Intelligence Failures in Iraq 7/16/03 Page 1 CSIS___________________________________ Center for Strategic and International Studies 1800 K Street N.W. Washington, DC 20006 (202) 775-3270 (To comment:
[email protected] For Updates see Executive Summary: http://www.csis.org/features/iraq_instantlessons_exec.pdf; Main Report: http://www.csis.org/features/iraq_instantlessons.pdf) Intelligence Failures in the Iraq War July 16, 2003 Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair for Strategy Copyright Anthony H. Cordesman: May be quoted or excerpted with proper attribution Intelligence Failures in Iraq 7/16/03 Page 2 Table of Contents Intelligence Strengths and Weaknesses _________________________________________ 3 The Need for Better Assessment, Characterization, and Location of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Key Delivery Systems _________________________________________ 4 Key Points in the US and British White Papers__________________________________________ 5 Problems in Collecting Data on Iraqi and Other Country WMD Capabilities and Delivery Systems 17 Problems in Analyzing Iraqi and Other Country WMD Capabilities and Delivery Systems_______ 20 The Politics of Characterizing and Targeting Iraqi WMD Capabilities and Delivery Systems __________________________________________________________________ 21 Dealing with a Proven Proliferator __________________________________________________ 22 The Issues Left By Iraqi Compliance with the UN Effort _________________________________ 23 The Costs of Politicizing Intelligence ________________________________________________