How to Really Engage Iran: a Proposal
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Iran's Nuclear Ambitions From
IDENTITY AND LEGITIMACY: IRAN’S NUCLEAR AMBITIONS FROM NON- TRADITIONAL PERSPECTIVES Pupak Mohebali Doctor of Philosophy University of York Politics June 2017 Abstract This thesis examines the impact of Iranian elites’ conceptions of national identity on decisions affecting Iran's nuclear programme and the P5+1 nuclear negotiations. “Why has the development of an indigenous nuclear fuel cycle been portrayed as a unifying symbol of national identity in Iran, especially since 2002 following the revelation of clandestine nuclear activities”? This is the key research question that explores the Iranian political elites’ perspectives on nuclear policy actions. My main empirical data is elite interviews. Another valuable source of empirical data is a discourse analysis of Iranian leaders’ statements on various aspects of the nuclear programme. The major focus of the thesis is how the discourses of Iranian national identity have been influential in nuclear decision-making among the national elites. In this thesis, I examine Iranian national identity components, including Persian nationalism, Shia Islamic identity, Islamic Revolutionary ideology, and modernity and technological advancement. Traditional rationalist IR approaches, such as realism fail to explain how effective national identity is in the context of foreign policy decision-making. I thus discuss the connection between national identity, prestige and bargaining leverage using a social constructivist approach. According to constructivism, states’ cultures and identities are not established realities, but the outcomes of historical and social processes. The Iranian nuclear programme has a symbolic nature that mingles with socially constructed values. There is the need to look at Iran’s nuclear intentions not necessarily through the lens of a nuclear weapons programme, but rather through the regime’s overall nuclear aspirations. -
Leadership Divided? Nima Gerami
The Domestic Politics of Iran’s Nuclear Debate LEADERSHIP DIVIDED? NIMA GERAMI LEADERSHIP DIVIDED? The Domestic Politics of Iran’s Nuclear Debate NIMA GERAMI The Washington Institute for Near East Policy www.washingtoninstitute.org Policy Focus 134 | February 2014 The opinions expressed in this Policy Focus are those of the author and not necessarily those of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, its Board of Trustees, or its Board of Advisors. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. © 2014 by The Washington Institute for Near East Policy The Washington Institute for Near East Policy 1828 L Street NW, Suite 1050 Washington, DC 20036 Cover: Tehran newspaper headlines following signing of the Joint Plan of Action in Geneva. Design: 1000 Colors Contents Acknowledgments | v Executive Summary | vii 1. Introduction | 1 2. Limits on Iran’s Nuclear Debate: Secrecy and Self-Censorship | 3 3. Contextualizing Nuclear Decisionmaking: The Key Stakeholders | 9 4. The Political Landscape: Elite Factionalism and the Nuclear Debate | 19 5. Critical Junctures: Internal Divisions and Nuclear Policy Shifts | 31 6. Conclusion: Lessons Learned | 40 About the Author | 42 Figures Fig 1. Overview of Nuclear Decisionmaking in Iran | 11 Table 1. Formal Members of the Supreme National Security Council | 12 Acknowledgments I would like to express my gratitude to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, particularly Patrick Clawson, Michael Eisenstadt, and Mehdi Khalaji, for their encouragement, insights, and support during the preparation of this study. -
Iran, ISIS and U.S. Interests in an Unraveling Middle East
CONGRESSIONAL PROGRAM Diplomacy and Extremism: Iran, ISIS and U.S. Interests in an Unraveling Middle East May 26 – 31, 2015 Vol. 30, No. 3 Dan Glickman Vice President, The Aspen Institute Executive Director, Congressional Program Washington, DC This project was made possible by grants from the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, the Democracy Fund, the Holthues Trust, the Ford Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Henry Luce Foundation, the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, the Open Society Institute, and the Rockefeller Foundation. Copyright © 2015 by The Aspen Institute The Aspen Institute One Dupont Circle, nw Washington, DC 20036-1133 Published in the United States of America in 2015 by The Aspen Institute All rights reserved Printed in the United States of America ISBN: 0-89843-626-5 Pub #15/015 2038/CP/BK Table of Contents Rapporteur’s Summary ..................................................................1 Karim Sadjadpour Syria, Iraq, ISIS and the Region: Implications for the U.S. ......................................9 Ryan Crocker The Geopolitics of a Changing Energy Industry..............................................13 Amy Myers Jaffe What Should We Make of the JCPOA? ....................................................17 Ariel Levite America’s Middle East Challenge .........................................................23 Seyed Hossein Mousavian and Mehrdad Saberi Nuclear Deal, the Road to Peace between Iran and the West ....................................29 Seyed Hossein Mousavian Pluses and -
America's Middle East Challenge
America’s Middle East Challenge how Washington Can Address Iranian Mistrust and Arab Suspicion By Seyed Hossein Mousavian and Mehrdad Saberi or the past seventy some years, the Middle East has been a chessboard for the victors of the Second World War. The ongoing chaos in the region can be traced Fto how Great Britain, the United States, and France exercised their power here in the post-war years. The primary sources of conflict date back even further: to the arbitrary borders that were drawn by the French and the British in much of former Ottoman territories in the aftermath of the First World War; to the enthroning of kings, emirs, and sheikhs; and ultimately to the seizure of the wealth of the countries under their imperialistic control. A colonial mentality still prevails in the way Western powers and in particular the United States approach the Middle East. American and Arab leaders like to claim an unshakable bond of trust, but in real- ity it is predicated upon a fragile ground; American relations with Iran, in turn, are all about mistrust. The presence of foreign forces in the Middle East has turned the region into two zones; one that sides with the United States, for example the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries; and another with a different foreign policy agenda that does not align with Washington—for example, Iran. The presence of foreign and particularly American military forces in the Middle East has served to disrupt the cordial relationships between regional powers such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Turkey, and Egypt. -
The Islamic Republic of Iran's Relations
The Islamic Republic of Iran’s Relations with the Republic of Tajikistan in the Post-Soviet Period Brenton Clark A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy of the Australian National University Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (The Middle East and Central Asia) Research School of Social Sciences College of Arts and Social Sciences The Australian National University September 2015 Authorship Declaration I hereby declare and confirm that this thesis is entirely the result of my own work except where otherwise indicated, and has not been submitted, either in whole or part, for a higher degree or qualification at this or any other university or institute. Brenton Clark ii Acknowledgements I feel very fortunate to have been given the opportunity to conduct my PhD studies at the Australian National University. There are a number of people to whom I am indebted for helping me complete this academic work. In particular, I must thank my supervisor, Dr. Kirill Nourzhanov. Dr. Nourzhanov’s guidance, knowledge, and good humour made my time at the Australian National University a most rewarding one, and I will always feel deep gratitude for the support he has shown me over these recent years. I also wish to thank Dr. Surin Maisrikrod who, since my time as an undergraduate student at James Cook University, has consistently shown faith in my abilities and confidence that I could achieve my goals. My most sincere gratitude also goes to the head of the Centre for Arab and Islamic Studies (CAIS) at the Australian National University, Professor Amin Saikal, for his sound advice that made my PhD research academically fulfilling. -
6-Cr33-Mousavian-Full-Page.Pdf
106 A Win-Win for Iran and the Region Iran’s role in the “end-state diplomatic model” of conflict resolution and crisis management in the Middle East By Seyed Hossein Mousavian here is copious academic research on why the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is mired in ethnic and sectarian violence. T However, the specific question of what workable models can be presented that would not only be effective in ending conflicts but also bring sustainable peace to the region has not been tackled as of yet. What is needed in this discussion on peace and stability is a look back at historic examples of conflict resolution in the region, and an application today of what worked before. Asking which models can be presented to resolve conflicts in the MENA region naturally presupposes having some ideas as to what roles the more powerful regional actors such as Iran can play to assist in resolving the crises. Of course, there are other powerful actors in the Middle East besides Iran, such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt, which are actively involved in many crises and conflicts. However, a detailed discussion of Iran’s role is crucial because some Arab neighbors and Western powers have accused Iran of intervening in conflicts where the end result is negative for locals on the ground. In order to dispel myths about Iranian foreign policies and look for an effective way in which Iran can participate in peacebuilding projects, I will draw upon historical incidents of state-led violence and subsequent military invasions by the United States and coalition forces, and examine what lessons can be learned from those older experiences. -
China's Strategic Choices Towards North Korea and Iran
University of Denver Digital Commons @ DU Electronic Theses and Dissertations Graduate Studies 1-1-2015 China's Strategic Choices Towards North Korea and Iran Kang-uk Jung University of Denver Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.du.edu/etd Part of the International Relations Commons Recommended Citation Jung, Kang-uk, "China's Strategic Choices Towards North Korea and Iran" (2015). Electronic Theses and Dissertations. 1033. https://digitalcommons.du.edu/etd/1033 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate Studies at Digital Commons @ DU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Electronic Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons @ DU. For more information, please contact [email protected],[email protected]. CHINA’S STRATEGIC CHOICES TOWARDS NORTH KOREA AND IRAN __________ A Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Josef Korbel School of International Studies University of Denver __________ In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy __________ by Kang-uk Jung August 2015 Advisor: Suisheng Zhao ©Copyright by Kang-uk Jung 2015 All Rights Reserved Author: Kang-uk Jung Title: CHINA’S STRATEGIC CHOICES TOWARDS NORTH KOREA AND IRAN Advisor: Suisheng Zhao Degree Date: August 2015 Abstract This study tests two hypotheses. First, China cooperates with the United States only when it is able to obtain material rewards. Second, without material incentives from the United States, China straddles between the United States on one hand and Iran and North Korea on the other. My findings show that neither Structural Realism, which holds anti-hegemonism alliance, nor Constructivism, which holds positive assimilation of the nuclear nonproliferation norm explains Chinese international behavior comprehensively. -
Iranian Expert, Former Diplomat by ABHIRAM KARUPPUR (/AUTHOR/KARUPPUR) • CONTRIBUTOR • NOVEMBER 11, 2015
NEWS (/HTTP://DAILYPRINCETONIAN.COM/CATEGORY/NEWS/) Seyed Hossein Mousavian: Iranian expert, former diplomat BY ABHIRAM KARUPPUR (/AUTHOR/KARUPPUR) • CONTRIBUTOR • NOVEMBER 11, 2015 Seyed Hossein Mousavian, a research scholar in the Program on Science and Global Security at the Wilson School, originally studied engineering, but he is probably most known for playing an important role in the 2003 and 2015 negotiations around Iran’s nuclear program. Advertisment His career plans changed during his undergraduate years at Sacramento State University. “It was in 1979, two months before the Revolution, that I got one semester break in order to go back to my country and see what was happening,” Mousavian said, describing when he returned to Tehran and witnessed thousands of people protesting in the streets against Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. “Practically two months after my arrival, the Revolution was over and the Shah had left the country. I was involved in politics inside my country during and after the Revolution,” Mousavian said. This experience led him to pursue a career in international relations and diplomacy. Mousavian has been a visiting research scholar at the University since 2009. He also serves as a member of the International Panel on Fissile Materials, a panel of nuclear weapons experts that receives support from the University. “Dr. Mousavian deserves as much credit for the 2015 Iran deal as do the key U.S. negotiators,” codirector of the Program on Science and Global Security Frank von Hippel said. “Mousavian helped explain the thinking of Iran and made it clear there was more than one stream of thinking.” Harold Feiveson GS ’72, coprincipal investigator at the University’s Science and Global Security program, noted that since Mousavian has lived in Iran and the United States, he has been able to experience both nations’ policy. -
Iran-US Rapprochement Iran's Future Role
Dossier Iran-US Rapprochement Iran’s Future Role AlJazeera Center for Studies April 2014 Al Jazeera Center for Studies Tel: +974-44663454 [email protected] http://studies.aljazeera.net/en/ Participating Authors Dr. Arshin Adib-Moghaddam Ambassador Seyed Hossein Mousavian Farah Al-Zaman Abu Shuair Dr. Mark Katz Dr. Fatima Al-Smadi Karina Fayzullina Dr. Mohammad Jaber Thalji Dr. Sebastien Peyrouse Compiled by Dr. Fatima Al-Smadi English Version Edited by Malak Chabkoun Copyright © 2014 AlJazeera Center for Studies, All rights reserved. The opinions in this report do not necessarily reflect those of Al Jazeera Centre for Studies. 2 Contents Pages . Introduction………………………………………………………………………………..………………….……..4 . Iran in World Politics After Rouhani [Dr. Arshin Adib-Moghaddam]…………………………………………………………….……………….…8 . Future of Iran-US Relations [Ambassador Seyed Hossein Mousavian]……………………………………………………….…….17 . Domestic Voices: Actors in Iran’s Political Arena [Farah Al-Zaman Abu Shuair]…………………………..............................................28 . Mechanisms of Iran-US Rapprochement: Lessons from the Past [Dr. Mark Katz]………………………………………………………………………………………….…..………44 . Iran-US Rapprochement: Where Does the Path to Jerusalem Cross? [Dr. Fatima Al-Smadi]………………………………………………………………………………………….…54 . Iran-Russia Relations in Light of Iran-US Rapprochement [Karina Fayzullina]……………………………………………………………………………………….………..70 . Iran-US Rapprochement and Iran-Turkey Relations: Potential Opportunities and Threats [Dr. Mohammad Jaber Thalji]…………………………………………………………………………………81 -
Downloaded for Personal Non‐Commercial Research Or Study, Without Prior Permission Or Charge
Aghlani, Sasan (2017) The nuclear policies of Iran : Islam and strategic thinking in the Islamic Republic. PhD thesis. SOAS University of London. http://eprints.soas.ac.uk/29804 Copyright © and Moral Rights for this thesis are retained by the author and/or other copyright owners. A copy can be downloaded for personal non‐commercial research or study, without prior permission or charge. This thesis cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the copyright holder/s. The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders. When referring to this thesis, full bibliographic details including the author, title, awarding institution and date of the thesis must be given e.g. AUTHOR (year of submission) "Full thesis title", name of the School or Department, PhD Thesis, pagination. The Nuclear Policies of Iran: Islam and Strategic Thinking in the Islamic Republic The Nuclear Policies of Iran: Islam and Strategic Thinking in the Islamic Republic Mr Sasan Aghlani Department of Politics and International Studies SOAS, University of London Thesis submitted for the degree of PhD 2017 Declaration for SOAS PhD thesis I have read and understood regulation 17.9 of the Regulations for students of the SOAS, University of London concerning plagiarism. I undertake that all the material presented for examination is my own work and has not been written for me, in whole or in part, by any other person. I also undertake that any quotation or paraphrase from the published or unpublished work of another person has been duly acknowledged in the work which I present for examination. -
Iran's Nuclear Program: Status
Iran’s Nuclear Program: Status Updated December 20, 2019 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov RL34544 Iran’s Nuclear Program: Status Summary Iran’s nuclear program began during the 1950s. The United States has expressed concern since the mid-1970s that Tehran might develop nuclear weapons. Iran’s construction of gas centrifuge uranium enrichment facilities is currently the main source of proliferation concern. Gas centrifuges can produce both low-enriched uranium (LEU), which can be used in nuclear power reactors, and weapons-grade highly enriched uranium (HEU), which is one of the two types of fissile material used in nuclear weapons. Is Iran Capable of Building Nuclear Weapons? The United States has assessed that Tehran possesses the technological and industrial capacity to produce nuclear weapons. But Iran has not yet mastered all of the necessary technologies for building such weapons. Whether Iran has a viable design for a nuclear weapon is unclear. A National Intelligence Estimate made public in 2007 assessed that Tehran “halted its nuclear weapons program” in 2003. The estimate, however, also assessed that Tehran is “keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons” and that any decision to end a nuclear weapons program is “inherently reversible.” U.S. intelligence officials have reaffirmed this judgment on several occasions. Obtaining fissile material is widely regarded as the most difficult task in building nuclear weapons. As of January 2014, Iran had produced an amount of LEU containing up to 5% uranium-235, which, if further enriched, could theoretically have produced enough HEU for as many as eight nuclear weapons. -
Iran's Nuclear Odyssey: Costs and Risks
FEDERATION OF AMERICAN SCIENTISTS Carnegie Endowment for International Peace © 2013 All rights reserved The Carnegie Endowment does not take institutional positions on public policy issues; the views represented here are the authors’ own and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Endowment, its staff, or its trustees. For electronic copies of this report, visit: CarnegieEndowment.org/pubs Carnegie Endowment for International Peace 1779 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036 Phone: + 202 483 7600 Fax: + 202 483 1840 CarnegieEndowment.org Contents Acknowledgments......................................................................................v Summary................................................................................................... vii Introduction..............................................................................................1 The Making of a Crisis................................................................................4 THE NUCLEAR PROGRAM UnDER tHE SHAH.............................................4 THE NUCLEAR PROGRAM UnDER tHE IsLAMiC REpUBLiC...................6 THE REsULts.............................................................................................. 11 The Illogic of Domestic Enrichment.......................................................... 13 Nuclear Power: Energy Security or Insecurity......................................... 17 A Comparative Disadvantage.................................................................... 22 Unheeded Warnings.................................................................................