PUBLISHED VERSION Beer, Andrew; Tually, Selina; Rowley, Steven; Haslam Mckenzie, Fiona; Schlapp, Julia; Birdsall-Jones, Christi
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PUBLISHED VERSION Beer, Andrew; Tually, Selina; Rowley, Steven; Haslam McKenzie, Fiona; Schlapp, Julia; Birdsall-Jones, Christina; Corunna, Vanessa The drivers of supply and demand in Australia's rural and regional centres AHURI Final Report, 2011; No.165:1-127 © 2013 AHURI http://www.ahuri.edu.au/publications/download/ahuri_40586_fr PERMISSIONS As per email correspondence from AHURI : Received: Friday 28 June 2013 1:29 PM http://hdl.handle.net/2440/73162 The drivers of supply and demand in Australia’s rural and regional centres authored by Andrew Beer, Selina Tually, Steven Rowley, Fiona Haslam McKenzie, Julia Schlapp, Christina Birdsall Jones and Vanessa Corunna for the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute Southern Research Centre Western Australia Research Centre RMIT Research Centre March 2011 AHURI Final Report No. 165 ISSN: 1834-7223 ISBN: 978-1-921610-66-0 Authors Beer, Andrew University of Adelaide Tually, Selina University of Adelaide Rowley, Steven Curtin University Haslam McKenzie, Fiona Curtin University Schlapp, Julia RMIT University Birdsall-Jones, Christina Curtin University Corunna, Vanessa Curtin University Title The drivers of supply and demand in Australia’s rural and regional centres ISBN 978-1-921610-66-0 Format PDF Key Words driver, supply, demand, Australia, rural, regional, centre Editor Jim Davison AHURI National Office Publisher Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute Melbourne, Australia Series AHURI Final Report; no.165 ISSN 1834-7223 Preferred Citation Beer, A. et al. (2011) The drivers of supply and demand in Australia’s rural and regional centres, AHURI Final Report No.165. Melbourne: Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This material was produced with funding from the Australian Government and the Australian states and territory governments. AHURI Limited gratefully acknowledges the financial and other support it has received from these governments, without which this work would not have been possible. AHURI comprises a network of universities clustered into Research Centres across Australia. Research Centre contributions, both financial and in-kind, have made the completion of this report possible. The authors of this report would like to gratefully acknowledge the assistance of a number of people in undertaking this research: the many local stakeholders interviewed in each of the case study locations; Ms Pauline McLoughlin for her research assistance; and Dr Debbie Faulkner and Mrs Louise O’Loughlin of the University of Adelaide for their much appreciated editorial and formatting assistance. DISCLAIMER AHURI Limited is an independent, non-political body which has supported this project as part of its programme of research into housing and urban development, which it hopes will be of value to policy-makers, researchers, industry and communities. The opinions in this publication reflect the views of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of AHURI Limited, its Board or its funding organisations. No responsibility is accepted by AHURI Limited or its Board or its funders for the accuracy or omission of any statement, opinion, advice or information in this publication. AHURI FINAL REPORT SERIES AHURI Final Reports is a refereed series presenting the results of original research to a diverse readership of policy makers, researchers and practitioners. PEER REVIEW STATEMENT An objective assessment of all reports published in the AHURI Final Report Series by carefully selected experts in the field ensures that material of the highest quality is published. The AHURI Final Report Series employs a double-blind peer review of the full Final Report – where anonymity is strictly observed between authors and referees. ii CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................... IV ACRONYMS ................................................................................................................... V EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................ 1 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Background ........................................................................................................... 4 1.2 Research questions ............................................................................................... 9 1.3 Structure of the Final Report.................................................................................. 9 2 THE DRIVERS OF HOUSING MARKETS IN RURAL AND REGIONAL CENTRES ........................................................................................................... 11 2.1 Housing and land supply ..................................................................................... 11 2.2 The impact of government policies ...................................................................... 13 2.3 Demographic change........................................................................................... 14 2.4 Economic growth and labour markets ................................................................. 15 2.5 Scale and localism in regional centres ................................................................ 16 2.6 The Indigenous population .................................................................................. 17 3 HOUSING AFFORDABILITY AND RURAL AND REGIONAL CENTRES ......... 18 3.1 Housing stress and the ability to enter into the housing market in rural and regional centres ................................................................................................... 18 3.2 Incidence and distribution of housing stress in rural and regional centres .......... 19 4 RURAL AND REGIONAL HOUSING MARKETS: THE IMPACT OF CURRENT GOVERNMENT HOUSING INITIATIVES ........................................................... 23 4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 23 4.2 The impact of Australian government housing initiatives ..................................... 23 4.3 State/territory government actions ....................................................................... 28 4.4 Local government: roles, responsibilities and potentials ..................................... 29 4.5 Lessons for policy ................................................................................................ 30 5 CONCLUSION..................................................................................................... 32 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................. 36 APPENDICES ............................................................................................................... 46 Appendix 1 .................................................................................................................... 46 Appendix 2: Percentage of Tenant Households in Housing Stress by Non-Metropolitan SLA, 2006 Census ............................................................................................. 111 Appendix 3: Percentage of Tenant Households in Housing Stress for Case Study locations, 2006 Census ..................................................................................... 115 Appendix 4: Percentage of Purchasing Households in Housing Stress by Non- Metropolitan SLA, 2006 Census ........................................................................ 116 Appendix 5: Percentage of Purchasing Households in Housing Stress for Case Study locations, 2006 Census ..................................................................................... 120 iii LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Number of tenant and purchasing households in housing stress in rural and regional SLAs across Australia ............................................................................ 19 Table A1: Selected house price data and trends, townships in the West Coast LGA, Tasmania ............................................................................................................. 51 Table A2: Selected house price data and trends, Port Lincoln, South Australia ......... 56 Table A3: Selected house price data and trends, Roxby Downs, South Australia ..... 62 Table A4: Selected house price data and trends, Barossa Valley, South Australia .... 65 Table A5: Selected house price data and trends, Boddington, Western Australia ..... 69 Table A6: Selected house price data and trends, Denmark, Western Australia ......... 72 Table A7: Selected house price data and trends, Chinchilla, Queensland ................. 76 Table A8: Selected house price data and trends, Townsville, Queensland ................ 80 Table A9: Selected house price data and trends, Snowy River Shire townships, New South Wales ........................................................................................................ 85 Table A10: Selected house price data and trends, Lismore, New South Wales ......... 88 Table A11: Selected house price data and trends, Colac, Victoria ............................. 91 Table A12: Selected house price data and trends, Heywood, Victoria ....................... 94 Table A13: Average house and unit prices, Alice Springs, 2002–2010 ...................... 97 Table A14: Selected house price data and trends, Alice Springs, Northern Territory ..........................................................................................................................