Hong Kong Observatory Tracks of Tropical
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Effects of Climate Change on the World's Oceans
3rd International Symposium Effects of Climate Change on the World’s Oceans March 21–27, 2015 Santos, Brazil Table of Contents Welcome � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � v Organizers and Sponsors � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �vi Notes for Guidance � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �ix Symposium Timetable � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � x List of Sessions and Workshops � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � xiii Floor Plans � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �xiv Detailed Schedules � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � 1 Abstracts - Oral Presentations Keynote � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �77 Plenary Talks � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � �79 Theme Session S1 Role of advection and mixing in -
Climate Disasters in the Philippines: a Case Study of the Immediate Causes and Root Drivers From
Zhzh ENVIRONMENT & NATURAL RESOURCES PROGRAM Climate Disasters in the Philippines: A Case Study of Immediate Causes and Root Drivers from Cagayan de Oro, Mindanao and Tropical Storm Sendong/Washi Benjamin Franta Hilly Ann Roa-Quiaoit Dexter Lo Gemma Narisma REPORT NOVEMBER 2016 Environment & Natural Resources Program Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Harvard Kennedy School 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 www.belfercenter.org/ENRP The authors of this report invites use of this information for educational purposes, requiring only that the reproduced material clearly cite the full source: Franta, Benjamin, et al, “Climate disasters in the Philippines: A case study of immediate causes and root drivers from Cagayan de Oro, Mindanao and Tropical Storm Sendong/Washi.” Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University, November 2016. Statements and views expressed in this report are solely those of the authors and do not imply endorsement by Harvard University, the Harvard Kennedy School, or the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. Design & Layout by Andrew Facini Cover photo: A destroyed church in Samar, Philippines, in the months following Typhoon Yolanda/ Haiyan. (Benjamin Franta) Copyright 2016, President and Fellows of Harvard College Printed in the United States of America ENVIRONMENT & NATURAL RESOURCES PROGRAM Climate Disasters in the Philippines: A Case Study of Immediate Causes and Root Drivers from Cagayan de Oro, Mindanao and Tropical Storm Sendong/Washi Benjamin Franta Hilly Ann Roa-Quiaoit Dexter Lo Gemma Narisma REPORT NOVEMBER 2016 The Environment and Natural Resources Program (ENRP) The Environment and Natural Resources Program at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs is at the center of the Harvard Kennedy School’s research and outreach on public policy that affects global environment quality and natural resource management. -
Supporting Shine (School Hydrological Information Network) Increasing Children’S Awareness and Participation in Disaster Risk Reduction
Project ENCORE Enhancing Community Resilience to Disasters Supporting SHINe (School Hydrological Information Network) Increasing children’s awareness and participation in disaster risk reduction On September 26, 2011, Typhoon Nesat (Pedring) hit close to 3,500 communities in the northern region of the Philippines. Typhoon Nalgae (Quiel) hit on October 1, taking the same route. About 4 million were affected by the typhoons, destroying agricultural lands, road and water systems, health centers and 914 schools. A total of 101 people died, including 42 children. Save the Children’s Project ENCORE (Enhancing Community Resilience to Disasters) builds on the Nesat/Nalgae emergency as well as other programs’ experience to increase the understanding of the hazards the province of Bulacan faces. Through an innovative urban disaster risk reduction approach, the project aims to facilitate the organizing of child-led groups to disseminate DRR/mitigation messages and implement DRR/mitigation activities supporting the province's SHINe (School Project ENCORE aims to: Hydrological Information Network) program. Increase the capacity of children In coordination with Ms. Liz Mungcal, Bulacan’s Provincial and youth to identify risks, Disaster Risk Reduction Management Officer, Mr. Hilton solutions, and initiate action on Hernando, Assistant Weather Services Chief of the Pampanga River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning DRR within their communities; Center/PAGASA which is under the Department of Science and Technology, and the Department of Education Improve the capacity of Division of Bulacan, SHINe orientation sessions were households to adopt appropriate conducted for nine (9) schools covered by ENCORE. waste management and The high school batch was conducted on February 8 at Sta. -
Check List Act Appeals Format
SECRETARIAT 150 route de Ferney, P.O. Box 2100, 1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland TEL: +41 22 791 6033 FAX: +41 22 791 6506 www.actalliance.org Preliminary Appeal Philippines Assistance to Typhoon-affected - PHL111 Appeal Target: US$ 432,313 Geneva, 7 October 2011 Dear colleagues, While recovering from the devastation caused by super Typhoon Mina in August this year, communities and families in many provinces in Luzon were again hit by back to back super typhoons Nesat and Typhoon Nalgae, which wrecked havoc in most parts of Luzon. Nesat affected thousands of families in the 17 cities and municipalities in Metro Manila, especially those living in low-lying and flood-prone areas. The situation was worsened with the Typhoon Nalgae which brought-in heavy rains and badly affected provinces in Northern and Central Luzon. The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reported that a total of 1,183,530 families or 5,534,410 persons have been affected in 3,252 villages in 349 municipalities, 41 cities in the 34 provinces of Regions I, II, III, IV-A, IV-B, and V, CAR, NCR and Region VI. The number of Typhoon Nesat affected population alone practically comprised three-fourths of the average number of disaster-affected population in a given year, which is at 7 million. The NDRRMC also reported that the national death toll from Typhoons Nesat and Nalgae climbed to 55 individuals with 63 others injured and 30 more others still missing. Destruction of property was placed at 7,540 totally damaged houses and 41,224 partially damaged houses. -
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Chapter 7. Building a Safe and Comfortable Society
Section 1 Realizing a Universal Society Building a Safe and Comfortable Chapter 7 Society Section 1 Realizing a Universal Society 1 Realizing Accessibility through a Universal Design Concept The “Act on Promotion of Smooth Transportation, etc. of Elderly Persons, Disabled Persons, etc.” embodies the universal design concept of “freedom and convenience for anywhere and anyone”, making it mandatory to comply with “Accessibility Standards” when newly establishing various facilities (passenger facilities, various vehicles, roads, off- street parking facilities, city parks, buildings, etc.), mandatory best effort for existing facilities as well as defining a development target for the end of FY2020 under the “Basic Policy on Accessibility” to promote accessibility. Also, in accordance with the local accessibility plan created by municipalities, focused and integrated promotion of accessibility is carried out in priority development district; to increase “caring for accessibility”, by deepening the national public’s understanding and seek cooperation for the promotion of accessibility, “accessibility workshops” are hosted in which you learn to assist as well as virtually experience being elderly, disabled, etc.; these efforts serve to accelerate II accessibility measures (sustained development in stages). Chapter 7 (1) Accessibility of Public Transportation In accordance with the “Act on Figure II-7-1-1 Current Accessibility of Public Transportation Promotion of Smooth Transportation, etc. (as of March 31, 2014) of Elderly Persons, Disabled -
Table of Contents
Table of Contents 1. Atmospheric data assimilation schemes, analysis and initialization, data impact studies, observing system experiments Author Paper Title Country Pages L. Duc, T. Koruda, K. Saito and Data assimilation experiments of Myanmar cyclone Japan 01-03 T. Fujita Nargis based on NHM-LETKF Radar reflectivity assimilation in JMA’s operational Y. Ikuta Japan 01-05 meso-analysis system Simplified basic state update in the JMA global 4D- T. Ishibashi Japan 01-07 Var A new inner model with a higher horizontal T. Kadowaki and K. Yoshimoto resolution (TL319) in JMA’s Global 4D-Var data Japan 01-09 assimilation system Assimilation experiments involving surface-sensitive M. Kazumori microwave radiances in JMA’s global data Japan 01-11 assimilation system Initial assessment of FY-3A microwave temperature M. Kazumori and H. Murata sounder radiance data in JMA’s global data Japan 01-13 assimilation system T. Kuroda, T. Fujita, H. Seko Construction of Mesoscale LETKF Data Assimilation Japan 01-15 and K. Saito Experiment System N. Saint-Ramond, A. Forecast sensitivity to observations at Météo-France Doerenbecher, F. Rabier, Application to GPS radio-occultation data France 01-17 V. Guidard, N. Fourrié GPS TPW Assimilation with the JMA Nonhydrostatic K. Saito, Y. Shoji, S. Origuchi, 4DVAR and Cloud Resolving Ensemble Forecast for Japan 01-19 L. Duc and H. Seko the 2008 August Tokyo Metropolitan Area Local Heavy Rainfalls H. Seko, S. Kogure and T. Observation System Simulation Experiments of Japan 01-21 Tsuda Quasi-Zenith Satellite H. Seko, K. Saito, O. Suzuki and Impacts of the low-level convergence data on the A. -
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon
Ensemble Forecast Experiment for Typhoon Quantitatively Precipitation in Taiwan Ling-Feng Hsiao1, Delia Yen-Chu Chen1, Ming-Jen Yang1, 2, Chin-Cheng Tsai1, Chieh-Ju Wang1, Lung-Yao Chang1, 3, Hung-Chi Kuo1, 3, Lei Feng1, Cheng-Shang Lee1, 3 1Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, NARL, Taipei 2Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Chung-Li 3Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei ABSTRACT The continuous torrential rain associated with a typhoon often caused flood, landslide or debris flow, leading to serious damages to Taiwan. Therefore the quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) during typhoon period is highly needed for disaster preparedness and emergency evacuation operation in Taiwan. Therefore, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute (TTFRI) started the typhoon quantitative precipitation forecast ensemble forecast experiment in 2010. The ensemble QPF experiment included 20 members. The ensemble members include various models (ARW-WRF, MM5 and CreSS models) and consider different setups in the model initial perturbations, data assimilation processes and model physics. Results show that the ensemble mean provides valuable information on typhoon track forecast and quantitative precipitation forecasts around Taiwan. For example, the ensemble mean track captured the sharp northward turning when Typhoon Megi (2010) moved westward to the South China Sea. The model rainfall also continued showing that the total rainfall at the northeastern Taiwan would exceed 1,000 mm, before the heavy rainfall occurred. Track forecasts for 21 typhoons in 2011 showed that the ensemble forecast has a comparable skill to those of operational centers and has better performance than a deterministic prediction. With an accurate track forecast for Typhoon Nanmadol, the ability for the model to predict rainfall distribution is significantly improved. -
Tracking the Origin and Dispersion of Contaminated Sediments Transported by Rivers Draining the Fukushima Radioactive Contaminant Plume
Sediment Dynamics from the Summit to the Sea 237 (Proceedings of a symposium held in New Orleans, Louisiana, USA, 11–14 December 2014) (IAHS Publ. 367, 2014). Tracking the origin and dispersion of contaminated sediments transported by rivers draining the Fukushima radioactive contaminant plume HUGO LEPAGE1, OLIVIER EVRARD1, YUICHI ONDA2, CAROLINE CHARTIN1, IRENE LEFEVRE1, AYRAULT SOPHIE1 & PHILIPPE BONTE1 1 Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement (CEA, CNRS,UVSQ), F-91198 Gif-sur-Yvette France [email protected] 2 Center for Research in Isotopes and Environmental Dynamics (CRIED), Tsukuba University, Tsukuba, Japan Abstract This study was conducted in several catchments draining the main Fukushima Dai-ichi Power Plant contaminant plume in Fukushima prefecture, Japan. We collected soils and sediment drape deposits (n = 128) and investigated the variation in 137Cs enrichment during five sampling campaigns, conducted every six months, which typically occurred after intense erosive events such as typhoons and snowmelt. We show that upstream contaminated soils are eroded during summer typhoons (June–October) before being exported during the spring snowmelt (March–April). However, this seasonal cycle of sediment dispersion is further complicated by the occurrence of dam releases that may discharge large amounts of contaminants to the coastal plains during the coming years. Key words erosion; sediment; soil; Fukushima; radio-caesium; enrichment factor INTRODUCTION The Tohoku earthquake and the subsequent tsunami that occurred on 11 March 2011 impacted the Fukushima Dai-Ichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP) and led to a significant atmospheric release of 137 radionuclides such as Cs (T1/2 = 30 years). About 80% of the release was transported out and over the Pacific Ocean, with the rest primarily deposited on the soils of Fukushima Prefecture as a result of wet atmospheric fallout. -
Typhoon Haiyan Action Plan November 2013
Philippines: Typhoon Haiyan Action Plan November 2013 Prepared by the Humanitarian Country Team 100% 92 million total population of the Philippines (as of 2010) 54% 50 million total population of the nine regions hit by Typhoon Haiyan 13% 11.3 million people affected in these nine regions OVERVIEW (as of 12 November) (12 November 2013 OCHA) SITUATION On the morning of 8 November, category 5 Typhoon Haiyan (locally known as Yolanda ) made a direct hit on the Philippines, a densely populated country of 92 million people, devastating areas in 36 provinces. Haiyan is possibly the most powerful storm ever recorded . The typhoon first ma de landfall at 673,000 Guiuan, Eastern Samar province, with wind speeds of 235 km/h and gusts of 275 km/h. Rain fell at rates of up to 30 mm per hour and massive storm displaced people surges up to six metres high hit Leyte and Samar islands. Many cities and (as of 12 November) towns experienced widespread destruction , with as much as 90 per cent of housing destroyed in some areas . Roads are blocked, and airports and seaports impaired; heavy ships have been thrown inland. Water supply and power are cut; much of the food stocks and other goods are d estroyed; many health facilities not functioning and medical supplies quickly being exhausted. Affected area: Regions VIII (Eastern Visayas), VI (Western Visayas) and Total funding requirements VII (Central Visayas) are hardest hit, according to current information. Regions IV-A (CALABARZON), IV-B ( MIMAROPA ), V (Bicol), X $301 million (Northern Mindanao), XI (Davao) and XIII (Caraga) were also affected. -
WMO Statement on the Status of the Global Climate in 2011
WMO statement on the status of the global climate in 2011 WMO-No. 1085 WMO-No. 1085 © World Meteorological Organization, 2012 The right of publication in print, electronic and any other form and in any language is reserved by WMO. Short extracts from WMO publications may be reproduced without authorization, provided that the complete source is clearly indicated. Editorial correspondence and requests to publish, reproduce or translate this publication in part or in whole should be addressed to: Chair, Publications Board World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 7 bis, avenue de la Paix Tel.: +41 (0) 22 730 84 03 P.O. Box 2300 Fax: +41 (0) 22 730 80 40 CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] ISBN 978-92-63-11085-5 WMO in collaboration with Members issues since 1993 annual statements on the status of the global climate. This publication was issued in collaboration with the Hadley Centre of the UK Meteorological Office, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland; the Climatic Research Unit (CRU), University of East Anglia, United Kingdom; the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS), the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the National Weather Service (NWS) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), United States of America; the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) operated by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), United States; the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), United States; the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), United Kingdom; the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC), Germany; and the Dartmouth Flood Observatory, United States. -
Appendix 8: Damages Caused by Natural Disasters
Building Disaster and Climate Resilient Cities in ASEAN Draft Finnal Report APPENDIX 8: DAMAGES CAUSED BY NATURAL DISASTERS A8.1 Flood & Typhoon Table A8.1.1 Record of Flood & Typhoon (Cambodia) Place Date Damage Cambodia Flood Aug 1999 The flash floods, triggered by torrential rains during the first week of August, caused significant damage in the provinces of Sihanoukville, Koh Kong and Kam Pot. As of 10 August, four people were killed, some 8,000 people were left homeless, and 200 meters of railroads were washed away. More than 12,000 hectares of rice paddies were flooded in Kam Pot province alone. Floods Nov 1999 Continued torrential rains during October and early November caused flash floods and affected five southern provinces: Takeo, Kandal, Kampong Speu, Phnom Penh Municipality and Pursat. The report indicates that the floods affected 21,334 families and around 9,900 ha of rice field. IFRC's situation report dated 9 November stated that 3,561 houses are damaged/destroyed. So far, there has been no report of casualties. Flood Aug 2000 The second floods has caused serious damages on provinces in the North, the East and the South, especially in Takeo Province. Three provinces along Mekong River (Stung Treng, Kratie and Kompong Cham) and Municipality of Phnom Penh have declared the state of emergency. 121,000 families have been affected, more than 170 people were killed, and some $10 million in rice crops has been destroyed. Immediate needs include food, shelter, and the repair or replacement of homes, household items, and sanitation facilities as water levels in the Delta continue to fall.