The Scientist's Imagination: Cold War Politics and Nuclear Futures in Leo
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AN ABSTRACT OF THE DISSERTATION OF Anna Elizabeth Dvorak for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in History of Science presented on July 24, 2019. Title: The Scientist’s Imagination: Cold War Politics and Nuclear Futures in Leo Szilard’s Fact and Fiction. Abstract approved: ______________________________________________________ Jacob Darwin Hamblin The story of Leo Szilard has not been told in its full complexity. This is especially so of the role imagination played in Szilard’s worldview. Szilard, like many other scientists in the mid- twentieth century, worked on the Manhattan Project. Like these other wartime participants, the work and relationships formed during this time greatly influenced his future work. Furthermore, Szilard brought his regret for his role in the development of the atomic bomb into his arguments for peace and scientist involvement in seeking peace through conversations with Russians. Many authors have explained his involvement in the initiation of what became the Manhattan Project and his involvement during the war and petitions on the use of the weapons in Japan. Most frequently he played a supporting role to other scientist-actors of the time, aiding and extending their actions as a part of a larger story in which Szilard did not play a central role. But the story of Szilard is important as it tracks changes in American diplomacy and relations with both Russia and the larger world. Through both his fiction and non-fiction, the stories Szilard presented are both serious and humorous, a direct relation to how Szilard thought about the issues and approached them in daily life. These stories also parallel his interests in science and his desires, or fears, for the potential uses of this research. Szilard was extremely rational and held a large amount of faith in science and the power of scientists and other intellectuals to direct policy. In Szilard’s eyes, if he did not speak out about peace and how it might be achieved, he did not know who else would. This dissertation opens with an outline of Szilard’s core beliefs. The following chapters then expand and comment on these beliefs and provide specific examples. In the second chapter, I explore how Szilard’s arguments changed when the Soviets completed in 1949 what he saw to be inevitable, an atomic bomb and the start of the arms race. Chapter three details Szilard’s perspectives on science and science education and how he thought American education should be conducted in order to produce an educated citizenry. I also use fictional pieces to demonstrate Szilard’s critique of society and fears of where a scientized society could lead. Continuing with the use of fiction, chapter four focuses on Szilard’s satirical short story “The Voice of the Dolphins” to explore his ideas of the future and his vision of an ideal world. I connect this to larger ideas of future planning and the trajectory of his thinking throughout his life. A fifth and final, chapter traces the history of Szilard’s “crusade,” and his creation of a lobby through the Council for a Livable World, which ensured citizen involvement in effecting political change through Congressional elections and still functions today. ©Copyright by Anna Elizabeth Dvorak July 24, 2019 All Rights Reserved The Scientist’s Imagination: Cold War Politics and Nuclear Futures in Leo Szilard’s Fact and Fiction by Anna Elizabeth Dvorak A DISSERTATION submitted to Oregon State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Presented July 24, 2019 Commencement June 2020 Doctor of Philosophy dissertation of Anna Elizabeth Dvorak presented on July 24, 2019 APPROVED: Major Professor, representing History of Science Director of the School of History, Philosophy, and Religion Dean of the Graduate School I understand that my dissertation will become part of the permanent collection of Oregon State University libraries. My signature below authorizes release of my dissertation to any reader upon request. Anna Elizabeth Dvorak, Author ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS In the past seven years at Oregon State University I have been influenced by all my professors, both as a student and teaching assistant. They have shown me how to mentor, teach effectively, encourage critical thinking, and so much more. I have had the privilege of working more closely with some of these faculty members. Each of the members of my Dissertation Committee has provided me extensive professional guidance and taught me a great deal about working in academia. Both through their role as researchers and teachers. I would especially like to thank my advisor, Jacob Hamblin, for guiding me as I completed both my master’s and PhD. He has taught me to be a better historian and writer, and encouraged me to find my own voice and to trust it. I am grateful to Mike Osborne for his help editing and all the constructive feedback he has given me on this project and others. I am especially indebted to Ray Malewitz and his encouragement to pursue intersections of science and literature. I would also like to thank Anita Guerrini and Trina Hogg for advice and support along the way. I have also found support from other academic institutions. The sheer amount of information and knowledge discussed at the Woodrow Wilson Center’s Nuclear History Bootcamp is mind boggling but has given me a firmer basis for the claims I’ve made in this work, and every piece I will write in the future. Perhaps more important though were the conversations that transpired over the ten days in Allumiere with Marty Sherwin, David Holloway, and Joe Pilat. Your support and encouragement has meant a lot to me. I would not be the historian I am today without the support of Oregon State’s Special Collections and Archives Research Center. The faculty and students have been both wonderful colleagues and friends supporting me as I figure out where my PhD will take me. At SCARC I have found a passion for not only conducting research, but for preserving the sources and sharing them with other researchers in the Reading Room. I am eternally grateful for the personal and professional guidance Anne Bahde and Tiah Edmunson-Morton have shared with me over my tenure as a Student Archivist. They have both played major roles in guiding me towards my professional goals and will continue to serve as role models. Last, but certainly not least, I am forever grateful for my family. For my siblings, Erika and Ian who keep me grounded. I am thankful my close-knit extended family who have supported me along the way. Sam, thank you for putting up with me these last few months. I know it hasn’t always been easy. And last but certainly not least, I need to thank my parents. They have been there for me since day one, encouraging me, and telling me I could do anything I put my mind to. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Introduction...…………………………………………………………………………… 1 1. Szilard’s Politics and the Politics of Szilard……………………………………….…… 14 2. Communicating with the Enemy: Szilard on US-Soviet Relations ……………..……… 42 3. Szilard and Science in a Post-war World ……………………………………………… 74 4. Szilard and his Think Tank ……………..………………………………….……….…. 95 5. Lobbying for a Worldview ……………………………………………………………. 118 Conclusion …………………………………………………………………………….... 141 Bibliography …………………………………………………….………….……….…... 148 DEDICATION To family, in every sense of the word 1 Introduction: In 1947 Leo Szilard wrote a letter to the Premier of the Soviet Union, Joseph Stalin. This letter was never sent to Stalin directly, but this was not for Szilard’s lack of trying. Approaching Stalin directly was precisely why the letter was not able to be sent, it was viewed as Szilard influencing a foreign government. However, the letter was subsequently published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (BAS), and this act places the letter in a unique position between fact and fiction. On one hand, Szilard used this letter to put forth his ideas on what he saw to be the main issues facing the US and Soviet Union in their nuclear standoff. A reality that he wished to share directly with Stalin. On the other hand, it gave suggestions for steps for Stalin to take to approach the American people, who would listen even if their government did not. Steps, like a radio broadcast, that he knew the Premier would not take and steps he knew would be unacceptable to American citizens. Szilard knew early on that this letter would likely never be sent but wrote it anyways, hoping that it may be published and thus have an audience. Then perhaps this letter would find its way to the Soviet Union. Szilard’s “Letter to Stalin” underscores the necessity to reexamine his written and spoken word through the lens of scientific creativity and imagination. Szilard’s use of imagination allowed him to think outside of the box and beyond the traditional strictures of foreign policy and diplomacy by expanding his role as a scientist. Using imaginative scenarios and playing them out in his fiction and non-fiction, allowed Szilard to pose questions and solve them in what he believed to be the most clear and rational way. Proceeding in such a rational manner allowed Szilard to describe discrete steps leading to his desired outcome. With this broader view of the possibilities that existed for the problems at hand, Szilard was able to envision a world in which there was no race for larger and larger nuclear weapons and the world was finally at peace. These scenarios played out in a manner akin to the scientific method, highlighting the importance of Szilard’s training as a scientist in his worldview. Stating a question or problem Szilard saw the world facing, he would propose a hypothetical set of steps to reach what he hoped would be a compromise with the Russians.