1 MEMORANDUM To: Maen Areikat From: Negotiations Support Unit
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Trump “Rethinks”, Abruptly Calls
Trump “Rethinks”, Abruptly Calls Off Military Strike: US Credibility Dented in Iran Standoff. The Danger of Escalation Remains By M. K. Bhadrakumar Region: Middle East & North Africa, USA Global Research, June 24, 2019 Theme: Media Disinformation, US NATO Indian Punchline 21 June 2019 War Agenda In-depth Report: IRAN: THE NEXT WAR? The US President Donald Trump’s reported decision abruptly to call off military strike against Iran which he’d previously ordered, highlights the growing complexity of the US-Iranian entanglement. Indeed, it takes political courage to rationalise amidst such a dangerous situation that discretion is the better part of valour. Trump has been smart enough. But, having said that, there’s going to be downstream consequences. The Trump administration appears paralysed. And Tehran has seized the diplomatic initiative. What prompted Trump’s rethink? Surely, the rethink somewhatlegitimises the Iranian assertion that it shot down the American drone which intruded into its air space. (In fact, Iran has since claimed that it recovered the debris of the downed US drone in the country’s southern waters.) The US has a history of lying in such situations. Remember the downing of a scheduled Iranian passenger Airbus A300 flight in 1988 by an SM-2MR surface-to-air missile fired from USS Vincennes killing all 290 people including 66 children on board? The US, at the level of Vice-President George HW Bush lied over US culpability, saying, “I will never apologise for the United States — I don’t care what the facts are… I’m not an apologise-for-America kind of guy.” Only years later in 1996 Washington agreed to pay Iran US$131.8 million in settlement to discontinue a case brought by Iran in the International Court of Justice relating to this incident. -
Process Makes Perfect Best Practices in the Art of National Security Policymaking
AP PHOTO/CHARLES DHARAPAK PHOTO/CHARLES AP Process Makes Perfect Best Practices in the Art of National Security Policymaking By Kori Schake, Hoover Institution, and William F. Wechsler, Center for American Progress January 2017 WWW.AMERICANPROGRESS.ORG Process Makes Perfect Best Practices in the Art of National Security Policymaking By Kori Schake, Hoover Institution, and William F. Wechsler, Center for American Progress January 2017 Contents 1 Introduction and summary 6 Findings 14 First-order questions for the next president 17 Best practices to consider 26 Policymaking versus oversight versus crisis management 36 Meetings, meetings, and more meetings 61 Internal NSC staff management 72 Appendix A 73 About the authors 74 Endnotes Introduction and summary Most modern presidents have found that the transition from campaigning to governing presents a unique set of challenges, especially regarding their newfound national security responsibilities. Regardless of their party affiliation or preferred diplomatic priorities, presidents have invariably come to appreciate that they can- not afford to make foreign policy decisions in the same manner as they did when they were a candidate. The requirements of managing an enormous and complex national security bureau- cracy reward careful deliberation and strategic consistency, while sharply punishing the kind of policy shifts that are more common on the campaign trail. Statements by the president are taken far more seriously abroad than are promises by a candidate, by both allies and adversaries alike. And while policy mistakes made before entering office can damage a candidate’s personal political prospects, a serious misstep made once in office can put the country itself at risk. -
Nuclear Weapons
NUCLEAR WEAPONS america, north korea, iran & the world at a crossroad tuesday, november 28, 2017, 7 pm the nancy & paul ignatius program NUCLEAR WEAPONS america, north korea, iran & the world at a crossroad tuesday, november 28, 2017 7 pm WELCOME The Very Rev. Randolph Marshall Hollerith Cathedral Dean INTRODUCTION Amy L. Ignatius Associate Justice, New Hampshire Superior Court KEYNOTE ADDRESS William J. Perry PANEL DISCUSSION Susan Eisenhower Stephen Hadley John Kerry David Ignatius, moderator CONCLUSION Ray Suarez BENEDICTION The Very Rev. Randolph Marshall Hollerith participants WILLIAM J. PERRY’s career has spanned academia, JOHN KERRY served as the United States’ 68th industry, entrepreneurship, government and diplomacy. Secretary of State from 2013 to 2017. As America’s top Perry served as the 19th Secretary of Defense for the diplomat, he guided the department’s strategy on nuclear United States from February 1994 to January 1997. In 2007, nonproliferation, combating radical extremism and the Perry, George Shultz, Sam Nunn and Henry Kissinger threat of climate change. His tenure was marked by the together formed the Nuclear Security Project, articulating successful negotiation of the Iran nuclear deal and the Paris practical steps to reduce nuclear dangers. Perry founded Climate Agreement. From 1985 to 2013, he served as a U.S. the William J. Perry Project in 2013 to engage and educate Senator representing Massachusetts, and was chairman the public on the dangers of nuclear weapons. In 2015 of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee from 2009 to he published My Journey at the Nuclear Brink, a personal 2013. He served in the U.S. -
FAO HISTORY Will the Original FAO Please Stand Up?
Volume XIV, Edition Number 4 - December 2011 FAO HISTORY Will the original FAO please stand up? Inside This Issue … The Delafield Commission: Forerunner to FAO A Joint FAO Intro Course? In-Country Training Report: Paris and Brussels OSS Society’s Annual Banquet Report The DPMO: New Inroads with Chinese Military Turk Concerns of US’ Iraq Withdrawal Winning Without Fighting: Toppling North Korea Southeast Asia: ―Indo‖ or ―China‖ Book Reviews, Proponent news and other Field Reports DISCLAIMER: The association‘s professional journal International Affairs “The FAO JOURNAL” (a non-profit publication for US Regional and International Affairs professionals) is printed by the Foreign Area Officer Association, Mount Vernon, VA. The views International Affairs expressed within are those of the various - Politico-Military Affairs - Intelligence - Security Cooperation - authors, not of the Department of Defense nor any of it‘s elements. The contents are The professional Journal of the FAO Association not intended to report/reflect a DoD position and are not intended to supersede official Volume XIV, Edition Number 4 — Published December 2011 government sources. The publication simply ISSN 1551-8094 intends to advance the FAO profession through thought, dialog and academic discussion. Journal content neither implies nor constitutes affirmation nor endorsement Inside This Issue: by the FAOA, or DoD. PURPOSE: To publish a journal for the dissemination of professional knowledge and furnish information that promotes The Delafield Commission: Forerunner to FAO Program understanding between US regional and By: LTC Lester Grau, US Army (R) Pg 6 international affairs specialists around the world, and to improve their effectiveness in Improved FAO Training: A Joint Intro Course? advising decision-makers. -
Opening Statement of Lieutenant Colonel Alexander S
Opening Statement of Lieutenant Colonel Alexander S. Vindman Before the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence November 19, 2019 Mr. Chairman and Ranking Member, thank you for the opportunity to address the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence with respect to the activities relating to Ukraine and my role in the events under investigation. Background I have dedicated my entire professional life to the United States of America. For more than two decades, it has been my honor to serve as an officer in the United States Army. As an infantry officer, I served multiple overseas tours, including South Korea and Germany, and I was deployed to Iraq for combat operations. Since 2008, I have been a Foreign Area Officer specializing in European and Eurasian politico-military affairs. I served in the United States embassies in Kiev, Ukraine and Moscow, Russia. In Washington, D.C., I was a politico-military affairs officer for Russia for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff where I drafted the Armed Forces’ global campaign plan to counter Russian aggression and Russian malign influence. In July 2018, I was asked to serve at the White House’s National Security Council. At the NSC I am the principal advisor to the National Security Advisor and the President on Ukraine and the other countries in my portfolio. My role at the NSC is to develop, coordinate, and implement plans and policies to manage the full range of diplomatic, informational, military, and economic national security issues for the countries in my portfolio. My core function is to coordinate policy with departments and agencies partners. -
Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Keith W. Dayton U.S. Army
Lt. Gen. (Ret.) Keith W. Dayton U.S. Army Director George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies Retired U.S. Army Lt. Gen. Keith W. Dayton is the Director, George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies. He is responsible for orchestrating resident courses, outreach programs and an international and interagency network of about 14,000 government officials from 156 nations in fields of international security studies, defense and foreign affairs. The Marshall Center is a 26-year-old German-American security partnership that has produced generations of global security professionals schooled in American and German security policies. The mission of the Marshall Center is to enable solutions to regional and transnational security challenges through capacity building, access and a globally connected network. He retired from the U.S. Army Dec. 1, 2010, as a lieutenant general after more than 40 years of service. His last assignment while on active duty was as U.S. security coordinator to Israel and Palestinian Authority in Jerusalem. A foreign area officer by training, General Dayton studied at the U.S. Army Russian Institute in Garmisch. His assignments in that field included politico-military staff officer for the Army in Washington D.C.; U.S. defense attaché in Russia; and deputy director for politico-military affairs, Europe and Africa, for the J-5 division of the joint staff in Washington D.C. General Dayton also worked as director for operations and director for human intelligence for the Defense Intelligence Agency in Washington D.C., including duty as director of the Iraqi Survey Group for Operation Iraqi Freedom in Iraq; and went on to direct the strategy, plans and policy division for the Department of the Army before his assignment to Jerusalem in December, 2005. -
With Former National Security Advisors Stephen Hadley and Susan Rice
A “Fireside Conversation” with Former National Security Advisors Stephen Hadley and Susan Rice The Brookings Institution Washington, D.C. Tuesday, October 30, 2018 INTRODUCTION On October 30, 2018, former national security advisors Stephen Hadley and Susan Rice participated in a “fireside conversation” at the Brookings Institution to discuss U.S.-China relations. The event, part of the first major collaboration between the Paul Tsai China Center at Yale Law School and the John L. Thornton Center at Brookings, showcased the current views about the U.S.-China relationship from two of the leading foreign policy figures in the Democratic and Republican parties. Their service in the most senior foreign policy positions in our government spanned the sixteen years between 2001-2017, during the administrations of President George W. Bush and President Barack Obama. They expressed a substantial degree of agreement on current challenges and priorities. Both believe that the relationship with China has entered a new stage of significantly more competition and that the central challenge is to find effective ways to manage this more intense competition while also developing areas of cooperation. And they each enumerated a range of concrete steps to advance those goals in the time ahead. The full transcript appears below. “China is different today, the United “We are going to be in a greater degree States is different today. The trick of competition with China than we have will be to recognize that a more been in the past. But I think that conflict competitive relationship need not result is neither inevitable nor desirable. The in confrontation or conflict. -
Enough Already It's Time to Talk to the Taliban
Enough Already It's time to talk to the Taliban. BY STEPHEN HADLEY AND JOHN PODESTA | JANUARY 18, 2012 Over the past two years, the United States has made enormous strides in Afghanistan. The U.S. military has undertaken a devastating campaign against al Qaeda and its affiliates, as well as members of the Taliban in both Afghanistan and Pakistan. This military pressure has made Americans safer -- Osama bin Laden and dozens of other top al Qaeda leaders are dead, U.S. and NATO troops casualties are down in Afghanistan, and the Afghan government has been given the breathing room it needs to bolster its security forces and its governing institutions. U.S. policy is now entering a new and complex phase of this conflict, where diplomatic efforts in support of a robust political strategy for Afghanistan and the region will 1 become even more essential. This effort should not become a political football in the coming election season -- it needs strong bipartisan support here at home. U.S. political leaders, Democrats and Republicans alike, and our military commanders, have consistently argued that the conflict in Afghanistan will not end by military means alone. The elimination of al Qaeda's safe havens and the establishment of long-term peace and security in Afghanistan and the region -- the key U.S. national security objectives -- is best assured by a sustainable political settlement that strengthens the Afghan state so that it can assume greater responsibility for addressing the country's security and economic challenges. This broad political settlement must include all elements of Afghan society -- opposition groups, non-Taliban Pashtuns, ethnic and religious minorities, women, and civil society. -
Prepared Statement of Secretary of State Colin L. Powell
Secretary of State Colin L. Powell Written Remarks Submitted to: The National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States 23 March 2004 Mr. Chairman, Mr. Vice Chairman, Members of the Commission, thank you for the opportunity to appear before you regarding the events leading up to and following the murderous terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. It is my hope, as I know it is yours, that through the hard work of this Commission, and other bodies like it, our country can improve the way we wage the war on terror and, in particular, better protect our homeland and the American people. I am pleased to have with me today Deputy Secretary Richard Armitage. Secretary Armitage was sworn in on March 26, two months into the Administration and he has been intimately involved in the interagency deliberations on our counterterrorism policies. He also participated in National Security Council meetings whenever I was on travel. Mr. Chairman, I leave Washington this evening to represent President Bush and the American people at the memorial service in Madrid, Spain honoring the over 200 victims of the terrorists attacks of March 11, 2004. With deep sympathy and solidarity, our heart goes out to their loved ones and to the people of Spain. And just last Thursday, in the garden of our embassy in Islamabad, Pakistan, I presided at a memorial service in honor of two State Department family members, Barbara Green and her daughter Kristen Wormsley, who were killed two years ago by terrorists while they worshipped in church on a bright, beautiful spring morning. -
Analysis of the United States Navy Foreign Area Officer Program
Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis Collection 2013-03 ANALYSIS OF THE UNITED STATES NAVY FOREIGN AREA OFFICER PROGRAM Grano, Jesse T. Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/32829 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA THESIS ANALYSIS OF THE UNITED STATES NAVY FOREIGN AREA OFFICER PROGRAM by Jesse T. Grano March 2013 Thesis Co-Advisors: Deidre McLay Benjamin Roberts Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704–0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202–4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704–0188) Washington, DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY (Leave blank) 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED March 2013 Master’s Thesis 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS ANALYSIS OF THE UNITED STATES NAVY FOREIGN AREA OFFICER PROGRAM 6. AUTHOR(S) Jesse T. Grano 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION Naval Postgraduate School REPORT NUMBER Monterey, CA 93943–5000 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 10. SPONSORING/MONITORING N/A AGENCY REPORT NUMBER 11. -
U.S. Security Assistance to the Palestinian Authority
U.S. Security Assistance to the Palestinian Authority Jim Zanotti Analyst in Middle Eastern Affairs January 8, 2010 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov R40664 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress U.S. Security Assistance to the Palestinian Authority Summary Since shortly after the establishment of limited Palestinian self-rule in the West Bank and Gaza Strip in the mid-1990s, the United States has periodically provided assistance to the Palestinian Authority (PA) for civil security and counterterrorism purposes. Following the death of Yasser Arafat in late 2004 and the election of Mahmoud Abbas as his successor as PA President in early 2005, then-U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice created the office of U.S. Security Coordinator (USSC) for Israel and the Palestinian Authority to help reform, train, and equip PA security forces which had been personally beholden to Arafat and his political allies. Previous Israeli-Palestinian efforts at security cooperation collapsed during the second Palestinian intifada that took place earlier this decade. Since Hamas gained control of the Gaza Strip in June 2007, Lieutenant General Keith Dayton, head of the USSC since November 2005, and the State Department’s Bureau of International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs (INL) have helped with the “gendarmerie-style” training of West Bank-based PA security personnel. As of June 2009, approximately 400 Presidential Guardsmen and 2,200 National Security Forces troops have been trained at the Jordan International Police Training Center (JIPTC) near Amman. All troops, new or already serving, are vetted for terrorist links, human rights violations, and/or criminal records by the State Department, Israel, Jordan, and the PA before they are admitted to U.S.-sponsored training courses at JIPTC. -
ROLLING BACKWARD Russia’S Troubled Relations with Its Neighbors Table of Contents Features
per VOLUME 5, ISSUE 4, 2014 ConcordiamJournal of European Security and Defense Issues RUSSIAN REVISIONISM EXAMINING EU POLICY Moscow undermines European order The lessons from Ukraine THE NORDIC VIEW PLUS Finland weighs its neutrality Montenegro’s Road to the EU ORGANIZED CRIME Building Partnerships How it corrupts Russia Reviewing NATO Priorities ROLLING BACKWARD Russia’s Troubled Relations with its Neighbors Table of Contents features ON THE COVER Russia’s recent actions in Ukraine — aggressive rhetoric and nationalist symbolism, eerily reminiscent of the Cold War — have raised fears that the Kremlin may be adopting a revanchist strategy to reassert control over former Soviet- era republics. AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE 18 10 Explaining Russian Behavior 24 EU Enlargement to the East By Dr. Gregory Gleason, Marshall Center By Dr. Katrin Böttger, deputy director of the Russia’s actions in Ukraine have Institute for European Politics, Berlin shattered a carefully constructed post- Russia views economic treaties with Cold War consensus. Ukraine as intrusions into its sphere of influence. 18 Curbing Russian Aggression By Valentyn Badrak, director, Center for Army NATO’s Northern Edge Conversion and Disarmament Studies, Ukraine 30 By Tuomas Forsberg, professor of international The international community must relations, University of Tampere, Finland be assertive in deterring violations of Finland is reconsidering its neutral Ukraine’s sovereignty. status as a result of aggressive behavior from Moscow. departments COOPERATION 50 Redefining NATO By Dr. Teodora Crina Popescu, International Defense Cooperation Directorate, Romanian Ministry of Defense The Alliance has been forced to re-evaluate its mission in light of actions to the east. 54 Building Social Capital By Dr.