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Financial Services M&A Update: Q2 2018

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Financial Services M&A Update: Q2 2018 Financial Services quarterly update Q2 2018 Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC | www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com Quarterly update | Q2 2018 | Financial Services Financial Services trends In this update Macroeconomic headwinds Customer Due Diligence have impacted bank stock (CDD) requirements • Financial Services trends prices1 become effective2 • Economic outlook Despite an improving economy, The CDD Rule, which amends tax cuts, and higher interest Bank Secrecy Act regulations • Industry analysis rates, many bank stocks have helps pave the way to improve • Select M&A transactions seen subpar growth during Q2 financial transparency. By • Appendix 2018. Many attribute this strengthening customer due sluggish growth to economic diligence requirements for US factors such as US-China trade banks, mutual fund brokers, This update will focus on news war, reduced market volatility merchants and other brokers, and trends in the following and a flattening yield curve. the CDD Rule adds a layer of Looking ahead, bank stocks protection in verifying the areas: have positive things to look identity of these institutions’ forward to such as rising customers. • US Banks interest rates and lessening regulations. • US Specialty Finance Financial services Federal Reserve embrace emerging maintains confidence technology3 in the economy4 Consumers today are keen in For the second straight Who we are wanting access to their financial quarter, the nation’s central accounts right at their bank raised interest rates. In fingertips. For the financial June 2018, the interest rate Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC services industry, this means no went up a quarter point to 2 is a leading global middle longer overlooking digital percent. Chairman Powell and products. From spending $1.7 the rest of the Fed show no market M&A adviser. The billion in blockchain to looking sign of pausing, as rates are firm’s professionals have into artificial intelligence, the expected to increase extensive knowledge and industry continues to use throughout 2018. The years of experience in the fintech to reach customers in a immediate impact to Financial Services space. unique way and to streamline consumers are expected to work processes. be rate hikes for all types of debt. Fifth Third/MB Financial case study May 21, 2018 – Fifth Third and Chicago’s MB Financial agreed to a $4.7 billion buyout. The deal will be mostly comprised of stock consideration, with MB Financial shareholders receiving 1.45 shares of Fifth Third’s common stock and $5.54 in cash per share. Contacts The merger will boost Fifth Third’s assets from around $141.0 to $161.0 billion. The offer applied a 24 percent premium to MB Charlie Welch Financials' closing share price. MB Financials' stock price increased 13 percent after the announcement of the deal.5 Managing Director [email protected] Post-Merger +1 (704) 731-7201 Announcement $51.0 Phil Colaco $49.0 $50.00 CEO & Managing Director Pre-Merger $47.0 Announcement [email protected] $45.0 +1 (704) 333-0533 $44.50 $43.0 05/16 05/17 05/18 05/19 05/20 05/21 05/22 05/23 www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 2 Quarterly update | Q2 2018 | Financial Services Macroeconomic outlook US gross domestic product1 US Treasury yield curve (nominal vs. real)2 $20.0 5.0% 3.5% 3.0% 4.0% $15.0 2.5% 3.0% 2.0% $10.0 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% $5.0 1.0% rate Interest $ in $ trillions 0.5% $0.0 0.0% 0.0% YoY percent change GDP ($ in Trillions) YoY % Growth (Adj. for Inflation) Real Yield (%) Nominal Yield (%) Banking sector outlook Commercial bank capital ratios & ROAE3 Number of US bank branches4 16% 100,000 14% 96,000 12% 92,000 10% 88,000 Percentage % Percentage 8% 84,000 6% Number of U.S. of Number Bank Branches 4% 80,000 Capital ratio ROAE Whole bank M&A volume5 Annual transaction price / TBV6 350 250 227 296 218 216 300 283 280 277 225 213 268 267 262 239 200 250 179 217 222 168 175 164 159 200 176 150 141 143 145 135 132 150 124 119119 116 110 125 110 100 80 / TBV Median P 56 100 Number of Bank M&A Bank M&A of Number Deals 50 75 0 50 www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 3 Quarterly update | Q2 2018 | Financial Services Banking sector breakdown & trading statistics1 YTDi Quarterlyii Net Number of Price Price / Return on Return on Efficiency TE / NPA / Sector interest companies change Book assets equity ratio TA TA margin Banks (<$1B Assets) 500 6.0 % 104.8 % 0.80 % 3.6 % 7.7 % 72.2 % 9.6 % 1.1 % Banks ($1B-$10B Assets) 264 8.7 162.5 0.95 3.6 9.3 60.8 8.9 0.7 Banks ($10B-$50B Assets) 51 4.4 159.4 1.03 3.4 8.4 59.6 8.7 0.8 Banks (>$50B Assets) 21 (1.3) 140.7 0.95 2.9 8.6 61.3 9.2 1.0 Banking Sector Index 836 6.9 % 121.4 % 0.88 % 3.6 % 8.4 % 66.4 % 9.2 % 0.9 % Notes: i. As of June 30, 2018. ii. As of Q2 2018. Public comparables three-year stock market performance2 SNL US Bank 31.9% S&P 500 Index 30.9% NASDAQ Composite Index 49.8% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% (10.0%) (20.0%) (30.0%) SNL US Bank S&P 500 NASDAQ www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 4 Quarterly update | Q2 2018 | Financial Services Recent transactions1 Recent bank M&A transactions* Announced Price Price / Acquiror Target date ($M) Book (%) Jun-18 Old National Bancorp Klein Financial, Inc. $433.8 235.8 % Jun-18 People's United Financial, Inc. First Connecticut Bancorp, Inc. 543.0 186.6 Jun-18 BOK Financial Corporation CoBiz Financial Inc. 978.2 288.7 Jun-18 CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. Athens Bancshares Corporation 114.1 228.0 Jun-18 Seacoast Banking Corp. of Florida First Green Bancorp, Inc. 132.6 175.0 May-18 German American Bancorp, Inc. First Security, Inc. 102.0 160.2 May-18 Independent Bank Group, Inc. Guaranty Bancorp 1,036.7 319.0 May-18 Fifth Third Bancorp MB Financial, Inc. 4,604.8 270.7 May-18 Cadence Bancorporation State Bank Financial Corporation 1,373.0 247.9 May-18 Stifel Financial Corp. Business Bancshares, Inc. 120.8 172.7 Apr-18 Allegiance Bancshares, Inc. Post Oak Bancshares, Inc. 349.9 223.3 Apr-18 First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. Northwest Bancorporation, Inc. 155.6 219.2 Apr-18 CenterState Bank Corporation Charter Financial Corporation 362.2 195.1 Apr-18 National Commerce Corporation Landmark Bancshares, Inc. 115.4 222.3 Apr-18 WesBanco, Inc. Farmers Capital Bank Corporation 378.3 195.0 Apr-18 BancorpSouth Bank Icon Capital Corporation 145.8 217.8 Apr-18 Triumph Bancorp, Inc. First Bancorp of Durango, Inc. 134.5 202.5 *Transactions with purchase price greater than $100 million. Recent specialty finance M&A transactions Total Announced Price Acquiror Target assets date ($M) ($M) Jun-18 Home BancShares, Inc. Shore Premier Finance $403.1 NA May-18 Annaly Capital Management, Inc. MTGE Investment Corp. 902.0 95.4 Apr-18 Five Oaks Investment Corp. Loan Assets Of Hunt Mortgage Group, LLC 68.7 NA Apr-18 Two Harbors Investment Corp. CYS Investments, Inc. 1,210.9 105.1 Apr-18 Triumph Bancorp, Inc. Interstate Capital Corp. 57.5 NA Annual bank and specialty finance M&A transaction volume by deal value2 759 800 714 723 719 664 684 679 700 619 607 600 551 500 357 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD 2018 Undisclosed <$100M $100-$250M $250-$500M $500-$1B >$1B www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 5 Quarterly update | Q2 2018 | Financial Services Appendix Public comparables analysis1 YTD Quarterly Price Price / Return on Net interest Return on Efficiency TE / NPA / Company (Ticker) change Book assets margin equity ratio TA TA Banks (Assets <$1B) (500)* Median 6.0 % 104.8 % 0.80 % 3.6 % 7.7 % 72.2 % 9.6 % 1.1 % Mean 8.9 % 108.1 % 0.85 % 3.7 % 7.4 % 75.0 % 10.1 % 1.4 % Banks (Assets $1B-$10B) (264)* Median 8.7 % 162.5 % 0.95 % 3.6 % 9.3 % 60.8 % 8.9 % 0.7 % Mean 9.5 % 164.6 % 0.92 % 3.6 % 9.0 % 62.0 % 9.2 % 1.0 % Banks (Assets $10B-$50B) (51) Associated Banc-Corp 10.4 % 128.2 % 0.76 % 2.8 % 7.1 % 62.6 % 7.5 % 1.3 % Banc of California, Inc. (5.1) 121.7 1.15 3.1 13.4 68.9 8.4 0.2 BancorpSouth, Inc. 7.3 168.8 1.03 3.5 8.7 67.9 9.7 0.7 Bank of Hawaii Corporation (0.5) 325.6 1.07 2.8 15.0 57.7 6.9 0.4 Bank of the Ozarks, Inc. (4.5) 220.1 1.93 4.8 12.6 33.6 NA 0.3 BankUnited, Inc. 2.0 162.3 0.92 3.7 10.5 59.6 8.4 0.5 BOK Financial Corporation 4.2 165.7 0.61 2.7 6.0 75.3 8.7 0.8 Cathay General Bancorp (2.7) 165.6 1.37 3.4 10.6 45.7 10.3 1.0 Central Bancompany, Inc. NA 106.7 1.04 3.4 7.7 59.5 11.4 0.8 Chemical Financial Corporation 5.3 148.1 1.12 3.6 7.4 52.9 8.7 0.7 Commerce Bancshares, Inc.
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