Dumfries & Galloway Council
Community Planning Partnership Report
December 2015
Initial School Leaver Destination 2014/15
National Training Programme Results Q2 2015/16
Unemployed Seeking Analysis
Contents
Foreword 4
Report Section 1: Initial School Leaver Destinations 2014/15 5
Background 5
School Leaver Definitions 5
Differences in reporting methodology 5
Analysis 6
Section 1: Overview – Main Findings 6
Section 1.1 - Annual Trends 7
Table 1: Year on Year destination percentage split. Local Authority & Scotland 7 Graph 2: Local Authority Comparison to Scotland 7 Table 3: Year on Year Destination Split 8 Graph 4: Year on Year Positive/Other Destination Trend 8 Graph 5: Year on Year Positive Destination Trend Analysis 9 Graph 6: Year on Year Other Destination Trend Analysis 10
Section 1.2: Leaver Characteristics 11
Table 7: Destinations Split By Gender 11 Graph 8: Gender split within each destination 11 Table 9: Percentage Destinations by SIMD 2012 12 Graph 10: Percentage Positive, HE and Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 12 Table 11: School Leavers by Stage of Leaving 13
Section 2: Positive Destinations 14
Section 2.1 Higher and Further Education 14
Table 12: HE by Institution Type 14 Table 13: HE Students by Institution 14 Table 14: HE Students by FE Colleges 15 Table 15: FE Students by FE Colleges 15
Section 2.2: Employment 16
Table 16: Top Occupational Areas 16
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Table 17: Top Occupational Areas (Male only) 16 Table 18: Top Occupational Areas (Female only) 17 Graph 19: Occupational Areas split by Gender 17
Section 3: Other Destinations 19
Table 20: Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics 19 Table 21: Unemployed Seeking Leavers by Intermediate Data zone 20 Graph 22: Individual Circumstances of those Unemployed NOT Seeking 21
Section 4: Percentage Destinations by School 22
Report Section 2: National Training Programme Results Apr-Sep 2015 24
Report Section 3: Characteristics of 16 – 19 Unemployed Seeking 24
Unemployed Table 1: Unemployed Seeking, by gender & age 24
Unemployed Table 3: Unemployed Seeking, by age & duration since last positive status 25
Unemployed Table 4: Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 Ranking 25
Unemployed Table 5: Unemployed Seeking by Intermediate Datazone 26
Background Notes 27
Initial Leaver Destination Report (Analysis note)
Please note that information regarding institutions and employment sectors have been suppressed where there are less than 5 leavers. In these instances, these leavers have been captured under the ‘other’ categories. In addition, due to rounding techniques some total percentages may not equal 100%.
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Foreword Welcome to the December 2015 Community Planning Partnership Report providing you and your other local partners, with analysis of key information specific to your Community Planning Partnership area. This includes:
- Initial School Leaver Destinations - 2014-15
- Links to the most recently published National Training Programme participation and outcomes (Q2 2015-16)
- Analysis of those with a status of Unemployed seeking (as at 1st December 2015)
We hope this analysis will be useful in helping to inform your planning in support of your youth employment strategies and wider Community Planning Partnership outcomes. As you may be aware, the first annual Participation Measure report was published by SDS in August. This report, and its accompanying data tables, covers all 16-19 year olds and may provide you with additional information of value at a local and national level.
We are committed to working in partnership and sharing information that supports our joint work to secure the best opportunities for people in your area.
We’d be delighted to receive your feedback on this report and suggestions for future reports at [email protected].
Damien Yeates Chief Executive, Skills Development Scotland
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Report Section 1: Initial School Leaver Destinations 2014/15 Background In August 2015, Skills Development Scotland (SDS) published the first participation measure for 16 – 19 year olds in Scotland, a publication identified as ‘experimental statistics - data being developed’. The measure reports on the learning, training and work activity of 16-19 year olds in Scotland.
As part of the development work for the participation measure it was agreed SDS would continue to supply school leaver destination data to the Scottish Government’s Education Analysis Unit (SGEAS) for their annual national statistics publication and to update Insighti, the online benchmarking tool for Scottish local authorities and secondary schools.
The statistical extracts for both the participation measure and the destination of school leavers are taken from the shared data set held by SDS on our customer support system (CSS). Multi-partner data sharing and direct input by SDS staff are the key components of creating and maintaining this shared dataset. The status information has been gathered through the use of shared administrative data from local authorities, colleges, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), Student Awards Agency for Scotland (SAAS) and the SDS Corporate Training System combined with direct follow up of 16-19 year old customers by SDS staff. Given the increased reliance on shared data, in 2015 SDS moved to an ongoing case management approach to following up school leavers in place of the traditional telephone survey method of establishing pupil destinations.
Within the context of Opportunities for All, the follow up of 16-19 year olds, including school leavers, is an integral part of our approach to managing customers from school through their initial and subsequent transitions. Given the greater focus on all 16-19 year olds, the practice of following up leavers at two specific points within the year has been replaced by ongoing follow up throughout the year. Although this is a change in the follow- up process, the results remain comparable with previous years.
School Leaver Definitions
The 2014/15 cohort includes leavers from publicly funded secondary schools who left school between 1st August 2014 and 15th September 2015. These dates will be used on a one–off basis only.
In the future the school leaver cohort will be based on leavers who left school between the third Wednesday of September and the third Tuesday in September the following year.
This report is based on status information held on the shared dataset. Statuses are updated on the shared dataset on an ongoing basis and the status used within the destination snapshot is from the first Monday in October (5th October 2015).
Differences in reporting methodology In 2014, SGEAS introduced a new definition to report on school leavers within Insight and their national statistics publication. Following consultation with the users of our publications, it was agreed we would continue to use the same reporting methodology as used in our previous publications. It is this methodology, based on the follow up leaver extract, which is used by Scotland Performs to report on the national indicator - “Increase
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the proportion of young people in learning, training or work”. The current national indicator reports on leavers from publicly funded secondary schools. Further information can be found in the Background Notes.
Analysis The analysis that follows is based on data recorded about leavers from the shared data set held on the SDS customer support system (CSS). Leavers that were identified as having moved out with Scotland are excluded. This report relates to the 1,603 leavers from publicly funded secondary schools in Dumfries & Galloway Council.
Section 1: Overview – Main Findings Overall the percentage of leavers entering a positive destinationii is 93.0%, a rise of 2.0 percentage points (pp)iii in comparison to 2013/14. This is 0.1pp above the national average of 92.9%. Dumfries & Galloway Council is 21st out of 32 local authorities for the percentage of leavers entering a positive destination. The percentage of leavers entering higher education (HE) is 37.0% which is 1.3pp lower than the national average of 38.3%. In comparison to 2013/14 this is a rise within the authority of 0.6pp. The percentage of leavers entering further education (FE) has risen by 4.7pp to 30.1% which is 2.3pp higher than the national average of 27.8%. The percentage of leavers entering employment has fallen by 2.5pp since 2013/14 to 22.2%. This percentage is 0.5pp above the national average of 21.7%. The percentage of leavers entering training has fallen by 1.3pp to 2.2% and is 1.6pp below the national average (3.8%). The percentage of leavers who are unemployed seekingiv is 4.7%, 2.4pp lower than in 2013/14. This is 0.7pp lower than the national average (5.4%) and is 10th lowest percentage of leavers reported as unemployed seeking in Scotland this year. School leavers whose destination is unconfirmedv is 1.2% this year. This is 0.8pp higher than last year and is 0.7pp higher the national average of 0.5%.
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Section 1.1 - Annual Trends The tables and graphs that follow provide information about school leaver destinations over time. Table 1 makes a direct comparison with last year and complements the main findings above whilst the remainder of the section is based on data available over the last ten years.
Table 1: Year on Year destination percentage split. Local Authority & Scotland
Dumfries & Galloway Council Scotland Destinations 2013/14 2014/15 % point 2013/14 2014/15 % point % % change % % change Higher Education 36.4 37.0 0.6 38.6 38.3 -0.3 Further Education 25.4 30.1 4.7 26.3 27.8 1.5 Training 3.5 2.2 -1.3 4.1 3.8 -0.3 Employment 24.7 22.2 -2.5 21.7 21.7 0.0 Voluntary Work 0.5 0.3 -0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 Activity Agreement 0.4 1.1 0.7 1.1 0.9 -0.2 Unemployed Seeking 7.1 4.7 -2.4 6.3 5.4 -0.9 Unemployed Not Seeking 1.5 1.1 -0.4 1.1 1.1 0.0 Unconfirmed 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.2 Positive Destinations 91.0 93.0 2.0 92.3 92.9 0.6 Total Leavers 1,584 1,603 51,876 53,836
Graph 2: Local Authority Comparison to Scotland
45% Dumfries & Galloway Scotland 40% 38.3% 37.0%
35%
30.1% 30% 27.8%
25% 22.2%21.7% 20%
15%
10%
4.7% 5.4% 5% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0% Higher Further Training Employed Voluntary Activity Unemployed Unemployed Unconfirmed Education Education Work Agreements Seeking Not Seeking
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Table 3: Year on Year Destination Split
Activity U/E U/E NOT Unconfir Training Employed Voluntary Year Total HE (%) FE (%) Agreement Seeking Seeking med (%) (%) Work (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) 2005/06 1,727 31.6 25.2 2.7 26.6 9.4 3.2 1.2 2006/07 1,762 29.8 23.5 3.5 30.5 0.2 9.4 1.6 1.5 2007/08 1,860 31.6 24.9 2.5 28.5 0.3 9.7 1.7 0.8 2008/09 1,658 33.6 31.0 2.9 21.8 0.4 8.4 0.9 0.9 2009/10 1,629 35.2 26.6 2.9 22.2 0.7 10.0 1.5 0.9 2010/11 1,739 34.2 28.9 3.0 21.6 0.6 0.0 10.1 1.4 0.2 2011/12 1,638 33.0 31.1 2.5 20.1 0.2 0.3 9.9 1.8 1.0 2012/13 1,614 37.7 29.0 3.2 20.9 0.4 0.2 6.3 1.4 0.8 2013/14 1,584 36.4 25.4 3.5 24.7 0.5 0.4 7.1 1.5 0.4 2014/15 1,603 37.0 30.1 2.2 22.2 0.3 1.1 4.7 1.1 1.2
Graph 4: Year on Year Positive/Other Destination Trend
100% 13.8% 12.5% 12.2% 10.3% 12.3% 11.7% 12.7% 8.6% 9.0% 7.0% 90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10% 86.2% 87.5% 87.8% 89.7% 87.7% 88.3% 87.3% 91.4% 91.0% 93.0% 0% 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Positive Destinations Other
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Graph 5: Year on Year Positive Destination Trend Analysis
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0% 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Higher Education Further Education Training Employment Voluntary Work Activity Agreement
This year 37.0% of leavers entered higher education which is 0.6pp higher than last year. In the past decade, the year that saw the highest percentage of leavers enter HE was 2012/13 when 37.7% entered HE. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers enter this destination was 2006/07 when 29.8% of leavers entered HE. This year is 0.7pp lower than the 2012/13 high and is 7.2pp higher than the 2006/07 low.
The percentage of leavers entering FE this year is 30.1%. This is 4.7pp higher than last year. Over the past 10 years, 2011/12 was the year that saw the highest percentage of leavers enter FE (31.1%). 2006/07 saw the lowest level enter FE when 23.5% of leavers entered this destination. This year is 1pp lower than the 2011/12 high and is 6.6pp higher than the 2006/07 low.
The percentage of leavers entering employment this year is 22.2%. This is 2.5pp lower than last year. In the past 10 years, the year that saw the highest percentage of leavers enter employment was 2006/07 when 30.5% of leavers entered this destination. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers enter this destination was 2011/12 when 20.1% of leavers entered employment. This year is 8.3pp lower than the high seen in 2006/07 and is 2.1pp higher than the low seen in 2011/12.
The highest level of leavers entering training was reported in 2006/07 and also in 2013/14 when 3.5% entered this destination. This year 2.2% of leavers entered training. This is 1.3pp lower than last year.
Activity Agreements account for 1.1% of leavers within the authority. This is an increase of 0.7pp on 2013/14 and 0.2pp higher than the national average (0.9%).
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Graph 6: Year on Year Other Destination Trend Analysis
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0% 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Unemployed Seeking Unemployed Not Seeking Unconfirmed
This year 4.7% of leavers are unemployed seeking which is 2.4pp lower than last year. In the past decade, the year that saw the highest level of unemployed seeking leavers was 2010/11 when 10.1% of leavers were reported in this destination. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers being reported in this destination was 2014/15 when 4.7% were reported as unemployed seeking. This year is 5.4pp lower than the 2010/11 high.
In the past decade, the proportion of unemployed not seeking leavers was at its highest in 2005/06 when 3.2% of leavers were unemployed not seeking. The year that saw the lowest percentage of leavers being reported in this destination was 2008/09 when 0.9% were reported as unemployed seeking. This year 1.1% of leavers are unemployed not seeking which is a decrease of 0.4pp compared to last year.
The percentage of leavers reported as unconfirmed is 1.2% which is not the lowest it's been in the 10 year period. The lowest year was 2010/11 when 0.2% were unconfirmed.
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Section 1.2: Leaver Characteristics
The tables and graphs that follow provide information about the characteristics of leavers and include analysis by gender, SIMD and stage of leaving. Table 7: Destinations Split By Gender Male Female No. of No. of % % Destinations Leavers Leavers Higher Education 246 30.8 347 43.2
Further Education 248 31.0 235 29.3 Training 21 2.6 15 1.9 Employment 206 25.8 150 18.7 Voluntary Work 3 0.4 2 0.2 Activity Agreement 11 1.4 6 0.7 Unemployed Seeking 49 6.1 27 3.4
Unemployed Not Seeking 6 0.8 12 1.5 Unconfirmed 10 1.3 9 1.1 Positive Destinations 735 91.9 755 94.0
Total Leavers 800 803
94.0% of females enter positive destinations in comparison to 91.9% of males, a 2.1pp difference. This position mirrors that of the national picture where a greater percentage of females enter positive destinations compared to males. 72.5% of females continue with their studies post school in comparison to 61.8% of males, a difference of 10.7pp. 28.4% of males enter employment or training in comparison to 20.6% of females, a difference of 7.8pp. Males are more likely than females to be unemployed seeking with the split of unemployed leavers being 65/36%. Graph 8: Gender split within each destination 100% 58.5% 48.7% 41.7% 42.1% 40.0% 35.3% 35.5% 66.7% 47.4% 90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10% 41.5% 51.3% 58.3% 57.9% 60.0% 64.7% 64.5% 33.3% 52.6% 0% Higher Further Training Employment Voluntary Activity Unemployed Unemployed Unconfirmed Education Education Work Agreement Seeking Not Seeking Male Female
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Table 9: Percentage Destinations by SIMD 2012 Most Deprived Least Deprived SIMD Decilevi Not 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Known Higher Education 10 20 28 30 34 42 40 47 56 50 13 Further Education 52 44 36 35 33 24 28 23 24 27 33 Training 5 6 3 4 3 2 0 1 0 0 7 Employment 15 22 22 23 23 25 24 21 10 21 20 Voluntary Work 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 Activity Agreement 5 4 2 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 Unemployed Seeking 10 2 7 5 2 5 4 7 5 0 0 U/E Not Seeking 2 0 2 2 0 1 2 0 3 0 0 Unconfirmed 2 2 1 0 2 0 2 0 3 2 27 Positive Destinations 87 96 91 93 96 93 92 93 90 98 73 Total 60 50 106 227 258 367 225 168 79 48 15 % of Total Leavers 3.7 3.1 6.6 14.2 16.1 22.9 14.0 10.5 4.9 3.0 0.9
Graph 10: Percentage Positive, HE and Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012
100%
98% 90% 87%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40% 50%
30%
20% 10% 10% 0% 10% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Most Deprived Least Deprived Positive Destinations Higher Education Unemployed Seeking The table and graph above attempt to show that where leavers live could have an effect on their destination on leaving school. For example, In general, leavers who live in the more deprived areas are less likely to enter positive destinations on leaving school than those from the less deprived areas. This is displayed in the graph which shows there is a 11pp difference in the positive destination percentages in SIMD 1 and SIMD 10. Leavers who live in the less deprived areas are more likely to enter higher education in comparison to leavers who live in the more deprived areas. The proportion of leavers entering HE from SIMD 10 is 50% and in comparison the proportion of leavers entering HE from SIMD 1 is 10%. Leavers from the more deprived areas are more likely to be unemployed seeking than leavers from the less deprived areas. Using SIMD 1, 10% of leavers become unemployed seeking compared to 0% from SIMD 10.
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Table 11: School Leavers by Stage of Leaving
Stage of Leavingvii Statutory Statutory Post Summer Winter Leaver Statutory Destination Leaver % % Leaver % Higher Education 0.6 0.0 44.1 Further Education 55.9 28.0 26.8 Training 6.1 3.7 1.6 Employment 26.3 35.4 20.9 Voluntary Work 0.6 1.2 0.2 Activity Agreement 3.4 8.5 0.3 Unemployed Seeking 6.1 14.6 3.9 Unemployed Not Seeking 0.6 2.4 1.1 Unconfirmed 0.6 6.1 1.0 Positive Destinations 92.7 76.8 94.0 Total Leavers 179 82 1,342 % of Total Leavers 11.2 5.1 83.7
It can be noted that the majority of leavers had remained at school past their statutory leave date and this has had a positive impact on their progression from school. Leavers who stay on past their statutory leave date are more likely to progress to positive outcomes on leaving school with the highest proportion entering higher education (44.1%). Overall 94.0% of those who stay on at school past their statutory leave date enter a positive destination. Statutory winter leavers are the least likely to enter positive destinations with only 76.8% of leavers reported entering a positive outcome. The highest proportion is reported in employment (35.4%). Statutory winter leavers are more than 3 times as likely to be reported as unemployed seeking than a post statutory leaver. The highest proportion of statutory summer leavers entered further education (55.9%), however they were also more than 1.5 times as likely as post statutory leavers to be unemployed seeking.
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Section 2: Positive Destinations
Section 2.1 Higher and Further Education Higher Education (HE): This category includes leavers following HND (Higher National Diploma) or HNC (Higher National Certificate) courses, degree courses, courses for the education and training of teachers and higher level courses for professional qualifications. Leavers with a deferred, unconditional place in higher education have also been included in this year’s figures.
Further Education (FE): This category includes leavers undertaking non advanced further education which is not higher education.
From those reported in the leaver cohort, 593 leavers entered higher education and 483 entered further education. Detailed analysis on the institution entered can be provided on 99.2% (1,067). The analysis below is based on 588 HE and 479 FE students.
Due to the increased use of administrative data we are no longer able to provide an analysis on the course areas entered by leavers as the data on courses is not mapped to a field that can be used for analysis.
Table 12: HE by Institution Type Table 13: HE Students by Institutionviii Institution Total % Institution Total % University/HEI 414 70 FE College 137 23 University of Glasgow 59 10.0 Other1 37 6 University of Strathclyde 49 8.3 University of Edinburgh 47 8.0 1 Other category includes Institutions Outwith Scotland and Edinburgh Napier University 38 6.5 Other Learning Providers. University of Stirling 34 5.8 University of the West of Scotland 29 4.9 Glasgow Caledonian University 23 3.9 University of Dundee 23 3.9 Scotland's Rural College (SRUC) 20 3.4 Queen Margaret University Edinburgh 19 3.2 Other Learning Providers 76 12.9
Outwith Scotland 34 5.8 FE Colleges 137 23.3
Only the top institutions with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other institutions are captured under “Other Learning Providers”.
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Table 14: HE Students by FE Colleges Table 15: FE Students by FE Colleges
Institution Total % Institution Total % Dumfries and Galloway College 92 67.2 Dumfries and Galloway College 349 72.9 City of Glasgow College 18 13.1 Ayrshire College 20 4.2 Edinburgh College 10 7.3 Edinburgh College 9 1.9 Ayrshire College 5 3.6 City of Glasgow College 6 1.3 Other Institutions / Learning Outwith Scotland 38 7.9 12 8.8 Providers Other Institutions / Learning 57 11.9 Providers
Only institutions with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other institutions are captured under “Other Institutions / Learning Providers”.
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Section 2.2: Employment
Employment: This category includes those who are employed and who are in receipt of payment from their employers. It includes young people undertaking training in employment through Modern Apprenticeships. 356 young people entered employment and analysis can be provided on 86.2% (307) of those entering employment for whom we hold information about the occupational area entered.
There has been a decrease in the level of data held about occupational areas due to the refreshed methodology to gathering destination data and the analysis below provides an overview based on the available data. Table 16: Top Occupational Areas
Occupational Area Total % Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 71 23.1 Retail & Sales Occupations 49 16.0 Animals, Land & Environment 43 14.0 Construction 35 11.4 Admin & Management 21 6.8 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 19 6.2 Garage Services 15 4.9 Engineering 11 3.6 Manufacturing 11 3.6 Transport & Distribution 7 2.3 Health & Medicine 7 2.3 Armed Services & Security 6 2.0 Other Occupation Areas 12 3.9
Table 17: Top Occupational Areas (Male only)
Occupational Area Total % Construction 35 20.0 Animals, Land & Environment 34 19.4 Retail & Sales Occupations 25 14.3 Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 25 14.3 Garage Services 15 8.6 Engineering 9 5.1 Transport & Distribution 7 4.0 Admin & Management 6 3.4 Armed Services & Security 6 3.4 Manufacturing 5 2.9 Other Occupational Areas 8 4.6
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Table 18: Top Occupational Areas (Female only)
Occupational Area Total % Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 46 34.8 Retail & Sales Occupations 24 18.2 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 17 12.9 Admin & Management 15 11.4 Animals, Land & Environment 9 6.8 Health & Medicine 7 5.3 Manufacturing 6 4.5 Other Occupational Areas 8 6.1
Only the top occupational areas with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other areas are captured under “Other Occupational Areas”. Graph 19: Occupational Areas split by Gender
Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 35% 65%
Retail & Sales Occupations 51% 49%
Animals, Land & Environment 79% 21%
Construction 100% 0%
Admin & Management 29% 71%
Social, Caring & Advisory Services 11% 89%
Garage Services 100% 0%
Engineering 82% 18%
Manufacturing 45% 55%
Transport & Distribution 100% 0%
Male Female 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
The most popular area of employment entered by all school leavers is Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism with 23.1% of school leavers who enter employment taking up a position in this industry. The gender split of this area shows that mainly female leavers are working in this area with a 65/35% split. The next two most popular employment areas for school leavers this year are Retail & Sales Occupations (16.0%) followed by Animals, Land & Environment (14.0%).
When examining occupational areas by gender we see that the top three areas for females are Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism, Retail & Sales Occupations and Social, Caring & Advisory Services. With males, the top three areas are Construction, Animals, Land & Environment, and Retail & Sales Occupations.
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20.0% of male leavers who enter employment enter Construction occupations, which equates to 35 leavers and 34.8% of female leavers enter Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism occupations, which is the equivalent of 46 leavers.
There is a gender imbalance in the occupational areas of Construction, Garage Services and Transport & Distribution with all leavers being male.
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Section 3: Other Destinations
School leavers who do not achieve a positive destination on leaving school are key customers for Skills Development Scotland and our partner organisations. The school leaver extract is a snapshot in time and should only be used as an indicator.
Unemployed and seeking employment or training: This category includes those who are in contact with SDS and are known by them to be seeking employment or training. This is based on regular contact between SDS and the customer. This does not refer to the definition of ‘unemployed’ used by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) to calculate published unemployment rates This group also included some of those individuals undertaking personal skills developmentix.
Unemployed and not seeking employment or training: This category includes all those individuals who are not seeking employment or training for a range of reasons. These individual circumstances may involve sickness, prison, pregnancy, caring for children or other dependents or taking time out. Unemployed Seeking Leavers The table provides a comparison of the percentage of unemployed seeking customers with specific characteristics as opposed to the rate of the full leaver cohort. Table 20: Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics
% of Full % of Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics Leaver Unemployed Cohort Seeking
Gender Male 49.9 64.5 Female 50.1 35.5
Stage of Leaving Statutory Summer Leaver 11.2 14.5 Statutory Winter Leaver 5.1 15.8 Post Statutory Leaver 83.7 69.7
SIMD Decile (SIMD 2012) 1 (most deprived) 3.7 7.9 2 3.1 1.3 3 6.6 9.2 4 14.2 14.5 5 16.1 6.6 6 22.9 26.3 7 14.0 13.2 8 10.5 15.8 9 4.9 5.3 10 (least deprived) 3.0 0.0 Unknown 0.9 0.0 Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.
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Statutory winter leavers represent only 5.1% of the whole leaver cohort but are disproportionately represented within the leavers reported as unemployed seeking at 15.8%. A similar situation is evident for statutory summer leavers with 11.2% and 14.5% respectively. Although male leavers account for 49.9% of the leaving cohort, they account for 64.5% of leavers reported as unemployed seeking. Female leavers account for 50.1% of the leaving cohort with 35.5% of them being reported as unemployed seeking.
Table 21: Unemployed Seeking Leavers by Intermediate Data zone There were 76 leavers from Dumfries & Galloway Council secondary schools who were reported as unemployed seeking in the leaver snapshot. By using postcode and SDS centre, we were able to identify that, at the snapshot 1 of these leavers was living outside the local authority area, however, a further 1 unemployed seeking school leaver from another local authority school was residing within Dumfries & Galloway Council boundaries. By using postcodes we were able to identify areas within the authority where unemployed school leavers were living. The analysis below is based on 76 leavers residing in the authority who could be mapped to an intermediate data zone based on their postcode. The table below shows the top intermediate data zones with the highest percentage of unemployed leavers.
Intermediate Data zonex Total % Lower Annandale and South East Dumfries 6 8 Lincluden and Lochside 5 7 Lochmaben and Parkgate 5 7 Dalbeattie 5 7 Dumfries East 5 7 Gretna and Eastriggs 5 7
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Unemployed Not Seeking Leavers There were 18 school leavers within this category. The highest proportion of leavers reported as unemployed not seeking are those who are not yet ready to enter education, employment or training. Those who have caring responsibilities for their own children or who were either pregnant represent 11.1% of the cohort.
Graph 22: Individual Circumstances of those Unemployed NOT Seeking
Carer Child; 11.1%
Carer Other; 5.6%
Choosing Not to Enter EET; 11.1%
Gap Year; 33.3%
In custody; 0.0%
Not Yet Ready to enter EET; 38.9%
Pregnant; 0.0%
Unavailable - Ill Health; 0.0%
Unconfirmed Leavers There were 19 school leavers whose destination was unconfirmed at the point the snapshot was extracted.
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Section 4: Percentage Destinations by School
The table that follows provides a percentage breakdown of destinations by Local Authority.
School
Positive (%) Positive
Total Total Leavers Higher Education (%) Further Education (%) (%) Training Employment (%) Voluntary (%) Work Activity Agreements (%) Unemployed (%) Seeking Unemployed Seeking Not (%) Unconfirmed (%)
Annan Academy 190 31.1 31.1 1.6 29.5 0.5 1.1 3.7 0 1.6 94.7 Castle Douglas High School 120 39.2 24.2 0 30.8 0 0.8 4.2 0.8 0 95 Dalbeattie High School 89 21.3 28.1 1.1 34.8 2.2 1.1 6.7 0 4.5 88.8 Dalry Secondary School 5 0 40 0 40 0 0 0 0 20 80 Douglas Ewart High School 95 37.9 34.7 2.1 18.9 0 2.1 4.2 0 0 95.8 Dumfries Academy 130 37.7 29.2 6.2 15.4 0 1.5 6.9 2.3 0.8 90 Dumfries High School 151 45.7 29.8 0 14.6 0 0 8.6 0.7 0.7 90.1 Kirkcudbright Academy 77 46.8 27.3 2.6 15.6 0 2.6 5.2 0 0 94.8 Langholm Academy 47 55.3 34 0 10.6 0 0 0 0 0 100 Lockerbie Academy 148 29.7 31.8 2 29.1 0 1.4 3.4 2 0.7 93.9 Maxwelltown High School 51 17.6 41.2 2 21.6 2 3.9 9.8 2 0 88.2 Moffat Academy 50 34 34 0 16 2 2 4 4 4 88 Sanquhar Academy 38 15.8 39.5 2.6 36.8 0 0 2.6 0 2.6 94.7 St Joseph's College 118 48.3 27.1 0.8 12.7 0 0.8 5.9 1.7 2.5 89.8 Stranraer Academy 196 34.2 34.2 6.1 20.4 0 0.5 3.1 1 0.5 95.4
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School
Positive (%) Positive
Total Total Leavers Higher Education (%) Further Education (%) (%) Training Employment (%) Voluntary (%) Work Activity Agreements (%) Unemployed (%) Seeking Unemployed Seeking Not (%) Unconfirmed (%)
Wallace Hall Academy 98 53.1 16.3 2 22.4 0 0 2 3.1 1 93.9 Dumfries & Galloway Total 1,603 37 30.1 2.2 22.2 0.3 1.1 4.7 1.1 1.2 93
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Report Section 2: National Training Programme Results Apr-Sep 2015
As part of SDS's move to becoming a provider of Official Statistics, all National Training Programmme statistics are now published separately on our website. In this way the reader will always be able to access the most recently published information.
The links below will take you to the most recently published information and our publication schedule shows when the next data will be released.
For the latest Modern Apprenticeship and Employability Fund statistics please click here.
Report Section 3: Characteristics of 16 – 19 Unemployed Seeking The information that follows relates to 16 – 19 year olds within the shared data set recorded as being unemployed seeking on 1st December 2015. The cohort comprises of individuals who have either been in contact with SDS during the last eight weeks or those who partners have informed us are unemployed seeking. It also contains 18/19 year olds who could be matched to data shared by the Department for Work and Pensions.
Unemployed Table 1: Unemployed Seeking, by gender & age Age Group No. Male % No. % Total % Age Female 15/16 11 65 6 35 17 12 17 31 63 18 37 49 34 18 27 61 17 39 44 31 19 27 82 6 18 33 23 Total 96 67 47 33 143 Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100%.
Individuals will enter and leave the unemployed group as their circumstances change. By looking at the customer journey recorded on our database we have identified that 75% (107) of those within the current unemployed seeking cohort had secured at least one positive destination since leaving school.
The unemployed group is fluid and table 2 provides an overview of the period of time customers have been recorded as unemployed seeking based on the start date of the newest unemployed seeking status.
Please note, we may have supported a customer for a period of time as unemployed seeking but after 8 weeks of non contact we would update their destination to unconfirmed. If we subsequently make contact with a customer, a new unemployed seeking status would be created. The duration in table 2 is measured from the newest point of contact or data being shared.
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Unemployed Table 2: Unemployed Seeking, by age & duration of current unemployed status
Age Group 0-3 months 3-6 months 6-12 months > 12 months Total 15/16 12 4 1 0 17 17 43 5 1 0 49 18 35 3 6 0 44 19 19 5 9 0 33 Total 109 (76%) 17 (12%) 17 (12%) 0 (0%) 143 Due to rounding totals may not equal 100%.
By comparison, table 3 is based upon the last participation recorded on our client management system. Participation includes school, further education, higher education, national training programmes, employment, activity agreement or voluntary work. The duration has been calculated from the end date of the last known positive destination to the date of the extract. If no positive destination has been recorded on our client management system then the duration has been calculated from the statutory school leaving date of the customer.
Unemployed Table 3: Unemployed Seeking, by age & duration since last positive status Age Group 0-3 months 3-6 months 6-12 months > 12 months Total 15/16 8 6 3 0 17 17 26 10 8 5 49 18 21 7 7 9 44 19 7 6 9 11 33 Total 62 (43%) 29 (20%) 27 (19%) 25 (17%) 143 Due to rounding totals may not equal 100%.
Using customer postcodes we can map information about the unemployed seeking cohort by SIMD decile and intermediate data zones as in Table 4 and 5 below:
Unemployed Table 4: Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 Ranking SIMD Most Deprived Least Deprived Decile 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Not (2012) Known 21 11 16 28 16 24 17 8 1 0 1 12% 9% 12% 19% 11% 17% 11% 6% 1% 1% 2%
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Unemployed Table 5: Unemployed Seeking by Intermediate Datazone
Intermediate Data zone Total % Lincluden and Lochside 15 10 Stranraer West 13 9 Stranraer Central 12 8 Nithside and Nunholm 8 6 Dumfries East 7 5 Gretna and Eastriggs 7 5 Cree Valley 6 4 Lower Annandale and South East Dumfries 6 4 Castle Douglas 5 3 Portpatrick 5 3
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Background Notes
i Insight is an online benchmarking tool that can be accessed by schools and local authorities. Data supplied by SDS has been used to update the leaver destination content on Insight. The methodology used by Insight is slightly different to that used by SDS to report. These changes are minor at a national level. Further information about the differences can be found here: https://www.skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/media/38977/information_on_insight_in_relation_to_sldr.pdf Further information on Insight can be found here: http://www.gov.scot/Topics/Education/Schools/curriculum/seniorphasebenchmarking ii Positive Destinations: Positive Destinations have been defined by Scotland Performs in relation to the National Indicator - “Increase the proportion of young people in learning, training or work”. As from 2010/11, activity agreements became a separate position destination category.
Higher Education: This category includes all leavers who have entered University to study at degree level, or an FE/HE college to study at HNC/HND level. Leavers with a deferred, unconditional place in higher education have also been included in this category.
Further Education: This category includes all leavers who are studying at a non-advanced level and are not on a school roll e.g. National Qualifications, Access courses, portfolio preparation, pre-vocational courses or Highers or A Levels.
Training: This category includes leavers who are on a training course and in receipt of an allowance. This includes those participating in the SDS funded Employability programmes. It also includes those participating in placements through the community jobs fund. In addition, leavers who are in receipt of an allowance and the programme they are participating in, is not funded by SDS e.g. vocational programmes funded by local authorities or third sector organisations.
Employment: This category includes leavers who are employed and are in receipt of payment from their employers. It includes those undertaking formal training whilst in employment funded through modern apprenticeships. It also includes those who are Self Employed and those working on a part-time basis (less than 16 hours) who regard this employment as their main destination, irrespective of the hours worked.
Voluntary Work: Undertaking voluntary work/volunteering, this will involve a young person giving of his/her time and energy through a third party. It will benefit both the young person and others, including individuals, groups and organisations, communities, the environment and society at large. Some volunteering may include a financial allowance. Work experience that is not organised via a formal training programme and un-paid work would also be recorded here.
Activity Agreement: includes those leavers where there is an agreement between the young person and a trusted professional that the leaver will take part in a programme of learning and activity which helps them become ready for formal learning or employment. This is based on SDS’s knowledge of participation rates and may not match similar data held by local authorities who have the lead delivery role activity agreements. iii Percentage point(s) has been abbreviated to pp throughout this document. iv Unemployed Seeking: This category includes those who are in contact with SDS and are known by them to be seeking employment or training. This is based on regular contact between SDS and the customer. This does not refer to the definition of ‘unemployed’ used by the Department for Work and Pensions to calculate published unemployment rates. This group also included some of those individuals undertaking personal skills development. v Unconfirmed: An unconfirmed status applies to individuals for whom SDS holds a record but it has not been possible to identify an up-to-date status despite multi partner data sharing and tracking of individuals as part of service delivery. Partnership working aims to minimise the number of young people in this category, with professionals working together to identify and provide support to young people who need help to move into learning or work.
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vi The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD): SIMD identifies small area concentrations of multiple deprivation across all of Scotland in a consistent way. SDS uses a file created by Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics to identify SIMD based on an individual leaver’s postcode. The leaver’s postcode is based on the last known address of the leaver as recorded on our client management system. As the last known postcode is used it may be that a leaver from one local authority was living in another local authority at the time of the return. Therefore, the SIMD relates to where a leaver was living at the point of the return and not the concentration of SIMD within a local authority. The Scottish Government has a useful tool that helps identify SIMD areas: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/SIMD/SIMDInteractive. vii Stage of Leaving: A statutory summer leaver is a school leaver who chose to leave school at the earliest opportunity when they became eligible to leave school i.e. their 16th birthday fell on or between 1st March and 30th September in their year of leaving. A statutory winter leaver is a school leaver who chose to leave school at the earliest opportunity when they became eligible to leave school i.e. their 16th birthday fell between 1st October and the last day in February. A post statutory leaver is a school leaver who chose to remain at school passed their statutory leave date e.g. a winter leaver who would have been eligible to leave at the winter leave date but choose to remain at school until the summer leave date. Included in this group are leavers who have passed their statutory leave date and have left school at any stage throughout the year. viii Institutions: Through our follow up of leavers, SDS confirm Further and Higher Education destinations and as part of the leaver follow up process we request further information about the institution a leaver is attending. This is not a mandatory requirement and the information displayed is based on the recorded detail on the SDS customer records system and is provided as a guide only. As part of our data sharing processes with Further Education colleges and SAAS we will receive information about the institutions attended. Due to the timing of the follow up not all enrolments may be received from colleges. Therefore, the detail provided in this report may not fully match that held on institutions own MIS systems. Those leavers recorded in a Higher Education destination and their recorded institution was one of the colleges and research institutions that make up The University of the Highland and Islands their institution was updated to the UHI. However, Further Education destinations have been reported using the college description, where available. In addition, our reporting takes account of the sector’s regionalisation process and where possible the newly formed college name has been used within our reporting. ix Personal Skills Development: This status is split into two different categories – PSD (Employability) and PSD (Social & Health). Although the introduction of the participation measure deemed this status to be participating for leaver destinations we have been requested to continue to map this status to a traditional destination category. In2010/11, SDS provided the individual level detail of all recorded PSD statuses to the Scottish Government’s Education, Information and Analytical Services: Schools Unit and they returned the official leaver destination mapping. This has been used within these statistics. PSD (Employability): Those who participate in activities with the aim of improving their employability. These formal programmes will often be delivered by community learning and development or third sector organisation. Also included is the Work Programme via DWP. The courses will have a structured attendance pattern. PSD (Social & Health): Some young people may not be ready to enter the labour market and will require access to support from support services to make transitions into learning/ work or adulthood. This status relates to individuals who are undertaking structured opportunities appropriate to their long term needs or to address their barriers to participation. It includes those whose entry to opportunities will have been planned through the transition planning process and take account of the strengths, abilities, wishes and needs of the young person as well as identification of relevant support strategies which may be required. In addition, it includes individuals who are facing barriers to participation and are participating in “structured” support for the removal of barriers prior to concentrating on employability. Note: Within the context of Opportunities for All, all participation is positive; therefore the Personal Skills Development (Social & Health) status is regarded as participating, however, within leaver destination statistics this has been mapped to the unemployed not seeking destination category which maintains the time series within reporting..
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x Intermediate Data zone Geography: The data zone is the key small area statistical geography in Scotland. The intermediate geography is built up from data zones and can be used to disseminate statistics that are not suitable for release at the data zone level. Due to the small number of individuals it has been decided to use the intermediate level geography. There are 1,235 intermediate zones in Scotland, containing on average 4,000 household residents and these have been designed to respect local authority boundaries as at 2001 Census.
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