National Doctors Training & Planning DEMAND FOR MEDICAL CONSULTANTS AND SPECIALISTS TO 2028 AND THE TRAINING PIPELINE TO MEET DEMAND A HIGH LEVEL STAKEHOLDER INFORMED ANALYSIS This report represents the views of NDTP stakeholders rather than the HSE or HSE NDTP itself “Investing in the career development of doctors” Authors: Dr Roisin Morris, HSE NDTP Medical Workforce Planning Lead Maeve Smith, HSE NDTP Medical Workforce Planning Copyright: HSE – National Doctors Training & Planning 2020 Copies of this report can be obtained from: National Doctors and Planning Health Service Executive Block 9e Sancton Wood Building Heuston South Quarter Saint Johns Road West Dublin 8 T: 076959924 E:
[email protected] W: www.hse.ie/doctors Version number: 2 Last Updated: November 2020 Please note this is a dynamic report, updates to it will be made on a periodic basis ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword v Introduction 1 1. Overview of Medical Workforce Planning within NDTP 3 2 Approach to Determining Demand 4 2.1 Context 4 2.2 Drivers of Change for Medical Workforce Planning 4 2.3 Future Forecasting: 5 2.4 Supply and Demand Gap Analysis 5 3 Working with Stakeholders 6 4 Data Use and Limitations 7 4.1 Data Sources 7 4.2 Demand Estimates 8 4.3 Private Sector 8 5 Profile of the Current Medical Consultant and Specialist Workforce 9 6 International Comparisons 17 7 Demand For Consultants And Specialists In Ireland 19 7.1 Estimated Demand For Medical Consultants And Specialists In Ireland 20 7.2 Analysis Of The Gap Between The Current And Future Supply And Demand For