Project funded by the European Commission under the 5th (EC) RTD Framework Programme (1998 - 2002) within the thematic programme "Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development" Project ANEMOS “Development of a Next Generation Wind Resource Forecasting System Contract No.: ENK5-CT-2002-00665 for the Large-Scale Integration of Onshore and Offshore Wind Farms” The State-Of-The-Art in Short-Term Prediction of Wind Power A Literature Overview Version 1.1 AUTHOR: Gregor Giebel AFFILIATION: Risø National Laboratory ADDRESS: P.O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde TEL.: +45 4677 5095 EMAIL:
[email protected] FURTHER AUTHORS: Richard Brownsword, RAL; George Kariniotakis, ARMINES REVIEWER: ANEMOS WP-1 members APPROVER: Gregor Giebel Document Information DOCUMENT TYPE Deliverable report D1.1 DOCUMENT NAME: ANEMOS_D1.1_StateOfTheArt_v1.1.pdf REVISION: 5 REV. DATE: 2003.08.12 CLASSIFICATION: Public STATUS: Approved Abstract: Based on an appropriate questionnaire (WP1.1) and some other works already in progress, this report details the state-of-the-art in short term prediction of wind power, mostly summarising nearly all existing literature on the topic. ANEMOS ANEMOS_D1.1_StateOfTheArt_v1.1.pdf, 2003.08.12. Contents 1. Introduction......................................................................................................... 3 1.1 The typical model chain................................................................................... 3 1.2 Typical results ................................................................................................