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Demographic Research: Volume 38, Article XX Supplementary materials

Projections of all subregions

The graphs in this document show the observed and projected TFR for all subregions in our data, each as a separate subsection, sorted in alphabetical order. The red line in each plot shows the observed data followed by the median projection, while the shaded area shows the 80% predictive interval for that subregion, obtained by the Scale-AR(1) method. The grey line and shaded area show the same quantities for the corresponding country, i.e. the national projections used as input to the subnational projections.

1. Argentina

3.5 6 Buenos Aires Catamarca Chaco Chubut Argentina Argentina Argentina Argentina 5 5 3.0 4

4 4 2.5 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 2.0

2 2 2 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.5 Capital Federal Cordoba Corrientes 4 Entre Rios Argentina Argentina 5 Argentina Argentina 3.0 3.0

4 2.5 3 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 2.0 2.0 2 1.5 2 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 3.5 6 Formosa Jujuy La Pampa La Rioja Argentina Argentina Argentina 5 Argentina 5 5 3.0

4 4 4 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 2.0

2 2 2 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 3.5 Mendoza Misiones Neuquen Rio Negro Argentina Argentina Argentina Argentina 5 5 4 3.0

4 4 2.5 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 2.0 2 2 2 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Salta San Juan San Luis 4 Santa Cruz 5 Argentina 4 Argentina Argentina Argentina 4

4 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 3.5 5 Santa Fe Santiago del Estero Tierra del Fuego 5 Tucuman Argentina Argentina Argentina Argentina 5 3.0 4 4

4 2.5

TFR TFR TFR 3 TFR 3 3 2.0

2 2 2 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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2. Australia

3.5 Australian Capital New South Wales Northern Territory 3.5 Queensland Australia Australia Australia Australia 4 3.0 3 3.0

2.5 3 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.5 South Australia Tasmania Victoria Western Australia 3.5 Australia 3.5 Australia Australia Australia 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR 2.5 TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.

3.2 3.0 Burgenland Carinthia Lower Austria Upper Austria Austria Austria Austria Austria 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5

2.4 2.4

2.0 TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 3.0 Salzburg Styria Tyrol Vorarlberg Austria Austria 3.0 Austria 3.0 Austria

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.8 Vienna Austria

2.4

2.0 TFR

1.6

1950 2000 2050 2100

4. Belgium

2.7 2.7 2.7 Reg. de Bruxelles-capitale flamande Region wallonne Belgium Belgium Belgium 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.1 2.1 2.1 TFR TFR TFR

1.8 1.8 1.8

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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5. Brazil

Acre Alagoas 8 Amapa Amazonas Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil 7.5 7.5 6 6

5.0 5.0 TFR TFR 4 TFR TFR 4

2.5 2.5 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Bahia Ceara Distrito Federal Espirito Santo Brazil Brazil 6 Brazil Brazil 6 6 6 5

4

TFR 4 TFR 4 TFR TFR 4 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Goias Maranhao Mato Grosso 6 Mato Grosso do Sul Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil 6 6 6 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 8 Minas Gerais Para Paraiba Parana Brazil Brazil Brazil 6 Brazil

6 6 6

4

TFR 4 TFR 4 TFR 4 TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Pernambuco Piaui 6 Rio de Janeiro 8 Rio Grande do Norte Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil 6 6 6 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 4

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Rio Grande do Sul Rondonia 8 Roraima Santa Catarina Brazil Brazil Brazil Brazil 7.5 6 6

4 5.0 4 TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR

2 2.5 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 6 Sao Paulo Sergipe 6 Tocantins Brazil Brazil Brazil 5 6

4 4

TFR TFR 4 TFR 3

2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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6.

2.5 North-West 2.5 North Central 2.5 North-East 2.5 South-East Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.5 South-West 2.5 South Central Bulgaria Bulgaria

2.0 2.0 TFR TFR

1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7. Canada

4 4.0 Alberta British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick 4.0 Canada Canada Canada Canada 3.5 4 3.5 3 3.0

3.0 3 TFR TFR TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5

2 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4 4.0 7 Newfoundland and Labrador Northwest 4 Nova Scotia Nunavut Canada Canada Canada Canada 6 3.5

3 5 3.0 3

TFR TFR 4 TFR TFR 2.5

2 3 2 2.0

2 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4.0 4.0 Ontario Prince Edward Island Quebec Saskatchewan 4.0 Canada Canada Canada Canada 3.5 3.5 4 3.5

3.0 3.0 3.0 3 TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5

2.0 2.0 2 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

5 Yukon Canada

4

TFR 3

2

1950 2000 2050 2100

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8. Chile

Arica and Parinacota Los Rios Aisen del General Carlos Ibanez del Campo Antofagasta 6 5 Chile 5 Chile Chile 5 Chile

5 4 4 4

4

TFR 3 TFR 3 TFR TFR 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Araucania 6 Atacama Bio-Bio Coquimbo 6 6 Chile Chile Chile 6 Chile 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Libertador General Bernardo O'Higgins 6 Los Lagos Magallanes y Antartica Chilena Maule 6 Chile Chile 5 Chile 6 Chile 5 5 5 4 4 4 4

TFR TFR TFR 3 TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Region Metropolitana de Santiago Tarapaca Valparaiso 5 Chile 5 Chile 5 Chile

4 4 4

TFR 3 TFR 3 TFR 3

2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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9. China

6 Shanghai_Urban 6 Shanghai_Rural 6 Shanghai_HP 6 Shanghai_LW China China China China 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Shanghai_XH 6 Shanghai_CN 6 Shanghai_JA 6 Shanghai_PT China China China China

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Shangha_ZB 6 Shanghai_HK 6 Shanghai_YP 6 Shanghai_MH China China China China 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Shanghai_BS 6 Shanghai_JD 6 Shanghai_PD 6 Shanghai_JS China China China China

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Shanghai_SJ 6 Shanghai_QP 6 Shanghai_NH 6 Shanghai_FX China China China China 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Shanghai_CM 6 Shanghai_NS Anhui 6 Beijing China China 6 China China 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 Chongqing 6 Fujian Gansu Guangdong China China 6 China China

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Guangxi 7 Guizhou 6 Hainan 6 Hebei China China China China 6 5 5 5

5 4 4 4

TFR TFR 4 TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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9. China (Continued)

6 6 Heilongjiang 6 Henan Hubei Hunan China China China 6 China

5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7 6 Jiangsu Jiangxi Jilin 6 Liaoning 6 China 6 China China China 5 5 4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Inner 6 Ningxia 6 Qinghai 6 Shaanxi China China China China

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Shandong 6 Shanghai 6 Shanxi Sichuan China China China 6 China

5 5 5 4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Tianjin Xinjiang 6 Tibet Yunnan 6 6 China 6 China China China

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Zhejiang China 5

4 TFR 3

2

1950 2000 2050 2100

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10. Costa Rica

Alajuela Cartago Guanacaste Heredia Costa Rica Costa Rica Costa Rica Costa Rica 7.5 6 6 6

5.0 4 4

TFR TFR 4 TFR TFR

2.5 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Limon Puntarenas San Jose Costa Rica Costa Rica Costa Rica 7.5 6

6

5.0 4 TFR TFR TFR 4

2.5 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

11. Cuba

Pinar del Rio Las Tunas Holguin Granma Cuba Cuba Cuba Cuba 4 4 4 4

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Santiago de Cuba Guantanamo Isla de la Juventud La Habana Cuba Cuba Cuba Cuba 4 4 4 4

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Ciudad de La Habana Matanzas Villa Clara Cienfuegos Cuba Cuba Cuba Cuba 4 4 4 4

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Sancti Spiritus Ciego de Avila Camaguey Cuba Cuba Cuba 4 4 4

3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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12. Czech Republic

Jihocesky Jihomoravsky Karlovarsky Vysocina Czech Republic 2.5 Czech Republic Czech Republic Czech Republic 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5

1.2 1.2 1.2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kralovehradecky Liberecky Moravskoslezsky Olomoucky Czech Republic Czech Republic Czech Republic 2.5 Czech Republic 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5

1.2 1.2 1.2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Pardubicky Plzensky Praha Stredocesky Czech Republic 2.5 Czech Republic 2.5 Czech Republic Czech Republic 2.4 2.4

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.6 1.5 1.6 1.5

1.2 1.2 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Ustecky Zlinsky Czech Republic 2.5 Czech Republic 2.4

2.0 2.0 TFR TFR

1.6 1.5

1.2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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13.

2.6 Arhus (excl. Christianso) County Denmark Denmark Denmark Denmark 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.2

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.8

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6

1.4 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 North County Ringkobing County Denmark Denmark Denmark Denmark 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6

1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.6 2.6 2.6 South Jutland County Storstrom County Denmark Denmark Denmark Denmark 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.2 2.2 2.2

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.8 1.8 1.8

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6

1.4 1.4 1.4 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.6 2.6 2.5 Copenhagen 2.5 Denmark Denmark Denmark Denmark 2.4 2.4

2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.8 1.8 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6

1.4 1.4 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

14. Ecuador

Azuay Imbabura Loja 8 Los Rios 6 Ecuador 6 Ecuador Ecuador Ecuador 6 5 5 6

4 4

TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR 4 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 8 Manabi Morona Santiago 8 Napo Pastaza Ecuador Ecuador Ecuador Ecuador 6 6 6 6

TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 4 4 4

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Pichincha Tungurahua Zamora Chinchipe Bolivar 8 6 Ecuador 6 Ecuador Ecuador 6 Ecuador

5 5 5 6

4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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14. Ecuador (Continued)

Galapagos 8 Sucumbios 8 Zonas No Delimitadas Caar 6 Ecuador Ecuador Ecuador Ecuador 6

5 6 6

4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 4 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Carchi Cotopaxi Chimborazo El Oro 6 Ecuador 6 Ecuador 6 Ecuador Ecuador 6

5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Esmeraldas Guayas Ecuador 6 Ecuador

6 5

4 TFR TFR 4 3

2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

15. Estonia

2.4 2.25 Harju Hiiu Ida-Viru Jarva Estonia Estonia Estonia Estonia 2.00 2.00 2.1 2.00

1.75 1.75 1.75

TFR TFR 1.8 TFR TFR 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.25 1.5 1.25

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.25 Jogeva Laane-Viru Laane Parnu Estonia Estonia Estonia Estonia

2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00

1.75 1.75 1.75

TFR TFR TFR TFR 1.75

1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50

1.25

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.25 2.25 2.25 Polva Rapla Saare Tartu Estonia Estonia Estonia Estonia 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00

1.75 1.75 1.75

TFR TFR 1.75 TFR TFR

1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.25 Valga Viljandi Voru 2.25 Tallinn Estonia Estonia Estonia Estonia 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00

1.75

1.75 1.75 1.75 TFR TFR TFR TFR 1.50

1.50 1.50 1.50 1.25

1.00 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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16. Finland

3.0 NorthCarelia 3.0 Pohjois-Savo 3.0 Etela-Savo 3.0 Lapland Finland Finland Finland Finland

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Kainuu 3.0 NorthOstrobothnia 3.0 Kymenlaakso 3.0 Paijat-Hame Finland Finland Finland Finland

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 SouthCarelia 3.0 Uusimaa 3.0 CentralFinland 3.0 CentralOstrobothnia Finland Finland Finland Finland

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Varsinais-Suomi 3.0 Ostrobothnia 3.0 Aland 3.0 Pirkanmaa Finland Finland Finland Finland

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Satakunta 3.0 SouthOstrobothnia 3.0 Kanta-Hame Finland Finland Finland

2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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17.

3.2 Somme Eure Seine-Maritime Cher France France France France 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.5

2.5 2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.6 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Eure-et-Loir Indre 3.0 Indre-et-Loire Loir-et-Cher France France France France 2.8 2.8 2.5

2.5 2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.2 3.2 Loiret Calvados Manche Orne France France France France 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.5

2.5 2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 3.0 Cote-d'Or Nievre Saone-et-Loire Yonne France France France France 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Nord Pas-de-Calais Meurthe-et-Moselle 3.5 Meuse France France France France 3.0 3.0 2.8 3.0

2.5 2.4 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.6

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.2 3.0 Moselle Vosges Bas-Rhin Paris France France France France 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.5

2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Seine-et-Marne 2.8 Yvelines 2.8 Essonne 2.8 Hauts-de-Seine France France France France

2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.8 Seine-Saint-Denis 2.8 Val-de-Marne 2.8 Val-d'Oise 3.5 Ardennes France France France France

3.0 2.4 2.4 2.4

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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17. France (Continued)

Aube Marne 3.5 Haute-Marne Aisne France France France France 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0

2.4 2.4 2.5 TFR TFR TFR 2.5 TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.6 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.2 3.0 Oise Haut-Rhin Doubs Jura France France France France 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.5

2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Haute-Saone Territoire de Belfort Loire-Atlantique Maine-et-Loire France France France France 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.0

2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Mayenne Sarthe Vendee Cotes-d'Armor France France France France 2.8 3.0 3.0

2.5

2.4 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Finistere Ille-et-Vilaine Morbihan Charente France France France France 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.2 Charente-Maritime Deux-Sevres 3.0 Vienne Dordogne France France France France 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5

2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Gironde Landes Lot-et-Garonne Pyrenees-Atlantiques France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Ariege Aveyron Haute-Garonne Gers France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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17. France (Continued)

Lot Hautes-Pyrenees Tarn Tarn-et-Garonne France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Correze Creuse 2.8 Haute-Vienne Ain France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.6

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Ardeche 2.8 Drome 2.8 Isere 2.8 Loire France France France France

2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.8 Rhone Savoie Haute-Savoie Allier France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Cantal Haute-Loire Puy-de-Dome Aude France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.8 Gard Herault Lozere Pyrenees-Orientales France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Alpes-de-Haute-Provence 2.8 Hautes-Alpes Alpes-Maritimes Bouches-du-Rhone France France France France

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.8 Var 2.8 Vaucluse Corse-du-Sud Haute-Corse France France France France

2.5 2.5

2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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18.

2.5 Baden-Wurttemberg Bayern Brandenburg 2.4 Germany 2.4 Germany Germany 2.5 Germany

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6

1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.5 2.5 2.50 Bremen Hamburg Hessen Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Germany Germany Germany Germany 2.5 2.25

2.0 2.0 2.00 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 1.75 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.50

1.0 1.25 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.50 2.50 2.5 Niedersachsen Nordrhein-Westfalen Rheinland-Pfalz Saarland Germany Germany Germany Germany 2.25 2.25 2.4

2.0 2.00 2.00 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 1.75 1.75

1.6 1.5 1.50 1.50

1.25 1.25 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.5 2.5 2.50 2.5 Sachsen-Anhalt Sachsen Schleswig- Thuringen Germany Germany Germany Germany 2.25

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.00 TFR TFR TFR TFR 1.5 1.5 1.75 1.5

1.50

1.0 1.0 1.0 1.25 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

19. Greece

2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 Anatoliki Makedonia Thraki Kentriki Makedonia Dytiki Makedonia Thessalia Greece Greece Greece Greece

2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1

1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.4 2.4 2.4 Ipeiros Ionia Nisia Dytiki Ellada Sterea Ellada Greece Greece Greece Greece

2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0

1.8 1.8 1.8 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.2 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

16 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

19. Greece (Continued)

2.4 2.4 2.4 Peloponnisos Attiki Voreio Aigaio Notio Aigaio Greece Greece Greece Greece

2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0

1.8 1.8 1.8 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.4 Kriti Greece

2.1

1.8 TFR

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100

20. Hungary

Kozep-Magyarorszag Kozep-Dunantul Nyugat-Dunantul Del-Dunantul Hungary Hungary 2.5 Hungary Hungary 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5

1.2 1.2 1.2 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Eszak-Magyarorszag Eszak-Alfold Del-Alfold Hungary Hungary Hungary 2.4 2.4 2.4

2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR

1.6 1.6 1.6

1.2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

21. India

6 6 6 Andaman and Nicobar Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Assam India India India India 5 5 5 6

4 4 4

4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 6 Bihar Chandigarh Chhattisgarh Dadra and Nagar Haveli India India India India 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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21. India (Continued)

6 6 6 Daman and Diu Delhi Goa Gujarat India India India 6 India 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 Haryana Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand India India India India 6 5 5 5

4 4 4

TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 Karnataka Kerala Lakshadweep Madhya Pradesh India India India 6 India 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 6 Maharashtra Manipur Meghalaya Nagaland India India India India 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 Odisha Puducherry 6 Punjab Rajasthan India India India 6 India 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 Sikkim Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttar Pradesh India India India 6 India 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

West Bengal 6 India

5

4 TFR

3

2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100

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22. Indonesia

6 Aceh Bali Bengkulu Jakarta Raya 6 Indonesia 5 Indonesia Indonesia 5 Indonesia 5 5 4 4 4 4

TFR TFR 3 TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 Jambi Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah Jawa Timur Indonesia Indonesia 5 Indonesia 5 Indonesia 5

4 4 4 4

TFR TFR TFR 3 TFR 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Kalimantan Barat Kalimantan Selatan Kalimantan Tengah Kalimantan Timur 6 Indonesia 5 Indonesia Indonesia 5 Indonesia 5 5 4 4 4 4

TFR TFR 3 TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 Lampung Maluku Nusa Tenggara Barat Nusa Tenggara Timur Indonesia 6 Indonesia 6 Indonesia Indonesia 5

5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Papua Riau Sulawesi Selatan 6 Sulawesi Tengah 6 Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia 5 5

5 4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 Sulawesi Tenggara 6 Sulawesi Utara Sumatera Barat 6 Sumatera Selatan Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia

5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7 Sumatera Utara DI Yogyakarta Bangka Belitung Kepulauan Riau 6 Indonesia 5 Indonesia 5 Indonesia 5 Indonesia

5 4 4 4

4 TFR TFR 3 TFR 3 TFR 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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22. Indonesia (Continued)

Banten Gorontalo Sulawesi Barat Maluku Utara Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia Indonesia 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Papua Barat Indonesia 5

4 TFR 3

2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100

23. (Islamic Republic of)

Ardabil 8 Charmahal B. E. Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 6 6 6 6

4 4

TFR TFR 4 TFR TFR 4

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Esfahan Fars Gilan Hamadan Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 6 6 6 6

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Hormozgan Ilam Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 7.5 6

6 6

5.0 4 TFR 4 TFR TFR 4 TFR

2.5 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 8 Khouzistan Kohgilooye Kurdistan Loristan 8 Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 6 6 6 6

TFR 4 TFR TFR 4 TFR 4 4

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Markazy Mazandaran Khorasan Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 6 6 6 6

4 4 4

TFR TFR TFR TFR 4

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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23. Iran (Islamic Republic of) (Continued)

Semnan Sistan & B. Azerbaijan W. Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 6 6 7.5 6

4 5.0 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2.5 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Yazd Zanjan Iran (Islamic Republic of) Iran (Islamic Republic of) 6 6

4

TFR TFR 4

2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

24. Italy

3.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 Abruzzo Puglia Basilicata Calabria Italy Italy Italy Italy 3.0 3.0 3.0

2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Campania 2.5 Emilia Romagna 2.5 Friuli Venezia Giulia 2.5 Lazio Italy Italy Italy Italy 3.0

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.5

1.0 1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.5 Liguria 2.5 Lombardia 2.5 Marche Molise Italy Italy Italy 2.5 Italy

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.5 Piemonte Sardegna 3.0 Sicilia 2.5 Toscana Italy Italy Italy Italy

3 2.5 2.0 2.0

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2 1.5 1.5

1.5

1 1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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24. Italy (Continued)

2.5 2.5 Trentino Alto Adige Umbria Valle d'Aosta 2.5 Veneto Italy Italy Italy Italy 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0

2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.5 Provincia Autonoma Bolzano-Bozen Italy

2.0 TFR

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100

25. Japan

3.0 Aichi Akita Aomori Prefecture Chiba 4 Japan Japan Japan 3.0 Japan

2.5 3 2.5 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2 2

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4 3.5 Ehime Prefecture Fukui 3.5 Fukuoka Fukushima Prefecture Japan 3.0 Japan Japan Japan

3.0 3.0

2.5 3 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Gifu Prefecture Gunma Prefecture 3.0 Hiroshima 4 Hokkaido 3.0 Japan Japan Japan Japan 3.0

2.5 2.5 3 2.5

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 3.2 4 Hyogo Prefecture 3.5 Ibaraki Prefecture Ishikawa Iwate Prefecture Japan Japan Japan Japan 2.8 3.0 2.5 3 2.4 2.5

TFR 2.0 TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.6 1.5

1.2 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Kagawa Kagoshima Prefecture 3.0 Kanagawa Prefecture 3.0 Kochi Japan Japan Japan Japan

2.5 2.5 2.5 3

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0

2 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

22 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

25. Japan (Continued)

Kumamoto Prefecture 3.0 Kyoto 3.0 Mie Prefecture Miyagi Japan Japan Japan Japan

3 2.5 2.5 3

TFR TFR 2.0 TFR TFR 2.0

2 2 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4 3.0 3.0 Miyazaki Nagano Prefecture 4 Nagasaki Prefecture Nara Japan Japan Japan Japan

2.5 2.5 3 3

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0

2 2 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.5 Niigata Prefecture Oita Prefecture 3.0 Okayama Prefecture 3.5 Okinawa Prefecture Japan Japan Japan Japan 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5

2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.0 Osaka prefecture Saga Saitama 3.0 Shiga Prefecture Japan Japan Japan Japan 3.0 2.5 2.5 3 2.5

TFR 2.0 TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.5 Shimane Prefecture Shizuoka Prefecture Tochigi Prefecture Tokushima Prefecture Japan Japan Japan Japan 3.0 3.0 3.0 3

2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Tokyo Tottori Prefecture Toyama 3.0 Wakayama Prefecture 3.0 3.0 Japan Japan Japan Japan

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5

1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 Yamagata Prefecture Yamaguchi Yamanashi Prefecture 3.0 Japan Japan 3.0 Japan 3.0

2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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26. Republic of Korea

7 6 Busan Chungcheongbuk-do Chungcheongnam-do 6 Daegu Republic of Korea Republic of Korea 6 Republic of Korea Republic of Korea 6

5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Daejeon Gangwon-do 6 Gwangju 6 Gyeonggi-do Republic of Korea 6 Republic of Korea Republic of Korea Republic of Korea

5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 Gyeongsangbuk-do 6 Gyeongsangnam-do 6 Incheon 6 Jeju-do Republic of Korea Republic of Korea Republic of Korea Republic of Korea

5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Jeollabuk-do Jeollanam-do 6 Seoul 6 Ulsan Republic of Korea Republic of Korea Republic of Korea Republic of Korea 6 6 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

24 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

27. Mexico

Aguascalientes Baja Baja California Sur Campeche 6 Mexico 6 Mexico Mexico 6 Mexico 6

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Chiapas Chihuahua Coahuila de Zaragoza Colima Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico

6

4 4 4

TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Distrito Federal Durango Guanajuato Guerrero 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Hidalgo Jalisco Michoacan de Ocampo Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Morelos Nayarit Nuevo Leon Oaxaca 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Puebla Queretaro Quintana Roo San Luis Potosi 6 Mexico Mexico Mexico 6 Mexico 7.5 6

4 5.0 4

TFR TFR 4 TFR TFR

2.5 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Sinaloa Sonora Tabasco Tamaulipas 6 Mexico 6 Mexico Mexico 6 Mexico

6

4 4 4

TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Tlaxcala Veracruz de Ignacio de la Llave Yucatan Zacatecas 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico 6 Mexico

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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28. Norway

Akershus Ostfold Aust-Agder Buskerud Norway Norway Norway Norway

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.0 Finnmark Finnmarku Hedmark Hordaland 3.2 More og Romsdal Norway Norway Norway Norway

3.0 2.5 2.8 2.5

2.5 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.2 3.2 Nord-Trondelag Nordland Oppland Oslo Norway Norway Norway Norway

2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5

2.4 2.4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0

2.0 2.0

1.5

1.6 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.2 Rogaland Sogn og Fjordane Sor-Trondelag Telemark Norway Norway Norway Norway 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.5

2.4 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Troms Romsa Vest-Agder Vestfold Norway Norway Norway 3.0 2.5 2.5

2.5 TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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29. Panama

8 6 Bocas Del Toro Kuna Yala Comarca Embera Comarca Ngabe Bugle Republic of Panama Republic of Panama 6 Republic of Panama Republic of Panama 5 6 6 5

4 4

TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR 4 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 Cocle Colon Chiriqui Darien Republic of Panama Republic of Panama Republic of Panama Republic of Panama 5 5 5 6

4 4 4

TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 6 6 Herrera Los Santos Panama Veraguas 6 Republic of Panama Republic of Panama Republic of Panama Republic of Panama 5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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30. Paraguay

7 7 Asuncion Paraguari Alto Parana Central 6 Paraguay Paraguay Paraguay 6 Paraguay 6 6

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Neembucu Amambay Canindeyu Presidente Hayes 6 Paraguay 6 Paraguay Paraguay 6 Paraguay 6 5 5 5

4 4 4

TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7 8 Alto Paraguay Boqueron Concepcion San Pedro Paraguay 6 Paraguay Paraguay Paraguay 6 6 6 5

4 4 TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR 4

3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7 8 Cordillera Guaira Caaguazu Caazapa 6 Paraguay 6 Paraguay Paraguay Paraguay 6 6 5 5

4 4 TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR 4 3 3

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Itapua Misiones Paraguay Paraguay 6 6

4 4 TFR TFR

2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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31. Poland

Lodzkie Swietokrzyskie Wielkopolskie Kujawsko-pomorskie Poland Poland Poland Poland

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Malopolskie Dolnoslaskie Lubelskie Lubuskie Poland Poland Poland Poland

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Mazowieckie Opolskie Podlaskie Pomorskie Poland Poland Poland Poland

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Slaskie Podkarpackie Warminsko-mazurskie Zachodniopomorskie Poland Poland Poland Poland

3 3 3 3 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

32. Portugal

Regiao Autonoma dos Acores Regiao Autonoma da Madeira Norte Centro 3.0 3.0 3.0 Portugal 3.0 Portugal Portugal Portugal

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Lisboa Algarve Alentejo 3.0 Portugal 3.0 Portugal 3.0 Portugal

2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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33. Romania

3.0 Braila 3.0 Brasov 3.0 Bucharest Buzau 3.0 Romania Romania Romania Romania

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0

TFR 2.0 TFR TFR TFR 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Calarasi 3.0 Caras-Severin 3.0 Cluj 3.0 Constanta 3.0 Romania Romania Romania Romania

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 TFR TFR 2.0 TFR TFR 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 3.0 Covasna 3.0 Dambovita Dolj 3.0 Galati Romania Romania Romania Romania

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Giurgiu 3.0 Gorj 3.0 Harghita 3.0 Hunedoara Romania Romania Romania Romania

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Ialomita 3.5 Iasi 3.0 Maramures 3.0 Mehedinti 3.0 Romania Romania Romania Romania

3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 3.0 Mures Neamt 3.0 Olt 3.0 Prahova Romania Romania Romania Romania 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.5

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Salaj 3.0 Satu Mare 3.0 Sibiu Suceava Romania Romania Romania Romania 3.0

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 3.0 3.0 Teleorman Timis Tulcea Valcea Romania Romania Romania 3.0 Romania

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR 2.0 TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

30 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

33. Romania (Continued)

Vaslui Vrancea 3.5 Ilfov 3.0 Alba Romania 3.0 Romania Romania Romania 3.0 2.5 3 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Arad 3.0 Arges 3.5 Bacau 3.0 Bihor Romania Romania Romania Romania

3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.5

TFR TFR 2.0 TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Bistrita-Nasaud Botosani Romania Romania

3 2.5 TFR TFR 2.0 2

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

34. Russian

Altai kray Krasnodar kray Krasnoyarsk kray Primorsky kray Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Stavropol kray Khabarovsk kray Nenets autonomous Amur Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Arkhangelsk oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Vladimir oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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34. Russian Federation (Continued)

Nizhny Republic of Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kaliningrad oblast oblast Kamchatka kray Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kemerovo oblast Kostroma oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kurgan oblast Sankt-Petersburg Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Lipetzk oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Murmansk oblast Novgorod oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Orenburg oblast Perm kray Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Pskov oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

32 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

34. Russian Federation (Continued)

Sakhalin oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Tomsk oblast Tyumen oblast Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Chelyabinsk oblast Zabaikalsk kray ?hukchi autonomous area Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Republic of Adygeya Republic of Republic of 4 Republic of Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5

3

2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kabardian-Balkar Republic Republic of of Republic of Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Republic of of Mariy El Republic of Republic of North Ossetia - Alania Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Karachaev-Chercassian Republic Republic of Republic of Udmurt Republic Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 3

2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

http://www.demographic-research.org 33 38-XX: Supplementary materials

34. Russian Federation (Continued)

Republic of Khakasia Chuvash Republic Republic of (Yakutia) Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Khanty-Mansi autonomous area Yamalo-Nenets autonomous area Russian Federation Russian Federation 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 TFR TFR

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

35. Serbia

Central Serbia Vojvodina Kosovo and Metohija 3.0 Serbia 3.0 Serbia Serbia 6

2.5 2.5

4 2.0 TFR 2.0 TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 2

1.0 1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

36. Slovakia

3.5 Banskobystricky 3.5 Bratislavsky 3.5 Kosicky 3.5 Nitriansky Slovakia Slovakia Slovakia Slovakia 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 Presovsky 3.5 Trenciansky 3.5 Trnavsky 3.5 Zilinsky Slovakia Slovakia Slovakia Slovakia 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

34 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

37. Slovenia

2.5 Vzhodna Slovenija Zahodna Slovenija Slovenia 2.4 Slovenia

2.0 2.0 TFR TFR

1.6 1.5

1.2 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

38. Spain

3.0 3.0 3.5 Andalucia Aragon Cantabria Castilla - La Mancha Spain Spain Spain Spain 2.5 3.0 2.5 2.5

2.5 2.0 2.0

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Castilla y Leon Cataluna Madrid (Comunidad de) Navarra Comunidad Foral de Spain Spain Spain Spain 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Comunitat Valenciana Extremadura Galicia Balears (Illes) 3.0 Spain Spain Spain 3.0 Spain 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0

TFR 2.0 TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 1.5

1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Canarias Rioja (La) Pais Vasco Asturias (Principado de) Spain Spain Spain Spain 2.5 2.5 2.5 3

2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Murcia (Region de) Spain

3 TFR

2

1950 2000 2050 2100

http://www.demographic-research.org 35 38-XX: Supplementary materials

39. Sweden

Blekinge Dalarna Gavleborg Gotland Sweden Sweden Sweden Sweden 2.25 2.25 2.2 2.5

2.0 2.00 2.00 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 1.8 1.75 1.75

1.6 1.50 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Halland 2.50 Jamtland Jonkoping Kalmar Sweden Sweden Sweden Sweden 2.2 2.2 2.25 2.25

2.0 2.0 2.00 2.00 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.8 1.8 1.75 1.75

1.6 1.6 1.50 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kronoberg Norrbotten Orebro Ostergotland Sweden Sweden 2.2 Sweden Sweden 2.25 2.2

2.5 2.0 2.00 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 1.8 1.8 1.75

1.6 1.6 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.4 2.3 Skane Sodermanland Stockholm Uppsala Sweden Sweden 2.2 Sweden Sweden 2.25 2.2 2.1

2.0 2.0 2.00 1.9 TFR TFR TFR TFR 1.8 1.8

1.7 1.75 1.6 1.6

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.50 2.50 Varmland Vasterbotten Vasternorrland Vastmanland Sweden Sweden Sweden Sweden 2.2 2.2 2.25 2.25

2.0 2.0 2.00 2.00 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.8 1.8 1.75 1.75

1.6 1.6 1.50 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Vastra Gotaland 2.2 Sweden

2.0 TFR

1.8

1.6

1950 2000 2050 2100

36 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

40. Switzerland

3.0 2.8 Argovie Appenzell Rh. Ext. Appenzell Rh. Int. Bale Campagne Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland 2.4 3.0 2.4 2.5

2.5 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0

1.6 1.6

1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Bale-Ville Berne 3.0 Fribourg Geneve 2.5 Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland 2.4 2.4

2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0

1.5 1.6 1.6

1.5

1.2 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Glaris Grisons Jura Lucerne Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland 3.0 Switzerland 2.4 2.4 2.5

2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0

1.6 1.5 1.6

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Neuchatel Nidwald 3.5 Obwald St-Gall Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland 2.4 3.0 2.5 3

2.0 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0

2 2.0

1.6 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 2.8 Schaffhouse Schwyz Soleure 2.8 Turgovie Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland 2.4 3.0 2.4 2.4

2.0 2.5

TFR TFR TFR 2.0 TFR 2.0

2.0 1.6 1.6 1.6

1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Tessin Uri Valais Vaud 3.5 Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland 2.4 3.0 2.4

3.0

2.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 1.6 2.0 1.6

1.5 1.5 1.2 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

2.8 Zug Zurich Switzerland Switzerland 2.4 2.4

2.0

TFR 2.0 TFR

1.6 1.6

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

http://www.demographic-research.org 37 38-XX: Supplementary materials

41. Thailand

6 Bangkok 6 Central 6 North Northeast 6 Thailand Thailand Thailand Thailand

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2 2 2 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

6 South Thailand

4 TFR

2

1950 2000 2050 2100

42.

Adana Balikesir Bilecik Bingol 6 6 6 Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey 7.5 5 5

4 4 4 5.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3

2 2 2 2.5

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

10.0 Bitlis Bolu Burdur Bursa Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey

7.5 5 5 5

4 4 4

TFR 5.0 TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2.5 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Canakkale Cankiri Corum Adiyaman 6 Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey 6

5 5 6

4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Denizli 8 Diyarbakir Edirne Elazig 6 Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey

6 5 5 6

4 4

TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 4 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7 Erzincan Erzurum Eskisehir Gaziantep Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 6 6 5 5

4 4 4 TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

38 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

42. Turkey (Continued)

7 Giresun Gumushane Afyon 10.0 Hakkari Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey 6

5 5 7.5

4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR 5.0 3 3

2 2 2 2.5

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Hatay Mersin Istanbul Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey

6 5 5 5

4 4 4

TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Izmir Kars Kastamonu Kayseri 6 Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey 7.5 6 5 5

4 5.0 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3

2 2.5 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kirklareli Agri 8 Kirsehir Kocaeli 6 Turkey Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 7.5

5 6 5

4 4 5.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 3 3

2 2.5 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 Konya Kutahya Malatya Manisa Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 6 5 6 5

4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

8 K. Maras 8 Mardin Mugla Mus Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey 7.5 6 5 6

4 5.0 TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR 4 3

2 2.5 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Amasya Nevsehir Nigde Ordu 6 Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey 6 6 6 5

4 4 TFR TFR 4 TFR 4 TFR 3

2 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Rize Sakarya Samsun Siirt Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey Turkey 6 7.5

5 5

4 4 4 5.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3

2 2 2 2.5

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

http://www.demographic-research.org 39 38-XX: Supplementary materials

42. Turkey (Continued)

Sinop Sivas Tekirdag Ankara 6 Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 6 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

7 8 Tokat Trabzon Tunceli Sanliurfa Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey 6 6 7.5 6 5

4 4 5.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 4 3

2.5 2 2 2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Usak Van Yozgat Zonguldak 6 Turkey Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 7.5 6 5 5

4 4 5.0

TFR TFR TFR 4 TFR

3 3

2.5 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Aksaray Bayburt Antalya Karaman 6 Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 9 5 5 5

4 4 4 6 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3

3 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kirikkale Batman Sirnak Bartin 6 Turkey Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 7.5 7.5

5 5

4 4 5.0 5.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3

2 2.5 2.5 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

10.0 Ardahan Igdir Yalova Karabuk Turkey Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 7.5 5 5 7.5

4 4 5.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 5.0 3 3

2 2 2.5 2.5

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kilis Artvin Osmaniye Duzce Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey 6 Turkey

6 5 5 5

4 4 4

TFR 4 TFR TFR TFR 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Aydin 6 Turkey

5

4 TFR

3

2

1 1950 2000 2050 2100

40 http://www.demographic-research.org 38-XX: Supplementary materials

43.

Cherkaska oblast Chernihivska oblast Chernivetska oblast Avtonomna Respublika Krym Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Dnipropetrovska oblast Donetska oblast Ivano-Frankivska oblast Kharkivska oblast Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Khersonska oblast Khmelnytska oblast Misto Kyiv Kyivska oblast Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kirovohradska oblast Lvivska oblast Luhanska oblast Mykolaivska oblast Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Odeska oblast Poltavska oblast Rivnenska oblast (miskrada) Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Sumska oblast Ternopilska oblast Zakarpatska oblast Vinnytska oblast Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Volynska oblast Zaporizka oblast Zhytomyrska oblast Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 TFR TFR TFR

1.5 1.5 1.5

1.0 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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44. United Kingdom

England 2.8 Northern Ireland 3.0 Scotland Wales United Kingdom United Kingdom United Kingdom United Kingdom

2.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.6 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

45. of America

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas 5 4.0 3.5 United States of America United States of America United States of America 3.5 United States of America

3.5 3.0 4 3.0

3.0 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 3 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

California Colorado Connecticut Delaware 3.5 3.5 3.5 United States of America United States of America United States of America 3.5 United States of America

3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR TFR TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

District of Columbia Florida 4.0 Hawaii 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America United States of America 3.5

3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR 2.5 TFR TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4.0 Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa 3.5 3.5 United States of America United States of America United States of America 3.5 United States of America

3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Kansas Kentucky 4.0 Louisiana Maine 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America United States of America 3.5 United States of America 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Maryland Massachusetts Michigan 4.0 Minnesota 3.5 3.5 United States of America United States of America 3.5 United States of America United States of America

3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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45. United States of America (Continued)

Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska 4.0 4.0 United States of America 3.5 United States of America United States of America United States of America 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Nevada New Hampshire 4.5 New Mexico 3.5 3.5 3.5 United States of America United States of America United States of America United States of America 4.0

3.0 3.0 3.0 3.5

TFR TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4.5 New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio 3.5 3.5 3.5 United States of America United States of America 4.0 United States of America United States of America

3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0

3.0 TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 2.5

2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Oklahoma Oregon Rhode Island 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America

3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas 3.5 3.5 United States of America 4.0 United States of America United States of America 3.5 United States of America

3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0

3.0 TFR 2.5 TFR TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4.0 Utah Vermont Virginia Washington 3.5 3.5 4.0 United States of America United States of America United States of America United States of America 3.5

3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0

3.0 TFR TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5

2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

4.0 West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming 3.5 United States of America 3.5 United States of America United States of America 3.5

3.0 3.0 3.0

TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5 TFR 2.5

2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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46. Uruguay

4 Artigas 3.0 Canelones Cerro Largo 3.0 Colonia Uruguay Uruguay 3.0 Uruguay Uruguay

2.5 2.5 3 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.5 Durazno 3.0 Flores 3.0 Florida 3.0 Lavalleja Uruguay Uruguay Uruguay Uruguay 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5

2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Maldonado 3.0 Montevideo Paysandu Rio Negro 3.0 Uruguay Uruguay Uruguay Uruguay 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5

TFR TFR 2.0 TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Riviera 3.0 Rocha Salto 3.0 San Jose Uruguay Uruguay 3.0 Uruguay Uruguay 3.0

2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 TFR TFR TFR TFR 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

3.0 Soriano 3.5 Tacuarembo Treinta y Tres 3.0 Uruguay Uruguay Uruguay

3.0 2.5 2.5

2.5 TFR TFR TFR

2.0 2.0 2.0

1.5 1.5 1.5

1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

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47. Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

Distrito Capital Miranda Vargas Aragua 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Carabobo Cojedes Apure Guarico 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6

5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Falcon Lara Portuguesa Yaracuy 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Zulia Barinas Merida Tachira 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6

5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Trujillo Anzoategui Monagas Sucre 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Nueva Esparta Dependencias Federales Amazonas Bolivar 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

5 5 5 5

4 4 4 4 TFR TFR TFR TFR

3 3 3 3

2 2 2 2

1 1 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100 1950 2000 2050 2100

Delta Amacuro 6 Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)

5

4 TFR

3

2

1950 2000 2050 2100

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