DOCSLIB.ORG

Disruption Ripples Economics - Global

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Disruption Ripples Economics - Global 29 June 2021 Free to View Disruption ripples Economics - Global Trade data and policy tracker Global goods trade continues to surge… Shanella Rajanayagam Trade Economist …but recent container shipping disruption in mainland China HSBC Bank plc could exacerbate bottlenecks in the coming weeks… …and there are some signs that US services trade is starting to pick up as lockdown restrictions lift Supply chains are having a hard time at the moment. At the aggregate level, the numbers look good. Global goods trade volumes were up 25% y-o-y in April 2021 and up 5% compared to 2019 levels. But it is a different story on the ground, with manufacturers continuing to grapple with shipping bottlenecks. Rising container spot freight rates also pose a challenge as it now costs nearly USD11,000 to send a 40-foot container from East Asia to Europe compared to around USD1,300 two years ago. And there could be more disruption to come. Yantian Port in southern China – one of the world’s largest container shipping ports – closed for nearly a week at the end of May following a COVID-19 outbreak. Although operations gradually restarted through June and resumed fully last week, ripples will be felt for weeks. For example, it will take time to clear backlogs and for delayed vessels to arrive in Europe and North America, potentially exacerbating existing congestion at these ports. Crucially, all this additional disruption comes ahead of peak container shipping season, which usually begins in late summer in advance of Christmas. However, there could be some respite for goods trade later this year as lockdown restrictions lift and consumers look to spend more on services, although the extent to which this happens remains to be seen. US services imports have already started to pick up, growing by 26% y-o-y in April 2021 as travel services imports rose by a whopping 268% y-o-y. But US travel services imports are still down over 70% on 2019 levels as nearly all economies maintain travel restrictions. Meanwhile, the UK reached a trade deal in principle with Australia this month, less than a year after trade talks formally began. It also officially launched negotiations with the CPTPP bloc after getting the go-ahead from members, and opened talks with Singapore on a digital trade agreement. In addition, the US agreed to suspend punitive tariffs on bilateral trade with the EU and UK for five years over the longstanding Boeing-Airbus dispute – welcome news for European cognac and Scottish whisky exporters. The UK and EU also look set to agree a temporary truce over trade in chilled meat products across the Irish Sea (FT, 23 June 2021). Under EU agricultural trade rules, with which Northern Ireland aligns, meat imports can only be accepted if they are frozen. But even if the EU agrees that the UK can keep sending chilled sausages and minced meat from Great Britain to Northern Ireland until October 2021, this simply kicks the can down the road and will do little to alleviate trade uncertainty in the near term. This is an abridged version of a report by the same title published on 29-Jun-21. Please contact your HSBC representative or email [email protected] for more information. Disclosures & Disclaimer Issuer of report: HSBC Bank plc This report must be read with the disclosures and the analyst certifications in View HSBC Global Research at: the Disclosure appendix, and with the Disclaimer, which forms part of it. https://www.research.hsbc.com Free to View ● Economics - Global 29 June 2021 Monthly trade trends For the complete set of charts, please refer to the full piece on www.research.hsbc.com or contact your HSBC representative 1. Global goods trade volumes continue 2. …driven by strength in Asian exports to surge… Index Global trade volumes Index % y -o-y Grow th in ex ports v olumes by region % y -o-y 135 135 60 60 50 50 130 130 40 40 125 125 30 30 20 20 120 120 10 10 0 0 115 115 -10 -10 110 110 -20 -20 -30 -30 105 105 -40 -40 Jan-19 Oct-19 Jul-20 Apr-21 100 100 Mainland China LatAm Africa & Middle East Euro area 2018 2019 2020 2021 Emerging Asia ex. China Source: CPB. Note: Latest data point for April 2021. Source: CPB. Note: Latest data point for April 2021. 3. Yantian is one of mainland China’s 4. …but operations have been impacted by busiest ports… COVID-19 TEUs Yantian Port TEUs No. of No. of container ships No. of millions container throughput millions v essels at Yantian Port v essels 16 16 30 30 14 14 25 25 12 12 20 20 10 10 8 8 15 15 6 6 10 10 4 4 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 Jul-20 Sep-20 Nov-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 May-21 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Source: Bloomberg. Note: TEU = twenty-foot equivalent unit. Source: Bloomberg, HSBC. Note: Chart shows 7-day moving average. 5. Global goods trade continued to recover in the first quarter of this year % y -o-y Growth in global goods trade value by sector % y -o-y 20 14 16 20 11 9 10 6 6 10 2 0 2 0 0 -10 -3 -10 -5 -6 -5 -7 -6 -20 -20 -18 -21 -19 -30 -26 -30 -40 -40 -43 -50 -50 Total merchandise Agricultural products Fuels and mining products Manufactures Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Source: WTO 2 Free to View ● Economics - Global 29 June 2021 6. UK businesses continue to face challenges when trading… % of respondents % of respondents UK businesses ex periencing trading challenges 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 06/12/2020 03/01/2021 31/01/2021 28/02/2021 28/03/2021 25/04/2021 23/05/2021 Exporting challenges Importing challenges Source: ONS. Note: Proportion of businesses currently trading that are experiencing a challenge in importing or exporting, who had exported or imported in the last 12 months and who reported how exports or imports compared with normal expectations, 7. …mainly due to Brexit-related issues Share of businesses Main cause of exporting challenges Share of businesses 100% 100% 80% 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 20% 20% 0% 0% 05-Apr-21 19-Apr-21 11-Jan-21 25-Jan-21 08-Feb-21 22-Feb-21 22-Mar-21 08-Mar-21 28-Dec-20 14-Dec-20 03-May-21 17-May-21 COVID-19 Brexit COVID-19 and Brexit Other/not sure Source: ONS. Note: Percentage of businesses currently trading, who had exported in the last 12 months and reported how exports have been affected, as well as exporting challenges. 8. US services trade is starting to pick up 9. …although international travel remains as lockdowns lift… restricted % y -o-y US services imports % y -o-y Share, all International trav el restrictions Share, all 300 300 economies economies 100% 100% 200 200 80% 80% 100 100 60% 60% 40% 40% 0 0 20% 20% -100 -100 0% 0% -200 -200 Jul-20 Apr-20 Oct-20 Apr-21 Jan-21 Jun-21 Jun-20 Feb-21 Mar-21 Sep-20 Aug-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 May-20 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 May-21 No measures Screening arrivals Total Transport Travel Quarantine requirements Ban some arrivals Ban all arrivals Source: BEA. Note: Seasonally adjusted. Latest data point for April 2021. Source: University of Oxford, HSBC. Note: Data as at the 1st of each month. Total number of report economies varies slightly each month. 3 Free to View ● Economics - Global 29 June 2021 Trade policy calendar 10. Key upcoming trade events ● Deadline ● Event ● Report Date Type Details 30 June 2021 ● US and Taiwan set to revive trade and investment talks 01 July 2021 ● US Trade Promotion Authority expires ● Grace period for customs requirements on chilled meat moving from GB to NI due to expire unless extended 05 July 2021 ● UK consultation on punitive tariffs on US exports ends 09 to 10 July 2021 ● G20 Finance Ministers’ meeting, deadline to reach global solution on digital services taxes 12 July 2021 ● UK consultation on upgrading trade deals with Canada and Mexico ends 15 July 2021 ● WTO Trade Ministers’ meeting August 2021 ● UK and New Zealand expected to agree trade deal in principle 31 August 2021 ● UK consultation on trade deal with India ends 16 September 2021 ● WTO workshop on the Information Technology Agreement (ITA) 01 October 2021 ● Grace period for customs formalities on certain GB food exports to NI due to expire. Extended from 1 April 2021 ● Waiver on customs declarations for parcel deliveries from GB to NI due to expire. Extended from 1 April 2021 ● Grace period for some customs formalities on EU exports of animal origin to the UK ends, these goods will require pre-notification and relevant health documentation. Extended from 1 April 2021 05 October 2021 ● G20 Trade Ministers’ Meeting 15 October 2021 ● US semi-annual report on the currency practices of key trading partners due 26 to 28 October 2021 ● 38th and 39th ASEAN Summits 30 to 31 October 2021 ● G20 Leaders’ Summit November 2021 ● Target deadline for UK and Australia to finalise trade deal w/c 08 November 2021 ● APEC ministerial meeting 30 November to ● 12th WTO Ministerial Conference (MC12) to take place 3 December 2021 01 January 2022 ● Certain goods sold in GB will now require the UKCA (UK Conformity Assessed) marking, the EU’s marking (the CE mark) will no longer be accepted ● Grace period for customs formalities on all remaining EU exports to the UK ends, nearly all EU goods will be subject to full import requirements in the UK.
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Hsbc Trinkaus & Burkhardt Ag 2012 Dividend
    Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited take no responsibility for the contents of this document, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this document. Abc The following text is the English version of a news release issued in Germany by HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG, an 80.6% indirectly owned subsidiary of HSBC Holdings plc., which has been released to the other stock exchanges on which HSBC Holdings plc is listed. 20 February 2013 HSBC TRINKAUS & BURKHARDT AG 2012 DIVIDEND The Supervisory and Management Boards of HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG (‘HSBC Trinkaus’) propose the payment of a dividend of €2.50 per share for the 2012 financial year (2011: €2.50). Shareholders will be invited to approve the dividend at the Annual General Meeting on 4 June 2013. Estimated pre-tax profit and net profit for the 2012 financial year are in line with prior-year levels. The core capital ratio stands at over 12.9%, comfortably exceeding regulatory requirements despite the additional capital requirements for trading book positions. HSBC Trinkaus is the HSBC Group’s principal subsidiary in Germany and is rated ‘AA- (stable)’ by Fitch Ratings. Further figures and details of the 2012 financial year are scheduled to be published on 6 March 2013. ends/more Media enquiries to Steffen Pörner on +49 211 910-1664 or at [email protected] Note to editors: Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG HSBC Trinkaus is a commercial bank which draws on its more than 228-year-old tradition as a trusted advisor to its clients.
    [Show full text]
  • Supply Chain Strains Economics - Global
    26 August 2021 Free to View Supply chain strains Economics - Global Trade data and policy tracker The spread of COVID-19 in Asia has affected factory and Shanella Rajanayagam port operations in the region… Trade Economist HSBC Bank plc …while the chips shortage continues to impact auto production and trade… …and UK goods trade remains down on pre-pandemic levels It has been anything but a quiet summer for exporters and importers. Earlier this month, the world’s third largest container shipping port – Ningbo, in mainland China – suspended operations for two weeks after a worker tested positive for COVID-19. Although berthing operations restarted this week, over 47 container shipping vessels were waiting to dock at the outer Zhoushan anchorage as at 25 August 2021, up from 12 a year prior. Nearby ports have also seen waiting times lengthen as vessels were rerouted following the recent disruption. And it is not just ports that have been disrupted. Factories across many Asian economies have been impacted by the spread of COVID-19, which could have implications for Asian trade flows of autos and textiles, as well as ripple effects for producers in other parts of the world reliant on inputs from Asia. For example, Ford Motor Co recently announced it would temporarily suspend production at a US plant because of a chips-related part shortage due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia, while more than 30% of Vietnamese textile and garment factories were closed at the beginning of this month due to the pandemic, according to the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association.
    [Show full text]
  • Our Board: Promoting Your Interests
    Our Board: Promoting Your Interests 1 4 7 10 2 5 8 11 3 6 9 12 Directors 5. The Rt Hon the Lord Butler of Brockwell, 9. José Luis Durán † 1. Stephen Green, Group Chairman KG, GCB, CVO (Retiring 30 May 2008) Age 43. Chief Executive of Carrefour SA and Age 59. An executive Director since 1998; Group Age 70. Master, University College, Oxford. Chairman of its Management Board of Directors. Chief Executive from 2003 to May 2006. Joined A non-executive Director since 1998. Chairman A non-executive Director since 1 January 2008. HSBC in 1982. Chairman of HSBC Bank plc and of the Corporate Sustainability Committee and the Joined Carrefour SA in 1991. Chief Financial Officer HSBC North America Holdings Inc. and HSBC HSBC Global Education Trust. A member of the and Managing Director, Organisation and Systems Private Banking Holdings (Suisse) SA. A Director International Advisory Board of Marsh McLennan of Carrefour SA from 2001 to 2005. of HSBC France and The Hongkong and Shanghai Inc. Chaired the UK Government Review of Banking Corporation Limited. Group Treasurer from Intelligence on Weapons of Mass Destruction in 10. Rona Fairhead † 1992 to 1998. Executive Director, Global Banking 2004. Secretary of the Cabinet and Head of the Age 46. Chief Executive Officer and Director of and Markets from 1998 to 2003. Chairman of Home Civil Service in the United Kingdom from the Financial Times Group Limited and a Director The British Bankers’ Association. 1988 to 1998. A non-executive Director of Imperial of Pearson plc. Chairman of Interactive Data Chemical Industries plc from 1998 to 2 January 2008.
    [Show full text]
  • Annual Report 2013 Financial Highlights of the HSBC Trinkaus Group
    Geschäftsbericht 2013 Annual Report 2013 Annual Report Financial Highlights of the HSBC Trinkaus Group 2013 2012* change in % Results in € m Operating revenues 703.0 705.4 – 0.3 Net loan impairment and other credit risk provisions 10.9 0.9 > 100 Administrative expenses 486.2 495.0 – 1.8 Pre-tax profit 219.1 217.9 0.6 Tax expenses 63.8 85.9 – 25.7 Net profit 155.3 132.0 1 7. 7 Balance sheet figures in € m Total assets 19,809.7 20,047.8 – 1.2 Shareholders’ equity 1,453.7 1,385.2 4.9 Ratios Cost efficiency ratio of usual business activity in % 67.9 69.4 – Return on equity before tax in % 16.5 1 7. 1 – Net fee income in % of operating revenues 57.0 54.4 – Funds under management and administration in € bn 149.2 150.3 – 0.7 Employees 2,527 2,528 0.0 Share information Number of shares issued in million 28.1 28.1 0.0 Dividend per share in € 2.50 2.50 0.0 Earnings per share in € 5.53 4.70 1 7. 7 Share price as at 31.12. in € 84.80 87.19 – 2.8 Market capitalisation in € m 2,383.5 2,450.7 – 2.8 Regulatory ratios** Tier 1 in € m 1,303.9 1,192.6 9.3 Regulatory capital in € m 1,638.5 1,534.6 6.8 Risk-weighted assets in € m 11,125.0 9,238.1 20.4 Tier 1 ratio in % 11.
    [Show full text]
  • SSA Sector and ESG Fixed Income - Rates
    26 May 2021 Free to View SSA sector and ESG Fixed Income - Rates More social, more green Global Social, green and sustainability issuance is the fastest growing Frank Will Global Head of Covered Bond Research segment in the SSA sector HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG Chris Attfield EUR remains the dominant currency but USD volumes are Strategist rising HSBC Bank plc Dominic Kini S&A supply in social bond format currently dominates but Credit and Green Bond Strategist HSBC Bank plc green issuance to rise in light of EU recovery fund volumes Fighting climate change and tackling the COVID-19 pandemic are currently two of the biggest challenges facing governments around the world. But thanks to growing investor interest in the ESG space, the huge financing required for both battles is proving easier to access than might otherwise be the case. Few parts of the financial markets are being left untouched by these developments, and that includes the Sovereigns, Supranationals and Agencies section of the bond market. Indeed, issuance of green, social and sustainability (GSS) bonds is currently the fastest growing part of the SSA market. Issuers are finding strong demand for their bonds, but also ways to broaden their investor bases. KfW, the German state-owned development bank, recently noted that its green bonds have attracted 100 new investors since 2014 ie buyers who had not previously subscribed to its new issues. The GSS sovereign market is growing very fast. According to Bloomberg, since 2018 the size of the sovereign GSS bond market has almost doubled each year to reach a total outstanding amount equivalent to USD142bn.
    [Show full text]
  • HSBC Registration Document 2008
    REGISTRATION DOCUMENT 4 August 2008 This document (this "Registration Document") has been prepared for the purposes of providing the information disclosure on HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG, Düsseldorf, Federal Republic of Germany (the "Issuer") required by Directive 2003/71/EC (the "Prospectus Directive") to be included (whether pursuant to § 11 or § 12 of the German Securities Prospectus Act (Wertpapierprospektgesetz, "WpPG") in connection with § 9 German Securities Prospectus Act, as applicable), in the registration document component of any prospectus of which this Registration Document forms part, submitted to the Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht ("BaFin") in connection with the issuance by the Issuer of bonds, notes, warrants, certificates and other securities of any description, which are non-equity securities (as defined in the Prospectus Directive) and in respect of which a prospectus is required to be published for the purposes of the Prospectus Directive as implemented in any jurisdiction. TABLE OF CONTENTS Risk Factors................................................................................................................................... 4 Responsibility Statement............................................................................................................... 5 General .......................................................................................................................................... 6 Information relating to the Issuer.................................................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • Digital Currencies Economics & Currencies - Global
    17 March 2021 Free to View Digital currencies Economics & Currencies - Global What are they and why do they matter? As cash usage declines, new forms of digital money are James Pomeroy emerging Global Economist HSBC Bank plc We look at cryptocurrencies and Central Bank Digital Paul Mackel Currencies… Global Head of FX Research The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited …and outline the impact they could have on the economy and policy decisions As cash usage plummets in many parts of the world, the role played by new forms of digital currencies in the payments chain is only going to grow. But what sort of currencies? Cryptocurrencies? Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)? Stablecoins? Perhaps a mix of them all? These forms of money are all solely digital – and are either issued via the central bank or privately. Cryptocurrencies, in particular, have been getting a lot of attention recently because of Bitcoin’s spectacular price rise and the responses to it – with an increasing number of institutional investors showing an interest. Stablecoins, such as Diem, led by Facebook, have also gathered much more attention in recent years. There is no doubt that the rise of cryptocurrencies and stablecoins has alerted governments and policymakers, and is one reason why a number of central banks are drawing up plans for their own digital currencies. Sweden and China are leading the way, but these central banks have other motives too, based on the rapid developments of digital payments in their economies. This report will look at the differences between these forms of digital payments and the potential economic and monetary impacts.
    [Show full text]
  • Unterverwahrung Die Informationen Dieser Anlage Hat Die Gesellschaft Von Der Verwahrstelle Mitgeteilt Bekommen
    Unterverwahrung Die Informationen dieser Anlage hat die Gesellschaft von der Verwahrstelle mitgeteilt bekommen. Die Gesellschaft hat diese Informationen nur auf Plausibilität geprüft. Sie ist auf die Zulieferung der Information durch die Verwahrstelle angewiesen und kann die Richtigkeit und Vollständigkeit im Einzelnen nicht überprüfen. Die Verwahrstelle hat verschiedene Zwischen-Unterverwahrer mit der Verwahrung der Vermögensgegenstände beauftragt. Die Zwischen-Unterverwahrer wiederum haben die Verwahraufgaben auf verschiedene weitere Unterverwahrer übertragen, die in den in der Unterverwahrliste jeweils aufgeführten Ländern ansässig sind, um die jeweiligen Vermögensgegenstände in den jeweiligen Ländern zu verwahren. Folgende Interessenkonflikte könnten sich aus der Unterverwahrung ergeben: Fallgruppe 1 Sofern in der von der Verwahrstelle zur Verfügung gestellten Unterverwahrliste Gesellschaften mit der Bezeichnung „Deutsche Bank …“ genannt sind, handelt es sich um Niederlassungen oder Tochtergesellschaften der Deutsche Bank Gruppe und um ein mit der Verwaltungsgesellschaft verbundenes Unternehmen. Fallgruppe 2 Mit Unterverwahrern, die nicht unter die Fallgruppe 1 fallen, werden keine Interessenskonflikte gesehen. Potentielle Interessenkonflikte würden durch die Gestaltung des Verwahrstellen-/ Unterverwahrervertrags gesteuert werden. Die Verwahrstelle geht nach eigenen Angaben mit den Interessenkonflikten wie folgt um: Die Verwahrstelle hat angemessene und wirksame interne Regelwerke eingeführt, um eigene potentielle Interessenkonflikte
    [Show full text]
  • European Growth Economics - Eurozone
    8 February 2021 Free to View European Growth Economics - Eurozone Up, down, up Eurozone Q4 GDP growth surprised to the upside, as Simon Wells Chief European Economist investment showed remarkable resilience HSBC Bank plc This brightens the medium term outlook slightly, even though Elizabeth Martins the consumption recovery may be delayed further Senior Economist HSBC Bank plc We revise eurozone growth down for 2021 and up for 2022 Fabio Balboni Senior Economist HSBC Bank plc Q4 GDP growth surprised to the upside in the eurozone Eurozone GDP contracted 0.7% q-o-q in Q4 2020 according to the preliminary release. Chantana Sam Economist But the consensus in December was for a much larger 2.7% quarterly fall. So relative HSBC Continental Europe to expectations just a month or so ago, Q4 GDP surprised massively to the upside. France and Spain posted the biggest upside surprises, while a small Q4 expansion in Stefan Schilbe Chief Economist, Germany Germany means it should now avoid a technical double-dip recession. HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG Initial data from France suggest investment accounted for much of the unexpected Chris Hare resilience. There was a sizable fall in household consumption, in line with our Senior Economist expectations, whereas investment actually grew. Housing investment, related to a HSBC Bank plc buoyant residential property market, seems to be accounting for part of this resilience. And IT investment has been robust, most likely related to firms adapting to new working practices and expanding on-line offerings.
    [Show full text]
  • Presentation to Fixed Income Investors
    HSBC Holdings plc and HSBC Bank Canada September 2010 Presentation to Fixed Income Investors www.hsbc.com www.hsbc.ca Disclaimer and forward-looking information This presentation, including the accompanying slides and subsequent discussion, contains certain forward-looking information with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of HSBC Holdings plc, together with its direct and indirect subsidiaries including HSBC Bank Canada and HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. (the "HSBC Group" or “HSBC”). This forward-looking information represents expectations or beliefs concerning future events and involves known and unknown risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Additional detailed information concerning important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is available in the Annual Reports and Accounts of HSBC Holdings plc and HSBC Bank Canada for the year ended December 31, 2009, as well as the HSBC Bank Canada Second Quarter 2010 Report to Shareholders and the HSBC Holdings plc Interim Report 2010 for the period ended June 30, 2010. Past performance cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. Please see www.hsbc.com and www.hsbc.ca for further information. This material is for information purposes only. HSBC Holdings plc is not a reporting issuer in Canada and is not permitted, by itself or through a nominee or agent, to engage in or carry on any business in Canada, except as permitted by the Bank Act (Canada). The material is intended for your sole use and is not for general distribution and does not constitute an offer or commitment, a solicitation of an offer or commitment to enter into or conclude any transaction or to purchase or sell any financial instrument.
    [Show full text]
  • Hsbc Trinkaus & Burkhardt Ag, Proposed 1 for 13 Rights Issue of 2,007,693 New Ordinary Shares at €75.00 Each
    Ab c The following text is the English version of an ad hoc release issued by HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG, a 78.6 per cent indirectly owned subsidiary of HSBC Holdings plc. 25 May 2010 HSBC TRINKAUS & BURKHARDT AG PROPOSED 1 FOR 13 RIGHTS ISSUE OF 2,007,693 NEW ORDINARY SHARES AT €75.00 EACH Fully underwritten rights issue to raise €150 million net of expenses Expected to add 180 basis points to capital ratios HSBC has indicated its intention to take up its rights in full The Management Board of HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG (the ‘bank’) has resolved today to increase the share capital of the bank by €150 million (net of expenses) by means of a fully underwritten rights issue on the basis of one new ordinary share (the ‘new shares’) for every thirteen ordinary shares held (the ‘offer’). The offer is fully underwritten by National-Bank Aktiengesellschaft, Essen, and existing shareholders can subscribe for a maximum of 2,007,693 new shares at a subscription price of €75.00 per new share. The proceeds of the offer will be used to support the bank’s planned growth in key customer segments and further strengthens its capital position for expected higher regulatory capital requirements. At end of the first quarter of 2010 the bank’s total capital ratio was 14.5 per cent and its tier 1 ratio was 10.0 per cent, with no hybrid capital components. As a result of the rights issue, these ratios are expected to increase on a pro forma basis to 16.3 per cent and 11.8 per cent, respectively.
    [Show full text]
  • Europe COVID-19 Tracker Free to View Economics - Europe
    11 August 2021 Europe COVID-19 tracker Free to View Economics - Europe Vaccine scepticism may hold back the recovery While new COVID-19 infections continue to rise in many Christian Fuertjes countries and remain elevated in the UK and Spain… Economist HSBC Trinkaus & Burkhardt AG …vaccination progress is clearly hitting natural boundaries Meanwhile, economic activity continues to recover but also re-enforces wage and inflation fears across Europe Convincing vaccine sceptics is seen as the key to keep the economy open New infection numbers are rising from comparably low levels in France, Italy and Germany while they are stabilising at elevated levels in Spain and the UK (charts 1, 2). With the Delta variant spreading predominantly among the younger population in contrast to the previous infection waves (charts 3, 4), ICU admissions fortunately remain at comparably low levels but nevertheless show a clear upward trend (chart 5). In this respect, all hopes rest on vaccinations to at least prevent hospitalisations in case of an infection. However, progress on vaccination campaigns is obviously stalling across Europe (charts 6, 7). Data from Germany, which we view as representative for the entire EU, indicated that the gap between vaccine supply and actual shots has reached record highs as more than two-thirds of the declining vaccine administrations are now second shots (charts 8, 9). As a consequence, the share of the total population having received full vaccine protection seems likely to reach a ceiling at roughly 60% as data from the more advanced vaccination campaigns in Israel and the UK suggest (chart 10).
    [Show full text]