<<

MEETING THE MOMENT: SHAPING THE FUTURE

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT

1030 15th Street, NW 12th floor Washington, DC 20005 (202) 778-4952

ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

@AtlanticCouncil .com/AtlanticCouncil/ @atlanticcouncil

231180_cover.indd 1-3 4/22/19 9:02 AM THROUGH THE COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE PAPERS WE WRITE, CREDITS & ATTRIBUTIONS

Editorial Directors: Susan Cavan, Becca THE IDEAS WE Hunziker Lead Editor: Maureen McGrath Image Editing: Nancy Messieh Concept and Design: Orange Element, LLC Printing: HBP, Inc

Image Credits GENERATE, AND All images not credited are property of the Atlantic Council. The Atlantic Council is a nonpartisan organization that promotes constructive leadership and engagement in international affairs based on the central role of the THE COMMUNITIES Atlantic community in meeting today’s global challenges. © 2019 The Atlantic Council of the . All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without WE BUILD, THE permission in writing from the Atlantic Council, except in the case of brief quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please direct inquiries to: Atlantic Council 1030 15th Street, NW, 12th Floor, COUNCIL SHAPES Washington, DC 20005 (800) 380-6004, www.AtlanticCouncil.org POLICY CHOICES

TOP: Damon Wilson at the Atlantic Council’s 360/OS event in June 2018, Berlin, Germany.

CENTER: Atlantic Council staff photo at the Global Citizen AND STRATEGIES Awards in , New York, September, 2018.

BOTTOM: Carl Bildt, , and at TO CREATE the Atlantic Council’s 2018 Freedom Awards in Berlin, Germany. A MORE SECURE AND PROSPEROUS 2018 / 2019 WORLD. ANNUAL REPORT 2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT

231180_cover.indd 4-6 4/23/19 2:54 PM THEMATIC GLOBAL DEFINING PROGRAMS CONVENINGS CHALLENGES

6 72 22 Scowcroft Center Distinguished Defending Open for Strategy and Security Leadership Awards Market

10 74 36 Global Energy Center Global Citizen Awards Advocating for Adapted Global Leadership 14 76 Millennium Leadership Program Global Energy Forum 48 Harnessing 18 78 Technological Change Global Business & NATO Engages Economics Program 58 Navigating Major Power Conflict 24 Adrienne Arsht Center COMMUNITIES 68 for Resilience OF INFLUENCE Revitalizing the Global System

28 82 Board of Directors Digital Forensic Research Lab

32 83 International Advisory Board Atlantic Council IN TURKEY 84 Honor Roll of Contributors REGIONAL CENTERS 86 Financial Summary 40 Middle East Programs

44 Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center

50 Center

54 Future Europe Initiative

60 South Asia Center

64 Africa Center

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 1

231180_text.indd 1 4/22/19 9:08 PM LETTER FROM THE CHAIRMAN AND THE PRESIDENT & CEO

LETTER FROM THE CHAIRMAN AND THE PRESIDENT & CEO

For nearly sixty years, the Atlantic results-oriented approach we conflict; doubts have Council has pursued the mission bring to our work. In the pages emerged regarding ’s bestowed on us by our founders: that follow, we have laid out future even as autocracies have to galvanize constructive US the purpose of each of these grown stronger; the global system leadership, alongside our global operations—while at the same of rules and institutions that Atlantic Council founders helped friends and allies, to shape time including essays on what we establish after World War II is in the future. consider five over-arching and question; and it remains uncertain defining challenges of our times. This mandate underpins all efforts what global leadership role the across our twelve programs and We confront the return of major United States will play after presiding over a seventy-year centers, driving the purposeful, power confrontation and potentially period of extraordinary progress and prosperity. South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un shake hands at the truce village of Panmunjom inside the demilitarized zone separating the two Koreas, South Korea, April 27, 2018. Korea Summit Press Pool/Pool via . Beyond that, we have entered an era of unprecedented technological change—the Fourth Industrial Revolution—that will influence all other challenges and touch all aspects of human existence, societal development, and international affairs.

The United States and allies around the world have seldom operated in such a dynamic time of political, economic, and societal change and uncertainty.

At the Atlantic Council, we view these defining challenges not as reason for despair.

We view them as a call to action.

We believe these issues will define the future of the international system and have developed strategies that harness the breadth and depth of Atlantic Council expertise—through our work with partners across the globe—to build achievable

2 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 2 4/23/19 2:59 PM INTRODUCTION

solutions to address them.

The statesman Dean Acheson, among the Atlantic Council’s founders, wrote the famous book about the post-war period, “Present at the Creation.”

Unless we can muster the creativity and political will to be there “at the reinvention,” we risk becoming witnesses to the erosion of this order.

Never in recent memory has our work or our mission been as important or as urgent.

The Atlantic Council is seizing this as a rallying moment for our community, recognizing that we live at a historic inflection point as defining as the end of World War I or II, when the decisions taken by that era’s leaders had generational consequences.

To quote the late Senator John U.S. Republican presidential nominee Senator John McCain (R-AZ) listens as he is introduced at a campaign rally in McCain, whom we honored Fayetteville, North Carolina October 28, 2008. REUTERS/Brian Snyder. posthumously last year with the Atlantic Council’s Global Citizen on-the-ground solutions and Council remains anchored in our Award, “Glory belongs to the act strategies to create a more free, enduring mission even as we of being constant to something secure and prosperous world. focus on shaping the future. In greater than yourself, to a cause, the face of great challenges, this to your principles, to the people We are indebted to those in annual report underscores how on whom you rely and who rely on our community who provide us our community is buoyed by the you in return.” wisdom and support. You will conviction that we have the talent, find our generous partners listed imagination, and expertise to Our twelve programs and centers on our honor roll of contributors contribute to a better world. are driven by the conviction that on pages 84 and 85. Above all, if we work together constructively, we thank the Atlantic Council Onward and upward, we can shape and secure a Board of Directors, International peaceful and prosperous future. Advisory Board, individual and corporate members, partners, and Through the ideas we generate, staff. the papers we write, the future leaders we develop, and the At a time when so much of what John F.W. Rogers Frederick Kempe communities we build, the Atlantic once seemed foundational is Chairman President & CEO Council shapes policy choices, thrown into question, the Atlantic Atlantic Council Atlantic Council

SENATOR JOHN MCCAIN “GLORY BELONGS TO THE ACT OF BEING CONSTANT TO SOMETHING GREATER THAN YOURSELF, TO A CAUSE, TO YOUR PRINCIPLES, TO THE PEOPLE ON WHOM YOU RELY AND WHO RELY ON YOU IN RETURN.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 3

231180_text.indd 3 4/24/19 9:33 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

4 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 4 4/22/19 8:23 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

6 Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

10 Global Energy Center

14 Millennium Leadership Program

18 Global Business & Economics Program

24 Adrienne Arsht Center for Resilience

28 Digital Forensic Research Lab

32 Atlantic Council IN TURKEY

PHOTO: Rohingya refugees on a fishing boat in the Bay of Bengal. REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 5

231180_text.indd 5 4/22/19 8:23 AM SCOWCROFT CENTER FOR STRATEGY AND SECURITY

SCOWCROFT CENTER FOR STRATEGY AND SECURITY The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security (SCSS) works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.

The center honors General Brent strategy work. Its effort to The Global Innovation Scowcroft’s legacy of service and revitalize, adapt, and defend the Sweepstakes: A Quest to Win the embodies his ethos of nonpartisan rules-based international order Future, focused on how emerging commitment to the cause of was written up in the Economist technologies will remake the security, support for US leadership and will be featured in the Atlantic global order and strategies for how in cooperation with allies and Council Strategy Paper series. the United States can retain its partners, and dedication to the The center’s Strategy Consortium innovative edge. mentorship of the next generation continued to receive requests Turning to Europe, transatlantic of leaders. The Scowcroft Center for advice and engagement security work remains the beating currently houses five major from senior government officials heart of the Atlantic Council. The practice areas: the Foresight, responsible for strategy, while Scowcroft Center planned and Strategy, and Risks Initiative; the Scowcroft Center personnel executed “NATO Engages” on the Transatlantic Security Initiative; contributed directly to a number sidelines of the NATO Summit. The the Asia Security Initiative; the of US national strategy efforts center also hosted US National Middle East Security Initiative; and behind the scenes. Security Advisor H.R. McMaster the Cyber Statecraft Initiative. It and the Baltic Presidents for a also houses the growing Emergent Good strategy requires strategic major event and speech that Futures Lab. foresight, and in support of that objective, the Scowcroft Center made worldwide news. In 2018 and 2019, the Scowcroft developed two forward-looking The Asia program established Center further solidified its role publications. It will soon publish itself at the forefront of analysis as one of the most impactful an updated report on Global of and strategy toward Korea. nonpartisan centers working on Risks 2035 as part of the Atlantic The Scowcroft Center made it national security and distinguished Council Strategy Papers series. a priority to connect the Blue itself as a go-to forum for serious Another landmark publication, House and on issues surrounding the nuclear crisis, including direct engagement with senior officials in both countries. 2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG The Middle East team continued “THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL IS A SPECIAL PLACE, AND THE to thrive, conducting high- ATLANTIC COUNCIL DOES SPECIAL WORK THAT IS INCREASINGLY level delegation trips to the Middle IMPORTANT TO ALL OF OUR SECURITY.” East and launching the new IranSource blog. LTG H.R. McMaster, USA (Ret.) in his valedictory speech at the Atlantic Council, hosted by the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s Transatlantic Security The Scowcroft Center’s cyber Initiative on April 3, 2018. team expanded its work to make cyberspace more stable

6 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 6 4/22/19 8:23 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

PETER HO, FORMER HEAD, SINGAPORE CIVIL SERVICE “TOO FEW ORGANIZATIONS ARE PREPARED TO SET ASIDE THE RESOURCES TO FOCUS ON FORESIGHT. THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL STANDS APART, BECAUSE IT HAS A WELL-RUN AND WELL-DEVELOPED FUTURES THINKING PROGRAM UNDER THE SCOWCROFT CENTER.”

and secure, hosting its first-ever support renewed, constructive, to bring together senior officials Cyber 9/12 Strategy Challenge and resourceful US leadership. and experts from Europe and in , its annual high-level Its competencies in long- North America to share insights, dinner on the sidelines of the range assessments, strategy strengthen cooperation, and Munich Security Conference, development, and global trends develop innovative approaches and featuring US Secretary of will prove especially useful to the key challenges facing Homeland Security Kirstjen during a time when world NATO and the transatlantic Nielsen in a dinner leading up to dynamics are increasingly community. Through high-profile the 2019 International Conference complex and unpredictable. public convenings, off-the-record on Cyber Engagement. THE TRANSATLANTIC SECURITY US President takes part in a welcoming ceremony The Emergent Futures Lab— with ’s President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China, November 9, INITIATIVE (TSI) will continue 2017. REUTERS/Thomas Peter. the Scowcroft Center’s policy skunkworks—ran high-level war-games on Baltic and Middle East crisis contingencies and supported a number of US and allied militaries in understanding emerging threats, the future operating environment, and developing an effective future force.

In 2019, the Scowcroft Center will respond to the new era of great power competition by leveraging foresight and strategy to strengthen alliances, accelerate US innovation and technology, and greatly bolster our defense posture.

The center hopes to continue its work as a leading center on US defense strategy and policy in its renewed great power competition with and China.

PROGRAMMATIC LINES OF EFFORT Against a fundamentally changed global landscape, THE FORESIGHT, STRATEGY, AND RISKS INITIATIVE (FSR) will continue to advance the Atlantic Council’s mission to

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 7

231180_text.indd 7 4/22/19 8:23 AM SCOWCROFT CENTER FOR STRATEGY AND SECURITY

LEFT: Former US National Security Advisor LTG H.R. McMaster Community that can adapt, speaks at an Atlantic Council dinner to honor the three Baltic business, and civil society states and the 100th anniversary of their first independence. revitalize, and defend the rules- communities to design (ImageLinkPhoto.com). based international order in Asia. innovative strategies to tackle RIGHT: US Secretary of Homeland Security Kirstjen Nielsen This effort is grounded in a dual present and future challenges (right) takes a question from the audience during her fireside chat with Scholar Dr. Catherine Lotrionte (left) during approach of providing fresh in the region. See page 41 for the November dinner for the International Conference on Cyber more information. Engagement. (Dennis Kan). perspectives on traditional issues (regional security and political- The focus of the CYBER economic architecture) while strategy sessions, war-gaming, STATECRAFT INITIATIVE (CSI) assessing a new agenda of non- digital engagement, and content- will be to examine the nexus of traditional topics (cybersecurity, rich publications, the initiative geopolitics and national security artificial intelligence, and the directly advances the Council’s in cyberspace, forge sustainable core mission of informing the Internet of Things) to develop new international collaboration on transatlantic security debate. strategies and policies. cybersecurity and safety, and build the next generation of THE MIDDLE EAST SECURITY THE ASIA SECURITY INITIATIVE cybersecurity professionals. (ASI) is developing purposeful INITIATIVE (MSI) will bring programming designed to together thought leaders create an Atlantic-Pacific and experts from the policy,

US SECRETARY OF HOMELAND SECURITY KIRSTJEN NIELSEN “I WANT TO THANK THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CYBER ENGAGEMENT … IT PLAYS AN EXTRAORDINARILY IMPORTANT ROLE IN RALLYING KEY STAKEHOLDERS.”

8 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 8 4/23/19 3:09 PM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

BRENT SCOWCROFT

One of our nation’s most adept strategic thinkers, Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft’s career in public service is hallmarked by his unique ability to offer balanced, nonpartisan analysis that could transcend the politics of Washington and inform top leaders from both sides of the aisle. A soldier- scholar turned statesman, he remains the only man to have ever served two presidents as national security advisor.

Over the course of Scowcroft’s BRENT SCOWCROFT career in public service, he developed a reputation as a “I’M SO PROUD OF THE WORK THE source of balanced, bipartisan analysis that made him a sought- SCOWCROFT CENTER FOR STRATEGY after voice on national security AND SECURITY ACCOMPLISHES EACH for commanders-in-chief of both parties. DAY. THE COUNCIL CONVINCED ME TO

“He would not try to run over the LEND MY NAME TO THIS EFFORT, AND I’M head of cabinet members, or cut them off from contact with the GLAD I DID SO AS WE ARE ADVANCING president, yet I also knew he would OUR FOUNDING MISSION AT ANOTHER give me his own experienced views on whatever problem might HISTORIC TURNING POINT.” arise,” President George H. W. Bush recalled of Scowcroft.

In the early days of the Cold specific. It was the values ABOVE: LT. GEN BRENT SCOWCROFT, USAF (RET.) War, Scowcroft was a leading that won.” advocate for strong transatlantic Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, Chairman Emeritus of the Atlantic The Atlantic Council in 2012 Council board of directors and international advisory board, cooperation as a means to looks on during the annual Atlantic Council board dinner. honored Scowcroft’s legacy preserve peace and security. by relaunching its flagship When the abruptly of our international rules-based international security program ended in 1989, he made it his life’s system, joined forces across as the Brent Scowcroft Center work to preserve and advance party lines and among disparate that same system of international on International Security, organizations to form the Atlantic cooperation, democracy, and recently re-envisioned as the Council,” said Scowcroft. “They human dignity that unites the Scowcroft Center for Strategy did so out of a need for sustained Atlantic community. and Security. The center is guided US engagement in the world and by Scowcroft’s vision of blending to develop an ambitious agenda “The events were great. The analysis of today’s challenges with for the Atlantic community. They hazards were deep,” said long-term strategic thinking about succeeded. The Council convinced Scowcroft. “But we navigated the how the United States’ role in the me to lend my own name to the complexities to advance freedom world interacts with historical effort by showing me how it and security, at a time when many forces, technological change, would help carry forward that others deemed it impossible. geography, and culture. same mission at this similarly When looking back at the events crucial moment in history. I’m so of 1989—what we commemorate “In 1961, the Council’s founders— proud of the work it accomplishes is an attitude more than anything those ‘present at the creation’ each day.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 9

231180_text.indd 9 4/22/19 8:23 AM GLOBAL ENERGY CENTER

GLOBAL ENERGY CENTER The Global Energy Center promotes energy security by working alongside government, industry, civil society, and public stakeholders to devise pragmatic solutions to the geopolitical, sustainability, and economic challenges of the changing global energy system.

In its fourth year, the Global energy transition; new models for Energy Center (GEC) has become climate action; and energy markets a go-to policy organization for and governance. governments, industry, and civil society to understand and navigate In January, the center held the the energy transition, with the third-annual Atlantic Council ultimate goal of helping to shape a Global Energy Forum in Abu world with secure and sustainable Dhabi. The forum, held under the energy. The center focuses on patronage of His Highness Sheikh H.E. Khalid Al-Falih, minister of energy, industry, and mineral resources for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, discusses Saudi Vision four core, overlapping themes: Mohammed Bin Zayed Al Nahyan, 2030 and the oil market with Frederick Kempe, president and geopolitics and energy security; crown prince of Abu Dhabi and CEO of the Atlantic Council, at the third annual Atlantic Council Global Energy Forum in Abu Dhabi, January 13, 2019. understanding and managing the deputy supreme commander

10 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 10 4/22/19 9:11 PM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

of the Armed Forces, was convened in partnership with the Ministry of Energy of the United Arab Emirates, ADNOC, and Mubadala, and was part of Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week. This year’s forum was a tremendous success and a major milestone, setting the energy agenda for the year and charting a course for a more secure, sustainable energy future. Building on the momentum of the previous two forums, the 2019 program focused on the future of oil, the digitalization of energy, diversification within energy companies and countries, and had a regional emphasis on East and Southeast Asia.

Over five hundred delegates, including Khalid Al-Falih, minister of energy, industry, and mineral resources for the Kingdom of diplomats, civil society leaders, An Atlantic Council Global Energy Center delegation, including Saudi Arabia; Claudio Descalzi, General James Jones (Ret), Lee Gunn (Ret), Amb. and members of the media Richard Morningstar (Ret), former mayor of Cleveland Jane chief executive officer of Eni; attended the forum, representing Campbell, and former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Energy Joe Bryan, tour Talan Products, a local manufacturing Lisa Davis, chief executive over thirty countries. business in Cleveland, Ohio, with Talan Products CEO Steve officer, Energy and member of Peplin and his team, to better understand the city’s clean energy economy and innovation ecosystem. the Managing Board at Siemens The center launched its CLIMATE AG; Yongsoo Huh, president AND ADVANCED ENERGY testifying in front of the House and chief executive officer of PROGRAM, led by new Deputy Committee on Natural Resources GS Energy; and Brian Hook, US Director for Climate and Advanced special representative for Energy David Livingston. The and taking the center ‘outside the and senior policy advisor to program has set the tone for the beltway’ through a series of events the secretary of state at the US Global Energy Center’s critical on the importance of climate Department of State; nearly sixty work in the climate action and leadership in Cleveland, Ohio, C-Suite executives; and dozens of renewables space, with David with Atlantic Council Executive

2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

“THIS FORUM … PROVIDES A VERY IMPORTANT PLATFORM FOR INDUSTRY, POLICY, AND ACADEMIC LEADERS TO ENGAGE ON KEY ENERGY ISSUES IN A VERY COMPLEX WORLD. THIS PLATFORM ALSO HELPS SHAPE THE GLOBAL ENERGY AGENDA FOR THE YEAR AHEAD.”

Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, Group CEO of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, during his opening remarks at the 2019 Atlantic Council Global Energy Forum in Abu Dhabi, January 13, 2019.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 11

231180_text.indd 11 4/22/19 9:11 PM GLOBAL ENERGY CENTER

COP24 President Michal Kurtyka reacts during a final session of the COP24 U.N. Climate Change Conference 2018 in Katowice, , December 15, 2018. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel.

2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

“THERE IS BROAD AGREEMENT THAT CARBON-FREE ENERGY HERE AT HOME IS GOOD FOR OUR ECONOMY, THE CLIMATE, AND NATIONAL SECURITY. IN THE SENATE, DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS ARE WORKING TOGETHER TO ADVANCE NUCLEAR ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES THAT I DREAM CAN ONE DAY PROVIDE A CLEAN ENERGY SOLUTION TO OUR NUCLEAR WASTE STOCKPILES. I’M PROUD TO JOIN SENATOR CRAPO IN THIS IMPORTANT NEW INITIATIVE, [THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL GLOBAL ENERGY CENTER’S TASK FORCE ON US NUCLEAR ENERGY LEADERSHIP.]”

Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) on the launch of the Atlantic Council Global Energy Center’s Task Force on US Nuclear Energy Leadership, press release, May 16, 2018.

12 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 12 4/22/19 9:11 PM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

Chairman Emeritus General James which was launched at the first Dan Brouillette at the center’s L. Jones, Jr. USMC (Ret.). annual Oil Theft Conference in Energy Advisory Group dinner. In Geneva, . The center’s advance of the implementation of The center built out an extensive presence at the conference sanctions against Iran, the center body of work on the role of made it clear that the GEC is hosted Assistant Secretary of nuclear energy in the energy producing the most in-depth State for Energy Resources Frank transition and its importance research on the subject. Fannon to discuss strategies for to the United States. In April, it replacing lost Iranian barrels. The launched the Task Force on US In partnership with RBC, the center also hosted NSC Director Nuclear Energy Leadership co- center organized a semi-annual for Energy Landon Derentz for chaired by Senators Mike Crapo Oil Investors Roundtable aimed a strategy session as he joined (R-ID) and Sheldon Whitehouse at bringing together key players the administration. (D-RI). The Task Force explored from the oil industry to discuss the nuclear energy as a key pillar dynamism that characterized the In 2019, the center will maintain within the energy security, foreign oil market in 2018. its growth trajectory, doubling policy, and economic priorities of down on its work on European the United States, and identified In September, the center held energy security and expanding challenges and solutions to a half-day conference: New research on oil markets, while also continued US nuclear power Energy Opportunities in Africa increasing its clean energy focus leadership, culminating in a report on the sidelines of the UN General to encompass new technologies to be released in early 2019. The Assembly in partnership with the like advanced nuclear and center also led a congressional Africa Center. The conference carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS). staff delegation to the United featured experts discussing the Arab Emirates in partnership with transformative potential of new oil, ClearPath Foundation to learn gas, and renewables opportunities more about the UAE’s burgeoning for Africa’s energy and nuclear energy program. economic development.

The center strengthened its The center continued its close traditional areas of expertise in work with the US Administration, European Energy Security. In identifying and seizing new June, it held its annual Central and opportunities to support and engage key stakeholders. It hosted The Atlantic Council Global Energy Center and ClearPath, Inc., Eastern Europe (CEE) Conference, along with the US Congressional Staffers Delegation they led to Towards 21st Century Energy Deputy Secretary of Energy the United Arab Emirates, at the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant. Systems in Central & Eastern Europe. The conference brought together government officials, business leaders, and experts to discuss the Trump Administration’s energy agenda and its impact on the transatlantic relationship and particularly energy security in Central and Eastern Europe.

Throughout the year, the center continued its work on the geopolitics of possible shifts in oil demand resulting from the electrification of the transportation sector through the project, Shifting Gears: Transportation Innovation and the Geopolitics of Peak Oil Demand.

The center continued its authoritative project on illicit downstream oil theft with a report on oil theft in the maritime sector

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 13

231180_text.indd 13 4/22/19 8:23 AM MILLENNIUM LEADERSHIP PROGRAM

MILLENNIUM LEADERSHIP PROGRAM The Millennium Leadership Program identifies, engagement. The team expanded available programming, partnered connects, and empowers rising leaders (ages with other Council centers for a twenty-five to thirty-five) from around the world world-class event, and provided a once-in-a-lifetime experience for and across all sectors to advance the Council’s its Millennium Fellows. mission of securing the future together. The team created and delivered a world-class study tour for its Millennium Fellowship, the most ambitious and high-value to date 2018 was a year of growth for the program. Over the course for the Millennium Leadership of eight days, Millennium Fellows Program (MLP), highlighting the traveled more than 2,500 miles importance of its mission and the from the Syrian-Turkish border to 2018 Fellow Alvin Salehi takes the stage at the NATO Engages Council’s dedication to leadership event in Brussels to speak on the blessing and curses Athens, Greece, tracing the path of of technology. development and next-generation a Syrian refugee. Throughout their journey, they met with refugees and migrants in camps; boarded a Turkish Coast Guard ship for an expeditionary trip; and met with high-level experts and officials, including the Greek Minister for Migration. Fellows gained a unique understanding of the migration crisis through this first-hand experience, which allowed them to gain in-depth insights from experts and in turn, to consider what they can do in their own communities to assist those in need.

MLP delivered, in partnership with other Council centers, a world-class annual conference— NATO Engages: The Brussels Summit Dialogue. The most impressive and high-impact event around the NATO Summit ever, this event generated over 156 million impressions on Twitter. Additionally, nearly fifty Millennium Fellows were in attendance, making up nearly half of all next-generation delegates at the event. They raised thoughtful

14 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 14 4/22/19 8:23 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

2018 Fellow Rebecca Jones, Head of Strategy Implementation, Defence & Space at Airbus, analyzes the future of European defense at the NATO Engages event in Brussels.

PETE SEAT, 2018 MILLENNIUM FELLOW AND EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OF STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS & TALENT STRATEGY, INDIANA REPUBLICAN PARTY “THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL MILLENNIUM FELLOWSHIP, WHICH IS ENRICHING OUR LIVES, BROADENING OUR PERSPECTIVES, AND INCREASING OUR POTENTIAL TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE, IS NOTHING SHORT OF LIFE- CHANGING; THIS FELLOWSHIP IS UNPARALLELED IN THE FOREIGN AFFAIRS SPACE.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 15

231180_text.indd 15 4/22/19 8:23 AM MILLENNIUM LEADERSHIP PROGRAM

Migrants wash their clothes and fill bottles with water at a makeshift camp next to the Moria camp for refugees and migrants on the island of Lesbos, Greece. Picture taken September 18, 2018. REUTERS/Giorgos Moutafis.

16 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 16 4/22/19 8:23 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

and hard-hitting questions of information they had accumulated 2018 Millennium Fellows explore the Acropolis in Athens, Greece, learning about the birth of world leaders and experts, and a with actionable items to bring democracy and the lasting impact of Ancient handful of Fellows spoke on stage back to their teams. Greece on modern statehood. alongside CEOs and executives, proving yet again the high level of Looking ahead, the Millennium Leadership Program will continue talent that MLP attracts. actively to develop a best-in-class its growth trajectory. The executive thought leadership product to MLP secured and delivered its education course will run in complement its already unrivalled June 2019, again with IE, though first official executive education programmatic experience. In talks are underway with several program, in conjunction with 2019, MLP will aim to build a new universities around the world to The Center for the Governance Advisory Council comprised of top offer similar programming. The of Change (CGC) at IE University thought leaders on this subject, program doubled its application in Madrid. Over the course of drawing from the executive numbers for the Millennium four days, the program planned search industry, academia, and Fellowship: with nearly 1,200 site visits, expert panels, and practitioners in top institutions applications, 2019 was the most meetings with upper-level around the world. This council will competitive selection process management from Santander inform and help guide a research yet. MLP will also continue to Bank to explore emerging trends product that will begin to capture work with other Council centers in technology, cybersecurity risks key insights about the future to building thoughtful and cross- around banking, and the use of of leadership. cutting programming. sanctions as a geopolitical tool. Attendees also participated The program also plans to in a Design Thinking exercise, develop a substantive “center of led by MLP Director Daniel excellence” around the study of Bennett, connecting the abstract the future of leadership, working

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 17

231180_text.indd 17 4/22/19 9:16 PM GLOBAL BUSINESS & ECONOMICS PROGRAM

GLOBAL BUSINESS & ECONOMICS PROGRAM The Atlantic Council’s Global Business & Economics Program (GBE) promotes transatlantic leadership as defenders of open market democracies in a new era of great-power competition and works to find multilateral solutions to today’s most pressing global economic opportunities and risks.

Key challenges the program will address in 2019 include fostering broad-based economic growth, advancing understanding of the impact of economic sanctions, and defining the future shape of the rule-based trade order.

2018 was a year of growth, consolidation, and re-definition in terms of GBE’s media presence, content, and impact.

More than tripled media presence on international economics: Across internal and external publications, broadcast interviews, and media backgrounders, the program grew its media presence by more than 350 percent compared to 2017. In addition to quantitative growth, GBE staff and senior fellows are increasingly featured in top tier global outlets including , , the Guardian, the , and . The re-launched Trade in Action newsletter and EconoGraphics series continue to support the program’s media presence.

Leading voice on economic

From left to right, Laura Lane, The Hon. Siv Jensen, The Hon. Dana Reizniece-Ozola, and Yannick sanctions: THE ECONOMIC Glenmarec, all pose for a photo after the Atlantic Council’s Global Business & Economics Program SANCTIONS INITIATIVE (ESI) hosted the inaugural event of its Inclusive Growth Initiative titled “Financial Inclusion: A Powerful Tool for Powerful Women.” is now firmly established as the

18 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 18 4/22/19 8:23 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

A Guinness truck passes a sign for Customs and Excise on a road near the border with Ireland near Kileen, Northern Ireland, October 17, 2018. REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne.

AMBASSADOR DAVID O’SULLIVAN, FORMER OF THE TO THE UNITED STATES AND THE HEAD OF THE DELEGATION OF THE EUROPEAN UNION TO THE UNITED STATES “I AM, AS EVER, VERY GRATEFUL TO THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL FOR THEIR CONTINUED INTEREST IN AND FOR CONTINUING TO PUT EUROPEAN ISSUES ON THE AGENDA IN WASHINGTON.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 19

231180_text.indd 19 4/22/19 8:23 AM GLOBAL BUSINESS & ECONOMICS PROGRAM

Ambassador Daniel Fried and David Mortlock discuss the impact of the United States withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal at a private roundtable as part of the Atlantic Council’s Economic Sanctions Initiative.

AMBASSADOR DANIEL FRIED, DISTINGUISHED FELLOW, ATLANTIC COUNCIL “THE ECONOMIC SANCTIONS INITIATIVE SERVES AS A BRIDGE BETWEEN THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION, CONGRESS, AND OUR EUROPEAN ALLIES, AS WE ARE TRUSTED BY ALL PARTIES. MUCH OF OUR WORK IS DIRECTED TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR, OF COURSE, ALSO IN NEED OF CREDIBLE GUIDANCE AND ANALYSIS ON SANCTIONS, WHICH WE PROVIDE.”

20 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 20 4/22/19 8:23 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

FORMER US TREASURY SECRETARY JACOB J. LEW “I WOULD LIKE TO THANK THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL FOR BRINGING TOGETHER THIS DEEP POOL OF INTELLECTUAL TALENT ON THE TOPIC OF ECONOMIC SANCTIONS. THANK YOU FOR THE GREAT WORK YOU DO.”

Washington forum of choice GBE’s core strategy for 2019 builds to rein in illicit flows is critical to on economic sanctions. GBE on its successful sanctions work, preserving citizens’ trust in open hosted Sigal Mandelker, Treasury presence in the policy discussion market democracies. Under Secretary for Terrorism on trade, and new focus on broad- and Financial Intelligence, for her based growth. first public speech and continued an impactful publication series Globalization, technological and accompanying roundtables advancement, and migration that provide commentary and contribute to uneven growth and actionable policy options. Under income inequality, but they also Ambassador Daniel Fried’s form the engine of global growth. leadership, the ESI’s deep bench These trends are in turn drivers of sanctions experts has direct of increasing nationalism, trade impact on sanctions policy protectionism, and uncoordinated through regular exchanges with use of sanctions that threaten to the US administration, Congress, undermine transatlantic trade European governments, and the relations and global rule-based private sector. trade. Against the backdrop of profound disruptions to the Convening power and thought global system, GBE is sharpening leadership on European economic its focus. governance: GBE consolidated the EUROGROWTH INITIATIVE’S GBE’s new INCLUSIVE GROWTH (EGI) leading position by hosting INITIATIVE will address these Mario Centeno for his first speech challenges by pushing policy in the United States as President of best practices in advanced and the Eurogroup. With the support developing markets around of the EGI Taskforce, the program topics like the demographic and is conducting a programmatic economic promise of migration pivot to redefining transatlantic patterns, economic participation trade and constructively guiding of women and girls, and guiding the budding transatlantic workforce transitions. Sustainable trade dialogue. and broad-based economic growth, which is anchored by Introduction of new strand of targeted investment to harness work: During this year’s IMF/WB the promise of the fourth Spring Meetings, GBE planted the industrial revolution, is critical to seeds of its new body of work the functioning of open market on inclusive growth by hosting democracies. The EuroGrowth a panel on financial inclusion of Initiative will focus on shaping women and girls featuring the and supporting the transatlantic female finance ministers of Latvia trade dialogue and revitalizing and Norway as well as a high-level global trade institutions. GBE will representative from the United build on the Economic Sanctions Nations. The program is actively Initiative’s momentum to develop recruiting supporters to fully adjacent areas, including illicit launch this initiative in 2019. financial flows. Informing policies

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 21

231180_text.indd 21 4/22/19 8:23 AM DEFENDING OPEN MARKET DEMOCRACIES

DEFENDING OPEN MARKET DEMOCRACIES

THE CHALLENGE and unfair trading practices have increasingly meddling in Western deprived the West of the full democracies and their growing At the end of the Cold War benefits of free and fair trade. In influence is providing a model analysts proclaimed an “end fact, in view of China’s meteoric that others are emulating. of history” as capitalism and rise, an increasing number of democracy demonstrated states (even in the West) now Developments just over the themselves to be the superior believe state-led capitalism horizon could exacerbate these systems for organizing domestic may be the better option for trends. The disruption of labor markets and politics, respectively. ensuring economic growth and markets worldwide—fueled Open market democracies proved effective governance. by the emergence of robotics, to be better than any other system artificial intelligence (AI), at delivering prosperity and Democracy is also under siege. and automation—will further individual liberty. But in recent According to Freedom House, boost economic uncertainty, years, a series of developments the number of democracies in the which in turn will lower trust in have called into question the world has declined in each of the democratic governance so long as value and future durability of open past eight years. In recent years, governments have no near-time market democracies. votes for populists have soared in solutions for job displacement most major Western democracies. and growing inequality. Equally, The 2008 economic crisis The rise of populist, nationalist, the waves of immigration that generated skepticism about and extremist Far Right and have been instrumental in the ability of open markets to Far Left parties and groups boosting populism and extremism provide stability and prosperity. uncannily recalls the 1920s and are unlikely to abate. An uneven recovery has led to 1930s, when many were attracted increasing levels of inequality to totalitarianism and fascism In sum, the West has lost its way. and dissatisfaction with open in the wake of the post-World The future looks bleak for the markets and globalization in War I political revolutions and model of open markets and politics many countries. Furthermore, accompanying economic crisis. that has proven so effective China’s gaming of the system Moreover, China and Russia are throughout history.

22 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 22 4/22/19 8:23 AM DEFINING CHALLENGES

THE SOLUTION the Atlantic Council was founded on tech hubs, FSR has called on in 1961 to promote policies and Global confidence in the merits of the tech community to correct institutions that build collective open market democracies needs the sector’s low representation security and peace. In the fifty-five to be restored, and a compelling of women and people of color, years since, the Atlantic Council case must be made that no other sponsoring a Science and Policy has steadfastly advocated for system is better able to deliver fellowship for an African American strong transatlantic ties between individual freedom and prosperity. scholar interested in having a democracies to strengthen the policy role in the shaping of US This work begins by defending international system. technological development. democracy and working with allies The Atlantic Council’s Digital to remind them of shared values Forensic Research Lab 360/ The Atlantic Council plans to and the dangers of creeping OS works to help Facebook expand its work on the global authoritarianism. Leaders and other platforms detect and economy and develop a strategy must protect against election counteract unwanted intrusions to for updating and reforming interference, disinformation, Western democracies. The Eurasia the global trading system. “sharp power,” and other attempts Center’s work on “disinformation” Inclusive economic growth is by autocratic great powers counters false Russian narratives important in bolstering support to meddle in and undermine meant to undermine faith in for democracy. The Global confidence in democratic systems. democratic systems. The Digital Business & Economic Program Forensic Research Lab, Eurasia There must also be an effort to and Future Europe Initiative Center, and Scowcroft Center’s revitalize the global economic have spearheaded the Council’s Foresight, Strategy, and Risks system. Together with friends Initiative (FSR) have mapped out efforts to help Europeans improve and allies, the United States the ways in which new AI tools their growth potential, fight should adapt the global trading could undermine the integrity populism, and prevent another system to push back against of the democratic process. The economic crisis. the unfair trading practices of Eurasia Center also has been at China and others with the goal the forefront of advocating for Given the stream of disruptive of expanding free and fair trade coordinated US and EU sanctions technologies unfolding at warp- globally. America must also get to dissuade hacking of democratic like speed and yet-to-be-known its house in order at home and elections by Russia, China, Iran, challenges associated with put in place policies that promise and others. climate change, building societal equitable growth. resilience should be a major The Council has highlighted the focus in ensuring stability. The multiple ways in which heightened OUR WORK Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht US partisanship undermines Defending the Open Market US democracy, and has called Center for Resilience is unique Democratic Order is not new on leaders on both sides of the in the landscape and for the Atlantic Council. With its aisle to introduce reforms to its mission is helping societies informal roots in the signing of ensure the survival of an inclusive achieve more resilience against the North Atlantic Treaty in 1949, democracy. In recent reports increasing threats.

“GLOBAL CONFIDENCE IN THE MERITS OF OPEN MARKET DEMOCRACIES NEEDS TO BE RESTORED AND A COMPELLING CASE MUST BE MADE THAT NO OTHER SYSTEM IS BETTER ABLE TO DELIVER INDIVIDUAL FREEDOM AND PROSPERITY.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 23

231180_text.indd 23 4/24/19 12:52 PM ADRIENNE ARSHT CENTER FOR RESILIENCE

ADRIENNE ARSHT CENTER FOR RESILIENCE In 2018, the Adrienne Arsht Center for Resilience focused on translating the concept of resilience into impact and action. The Arsht Center’s programming sought to build the resilience of individuals, communities, and institutions to a range of disruptions and challenges. The center’s work in 2019 will enter an exciting new phase, launching a major partnership with the Rockefeller Foundation aimed at helping build and scale solutions to better prepare for, navigate, and recover from global and local shocks and stresses.

The Adrienne Arsht Center for FEMA Deputy Administrator for (Center) Eric Ridge, then-acting director of the Adrienne Arsht Resilience Dr. Daniel J. Kaniewski Center for Resilience, moderates SURGING SHORES, a private, Resilience in 2018 emphasized senior-level tabletop exercise in Newport, Rhode Island in building resilience to hurricanes, for a wide-ranging discussion September 2018. Participants included (left) Vice Admiral Mary Jackson, Commander, Naval Installations Command, United floods, and wildfires. In July, about the 2017 Hurricane Season States Navy and (right) Major General Christopher Callahan, The FEMA After-Action Report, its four- Adjutant General, Rhode Island National Guard. the Arsht Center welcomed year strategic plan for 2018-2022, and its newly-created Resilience organization. Dr. Kaniewski’s comments on FEMA’s response to Hurricane Maria’s impact on Puerto Rico—and the Agency’s lessons learned—complemented other Arsht Center programming, including a 2017 event with José Andrés in which Chef Andrés shared insights from his efforts to provide meals in Puerto Rico after Maria devastated the island.

In 2018, the Arsht Center for Resilience also held a number of private roundtables to enable frank and forthright discussions among government officials and influential members of civil society on practical ways of mitigating disaster risks. In May, the center held a facilitated discussion with US federal government officials to explore policy and operational questions associated with a hypothetical catastrophe scenario. Four months later, it convened a

24 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 24 4/22/19 9:16 PM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

follow-on, senior-level tabletop exercise with city and state officials in Newport, Rhode Island to explore better options for building resilience into our systems before the next crisis. The latter discussion, entitled “SURGING SHORES” and enabled by a simulation tool developed by Dutch digital infrastructure modeling company SIM-CI, specifically explored critical infrastructure resilience to both natural and manmade challenges.

Insights from these and other public and private discussions significantly informed the Arsht Center’s ongoing work to catalogue and disseminate policy and operational approaches aimed at improving resilience to natural

hazards. Leveraging these lessons, center’s infographics and blog Atlantic Council Nonresident Senior Fellow John Watts tries out a the center used a range of new posts on current hurricane threats digital infrastructure modeling tool developed by Dutch company SIM-CI at a senior-level tabletop exercise hosted by the Adrienne tools to share these insights and and trendlines helped capture what Arsht Center for Resilience in May 2018. engage new constituencies. The the changing environment means Arsht Center’s #OnThisDay social for practitioners. issues in which the Arsht Center media campaign highlighted works. Individual resilience lies at lessons learned from major storms The work of the Arsht Center the heart of all of the Bookshelf’s on the anniversary of their landfall for Resilience extended content, highlighting prescient and to show how incorporating lessons beyond natural disasters. In thought-provoking stories that from past emergency response November 2018, it launched its capture lessons for confronting the operations into policy making has Resilience Bookshelf, which major, system-wide challenges that helped build resilience today. The provides knowledge across the societies face.

PETER NEFFENGER, FORMER ADMINISTRATOR, TRANSPORTATION SECURITY ADMINISTRATION, INTERVIEWED ON RESILIENT WORLD, THE ADRIENNE ARSHT CENTER FOR RESILIENCE’S PODCAST “RESILIENCE AS A SYSTEM IS A GREAT WAY OF THINKING— AND THERE’S PROBABLY NO BETTER ILLUSTRATION OF WHAT HAPPENS WHEN YOU DON’T THINK ABOUT RESILIENCE AS A SYSTEM THAN TO LOOK AT SOME OF THE DISASTERS THAT WE’VE DEALT WITH.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 25

231180_text.indd 25 4/22/19 8:23 AM ADRIENNE ARSHT CENTER FOR RESILIENCE

(Left) Admiral James Stavridis, operating executive at The Carlyle allied commander Europe, communities facing a convergence Group and former NATO supreme allied commander Europe, in conversation with author Elliot Ackerman in November 2018 discussed the novel, which tells the of vulnerabilities. Together with the at the Atlantic Council, to commemorate the launch of the Rockefeller Foundation, our efforts Adrienne Arsht Center for Resilience Bookshelf and celebrate the story of a soldier trapped inside his publication of Ackerman’s new novel, Waiting for Eden. own body and mind as a result of will help people and communities injuries that he suffered after an prosper in a more resilient world. The Resilience Bookshelf was IED explosion in . unveiled at an event featuring a discussion on the first book Looking forward to 2019, the added to the Bookshelf—Waiting Council’s resilience work will bring for Eden, by Elliot Ackerman. scaled capabilities, innovation, Ackerman and Admiral James partnerships, and the promise Stavridis, former NATO supreme of progress to people and

DANIEL KANIEWSKI, DEPUTY ADMINISTRATOR FOR RESILIENCE, FEDERAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY, AT THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL IN JULY 2018 “I THINK THE COUNCIL’S NEWEST CENTER HERE HAS REALLY DEMONSTRATED ITS VALUE BY BRINGING FOCUS TO THIS ISSUE OF RESILIENCE.”

26 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 26 4/22/19 9:26 PM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

ADRIENNE ARSHT

Adrienne Arsht is a renowned business leader and philanthropist. In her role as Atlantic Council Executive Vice Chair, her leadership and support have propelled the Council into some of its most cutting-edge areas of work.

Adrienne’s life as a trailblazer began with her parents, both of whom were children of poor Russian Jewish immigrants but who made names for themselves as lawyers. Arsht’s mother became Delaware’s first female judge at a time when anti- Semitism presented considerable professional and social obstacles.

Arsht took after her mother, becoming the eleventh woman admitted to the Delaware bar before eventually moving to Miami where she served as chairman of “What am I aspiring to? Just to ABOVE: the board of TotalBank. Under make a difference, just to matter,” ADRIENNE ARSHT her decade of leadership, the Arsht told the Adrienne Arsht and Colombia’s President Ivan Duque. Photo Washington Post credit: Chris Cruz/Wilson Center. bank grew from four locations in 2011. to fourteen, with more than $1.4 billion in assets. In 2007, she It was that perspective—along Arsht’s efforts to increase sold TotalBank to Banco Popular with the lingering grief of her women’s representation in Español for $300 million and was younger sister’s suicide—which business and philanthropy, as well named Chairman Emerita. guided her to her latest effort: the as her leading role in promoting launch of the Atlantic Council’s artistic, business, and civic growth Inspired by her experience Adrienne Arsht Center for in the three cities she calls home engaging the Hispanic community Resilience, aimed at promoting (Miami, Washington, DC, and New in Miami, Arsht returned to the ability of nations, cities, York), her impact has touched Washington, DC in part to expand and communities to manage diverse people across sectors awareness of the new Latin disruption and unpredictability. and geographies. America on the global stage. Said Arsht, “We are at a critical Reminding audiences that “the moment of increasing global Atlantic also washes up on the disruption. We must cultivate shores of South America,” she the strength of communities and took the first steps to expanding individuals to thrive in today’s the Council’s work to include Latin unpredictable world.” America, eventually founding the Adrienne Arsht Latin America In addition to her contributions Center in 2013. in shaping the global landscape,

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 27

231180_text.indd 27 4/22/19 8:24 AM DIGITAL FORENSIC RESEARCH LAB

DIGITAL FORENSIC RESEARCH LAB The Digital Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab) is a start-up housed at the Atlantic Council that aims to create a world where disinformation is analyzed and repudiated rapidly and effectively by accurate, publicly sourced reports, thereby enabling citizens and policy makers to make informed decisions.

Since its launch in 2016, the of government for and by information, hostile or not, to Digital Forensic Research Lab people; to protect democratic which we are all exposed. (DFRLab) has operationalized institutions and norms from the study of disinformation to those who would seek to DFRLab deploys open-source expose false narratives and fake undermine them in the digital investigation and digital news, document human rights engagement space; technologies not only to counter abuses, and build digital resilience disinformation but also to • To create a new model of bolster a core set of values. In worldwide. DFRLab continually expertise adapted for impact an era when truth is rarely self- tracks global disinformation and real-world results; and evident, we cannot assume our campaigns, stories, own credibility. covert military developments, • To forge digital resilience at a and subversive attempts against time when humans are more Every day, DFRLab’s actions help democracy while teaching the interconnected than at any defend democracies around the public skills to identify and point in history. world against nefarious actors expose attempts to pollute the and actions. information space. Developing resilience in local media, civil society, and among Last year, DFRLab’s research Overall, DFRLab’s core mission is the general public creates a and reporting spread over five to defend democracy based on bulwark against disinformation continents. The community of the following pillars: and undercuts the reach and #DigitalSherlocks — both at the impact of other adverse actors. By Atlantic Council and across the • To identify, expose, and explain fostering a critical approach and world — grew stronger and better disinformation where and teaching best practices, individual equipped to keep up the fight when it occurs; to promote consumers gain the resilience to for facts. objective truth as a foundation best synthesize and absorb the

RESEARCH AND REPORTING The foundation of DFRLab’s 2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG work is rigorous open-source research published in an effort to “THE COMBINATION OF URGENCY AND ANALYSIS HAS PUSHED shape the evolving information THE YOUNG LAB TO THE FRONT LINE OF DECIPHERING STATE- environment rather than to SPONSORED AND DOMESTICALLY GENERATED MISINFORMATION.” observe it. Its global network of researchers has published over Reuters in article “U.S. think tank’s tiny lab helps Facebook battle fake social media” 600 reports to date with an on August 7, 2018. emphasis on upgrading objective facts, downgrading falsifications,

28 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 28 4/22/19 8:24 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

TOP: Participants working on a Table Game during 360/OS Berlin 2018; BOTTOM: DFRLab team presents on the final day of 360/OS Berlin 2018.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 29

231180_text.indd 29 4/22/19 8:24 AM DIGITAL FORENSIC RESEARCH LAB

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA) asks questions, as executives appear As part of a broader initiative open-source and investigative before the House Intelligence Committee to answer questions related to Russian use of social media to influence US elections, to provide independent and methodology to chronicle the on Capitol Hill in Washington, US, November 1, 2017. REUTERS/ Aaron P. Bernstein. credible research about the role systematic destruction of the of social media in elections, as rural Damascene neighborhood well as democracy more generally, and its nearly 400,000 residents. and explaining disinformation and DFRLab announced an official Using all the resources available other online vulnerabilities. partnership with Facebook in to open-source researchers, and DFRLab’s #ElectionWatch series May 2018. DFRLab is committed relying on investigative journalists, continued to drive the main to the mission of making sure the report detailed the weapons, growth in overall research. Rather that tools designed to bring us the targets, and the tactics used in than a pure fact-checking activity, closer together are not used the destruction of Ghouta. the emphasis of #ElectionWatch instead to drive us apart. Since is to monitor the information its establishment, the partnership CAPACITY BUILDING & HIGH ecosystem around a given has allowed DFRLab to conduct IMPACT POLICY CONVENING country’s elections, to include and publish in-depth analysis of explaining disinformation and six different networks of pages With the goal of building digital other online vulnerabilities, and accounts taken down by resilience across the world, demonstrating open-source Facebook for “coordinated DFRLab hosted its annual 360/ methodologies to the audience inauthentic behavior.” OS flagship open source summit of our articles, and shaping the that convenes the global network public discourse proactively. Lastly, building on the success of #DigitalSherlocks for two In 2018, DFRLab established of “Breaking Aleppo” in 2017, days of learning, collaboration, #ElectionWatch monitoring in September 2018 DFRLab and networking. In June 2018, missions in Italy, Colombia, released “Breaking Ghouta,” around 200 journalists, activists, Mexico, Brazil, North Macedonia, a long-form report written government, and tech innovators and , among others. using the same groundbreaking from around the world gathered

30 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 30 4/22/19 8:24 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

in Berlin to learn the latest skills VISION FOR 2019 DFRLab research geolocating the location of an Israeli airstrike on an alleged Syrian Chemical weapons depot based on ridge lines. and methodologies of open- DFRLab’s strategic focus will source research from DFRLab and continue to be to upgrade most up-to-date insight, sharing industry leaders. objective information, downgrade information and lessons learned falsehoods, and expand across more rapidly, for maximum impact. On the sidelines of 360/OS, time zones, regions, and issue DFRLab convened the Vanguard areas—specifically election While those who would seek to 360 (V360), a high-level group integrity. DFRLab is breaking undermine democratic institutions of thought leaders and decision- ground in its analysis around will continue to adapt and evolve, makers from the tech, media, the world and contributes to so will we. The facts are on and policy communities. The lessons for democracies in other our side. delegation took the first steps in areas of the globe. DFRLab’s defining the collective problems front-line reporting thus feeds we face as allies and public and into its longer-term policy private sector partners in the recommendations, where the goal digital domain and outlined the is to inform policy makers and a path forward. wider policy audience with the

2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

“PREVENTING ELECTION INTERFERENCE IS BIGGER THAN ANY SINGLE ORGANIZATION. IT’S NOW CLEAR THAT EVERYONE—GOVERNMENTS, TECH COMPANIES, AND INDEPENDENT EXPERTS SUCH AS THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL—NEED TO DO A BETTER JOB SHARING THE SIGNALS AND INFORMATION THEY HAVE TO PREVENT ABUSE.”

Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Preparing for Elections, September 2018

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 31

231180_text.indd 31 4/22/19 9:28 PM ATLANTIC COUNCIL IN TURKEY

ATLANTIC COUNCIL IN TURKEY The Atlantic Council IN TURKEY program, the Atlantic Council IN TURKEY will continue its work on Syrian which was launched in 2018, aims at refugees, focusing on refugee strengthening transatlantic ties with Turkey women’s entrepreneurship and and the surrounding region by promoting a children’s education. positive agenda focused on the economy, The program’s strong focus on business, energy, and migration. economic issues and fostering regional relations was showcased in its work on investment Founded on eight years of robust has increased its domestic market opportunities in Africa. In recent years, Turkey has significantly Atlantic Council presence in and labor force. The presence of stepped up efforts to engage Turkey and a strong network of such a large number of refugees economically with Africa, with business, government, and civil has both contributed to and Turkish investment in Africa society leaders, the Council’s burdened the economy. Turkey’s growing to $7 billion in 2017 new Atlantic Council IN TURKEY efforts to alleviate the Syrian and trade with the continent program presents a high-level refugee crisis, including providing increasing six-fold since 2003 platform to shape dialogue shelter and access to health and to over $18.5 billion. At the on transatlantic political and education services, have cost a economic ties with Turkey and the same time, Africa presents reported $37 billion. In an effort surrounding region. opportunities for third party to explore Turkey’s response to economic partnerships between The outflow of refugees as a the crisis, the Atlantic Council US and Turkish companies to help result of the war in Syria remains IN TURKEY launched the report, develop the continent. In 2018, one of the most pressing issues Toward Long-Term Solidarity the Atlantic Council IN TURKEY Turkey, the European Union, and with Syrian Refugees? Turkey’s hosted two events on Africa, one the wider region continue to Policy Response and Challenges focused on broad challenges face. Turkey’s population growth at the in New and opportunities in the region, as a result of incoming refugees, York during the “Turkey’s Growing Presence in numbering more than 3.6 million, General Assembly week. In 2019, Africa, and Opportunities and

FATMA ŞAHIN, MAYOR, GAZIANTEP* METROPOLITAN MUNICIPALITY, FORMER MINISTER OF FAMILY AND SOCIAL POLICIES, REPUBLIC OF TURKEY “I BELIEVE THAT MIGRATION IS A CONSEQUENCE. THEREFORE, THE BIGGEST ISSUE WHICH NEEDS TO BE ADDRESSED GLOBALLY IS THE TAKING OF NECESSARY PREVENTIVE MEASURES SO THAT PEOPLE ARE NOT FORCED TO MIGRATE AND SO THAT THEY CAN LIVE IN THEIR HOMELAND AND ON THEIR SOIL.”

*The city of Gaziantep is located 45km from the Syrian border, and hosts 424,632 registered refugees

32 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 32 4/22/19 8:24 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

ANA PALACIO, FORMER MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS, SPAIN AND EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE MEMBER, ATLANTIC COUNCIL “TURKEY IS AT THE TIP OF WHAT WILL PROBABLY BE THE FUTURE OF THE RULES-BASED WORLD ORDER AS IT WAS THE TIPPING POINT DURING THE COLD WAR. THEREFORE, I STRONGLY BELIEVE IN THE IMPORTANCE OF ATLANTIC COUNCIL IN TURKEY’S MISSION AND PROGRAMMING.”

The July 15 Martyrs’ Bridge, known as the Bosphorus Bridge. REUTERS/Umit Bektas.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 33

231180_text.indd 33 4/22/19 8:24 AM ATLANTIC COUNCIL IN TURKEY

From L-R, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May, US President Donald Trump and NATO Secretary General attend a working dinner meeting at the NATO headquarters during a NATO summit of heads of state and government in Brussels, Belgium, May 25, 2017. REUTERS/Matt Dunham/Pool.

Challenges To Watch in 2018,” and sector was the main spotlight decarbonization, and economic another in cooperation with the of the program in 2018. With an development. At the conference Foreign Economic Relations Board immense and diverse portfolio Turkey’s Renewable Investment of Turkey (DEIK) on “Turkey’s of renewable energy resources, Outlook: Renewable Energy and investment Opportunities in Turkey has an opportunity to New Technologies, organized Africa.” The Atlantic Council will develop a balanced platform in cooperation with the World continue to work on investment of complementary renewable Energy Council Turkey, the opportunities in Africa in the resources to help meet its energy Atlantic Council IN TURKEY energy sector in 2019. demand growth for years to come, explored Turkey’s renewable A lesser known but promising while simultaneously contributing investment outlook, focusing dimension of Turkey’s energy to the country’s energy security, on new technologies and policy

34 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 34 4/22/19 8:24 AM THEMATIC PROGRAMS

recommendations aimed at taking with a conference focused on • Improving US-Turkey advantage of Turkey’s opportunity Turkey’s onshore and offshore wind economic relations, focusing amid the global push toward power sector. on US-Turkey infrastructure clean energy. partnership opportunities; In 2019, the Atlantic Council IN The Atlantic Council IN TURKEY, • Fostering regional relations TURKEY will continue its work together with Turkish Policy through an emphasis on across four key pillars: Quarterly, jointly published a investment opportunities special issue on Turkey’s energy in Africa. • The geopolitics of energy sector dynamics entitled “Turkey’s and energy investments with Energy Nexus: Discoveries & Developments” and held a a focus on gas, LNG, and launch event in Washington, renewable sectors; DC in cooperation with the • Migration with a special interest Council’s Global Energy Center. From the Atlantic Council IN TURKEY’s conference Turkey’s Programming on renewable on Syrian women entrepreneurs Renewable Investment Outlook, organized in cooperation with the World Energy Council Turkey, in Istanbul on December 19, 2018. energy will continue in 2019 and children’s education; Credit: Atlantic Council and World Energy Council Turkey.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 35

231180_text.indd 35 4/22/19 8:24 AM ADVOCATING FOR ADAPTED GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

ADVOCATING FOR ADAPTED GLOBAL LEADERSHIP

THE CHALLENGE contributed to doubts about the benefits of globalization for the After 1945, the United States average American. The problem is and its allies built a rules-based worse among the general public international order that has than with elites. Pew survey delivered unprecedented levels of data from 2016 showed that peace, prosperity, and freedom. only 44 percent of Americans For , the American view globalization in a positive public supported US leadership light, compared to 86 percent of in building and maintaining international affairs experts. this world order. In recent years, however, there has been Moreover, US politicians have increasing skepticism about the exploited these doubts for value of American engagement electoral gain, railing against in world affairs. Indeed, public the failures of American global opinion polling shows that large leadership and further reinforcing portions of the American public the view that America would be would prefer that the United better off if it just came home. States play a less active role on the global stage. These developments are deeply disturbing for the future of the These sentiments are perhaps global order. Without widespread understandable. After fighting public support, it will be difficult inconclusive wars in Iraq and for the United States to sustain , many question its traditional leadership role in the wisdom of American world affairs. If the United States military engagement overseas. retreats from the international The global financial crisis and stage, the gains of the past uneven economic recovery have seventy years could be lost. It

36 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 36 4/23/19 3:13 PM DEFINING CHALLENGES

is not an exaggeration to fear that US isolationism could result “WITH A STRONG BASIS OF PUBLIC in increasing global disorder, SUPPORT, THE UNITED STATES CAN rising authoritarianism, declining living standards, and even major CONTINUE TO PLAY ITS INDISPENSABLE power conflict. LEADERSHIP ROLE.”

THE SOLUTION

We must combat these trends The Council’s purpose, then and will create vivid, shareable and strengthen American now, has been to engage diverse content for consumption by public support for continued US audiences and enlist them in broad audiences. The Council global leadership. support of American engagement aims to create a major public with its allies and partners to event on American leadership The first step to addressing secure the future. in 2019, ahead of the seventieth any problem is to accurately NATO Summit, and a sustained understand it. Decision makers To this day, the Atlantic campaign of programming in the must begin by listening to the Council’s work reflects a deeply- years following, all designed to American people to better ingrained commitment to public reinvigorate public memory of understand the sources of engagement, one that takes America’s role in foreign affairs. discontent with US foreign policy. promoting a narrative about America’s role in the world Next, US leaders must devise a seriously. Public outreach was ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES narrative for US global leadership a core feature of the Council’s The world that the United States in language that will resonate with recently completed Middle East helped create after 1945 is worth the average citizen. The narrative Strategy Task Force (MEST), a preserving. While never perfect, should place contemporary body of work designed to revisit that world has brought humankind events in a broader historical arc, standing assumptions about more benefits than any other making clear the unprecedented the region. MEST’s staff and system in history. Unfortunately, achievements of the past seventy co-chairs, Madeleine Albright the American public is having its years. In addition, it must and Stephen Hadley, fanned doubts about whether it wants to articulate US global leadership’s out across the United States to continue its support. concrete benefits to the average spread the task force’s central American’s pocketbook, way of messages to the American public. Organizations like the Atlantic life, and personal safety, while The Global Energy Center is Council must take the lead in also outlining the negative beginning a multi-year public articulating a spirited defense of consequences for Americans and outreach campaign about the American leadership. A firmer their families if the United States threats from climate change and grasp of public sentiment will retreats from the global stage. has already held public events lead to stronger messaging to in the US heartland, including the average American which Finally, leaders and policymakers in Cleveland, Ohio. The Digital will in turn provide input for need to create viable platforms Forensic Lab 360/OS is focused new thinking about America’s to disseminate this narrative on helping Facebook and other role in the world. In addition, and to consistently engage the digital platforms detect and the Council’s recommendations American public in dialogue counteract unwanted intrusions to will carry greater weight with about America’s role in the world. Western democracies. policy makers if it can point to its work in engaging the Looking ahead, the Council American public. The ultimate OUR WORK intends to integrate the American desired outcome, however, is to Since its founding in 1961, the public more deeply into this ensure that US global leadership Atlantic Council has been a conversation. It will explore the rests on a firm foundation of consistent advocate for US factors shaping public opinion in domestic support, so the United leadership in world affairs. the United States, working with States and its allies can continue During the Cold War, the leading polling organizations to work together to secure Council employed well-known to assess the public’s values, the future. spokespeople, including comedian goals, and interests in Bob Hope and football star foreign affairs. This research to advocate on will feed into an ambitious behalf of transatlantic relations. communications strategy that

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 37

231180_text.indd 37 4/23/19 3:13 PM REGIONAL CENTERS

38 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 38 4/22/19 8:24 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

40 Middle East Programs

44 Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center

50 Eurasia Center

54 Future Europe Initiative

60 South Asia Center

64 Africa Center

PHOTO: A soldier eats ice cream as she visits a zoo in Pyongyang, North Korea, September 12, 2018. REUTERS/Danish Siddiqui

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 39

231180_text.indd 39 4/22/19 8:24 AM MIDDLE EAST PROGRAMS MIDDLE EAST PROGRAMSMIDDLE EAST PROGRAMS The Council’s Middle East programming provides a forum for informing and galvanizing the transatlantic community to work together to address the range of challenges and support opportunities for growth in the region.

As the Middle East undergoes and security and unlocking the world. This includes programming significant political and region’s largely untapped human on economic reform, youth socioeconomic change, the potential. The breadth of our entrepreneurship and innovation, Council’s Middle East programming work on this critical region spans and governance challenges in provides a forum for informing several initiatives and centers at post-conflict states. and galvanizing the transatlantic the Council, from the Rafik Hariri We continued our focus on community to work together to Center for the Middle East to Syria in 2018 with two high- address the range of challenges the Scowcroft Center’s Middle level workshops on stabilizing and support opportunities East Security Initiative to the Eastern Syria which provided for growth in the region. The Iraq Initiative and the Future of an opportunity for an important Atlantic Council examines key Iran Initiative. conversation and healthy debate trends and current events in the to take place on the role and Middle East through the lens of a RAFIK HARIRI CENTER FOR future of the United States in cadre of DC-based and regional THE MIDDLE EAST Syria. Between the first workshop experts, providing timely analysis in March and the second in May, The Rafik Hariri Center for the and policy recommendations the administration’s evolving Middle East honors the life and for the United States, its allied position on the subject made the legacy of the late Prime Minister governments, and the broader discussion all the more necessary. policy community. Rafik Hariri by framing policy options for the transatlantic The Arc of Crisis in the MENA Working under one umbrella in community aimed at encouraging Region report and conference 2019, the Council’s work on the and facilitating political legitimacy gathered scholars on the region Middle East will focus on two and unlocking the economic and to explore emerging trends in broad themes: building peace human potential of the Arab the post-Arab Spring era. The

2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

“[ARC OF CRISIS IN THE MENA REGION AUTHORS DR. KARIM MEZRAN AND DR. ARTURO VARVELLI] ARE WELL AWARE THAT ALMOST ALL CHANGE IN THE MENA REGION WILL COME FROM WITHIN AND SOMETIMES EMERGE FROM VERY LOCAL CONTEXTS. THEIR PROJECT ON THE “ARC OF CRISIS” BRINGS US A BIT CLOSER TO UNDERSTANDING THE PROBLEMS IN THEIR FULL CONTEXT, THUS PUTTING THE UNITED STATES AND EUROPE IN A BETTER POSITION TO MAKE INFORMED POLICY CHOICES IN BOTH THE SHORT AND LONG-TERM”

The National Interest review of the Arc of Crisis Report

40 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 40 4/22/19 8:24 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

conference addressed the root causes of instability in the MENA region, exploring the role of MIDDLE EAST regional and international powers in fueling the “arc of crisis” and featured discussants that debated the argument that unstable socio- political and economic conditions favor the resilience of jihadism in PROGRAMS the region. MIDDLE EAST SECURITY INITIATIVE In January, the Scowcroft Center’s Middle East Security Initiative led an Atlantic Council leadership delegation to the UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Israel over a two- week period. Led by Executive Chairman Emeritus General James L. Jones, Jr. USMC (Ret.), the delegation met with stakeholders from Riyadh to Tel Aviv to discuss issues of regional importance, including socioeconomic conditions in the region; US implications, and its future in Former Iraqi Ambassador to the United States and Iraq Initiative Advisory Committee Member Rend Al-Rahim shares insights on posture and strategy; and light of administration changes the US-Iraqi relationship for an Atlantic Council explainer video in security challenges. In December, in Washington. April 2018. a similar delegation visited Oman and Israel. In January 2018, we hosted drivers of any successful society: a major conference on Iran’s inclusive politics, economic In the first week of June, we evolving economic and strategic development, and a vibrant civil partnered with USIP to host relationships with Russia, China, society. In partnership with the a Gaza crisis simulation. The , and other Asian partners. In Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, the simulation exercise involved February, we hosted a discussion Council hosted two workshops, approximately thirty participants, on Iran’s missile program, its role in Beirut and Baghdad, convening from former ministers and a in Iranian defense strategy, and as the foremost experts and former head of state, to former a source of tension in the region stakeholders working on issues . In October, we and beyond. By November, as of critical importance to Iraq’s hosted another simulation on a second wave of US sanctions future. Drawing on the insights possible conflict between Iran was imposed on the Islamic gained from the workshops and Saudi Arabia. The exercises Republic, we released an issue earlier in the year, the Council elicited new ideas and approaches brief by nonresident fellows released a timely issue brief, to ongoing conflicts in the region. Holly Dagres and Barbara Slavin “Stabilization, Governance, and on how Iran will cope with these Socioeconomic Challenges in economic challenges. FUTURE OF IRAN INITIATIVE Iraq,” as protests in Iraq over The Future of Iran Initiative water and electricity cuts were convenes experts and policy IRAQ INITIATIVE making international headlines. In makers to analyze the complex The Council’s reinvigorated effort 2019 under the leadership of Dr. American-Iranian relationship. on Iraq was front and center in Abbas Kadhim, the Iraq Initiative In recent years, this work has 2018 with the launch of the Iraq will continue to organize events focused on the primary tool Initiative, which seeks to address that promote US-Iraq dialogue guiding this relationship: the Joint the current security challenges at official and unofficial levels Comprehensive Plan of Action Iraq faces as well as examine and provide impartial, practical (JCPOA)—its implementation, Iraq’s potential to develop the policy recommendations.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 41

231180_text.indd 41 4/22/19 9:31 PM MIDDLE EAST PROGRAMS

Ambassador Joan Polaschik, Acting Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Bureau of Near East Affairs at the US economic cost of conflict; Department of State, speaks at the “Arc of Crisis in the MENA Region” conference on October 9, 2018. building inclusive governance and institutions; economic Our quick response analysis on East programs will focus on opportunities and challenges the Middle East is featured on peace and security issues as post-transition, and post-conflict our three blogs: MENASource, well as human development stabilization, reconstruction and SyriaSource, and IranSource. In indicators. Progress in both areas humanitarian assistance. addition to featuring our own is critical for regional stability and Within the second line of effort, analyses, the blogs provide an prosperity, and to achieve US and the Council will prioritize work opportunity for us to amplify key international partner interests. focused on: understanding the voices from the region in challenges and opportunities Washington policy circles. Within the first line of effort, the Council will sustain and expand posed by Iran; addressing Gulf Following our two-pronged projects focused on economic geopolitical and security priorities, approach, the Council’s Middle development; the human and including Saudi Arabia’s evolving role in the region; examining Israel’s security environment; and identifying emerging trends AMBASSADOR FREDERIC C. HOF, FORMER DIRECTOR, likely to have implications for RAFIK HARIRI CENTER FOR THE MIDDLE EAST regional security broadly—such as resource scarcity, offensive “HERE THERE IS A STRONG, NON- cyber capabilities, and external powers’—including Russia and PARTISAN AND NON-IDEOLOGICAL ETHIC China—growing interest and CENTERING ON IMPACT: TRYING TO GIVE involvement in the Middle East. BUSY OFFICIALS IMPLEMENTABLE IDEAS AND OPTIONS TO SOLVE PROBLEMS AND ADVANCE THE INTERESTS OF THE UNITED STATES AND ITS TRANSATLANTIC ALLIES.”

42 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 42 4/22/19 8:24 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

RAFIK HARIRI

Rafik Hariri was a dedicated statesman, businessman, philanthropist, and a two-time Prime Minister of Lebanon whose vision for a secure and prosperous Middle East based on human dignity for all its people was cut short when he was assassinated in 2005.

Known affectionately as “Mister Lebanon,” Hariri was renowned for his leadership in solving problems through political dialogue and compromise, a gift that called him to become an influential change- maker in Lebanon and throughout the Middle East.

After launching a successful construction business in Saudi Arabia, Hariri returned home to devoted to the country’s rebirth ABOVE: RAFIK HARIRI Lebanon to play an integral role in until his assassination, along Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik al-Hariri speaks during brokering the 1989 Taif Agreement with twenty-one others, in a an interview with Reuters at his house in Beirut that ended that country’s sixteen- suicide bomb attack in Beirut in November 30, shortly after he announced that he would not remain as prime minister under newly-appointed year civil war. February 2005. President Emile Lahoud. Reuters.

In the years that followed, fueled When the Arab Spring changed with the Council’s capacity for by his fundamental belief in the the political landscape, Rafik strategy analysis—we are helping untapped potential of ordinary Hairi’s eldest son, Bahaa, was the people of the Middle East people, Hariri became an moved to help. He recognized discover their talent, initiative, instrumental leader in rebuilding in the revolutions that the and capability,” said Bahaa his homeland. In 1992, he became Arab world needed global Hariri. “Together we are helping Lebanon’s first post-civil war citizens like his father more bend the forces of change to prime minister, serving until 1998 than ever to help the people guide a convergence of the and again from 2000-2004, find the strength and wisdom Middle East and the international during which time he worked to secure a more vibrant and community—promoting robust tirelessly to revive Lebanon’s war- just future. civil society, democracy, and weary economy and promote the free markets.” country’s independence from “With the Council’s unique Syria, which had occupied his platform for debate and dialogue country since 1976. He remained among global voices—combined

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 43

231180_text.indd 43 4/22/19 9:32 PM ADRIENNE ARSHT LATIN AMERICA CENTER

ADRIENNE ARSHT LATIN AMERICA CENTER The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center broadens understanding of regional transformations and delivers constructive, results-oriented solutions that inform how the public and private sectors can work together to advance hemispheric prosperity.

In 2018, as Venezuela faced a organized high-impact public worsening economic, humanitarian, events and private meetings to and political crisis under Nicolás raise awareness on issues ranging Maduro, the Adrienne Arsht from the electoral conditions, to Latin America Center positioned the state of the oil industry, to Senator Roy Blunt of Missouri (left) and Senator Tom Udall of the deteriorating humanitarian New Mexico (right) present Adrienne Arsht, executive vice chair itself as a leader on Venezuela, of the Atlantic Council and founder of the Adrienne Arsht Latin providing analysis and strategic crisis. Throughout the year, it also America Center, with the Congressional Flag at the Five-Year released four in-country polls that Anniversary celebration for the center. The event recognized the thinking on efforts to achieve a center’s achievements and was attended by regional ambassadors revealed deep polarization in the and other distinguished guests. democratic transition. The center country, as well as deteriorating living conditions.

The center hosted a Conversation with then-Venezuelan National Assembly President Juan Guaidó (current interim president) and Second Vice President Stalin Gonzalez within five days of their being sworn in and just one day prior to Maduro assuming a second, fradulent term. The discussion provided a critical platform to elevate the profile of the new leadership of the National Assembly, the only legitimate democratic institution recognized by the international community, and to lay out its vision for the future of Venezuela. The center established itself as the leading source for timely insights during a critical week in Venezuela in January 2019. On January 23, 2019 Juan Guaidó assumed the role of interim president of Venezuela, based on the authority vested in him in Article 233 of the Constitution. The Arsht Center mobilized quickly and within one

44 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 44 4/22/19 8:24 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

week hosted a private breakfast and a public event, Guaidó Takes the Helm: Supporting the New Venezuelan Interim Government, to discuss the interim government’s vision for the future and steps the international community should take to support this democratic movement. This was the first large-scale event with representatives of the new interim government and included the participation of the new Ambassador of Venezuela to the United States, Carlos Vecchio; the newly named Ambassador to the Lima Group, Julio Borges; and the Coordinator for the Organization The center hosted senior officials The Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center, in collaboration with of American States Working Group the Digital Forensics Research Lab, held trainings in Mexico from the new governments while (pictured), and Brazil to detect, expose, and explain false on the Regional Crisis Caused highlighting the priorities of each narratives online as part of a broader effort to combat the spread of disinformation in the region. by the Venezuelan Migrants and incoming administration and Refugees, David Smolansky. The quickly became a resource for its #ElectionWatch Latin America event also featured a conversation new governments in the region project. With the use of open- with the former Chairman of the with regard to bilateral relations source data, the center was able House Foreign Affairs Committee, with the United States. Rep. Ed Royce (R-CA), and the to identify, expose, and explain European Union, Chilean, and These three critical elections disinformation to strengthen Paraguayan Ambassadors, about in the region saw a wave of digital resilience and help protect the role of the international disinformation and misinformation democratic institutions. The community in helping to resolve that spread like wildfire through center also provided in-country the ongoing crisis in Venezuela. popular social media platforms, trainings and capacity-building putting healthy democratic debate exercises for journalists, civil With major regional elections in at risk. The Arsht Latin America society leaders, and government Colombia, Mexico, and Brazil, 2018 Center worked with the Council’s officials to increase their marked a year of change in Latin Digital Forensic Research Lab knowledge of the tools available America. The Arsht Latin America (in partnership with regional to combat disinformation Center provided a nonpartisan think tanks, media, and fact- and misinformation. analysis of these elections through checking organizations) to build its First 100 Days Spotlight Series an innovative elections portfolio, As trade tensions between China and accompanying public events. analyzing each election through and the United States escalated,

SENATOR ROY BLUNT (R-MO)— CONGRESSIONAL RECORD VOLUME 164, NUMBER 157 “[THE AALAC’S] WORK PROVIDES AN ESSENTIAL FORUM FOR NAVIGATING THE DRAMATIC ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL CHANGES DEFINING THE 21ST CENTURY BY INFORMING AND GALVANIZING ITS UNIQUELY INFLUENTIAL NETWORK OF GLOBAL LEADERS.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 45

231180_text.indd 45 4/22/19 9:35 PM ADRIENNE ARSHT LATIN AMERICA CENTER

Juan Guaido, President of Venezuela’s National Assembly and interim President of Venezuela, gestures during a rally against Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s government and to commemorate the 61st anniversary of the end of the dictatorship of Marcos Perez Jimenez in Caracas, Venezuela January 23, 2019. REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins.

46 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 46 4/22/19 8:24 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

MARCELO EBRARD, SECRETARY OF FOREIGN RELATIONS, GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO “A STRONG US-MEXICO RELATIONSHIP IS THE BACKBONE FOR A PROSPEROUS NORTH AMERICA. THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL IS CRITICAL TO ELEVATING THE IMPORTANCE OF THESE TIES.”

the Arsht Latin America Center, report, China, Oil, and Latin the Road Ahead for Congress, in partnership with HSBC, hosted America: Myth vs. Reality. to highlight the effects of the an event to explore the impact agreement for consumers and of US-China trade tensions in When the United States-Mexico- key industries, emphasizing Canada Agreement (USMCA) was Latin America, where trade with the strategic importance of the signed, the Arsht Latin America China has multiplied eighteen deal for North American global Center underscored the critical times over the past two decades. economic competitiveness. importance of trilateral North Featuring a conversation with The center also focused on American trade and its impact on strengthening commerce at the former US Secretary of Defense millions of jobs and investments. subnational level and navigating William Cohen and moderated The center remained on top of the the uncertainties of shifts in by Gerardo Mato, HSBC chairman latest developments by hosting national policy at the National of global banking and markets, multiple rapid-reaction conference Governor Association’s North Americas, the dialogue centered calls with regional experts and American Governor’s Summit. on the geopolitical shift toward launching a social media blitz to the East. With China’s expanding analyze updates as they surfaced. energy interests in Latin America, In partnership with , and the center also provided a three days before the November US Political Director and Anchor at CNN en Español Juan Carlos nuanced understanding of China’s 30 signing, the center hosted López (center right), addresses the audience at a discussion panel attraction to the region’s oil and the event, moderated by Jason Marczak (left), director of the Adrienne USMCA at Signing: Arsht Latin America Center, on the significance of Colombia’s gas sector in the highly cited Implications for Consumers and presidential elections.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 47

231180_text.indd 47 4/22/19 8:24 AM HARNESSING TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE

HARNESSING TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE

THE CHALLENGE partners navigate this period in A cluster of new technologies— history will determine the future namely artificial intelligence, of transatlantic leadership. robotics, green energy, clean tech, and biotech, among others— THE SOLUTION will do more than just transform science. They will determine The United States and its partners how we all live and function and need to develop a new roadmap have the potential to influence to ensure they harness emerging the course of international technologies for the greater politics. Depending on which good. In the face of the incoming countries take the lead, they technological tsunami, the divide could remake the global order. between the technology and Today’s technological race is what policy communities must be geopolitics were to the nineteenth bridged in order to minimize the and twentieth centuries. risks and maximize opportunities. Through dynamic outreach Throughout its history, progress to and engagement with has been built on technological government, industry, technology, innovation and leadership, and academic leaders, the ranging from Thomas Edison’s Atlantic Council: light bulb to Henry Ford’s assembly line to the silicon • Tracks innovation trends chip, the personal computer, systematically in order to help and the Internet. However, government and business America’s leadership role is in leaders anticipate change and jeopardy as China and other remain competitive in the global countries aim for “first mover” innovation sweepstakes. advantage in the next round of technological breakthroughs. • Delves into the political, How the United States and its economic, and social

48 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 48 4/22/19 8:25 AM DEFINING CHALLENGES

“WORKING ON SOLUTIONS THAT MAXIMIZE THE BENEFITS OF A GLOBALIZED WORLD, THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL IS IDEALLY PLACED TO ENLIGHTEN DECISION-MAKERS AND GLOBAL AUDIENCES ON THE CHALLENGES NEW TECHNOLOGY PRESENTS FOR WESTERN LEADERSHIP.”

implications of the emerging minded allies and partners. foresight; strategy development; technologies. The aim is not to pick winners methods for assessing innovation in the technological race but capacity at national and global • Designs strategies for global rather to advocate for structural scales; and executive training partnerships on technology measures that ensure success for seminars and fellowships. solutions for all the big the global economy, individual challenges facing the world: countries, global firms, investors, ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES climate change, security, universities, and ultimately inequality, development, and citizens. Societies must also We face two drastically different good governance. engage in a global discussion futures: one where global leaders on how to approach the legal, harness emerging technologies to • Trains the next generation of ethical, and trust aspects reduce carbon emissions, expand leaders in government and connected with technological renewable energies and enable business so they can effectively advances. Without more lower-carbon energy systems; navigate disruptive change collective acceptance and better ensure secure communications; that is critical to future global management of new technological make cities livable and resource security and prosperity. capabilities, technological efficient; and increase the quality advances are unlikely to be of life through better medicines tech-enabled • Leverages fully integrated and utilized and cures for genetic diseases, methodologies, such as data throughout societies. among other positive advances. analytics, to inform its work. But an alternative path could result in a future where emerging The Atlantic Council already OUR WORK technologies could destroy enjoys rich and well-established To what degree will the future many more jobs, increase the partnerships in allied and partner world be Western in values if already large income and wealth countries on science, technology, the non-Western developing inequalities, and exacerbate and innovation-related issues. world is increasingly the engine and transform conflicts with However, these partnerships of the global economy? Working destructive cyberattacks and the need to be updated given the on solutions that maximize the use of deadly biotech instruments. emerging technologies of the benefits of a globalized world, In order to avoid the second set Fourth Industrial Revolution. The the Atlantic Council is ideally of outcomes, the Atlantic Council Atlantic Council has designed a placed to enlighten decision- will strive for progress on global strategy for such a partnership makers and global audiences on governance around emerging between the United States the challenges new technology technologies, improved STEM and the Republic of Korea, presents for Western leadership. education at the primary and providing each government secondary levels, and increased with a roadmap to improve To add momentum to its ongoing investment in skills training and collaboration around artificial strategy, energy security, and workforce development, with the intelligence, biotechnology, and strategic foresight work focused goal to help inform and prepare the Internet of Things. This work on emerging technologies, the world leaders and citizens for the can be expanded to include Council proposes to establish societal disruptions unleashed by other technologies and can a major Geotech Center— emerging technologies. also be adapted for other allies the world’s “go-to” authority and partners. on technological innovation, including its political, economic, To remain at the forefront of social, and international impacts. the innovation wave, the United The center would deploy a suite States must work with its like- of capabilities, including strategic

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 49

231180_text.indd 49 4/22/19 8:25 AM EURASIA CENTER EURASIA CENTEREURASIA CENTER The Eurasia Center’s mission is to work toward policies that promote stability, democratic values, and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia, and in the East.

As a revanchist Kremlin works European allies understand the to destabilize democracies and danger of this threat and, together weaken NATO, the transatlantic with Washington, develop the Secretary of Homeland Security Kirstjen Nielsen speaks about cybersecurity during the Eurasia Center’s Global Forum on relationship, and the European right policies to counteract it. Strategic Communications and Digital Disinformation Additionally, the center aims to (StratCom 2018). Union, the center seeks to help promote democracy and an open society and market economy in Eurasia in order to strengthen the region’s capacity to manage the Kremlin challenge. Within both of these objectives, Ukraine is one of the center’s top priorities, but the center also actively engages with and Moldova and encourages closer cooperation among all parties in the region seeking a democratic future.

In 2018, the Eurasia Center focused on key goals in support of its mission. First, the Eurasia Center worked to raise the cost of Kremlin aggression in Ukraine and around the globe. In early 2018, the center’s long-term advocacy of lethal defensive arms for Ukraine came to fruition with the US administration’s delivery of Javelin missiles to Kyiv. Later in the year, in conjunction with the Global Business & Economic Program, the Eurasia Center’s work on sanctions influenced the punishing sanctions list issued by the US administration in April.

Additionally, the center helped strengthen cooperation among the nations of Eurasia and

50 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 50 4/22/19 9:36 PM REGIONAL CENTERS

Eastern Europe by assisting 115th Congress, and the center will The Eurasia Center’s 2018 congressional fellows visit the Verkhovna Rada during their August 2018 trip to Kyiv and Moldova, Georgia, and Ukraine continue to advocate for it in the Ukraine’s East. in developing their THREE new Congress. SPEAKERS INITIATIVE. This has The Eurasia Center also launched prompted greater cooperation the Kremlin’s election interference several initiatives throughout 2018 among the parliaments of these led by Senators Mark Warner (D- with the aim of strengthening three nations, and included a VA) and Marco Rubio (R-FL), with the West’s defense against meeting on with Speaker participation from members of Kremlin disinformation and Paul Ryan. The center also assisted election interference. In June, parliament from across Europe. with a Congressional resolution it launched DisinfoPortal.org, a In October, the center held its advocating for the freedom of one-stop hub for policy makers second annual Global Forum Eurasian and Eastern European and journalists to get the latest on Strategic Communications, countries to choose their own on the Kremlin’s disinformation which brought together over 200 path. This twenty-first century campaigns, featuring work from participants covering academia, version of the Captive Nations over 125 experts and thirty tech, government, civil society, resolution was introduced in the partner organizations. This was and the private sector. Finally, in House of Representatives in the followed in July with an event on December, the center launched a

2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

“UNDERLYING THE WHOLE PROJECT OF DEMOCRACY IS A BELIEF IN A NARRATIVE AND A SET OF FACTS THAT WE CAN ALL SHARE.”

Senator Chris Murphy, US Senator for Connecticut, speaks about the global challenge of disinformation during the Eurasia Center’s Global Forum on Strategic Communications and Digital Disinformation on October 3, 2018

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 51

231180_text.indd 51 4/22/19 8:25 AM EURASIA CENTER

Senator Mark Warner and Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) speak to the press following their public remarks at a July 16 event on the Kremlin’s interference in elections.

52 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 52 4/22/19 8:25 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

Ukrainian Election Task Force that Moscow has escalated its war Panelists, including Geysha Gonzalez, MP Toma Bikov, Michael Carpenter, Speaker Ināra Mūrniece, Deputy Marshal Maria Koc, will monitor and expose Kremlin in Ukraine by openly attacking and MP Vojtěch Pikal, discuss solutions to disinformation at a interference in the 2019 Ukrainian and seizing three Ukrainian security forum in Chisinau, Moldova in March 2018. presidential election. ships; attacking American soldiers in Syria via mercenaries; political leadership ready to make Finally, throughout 2018, the poisoning people in the United a deal on Donbas more favorable center worked to grow and Kingdom; continuing to violate to Russia. While the Kremlin is enhance its external network the Intermediate-Range Nuclear likely to be disappointed, this by launching a Congressional means that the Forces Treaty; interfering in Fellowship Program. The inaugural will continue for at least two Spain’s Catalonia referendum; and class of fellows was a bipartisan more years and Moscow will likely routinely conducting dangerous group of fourteen Senate and interfere in Ukraine’s upcoming maneuvers with NATO ships and House staffers, and the program elections. In response, the Eurasia planes in and over international included a series of policy Center will continue working to waters. The Kremlin has shown no briefings on Russia, Ukraine, and counteract malicious actors and signs of backing off its revanchist Eastern Europe and Eurasia as promote stability, democratic policies. Moscow is waiting for the well as a weeklong trip to Kyiv and values, and prosperity in the frontlines in Donbas. outcome of Ukraine’s presidential the region. elections in the spring and 2019 will be a pivotal year in parliamentary elections in the Eurasia. Over the past year, fall to see if there will be a new

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 53

231180_text.indd 53 4/22/19 8:25 AM FUTURE EUROPE INITIATIVE

FUTURE EUROPE INITIATIVE In another challenging year for the transatlantic relationship, the Future Europe Initiative (FEI) doubled down on its efforts in 2018 to promote the leadership and strategies required to bolster the vision of a strong Europe advancing a better global future in partnership with the United States.

The initiative seeks to understand and in a coherent and cohesive change in Europe and galvanize Atlantic community. Vision, transatlantic leadership to solve leadership, and sustainable global challenges. The program strategies are needed to protect The opening of the third Baltic Sea Security Conference with Ms. Anna Wieslander, Director for Northern Europe, Atlantic Council; is premised on the belief that the and reinforce this unique Jonas Haggren, Director of Joint Staff, Swedish United States has an enormous partnership as a force for good in Armed Forces; and General Micael Bydén, Supreme Commander, . strategic stake in Europe’s future, the world.

In 2018, the Future Europe Initiative continued its efforts as a bridge-builder between both sides of the Atlantic as high- profile disputes over foreign policy, trade, and data privacy left the United States and Europe at odds. The initiative fortified its position as a “Home for Europe in Washington,” hosting more than forty-five public and private events featuring heads of state, European Commissioners, ministers, and members of the European Parliament and national parliaments on a wide range of transatlantic issues.

As part of its long-term objective to build a Europe, whole, free, and at peace by reforming and restoring trust in an adapted European project, confronting backsliding, and integrating the peripheries, FEI expanded its programming and presence on the ground in Europe. In 2018, the team executed high-profile programming in Berlin, London,

54 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 54 4/22/19 8:25 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

Normandy, , , and the Balkans. It launched the The 2018 Freedom Award honorees—Secretary Madeleine Albright, Ms. Aryana Sayeed, Ms. Bana Alabed, and a Tbilisi, Kyiv, Bucharest, Skopje, Atlanticist Fellowship with the representative from the International Women’s Media Foundation—with their introducers and the chairs of the year’s and other key European capitals. goal of bolstering US-Central Freedom Awards. The program partnered with the European ties through people-to- Digital Forensic Research Lab to people connections. The initiative ever posted on Council networks convene global strategists with continued its “Balkans Forward” (approximately a quarter million executives from technology and effort, helping to advance North views in North Macedonia in media companies from Berlin Macedonia’s Euro-Atlantic the span of two weeks, with to Silicon Valley. FEI continued integration as the country faced exposure to nearly a half million to translate the Three Seas political crises and a historic citizens of North Macedonia or Initiative from ideas to action by referendum. This effort produced one quarter of the country’s convening a major business forum one of the most-viewed videos entire population), as well as a in Bucharest connecting leaders from the Adriatic, Baltic, and Black Seas to develop specific projects to promote cross-border integration. In Warsaw, the Council 2018 IMPACT ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG built on its high-profile work in “THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL HAS BEEN A STEADFAST FRIEND the country by adding a major OF AND PRESENCE IN SOUTHEAST EUROPE, HELPING TO new CEO Summit to its portfolio ENSURE MY NATION’S DEMOCRACY IS STRONG AND PATH TO of work. NATO SECURE.” Throughout the year, FEI expanded its role as a leading H.E. Zoran Zaev, Prime Minister, Republic of North Macedonia voice on both

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 55

231180_text.indd 55 4/22/19 8:25 AM FUTURE EUROPE INITIATIVE

French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor look at a guest book inside a replica of the wagon where the Armistice was signed in 1918, 100 years after the end of the First World War, in Compiegne, France, November 10, 2018. REUTERS/Philippe Wojazer/Pool.

56 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 56 4/22/19 8:25 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

public statement by President The initiative also advanced its of freedom. In an emotional George W. Bush facilitated by the goal of restoring transatlantic awards ceremony, the Council Atlantic Council. leadership in the global economy recognized the following by advancing growth, innovation, individuals and organizations for FEI’s Transatlantic Media Network and competition policies. In its their achievements: Former US continued to bring journalists from report Making America First in Secretary of State Dr. Madeleine Europe to experience the United the Digital Economy: The Case Albright; Afghan singer, songwriter, States through travel beyond for Engaging Europe, FEI’s and human rights activist Aryana the beltway and interaction with transatlantic digital agenda work Sayeed; nine-year-old Syrian communities across the United analyzed the prospects for US- activist and author of the Dear States. In October, under the lead EU collaboration in the digital World blog Bana Alabed; and of FEI’s Northern Europe Office economy and identified potential the International Women’s in Stockholm, the Network also crisis points and next best Media Foundation. brought together former fellows steps forward. from across Europe to discuss the impact of populism on the FEI’s 2018 Freedom Awards international media landscape. returned to Berlin, Germany, The occasion also served as for its 10th anniversary for a one of several deliberate FEI powerful celebration of an all- efforts across the continent female cast of honorees, cutting to expand its European-based across generations, regions, network of influencers and next- and experiences but united in 2018 Atlantic Council Freedom Award Recipient and former US Secretary of State Dr. Madeleine K. Albright participates in the generation leaders. their commitment to the cause Atlantic Council’s 360/OS Berlin 2018.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 57

231180_text.indd 57 4/22/19 8:25 AM NAVIGATING MAJOR POWER CONFLICT

NAVIGATING MAJOR POWER CONFLICT

THE CHALLENGE a tarnishing of traditional Western into question the ability of the The 2018 US National Defense models of liberal democratic United States to defend its Strategy declares that the return capitalism, Russia and China are allies in Asia. Chinese President of great power competition moving to fill the global leadership Xi Jinping is cracking down on with Russia and China is the vacuum. Russia has invaded domestic opposition at home. greatest threat to the security Ukraine, intervened in Syria, and Abroad, he is preying on Western and economic well-being of the issued military threats against the institutions, building alternatives United States. At the end of the rest of NATO. Under Vladimir Putin, to the existing rules-based order, Cold War, the United States and Moscow is meddling in Western using military coercion to seize its allies were blessed with a democracies, seeking to divide the disputed territory, and exporting quarter-century respite from great NATO alliance, and using covert a new model of autocratic, power competition, but in recent measures to pit factions within state-led capitalism. years, autocratic great powers open societies against one other. actively seeking to revise the The threat from China is even more In short, Russia seeks to disrupt international order to their benefit daunting. China could surpass the rules-based international order have re-emerged. the United States as the world’s and China seeks to replace it. If largest economy within the decade continued unchecked, these great With increasing uncertainty about and is converting its economic powers could threaten and co-opt America’s willingness to lead and power into military might, calling US allies and engage in continued

58 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 58 4/22/19 9:38 PM DEFINING CHALLENGES

territorial aggrandizement. More must make clear to Russia and sustainable nonpartisan strategies broadly, they could seek to rewrite China that there are real costs to to address key emerging questions. the global system to the detriment challenging the rules-based order What is the goal in this new era of of the security, prosperity, and and tangible benefits to joining it. competition and what strategies values that the United States and can the United States employ to its allies hold dear. achieve it? What defense policies, OUR WORK capabilities, and alliances are Despite these challenges, many The Atlantic Council has made needed to deter conflict in Europe hope these major powers may renewed great power competition and Asia? What are the areas of still be integrated into a rules- a core priority within the Scowcroft mutual interest on which the great based order. In addition, on Center for Strategy and Security, powers can forge partnerships for some issues—including arms with many of the Council’s regional cooperation? A particular area of control, nonproliferation, climate centers and initiatives tackling the interest will be growing Russian change, and cybersecurity—there challenges associated with each and Chinese malign influence in remains a desire for great power specific power in parallel. Europe and Asia. coordination and cooperation to address common challenges. While the gears are already turning on this research agenda, the ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES Council plans to greatly expand Via its constructive relationships THE SOLUTION and scale-up its great power with US and allied governments, The United States and its allies programming with an ambitious the Council anticipates that its work must renew their ability to body of work. Although the US and recommendations related to compete with great powers government has recognized the great power competition will have from a position of advantage return of great power competition real policy impact. Ultimately, the to deter aggression, cooperate as a problem, it has not yet clearly Council seeks to translate that on areas of mutual interest, and articulated its desired goal or policy influence into an effective ensure the protection of free and strategy for managing it. The strategy to ensure that the United independent states. Atlantic Council plans to employ States and its democratic allies its unique capabilities in strategic will once again enjoy another The United States should foresight and strategy to help the long-term respite from major strengthen its military capabilities United States and its allies develop power competition. and alliances to ensure a favorable balance of military power in Europe and Asia. The United States must revitalize its economy to maintain its traditional edge “THE UNITED STATES AND ITS ALLIES in innovation. It should defend democratic institutions from MUST RENEW THEIR ABILITY TO COMPETE external interference and proudly WITH GREAT POWERS FROM A POSITION contrast its freedoms to Russian and Chinese autocracy as a central OF ADVANTAGE TO DETER AGGRESSION, feature of the competition. At the same time, where interests COOPERATE ON AREAS OF MUTUAL align, Washington must work with INTEREST, AND ENSURE THE PROTECTION Moscow and Beijing to address shared challenges. In short, it OF FREE AND INDEPENDENT STATES.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 59

231180_text.indd 59 4/22/19 9:38 PM SOUTH ASIA CENTER SOUTH ASIA CENTERSOUTH ASIA CENTER The South Asia Center manages divisions As the Atlantic Council’s focal point for work on Greater South Asia and explores economic opportunity in a and its relations with its neighbors, dynamic but volatile region of nearly two the United States, and Europe, the billion people. South Asia Center seeks to foster partnerships with key regional institutions to establish itself as a forum for dialogue and partnership. The center remains committed to working with stakeholders, partners, and experts from the region and the United States to provide comprehensive analysis and practicable recommendations for policy makers.

In 2018, the South Asia Center continued its work in the areas of traditional and non-traditional security, engaging in projects pertaining to international nuclear stability, security in Afghanistan, and regional media diplomacy, while developing a portfolio in US-India trade and exploring the growing role of India in the United States’ Indo-Pacific strategy.

The center continued its research on nuclear modernization and the future of the nonproliferation regime, technological changes and deterrence stability, the dueling significance of terrorism and internal threats to the safety of nuclear arsenals, and the future of the nuclear competition in Asia. In March, it hosted a private workshop with experts on understanding US nuclear policy and its impact across the globe. In November, the South Asia Center and the Scowcroft Center jointly hosted a workshop in Singapore to better understand the regional perspectives on global Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and Atlantic Council Executive Vice President Damon Wilson field questions during a town hall at the Munich Security Conference. nuclear stability.

60 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 60 4/22/19 8:25 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

Meanwhile, the announcement of highlighting private sector Indian police officers attend the wreath laying ceremony of their fallen colleague, who the Trump administration’s South investment in Afghanistan and the according to police was killed in an attack by suspected militants in South Kashmir’s Pulwama Asia policy in 2017 opened the role India is currently playing in district on Sunday evening, in Humhama, on doors for the center to dig deeper its development. the outskirts of Srinagar November 19, 2018. REUTERS/Danish Ismail TPX IMAGES OF into understanding what the United THE DAY. States plans to implement in the In November, the South Asia Center hosted its annual media region and how it views relations established growing initiatives diplomacy workshop in London, among the South Asian countries. in US-India commerce and US gathering journalists, media strategy in the Indo-Pacific region. Afghanistan faces a critical owners, and government officials juncture and continues to undergo from India and . The In late December 2018, the South domestic political change. In workshop provided a platform Asia Center launched a task force response, the South Asia Center for media professionals from both on US-India trade issues and developed an Afghanistan India and Pakistan to discuss their welcomed Mark Linscott, former Working Group, convening role in the bilateral relationship assistant United States trade experts from Afghanistan, during a fraught election year representative for South and Pakistan, India, and the US National for both countries. As part of the Central Asian affairs, as a senior Security Council to examine the center’s non-traditional security nonresident fellow. The center will administration’s new policy and initiative, the project on media continue to build its portfolio on how it evolved over its first year. diplomacy continued to focus on the trade relationship between The group’s report included key challenging national narratives the two countries, the impact it policy recommendations on the in India and Pakistan that harm will have on other regional trade way forward for US involvement international engagement and issues, and how it will influence in the country. The center also efforts for peace. India’s economic and political explored non-traditional elements development. of Afghan security, co-hosting a 2018 was a year of change for conference with USAID in Mumbai, the South Asia Center, which Finally, the South Asia Center

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 61

231180_text.indd 61 4/22/19 9:39 PM SOUTH ASIA CENTER

AMBASSADOR ARUN K. SINGH, FORMER AMBASSADOR OF INDIA TO THE UNITED STATES “THE SOUTH ASIA CENTER HAS SERVED AS AN EXCELLENT RESOURCE AND AN INTERLOCUTOR IN ADVANCING US - INDIA RELATIONS. OVER THE YEARS, IT HAS PLAYED A CRITICAL ROLE IN ADDRESSING KEY ISSUES SUCH AS TRADE, REGIONAL SECURITY, AND THE OVERALL BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP.”

began engagement with the the South Asia Center, along Former President and CEO of ongoing development of the with the Scowcroft Center for the Overseas Private Investment United States’ Indo-Pacific Strategy and Security, hosted a Corporation, Mr. Ray Washburne, strategy. On July 30, Secretary of private dinner discussion with to discuss how India and the embassy and US Department of other countries in the Indo-Pacific State Mike Pompeo announced State officials to discuss the way region can support their work to the administration’s Indo-Pacific forward for the implementation improve private sector investment. vision for engagement in the of the newly announced policy. In November, the center hosted region. Following his speech, During United Nations General a discussion in Singapore to Assembly (UNGA) week, the understand perceptions of the Mark Linscott, former United States trade representative for South Asia Center hosted a United States’ Indo-Pacific vision Central and South Asian affairs, discussing regional commerce at a dinner discussion on the Indo-Pacific Vision. private lunch discussion with the in the region.

62 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 62 4/22/19 9:39 PM REGIONAL CENTERS

Left to right: Nidhi Upadhyaya, Associate Director, South Asia Center; Roya Mahboob, Founder and CEO, Digital Citizen Fund; Fatemah Qaderyan, Captain and Spokesperson, Afghan All-Girls High School Robotics Team.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 63

231180_text.indd 63 4/22/19 8:25 AM AFRICA CENTER AFRICA CENTERAFRICA CENTER The Africa Center seeks to promote dynamic for a candid discussion, and in June the Africa Center recruited geopolitical partnerships with African states leading academic Dr. Pierre and to redirect US and European policy Englebert as a senior fellow. priorities toward strengthening security and The center’s preeminence was confirmed by the appointment bolstering economic growth and prosperity of Atlantic Council Vice President on the continent. and Africa Center Director Dr. J. Peter Pham to serve as the United States Special Envoy for Many intractable African declared the winner of the long- the Great Lakes Region of Africa. stalemates came to a head in awaited December 30 presidential Throughout the year, center 2018. In the Democratic Republic election, the country’s first analysis was featured in hundreds of outlets, including the BBC, CBC, of the Congo (DRC), opposition peaceful transfer of power since candidate Félix Tshisekedi was the New York Times, the Financial independence. In May, the center’s Times, and the Globe and Mail. Congo on the Edge campaign 2018 Laureate Dr. (left) The center also hosted 2018 Nobel discusses the magnitude of gender-based violence in the hosted Tshisekedi and longtime Democratic Republic of the Congo at a luncheon hosted by Africa Peace Prize Laureate Dr. Denis Center Director Dr. J. Peter Pham (right). (Atlantic Council). opposition leader Moïse Katumbi Mukwege just weeks after the elections for a private discussion on the use of rape and sexual violence as a weapon of war in the DRC.

The center’s Sudan Task Force continued to move the needle on US policy towards Sudan, guided by co-chairs Pham and Atlantic Council Board Director Amb. Mary Carlin Yates. Following a fact-finding trip to Khartoum and Darfur in January, the Task Force published three policy briefs in March, which aimed to provide recommendations to the US and Sudanese governments as they work to advance the bilateral relationship. In November, the center hosted Sudanese Foreign Minister H.E. Dr. ElDirdiri Mohamed Ahmed just days after he met with State Department officials to formally launch the “Phase II” framework to normalize relations between Washington and Khartoum.

64 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 64 4/22/19 8:25 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

The center’s publications and of analysis on these developments, Bekele Gerba, deputy chairman of the Oromo Federalist Congress, and Mr. Eskinder Nega, prominent Ethiopian journalist regular consultations with the hosting Ethiopian Foreign Minister and blogger, discuss the political situation in Ethiopia at the highest levels of government H.E. Dr. Workneh Gebeyehu just Atlantic Council. (Atlantic Council). were instrumental in finalizing hours after former Prime Minister engagement with Eritrea, drawing this renewed effort to Hailemariam Desalegn resigned on the longtime work of Africa improve relations. in February and convening opposition figures Bekele Gerba Center Director of Programs and In a historic turn of events, and Eskinder Nega just three Studies and Deputy Director Ethiopia and Eritrea found peace months after they were released Bronwyn Bruton, were validated in 2018 after decades of hostility from prison. Moreover, the when the UN Security Council and armed confrontation. The courageous efforts of the center’s lifted sanctions in December Africa Center was at the forefront Eritrea Working Group to spur re- that had isolated the country

AMBASSADOR JENDAYI E. FRAZER, BOARD DIRECTOR, ATLANTIC COUNCIL; US ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF STATE FOR AFRICAN AFFAIRS (2005 TO 2009); US AMBASSADOR TO SOUTH AFRICA (2004 TO 2005); SPECIAL ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT AND SENIOR DIRECTOR FOR AFRICAN AFFAIRS, NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL (2001 TO 2004) “WITH THE CONTINENT EXPECTED TO ACCOUNT FOR OVER ONE QUARTER OF THE WORLD’S POPULATION BY 2050, AFRICA’S STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS WILL ONLY CONTINUE TO RISE. THROUGH ITS AFRICA CENTER, THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL IS IN AN EXCELLENT POSITION TO ELEVATE THE DEBATE ON KEY ISSUES AFFECTING AFRICA AND PROVIDE SOUND ANALYSIS AS WE PREPARE FOR THE FUTURE, A FUTURE THAT IS UNEQUIVOCALLY AFRICAN.”

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 65

231180_text.indd 65 4/22/19 8:25 AM AFRICA CENTER

Supporters of Felix Tshisekedi, leader of the Congolese main opposition party, the Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) who was announced as the winner of the presidential elections, celebrate outside the party’s headquarters in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo, January 10, 2019. REUTERS/Baz Ratner.

66 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 66 4/22/19 8:25 AM REGIONAL CENTERS

for almost a decade. Bruton’s the Global Energy Center on the to new challenges emanating analysis was regularly featured in future of Africa’s energy sector, from disruptive technologies, top tier media outlets including featuring Ivorian Vice President Senior Fellow Gadzala published the BBC, NPR, AP, Foreign Policy, H.E. Daniel Kablan Duncan, a cutting-edge trifecta of Bloomberg, the New Yorker and Africa50 CEO Alain Ebobissé, publications on the implications of the New York Times throughout and industry leaders from around financial technologies, 3D printing, the year. the globe. and artificial intelligence for Africa’s economies. In November, To keep up with all of these To the surprise of many, African Hruby published a policy brief developments, the center nations rose to become the on the new US International convened numerous senior-level unexpected defenders of free Development Finance Institution officials from the United States, trade amidst growing anti-trade (USDFC) just days after the United Africa, and Europe. In March, rhetoric in 2018, with almost all States Senate joined the House of we welcomed H.E. Nana Addo fifty-four countries signing onto Representatives in passing the Dankwa Akufo-Addo, president the new African Continental Better Utilization of Investment of the Republic of Ghana, back to Free Trade Agreement. The Leading to Development (BUILD) the Atlantic Council for a luncheon center remained a leading Act, which paved the way for the with senior US government voice on these economic shifts, creation of the new $60 billion development agency. The brief’s officials and business leaders, thanks to the yeoman’s work of recommendations provide a having previously hosted him Senior Fellows Aubrey Hruby, practical outline for the policy in 2015 when he was leader of Aleksandra Gadzala, and Abdoul makers tasked with constructing the opposition. During another Salam Bello, the latter of whom the new USDFC. exceptionally busy United published a new book, La Nations General Assembly régionalisation en Afrique. Essai week in September, the Africa sur un processus d’intégration Center convened a half-day et de développement. As the In his first international trip outside of Africa, President Félix Tshisekedi Tshilombo outlines his hopes to establish a strategic conference with colleagues in continent scurries to find solutions partnership with the United States at the Atlantic Council.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 67

231180_text.indd 67 4/22/19 8:25 AM REVITALIZING THE GLOBAL SYSTEM

REVITALIZING THE GLOBAL SYSTEM

THE CHALLENGE of the order. Second, uncertain For seven decades, the United American leadership and popular States and its allies have led an backlash against globalization international order that advanced is straining US alliances and freedom, prosperity, and security creating doubts about America’s for hundreds of millions of people global role. Third, the rise of new at home and around the world. technologies and the increasing But today, this order is under siege diffusion of global power is from both within and without. transforming the geopolitical The future of the global system— landscape. As their relative shares centered around democratic of the global economy grow, China values, free and open economies, and India in particular, will have a alliances, and the rule of law—has determinative influence on the never been so uncertain. future of the international order.

Rising uncertainty about the global THE SOLUTION system stems from three key areas. The first is the increasingly bold The global system is beginning efforts by autocratic powers— to unravel, and the trend lines notably Russia and China—to are worrisome. Leaders must challenge the fundamental tenets figure out how to preserve the

68 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 68 4/22/19 8:25 AM DEFINING CHALLENGES

“THE COUNCIL’S WORK AIMS TO ENSURE THAT A US-LED COMMUNITY OF VALUES fundamental attributes of the ENDURES WITH THE CAPABILITY AND THE rules-based order while taking deliberate steps to revitalize, WILL TO MANAGE TODAY’S GREATEST adapt, and defend it. CHALLENGES.” The Atlantic Council advocates for a three-tiered approach that entails (i) revitalizing the Council’s work aims to ensure opinion leaders across India, order by deepening cooperation that a US-led community of Brazil, Argentina, South Africa, among US allies and partners values endures with the capability and other rising democracies. to advocate for shared values and the will to manage today’s The Eurasia Center and Digital and implement common greatest challenges. Forensic Research Lab are strategies; (ii) adapting the order focused on efforts to counter by revamping and updating Russian-sponsored disinformation financial and development OUR WORK campaigns and meddling in institutions to give greater voice Across its centers and programs, elections, while defending against and stake to rising powers, and the Atlantic Council has unwanted aggression. More developing new rules and norms established a solid foundation broadly, the Global Business & for emerging technologies; and to advance and defend key Economics Program is engaging (iii) defending the order against elements of a rules-based order. business leaders, economists, and autocratic challengers, while The Scowcroft Center for Strategy global experts to foster a more seeking convergence around and Security serves as a leading open, fair, and transparent global shared norms. source of expertise for developing trading system. strategies to address emerging The United States must reaffirm the global challenges. Through its ANTICIPATED OUTCOMES concept of a rules-based order as newly-launched Democratic Order a strategic umbrella for advancing Initiative, the Atlantic Council Implemented successfully, this national security interests and has established a bipartisan task effort to revitalize the global must rebuild bipartisan support force, led by former Secretary of system will provide policy among policy makers and State Madeleine Albright, former makers in the United States the broader public in favor of National Security Advisor Stephen and around the world with a this framework. At the same Hadley, former Swedish Prime strategic roadmap, backed by an time, a secure and prosperous Minister Carl Bildt, and former orchestrated public engagement international order depends on Japanese Foreign Minister Yoriko campaign, to formulate and enact the peaceful rise of China and the Kawaguchi, that has begun to the policies which will advance inclusion of a responsible Russia develop a new “Declaration of a rules-based democratic order. in the community of nations, and Principles” for advancing a rules- Achieving the following outcomes the United States and its allies based order. In addition, the will be an indicator of our success: must pursue new approaches Council has established an ongoing • Clear expressions of support to inclusively engage rising platform for dialogue among top for a revitalized global order by global powers. strategy officials and experts US officials, Congress, and key from the United States and its allies; The United States has built leading allies— the D-10 Strategy a historically unprecedented Forum—to discuss strategies • Renewed public support for network of alliances and for growing and defending the the fundamental principles of a partnerships through attraction democratic order. revitalized order; and and inspiration rather than coercion and intimidation. The Council’s Future Europe • Concrete policy actions taken American power and influence Initiative is engaging key by US officials, Congress, and derive in part from the principles interlocuters to ensure a strong key allies to implement the for which the United States transatlantic and European recommendations identified stands and the norms it helps partnership, while other regional through this initiative that to advance. These same values centers are working to advance ultimately lead to an adapted serve as a force multiplier for US a new era of partnerships rules-based order. global influence. Accordingly, the among political, business, and

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 69

231180_text.indd 69 4/23/19 3:15 PM GLOBAL CONVENINGS

70 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 70 4/22/19 8:26 AM GLOBAL CONVENINGS

72 Distinguished Leadership Awards

74 Global Citizen Awards

76 Global Energy Forum

78 NATO Engages

PHOTO: Prime Minister of Norway Erna Solberg addressing the Global Citizen Awards dinner crowd.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 71

231180_text.indd 71 4/22/19 8:26 AM DISTINGUISHED LEADERSHIP AWARDS

DISTINGUISHED LEADERSHIP AWARDS The Distinguished Leadership Awards is among the most important gatherings of global decision-makers in Washington each year, bringing together an elite audience of 800 guests from more than fifty countries. Each year, the Atlantic Council recognizes exemplary leaders who represent the highest levels of achievement across the primary pillars of the transatlantic relationship.

Former President George W. Bush and engagement” at the Atlantic worked with have “benefitted praised the Atlantic Council’s Council’s Distinguished Leadership tremendously from the Council’s important and “good works,” Awards dinner in Washington expert analysis and thinking on complex issues.” Howard Schultz contending that “the only way for on May 10, 2018. General Curtis and Gloria Estefan both spoke of peace [is] through partnership M. Scaparrotti’s remarks also their hope for the future, inspired reiterated the importance of by people bridging divides to BELOW, LEFT: President Bush addresses the audience during his global engagement, especially acceptance remarks. solve pressing challenges. transatlantic engagement, to BELOW, RIGHT: Actress and Broadway singer Ana Villafañe the United States and the world, performs in honor of Gloria Estefan with a special nod to Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz. noting that he and those he has

72 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 72 4/22/19 8:26 AM GLOBAL CONVENINGS

Left to Right: Honorees gather for an intimate DISTINGUISHED INTERNATIONAL reception prior to the dinner, including General Curtis M. Scaparrotti, Gloria Estefan, Former LEADERSHIP AWARD President George W. Bush, and Howard Schultz. PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

DISTINGUISHED MILITARY LEADERSHIP AWARD GENERAL CURTIS M. SCAPARROTTI Supreme Allied Commander Europe and Commander, US European Command

DISTINGUISHED BUSINESS LEADERSHIP AWARD HOWARD SCHULTZ Executive Chairman, Starbucks Corporation

DISTINGUISHED ARTISTIC LEADERSHIP AWARD GLORIA ESTEFAN Grammy Award-Winning Singer

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 73

231180_text.indd 73 4/22/19 8:26 AM GLOBAL CITIZEN AWARDS

GLOBAL CITIZEN AWARDS The Global Citizen Awards dinner, held 2018 GLOBAL CITIZEN AWARD RECIPIENTS annually during the United Nations General Assembly week in New York, convenes a high-level international audience of current HIS EXCELLENCY and former heads of state, members of the MAURICIO MACRI US administration, foreign dignitaries, global President of the business leaders, and world-renowned artists. Argentine Republic

The ceremony celebrates 24, 2018. There they saluted HER EXCELLENCY remarkable leaders who represent Argentine President Mauricio ERNA SOLBERG just the sort of principled, Macri, Norwegian Prime Minister Prime Minister of the visionary leadership the dinner Erna Solberg, entrepreneur and Kingdom of Norway was created to inspire. Over 500 humanitarian Hamdi Ulukaya, and guests from some fifty countries late Senator John S. McCain. gathered at Cipriani Wall Street, a HAMDI ULUKAYA New York landmark, on September Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Chobani and Founder, The Tent Partnership for Refugees

THE HON. JOHN S. MCCAIN (1936 – 2018)

Posthumous Award Accepted by Mrs. Cindy McCain

Left to Right: Dr. Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman, World Economic Forum; H.E. Erna Solberg, Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Norway; Executive Vice Chair of the Atlantic Council Ms. Adrienne Arsht; H.E. Mauricio Macri, President of the Argentine Republic; Mrs. Cindy McCain; Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Chobani and Founder of the Tent Partnership for Refugees Hamdi Ulukaya; Atlantic Council Executive Chairman Emeritus Gen. James L. Jones, USMC (Ret.); Global Citizen Awards Chairman and First Eastern Investment Group Chairman and CEO Victor L.L. Chu; and Frederick Kempe, President and CEO of the Atlantic Council.

74 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 74 4/22/19 8:26 AM GLOBAL CONVENINGS

TOP: Norwegian Prime Minister Erna Solberg addresses the audience during her acceptance remarks.

BOTTOM, RIGHT: Musician Kate Davis performs a moving rendition of Louis Armstrong’s “What a Wonderful World” in honor of the late Senator John S. McCain.

BOTTOM, LEFT: Hamdi Ulukaya speaks about his remarkable personal journey from a small village in Turkey to becoming the Founder, Chairman, and CEO of Chobani - exemplifying the dream of all migrants and refugees - the hope of a better future.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 75

231180_text.indd 75 4/22/19 8:26 AM GLOBAL ENERGY FORUM

GLOBAL ENERGY FORUM The Atlantic Council Global Energy Forum in Abu Dhabi annually convenes the world’s top energy and foreign policy decisionmakers to set the global energy agenda for the year ahead and examine the longer-term geopolitical and geoeconomic implications of the changing energy system.

The forum, which was part of Abu Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme confronting the energy industry Dhabi Sustainability Week, was Commander of the United Arab in the coming year, develop new held under the patronage of His Emirates Armed Forces, and in partnerships, and demonstrate Highness Sheikh Mohammed Bin partnership with the UAE Ministry thought leadership on the energy, Zayed Al Nahyan, Crown Prince of of Energy and Industry, ADNOC, security, and economic trends and Mubadala. shaping our world. The 2019 forum was held with a specific focus on BELOW, LEFT: Hadley Gamble, Reporter and Anchor at CNBC The forum has become the speaking at the third annual Global Energy. go-to energy conference for the future of oil, the digitalization BELOW, RIGHT: (Left to right) H.E. Mohammed Al-Rumhy, government officials and policy of energy, diversification within Minister of Oil and Gas, Sultanate of Oman, H.E. Suhail Al energy companies and countries, Mazrouei, Minister of Energy and Industry, United Arab Emirates, makers, business leaders, and H.E. Dr. Sultan Al Jaber, Minister of State, United Arab and investors to discuss the and had a regional emphasis on Emirates and Chief Executive Officer, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company at the third annual Global Energy Forum. geopolitical and market issues East and Southeast Asia.

76 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 76 4/22/19 8:26 AM GLOBAL CONVENINGS

TOP: Musabbeh Al Kaabi, Chief Executive Officer, Petroleum and Petrochemicals at Mubadala Investment Company speaking at the third annual Global Energy Forum with Claudio Descalzi, Chief Executive Officer of Eni on his left, and Frederick Kempe, President and CEO of the Atlantic Council on his right.

ABOVE, LEFT: Helima Croft, Managing Director and Global Head of Commodity Strategy, Global Research at RBC Capital Markets speaking at the third annual Global Energy Forum.

ABOVE, RIGHT: (L to R) The Hon. Frank Fannon, Assistant Secretary for the Bureau of Energy Resources at the US Department of State and Amb. Paula Dobriansky, Senior Fellow, Future of Diplomacy Project, JFK Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, of Government speaking at the third annual Global Energy Forum.

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 77

231180_text.indd 77 4/22/19 8:26 AM NATO ENGAGES NATO ENGAGESNATO ENGAGES On July 11-12, 2018, heads of state and government, military leaders, and senior officials gathered in Brussels for the 2018 NATO Summit, hosted at the Alliance’s new headquarters.

The Atlantic Council, in partnership complemented the main Summit’s analyzing, and promoting public with NATO, the German Marshall themes in a specially built venue understanding of history’s most Fund of the United States (GMF), within the security parameters of effective and enduring alliance. Women in International Security NATO’s new home and took on a Using a range of unique and Brussels (WIIS), and the Munich role of outsized importance. engaging formats, this high-profile Security Conference (MSC) hosted event engaged a diverse array of the official public-facing outreach At a time of uncertainty experts and leaders, including event on the sidelines of the surrounding NATO’s future, the next generation voices and women from around the world, in official Summit. ‘NATO Engages: Atlantic Council doubled down on an open debate about current and The Brussels Summit Dialogue’ its founding mission of supporting, future security threats and NATO’s role in addressing them. Among the eighty-three speakers we convened, our event became the public platform for heads of state and government officials to issue their support for NATO, provide read outs from the closed-door summit meetings, and engage in candid discussions around the issues that challenge the future of the Alliance.

The format and agenda broke new ground. Our stage ‘in the round’ created an open forum enabling dialogue and debate to flourish between world leaders, dignitaries, experts, NATO’s leaders and participants. NATO’s Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg, opened the first day’s session. Deputy Secretary General Rose Gottemoeller gave a read out of the Summit on the second day. Leaders such as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of Canada; Prime Minister Zaev of

Icelandic Prime Minister Katrín Jakobsdóttir addresses NATO Engages, July 2018.

78 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 78 4/22/19 9:42 PM GLOBAL CONVENINGS NATO ENGAGES

the Former Yugoslav Republic ABOVE: NATO Engages main studio, July 2018.

of North Macedonia; Presidents RIGHT: Canadian Prime Minister Justin Poroshenko and Margvelashvili Trudeau delivers an address to NATO Engages, July 2018. of Ukraine and Georgia; Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) and social media, garnering 153 Thom Tillis (R-NC), and many million impressions. The two- others used the stage to day long dialogue underscored address issues of importance key Atlantic Council strengths. to the transatlantic partnership. Firstly, it convened leaders at the As well as on-stage debates, highest levels around the most plenary sessions, and networking pressing challenges. Secondly, receptions, participants joined we worked alongside partners— smaller breakout sessions. in this case the Munich Security These featured scenario-based Conference, the German Marshall discussions and included Fund, and Women in International interactive demonstrations on Security—to magnify our potential digital forensics, disinformation, for impact. and inclusive security. All 1,200 accredited journalists had access to the event, and the #NATOEngages hashtag was used 16,000 times on

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 79

231180_text.indd 79 4/22/19 8:26 AM COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE

80 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 80 4/23/19 3:27 PM COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE

82 Board of Directors

83 International Advisory Board

84 Honor Roll Contributors

86 Financial Summary

PHOTO: NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg delivers his speech at NATO Engages, July 2018. Credit: Carmen Romero/Twitter

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 81

231180_text.indd 81 4/23/19 3:27 PM BOARD OF DIRECTORS + INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD

BOARD OF DIRECTORS

CHAIRMAN *Helima Croft Edward J. Newberry Ralph D. Crosby, Jr. Thomas R. Nides *John F.W. Rogers Nelson W. Cunningham Franco Nuschese Ivo H. Daalder Joseph S. Nye EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN *Ankit N. Desai Hilda Ochoa-Brillembourg EMERITUS *Paula J. Dobriansky Ahmet M. Oren *James L. Jones Thomas J. Egan, Jr. Sally A. Painter *Stuart E. Eizenstat *Ana I. Palacio CHAIRMAN EMERITUS Thomas R. Eldridge Carlos Pascual *Alan H. Fleischmann Alan Pellegrini Brent Scowcroft Jendayi E. Frazer David H. Petraeus Ronald M. Freeman Thomas R. Pickering PRESIDENT AND CEO Courtney Geduldig Daniel B. Poneman *Frederick Kempe Robert S. Gelbard Dina H. Powell Gianni Di Giovanni Robert Rangel EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRS Thomas H. Glocer Thomas J. Ridge *Adrienne Arsht Murathan Günal Michael J. Rogers *Stephen J. Hadley John B. Goodman Charles O. Rossotti *Sherri W. Goodman Harry Sachinis *Amir A. Handjani VICE CHAIRS Katie Harbath Stephen Shapiro *Robert J. Abernethy John D. Harris, II Wendy Sherman *Richard W. Edelman Frank Haun Kris Singh *C. Boyden Gray Michael V. Hayden Christopher Smith *Alexander V. Mirtchev Brian C. McK. Henderson James G. Stavridis *Virginia A. Mulberger Annette Heuser Richard J.A. Steele *W. DeVier Pierson Paula Stern *John J. Studzinski *Karl V. Hopkins Robert J. Stevens Robert D. Hormats Mary Streett TREASURER *Mary L. Howell Ellen O. Tauscher *George Lund Ian Ihnatowycz Nathan D. Tibbits Wolfgang F. Ischinger Frances M. Townsend SECRETARY Deborah Lee James Clyde C. Tuggle Reuben Jeffery, III Melanne Verveer *Walter B. Slocombe Joia M. Johnson Charles F. Wald Stephen R. Kappes Michael F. Walsh DIRECTORS *Maria Pica Karp Geir Westgaard Stéphane Abrial Andre Kelleners Maciej Witucki Odeh Aburdene Sean Kevelighan Neal S. Wolin Todd Achilles Henry A. Kissinger Jenny Wood *Peter Ackerman *C. Jeffrey Knittel Guang Yang Timothy D. Adams Franklin D. Kramer Mary C. Yates Bertrand-Marc Allen Laura Lane Dov S. Zakheim *Michael Andersson Richard L. Lawson David D. Aufhauser Jan M. Lodal HONORARY DIRECTORS Matthew C. Bernstein James A. Baker, III Jane Holl Lute *Rafic A. Bizri Ashton B. Carter William J. Lynn Dennis C. Blair Robert M. Gates Wendy W. Makins Thomas L. Blair Michael G. Mullen Zaza Mamulaishvili Philip M. Breedlove Leon E. Panetta Mian M. Mansha Reuben E. Brigety II William J. Perry Chris Marlin Myron Brilliant Colin L. Powell Gerardo Mato * Condoleezza Rice Timothy McBride R. Nicholas Burns George P. Shultz John M. McHugh *Richard R. Burt Horst Teltschik H.R. McMaster Michael Calvey John W. Warner Eric D.K. Melby James E. Cartwright William H. Webster John E. Chapoton Franklin C. Miller *Judith A. Miller Ahmed Charai *Executive Committee Members Susan Molinari Melanie Chen List as of April 23, 2019 Michael Chertoff Michael J. Morell *George Chopivsky Richard Morningstar Wesley K. Clark Mary Claire Murphy

82 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 82 4/23/19 3:25 PM COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE

INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD

LEADERSHIP Mr. David McCormick Lt. Gen. Brent Scowcroft, Mr. Frederick Kempe Chairman International USAF (Ret.) President & CEO Advisory Board Chairman Emeritus

Secretary Mr. Claudio Descalzi President Aleksander Secretary Lawrence Madeleine Albright CEO Kwaśniewski H. Summers Former US Secretary Eni Former President of Poland Former US Secretary of State of the Treasury Mr. Markus Dohle Ambassador Giampiero Mr. Anil D. Ambani CEO Massolo Mr. Adam Tan Chairman Chairman CEO Reliance Group Fincantieri SpA HNA Group Mr. Richard W. Edelman Mr. Philippe Amon President and CEO Secretary Ernest Moniz Mr. James Temerty Chairman and CEO Edelman Former United States Chairman SICPA Holding SA Secretary of Energy Northland Power Inc. Dr. Thomas Enders Mr. Tewodros Ashenafi CEO Mr. Alexey A. Mordashov Prime Minister Helle Founder, Chairman Airbus Chairman Thorning-Schmidt and CEO Severstal Former Prime Minister of SouthWest Holdings Mr. Thomas A. Fanning Denmark Chairman, President, Mr. Robert E. Moritz Prime Minister and CEO Chairman and Senior Mr. Jacob Wallenberg Shaukat Aziz Southern Company Partner Chairman Investor AB Former Prime Minister PricewaterhouseCoopers of Pakistan Mr. Mario Greco International Limited Ambassador Robert CEO B. Zoellick Prime Minister José Zurich Insurance Group Ltd Mr. Former President of the María Aznar Executive Chairman World Bank Former Prime Minister Mr. Mehmet N. Günal 21st Century Fox of Spain Founder, Chairman of the List as of April 17, 2019 Board, and President Ms. Ebru Özdemir Prime Minister Carl Bildt MNG Group of Companies Chairwoman Former Prime Minister and Limak Investments Minister for Foreign Affairs Secretary Charles T. Hagel of Sweden Former US Secretary Mr. Victor Pinchuk of Defense Founder Dr. Fatih Birol East One Ltd. Executive Director Mr. Bahaa R. Hariri International The Rt. Hon. Lord Energy Agency Ms. Marillyn A. Hewson Robertson of Port Ellen Chairman, President, Former Secretary General Mr. J. Neal Blue and CEO of NATO Chairman and CEO Lockheed Martin General Atomics Corporation Prime Minister Kevin M. Rudd Mr. Håkan Buskhe Mr. Yongsoo Huh Former Prime Minister President and CEO President and CEO of Australia SAAB AB GS EPS Mr. Stephen A. Mr. Victor L.L. Chu Mr. Hunter Hunt Schwarzman Chairman and CEO President and CEO Chairman, CEO, and First Eastern Hunt Consolidated Co-Founder Investment Group Energy, LLC The Blackstone Group

Lt. Gen. James Clapper, Jr. Mr. Majid H. Jafar Mr. James C. Smith Former US Director of CEO President and CEO National Intelligence Crescent Petroleum Thomson Reuters

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 83

231180_text.indd 83 4/23/19 3:25 PM HONOR ROLL OF CONTRIBUTORS

HONOR ROLL OF CONTRIBUTORS

$1,000,000+ Discovery Communications Equinor Gulf Services DLA Piper LLP (US) DONATIONS Edelman ExxonMobil Corporation East Asia Foundation Adrienne Arsht Embassy of Japan to the EY Geostrategic Business Elbit Systems of America, Inc. British Foreign and United States Group Engie North America Commonwealth Office Eni S.p.A. Fincantieri Marine Group Kenneth Falke Embassy of the United Arab Etihad Airways The Hon. Robert S. Gelbard FedEx Corporation Emirates to the United General Atomics Gemini Industries, Inc. First Eastern (Holdings) Ltd. States Google, Inc. Grid Market Research Alan H. Fleischmann and Facebook, Inc. Ambassador C. Boyden Gray Stephen Hadley Dafna Tapiero of Laurel Bahaa R. Hariri Anis Haggar Hanesbrands Inc. Strategies, Inc. Amir A. Handjani The Howard Baker Forum Ford Motor Company HNA Group The Initiatives Ronald M. Freeman Yongsoo Huh Foundation Thomas Glocer $500,000 – $999,999 Instituto de Empresa, S.L. Hunt Consolidated, Inc. Gulf Petroleum DONATIONS Lockheed Martin Corporation Ian Ihnatowycz HackerOne OCP Foundation Magyar Foundation of North Insurance Information Ian Hague Smith Richardson Foundation, America Institute Roger Hertog Inc. David McCormick and Dina Nicole and Andre Kelleners Huntington Ingalls Industries, System Capital Management Powell Kibar Holding Inc. United States Department of Ministry of Energy and Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung Japan External Trade State Industry of the United Arab Krauss-Maffei Wegmann Organization The Wallenberg Foundations Emirates Lane Power & Energy Johns Hopkins University Dr. Alexander V. Mirtchev Solutions, Inc. Applied Physics Lab Ambassador Richard Leonardo S.p.A. JPMorgan Chase & Co. $250,000 – $499,000 Morningstar M.H. Alshaya Co. Kuwait Petroleum DONATIONS Ploughshares Fund McLarty Associates Corporation Abu Dhabi National Oil Raytheon Company Microsoft Corporation Lennar International Company RBC Foundation Ministry of Defense of the LexisNexis Airbus Group SE Royal Norwegian Ministry Republic of Lithuania John D. Macomber J. Neal Blue of Defence Ministry of Finance, Japan Mannheim LLC Çalik Holding Royal Norwegian Ministry Alexey Mordashov Mian M. Mansha Cheniere Energy, Inc. of Foreign Affairs Nestlé S.A. MBDA Inc. Chevron Corporation S&P Global Noble Energy McKinsey & Company Crescent Petroleum Schultz Family Foundation Ahmet M. Oren The MITRE Corporation Embassy of Denmark to the SICPA HOLDING SA Petrofac Muse Ventures Ltd. United States SK Group W. DeVier Pierson NADAV Foundation HSBC Holdings plc SNSPA Romania S.C. Johnson & Son, Inc. National Endowment for The John D. and Catherine T. Squire Patton Boggs Safran Democracy MacArthur Foundation Starbucks Coffee Company SAIC NATO Korea Foundation Tellurian Inc. Semnani Family Foundation Nominet UK Limak Holding Total Wine & More Omar Shawaf Northrop Grumman MNG Group of Companies Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. Dr. Kris Singh Corporation Mubadala Development Twitter, Inc. Statoil Gulf Services Parsons Corporation Company Ukrlandfarming Plc Tekfen Penguin Random House Open Society Foundations Textron Inc. PGE Polska Grupa PKO Bank Polski Academy Thomson Reuters Energetyczna S.A. Rockefeller Brothers Fund United States Department Total S.A. PhRMA Saab North America, Inc. of Defense TÜPRAŞ Lisa A. Pollina Swedish Ministry for Foreign United Technologies United States Air Force The Procter & Gamble Affairs Corporation Venture Global LNG, Inc. Company James C. Temerty Ambassador Ronald Weiser Zagorii Family Office Renaissance Strategic Trans-Oil International Zurich Insurance Group Ltd Advisors The Victor Pinchuk Charles O. Rossotti Foundation $50,000 – $99,000 Saras S.p.A. Ambassador Rockwell DONATIONS $25,000 – $49,999 Schnabel Robert J. Abernethy DONATIONS Stephen Shapiro $100,000 – $249,000 Accenture Alsea Shell Oil Company AM General, LLC Amit Yoran Family Charitable DONATIONS Sonatype Anonymous ANA Holdings Trust The Starr Foundation APEX Brasil Arabia Foundation Plácido Arango Jr. Ambassador Thomas The Asfari Foundation Ayman Asfari David Aufhauser Stephenson Baker McKenzie Beretta USA Corporation Aydın Doğan Foundation Sumitomo Corporation of Bank Pekao S.A. Alice and Tom Blair Bank of America Corporation Americas Blackstone Charitable The Boeing Company Beacon Global Strategies A&M University Foundation Café Milano Ambassador Colleen Bell Thales USA, Inc. BP America Inc. Michael Calvey Hilda Ochoa-Brillembourg United Service Organizations BP p.l.c. Center for International and Arturo E. Brillembourg (USO) British Consulate General Strategic Studies Centrus Energy Corp. United States Chamber of Istanbul Ahmed Charai Chobani Commerce Burisma Cigna Corporation in the Carnegie Corporation of New ClearPath Foundation City of New York Venable LLP York Danish Ministry of Defence ConocoPhillips WPP Group Plc. Chopivsky Family Foundation Embassy of Australia to the Consolidated Contractors CNN United States Company Dentons EmiTel S.A. Deloitte

84 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 84 4/23/19 3:25 PM COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE

$10,000 – $24,999 $5,000 – $9,999 $1,000 – $4,999 UP TO $999 DONATIONS DONATIONS DONATIONS DONATIONS Dr. Odeh Aburdene 3M Company Alvand Abdolsalehi American-Lithuanian Business Aeropuertos Argentina 2000 Aegean Airlines Ali Ahmad Council Muddassar Ahmed Ajamie LLP Iskander Akylbayev Ambassador Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Colonel Stuart K. Archer Elinor Bachrach Australian Department of Feld LLP Arnold & Porter, LLP Nisha Biswal Foreign Affairs and Trade Arizona State University Margaret Bennett Ambassador Reuben E. Avascent Group The Asan Institute for Policy Admiral Dennis Blair Brigety II Ambassador Catherine Bailey Studies Darlene Bookoff Neil Brown Baker, Donelson, Bearman, CEFC China Energy Dr. Esther Brimmer Bronwyn Bruton Caldwell & Berkowitz General Michael Cirami Sebastian Burduja Raj Boveja Cooley LLP Ambassador Ivo Daalder Welton Chang David Burgstahler Trammell Crow Dr. Brian Dailey Arnold Dupuy John E. Chapoton Bruno Cucinelli Devang Doshi Vicente Garcia Secretary Michael Chertoff The Daschle Group Embassy of Lithuania to the Steve Grundman Citi Richard Edelman United States Zafar Hashemi The Coca-Cola Company Ambassador Stuart E. Embassy of Norway to the E.C. Michael Higgins Cubic Corporation Eizenstat United States Walter Juraszek Dutch National Police Excelerate Energy Paige Ennis Kurt Klingenberger Ecologic Institute The Feitelberg Family ForeScout Technologies Carrie Kolasky Embassy of Hungary to the Foundation Andrew Frank Richards Kols United States Ambassador Jendayi E. The Fraser Institute Michael Maibach Ambassador April Foley Frazer Krishna Guha Jason Marczak German Federal Foreign Frontera Resources Ambassador Frederic Hof Andrew Marshall Office Sherri Goodman William J. Hybl David Martinez Goldman Sachs Chris Griner Innovation Norway Dr. Margarita Mathiopoulos Government of the Republic Hilton Institute for the Analysis of Kristi Pappalardo of Hungary Mellody Hobson Global Security Dr. Walter Parchomenko Hong Kong Economic and Institute for National Security International Center on Philip Pilevsky Trade Office, USA Strategy Nonviolent Conflict Sinziana E. Poianna JCDecaux Group Irving Oil Josef Korbel School of Alvin Salehi Sunbong Kim Secretary Deborah Lee International Studies, Peter Seat The Honorable Franklin D. James University of Denver Steven E. Steiner Kramer Frederick Kempe and Pamela Roger Krakoff Samuel Taylor Geraldine Kunstadter Meyer Dr. Matthew Kroenig Maria L. Tufino The Honorable and Mrs. Jan Governor Dirk Kempthorne General Richard L. Lawson Julie Varghese M. Lodal Kongsberg Defense Systems Dr. Eric D.K. Melby Gina E. Wood Marsh & McLennan L3 Technologies Mark Meyer John Woodworth Companies Christopher Lawrence Franklin C. Miller David Metzner Bailey Litherland Fay Moghtader Morgan Stanley Ambassador Douglas Lute Noblis Virginia A Mulberger Wendy W. Makins Norwegian-American This list represents cash Perkins Coie LLP Marine Corps University Defense Industry Council support received January 1, General (Ret.) and Mrs. David Secretary John McHugh Dr. 2018 - December 31, 2018. H. Petraeus Judith Miller Sally A. Painter Pioneer Natural Resources Ministry of National Defense Dr. J. Peter Pham PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP of the Republic of Korea Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw The Atlantic Council is Rassini Michael J. Morell Pittman LLP grateful for the generous Royal Canadian Air Force Pirelli The Honorable Michael J. support of its partners. We SAAB Technologies Poland Laura Heery Prozes and Rogers strive to be complete and Sp. z o.o. Andrew Prozes Lawrence Rogow Jungbae Seo Rafael Del Pino Fundacion Ambassador Wendy R. accurate in our recognition of Walter Slocombe Rockefeller & Co., Inc. Sherman our contributors. We regret SNAM S.p.A. Dan and Jackie Safier Admiral James G. Stavridis any errors or omissions. Ambassador Craig Stapleton Sherpa Prep Spindrift Al Swaidi SYPartners Trafigura Group Pte. Ltd. Matthew Swift The Honorable Ellen O. Enzo Viscusi Thales Group Tauscher Dr. Celeste Wallander Frances Townsend Transatlantic Policy Network Damon M. Wilson Scott Van Buskirk Türkiye Petrolleri Ambassador Jean-Louis Dr. Ronald P. Verdicchio Dr. Harlan Ullman Wolzfeld Ambassador Melanne Verveer War Yorktown Solutions College The Honorable Dov Zakheim Ambassador Rodolphe M. & Deborah Zakheim Vallee General Charles Wald Neal S. Wolin

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 85

231180_text.indd 85 4/24/19 11:38 AM FINANCIAL SUMMARY

Combined Statement of Activities and Change in Net Assets FINANCIAL SUMMARY For the Year Ended December 31, 2018*

Temporarily ($000s) Unrestricted Restricted FY 2018 FY 2017 Change REVENUE Individual Contributions $ 1,273 $ 2,859 $ 4,132 $ 14,408 Corporate Support 3,675 10,348 14,023 12,434 Foundations 103 3,630 3,733 5,209 Grants and Contracts 61 6,615 6,676 5,332 In-kind Contributed Services and Materials 550 - 550 695 Events and Other Revenue 9 - 9 (1) Investment Return Designated for Operations 188 537 726 1,469 Net Assets Released from Restrictions 23,773 (23,773) - - TOTAL REVENUE $ 29,631 $ 216 $ 29,848 $ 39,546 -24.5%

OPERATING EXPENSES PROGRAM/CENTER EXPENSES Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center $ 2,128 $ - $ 2,128 $ 1,902 Adrienne Arsht Center for Resilience 907 - 907 774 Africa Center 1,264 - 1,264 1,145 Digital Forensic Research Lab 1,981 - 1,981 1,030 Eurasia Center 2,125 - 2,125 1,564 Future Europe Initiative 1,981 - 1,981 2,515 Global Business & Economics Program 638 - 638 690 Global Energy Center 3,470 - 3,470 4,323 Millennium Leadership Program 729 - 729 582 Middle East Programs 1,873 - 1,873 2,738 Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security 5,911 - 5,911 6,230 South Asia Center 1,143 - 1,143 1,150 TOTAL PROGRAM/CENTER EXPENSES $ 24,151 $ - $ 24,151 $ 24,611

SUPPORTING SERVICES Management and General $ 2,777 $ - $ 2,777 $ 2,375 Fundraising 2,711 - 2,711 2,576 Total Supporting Service Expenses 5,487 - 5,487 4,951 TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES $ 29,639 $ - $ 29,639 $ 29,562 0.3%

CHANGE IN NET ASSETS BEFORE $ (7) $ 216 $ 209 $ 9,985 NON-OPERATING ACTIVITIES

NON-OPERATING ACTIVITIES Investment Income $ (29) $ (991) $ (1,020) $ 3,015 Investment Return Utilized for Operations (188) (537) (726) (1,469)

CHANGE IN NET ASSETS (225) (1,312) (1,537) 11,530

Net Assets at Beginning of Year 3,814 34,145 37,959 26,429 NET ASSETS AT END OF YEAR $ 3,590 $ 32,833 $ 36,422 $ 37,959 -4.0%

*2018 data is preliminary and unaudited; 2017 is audited

86 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 86 4/23/19 3:26 PM COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE

Combined Statement of Financial Position As of December 31, 2018*

($000s) FY 2018 FY 2017 ASSETS Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 5,347 $ 2,923 Contributions and Grants Receivable 15,478 18,359 Prepaid Expenses and Other 604 521 Fixed Assets (Net) 4,277 4,729 Investments 17,355 19,039 TOTAL ASSETS $ 43,061 $ 45,570

LIABILITIES Accounts Payable $ 783 $ 1,358 Accrued Vacation 380 538 Deferred Revenue 34 59 Capital Lease Obligation 91 141 Deferred Rent 5,202 5,367 Other Long Term Liabilities 149 149 TOTAL LIABILITIES $ 6,639 $ 7,611

NET ASSETS Without donor restrictions $ 3,590 $ 3,814 With donor restrictions 32,833 34,145 TOTAL NET ASSETS $ 36,422 $ 37,959

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET ASSETS $ 43,061 $ 45,570

*2018 data is preliminary and unaudited; 2017 is audited

DIVERSITY OF SUPPORT - LONG-TERM GROWTH FY 2018 REVENUE AND SUSTAINABILITY

$40

14% $35 2%

2% $30

47% $25

22% $20

13% $15

$10

$5

$0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Investment Return Foundation Individual Grants & Contracts Current Revenue ($M) Net Assets ($M) Corporate In-Kind Revenue Designated for Designated Revenue Future Years Applied

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT 87

231180_text.indd 87 4/23/19 3:26 PM RIGHT: Atlantic Council Vice Chair Adrienne Arsht cuts the ribbon to launch the Adrienne Arsht Center for Resilience Bookshelf at the Atlantic Council in November 2018.

BELOW, LEFT: Atlantic Council staff Summer Social at Nationals Park in July 2018, Washington, DC.

BOTTOM: Atlantic Council team photo at NATO Engages, July 11-12, 2018, Brussels, Belgium.

88 ATLANTIC COUNCIL

231180_text.indd 88 4/22/19 8:27 AM THROUGH THE COMMUNITIES OF INFLUENCE PAPERS WE WRITE, CREDITS & ATTRIBUTIONS

Editorial Directors: Susan Cavan, Becca THE IDEAS WE Hunziker Lead Editor: Maureen McGrath Image Editing: Nancy Messieh Concept and Design: Orange Element, LLC Printing: HBP, Inc

Image Credits GENERATE, AND All images not credited are property of the Atlantic Council. The Atlantic Council is a nonpartisan organization that promotes constructive leadership and engagement in international affairs based on the central role of the THE COMMUNITIES Atlantic community in meeting today’s global challenges. © 2019 The Atlantic Council of the United States. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without WE BUILD, THE permission in writing from the Atlantic Council, except in the case of brief quotations in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. Please direct inquiries to: Atlantic Council 1030 15th Street, NW, 12th Floor, COUNCIL SHAPES Washington, DC 20005 (800) 380-6004, www.AtlanticCouncil.org POLICY CHOICES

TOP: Damon Wilson at the Atlantic Council’s 360/OS event in June 2018, Berlin, Germany.

CENTER: Atlantic Council staff photo at the Global Citizen AND STRATEGIES Awards in New York City, New York, September, 2018.

BOTTOM: Carl Bildt, Madeleine Albright, and Frederick Kempe at TO CREATE the Atlantic Council’s 2018 Freedom Awards in Berlin, Germany. A MORE SECURE AND PROSPEROUS 2018 / 2019 WORLD. ANNUAL REPORT 2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT

231180_cover.indd 4-6 4/23/19 2:54 PM MEETING THE MOMENT: SHAPING THE FUTURE

2018 / 2019 ANNUAL REPORT

1030 15th Street, NW 12th floor Washington, DC 20005 (202) 778-4952

ATLANTICCOUNCIL.ORG

@AtlanticCouncil facebook.com/AtlanticCouncil/ @atlanticcouncil

231180_cover.indd 1-3 4/22/19 9:02 AM