DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AMONG THE JEWS OF THE FORMER SOVIET UNION Mark Tolts Division of Jewish Demography and Statistics, The Avraham Harman Institute of Contemporary Jewry, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Mt. Scopus, Jerusalem, 91905, Israel Tel.: +972-2-588 2493, Fax: +972-2-588 1243, e-mail:
[email protected] Since 1989 the demography of the Jews in the former Soviet Union (FSU) has changed dramatically. To understand these changes we prepared new estimates of their dynamics in different parts of the FSU for which recently released results of post-Soviet censuses were utilized. Special attention in this work will be given to evaluation of the first partial results of the 2002 Russian census. Causes of Jewish demographic decrease will be examined. In our analysis we shall study emigration to outside the FSU as a whole, and to Israel in particular. Out-migration from Israel of FSU immigrants as a whole, and some aspects of return migration from Israel to Russia and Ukraine in particular will be examined. The vital crisis of FSU Jewry and the transformation of its fertility as a result of aliya and emigration will also be studied. Paper presented at the International Conference in Honor of Professor Mordechai Altshuler on Soviet and Post-Soviet Jewry (Jerusalem, December 28-30, 2003); German translation published in: Menora: Jahrbuch für deutsch-jüdische Geschichte 2004. Band 15. Berlin/Wien: Philo, 2005, pp. 15-44. 1. Jewish Numerical Decrease The numbers of Jews according to Soviet census data have in the past been entirely dependent on the self-declaration of respondents.