Table of Contents

1. Atmospheric data assimilation schemes, analysis and initialization, data impact studies, observing system experiments

Author Paper Title Country Pages L. Duc, T. Koruda, K. Saito and Data assimilation experiments of Myanmar cyclone 01-03 T. Fujita Nargis based on NHM-LETKF Radar reflectivity assimilation in JMA’s operational Y. Ikuta Japan 01-05 meso-analysis system Simplified basic state update in the JMA global 4D- T. Ishibashi Japan 01-07 Var A new inner model with a higher horizontal T. Kadowaki and K. Yoshimoto resolution (TL319) in JMA’s Global 4D-Var data Japan 01-09 assimilation system Assimilation experiments involving surface-sensitive M. Kazumori microwave radiances in JMA’s global data Japan 01-11 assimilation system Initial assessment of FY-3A microwave temperature M. Kazumori and H. Murata sounder radiance data in JMA’s global data Japan 01-13 assimilation system T. Kuroda, T. Fujita, H. Seko Construction of Mesoscale LETKF Data Assimilation Japan 01-15 and K. Saito Experiment System N. Saint-Ramond, A. Forecast sensitivity to observations at Météo-France Doerenbecher, F. Rabier, Application to GPS radio-occultation data France 01-17 V. Guidard, N. Fourrié GPS TPW Assimilation with the JMA Nonhydrostatic K. Saito, Y. Shoji, S. Origuchi, 4DVAR and Cloud Resolving Ensemble Forecast for Japan 01-19 L. Duc and H. Seko the 2008 August Metropolitan Area Local Heavy Rainfalls H. Seko, S. Kogure and T. Observation System Simulation Experiments of Japan 01-21 Tsuda Quasi-Zenith Satellite H. Seko, K. Saito, O. Suzuki and Impacts of the low-level convergence data on the A. Adachi local heavy rainfall Japan 01-23

H. Seko, T. Tsuyuki and K. Improvements of the nested LETKF system - Saito Impacts of GPS water vapor data and synergistic Japan 01-25 effects of GPS water vapor data and wind data - Data assimilation in a two-scale model with Kalman T. Tsuyuki Japan 01-27 filters Table of Contents

2. Data sets, diagnostic and dynamical investigations, statistical post- processing , multi-year reanalyses and associated studies

Author Paper Title Country Pages F. Chen, B. Geyer, H. von Radar reflectivity assimilation in JMA’s operational Germany 02-03 Storch and M. Zahn meso-analysis system Verification of high resolution ensemble forecasts L. Duc, K. Saito and H. Seko using the 4-dimensional Fractions Japan 02-05 Skill Score Development of Extreme Weather Warning Products M. Harada and Y. Takaya Japan 02-07 with JMA One-month Ensemble Prediction System I.I. Mokhov, A.R. Lupo and M.A. Blockings Activity in the Northern Hemisphere: Russia Prokofyeva Tendencies of Change for Last Decades 02-09

I.I. Mokhov and N.A. Nikitina Dynamics of Atmospheric Centers of Action Russia 02-11 Reanalysis data validation using the annual A. Muraviev and I. Kulikova variation of daily climatic characteristics as Russia 02-13 compared to station observations

F. Rabier, S. Cohn, P. The Concordiasi field experiment over Antarctica: Cocquerez, A. Hertzog, L. first results from innovative atmospheric Avallone, T. Deshler, J. Haase, measurements T. Hock, A. Doerenbecher, J. Wang, V. Guidard, J-N. Thépaut, R. Langland, A. Tangborn, G. Balsamo, E. Brun, D. Parsons, J. Bordereau, C. France 02-15 Cardinali, F. Danis, J-P. Escarnot, N. Fourrié, R. Gelaro, C. Genthon, K. Ide, L. Kalnaj, C. Martin, L-F. Meunier, J-M. Nicot, T. Perttula, N. Potts, P. Ragazzo, D. Richardson, S. Sosa-Sesma and A. Vargas

J.A. Screen and I. Simmonds Arctic warming and the trend from snowfall to rain Australia 02-17 WGNE Intercomparison of Track A. Shimokobe, H. Umezu and Forecasts from Operational Global Models and Japan S. Moriyasu 02-19 Regional Models

Trends in the behaviour of 850 hPa fronts in the I. Simmonds Australia southern extratropics 02-21

I. Simmonds, K. Keay and J.A.T. Southern Ocean atmospheric fronts identified in Australia Bye ERA-Interim 02-23 Table of Contents

Author Paper Title Country Pages L. Xia, H. von Storch and F. A Study of Quasi-millennial Germany Feser Activity Using Tracking and Clustering Methods 02-25

3. Computational studies including new techniques, the effect of varying model resolution, parallel processing

Author Paper Title Country Pages R.J. Purser and M. Rancic Conformal Overset Grids USA 03-03 Development of a nonhydrostatic global spectral Japan H. Yoshimura atmospheric model using double Fourier series 03-05

4. Parameterization of important atmospheric and surface processes, effects of different parameterizations

Author Paper Title Country Pages Moist-entropic vertical adiabatic lapse rates: the J-F. Geleyn and P. Marquet standard cases and some lead towards France 04-03 inhomogeneous conditions Effects of atmospheric planetary and surface S. Kanada and A. Wada boundary-layer schemes on simulations of intense Japan 04-05 tropical cyclones The impact of a non-orographic gravity wave drag T. Kanehama parameterization scheme on the middle atmosphere Japan 04-07 in JMA’s Global Spectral Model Dependency of horizontal and vertical resolutions, T. Kato and turbulence schemes on snowfall forecasts: Part Japan 04-09 II Differences of vertical profiles Results of ASTEX and Composite model H. Kawai intercomparison cases using two versions of JMA- Japan 04-11 GSM SCM Evaluation from a Perspective of Spin-down T. Komori and K. Yoshimoto Problem: Japan 04-13 Moistening Effect of Convective Parameterization The Problem of Cloud Overlap in the Radiation R. Nagasawa Japan 04-15 Process of JMA’s Global NWP Model Table of Contents

Author Paper Title Country Pages Improvement of the Stratocumulus A. Shimokobe Parameterization Scheme in JMA’s Operational Japan 04-17 Global Spectral Model

5. Development of and studies with regional and smaller-scale atmospheric models, regional ensemble, monthly and seasonal forecasting

Author Paper Title Country Pages Improved assimilation of SEVIRI radiances over land S. Guedj, F. Karbou and F. in meso-scale models using Land Surface France 05-03 Rabier Temperature retrievals T. Hara, K. Kawano, K. Aranami, Y. Kitamura, M. Development of the Physics Library and its Japan 05-05 Sakamoto, H. Kusabiraki, C. application to ASUCA Muroi and J. Ishida C. Marsigli, A. Montani and T. Testing a multi-model approach for providing Italy 05-07 Paccangnella boundary conditions to a regional ensemble A. Montani, C. Marsigli and T. Impact of soil-moisture initialisation on the quality Italy 05-09 Paccangnella of short-range COSMO-LEPS forecasts Preliminary Results of Mesoscale Ensemble K. Ono Japan 05-11 Prediction with Stochastic Parameterization S. Origuchi, K. Saito, H. Seko Cloud resolving ensemble experiment of the 2011 Japan 05-13 and T. Kuroda “Talas” H. Seko, Y. Kodama and T. Ensemble forecast experiments of ‘Yamase’ that Japan 05-15 Tsuda occurred on 31st July 2011 H. Seko, O. Suzuki, K. Saito and Ensemble forecast experiments of thunderstorm that Japan 05-17 T. Miyoshi occurred in the Kanto Plain on 13th Oct. 2010 The predicted quantitative relations between the V. Shnaydman, L. Berkovich thermal stratification, wind shear and turbulence USA 05-19 and J. Tkacheva parameters

6. Developments in global forecast models, case studies, predictability investigations, global ensemble, monthly and seasonal forecasting

Author Paper Title Country Pages L-P. Caron, C.G. Jones and F.J. Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity in EC-Earth Full Sweden 06-03 Doblas-Reyes Field Initialized Decadal Forecasts M. Deque and L. Batte Flux correction and seasonal predictability France 06-05 Table of Contents

Author Paper Title Country Pages M. Hirai, K. Miyaoka, R. Update of JMA’s One-month Ensemble Prediction Japan 06-07 Nagasawa and N. Adachi System in March 2011 Evaluation of the Genesis of Typhoon JANGMI for T. Komori and A. Shimokobe Modified Convection and Cloud Schemes in JMA- Japan 06-09 GSM: Comparison with T-PARC Special Observations Forecast Skill of MJO with the JMA’s One-month S. Matsueda and Y. Takaya Japan 06-11 Ensemble Prediction System Introduction of a Stochastic Physics Scheme for Y. Ohta, H. Yonehara and M. Representation of Model Uncertainties to JMA’s Japan 06-13 Kyouda Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System

7. Global and regional climate models, sensitivity and impact experiments, response to external forcing

Author Paper Title Country Pages Soil subsidence in the 21st century simulated using M.M. Arzhanov Russia 07-03 anthropogenic climate change scenarios S.N. Denisov Estimations of hydrate stability in Baikal Russia 07-05 Mechanisms of negative cloud radiative feedback of H. Kawai Japan 07-07 stratocumulus and stratus in JMA-GSM SCM V.C. Khon, I.I. Mokhov and F.A. Climate change in Arctic and sea wave activity in the Russia 07-09 Pogarsky 21st century from model simulations Analysis of CMIP5 historical runs for south west US S. Langford and D. Noone USA 07-11 precipitation I.I. Mokhov, M.G. Akperov and Summer Blockings in Euro-Atlantic Region from Russia 07-13 A.A. Timazhev Model Simulations K.E. Muryshev, A.V. Eliseev, Oceanic carbon uptake in the simulation with the IAP V.A. Gorchakov, V.A. RAS global climate model Russia 07-15 Ryabchenko and I.I. Mokhov V.P. Parkhomenko Global and Indochina Climaye Modelling Russia 07-17

8. Development of and advances in ocean modelling and data assimilation, sea-ice modelling, wave modelling

Author Paper Title Country Pages B.S. Strukov, A.A. Zelenko, A System of Wind Wave Forecasting in the World Yu.D. Resnyansky, S.L. Ocean and Seas of Russia. The System's Structure Russia 08-03 Martynov and its Main Constituents Table of Contents

Author Paper Title Country Pages B.S. Strukov, A.A. Zelenko, Verification of the Wind Wave Forecasting System Yu.D. Resnyansky and S.L. Russia 08-05 for the Black, Azov and Caspian Seas Martynov

9. Development of and studies with coupled ocean-atmosphere models

Author Paper Title Country Pages Numerical simulations of the intensity change of A. Wada Japan 09-03 Typhoon Choiwan (2009) and the oceanic response A. Wada Rapid intensification of Typhoon Roke in 2011 Japan 09-05 Spin-down process caused by vortex-induced sea- A. Wada Japan 09-07 surface cooling Oceanic influences for a large eye of Typhoon Talas A. Wada Japan 09-09 in 2011 Impact of surface roughness lengths on simulations A. Wada and N. Kohno Japan 09-11 of Typhoon Fanapi (2010)