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Information Age Anthology Vol III: the Information Age Military

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Information Age Anthology Vol III: the Information Age Military About the CCRP The C4ISR Cooperative Research Program (CCRP) has the mission of improving DoD’s understanding of the national security implications of the Information Age. Focusing upon improving both the state of the art and the state of the practice of command and control, the CCRP helps DoD take full advantage of the opportunities afforded by emerging technologies. The CCRP pursues a broad program of research and analysis in information superiority, information operations, command and control theory, and associated operational concepts that enable us to leverage shared awareness to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of assigned missions. An important aspect of the CCRP program is its ability to serve as a bridge between the operational, technical, analytical, and educational communities. The CCRP provides leadership for the command and control research community by: n articulating critical research issues; n working to strengthen command and control research infrastructure; n sponsoring a series of workshops and symposia; n serving as a clearing house for command and control related research funding; and n disseminating outreach initiatives that include the CCRP Publication Series. This is a continuation in the series of publications produced by the Center for Advanced Concepts and Technology (ACT), which was created as a “skunk works” with funding provided by the CCRP under the auspices of the Assistant Secretary of Defense (C3I). This program has demonstrated the importance of having a research program focused on the national security implications of the Information Age. It develops the theoretical foundations to provide DoD with information superiority and highlights the importance of active outreach and dissemination initiatives designed to acquaint senior military personnel and civilians with these emerging issues. The CCRP Publication Series is a key element of this effort. Check our website for the latest CCRP activities and publications. www.dodccrp.org DoD C4ISR Cooperative Research Program ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE (C3I) Mr. Arthur L. Money SPECIAL ASSISTANT TO THE ASD(C3I) & DIRECTOR, RESEARCH AND STRATEGIC PLANNING Dr. David S. Alberts Opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are solely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Department of Defense, or any other U.S. Government agency. Cleared for public release; distribution unlimited. Portions of this publication may be quoted or reprinted without further permission, with credit to the DoD C4ISR Cooperative Research Program, Washington, D.C. Courtesy copies of reviews would be appreciated. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Alberts, David S. (David Stephen), 1942- Volume III of Information Age Anthology: The Information Age Military David S. Alberts, Daniel S. Papp p. cm. -- (CCRP publication series) Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 1-893723-03-8 97-194630 CIP March 2001 VOLUME III INFORMATION AGE ANTHOLOGY: The Information Age Military EDITED BY DAVID S. ALBERTS DANIEL S. PAPP TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgments................................................ v Preface ................................................................ vii Chapter 1—War in the Information Age Military— David S. Alberts and Daniel S. Papp................... 1 Part One Introduction......................................... 29 Chapter 2—Grand Strategy and Information Warfare—Daniel Goure ...................................... 41 Chapter 3—The War After Byte City—Michael Vlahos ................................................................. 73 Chapter 4—Can Information Warfare Be Deterred?—Stephen Blank ..............................125 Chapter 5—Military Strategy and Information Technology: Alternative Visions of Future War— Steven Metz....................................................... 159 Part Two Introduction ...................................... 199 Chapter 6—Joint Vision 2010 .......................... 213 Chapter 7—Army Vision 2010 ......................... 239 Chapter 8—Global Engagement: A Vision for the 21st Century Air Force ..................................... 271 Chapter 9—Forward…From the Sea ............... 293 Chapter 10—U.S. Navy: Information Warfare Strategic Plan ................................................... 313 i Chapter 11—Operational Maneuver from the Sea: A Concept for the Projection of Naval Power Ashore ................................................... 341 Chapter 12—Report of the Quadrennial Defense Review—William S. Cohen .............................. 357 Part Three Introduction .................................... 403 Chapter 13—Future War: An Assessment of Aerospace Campaigns in 2010 (excerpts)— Jeffrey R. Barnett ............................................. 413 Chapter 14—Network-Centric Warfare: Its Origin and Future—Arthur K. Cebrowski and John J. Garstka ............................................... 469 Chapter 15—The Seven Deadly Sins of Network- Centric Warfare—Thomas P. M. Barnett ........ 489 Chapter 16—What Revolution in Military Affairs?—William Hoehn.................................. 503 Part Four Introduction...................................... 537 Chapter 17—A Failure of Vision (retrospective)—Fred Kennedy, Rory Welch, and Byron Fessler ......................................... 549 Chapter 18—The IW Threat from Sub-State Groups: An Interdisciplinary Approach—Andrew Rathmell, Richard Overill, Lorenzo Valeri, and John Gearson ................................................... 577 Chapter 19—Information Warfare in Multilateral Peace Operations: A Case Study of Somalia— Rick Brennan and R. Evan Ellis ...................... 607 ii Chapter 20—Target Bosnia: Integrating Information Activities in Peace Operations— Pascale Combelles Siegel ............................... 657 Chapter 21—Kosovo and the Current Myth of Information Superiority—Timothy L. Thomas .... 709 Part Five Introduction ...................................... 741 Chapter 22—Information Technology and Military Affairs: France, The United Kingdom, and NATO—Danielle Phillips ........................... 749 Chapter 23—The Russian Understanding of Information Operations and Information Warfare—Timothy L. Thomas.......................... 777 Chapter 24—Information-Based Warfare and the PRC—M. Ehsan Ahrari ..................................... 815 Chapter 25—The Third Military Revolution— Ch’en Huan ....................................................... 831 Conclusion—The Future of Defense Policy: Information Age Trends—Daniel S. Papp and David S. Alberts ................................................ 845 iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS he editors wish to thank and acknowledge the Tfollowing publishers for granting permission to reproduce these important articles in Volume III Information Age Anthology: “The War After Byte City” by Michael Vlahos, courtesy of the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology from The Washington Quarterly, 20:2, Spring 1997 “Information Warfare in Multilateral Peace Operations: A Case Study of Somalia” by Rick Brennan and R. Evan Ellis, courtesy of Science Applications International Corporation, 1996 “Information-Based Warfare and the PRC” by M. Ehsan Ahrari, appeared as an earlier version of this essay as “Chinese Prove to be Attentive Students of Information Warfare,” Jane’s Intelligence Review, May 1997, and “U.S. Military Strategy Perspectives on the PRC: New Frontiers of Information-Based War,” Asian Survey, December 1997 v PREFACE n what ways will wars and the Military that fight them Ibe different in the Information Age than in earlier ages? What will this mean for the U.S. military? In this third volume of the Information Age Anthology, we turn finally to the task of exploring answers to these simply stated, but vexing questions that provided the impetus for the first two volumes of the Information Age Anthology. In Volume I, we examined some of the broader issues of the Information Age: what the Information Age is; how it affects commerce, business, and service; what it means for the government and the military; and how it affects international actors and the international system. In Volume II, we turned to the impacts and consequences of the Information Age on national security broadly defined: the nature of national security in the Information Age, the threats to and opportunities for national security that may emerge in the Information Age, and differing interpretations about the degree of change in national security issues that we might expect to actually encounter in the Information Age. Now, in Volume III, we concentrate on defense, conflict, and warfare in the Information Age. What characteristics will an Information Age military need to possess to meet current and future challenges? If so, how? What is the U.S. military establishment doing to prepare for change? How do military analysts in vii the United States view those changes? How are those abroad preparing their own military establishments for change? When all is said and done, what does all this mean for the defense of the United States and for its ability to deter and failing this, to prevail in the Information Age? Given the uncertainties involved with the ongoing transition to the Information Age, the first two volumes provided us not with concise answers, but with some useful insights as to what the impacts and consequences of the Information Age may be on human affairs, commerce, business, the service industries, government,
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