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The Need to Counter Space Terrorism – a European Perspective

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The Need to Counter Space Terrorism – a European Perspective The Need to Counter Space Terrorism – A European Perspective E S P I PERSPECTIVES 17 The Need to Counter Space Terrorism – A European Perspective Nina-Louisa REMUSS, Project Manager at ESPI The risk of terrorism spilling over from Earth to space is real and latent. However, the threat of “Space Terrorism” is currently to a large degree neglected by decision-makers. While security studies scholars have come to accept that actors and forms of threats changed after the end of the Cold War, space security studies lag behind this development and analyses the threat from State actors only. There is a need for a revised definition of “security” in space security studies. “Space Terrorism” is a timely topic especially in the light of the recent ESA Council Meeting at Ministerial level, which decided on the introduction of a preparatory programme on Space Situational Awareness (SSA) as well as the U.S.’ discussions on the reform of the U.S. export control system. Given the increased use of space for security purposes through programmes like Galileo and GMES, the upcoming Czech EU Presidency together with the other EU Member States and supported by the European Parliament has to address “Space Terrorism”, through the introduction of effective counter measures to protect satellites. It is frequently recalled that “Operation Desert are both motivated and capable of conducting a Storm” revealed to the world the great U.S. terrorist attack in space. Countering the space dependency and the resulting U.S. argument of fighting weaponisation through vulnerability. An adversary with the right weaponisation, it is argued that any space expertise could exploit this vulnerability by policy needs to be adapted to the new post- developing countermeasures against U.S. Cold War security order.4 Given that the EU space-based assets. This exploitation is increasingly intends to use space programmes especially attractive as it could result in a like GMES and Galileo for security-related dramatically degrading of efficiency in combat. purposes, it risks facing similar vulnerabilities In this regard China is often discussed as a new as the U.S. Being in the course of developing Soviet Union,1 threatening to launch an anti- necessary structures to combine space and satellite ballistic missile. While most security policy, the EU can built in related and publications accept that space is the next “high necessary provisions right from the start in ground”,2 they usually refer to States as the order to account for the possible threat of space main actors and neglect the possibilities of terrorism immediately. In particular, there is a terrorists getting involved in space.3 Claiming need for the introduction of a counter-terrorism that academics, researchers and policy makers policy for space as well as relevant provisions neglect the possibility of “Space Terrorism” to a introducing a common export control regime large extent, this essay will show that terrorists within the EU and a Space Situational Awareness (SSA) System. 1 cf. as in Baum, Lt Col Michael E. “Defiling the Altar the Weaponization of Space“. Air Power Journal Spring 1994. Re-defining “Security” <www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj94/spr94 /baum.html>. 2 cf. Fjetland, Michael. “Next: Space Terrorism?” 2003. 1 The fall of the Iron Curtain as well as events as Sept. 2008. <www.borrull.org/e/noticia.php?id=21388>., 9/11 in 2001, the Madrid and London bombings who also only refers to States when discussing different of 2004 and 2005 and the tsunami disaster of options of weaponisation in space. 3 2004 led to a re-thinking of the traditional As in Chun, Clayton K. S. “Striking Out to Space. Technical Challenges to the Deployment of ASAT Weapons .“ New perception of “threats” and “security”. According Challenges in Missile Proliferation, Missile Defense, and Space Security. Ed. James Clay Moltz. Monterey Institute of International Studies: July 2003. 24, who only refers to 4 Thomson, Allen. “Satellite Vulnerability: a post-Cold War countries when discussing options for satellite interference. issue?“ Space Policy 11 Febr. 1995: 19-30. 1 ESPI Perspectives No 17, January 2009 The Need to Counter Space Terrorism – A European Perspective to the Cold War security perception, threats are rather than reaction, when trying to win the cat- actors focused and the classical threat is an and-mouse game that can be associated with armed attack by another State.5 As economic the fight against terrorism.7 integration and military rationality proceeded, this purely territorial perception was overcome, Space Terrorism: Motives and security became part of an enlarged concept in which defence played only a minor Having surveyed the changed context for space role. Consequently, “functional security” as a security after the end of the Cold War, this concept came to oppose traditional territorial section will deal with the motives and security. Accordingly, there was no longer one characteristics of terrorism in order to draw external threat but instability and disintegration some conclusions on if and why terrorists would due to ethnic and religious conflicts inside non- attack engage in space terrorism. democratic countries with ruined economies, so-called “failed States”. New threats are no While there is still no universal definition for the longer only coming from other States but from term “terrorism”, this essay relies on the non-State actors as well. Additionally, one can following working definition: observe an ever accelerating pace of the deliberate creation and exploitation of technological advancement, which places fear through violence or the threat of capabilities formerly considered to be violence in the pursuit of political change “advanced” in the hands of non-State actors, (…) specifically designed to have far thus making Space Terrorism, i.e. terrorists reaching psychological effects beyond the using space assets for their own purposes or immediate victim(s) or object of the destroying them, possible. As a response to the terrorist attack.8 “new” threats and the re-defined perception of security, the way security is provided has to be While suicide is often referred to as “the main adapted as well. As a result the structures of weapon”, it is according to counter terrorism international military and security relations have experts rarely the first choice but is rather used been transformed, changing from bipolarity to when other ones fail. The method is a means of multi-polar politics, making international achieving an effect and not an essential cooperation in this policy domain more requirement of the destructive act. Thus, common.6 terrorist groups might use any method as long as it is easy to acquire and useful to achieving mass casualties and/or a lasting psychological Space policy studies lags behind 9 security studies in not accounting for effect. new threats like space terrorism and thus needs to adapt to the new post-Cold Targets are usually chosen with regard to the War security order. accomplishment of a symbolic purpose and there is thus an open-ended category of targets. While specialists agree that terrorists’ While security studies have undergone a operations and tactics reveal a remarkably low broadening by considering non-military security degree of innovation in contrast to a very high threats as well (e.g. environmental scarcity, degradation, terrorism and nuclear catastrophe), space security studies is lagging 7 Hoffman, Bruce. “Rethinking Terrorism and behind in this regard. By focussing on what Counterterrorism Since 9/11”. Studies in Conflict & happened instead of finding out what did not Terrorism Vol. 25: 2002. p.311; Hoffman, Bruce. Inside Terrorism. New York: Columbia University Press, 2006. 24; happen, one loses the opportunity to shed light Schilling in Gormley, Dennis M. “UAVs and Cruise Missiles on possible future attacks. Counter-terrorism as Possible Terrorist Weapons“. New Challenges in Missile experts often referred to foresight and the Proliferation, Missile Defense, and Space Security. Ed. unfamiliar as crucial points, i.e. anticipation James Clay Moltz. Monterey Institute of International Studies: July 2003. 7. 8 Hoffman, Bruce. Inside Terrorism. New York: Columbia 5 Varwick, Johannes and Woyke, Wichard. Die Zukunft der University Press, 2006. 40. Alex P. Schmid discusses more NATO. Transatlantische Sicherheit im Wandel. 2nd Edition. than one hundred different definitions of terrorism, trying to Augsburg: Leske + Budrich, 2000. 127; Sundelius, Bengt. offer a reasonably comprehensive explication of the word, “Disruption - Functional security for the EU.” Disasters, cf. Schmid, Alex P. Political Terrorism: A Research Guide. Diseases, Disruptions: a new D-drive for the EU. Chaillot New Brunswick, N.J.: Transaction Books, 1994. For Paper No. 83. Ed. Antonio Missiroli. Paris: Institute for another discussion on the definitional question of terrorism Security Studies, 2005. 68. cf. Laquer, Walter. The Age of Terrorism. London: New 6 Varwick, Johannes and Woyke, Wichard. NATO 200. Brunswick, N.J.: Transaction Books, 2001. Transatlantische Sicherheit im Wandel. Augsburg: Leske + 9 Crenshaw, Martha. Terrorism in Context. Pennsylvania: Budrich, 1999. 31; Sundelius, Bengt. op. cit. 68.; Thomson, Pennsylvania State University Press, 1995; Bloom, Mia. Allen. op. cit. 19-30; David Held and Anthony McGrew, op. Dying to Kill: The Allure of Suicide Terror. New York: cit., p.222. Columbia. Chapter 1; Gormley, Dennis M. op. cit. 7. ESPI Perspectives No 17, January 2009 2 The Need to Counter Space Terrorism – A European Perspective degree of imitation, foresight is crucial in user/service equipment. contingency planning.10 The most direct way to eliminate a satellite is to destroy it. However if the objective is just to It is feasible that terrorists will look for stop an operator from benefiting from its access new targets and strategic methods to to satellites, there are several options: achieve their objective of mass ca- disruption, denial, degradation, and deception sualties and long-lasting psychological of the space system in question.
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