Joint Force Quarterly Hans Binnendijk Patrick M
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0115Cover1 8/4/97 11:01 AM Page 1 JFJOINTQ FORCE QUARTERLY RMA Essay Contest Interservice Competition NATO, EUROPEAN SECURITY,AND BEYOND Military Support to Spring The Nation 97 The Son Tay Raid A PROFESSIONAL MILITARY JOURNAL 0215Cover2 8/5/97 7:49 AM Page C2 Victory smiles upon those who anticipate the changes in the character of war, not upon those who wait to adapt themselves after the changes occur. —Guilio Douhet Cov 2 JFQ / Spring 1997 0315Prelims 8/4/97 1:28 PM Page 1 JFQ AWord from the I NATO’s consultative mechanisms have been a positive force for stability on the Continent and were central to the solution of bilateral problems among its Chairman members I NATO forces, policies, and procedures proved to be an essential and irreplaceable foundation for the coalition’s success in Operation Desert Storm ight years ago, as the Berlin Wall crum- I NATO forces from 15 allied nations—backed by bled and the Cold War began to fade, 22 other countries, including Russia—are keeping order in Bosnia-Herzegovina today, a peace brought about by two themes dominated media reports the force of NATO arms. about Europe. First, many pundits ar- Egued that while our hearts might remain in Eu- In the future, Europe will remain a center of rope our central strategic and economic interests wealth, democracy, and power. For the United would lie elsewhere in the future. For some, our States, it will remain a region of vital interest. Ac- focus would be primarily on the Middle East, for cording to our national security strategy, “Our ob- others on Latin America, and for still others on jective in Europe is to complete the construction the Asia-Pacific region. But most agreed that Eu- of a truly integrated, democratic, and secure Eu- rope’s criticality had waned. Second, other observers predicted that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), ab- sent a new overwhelming threat, would wither away or disappear. Their reasoning was simple: no threat, no alliance; no Warsaw Pact, no NATO. But three Presidents knew better. While rec- ognizing the growing importance of other regions, the United States chose not to turn its back on Eu- rope or the Alliance. Indeed, as this issue of JFQ goes to press, heads of state of Alliance nations are about to meet to determine which of the many candidates will become new members of NATO. The future value of the Alliance has to be calculated in light of its past accomplishments. In DOD (R.D. Ward) testament to its influence, Secretary of State During a break in the international meeting on Bosnia in July 1995, Madeleine Albright has said: General George A. Joulwan, Supreme Allied Commander Europe, NATO has always been more than a defensive reviews draft U.S. position statement with the Chairman. shield. It was the roof over our heads when we rebuilt postwar Europe. It was the floor on which the first rope with a democratic Russia as a full partici- structures of European unity were laid. It was the door pant.” This, of course, is what we started out to through which one time adversaries were welcomed accomplish fifty years ago when we launched the into our family of democracies. And because of its Marshall Plan and created NATO. strength and the courage of its members, it has been a The new strategic environment in Europe mighty deterrent to aggression. has caused the United States to change its orien- For nearly fifty years NATO’s successes have tation from deterrence of war to shaping the en- been phenomenal; and they constitute a major vironment to work against instability and the reason why it remains a powerful force for peace conditions that cause war. While we withdrew and security: two-thirds of our Cold War force, we remain com- I NATO has been essential to maintaining the mitted to the continuing deployment of some transatlantic link, the mechanism which was so vital to 100,000 troops in theater. Trade with Europe, of deterrence during four decades and which today keeps course, has taken care of itself, doubling in value the West united on security issues over the past decade. (continued on page 4) Spring 1997 / JFQ 1 0315Prelims 8/4/97 1:28 PM Page 2 I CONTENTS 1 A Word from the Chairman I OUT OF JOINT by John M. Shalikashvili 50 Interservice Competition: The I Solution, Not the Problem by Harvey M. Sapolsky 6 The 1996 RMA Essay Contest JFQ Introduced by Williamson Murray I JFQ FORUM 8 The Second Revolution 55 NATO, European Security, by James Stavridis and Beyond Introduced by Hans Binnendijk 14 The Profession of Arms in the Information Age 57 The New SHAPE of the by Arsenio T. Gumahad II Atlantic Alliance by George A. Joulwan 21 Black Lights: Chaos, Complexity, and the Promise 62 Creating A European Security of Information Warfare and Defense Identity by James J. Schneider by Charles L. Barry 29 Dynamic Inter-Dimensionality: 70 WEU Operational A Revolution in Military Development Theory by Graham Messervy-Whiting by Antulio J. Echevarria II 75 After SFOR—Planning a 37 Technologies, Doctrine, and European-Led Force Organization for RMA by John Hillen by James K. Morningstar 80 The Looming Alliance Debate 44 General Tzu’s Army: OPFOR over Nuclear Weapons of the Future by Jacquelyn K. Davis, Charles M. Perry, by Michael R. Lwin and Andrew C. Winner 87 Ukraine as a Post-Cold War PHOTO CREDITS Military Power by Stephen D. Olynyk The cover shows marines conducting sensor emplace- ment mission during Advance Warfighting Experiment at 29 Palms (U.S. Marine Corps/Christopher S. Cline). 95 French Military Reform and The front inside features Russian cruiser Pilkiy off the port beam of USS America in the Mediterranean (U.S. NATO Restructuring Navy/David Carter), American marines and Moldovan by Ronald Tiersky soldiers maneuvering, Cooperative Osprey ’96 (982d Sig- nal Company/M.A. Jones), Turkish officer using ground vehicular laser locator designator at Camp Dobol, Bosnia 103 EUCOM and Sub-Saharan (55th Signal Company, Combat Camera/Angel Clemons), and closeup of B–2 bomber (U.S. Air Force). The table of Africa contents shows USS Mitscher in the North Atlantic (U.S. by Nancy J. Walker and Larry Hanauer Navy/Jacob L. Hollingsworth). The back inside cover captures F–16C at Azaraq air base in Jordan (U.S. Air Force/Paul R. Caron). The back cover displays USS Scranton surfacing with USS George Washington in background to support South- ern Watch (U.S. Navy/Jim Vidrine), marines arriving in Thailand for Cobra Gold ’97 (Joint Combat Camera Center/Jacqueline Richardson), AH–64D during Ad- vanced Warfighting Experiment at Fort Irwin (28th Public Affairs Detachment/ William Cronk), and C–17 (U.S. Air Force/Ken Hackman). 2 JFQ / Spring 1997 0315Prelims 8/4/97 1:28 PM Page 3 SPRING 1997 / NUMBER 15 125 In Search of Focused Logistics by John J. Cusick and Donald C. Pipp 128 Review Criteria for the Logistic Plan by Kevin R. Wheelock I OF CHIEFS AND CHAIRMEN 134 George Scratchley Brown I THE JOINT WORLD 135 Doctrine, Education, and History I OFF THE SHELF I 137 Jointness in Defence of the Realm: A Review Essay 108 Forgotten Mission: Military by Jeremy R. Stocker Support to the Nation by David L. Grange and Rodney L. Johnson 140 Joint Training for MOOTW: A Book Review 116 The Force-on-Force Model: by Shawn C. Whetstone An Anachronism in the Information Age 141 Riding the Toffler Wave: by Maggie Belknap A Book Review by M.E. Ahrari 120 Operation Kingpin— Success or Failure? by William C. Thomas Joint Force Quarterly Hans Binnendijk Patrick M. Cronin Director Robert A. Silano Director for Strategy and Policy Analysis Institute for National Strategic Studies Editor Institute for National Strategic Studies Editor-in-Chief Consulting Editor William A. Rawley Martin J. Peters, Jr. Typography and Design Division Calvin B. Kelley Production Coordinator U.S. Government Printing Office Copy Editor Art Director JFQ is published for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff by the of the Federal Government. Copyrighted portions of this journal may Please direct all editorial communications to: Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University, not be reproduced or extracted without permission of copyright pro- Editor, Joint Force Quarterly to promote understanding of the integrated employment of land, prietors. An acknowledgment to Joint Force Quarterly should be ATTN: NDU–NSS–JFQ sea, air, space, and special operations forces. The journal focuses made whenever material is quoted from or based on its contents. 300 Fifth Avenue (Bldg. 62) on joint doctrine, coalition warfare, contingency planning, combat This publication has been approved by the Secretary of Fort Lesley J. McNair operations conducted by the unified commands, and joint force Defense. Washington, D.C. 20319–5066 development. The editors invite articles and other contributions on joint The opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or warfighting, interservice issues that support jointness, and topics Telephone: (202) 685–4220 / DSN 325–4220 implied within are those of the contributors and do not necessarily of common interest to the Armed Forces (see page 144 for details). Fax: (202) 685–4219 / DSN 325–4219 reflect the views of the Department of Defense or any other agency e-mail: [email protected] ISSN 1070–0692 June 1997 Internet: http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine Spring 1997 / JFQ 3 0315Prelims 8/4/97 1:28 PM Page 4 Joint Force Quarterly I A WORD FROM THE CHAIRMAN GEN John M. Shalikashvili, USA (continued from page 1) Publisher NATO has also adapted to meet new condi- ADVISORY COMMITTEE tions.