The Constructions and Reconstructions of an Identity
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Political Instability and Economic Growth
Political Instability and Economic Growth The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citation Alesina, Alberto, Sule Ozler, Nouriel Roubini, and Phillip Swagel. 1996. Political instability and economic growth. Journal of Economic Growth 1(2): 189-211. Published Version doi:10.1007/BF00138862 Citable link http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:4553024 Terms of Use This article was downloaded from Harvard University’s DASH repository, and is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Other Posted Material, as set forth at http:// nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:dash.current.terms-of- use#LAA NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES POLITICAL INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Albert0 Alesina Sule 0zler Nouriel Roubini Phillip Swagel Working Paper No. 4173 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 September 1992 We are grateful to John Londregan for generously sharing his data set and for useful conversations, Kala Krishna for letting us use her PC, Jennifer Widner for much needed help in understanding political events in Africa, Gary King for providing some data, Robert Barro, Rudi Dornbusch, John Helliwell, Ed Learner, Nancy Marion, Ronald Rogowski, Howard Rosenthal, and participants in seminars at University of Maryland, Pennsylvania, Princeton, Utah, UCLA and NBER for very useful comments and Gina Raimondo and Jane Willis for excellent research assistance. For financial support we thank National Fellows Program at Hoover Institution, Sloan, UCLA Academic Senate and Yale Social Science Research Fund, and especially IRIS at University of Maryland. This paper is part of NBER’s research programs in Growth, International Finance and Macroeconomics, and International Trade and Investment. -
How Plural Is the Plural Economy of Bolivia? Constructing a Plural Economy Indicator with Fuzzy Sets
How plural is the plural economy of Bolivia? Constructing a plural economy indicator with fuzzy sets Rolando Gonzales Martínez* * The author thanks the editorial review and the comments from three anonymous referees. The usual disclaimer holds. 10 ROLANDO GONZALES MARTÍNEZ ABSTRACT An indicator that measures the compliance with the constitutional principles of a plural economy is proposed. An inference system based on fuzzy sets was used to calculate the indicator. The fuzzy system summarizes the principles of income redistribution and environmental sustainability into an overall measure of plural economy that allows to objectively judge the change towards a plural economy in Bolivia. JEL Classification: C02, P40 Keywords: Plural economy indicator, fuzzy sets Revista de Análisis, Enero - Junio 2012, Volumen N° 16, pp. 9-29 HOW PLURAL IS THE PLURAL ECONOMY OF BOLIVIA? CONSTRUCTING A PLURAL ECONOMY INDICATOR WITH FUZZY SETS 11 ¿Cuán plural es la economía plural de Bolivia? Construyendo un indicador de economía plural con conjuntos difusos RESUMEN Se propone un indicador que mide el cumplimiento de los principios constitucionales de una economía plural. Para calcular el indicador se usó un sistema de inferencia basado en conjuntos difusos. El sistema difuso resume los principios de la redistribución del ingreso y la sostenibilidad ambiental en una medida global de economía plural que permite juzgar objetivamente el cambio hacia una economía plural en Bolivia. Clasificación JEL: C02, P40 Palabras clave: Indicador de economía plural, conjuntos difusos Revista de Análisis, Enero - Junio 2012, Volumen N° 16, pp. 9-29 12 ROLANDO GONZALES MARTÍNEZ I. Introduction As part of a series of changes of the economic model of Bolivia, the government of this country enacted in 2009 a new State Constitution with the principles of a plural economy. -
Phd Text 2011 Final Unformatted
Chiquitano and the State Negotiating Identities and Indigenous Territories in Bolivia Thesis submitted in accordance with the requirements of the University of Liverpool for the degree of Doctor in Philosophy by Katinka Weber December 2010 Abstract Chiquitano and the State: Negotiating Identities and Indigenous Territories in Bolivia 2010 by Katinka Weber This thesis analyses how Chiquitano people engage with the state and to what effect, based on ethnographic fieldwork carried out between September 2006 and August 2007 in the Bolivian Concepción, San Javier and Lomerío municipalities, in the eastern Bolivian lowlands. It focuses on the most contentious areas of Chiquitano- state relations, namely the emergence of the Chiquitano social movement, the struggle for territory and territorial autonomy and participation in the local state bureaucracy. While Chiquitano interact with the state in order to protect their socio- cultural communal reproduction, this thesis finds that in many ways the Chiquitano organisation acts as part of the state and replicates its neo-liberal multicultural rhetoric. The state remains the main shaper of forms of political engagement and collective identification (such as indigeneity), resonating with Fried’s (1967) and Scott’s (1998) notions that the state implies some sort of process, one of ‘restructuring’ and ‘making legible’. Consequently, this thesis argues that from the Chiquitano perspective, the election of Bolivia’s first indigenous president in 2005 and his radical state reform project through the 2006-2007 Constituent Assembly, has not fundamentally transformed previous patterns of indigenous-state engagement. It posits that the more successful resistance continues to reside, perhaps more subtly, in comunidades ’ socio-cultural relations. -
Institutions and Agricultural Growth in Bolivia and New Zealanda
Research Programme Consortium on Improving Institutions p g for Pro-Poor Growth INSTITUTIONS AND AGRICULTURAL GROWTH IN BOLIVIA AND NEW ZEALANDA STEVE WIGGINSA DISCUssION PAPER SERIES NUMBER TWENTY-ONE OCTOBER 2008 IPPG A Many thanks to the stimulating and encouraging comments received on this paper from colleagues in IPPG — Paul Hare, Adrian Leftwich, and Kunal Sen. Some of the ideas about Bolivia owe much to the guidance of George Gray, Alexander Schejtman and Carlos Toranzo. The interpretations here are not necessarily those of my helpers, and certainly not whatever omissions and misjudgement remain in this essay. B Overseas Development Institute Paper prepared for the DFID-funded Research Programme, Institutions and Pro-Poor Growth (IPPG). The authors are grateful to DFID for the funding that made this research possible. The views expressed in this paper are entirely those of the author and in no way represent either the official policy of DFID or the policy of any other part of the UK Government. Material published by the IPPG may be reproduced free of charge in any format or medium provided it is reproduced faithfully, not used in a misleading context and properly attributed to the author(s). Copyright exists in all other original material published by members of the Programme and may belong to the author or to the University of Manchester depending on the circumstances of publication. Enquiries should be sent to the editor at the above address. IPPG Programme Office, IDPM, School of Environment & Development University of Manchester, Arthur Lewis Building, 2.023, Oxford Road Manchester M13 9PL; Telephone 0161 306 6438; [email protected] www.ippg.org.uk IPPG SUMMARY This essay compares the experiences of agricultural development and overall development in two similar but very different countries: Bolivia and New Zealand. -
Economic and Social Council
UNITED NATIONS GENERAL. E/CN.12/SfiA8(V) 13 April 1953 ECONOMIC ENGLISH AND ORIGINALSFRENCH SOCIAL COUNCIL ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR LATIN AMERICA Fifth Session SUMMARY RECORD OF THE FORTY-EIGHTH MEETING Held at Rio de Janeiro on Monday, 13 April 1953 at CONTENTS General debate (continued) .•/prissent S E/CN.12/SR„46(V) Page 1734. PRESENT: Chairman: Mr, EUVALDC LODI Brazil Rapp&rteur: Mr, GIORDANO BRUNO ECCHER Uruguay Members: Mr, PORTELA Argentina Mr, ALCAZAR Bolivia Mr, DE MOURA Brazil Mr. ISAZA Colombia Mr, MARTONES. Chile Mr, CRESPO ORDOtEZ Ecuador Mr, GLOWER V. El Salvador Mr, BOHAN United States of America Mr. DE TliJGÚY DU POUET Prance Mr, NORIEGA MORALES Guatemala Mr, ALVARADO TRO¿HEZ Honduras Mr. MARTINES BAJiiZ Mexico MR p GANTARERO Nicaragua Mr, JONG BAW) Netherlands Mr. PEIN ) Mr, Me CULLOUGH Panama Mr, URBIETA PLEITAS Paraguay Mr. BARRETO Peru Mr, MACKEFZIE United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland Mr, GARRIDO Dominican Republic Also present: Representatives of specialized agencies: fir, MONTEIR0) International Mr. SILBI2RER) Labour Organisation (ILO) Mr, MARRAMA Pood and Agriculture Organization (PAO) Mr, FORCART United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization(UNESCO] Mr» LARSEN International Bank for Reconstruction and Development /Mr* DEL CANTO E/CN,lâ/SR,ij.8(V) Rage 3 Mr. DEL CANTO) International Mr, ROBIGHEK <> Monetary Fund (MF) Representatives of inter-governmental organizations; Mr.' TAYLOR ) Inter-American Mr *,HEÜRTEMATTE) • Economic and . Social Council »Representatives of non-governmental organizations? Category At Mr, STEßELSKI International Ch&mber 3f Commerce (ICC) Secretariat: Mr. PREBISCH .Executive Secretary Fir. SWENSQN Assistant Director Mr. PEREZ GUERRERO Executive Secretary, I" Technical Assistance 3o fd' Mr., SANTA CRUZ .Secretary to the Conference GENERAL DEBATE (continued) The CHAIRMAN asked Mr, Cavallos Tovai* (Bolivia), Second Vice-Chairman,, to take the chair while Mr, Alcazar, representative of Bolivia addressd the Commission, »Mr. -
Bolivia's New Constitution
BOLIVIA’S NEW CONSTITUTION: AVOIDING VIOLENT CONFRONTATION Latin America Report N°23 – 31 August 2007 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS................................................. i I. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 II. THE CONSTITUENT ASSEMBLY............................................................................. 2 A. ONE YEAR OF FAILURE .........................................................................................................2 B. THE ROAD TO DECEMBER 2007 ............................................................................................6 1. The nature of the new state........................................................................................7 2. Territorial order .........................................................................................................9 3. The new institutional set-up.....................................................................................11 4. Other contentious issues ..........................................................................................12 III. THE MORALES GOVERNMENT AFTER EIGHTEEN MONTHS .................... 13 A. THE GOVERNMENT, MAS AND THEIR ALLIES.....................................................................13 B. THE OPPOSITION .................................................................................................................14 C. GOVERNMENT MANAGEMENT OF THE ECONOMY................................................................16 -
Miguel Centellas
Miguel Centellas January 2017 Croft Institute for International Studies and Department of Sociology & Anthropology 524 Lamar Hall University of Mississippi Office: +1 (662) 915-3605 University, MS 38677 Email: [email protected] ACADEMIC APPOINTMENTS University of Mississippi Croft Instructional Assistant Professor of Sociology & International Studies 2015-present Croft Visiting Assistant Professor of Political Science 2009-2013 Jackson State University Assistant Professor of Political Science 2013-2015 Mount St. Mary’s University Assistant Professor of Political Science 2008-2009 Dickinson College Visiting Assistant Professor of Latin American Politics 2006-2008 EDUCATION 2007 Western Michigan University PhD, Political Science Fields: Comparative Politics and Political Theory Dissertation: “Democracy on Stilts: Bolivia’s Democracy from Stability to Crisis” 1999 Western Michigan University MA, Political Science 1997 Central Michigan University BS, Political Science and History; Latin American studies minor Honors Thesis: “In Defense of the King: Finding a Just Title to the Kingdom of Perú” (translation and commentary on the 1571 Anónimo de Yucay) PUBLICATIONS Refereed Articles 2016 Centellas, Miguel. “The Santa Cruz Autonomía Movement: A Case of Non-Indigenous Ethnic Popular Mobilization?” Ethnopolitics 15 (2): 245-264. 2015 Centellas, Miguel. “Mixed-Member Election and Candidate Selection in Bolivia’s 1993 and 1997 Elections.” The Latin Americanist 59 (1): 3-22. 2013 Gugiu, Mihaiela Ristei and Miguel Centellas. “The Democracy Cluster Classification Index.” Political Analysis 21 (3): 334-349. 2012 Centellas, Miguel and Gregory J. Love. “We’re Off to Replace the Wizard: Lessons from a Collaborative Group Project Assignment.” PS: Political Science & Politics 45 (3): 506-512. 2011 Centellas, Miguel. “Preaching What We Practice: Bringing Scope and Methods ‘Back In’.” PS: Political Science & Politics 44 (4): 817-822. -
Rolando Gonzales Martinez CV (PDF)
Rolando Görlitz, Germany www.bayesgroup.org Gonzales Martinez +49 0170 3476480 [email protected] M.Sc. PostDoc B.Ec. Applied Ph.D. Data Economics candidate Statistics science CASUS Helmholtz-Zentrum Del Valle University University of Alcalá Universitetet i Agder Dresden-Rossendorf (HZDR) Bolivia, 2000-2004 Spain, 2009-2010 Norway, 2018-2020(e) Germany, 2020-present JOBS & AWARDS OTHER EDUCATION J-PAL Course on Evaluating Social Programs Macro-prudential Policies Jobs Events Awards Massachusetts Institute of Technology - MIT International Monetary Fund (IMF) Systematic Literature Reviews and Meta-analysis Theorizing and Theory Building Campbell foundation - Vrije Universiteit Halmstad University (HH, Sweden) 2021 Post-doctoral researcher data intensive 12/2020 Bayesian Modeling, Inference and Prediction Multidimensional Poverty Analysis research on SARS-CoV-2 University of Reading OPHI, Oxford University CASUS - Germany SKILLS AND TECHNOLOGIES 01/2020 First prize - TFI award Visiting Scholar- KU Leuven Academic Research 6/2019 & publishing Financial & Risk analysis University (Belgium) 14 years of experience in data science: mathemati- cal/statistical/econometric Consulting models for the government, 1/2018 Ph.D scholarship (Norway) private organizations and non- International Consultant, OPHI 8/2017 prot organizations (NGOs). Oxford University Mathematical modeling First prize, International Young 12/2016 LANGUAGES Statistician Prize, IAOS Deputy manager, BCP bank Spanish (native) Statistical analysis 5/2016 1/2016 Consultant, UNFPA English (TOEFL: 106) Researcher, data analyst & 1/2015 MatLab project coordinator, PEP Python 3/2014 Director, BayesGroup.org R, RStudio Currently, I mainly Stata work program- SQL, SAS ming in Python , Research & project 1/2013 Eviews, SPSS MatLab , Stata coordinator, UNFPA and R . LaTex, WinBugs 04/2012 First award, BCG competition RECENT PUBLICATIONS 9/2011 Financial Economist, UDAPE Which social program supports sustainable grass-root - nance? Machine-learning evidence. -
The Impact of Migration on Foreign Trade in Bolivia
The Impact of Migration on Foreign Trade: A Developing Country Approach * Gustavo Javier Canavire Bacarreza1 Laura Ehrlich2 Summary While the causal relationship between migration and trade has not been studied thoroughly, estimation results of gravity model approach suggest that important aspects determining trade volumes can be missed if additional factors, including migration, are not considered. The current paper aims at testing the impact of migration on foreign trade in a relatively closed small economy. We use the data of Bolivia, for the years 1990–2003. We apply gravity model, adding a migration variable to the explanatory variables. We test the impact of both, immigration and emigration on exports and imports and also on intra-industry trade. We use panel estimation including data of 30 trade partners (selected according to higher trade intensity with Bolivia). We control for the economic size and geographical location of trade partners, and for changes in terms of trade. Previous studies show an increasing effect of immigration on both exports and imports elasticities. Some studies find larger exports elasticity compared to imports elasticity, some vice versa. We could not find any studies on emigration impact on trade. Our results show relatively similar impact of both immigration and emigration on foreign trade. Positive significant effect of immigration on exports and imports is confirmed also in Bolivia, even when the migration flows in Bolivia are not as high as in the case of most countries analyzed previously. We can conclude positive effect of migration flows also on intra-industry trade. In the following analysis, we intend to control for the impact of trade agreements and openness of trade partners. -
World Bank Document
Report No. 1546-BO Economic Memorandum FILE Y on Bolivia Public Disclosure Authorized March 23, 1,977 Latin America and the Caribbean Regional Office FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Document of the World Bank This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS Currency Unit = Bolivian Peso ($b) US$1.00 = $b20.00 $bl.00 = US$0.05 $bl million US$50,000 The exchange rate of $b20 = US$1 was used through- out this report, except where indicated otherwise. FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY This report is based on the findings of a mission to Bolivia in February 1976, composed of: Mario Cortes (Chief of Mission) Ms. Dolores Velasco (Statistical Assistant) This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page No. MAP COUNTRY DATA SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ...... ..................... i viii I. RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ...................... Evolution of Domestic Product ................... 1 Public Finances ....... ......................... 3 Balance of Payments ...... ...................... 6 Capital Flows and External Public Debt .... ..... 11 II. SECTOR ISSUES AND PROSPECTS ....................... Agriculture ......... .......................... -
UNIVERSITY of CALIFORNIA Los Angeles the Lure Of
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA Los Angeles The Lure of Chinese State Capitalism in Latin America: Influence, Investments and Imports A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree Doctor of Philosophy in Geography by Thomas Peter Narins 2015 © Copyright by Thomas Peter Narins 2015 ABSTRACT OF THE DISSERTATION The Lure of Chinese State Capitalism in Latin America: Influence, Investments and Imports by Thomas Peter Narins Doctor of Philosophy in Geography University of California, Los Angeles, 2015 Professor John A. Agnew, Chair This work proposes and explains a political-economic concept, defined here as the neoliberal-dirigiste continuum , which offers an explanation of the manner in which Chinese capital and Chinese State Capitalism have been invested and received in different ways across the distinct geographies and countries in Latin America over the last three decades. While bilateral trade is one measure used to gauge the attractiveness of the Chinese state capitalist model in targeted Latin American economies, foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic aid/assistance by Chinese firms and Chinese government actors are other mechanisms through which Chinese economic engagement in the region can be assessed. This dissertation employs a mixed-methods approach to developing a Chinese economic engagement framework given particular and distinct Latin American foreign policies. The geographic variation of the success of recent Chinese economic activity (particularly foreign investment) in nine targeted Latin ii American economies (Colombia, Chile, Peru, México, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, Bolivia and Venezuela) is examined in order to understand Chinese economic actors’ engagement in the region compared with that of European and US economic actors. -
Bolivia After the 2019 Coup: Economic Policy
Bolivia After the 2019 Coup: Economic Policy By Miguel Carvalho, Jake Johnston, Joe Sammut, and Mark Weisbrot* June 2021 Center for Economic and Policy Research Tel: 202-293-5380 1611 Connecticut Ave. NW Fax: 202-588-1356 Suite 400 https://cepr.net Washington, DC 20009 * Miguel Carvalho, Ph.D., is a student at the Institute of Economics of the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. Jake Johnston is a Senior Research Associate at the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR). Joe Sammut is a Senior Research Fellow at CEPR. Mark Weisbrot is Co-Director of CEPR. Contents Executive Summary 3 Introduction 7 Recent Economic and Labor Market Performance 9 De Facto Government Austerity 9 The Pandemic Response 10 Monetary Policy 10 Fiscal Policy 12 Financing and External Borrowing 16 Economic Impact 19 Labor Market Developments 21 Wages 24 Conclusion 25 References 29 Acknowledgements The authors wish to thank Alex Main, Annee Lorentzen, Dan Beeton, Brett Heinz, Jeremy Ross, and Franklin Serrano. 2 Bolivia After the 2019 Coup: Economic Policy Executive Summary This paper looks at the economy of Bolivia during the de facto government that took power following a military coup in November of 2019 and ruled for one year. The coup overthrew a democratically elected president, Evo Morales, who still had months remaining in the term to which he was elected in 2014. Other reports have documented the violence and human rights violations committed by the de facto regime. The Harvard Law School’s International Human Rights Clinic (IHRC) and the University Network for Human Rights (UNHR) found that the killing of civilians by state forces in November 2019 was the second highest it had been in any month for nearly 40 years.1 Two massacres committed by security forces within a week of the de facto government taking power killed at least 22 people, and injured at least 230.2 The IHRC/UNHR report emphasizes the racist nature of the violence, including that all of the victims of these massacres were Indigenous.