Great Game in Central Asia: Causes and Consequences
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CA As a Region
Contemporary Central Asian Politics (JSISA 479/579, POL S 479/579) Tuesday/Thursday 11:30-1:20 SAV 166 Professor Scott Radnitz Jackson School of International Studies 225A Thomson Hall (206)543-2467 [email protected] Office Hours: Th 2-3 ***This syllabus can be found at https://catalyst.uw.edu/workspace/srad/24964/ This course is an overview of the politics and society of Central Asia (defined as the post-Soviet states of Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan). It covers pertinent issues in contemporary politics, including democratization, religion, terrorism, civil society, economic reform, ethnic and identity politics, and international influences. Central Asia is a region that is poorly understood and beset by some unfortunate stereotypes. This course is intended to set straight these myths by digging deep beneath the surface of Central Asian politics. It analyzes Central Asia in comparative perspective in order to determine what, if anything, about Central Asia is unique and which characteristics it shares with other regions of the world. To that end, readings include theoretical social science literature addressing developments outside the region, especially in the postcommunist world. Assignments Response papers (different for grads and undergrads—see below) analyzing and critiquing reading Policy memo analyzing a current topic and making recommendations to an influential decision maker (5-7 pp) Final or research paper Grading Grades will be determined by the following formula: Response papers—25% Class participation—15% Policy memo—30% Final exam (or research paper)—30% Important Dates The response papers are due on the day that we discuss those readings. -
New Great Game in Central Asia: an Analysis of China’S Interests Manzoor Khan Afridi* Musharraf Iqbal† Sumbal Hussan‡
Global Social Sciences Review (GSSR) DOI: 10.31703/gssr.2017(II-I).01 p-ISSN 2520-0348, e-ISSN 2616-793X URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2017(II-I).01 Vol. II, No. I (Spring 2017) Page: 1 - 17 New Great Game in Central Asia: An Analysis of China’s Interests Manzoor Khan Afridi* Musharraf Iqbal† Sumbal Hussan‡ Abstract The importance of Central Asia for China increased with the change in international power structure, growth of its economy, rapid industrialization and increase in population. China is regarded as the second largest energy consumer in the world while Central Asia has rich energy resources and raw materials complementary for its economic growth. It is interested in the energy resources of Central Asia for the security of its energy supply and a large market for its finished goods. Prior to Central Asian energy resources, China was importing oil from the Middle East. The route of oil supply from M.E to China was passing through Malacca strait, under the control of United States, a perceived rival of China in the world politics. In case of conflict this route may be blocked by United States. This situation worried the Chinese policy makers and prepared a comprehensive policy regarding the energy resources of Central Asian region. Energy is not the only concern of China in Central Asia; it is also worried about the security of its Xinjiang, sharing border with some Central Asian Republics (CARs). About 60% of the population of Xinjiang are Uyghur Muslims. The same ethnic community also exists on the other side of the border in the Central Asian Republics. -
'Great Game': the Russian Origins of the Second Anglo-Afghan
Beyond the ‘Great Game’: the Russian origins of the second Anglo-Afghan War* ALEXANDER MORRISON Department of History, Philosophy and Religious Studies, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Nazarbayev University, Astana, Kazakhstan Email: [email protected] Abstract Drawing on published documents and research in Russian, Uzbek, British and Indian archives, this article explains how a hasty attempt by Russia to put pressure on the British in Central Asia unintentionally triggered the second Anglo-Afghan War of 1878 - 80. This conflict is usually interpreted within the framework of the so-called 'Great Game', which assumes that only the European 'Great Powers' had any agency in Central Asia, pursuing a coherent strategy with a clearly-defined set of goals and mutually-understood rules. The outbreak of the Second Anglo-Afghan war is usually seen as a deliberate attempt by the Russians to embroil the British disastrously in Afghan affairs, leading to the eventual installation of 'Abd al-Rahman Khan, hosted for many years by the Russians in Samarkand, on the Afghan throne. In fact the Russians did not foresee any of this. ‘Abd al-Rahman’s ascent to the Afghan throne owed nothing to Russian support, and everything to British desperation. What at first seems like a classic 'Great Game' episode was a tale of blundering and unintended consequences on both sides. Central Asian rulers were not merely passive bystanders who provided a picturesque backdrop for Anglo-Russian relations, but important actors in their own right. Introduction ‘How consistent and pertinacious is Russian policy! How vacillating and vague is our own!' Robert Bulwer-Lytton, 1885.1 At the crossroads of Sary-Qul, near the village of Jam, at the south-western edge of the Zarafshan valley in Uzbekistan, there is an obelisk built of roughly-squared masonry, with a rusting cross embedded near the top. -
Shifting Role of the US Foreign Policy in Central Asia: Greater Central Asia Partnership Doctrine
Selbi Hanova 1 Social Research Center, American University of Central Asia Shifting Role of the US foreign policy in Central Asia: Greater Central Asia Partnership Doctrine By SELBI HANOVA 1 (Senior Student, American Studies Department, AUCA) Introduction The collapse of the Soviet Union brought internal political, economic and social crisis in the states of Central Asia. The state boundaries within the former USSR overnight became International borders. Previously operating system of center-periphery relationships between Moscow and other republics where the principle of the prevailing Soviet systematic interdependence appeared inadequate to maintain the economic relationships between the newly independent sovereign states. Moreover, the absence of a readily available alternative political and economic frame, which might have filled the power vacuum and fostered Central Asia’s regional cooperation hampered with the fragile economic and political order at the national and regional levels. However, despite the unfulfilled vacuum of regional economic interdependence , attempts to foster Central Asia’s regional cooperation through the offices of the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) and Central Asian Common Market since the early 1990s without a regional economic order did not succeed. The immediate US foreign policy towards the region was unclear, since the fall of USSR came unexpectedly. Accustomed to perceive entire USSR as a single unit, many 1 Note: The author is grateful to Dr. Aftab Kazi for his invaluable assistance and guidance in completing this work as well as providing with extensive literature on the subject of American foreign policy. Dr. Mary Bernadette Conde’s encouragement and her advice on numerous technical matters are greatly appreciated as well. -
U.S. and Iranian Strategic Competition
IX. COMPETITION IN AFGHANISTAN, CENTRAL ASIA, AND PAKISTAN 7/31/11 1 U.S. AND IRANIAN STRATEGIC COMPETITION: COMPETITION IN AFGHANISTAN, CENTRAL ASIA, AND PAKISTAN By Erin Fitzgerald and Varun Vira September 12, 2011 Anthony H. Cordesman Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy [email protected] IX. COMPETITION IN AFGHANISTAN, CENTRAL ASIA, AND PAKISTAN 7/31/11 2 The US has many hard decisions to make in shaping its policies toward Central and South Asia – driven primarily by the war in Afghanistan, the growing instability in Pakistan, and whether the US should actively pursue strategic interest in Central Asia in the face of Russian and Chinese pressures and advantages, than by strategic competition with Iran. Iran is a player in the equation. So far, its efforts in Afghanistan may have done as much stabilize Western Afghanistan as jeopardize US interests, but Iran controls the main logistics route for the UN food effort and is expanding its role in Afghanistan. It also faces growing problems with Pakistan because of instability in the Baluchi areas in both Pakistan and Iran. As for Central Asia, it is not clear that Iran is capable of being a dominant player in a region when China, Russia, and Turkey are major actors and each Central Asian states is playing as many outside and local powers off against each other as possible. Iran is, however, seeking to expand its role and this has had a tangible impact on US and Iranian competition. Afghanistan: Iran has built up major influence in northwestern Afghanistan and with the Hazara Shi’ite minority in other parts of the country. -
The New Great Game an Opportunity for European Union’S Common and Foreign Security Policy
The New Great Game An opportunity for European Union’s Common and Foreign Security Policy Briefing Paper June 2016 This paper expresses the views of the author and not the views of the European Institute for Asian Studies. It is selected for the Conference European Union in the International Affairs V. 1 The New Great Game: An Opportunity for the EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy Author: Sebastiano Mori Abstract This paper seeks to examine the EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy for Central Asia, utilizing a combination of primary and secondary sources to build an accurate picture of the European strategy in this fundamental area for global order. The study will provide a detailed analysis of the EU pivot to the region between the Caspian Sea and Western China, considering all the pillars of its engagement and the sectors of potential partnership such as energy, trade and security. The paper argues that major international players such as China, United States, Russia and Europe are positioning themselves on the Eurasian landmass, creating a “New Great Game” for the control of the strategic region defined by Halford Mackinder as the “Heartland”. Once again, this geopolitical paradigm seems to be validated, providing the EU with the opportunity to emerge as an important global power in this new complex “chessboard”. In particular, while all the other players strive to keep each other in check by focusing on strengthening their security alliances in the area, the European pivot, by contrast, seems to be based on economic, monetary, and soft-power and technological realms. -
New Great Game and Limits of American Power
38 IPRI Journal XIV,New no.Great 1 (WinterGame and 2014): Limits 38 of- 65American Power New Great Game and Limits of American Power Air Cdre. (R) Naveed Khaliq Ansaree Abstract The „New Great Game‟ is the global rivalry between the US- NATO bloc and its allies and their Counter-Alliance Camp. In the grand strategic calculus of Russia-China-Pakistan- Afghanistan-India entanglement, the US Camp seems to be losing its strategic foothold, particularly in Eurasia. The US‟ „Pivot to Asia‟ may also suffer serious setbacks. The deals on Syria‟s chemical weapons and Iran‟s nuclear programme have brought the Middle East under a „Strategic Pause‟ but have also exposed the limits of American power. Afghanistan is on the tipping-point of proving or disproving to be the „graveyard of empires‟. The danger of Saudi Arabia becoming the victim of a fresh „Arab Spring‟ as well as destabilization of Pakistan has increased manifold. The US‟ latest offer for full-spectrum revival of strategic alliance could merely be a „Strategic Deception‟ for Pakistan. The US-Iran nuclear deal may also manifest into additional space for US strategy and lines of operations for Afghanistan-Pakistan. Iran and Syria could be re-visited in the next cycle. Strategic wisdom is hoped to prevail amongst regional stake-holders. Any strategic failure of the US strategy could further expose the limits of American power. The dynamics could roll the ball for a new balance of power; thus shrinking the area of US imperialism and opening up spaces for the manifestation of „Chi-Merica‟ (China- America) or a multi-polar world. -
The Conquest of Central Asia, 1780
Introduction: Killing the 'Cotton Canard' and getting rid of the 'Great Game'. Rewriting the Russian conquest of Central Asia, 1814 – 1895 Alexander Morrison Nazarbayev University [email protected] ‘Они забыли дни тоски, Ночные возгласы: «К оружью», Унылые солончаки И поступь мерную верблюжью’ ‘They have forgotten days of melancholy, Forgot the night-time call ‘To arms’! Forgot the dismal salty steppe And the camel’s measured tread.’ Nikolai Gumilev Turkestanskie Generaly (1911) Russia’s expansion southwards across the Kazakh steppe into the riverine oases of Turkestan was one of the nineteenth century’s most rapid and dramatic examples of imperial conquest. With its main phases sandwiched between the British annexation of the Indian subcontinent between 1757 and 1849, and the ‘Scramble for Africa’ initiated by the British occupation of Egypt in 1881-2, roughly contemporaneous with the French conquest of Algeria, it has never been granted the same degree of historical attention as any of these. In general, as Dominic Lieven has observed (2006 I, 3), studies of the foreign policy of the Russian empire are few and far between, and those which exist tend to take a rather grand, sweeping view of events rather than examining particular episodes in detail (Fuller 1998; LeDonne 1997 & 2004). Whilst there are both classic and recent explorations of the ‘Eastern Question’ and the Russian conquest of the Caucasus (Anderson 1966; Bitis 2006; Baddeley 1908; Gammer 1994), and detailed studies in English of Russian expansion in the Far East (Quested 1968; Bassin 1999; Schimmelpenninck van der Oye 2001), the principal phases of the Russian conquest of Central Asia remain neglected and misunderstood. -
Great Game to 9/11
Air Force Engaging the World Great Game to 9/11 A Concise History of Afghanistan’s International Relations Michael R. Rouland COVER Aerial view of a village in Farah Province, Afghanistan. Photo (2009) by MSst. Tracy L. DeMarco, USAF. Department of Defense. Great Game to 9/11 A Concise History of Afghanistan’s International Relations Michael R. Rouland Washington, D.C. 2014 ENGAGING THE WORLD The ENGAGING THE WORLD series focuses on U.S. involvement around the globe, primarily in the post-Cold War period. It includes peacekeeping and humanitarian missions as well as Operation Enduring Freedom and Operation Iraqi Freedom—all missions in which the U.S. Air Force has been integrally involved. It will also document developments within the Air Force and the Department of Defense. GREAT GAME TO 9/11 GREAT GAME TO 9/11 was initially begun as an introduction for a larger work on U.S./coalition involvement in Afghanistan. It provides essential information for an understanding of how this isolated country has, over centuries, become a battleground for world powers. Although an overview, this study draws on primary- source material to present a detailed examination of U.S.-Afghan relations prior to Operation Enduring Freedom. Opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of the U.S. Air Force, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. government. Cleared for public release. Contents INTRODUCTION The Razor’s Edge 1 ONE Origins of the Afghan State, the Great Game, and Afghan Nationalism 5 TWO Stasis and Modernization 15 THREE Early Relations with the United States 27 FOUR Afghanistan’s Soviet Shift and the U.S. -
When Everyone Is Dead the Great Game Is Finished
Peter John Brobst. The Future of the Great Game: Sir Olaf Caroe, India's Independence, and the Defense of Asia. Akron: University of Akron Press, 2005. xx + 199 pp. $39.99, cloth, ISBN 978-1-931968-10-2. Reviewed by Michael Silvestri Published on H-Albion (April, 2006) The "Great Game," Britain's struggle with Rus‐ Sir Olaf Caroe, "British India's leading geopo‐ sia for imperial supremacy in central Asia, seems litical thinker during the fnal years of the Raj" (p. at frst glance to belong to the age of the "New Im‐ xiv), came from a background that epitomized the perialism" of the late nineteenth century. First "official mind" of the British Empire. The son of a and foremost, it evokes the romantic--and fction‐ prominent architect, he was educated at Winches‐ al--exploits of Colonel Creighton, Mahbub Ali and, ter and Oxford (where he read classics) and saw of course, the title character of Rudyard Kipling's action on the Afghan frontier during the First Kim on India's Northwest frontier. In reality, the World War. Caroe enjoyed a distinguished career Great Game continued into the era of decoloniza‐ in the Indian Political Service, and served in the tion and the Cold War. In the closing years of the North-West Frontier (acquiring fuency in Pashto), British Raj, the Government of India wrestled Baluchistan and the Persian Gulf. In 1939 he took with the question of how Britain could continue charge of the External Affairs Department as for‐ to project influence in the region following a eign secretary to the Government of India. -
“The Great Game” in Foreign Historiography
International Journal of Academic and Applied Research (IJAAR) ISSN: 2643-9603 Vol. 5 Issue 2, February - 2021, Pages: 51-56 “The Great Game” in foreign historiography Radjabov Ozodbek Aminboyevich National University of Uzbekistan Abstract: The second half of the nineteenth century was a critical period in British foreign policy for competition around the world, especially in Central Asia, and a significant turning point in the development of the confrontation between Britain and Russia in the region. The Crimean War of 1854-1856 and the Indian Uprising of 1857-185 had a profound effect on the state of international relations in the region, and the role of British authors in India's British Empire, Anglo-Russian rivalry, and the study of the aims and objectives of the British Empire in Central Asia. undadi. XIX The second half of the twentieth century was a period of formation of the "Big Game" political process in the context of growing competition between the two great powers Russia and Great Britain, which influenced the creation of political and historical works of British authors. Keywords: “Great game”, India, Russia, England, Ost-India, The Russo-Indian Question , Afghanistan I. Introduction. organizations began to study the history of the East and In 1857, the Great Sipahi Revolt against the British publish works of orientalists. In terms of the importance of Empire began in India. It can be said that this revolt posed a British colonial policy in the East, the Department of serious threat to the continuation of British rule in India. As Colonial History was established at Oxford University, and a result, the British government was forced to carry out a the Center for Oriental Studies was established at the series of reforms in India. -
The Legend of the Great Game
ELIE KEDOURIE MEMORIAL LECTURE The Legend of the Great Game MALCOLM YAPP School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London A PERSISTENT THEME IN THE WRITINGS of Elie Kedourie was his mistrust of large, seemingly attractive concepts or ideas, ideas which were lightly advanced and quietly incorporated into political or historical folklore without being subjected to the close and critical scrutiny which he rightly believed to be an obligation of statesman and historian alike. One such concept is that of the Great Game and it is my intention in this lecture to examine the historical ethnology of this famous phrase and to offer some comments on its significance and value. The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan at Christmas 1979 gave the phrase a new lease of life. The association of Russia and Afghanistan was irresistible and the upheaval was pronounced to be another round in the Great Game, understood to be a contest for mastery in Central Asia which had begun in the early nineteenth century. We were regaled with some strange geography and some curious history. Pakistan’s Khyber Pass was awarded to Afghanistan, Dr Brydon rode inaccurately again and Roberts marched in the wrong direction at the wrong time. Subsequently, the term ‘the Great Game’ was applied to what was seen as a new contest between the USSR and the USA and to the struggle for control of oil resources in the region of the Caspian Sea.1 Read at the Academy 16 May 2000. 1 The Times, 26 Nov. 1999, 7 Feb. 2000; Ahmed Rashid, Taliban: Islam, Oil and the New Great Game in Central Asia (2000).