The Political Crisis - the Power Struggle - Delayed Constitutional Reforms - Threats - Predictable Outcome of Elections - Conclusion
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A monthly report issued by the Unit of Contemporary Political Thought for the analysis and evaluation of crucial events in the Islamic world Algeria The Challenges and Realities Of the 2014 Presidential Elections - Introduction - The Political Crisis - The Power Struggle - Delayed Constitutional Reforms - Threats - Predictable outcome of Elections - Conclusion March,2014 © KFCRIS, 2014 lgeria is undergoing conflict between its loci Aof power in light of growing discord between those who call for a boycott of the elections and those who advocate participation in voting. This issue of Masarat will shed light on preparations taking place in Algeria for the elections and reactions to President Bouteflika’s decision to run for a fourth term despite his deteriorating health. It will also discuss the role the intelligence service has played in the run-up to the presidential race and will analyze the views of some Algerian political leaders on the upcoming election and the outcome of Bouteflika’s almost 15 years of rule. 4 17 April 2014 Profiles of the Presidential Candidates Abdelaziz Bouteflika Ali Fawzi Rebaine Running for a fourth term after 15 years An ophthalmologist from a family of of presidency. revolutionaries who fought for Algeria’s independence. He is running for a third time and is known as a human rights ac- tivist. He is the leader of the Ahd 54 po- litical party. Louisa Hanoune Born in Jijel Province (east of Algiers) to a modest family. She obtained a Bachelor’s degree and has been a political activist since 1979. She was arrested more than once in the 1980s because of her political activities. She has been the Secretary General of Algeria’s Workers’ Party since 2003 and is a well- known figure in the Algerian trade union with a reputation as a human rights activist. She was elected to Parliament in 1997. She is running for presidency for the third time: her first candidacy was in 2004. March,2014 5 Moussa Touati Abdelaziz Belaid Born in Medea, he had a military, security Born in the Batna region, east of Algiers. and civil career. He has long been active in He holds an MD and is a Bachelor of Law. many associations and is the president of He is active in the ruling party and in the Algerian National Front party. This is youth organizations. He resigned in 2011 his third time running for election. from the National Liberation Front (FLN) and founded the Future Front Party. Ali Benflis Worked in the justice system and is now a lawyer. He is a human right activist and served as the chairman of the elec- toral campaign for Bouteflika in 1999. He was appointed prime minister in 2000 and was the Secretary General of the FLN in 2001. He ran for presidency for the first time in 2004. March,2014 www.kfcris.com 6 Introduction Algeria’s upcoming presidential elections, However, this does not make the country im- due to take place on April 17, will witness the mune to the winds of change. Observers argue nomination of President Abdelaziz Bouteflika for that there is, indeed, a crisis in the country: a a fourth term, even after widespread speculation political vacuum that might cost the country its about his deteriorating health and absence from stability and result in waves of revolts similar to media appearances. The nomination of President those of its neighbors. Bouteflika as the official candidate for the -Na The first signs of this crisis appeared after the tional Liberation Front Party is supposed to put announcement of Bouteflika’s nomination for a an end to debate about the legitimacy of a fourth fourth term, which, due to the President’s health term. However, his nomination did not end dis- problems and extensive tenure in office, was re- cussion amongst Algeria’s political elites and ceived negatively. The real struggle, however, party members on the nature of the challenges goes deeper than public disapproval of another Algeria is facing today, the hopes and demands term for Algeria’s longest-serving president. of a large segment of the population and, the out- The political arena in Algeria hosts many new come of Bouteflika’s 15 years of presidency. voices, both popular and partisan, and diverse Algeria, unlike the rest of countries of the figures have emerged on the scene and called Maghreb, did not witness a regime-collapsing openly for change. These political actors and revolution, as Tunisia and Libya did, or large- figures, both inside and outside the regime, ex- scale demonstrations for reform, like the ones emplify the real political crisis and the tensions that took place in Morocco and Mauritania. brought about by the upcoming elections. • • • The Political Crisis All active parties in Algeria today, members whereas others argue that the structure of the of the regime as well as the opposition, recog- system itself, and its mechanisms for decision- nize the existence of a political crisis that re- making, are responsible for its inability to re- quires not only reform but fundamental struc- spond to the needs of the new generation. tural change. Louisa Hanoune, head of Algeria’s Djamila Bouhired, one of the symbols of the Workers’ Party and the only female candidate National Liberation Movement during the French for the presidency, recently spoke out about the colonial era, recently spoke out about the coun- “serious political crisis that threatens the unity try’s problems, calling attention to systemic brib- and stability of Algeria.” Hanoune’s perspective ery, lack of accountability for corrupt officials, is recognized by other political parties on either and a repressed civil society. In 2009, Djamila side of the regime/opposition divide, but there Bouhired wrote a letter to President Bouteflika is considerable debate about the origins and na- (published by Al-Watan newspaper in 2009) in ture of this crisis. Some argue that the political which she described the difficult conditions she decisions of the government caused the crisis, and other resistance fighters were experiencing March,2014 7 and rejected a fourth presidential term for Presi- important institutions as well as all government dent Bouteflika. A statement like that, made by an departments to the point that successive govern- important Algerian personality, has deep signifi- ments have failed to manage the country’s affairs cance. Algeria’s current ruling class legitimizes or implement any of its decisions.” its rule based on its involvement in the revolution Hamrouche expressed his opposition to a and the liberation of Algeria; to be called corrupt, fourth term for the president, stating that “the incompetent, decadent and a threat to the unity regime of President Bouteflika has inevitably and stability of the country by the first generation disintegrated.” In a press conference held in Al- of revolutionaries is a deep wound to its image. giers on February 27, 2014, he confirmed that Bouhired’s position is shared by prominent he would be unable to achieve democracy in the Algerian personalities such as Mouloud Ham- country without the support of the army in dis- rouche, who served as the country’s Prime Min- mantling the Bouteflika regime. At the beginning ister from 1989 to 1991. In an interview with Al- of this year, it seemed as though leaders from Khabar on March 24, 2014, Hamrouche stated among the regime and some of the opposition parties had reached an agreement to nominate Hamrouche for the presidency. However, this consensus collapsed after the surprising news of Bouteflika’s decision to run for election for a fourth time. In Algeria, nominations for presi- dent must arrive through a consensus between Mouloud Hamrouche political institutions (such as the Liberation Front Party and other “administration” parties) and the He was born in 1945 in Skikda Province and par- military apparatus (led by the General of Staff ticipated in the Algerian war of liberation. He holds and the intelligence establishment). Hamrouche, a Master’s degree in political science and served despite having formed a strong network of sup- as prime minister between 1989 and 1991 under porters from among Algerian public figures and President Chadli. He is known as a political and political parties, lacked this institutional consent economic reformist. He announced his candidacy and eventually withdrew his candidacy. for the presidency in 2014, believing that President Opposition to Bouteflika continued when Bouteflika would not run, but withdrew from the Liamine Zeroual, president of Algeria from race after the announcement of the latter’s candida- 1994-1998, published a four-page letter about cy. However, he opposes a fourth term for Boutef- lika and is highly critical of the accomplishments the upcoming presidential election addressed to of Bouteflika’s 15 years of presidency. He has a the Algerian people. In his message, published reform agenda that targets Algeria’s deep-rooted on March 19, 2014, he alluded to his view on problems. He is supported by a large section of the President Bouteflika’s decision to run for a political establishment, both the loyalists and the fourth term. He also expressed his opinion on opposition, as well as by many from among the the outcomes of Bouteflika’s 15 years in office. ranks of the military establishment. Zeroual voiced his opposition to Bouteflika’s nomination for a fourth term, arguing that his that the country was living “a tragic situation that deteriorating health was a major factor in his is impossible for the regime to treat,” adding that ineligibility for the presidency. He also said that “the country, in my opinion, is facing a serious that he was against the President Bouteflika’s situation. The length of this crisis has affected 2008 proposed amendment of Article 74, regard- March,2014 www.kfcris.com 8 ing the presidential term limit.