Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1631–1650, 2017 www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/1631/2017/ doi:10.5194/hess-21-1631-2017 © Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License. High-magnitude flooding across Britain since AD 1750 Neil Macdonald and Heather Sangster Department of Geography and Planning, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 7ZT, UK Correspondence to: Neil Macdonald (
[email protected]) Received: 23 July 2014 – Discussion started: 8 September 2014 Revised: 27 January 2017 – Accepted: 13 February 2017 – Published: 20 March 2017 Abstract. The last decade has witnessed severe flooding accounts, e.g. journals, newspapers and diaries (McEwen, across much of the globe, but have these floods really been 1987; Brázdil et al., 2006, 2012), flood stones (markers indi- exceptional? Globally, relatively few instrumental river flow cating the greatest spatial flood extent) and epigraphic mark- series extend beyond 50 years, with short records presenting ings (inscribed water levels on structures; see Macdonald, significant challenges in determining flood risk from high- 2007) for sites around the globe (Popper, 1951; Camuffo magnitude floods. A perceived increase in extreme floods and Enzi, 1996; Brázdil, 1998; Demarée, 2006; Bürger et in recent years has decreased public confidence in conven- al., 2007). Historical accounts often contain important de- tional flood risk estimates; the results affect society (insur- tails including incidence, magnitude, frequency (comparable ance costs), individuals (personal vulnerability) and compa- to other historic events) and seasonality. Historic centres of- nies (e.g. water resource managers). Here, we show how his- ten retain the most complete series of historical records, as torical records from Britain have improved understanding of the presence of literate individuals associated with impor- high-magnitude floods, by examining past spatial and tempo- tant monastic, trade and/or governmental functions provide ral variability.