Cambodian Perspective on the Belt and Road Initiative CHAPTER 1
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U.S.-China Relations: the Search for a New Equilibrium Ryan Hass
U.S.-CHINA RELATIONS: THE SEARCH FOR A NEW EQUILIBRIUM RYAN HASS FEBRUARY 2020 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY it did not actively seek to change the existing order on a magnitude corresponding to China’s ambitions For over 40 years following President Richard Nixon’s today, nor did it have the capabilities to do so.) Third, first tentative steps in China in 1972, the relationship China’s rise from a low-wage manufacturing hub to between the United States and the People’s Republic a technology power has introduced friction into the of China (PRC) navigated many ups and downs, but economic relationship, as both economies increasingly generally developed along a trajectory of deepening move from being complementary to competitive with social, economic, people-to-people, and diplomatic one another. And fourth, unresolved questions about ties. In recent years, that trajectory has been broken. the nature of ideological or systems competition are Now, the relationship has reached what respected fueling tensions. China scholar David M. Lampton describes as a “tipping point.”1 This paper will explore how the relationship Looking ahead, the paper argues that Washington and reached its current moment, why the relationship has Beijing each will need to take steps to allow conditions been nose-diving, and what steps the United States to emerge over time that would make possible the could take to protect its interests in its relationship emergence of a new equilibrium for the relationship. with China going forward. Such an outcome would bolster each side’s confidence in their ability to protect their own vital interests, This paper argues that neither the United States prevent a mutually harmful deterioration in relations, nor China own a monopoly of responsibility for the and enable both sides to focus more on improving downturn in relations. -
Rapprochement Between America and China During the Nixon
Bilge Strateji,Bilge Cilt Strateji, 9, Sayı Cilt16, Bahar9, Sayı 2017, 16, Bahar ss.131-147 2017 Rapprochement between America and China during the Nixon Era: A Product of Timing or the Leadership? Nixon Dönemi Amerika ve Çin Arasındaki Uzlaşma: Zamanın bir Ürünü mü yoksa Liderlik mi? Teslim: 31 Mayıs 2016 Onay: 23 Mart 2017 Ali Onur ÖZÇELİK* Abstract This article explores the rapprochement between America and China in the 1970s. By ending two-decade old antagonism and realizing the most impor- tant strategic shift of the Cold War era, both states have changed the course of the world politics since the middle of the Cold War. In elaborating one of the historical events in American foreign policy, the article seeks to find an answer for one big question: Was Nixon a unique leader to initiate the U.S. opening to China or was it purely a product of timing? The findings suggest that although timing provided important motivation for rapprochement, this had not been possible if Nixon did not show his determination. Keywords: : Rapprochement between America and China, Leadership, Re- alpolitik, American Foreign Policy. Öz Bu makale, Amerika ve Çin arasında 1970’lerdeki uzlaşmayı incelemekte- dir. Yirmi yıllık düşmanlığı sonlandıran ve Soğuk Savaş’ın en önemli strate- jik kayışını gerçekleştiren iki devlet, Soğuk Savaş’ın ortasından itibaren dünya politikasının gidişatını değiştirmiştir. Amerikan dış politikasındaki en önemli tarihi olaylardan bir tanesini ele alan bu makele, büyük bir so- ruya: Amerikanın Çin’e açılması için Nixon eşsiz bir lider miydi yoksa bu süreç tamamen zamanın bir ürünü müydü? cevap aramaktadır. Bulgular, za- manlama uzlaşma için önemli bir motivasyon sağlamasına rağmen, Nixon’ın kararlılığı olmasa bu uzlaşmanın imkansız olduğunu önermektedir. -
Constructing the U.S. Rapprochement with China, 1961–1974
P1: KcS 0521839866agg.xml CY468B/Goh 0521839866 August 25, 2004 17:12 Constructing the U.S. Rapprochement with China, 1961–1974 From “Red Menace” to “Tacit Ally” EVELYN GOH Nanyang Technological University iii P1: KcS 0521839866agg.xml CY468B/Goh 0521839866 August 25, 2004 17:12 published by the press syndicate of the university of cambridge The Pitt Building, Trumpington Street, Cambridge, United Kingdom cambridge university press The Edinburgh Building, Cambridge cb2 2ru, uk 40 West 20th Street, New York, ny 10011-4211, usa 477 Williamstown Road, Port Melbourne, vic 3207, Australia Ruiz de Alarcon´ 13, 28014 Madrid, Spain Dock House, The Waterfront, Cape Town 8001, South Africa http://www.cambridge.org C Evelyn Goh 2005 This book is in copyright. Subject to statutory exception and to the provisions of relevant collective licensing agreements, no reproduction of any part may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. First published 2005 Printed in the United States of America Typeface Sabon 10/13 pt. System LATEX 2ε [tb] A catalog record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Goh, Evelyn. Constructing the U.S. rapprochement with China, 1961–1974 : from “red menace” to “tacit ally” / Evelyn Goh. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. isbn 0-521-83986-6 1. United States – Foreign relations – China. 2. China – Foreign relations – United States. 3. United States – Foreign relations – 1961–1963. 4. United States – Foreign relations – 1963–1969. 5. United States – Foreign relations – 1969–1974. i. Title. e183.8.c5g625 2004 327.7305109046–dc22 2004045808 isbn 0 521 83986 6 hardback iv P1: KcS 0521839866agg.xml CY468B/Goh 0521839866 August 25, 2004 17:12 Contents Foreword by Rosemary Foot page ix Acknowledgments xi List of Abbreviations xiii 1 Introduction 1 part i. -
China's Belt and Road Initiative in the Global Trade, Investment and Finance Landscape
China's Belt and Road Initiative in the Global Trade, Investment and Finance Landscape │ 3 China’s Belt and Road Initiative in the global trade, investment and finance landscape China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) development strategy aims to build connectivity and co-operation across six main economic corridors encompassing China and: Mongolia and Russia; Eurasian countries; Central and West Asia; Pakistan; other countries of the Indian sub-continent; and Indochina. Asia needs USD 26 trillion in infrastructure investment to 2030 (Asian Development Bank, 2017), and China can certainly help to provide some of this. Its investments, by building infrastructure, have positive impacts on countries involved. Mutual benefit is a feature of the BRI which will also help to develop markets for China’s products in the long term and to alleviate industrial excess capacity in the short term. The BRI prioritises hardware (infrastructure) and funding first. This report explores and quantifies parts of the BRI strategy, the impact on other BRI-participating economies and some of the implications for OECD countries. It reproduces Chapter 2 from the 2018 edition of the OECD Business and Financial Outlook. 1. Introduction The world has a large infrastructure gap constraining trade, openness and future prosperity. Multilateral development banks (MDBs) are working hard to help close this gap. Most recently China has commenced a major global effort to bolster this trend, a plan known as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). China and economies that have signed co-operation agreements with China on the BRI (henceforth BRI-participating economies1) have been rising as a share of the world economy. -
Chiang Kai-Shek Introduction General Overviews Primary Sources
Chiang Kai-Shek Introduction General Overviews Primary Sources Archives Collected Works and Books Other Primary Sources Collections of Visual Sources Journals Historiographical Overviews Biographies Upbringing and Early Career Rise to Power and the “Chinese Revolution” Nanjing Decade Relationship with Japan Second Sino-Japanese War Civil War and “Loss” of the Mainland Chiang Kai-shek on Taiwan Cold War Personality Cult, Commemoration, and Legacy Introduction Chiang Kai-shek (Jiang Jieshi 蔣介石)—also referred to as Chiang Chung-cheng (Jiang Zhongzheng 蔣 中正)—is one of the most controversial figures in modern Chinese history. He is also one of the most studied. He has been the focus of a vast array of historiography, biography, hagiography, and demonization. For early critics, Chiang was seen, from his purging of the Communists in 1927, as a “betrayer” of the Chinese Revolution. This assessment is now a point of considerable contention among historians. His creation of a unified yet authoritarian Chinese state during the Nanjing Decade (1927–1937) is also a prominent focus of scholarship, as is his role as China’s leader during the Second Sino-Japanese War (1937–1945). Earlier assessments often ended their study of Chiang with his defeat by the communists in the Chinese Civil War and his subsequent flight to Taiwan in 1949. However, more recent scholarship has explored both the controversies and achievements of the quarter of a century that Chiang spent on Taiwan, and his legacy on that island in the period since 1975. There remain major differences in approaches to the study of Chiang along political, methodological, and national lines, but the deposition of Chiang’s diaries at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, in 2004 has ensured that a steady flow of scholarly reassessments has been published since then. -
2020 Report to Congress on China's WTO Compliance
2020 Report to Congress On China’s WTO Compliance United States Trade Representative January 2021 2020 Report to Congress On China’s WTO Compliance United States Trade Representative January 2021 2020 USTR Report to Congress on China’s WTO Compliance TABLE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD ……………………………………………………………………………………..………………………………………….. 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ………………………………………………………………………….……………………………………… 2 U.S. ASSESSMENT OF CHINA’S WTO MEMBERSHIP ……………………………………………………..……. 4 China’s WTO Accession ……………………………………………………………………………..…………….…..………………… 4 Expectations of WTO Membership ……….……………………………………………………………………..…………………… 5 China’s Record in Terms of Complying With WTO Rules ………………………………..…………….…..………………… 6 China’s Record in Terms of Transitioning to a Market Economy …………..…….……………….……………..……… 8 U.S. STRATEGY FOR ADDRESSING TRADE DISTORTIONS CAUSED BY CHINA …………… 13 REVIEW OF TRADE MECHANISMS USED TO ENGAGE CHINA .……...……………………………… 21 Bilateral Dialogues ……………….………………………………………………………………….………………………………..………… 21 Multilateral Fora ……………….……………………………………………………………….………….……………………………..……… 22 Enforcement ………………………….…………………………………………………………..….……………………………………………… 24 U.S. Laws ……………….………………………………………………………………………….…………………………………..……… 24 WTO Litigation ………………………………………………………………………………….…………………………………..……… 24 KEY U.S. CONCERNS ………….……………………..………………….…………………………………………………………..…… 27 Non-tariff Measures …….……….……………………………………………………………….………………………………..….……… 27 Industrial Plans …………………………………………………………………………………….……………………………….……. 27 State-Owned Enterprises ……………………………..………………………………………………………………………………. -
Korea Between the United States and China: How Does Hedging Work? Park Jin 60 | Joint U.S.-Korea Academic Studies
59 Korea Between the United States and China: How Does Hedging Work? Park Jin 60 | Joint U.S.-Korea Academic Studies “We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies.” The words of the 19th- century British statesman Lord Palmerstone seem to resonate in 21st-century Asia. For example, China and the United States fought against each other during the Korean War, but now the two great powers are exploring a new style of constructive strategic partnership. Japan and Vietnam fought against the United States in the last century, but they too are now strong allies and major strategic partners of the United States. In this fast-changing region of explosive economic growth and constant power shifts, even the most traditional alliances are being tested while previously unlikely partnerships are being forged. Amid deepening uncertainty and ambiguity, states continue to struggle to answer that fundamental question of foreign policy: friend or foe? The same question was much easier to answer during the Cold War period; the world was divided into two blocs, and small and middle powers only had to choose between them. My friend’s friend was a friend, and my enemy’s friend was an enemy. After the bipolar world turned into a unipolar hegemony whether you chose to be a friend or a foe to the United States, the choice was still a binary one.1 Such reassuring simplicity has been fading away rapidly. With the projected rise of a new superpower in China and the perceived challenges to the U.S.-centric hub-and- spokes system in an age where economic interdependence has increased and power shift has occurred, especially in Asia, it requires a sophisticated diplomacy to adapt to the perceived shifts in geopolitical landscape and to optimize a policy mix for managing alliances and new partnerships. -
North Korea, Preview Chapter 2
2 Perils of Refugee Life As we argued in the introduction, our interest in the North Korean refu- gees is twofold: We are concerned about their material and psychological well-being—their experiences as refugees—as well as interested in the insights they might provide with respect to life in North Korea itself. This chapter takes up the fi rst question, drawing primarily on the results of the China survey of 2004–05. We fi rst consider the reasons why refugees left North Korea and their living conditions in China. Despite the precariousness of their status and their preference for a decent life in North Korea, few plan on returning. Most envision themselves as temporarily residing in China before moving on to a third country. Yet there is evidence of considerable movement back and forth across the border, mostly people carrying money and food back to their extended family members in North Korea. The refugee community in China is exposed to multiple sources of vulnerability, including not only fear of arrest but also the uncertainty of their work circumstances. We highlight the particular vulnerability of women to forms of abuse such as traffi cking, which has recently received increasing attention (Hawk 2003, K. Lee 2006, Sheridan 2006, Committee for Human Rights in North Korea 2009, National Human Rights Commis- sion of Korea 2010). In the third section we extend this analysis of objective conditions to a consideration of the psychology of the refugees. A key fi nding, confi rmed by more detailed clinical work in South Korea (Jeon 2000, Y. -
The Awakening of the Sleeping Giant: How Sino-American Rapprochement Triggered China's Meteoric Rise and What It Means Today
The Awakening of the Sleeping Giant: How Sino-American Rapprochement Triggered China’s Meteoric Rise and What It Means Today Bobby Aiyer Junior Division Individual Documentary Process Paper Words: 500 Process Paper Selection For this year’s NHD, I chose a topic that I strongly connected with. Having lived in both China and the United States for extended periods of time, I chose to focus on the foundations of the Sino-American relationship. I wanted to place an emphasis on the Shanghai Communiqué and what that meant for the Sino-American relationship. However, after in-depth research, I realized that the Shanghai Communiqué was just the beginning of a series of exchanges, called rapprochement. I decided to widen the spectrum of my topic, explain the history behind normalization, and analyze the present-day impact of Nixon’s encounters. Research After finalizing my topic, I read Henry Kissinger’s book “On China” and learned about the details and motivations that led both the U.S. and China to re-establish relations. Then, I used history websites to understand the economic and political scenarios for both during the late 1960s, researched today’s Sino-American relationship, drew conclusions, and created a cause- and-effect timeline. After the State competition, I worked to address the negative aspects of the Sino-American relationship, balancing my documentary. I also contacted numerous experts specializing in the present-day status of Sino-American relations, including Prof. David Lampton of Johns Hopkins University. I conducted a vital interview with him that centered on the “today” of Sino-American encounters and exchanges. -
New Documents on the Sino-Soviet Ussuri Border Clashes of 1969
New Documents on the Sino-Soviet Ussuri Border Clashes of 1969 Dmitri S. Ryabushkin (Tavrida National University, Ukraine) Soviet and Chinese documents regarding the military clashes of 1969 were long kept secret. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, the Russian side began to declassify and leak materials. In the 1990s, some high-level Chinese materials also began to become available.1 But much is still unknown. As a result of this regime of secrecy there are many myths about the events of March 1969. These myths wander from one article to another and create an inaccurate picture of what had happened on the Sino-Soviet border. Until further declassifications take place, the only more or less reliable sources of additional information about those bloody events are the memoirs of the participants in the battle (mainly of the Soviet veterans because Chinese participants of the events prefer to keep silent about the clash) and documents held in private hands, often by the participants themselves. Among the major issues that still require careful consideration and more documentation are the role of the Chinese military, the process and results of the Soviet State commission of 1969 (headed by Generals N.S.Zakharov and V.A.Matrosov) that studied the events of 2 March 1969, and exact information about the dead and wounded, both on the Soviet and Chinese sides. It is this last question that is examined in this research note, making use of the appended documents and others gathered by the author. The Soviet losses during the Damanskii/Zhenbao conflict are fully accounted for.2 In total, between 2 and 22 March 1969 the Soviet side lost 58 killed. -
Regional Responses to U.S.-China Competition in the Indo-Pacific: Vietnam
Regional Responses to U.S.-China Competition in the Indo-Pacific Vietnam Derek Grossman C O R P O R A T I O N For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RR4412z6 For more information on this series, visit www.rand.org/US-PRC-influence Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-1-9774-0520-3 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2020 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Cover: globe: jcrosemann/GettyImages; flags: luzitanija/Adobe Stock Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface As part of the project Regional Responses to U.S.-China Competition, this country-level report explores Vietnam’s perspective on rising U.S.-China competition and potential implications. -
The US-China Trade War: Impact on Vietnam
ISSUE: 2019 No. 102 ISSN 2335-6677 RESEARCHERS AT ISEAS – YUSOF ISHAK INSTITUTE ANALYSE CURRENT EVENTS Singapore |6 December 2019 The US-China Trade War: Impact on Vietnam Lam Thanh Ha and Nguyen Duc Phuc* EXECUTIVE SUMMARY • It is true that Vietnam is the biggest beneficiary in the ongoing US-China trade war but this must be qualified. • There is evidence to show that Vietnam’s exports to the United States have increased at a rate much higher than other exporting countries, in the first few months of this year. • Statistics also show that there is a spike in Chinese FDI in Vietnam during the same period. • But Vietnam will need to be careful and prevent Chinese exporters from using Vietnam as a convenient trans-shipment point for its exports to the United States. It will also need to be more selective in welcoming investments into the country. • In the longer term, Vietnam would do well to further diversify its export markets to reduce its dependence on the United States and China. The conclusion of the CPTPP and the EU-Vietnam FTA are steps in the right direction. * Guest writers, Lam Thanh Ha, is Senior Lecturer, International Economics Faculty, at the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Ministry of Foreign Affairs; and Nguyen Duc Phuc is Visiting Lecturer, International Economics Faculty, at the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 1 ISSUE: 2019 No. 102 ISSN 2335-6677 INTRODUCTION As the US-China trade war intensifies, there have been numerous reports and analyses suggesting that Vietnam is the greatest beneficiary of this fallout, with companies based in China either diversifying or shifting their production operations out of the country and into Vietnam.