total Amount 17,704,559.00 39,733,745 6,566,335 64,004,639

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WASH NFI Available, Required and Gaps

Region Tigray Somali Amhara SNNP Afar Oromia Total

Affected population 70,633 373,969 562,320 580,401 154,654 707,556 2,548,398

Displaced peoples 35,316 122,216 272,665 279,570 116,429 324,314 1,199,943 Displaced HH(5 person/H) 7,063 24,443 54,532 55,914 23,285 64,862 ~239,988 Items Unit Aval. Req. Aval. Req. Aval. Req. Aval. Req. Aval. Req. Aval. Req. Aval. Req. Gaps

Disinfectant Tablets Carton - 289 55 286 50 36 716 - (716)

Water Purification Carton - 330 8,238 11,458 238 25,562 4,802 26,210 10,000 10,915 240 30,404 23,518 104,879 81,361

HTH Drum - 10 9 20 6 20 28 20 30 12 20 73 102 29

Laundry soap Carton - 2,119 5,260 7,333 - 16,360 861 16,774 10,000 6,986 1,000 19,459 17,121 69,031 51,910

Body soap Carton - 1,472 17,078 5,092 - 11,361 - 11,649 10,000 4,851 571 13,513 27,649 47,938 20,289

Almunium Salphate Bag - 10 50 10 - 15 - 15 30 10 - 20 80 80

Jerican 20 liters Each - 7,000 3,919 24,445 - 54,533 5,300 55,914 2,000 23,285 - 64,863 11,219 230,040 218,821

Jerican 10 liters Each - 7,000 8,064 24,445 - 54,533 - 55,914 - 23,285 - 64,863 8,064 230,040 221,976

Water Storage Each - 5 18 10 - 15 12 13 - 8 - 20 30 71 41

Bucket Plastic (20Lts) Each - 7,000 15,814 20,000 - 50,000 4,610 50,000 800 20,000 - 60,000 21,224 207,000 185,776

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4.2.8. Education It is estimated that 637,628 populations might be displaced due to the anticipated 2018 heavy Kiremt rainfall particularly in the western, central and south western parts of the country. Previously trend shows 20 % of the population is school children age group. Therefore, as indicated below table, 127, 420 school children (20 % of 637, 628 people) are likely to be affected by flood. Again 10 % of school buildings might be damaged or destroyed. Table 1: # of estimated school children likely to be affected by Kiremt flood

2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % Estimated school children Region at Risk of population at risk) likely to be affected by flood Tigray 70,633 17,658 3,532 Somali 373,969 93,492 18,698 SNNP 580,401 145,100 29,020 Oromia 707,556 176,889 35,378 Gambella 42,066 10,517 2,103 Diredawa 32,098 8,025 1,605 Benshangul Gumuz 24,701 6,175 1,235 Amhara 562,320 140,580 28,116 Afar 154,654 38,664 7,733 Harari 2,114 529 106 TOTAL 2,550,512 637,628 127,420

Required Education in Responses (EiE) and costs To continue the education of flood affected school children, EiE response at least establishing Temporarily Learning Centers, provision of learning stationeries (8 exercises, 4 pens, 2 pencils, sharpener and eraser) and psychosocial support is required for those flood emergency affected school children. Hence, nearly $1.4 million is required to continue the education of 127,420 displaced school children.

Table 2: Priority activities and required cost for displaced school age children Number Unit of Unit / Total cost Measurement cost in Quantit in USD S.No Activities s USD y Establish 51Temporary Learning

spaces including mats with 10,00 51 1 separate latrine # of TLCs 0 510,000 Procure and provide 102 black # of 2 boards blackboards 37 102 3,774 Procure and provide learning 3 stationary # children 6 127,420 764,520 Provide training on psychosocial

support to school principals and # of 100 1,200 4 teachers participants 120,000 Total 1,398,294

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5. IMPLEMENTATION MODALITIES 6.1 Federal level The overall leadership for disaster responses including flooding in Ethiopia rests with the Federal NDRMC. NDRMC in collaboration with regional, zonal and woreda disaster preparedness and prevention bureaus, and partners at all levels manages the disaster preparedness, coordination and responses. At the federal level, the Flood Task Force led by NDRMC comprising representatives from line ministries, donors, UN agencies and NGOs leads operational level planning and response coordination. Through the Flood Task Force close monitoring, planning and response coordination activities are undertaken for flood emergency, the floods task force coordination with other sectoral structures is also highly important. Strategic Multiagency Coordination (SMAC) and Technical Multiagency Coordination (TMAC), Federal and Regional Emergency Operation Centers (EOCs) would be activated to mobilize and prioritize scarce resources and coordinate emergency incident status information and resources as required.

6.2 Regional level As part of the annual regional level humanitarian planning, all regional DRMs have included flood preparedness and response components in their Emergency Preparedness and Response Plans (EPRPs). The regions are therefore prepared to plan and carryout search and rescue operations and to coordinate joint impact assessment and humanitarian response to both flood affected and displaced households. The EPRPs help inform the possible geographic locations of the floods, the likely scenarios and population at risk, and also the minimum level preparedness by all stakeholders in the region. Their efforts are expected to be coordinated and managed through the Flood Task Force, the regional DRM TWGs, the Emergency Operation Centers (EOCs) and Command Posts. Regional Multiagency Coordination and Technical Multiagency Coordination would be activated as required. 6.3 Zonal level Since zonal government and partners do serve as a critical bridge between the regional and woreda/community level flow of information and dissemination, it is paramount that the zonal coordination platforms should be as strong and as regular as possible. Zones would also bond in mapping and partnering with stakeholders that are based at zonal levels. The zonal coordination structures would need to focus on key hazards during peak emergency periods, while refocusing on risk reduction and resilience agenda during non-emergency durations. This co-ordination approach would be very key to link and feedback upwards and down wards with regional and woreda coordination respectively. This is particularly important in zones where Emergency Operation Centers are set-up to coordinate the overall risk management efforts. As zonal government and non-government partners are most likely to be relatively less engaged in direct preparedness and responses to floods hazards, such integration of emergency responses and risk reduction agenda on regular vases would be expected.

6.4 Woreda/community level Local governments with flood prone communities closely coordinate awareness creation and messaging of the threats of flooding and take appropriate emergency response measures including relocating at- risk population to higher grounds. Activities include dissemination of flood alert messages and continuous monitoring updates, and coordination of flood emergency response at times of flooding. Incident command Posts would be established depending on the severity of the disaster. As the front- line victims and also the end users of the overall warning and preparedness, the communities have the right to be timely warned of through a wide range of communication and messaging channels, on top of the regular and formal way of communication. These approaches will further strengthen how best and how timely the woredas could make an outreach to the communities at risk.

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6. Evaluation The warning and response coordination of the floods risk management will be assessed and appraised through post-incident impact assessments coordinated by National and Regional NDRMC. The outcome of the appraisal will inform the next cycle of risk management, on key lessons learnt, best practices and key challenges.

ANNEXXES 1. Population projection

S.No Region Woreda 2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % of at Risk population at risk) 1 Afar Ab’ala 5,184 1,296 2 Afar Afambo 3,028 757 3 Afar Amibara 7,775 1,944 4 Afar Asayita 6,480 1,620 5 Afar Awash Fentale 4,825 1,206 6 Afar Berhale 4,536 1,134 7 Afar Buremudaytu 1,543 386 8 Afar Chifra 38,877 9,719 9 Afar Dalifege 4,787 1,197 10 Afar Dalul 10,442 2,611 11 Afar Dewe 5,362 1,341 12 Afar Dubti 7,200 1,800 13 Afar Dulecha 4,570 1,143 14 Afar Elidaar 638 160 15 Afar Gewane 10,587 2,647 16 Afar Gulina 6,391 1,598 17 Afar Koneba 3,240 810 18 Afar Megale 7,775 1,944 19 Afar Mille 6,480 1,620 20 Afar Semurubi 7,508 1,877 21 Afar Teru 1,543 386 22 Afar Yalo 5,885 1,471 Afar 154,654 38,664 23 Amhara Ambasel 14,838 3,710 24 Amhara Ankeshia 6,171 1,543 25 Amhara AntsokiyaGemza 28,232 7,058 26 Amhara Arthuma Fursi 10,203 2,551 27 Amhara ArthumaFursi 25,296 6,324 28 Amhara Baher Dar Zuria 2,926 732 29 Amhara Bugna 8,968 2,242 30 Amhara Chelga 27,554 6,889 31 Amhara Debube achefer 16,928 4,232 32 Amhara Degadamot 1,825 456 33 Amhara Dehnan 1,524 381

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S.No Region Woreda 2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % of at Risk population at risk) 34 Amhara Dejen 296 74 35 Amhara Dembia 24,540 6,135 36 Amhara Dera 14,494 3,624 37 Amhara Desse 25,212 6,303 38 Amhara Dewa Chefa 13,003 3,251 39 Amhara Efrata Gidm 158 40 40 Amhara Fogera 47,405 11,851 41 Amhara Gaz Gibla 8,418 2,105 42 Amhara Gidan 19,290 4,823 43 Amhara GonderZuria 4,467 1,117 44 Amhara Guba Lafto 16,906 4,227 45 Amhara Habru 24,205 6,051 46 Amhara JileTumuga 18,210 4,553 47 Amhara Kalu 7,378 1,845 48 Amhara Kembolcha 19 5 49 Amhara Kemisie town) 56,511 14,128 50 Amhara Kewet 15,129 3,782 51 Amhara Kobo 194 49 52 Amhara LiboKemkem 3,930 983 53 Amhara Matema 994 249 54 Amhara Mecha 361 90 55 Amhara Mekete 27,636 6,909 56 Amhara Sekota 5,975 1,494 57 Amhara Semen achefer 6,816 1,704 58 Amhara Shewa Robit 4,127 1,032 59 Amhara Simada 27,745 6,936 60 Amhara TacheGaint 12,595 3,149 61 Amhara TarmaBer 10,657 2,664 62 Amhara Thehulederie 14,899 3,725 63 Amhara Wegadi 852 213 64 Amhara Ziquala 5,434 1,359 Amhara 562,320 140,580 65 B/Gumuz Debate 9,163 2,291 66 B/Gumuz Assossa 15,538 3,885 B/Gumuz 24,701 6,175 67 D/D Dire Dawa city 21,813 5,453 and 68 D/D Kaka 10,285 2,571 D/D 32,098 8,025 69 Gambella Akobo 3,231 808 70 Gambella Dimma 600 150 71 Gambella Etang special 5,006 1,252 woreda (Etang)

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S.No Region Woreda 2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % of at Risk population at risk) 72 Gambella Gambella town 5,673 1,418 73 Gambella Gambella zuria 7,837 1,959 74 Gambella Gog 492 123 75 Gambella Jikawo 4,746 1,187 76 Gambella Jor 7,092 1,773 77 Gambella Lare 4,492 1,123 79 Gambella Wanthewa 2,899 725 Gambella 42,066 10,517 80 Harari Harar City 2,114 529 Harari 2,115 529 81 Oromia Abaya 3,456 864 82 Oromia Adama 2,057 514 84 Oromia Agarfa 13,352 3,338 85 Oromia Babogambel 8,046 2,012 86 Oromia Becho 10,191 2,548 87 Oromia Bedeno 31,579 7,895 88 Oromia Berbere 12,836 3,209 89 Oromia Boku 3,949 987 90 Oromia Bora 2,057 514 91 Oromia Boset 1,337 334 92 Oromia Chole 12,032 3,008 93 Oromia Dadar 7,529 1,882 94 Oromia Dawa Serer 2,474 619 95 Oromia Dendi 22,579 5,645 96 Oromia Dire 1,029 257 97 Oromia Dodota 9,086 2,272 98 Oromia Dugda 514 129 99 Oromia Dugda Dawa 3,086 772 100 Oromia Ejere 43,387 10,847 101 Oromia Fentale 1,337 334 102 Oromia Gasera 10,069 2,517 103 Oromia Gelana 1,888 472 104 Oromia Gimbi 9,762 2,441 105 Oromia Girawa 31,623 7,906 106 Oromia Gola Oda 1,210 303 107 Oromia Gololcha 10,489 2,622 108 Oromia Gololcha (Arsi) 34,116 8,529 109 Oromia Gorodola 1,210 303 110 Oromia GoroGutu 1,029 257 112 Oromia Gursum 4,885 1,221 113 Oromia Habro 2,946 737 114 Oromia Haromaya 37,210 9,303

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S.No Region Woreda 2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % of at Risk population at risk) 115 Oromia Hawi Gudina 9,409 2,352 116 Oromia Hitosa 16,900 4,225 117 Oromia Illu 77,138 19,285 118 Oromia Jarso (E. Harerge) 4,834 1,209 119 Oromia Jarso (W. 6,480 1,620 Wollega) 120 Oromia Jeju 16,467 4,117 121 Oromia Kersa 22,745 5,686 122 Oromia Kombolcha 18,767 4,692 123 Oromia Kondala 12,700 3,175 124 Oromia Kumbi 3,110 778 125 Oromia LegaHida 14,008 3,502 126 Oromia Liben 10,089 2,522 127 Oromia Melka Soda 6,875 1,719 128 Oromia MeneSibu 16,985 4,246 129 Oromia Merti 12,340 3,085 130 Oromia Meta 1,728 432 131 Oromia Mieso 17,990 4,498 132 Oromia Miyo 1,029 257 133 Oromia Moyale 2,212 553 134 Oromia Oda Bultum 658 165 135 Oromia OnkoloWabe 7,900 1,975 136 Oromia Sababoru 11,017 2,754 137 Oromia Sebeta Awas 17,563 4,391 138 Oromia Seru 10,252 2,563 139 Oromia Shala 5,862 1,466 140 Oromia Siraro 1,543 386 141 Oromia Wolmera 11,083 2,771 142 Oromia Wonji 2,962 741 143 Oromia Yubdo 5,165 1,291 144 Oromia Ziekula 1,543 386 145 Oromia Ziway Dugda 21,854 5,464 Oromia 707,556 176,889 146 SNNP Alaba special 31,026 7,757 woreda 147 SNNP Arba Minch town 25,507 6,377 148 SNNP Awassa City 7,200 1,800 149 SNNP Basketo Special 339 85 woreda (Basketo) 150 SNNP Bena Tsemay 6,689 1,672 151 SNNP Bonke 20,091 5,023 152 SNNP Boreda 8,586 2,147 153 SNNP Butajira 7,307 1,827 154 SNNP Dalocha 7,200 1,800

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S.No Region Woreda 2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % of at Risk population at risk) 155 SNNP Damboya 10,896 2,724 156 SNNP Damot Sore 1,553 388 157 SNNP Damotwoyide 5,517 1,379 158 SNNP Dasenech 35,998 9,000 159 SNNP Debub Are 28,754 7,189 160 SNNP Deramalo 1,705 426 161 SNNP Dilla 6,356 1,589 162 SNNP Duguna Fango 6,652 1,663 163 SNNP Gimbo 11,936 2,984 164 SNNP HaderoTunto 14,313 3,578 165 SNNP Hammer 25,713 6,428 166 SNNP Hawassa zuria 42,187 10,547 167 SNNP Hula 16,440 4,110 168 SNNP Humbo 8,742 2,186 169 SNNP Jinka town 2,366 592 170 SNNP Kachabira 15,446 3,862 171 SNNP Kedida Gamela 11,394 2,849 172 SNNP Kindo Didaye 10,285 2,571 173 SNNP Kindo Koyisha 7,200 1,800 174 SNNP Kochere 1,234 309 175 SNNP Lanfuro 1,808 452 176 SNNP Lemo 14,717 3,679 177 SNNP Lokaabaya 10,799 2,700 178 SNNP Mareqo 2,571 643 179 SNNP Mesqan 14,545 3,636 180 SNNP Mierab Abaya 309 77 181 SNNP Mirab Badewacho 15,428 3,857 182 SNNP Muhur Na Aklil 147 37 183 SNNP Nyangatom 51,425 12,856 184 SNNP Ofa 6,418 1,605 185 SNNP Sankura 25,713 6,428 186 SNNP Selamago 2,057 514 187 SNNP Semen Are 8,483 2,121 188 SNNP Shashogo 14,913 3,728 189 SNNP Shebedino 1,584 396 190 SNNP Silti 15,428 3,857 191 SNNP Sodo 368 92 192 SNNP Sodo Zuria 1,402 351 193 SNNP Tembaro 13,657 3,414 SNNP 580,401 145,100 194 Somali Addile 1,399 350 195 Somali Afdem 12,702 3,176

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S.No Region Woreda 2018 Population 2018 Estimated IDP (25 % of at Risk population at risk) 196 Somali Ayisha 5,842 1,461 197 Somali Berano 514 129 198 Somali Chereti 21,629 5,407 199 Somali Danan 8,485 2,121 200 Somali Debewieyne 2,571 643 201 Somali Dollo Ado 12,651 3,163 202 Somali Dollo Bay 5,780 1,445 203 Somali East Imy 6,690 1,673 204 Somali El kari 3,600 900 205 Somali Erer 17,011 4,253 206 Somali Ferefer 20,570 5,143 207 Somali Gode 5,811 1,453 208 Somali Hadigala 4,443 1,111 209 Somali Hargelle 34,455 8,614 210 Somali Jigjiga 6,171 1,543 211 Somali kabribayah 14,940 3,735 212 Somali Kebridehar 2,006 502 213 Somali Kelafo 91,063 22,766 214 Somali Miesso 7,611 1,903 215 Somali Mustahile 26,021 6,505 216 Somali Shellabo 3,790 948 217 Somali Shinille 5,554 1,389 218 Somali Togochale 4,320 1,080 219 Somali Warder 6,171 1,543 220 Somali West Imy 42,169 10,542 Somali 373,969 93,492 221 Tigray Adwa 11,360 2,840 222 Tigray Alamata 5,143 1,286 223 Tigray Amba Alage 12,733 3,183 224 Tigray Enda Mekoni 1,029 257 225 Tigray Humera 3,600 900 226 Tigray Maichew 720 180 227 Tigray Raya Azebo 1,543 386 228 Tigray SaesiTseadeEmaba 16,927 4,232 229 Tigray Were Lahe 17,579 4,395 Tigray 70,632 17,658

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1. Breakdown by region

Region 2018 2018 Population Estimated at Risk IDP (25 % of population at risk) Tigray 70,632 17,658 Somali 373,969 93,492 SNNP 580,401 145,100 Oromia 707,556 176,889 Gambella 42,066 10,517 D/D 32,098 8,025 B/Gumuz 24,701 6,175 Amhara 562,320 140,580 Afar 154,654 38,664 Harari 2,114 529 TOTAL 2,550,511 637,628

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