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Strategic SSI -

DAILY SITUATION REPORT 3 NOV 09

SAFETY AND SECURITY ISSUES RELEVANT TO SSSI PERSONNEL AND CLIENTS

There has been little reporting on incidents over the past 24 hours, but numerous reports on insurgent movements have been received. Indications are that the insurgents are still planning suicide attacks that could be conducted in Kabul, Jalalabad, Kandahar, Herat and/or Mazar. These places were all mentioned in reports. Although no detail was reported, and it remains difficult to confirm the information, it is assessed that these attacks are possible within the next seven days. Possible targets for Kabul are assessed to be UN Facilities, Ministries of the Afghanistan Government, Parliamentary Building, and possible an institution that could be linked to concentration of Internationals, such as the Intercontinental Hotel and the Serena Hotel. It was seen in the past that the insurgents do have the intent and capability to attack targets that have high media and propaganda value.

MAJOR COUNTRY WIDE EVENTS

The Western Region seems to be showing the effects of recent ANSF/IM successes, with a drop in incidents. Insurgents are attempting to expand activity in the Northern region and there appears to be a slow increase in the Central region

Another busy period throughout the Southern and Eastern Regions with continuing effective IED attacks against IM and ANSF causing a number of casualties. Insurgents continue to develop their IED techniques - an IM patrol in Kandahar contacted an IED along with a further two IEDs targeting the subsequent response patrols, killing one and injuring a further nine.

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BREAKDOWN OF INCIDENTS REPORTED FOR AFGHANISTAN IN SSSI DSR FOR PERIOD 1-2 NOVEMBER 2009

Incidents Over Report Period IED Attack Ambush 7 10 IDF Attack 4 Murder 4 Feud 6 Crime 3 Arson 2 3 1 1 3 Intimidation Insurgency Kidnap 1 1 Public protest Successes

Please find below a table illustrating the number of Killed and Wounded, Captured and Arrested as per the reporting’s of the SSSI DSR.

(Kindly note that these are from the SSSI DSR and are not official statistics and may differ from those released by ISAF or other agencies and organisations.)

IM ANSF PSC LN AGE Killed Wounded Captured Killed Wounded Captured Killed Wounded Captured Killed Wounded Captured Killed Wounded Arrested 1-Nov 8 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 11 0 41 0 1 2-Nov 1 11 0 1 6 0 0 0 0 13 7 10 57 7 21 3-Nov 3 4 0 2 5 0 3 1 0 11 5 0 56 4 6 Nov 12 16 0 4 11 0 3 1 0 33 23 10 154 11 28

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SECURITY INCIDENTS

Threat Level Classification

Severe Substantial Moderate Low:

SEVERE SUBSTANTIAL -Negative Impact Incident MODERATE -Positive Impact Incident LOW

Negative Impact Positive Impact

Explosive Device Detonations 3 Explosive Devices Found Suicide Attacks Arrests Attacks 1 Operations 1 Ambushes 1 Recovered Ordnance Rocket/Mortar Attacks 1 Insurgency Murders Kidnappings Insurgency 1

Attack: 31 Oct, , Alasay District, Dawary Village - A joint IM/ANA unit came under Insurgents attack. The joint force responded with a counter attack and repelled the attackers

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after about two hours of intense exchange of gun fire. One Insurgent, eight civilians was killed and one IM soldier was wounded.

IED: 31 Oct, Kapisa Province, Tagab District, Jalokhel Village - ANP located an IED in the area. As an IM EOD team was busy defusing the device they came under insurgent attack and then withdrew from the area. On 1 Nov, the IED detonated accidentally when the team returned and was attempting to defuse it. One IM personnel was wounded in the incident.

Ambush: 1 Nov, Wardak Province, , Tangi Valley - Insurgents ambushed an IM contracted logistics convoy on the ring road and burned one fuel tanker. Three PSC guards were killed in the incident. Four PSC guards in an escort vehicle and one fuel tanker managed escape.

Insurgency: 27 Oct, , , Shikari Valley, Baghak Village, Baghak Mountains - Reports are that Insurgents established a check point in the area to support their operations in Shikari Valley.

IED: 1 Nov 10h30, Bamyan Province, Shibar District, Shikari Valley, Ghandak Village, Sang Par area - An IM convoy set off a RCIED, the explosion was followed by a RPG and small arms fire attack. Reportedly two IM were killed and two vehicles damaged.

Explosive Device: 1 Nov 15h00, , Tirin , Shahzafar area - One ANP officer and one PSC guard were wounded by anti-personnel mine explosion along the Tirinkot-Chora Highway.

Operations: Update on 30 Oct 22h00, Uruzgan Province, Dehrawud District, Ulambagh and Jangal areas - During an ANSF/IM joint military operation, 29 Insurgents were reportedly killed and two were arrested. Assorted weapons and ammunitions were recovered from the Insurgents.

Attack (IDF): 31 Oct, Uruzgan Province, - Two rockets were fired from unknown direction and impacted in the District Governor’s compound. No reports of casualties were received.

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SEVERE SUBSTANTIAL MODERATE -Negative Impact Incident LOW -Positive Impact Incident

Negative Impact Positive Impact

Explosive Device Detonations Explosive Devices Found Suicide Attacks Arrests Attacks Operations 4 Ambushes Recovered Ordnance Rocket/Mortar Attacks Crime Insurgency 1 Kidnapping

Insurgency: 2 Nov 06h30, , , in Nikpai area, along Kunduz- Khan Abad main road - It was reported that Insurgents had stopped public transport and robbed all the passengers on board.

Operation: 2 Nov 02h40, Kunduz Province, , in Gul Bagh area - IM conducted an airstrike on suspected Insurgents targets, but the strike impacted in an open area.

Operation: 1 Nov 14h00, Kunduz Province, Kunduz City, northern part of the City, in Gor Tepa area – A joint operation has been conducted by IM/ANSF supported by air assets.

Operation: 1 Nov 14h00, Kunduz Province, Qali Zal District, in Zulm Abad area – Reportedly ANP supported by pro- government militias led by two local commanders, has conducted an operation in which one Insurgent was killed, one wounded and another one arrested. ANP confiscated one AK-47 assault rifle and one RPG rocket launcher.

Operation: 1 Nov 10h00, Kunduz Province, , in Kalbad and Tash Gozar areas – According to reports from ANA, pro-government militias had attacked the Insurgents position in the area, killing one insurgent commander and wounding three more insurgents. Privileged and Confidential 5 This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicit approval from StrategicSSI Management. Strategic SSI - Afghanistan

Crime : 1 Nov 17h00, , Ishkashim District Centre - ANP arrested two drug dealers with approx 466 grams of heroine.

SEVERE SUBSTANTIAL MODERATE LOW

-Negative Impact Incident -Positive Impact Incident

Negative Impact Positive Impact

Explosive Device Detonations 1 Explosive Devices Found 1 Suicide Attacks Arrests Attack 1 Operations 3 Ambush Recovered Ordnance Rocket/Mortar Attack Arson Kidnapping Feud 2

Attack: 2 Nov, , Muqur District, Qiraghshori area – An, IM/ANSF convoy en route to Murghab District came under attack during the night, from Insurgents with RPG and small arms fire.

Operation: 2 Nov, , Hirat City, District 2, Darb Kandahar area – ANP has rescued a local civilian that was abducted on 21 Oct. Three abductors were arrested and six AK-47s and one vehicle were seized.

IED: 1 Nov18h30, Herat Province, , Herat Airport Road – A RCIED attached to a motorcycle detonated when an IM convoy was passing on the road. Two IM were wounded. Reportedly, NDS arrested one of the victims suspected to be involved in the incident.

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Operation: 1 Nov, Herat Province, , Zeerkoh Valley - IM/ANSF conducted an operation in which two Insurgents were arrested and a collection of weapons including RPG’s and PK machine guns were confiscated.

IED Find: 1 Nov, , - NDS discovered and neutralized a RCIED on a secondary road in the area.

Operation: 1 Nov, Ghor Province, , Fask area - ANP conducted an operation in the area, in which three AK-47s and one shotgun were confiscated.

SEVERE SUBSTANTIAL -Negative Impact Incident MODERATE -Positive Impact Incident LOW

Negative Impact Positive Impact

Explosive Device Detonations Explosive Devices Found Ambush 2 Arrests Attacks 2 Operations Arson 1 Recovered Ordnance Rocket/Mortar Attacks 1 Kidnapping 1 Feud 1

Arson: 2 Nov, , Pachir Wa Agam District, Gadal area. It is reported that at approximately 10:00, a group of unknown armed men set a girls’ school alight, of which one classroom was totally gutted before the local community brought the fire under control. No arrests were reported.

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Kidnapping: 30 Oct, , . It is reported that insurgents abducted two males from their residence under the cover of darkness. These captives were and subsequently released forty-eight hours later, after being threatened not to supporting the government and/or IM or face the possibility of being killed.

Attack: 1 Nov, , Wata Pur District, Managai area. It is reported that at approximately an ANP CP drew hostile small arms fire for about 30 minutes. No casualties or damages were reported.

Ambush: 1 Nov 15h30, Kunar Province, Wata Pur District, Malakana area, It is reported that an IM Vehicle convoy was ambushed by insurgents firing both heavy and small arms. The engagement lasted in the region of 30 minutes and no casualties or damages were reported.

Feud: 1 Nov 16h00, Kunar Province, . It is reported that one person sustained injuries when two families clashed regarding a personal dispute.

Mortar Attack: 1 Nov 16h00, Kunar Province, Wata Pur District, Malakana area, It is reported that a single 82mm mortar was fired towards the IM base, missing the intended target and detonating in a residential area injuring two local national women and two girls were wounded.

Ambush: 1 Nov 17h30, Kunar Province, Wata Pur District, Kurmal area. It is reports that an ANA vehicle ppatrol was ambushed by Insurgents armed with heavy weapons and small arms, of which the engagement lasted about 15 minutes. No casualties or damages were reported.

Attack: 1 Nov 18h00, Kunar Province, , Babur area. It is reported that a Joint IM/ANA base was attacked by insurgents armed with heavy weapons and small arms fire of which the engagement lasted in the region of 15 minutes. No casualties or damages were reported.

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SEVERE -Negative Impact Incident SUBSTANTIAL MODERATE -Positive Impact Incident LOW

Negative Impact Positive Impact

Explosive Device Detonations 2 Explosive Devices Found Suicide Attacks Arrests Attacks Operations 1 Ambushes 3 Recovered Ordnance Rocket/Mortar Attacks 1 Arson Murders Public Protest

Public Protest: 31 Oct 09h30, Paktya Province, , Gardez City. It is reported that students of the Paktya University staged a demonstration against the IM for the desecration the holy Quran in Wardak Province earlier in October 09. The demonstration ended peacefully without incident.

Ambush: 1 Nov, Paktya Province, Jani Khel District, Lawari area. It is reported that insurgents ambushed a combined IM/ANP convoy under the cover of darkness, where the assailants were armed with both heavy and small arms. During the follow-up IM airstrike fourteen insurgents were killed and three wounded. ANP casualties consisted of 1 fatality and three members sustaining injuries.

Ambush: 2 Nov 09 10h30 Paktya Province, Shwak District, Gardez – Khost Highway. It is reported that a vehicle transporting two IRP Construction workers drew hostile RPG fire which was followed by small arms fire at km 28. No injuries or damages were sustained.

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Mortar Attack: 2 Nov 09 12h30, Paktya Province, Shwak District, Gardez – Khost Highway. It is reported that an IRP Construction security position situated at km 23 drew indirect fire when an 82mm mortar that landed within 50m from the position. No injuries or damages were sustained.

Ambush: 2 Nov 07h00, , Yahya Khel District, DAC area. It is reported that insurgents ambushed and ANP vehicle patrol , where the assailments were armed with both Heavy and small arms.ANP casualties consisted of one fatality and one member sustaining injuries.

Operation: 1 Nov, Paktika Province, , Tora Woray area. It is reported that during a joint IM/ANSF search & cordon operations in the said area, at least seven insurgents were killed

IED: 1 Nov, Paktika Province, Sar Hawza District, DAC area. It is reported that a roadside IED detonating sticking a passing NDS vehicle which as a result of the explosion two local national bystanders were killed as a result of the blast.

IED: 1 Nov, , Khost City, Kabul bank area. It is reported that an IED was discovered concealed in a dustbin near the Khost city’s Kabul Bank, which was successfully disarmed by an ANA EOD team.

Negative Impact Positive Impact

Explosive Device Detonation 3 Explosive Device Found Suicide Attack Arrest Attack Operation Ambush Recovered Ordnance Rocket/Mortar Attack Arson Murder 1 Crime 1 Privileged and Confidential 10 This information is intended only for the use of the individual or entity to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged, confidential and exempt from disclosure under applicable law. You are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this information is strictly prohibited without the explicit approval from StrategicSSI Management. Strategic SSI - Afghanistan

Intimidation 1

IED: 31 Oct, , . It is reported that an IM member was fatally wounded when their IM vehicle patrol was struck by an IED in the said area.

Murder: 1 Nov, Helmand Province, Nawa E Barakzia District. It is reported that the body of a tribal elder was discovered after he’d been reported missing since 1 Oct 09. Further reports are that this individual had been threatening with his life on several occasions prior to his disappearance.

IED: 31 Oct, Helmand Province, Marja District, Marja Dasht area. It is reported that the body of a civilian “de-miner” was discovered with fatal shrapnel wounds and transported to a nearby IM medical facility.

Crime: 1 Nov, , Kandahar City, District 8, Per Paymal area. It is reported that a suspect was arrested when he attempted to snatch an ANP member’s firearm.

Intimidation: 31 Oct, Kandahar Province, Kandahar City, District 9. It is reported that a Local national staff member working for the UN has had graffiti sprayed on his boundary wall threatening him to resign from the UN and leave the area.

IED: 2 Nov, Kandahar Province, Daman District, Shoranadam Area, on High 4. It is suspected that an IED detonated prematurely at approximately, at 07:15 which had been emplaced under a culvert, no causalities reported.

SPECIAL INTEREST NEWS

AFGHANISTAN: WHO official supports H1N1 emergency measures.

Source: IRIN

03 Nov 2009

A UN World Health Organization (WHO) official has backed the Afghan government’s health emergency declaration which involves a three-week closure of all schools and universities in Afghanistan as a means of preventing the spread of H1N1 influenza. He called it an “appropriate and timely measure” to curb its spread.

“It was the right decision by the minister of health as we see the number of H1N1 cases rising,” Ahmed Abdul Rahman, WHO’s officer-in-charge in Afghanistan, told IRIN on 3 November. The government made the announcement on 1 November. According to the Ministry of Education there are over nine million children and students at schools, colleges and universities in the country. All of them will be required to stay at home from 2-23 November. Afghanistan had reported over 320 H1N1 cases with two deaths as of 3 November. Some observers have suggested that the closure declaration was designed to prevent protests against President Karzai’s controversial re-election announcement, made the following day.

“In a country where two mothers die every hour from pregnancy-related complications, why the suspected death of only two patients from flu is declared an emergency?” asked an international aid worker in Kabul who did not want to named.

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“The disease was not widespread and cannot justify a state of emergency in which the entire education system is closed,” Kabir Ranjbar, a member of parliament, told IRIN. However, the Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) defended its decision and said the state of emergency was in no way politically motivated.

“Countries like Ukraine, the USA and Mexico, which are not in [the midst of] elections, have also declared H1N1 emergencies and so has Afghanistan,” Farid Raaid, MoPH’s spokesman, told IRIN.

“We are in the midst of at least three emergencies namely security, political and now health,” said Ajmal Samadi, director of the Kabul-based rights watchdog Afghanistan Rights Monitor.

Six million at risk?

Health officials told IRIN over six million of the country’s estimated 28 million people risked catching H1N1. Pregnant women and children were particularly vulnerable, they said.

“Through the health emergency we want to mitigate the risks and prevent a major outbreak of H1N1 in the country,” said Amir Ansari, an adviser to Health Minister Mohammad Amin Fatimie.

The government has prepared a snap appeal for over US $60 million to procure medication, such as Tamiflu and seasonal flu vaccines, and undertake other necessary measures to combat the disease, Ansari said. The MoPH has also asked the World Health Organization (WHO) for support and the provision of over one million doses of Tamiflu, officials said. Afghanistan only has one virology laboratory capable of diagnosing the H1N1 virus but about 200 surveillance units have been established across the country to quickly report suspicious flu cases. No H1N1 vaccine is available yet but the health authorities have received over 30,000 doses of tamiflu tablets from WHO, according to the MOPH. The H1N1 type of influenza was first reported in Mexico in April 2009 and quickly spread to dozens of countries around the world. Globally, over 440,000 cases of H1N1 and over 5,700 deaths were reported by WHO as of 25 October.

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WEATHER FORECAST

Afghanistan Weather for – Wed 4 November 2009

Kabul Jalalabad Mazar Kandahar Herat

Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Overcast Scattered Clouds Clear 71° F | 42° F 87° F | 60° F 84° F | 59° F 86° F | 59° F 77° F | 55° F 22° C | 6° C 31° C | 16° C 29° C | 15° C 30° C | 15° C 25° C | 13° C

Gardez Khost Kunduz Maimane Fayzabad

Overcast Overcast Overcast Overcast Overcast 80° F | 62° F 78° F | 53° F 86° F | 59° F 77° F | 53° F 62° F | 41° F 27° C | 17° C 26° C | 12° C 30° C | 15° C 25° C | 12° C 17° C | 5° C

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CALENDAR*

26 Nov - Arafat day 27 Nov - Eid Al Adha– Feast of the Sacrifice 28 Nov - Eid Al Adha Holiday 29 Nov - Eid Al Adha Holiday 27 Dec - Ashara

*DATES MAY VARY ACCORDING TO THE SIGHTING OF THE MOON. http://www.qppstudio.net/publicholidays2009/afghanistan.htm

NEWS / INFORMATION International Security Assistance Force HQ Public Affairs Courtesy Story Date: 11.03.2009

KABUL, Afghanistan – An Afghan-international security force detained several suspected militants during the search of a compound in Kandahar province known to be used by a Taliban facilitator operating in the area Monday.

The joint security force targeted the compound in northern Kandahar City after intelligence indicated militant activity. The joint force searched the compound without incident; no shots were fired, and no one was injured.

In a separate operation, an Afghan-international security force detained several suspected militants in Helmand province after searching a compound known to be used by a Taliban facilitator in charge of coordinating attacks and supplying IEDs to other militants in the region today.

The joint security force targeted the compound near the village of Koshtay in after intelligence indicated militant activity. The joint force searched the compound without incident; no shots were fired, and no one was injured.

The Taliban's indiscriminate use of violence through IEDs in public areas and the exploitation of innocent civilians for protection are documented by the press. Afghan and international security forces continue to partner their personnel and skills to disrupt Taliban attacks, prevent exploitation of Afghan civilians and encourage reintegration of former insurgents peacefully into their communities.

Taliban using chemical fertilizers in landmines

Source: PAN By: Sher Ahmad Haider 02 Nov 2009

Taliban militants are using chemical fertilizer besides other explosives in preparation of anti-tank mines.

This was stated by a Ghazni-based Taliban commander in a telephonic interview with Pajhwok Afghan News on Monday.

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He said they were mixing white and black chemical fertilizers with explosives which usually proved very effective. Fertilizer is used by farmers in their fields and easily available all over the country.

One of mound of black fertilizer is available from 180 to 270 Afs in Kabul while the same quantity of white fertilizer price is ranging from 100 to 145 Afs.

The unnamed Taliban commander told Pajhwok Afghan News the two kinds of fertilizers had phosphorus and nitrogen besides hydrogen which proved very effective against heavy vehicles.

Government officials also admit that Taliban were using chemical fertilizers in preparation of landmines. General Zahir Azimi, spokesman for the Defence Ministry, told Pajhwok Afghan News Taliban in the eastern and southern zones were using these kinds of land mines.

Police chief of Ghazni Brig. General Khial Baz Sherzai said Taliban were using chemical fertilizers in landmines. He said foreigners were preparing such kinds of mines.

ACRONYMS

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