DOCSLIB.ORG

Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis Volume 6, Issue 1 Jan/Feb 2014

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis Volume 6, Issue 1 Jan/Feb 2014 Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis Volume 6, Issue 1 Jan/Feb 2014 Annual Threat Assessment SOUTHEAST ASIA Myanmar, Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia and Singapore SOUTH ASIA Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka EAST AND CENTRAL ASIA China and Central Asia MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Egypt, Libya and Somalia INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR POLITICAL VIOLENCE AND TERRORISM RESEARCH S. RAJARATNAM SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL STUDIES NANYANG TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY 2 ANNUAL THREAT ASSESSMENT Terrorism and Political Violence in 2013 Southeast Asia peace talks were held in January 2014. Iraq, too, remains besieged by sectarian violence and constant attacks. In Yemen, Southeast Asia has seen some of its insurgencies and conflicts multiple insurgencies and a robust threat from Al Qaeda in the diminish while others have continued unabated. In Thailand, the Arabian Peninsula have hampered an already difficult political restive south continued to see violence in 2013 while Bangkok transition. In Egypt, Morsi’s ouster has seen protests continuing witnessed a political crisis with protests against the government to plague the country while the military attempts another turning violent. In Myanmar, reforms have moved forward but political transition. Libya, meanwhile, faces a persistent security communal violence continues to plague the country and has challenge in its southern border region and the success of its evolved from targeting Rohingyas towards Muslim minority transition after Gaddafi will depend on the militias which communities in general. Indonesia continues to face a potent deposed the former dictator giving up their arms. In Somalia, threat from radicalization and concern has emerged over the al-Shabaab has intensified its campaign against the role its “hard” counterterrorist approach is playing in fueling government in the wake of a hardline faction emerging further extremism. The Philippines, on the other hand, dominant. witnessed much progress in its peace process with the Moro EDITORIAL STAFF Islamic Liberation Front, although some Moro factions and groups continue to oppose the peace process. Malaysia, like Editor Indonesia, continues to grapple with radicalization, while Dr. Arabinda Acharya Singapore has remained alert for extremist elements. Associate Editor South Asia Manoj Harjani The withdrawal of the NATO-led coalition from Afghanistan in SUBSCRIPTION 2014 remains the most prominent concern for the region and beyond. Pakistan, meanwhile, remains embattled by sectarian Send an email with your full name and the name of your violence and a resilient Pakistani Taliban, but has taken several organization to [email protected] with the subject “CTTA steps in 2013 to increase its counterterrorist capabilities. Subscription.” In India, multiple sources of insurgency and terrorism continued to affect various parts of the country, but the state’s capacity to WRITING FOR CTTA address its security concerns has been hampered by the very nature of its political system. Bangladesh, meanwhile, looks to Refer to the schedule for 2014 and submission guidelines be on unsteady ground after a wave of elections-related before pitching an article. Submissions on topics outside the violence and with a continuing threat from Islamist extremism. monthly issue themes are also welcome on a rolling basis for Though Sri Lanka has not seen a terrorist attack since 2009, its the CTTA website. progress towards reconciliation after the end of 26 years of civil war has been under intense scrutiny of the international ABOUT CTTA community. Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis is a monthly publication East and Central Asia of the International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research (ICPVTR), a specialist center of the S. Rajaratnam China continues to face a potent challenge from its restive School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Uighur minority and the East Turkestan Islamic Movement. The Technological University (NTU), Singapore. five countries of Central Asia — Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan — remain The views expressed in the articles are those of the authors concerned by the NATO withdrawal in nearby Afghanistan and and do not reflect or represent the views of ICPVTR, RSIS, by returning foreign fighters from Syria. NTU or the organizations to which the authors are affiliated. Middle East and Africa Articles may not be reproduced without prior permission. Please contact the editors at [email protected] for more Syria continues to be in the midst of a protracted and violent information. civil war that looks to be intensifying even as a first round of Counter Terrorist Trends and Analysis 3 Global Threat Assessment Rohan Gunaratna The year 2013 has been the most violent since the beginning of associate groups carry out a bulk of the attacks. Although the the contemporary wave of terrorism. Although Al Qaeda’s core death of Osama bin Laden demonstrated that any terrorist can has decreased in size, the group has become even more be hunted down, the death of the Al Qaeda founder did not influential. With its extraordinary presence on the web, reduce the growing threat. Al Qaeda is guiding its associates to fight back. With the western drawdown from Afghanistan in 2014, the Taliban-led The deadliest terrorist groups in the world belong to the terrorist sanctuary will likely be reconstituted once again, Al Qaeda family, with the Taliban (both Afghan and Pakistan threatening global stability and security. Taliban) leading the list. Others are the al-Nusra Front in Syria, Boko Haram in Nigeria, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, and The threat of international and national terrorism is projected to al-Shabaab. Al Qaeda’s ability to influence associate groups grow in 2014. Half the countries in the world suffer from political was brought to international attention in the brutal attack on violence and ideological extremism, and terrorism will remain a Westgate Mall in Kenya by al-Shabaab, previously known as tier-one national security threat to the stability of most countries the Islamic Courts Union (ICU) of Somalia. in 2014. With the decentralization of the threat, Africa is emerging as a With Afghanistan and Syria emerging as the two most important new epicenter of terrorism and extremism. The "Arab Spring" hubs of global terrorism, the security of South Asia, the Levant has transformed into an Arab nightmare with multiple and the Sahel is threatened. Just as the anti-Soviet Al Qaeda-linked groups emerging throughout North Africa and multi-national Afghan mujahideen campaign formed the the Middle East. An Al Qaeda-associated al-Nusra Front has foundation of contemporary terrorism, the blowback from Syria emerged in Syria. With 12000 Sunni and a comparable number is likely to produce the next generation of fighters – both of Shia foreign fighters in Syria, the threat to the west and the guerrillas that attack government forces and terrorists that rest of the world will grow. attack civilians. Stemming from the developments in Syria, the Shia-Sunni Today, the conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan and India are the conflict is threatening to break out into a regional conflict. most violent conflicts. After South Asia, the Middle East – Syria The Iran-backed Lebanese Hezbollah condemned the and Iraq – and Africa – Nigeria and Somalia – are the most detainment of al-Wefaq Secretary General Sheikh Ali Salman violent. Since 9/11, over a million combatants and non Ahmed Salman by Bahraini officials, and called on human rights combatants have been killed or injured, mostly Muslims organizations and others to make Bahrain take full by terrorists and US-led coalitions to fight insurrections and responsibility for any physical and psychological harm to which terrorist campaigns. he might be exposed. According to the SITE Monitoring Service, Ali Salman was detained on 28 December 2013, on According to the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism charges of inciting for religious hatred, and was released one and Responses to Terrorism (START), Pakistan, Iraq and day later and banned from travel. Afghanistan – suffered more than half of 2012’s attacks (54%) and fatalities (58%). The next five most frequently targeted The terrorists mounted their year-end attack in Volgograd, countries were India, Nigeria, Somalia, Yemen and Thailand. southern Russia, hitting a railway station and trolleybus on 29 With increasing fatalities and casualties from 2012 to 2013, the and 30 December 2013. Aimed at sowing fear, Shumukh threat is projected to escalate in 2014. With US-led coalition al-Islam, a top forum for Al Qaeda-affiliated propaganda, withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2014, the global threat of praised the timing of the attack. The SITE Monitoring Service terrorism is likely to grow even further. reported the terrorists saying Russians are not safe "since their country continues to supply arms to the malicious combatant Since 9/11, counter-insurgency and counterterrorism efforts regime of the doomed apostate Bashar." From the Caucuses, have had mixed results. Al Qaeda has weakened but the the terrorists are traveling through Turkey to Syria to fight Al Qaeda family has grown in strength, size and influence. against the Bashar al-Assad regime. About 30-40 threat groups in Asia, Africa, the Middle East and the Caucasus are emulating Al Qaeda’s ideology of global Since the epicenter of global terrorism shifted to Asia after violence and methodology of suicide attacks. While the core of September 11, 2001, the sub region of South Asia is most Al Qaeda led by Ayman al-Zawahiri has transformed from an violent. In India, ethno-political and left wing insurgencies and operational to an ideological and a training organization, the Islamist terrorism kill both Indians and foreigners. Volume 6, Issue 1 (January 2014) 4 Although Sri Lanka experienced no revival of terrorism since crash and then burst into flames. Two pedestrians were killed the Tamil Tigers were dismantled in May 2009, the terrorists are and 38 others were injured. The speech translated by SITE reorganizing themselves in Tamil Nadu in India.
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Interim GRP - MNLF Ceasefire Agreement
    In the Name of God, the Omnipotent, the Merciful GRP - MNLF Formal Peace Talks with the OIC Participation Jakarta, 25th October - 7th Novemeber 1993 Interim GRP - MNLF Ceasefire Agreement This document is entitled: "1993 Interim Ceasefire Agreement Between the Government of the Republic of The Philippines (GRP) and the Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) with the Participation of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC)". WHEREAS, there are on-going formal negotiations between the GRP and the MNLF Peace Panels being held in Jakarta, Indonesia, with the participation of the Representatives of the OIC in order to attain a just, comprehensive and lasting peace in the Southern Philippines, primarily in the area of regional autonomy; WHEREAS, there is an existing informal ceasefire between the Armed Forces of the Philippines and the Philippine National Police of the GRP, on the one hand, and the Bangsamoro Armed Forces of the MNLF, on the other, as a result of the meeting between the erstwhile President Corazon C. Aquino and Chairman Nur Misuari in the capital lown Jolo, the Province of Sulu, on 5th September 1986; WHEREAS, all the parties at the current Formal Peace Talks, subscribing to the a dable suggestion of the Honorable Foreign Minister of Indonesia, do hereby agree on the following: 1. To formalize and further strengthen the structure and conduct of the ceasefire which was agreed upon between the erstwhile Philippine President Corazon C. Aquino, and Chairman Nur Misuari of the MNLF. The latter in embarking on the peace process had obtained the concurrence of the Secretary-General of the OIC.
    [Show full text]
  • Universidade Federal Do Rio Grande Do Sul Faculdade De Ciências Econômicas Programa De Pós-Graduação Em Estudos Estratégicos Internacionais
    UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DO RIO GRANDE DO SUL FACULDADE DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICAS PROGRAMA DE PÓS-GRADUAÇÃO EM ESTUDOS ESTRATÉGICOS INTERNACIONAIS NILTON CÉSAR FERNANDES CARDOSO ANÁLISE DA ARQUITETURA AFRICANA DE PAZ E SEGURANÇA: O PAPEL DA IGAD NA ESTABILIZAÇÃO DO CHIFRE DA ÁFRICA Porto Alegre 2015 NILTON CÉSAR FERNANDES CARDOSO ANÁLISE DA ARQUITETURA AFRICANA DE PAZ E SEGURANÇA: O PAPEL DA IGAD NA ESTABILIZAÇÃO DO CHIFRE DA ÁFRICA Dissertação apresentada ao Programa de Pós- Graduação em Estudos Estratégicos Internacionais da Faculdade de Ciência Econômica da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul como requisito parcial para a obtenção do Título de Mestre em Estudos Estratégicos Internacionais. Orientador: Prof. Dr. Paulo Gilberto Fagundes Visentini Porto Alegre 2015 NILTON CÉSAR FERNANDES CARDOSO ANÁLISE DA ARQUITETURA AFRICANA DE PAZ E SEGURANÇA: O PAPEL DA IGAD NA ESTABILIZAÇÃO DO CHIFRE DA ÁFRICA Dissertação apresentada ao Programa de Pós- Graduação em Estudos Estratégicos Internacionais da Faculdade de Ciência Econômica da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul como requisito parcial para a obtenção do título de Mestre em Estudos Estratégicos Internacionais. Aprovado em Porto Alegre, 27 de fevereiro de 2015. BANCA EXAMINADORA ______________________________________________________________________ Prof. Dr. Paulo Gilberto Fagundes Visentini- Orientador UFRGS ______________________________________________________________________ Profa. Dra. Analúcia Danilevicz Pereira UFRGS ______________________________________________________________________ Prof. Dr. Érico Esteves Duarte UFRGS ______________________________________________________________________ Prof. Dr. Luiz Dario Teixeira Ribeiro UFRGS A minha família: Catarina, Luis, Sandra, José Luis e Luis Carlos. AGRADECIMENTOS Primeiramente, agradeço à Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) que me acolheu desde a graduação e ao seu Programa de Pós-Graduação em Estudos Estratégicos Internacionais (PPGEEI) pelo ensino gratuíto e de qualidade a mim proporcionado durante esses dois anos do curso.
    [Show full text]
  • No.9 Thai-Yunnan Project Newsletter June 1990
    [Last updated: 28 April 1992] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- No.9 Thai-Yunnan Project Newsletter June 1990 This NEWSLETTER is edited by Gehan Wijeyewardene and published in the Department of Anthropology, Research School of Pacific Studies; printed at Central Printery; the masthead is by Susan Wigham of Graphic Design (all of The Australian National University ).The logo is from a water colour , 'Tai women fishing' by Kang Huo Material in this NEWSLETTER may be freely reproduced with due acknowledgement. Correspondence is welcome and contributions will be given sympathetic consideration. (All correspondence to The Editor, Department of Anthropology, RSPacS, ANU, Box 4 GPO, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.) Number Nine June 1990 ISSN 1032-500X The International Conference on Thai Studies, Kunming 1990 There was some question, in the post Tien An Men period, as to whether the conference would proceed. In January over forty members of Thammasart University faculty issued an open letter to the organizers, which in part read, A meeting in China at present would mean a tacit acceptance of the measures taken by the state, unless there will be an open critical review. Many north American colleagues privately expressed similar views. This Newsletter has made its views on Tien An Men quite clear, and we can sympathize with the position taken by our colleagues. Nevertheless, there seems to be some selectivity of outrage, when no word of protest was heard from some quarters about the continuing support given by the Chinese government to the murderous Khmer Rouge. This does not apply to the Thai academic community, sections of which were in the vanguard of the movement to reconsider Thai government policy on this issue.
    [Show full text]
  • KEPUTUSAN MAHKAMAH TERHADAP AL-MA'unah ADALAH PROSES KEADILAN, KATA PM (Bernama 29/12/2001)
    29 DEC 2001 Mahathir-Ma'unah KEPUTUSAN MAHKAMAH TERHADAP AL-MA'UNAH ADALAH PROSES KEADILAN, KATA PM KUALA LUMPUR, 29 Dis (Bernama) -- Perdana Menteri Datuk Seri Dr Mahathir Mohamad berkata kerajaan tidak pernah bertolak ansur terhadap tindakan ganas seperti yang dilakukan kumpulan Al-Ma'unah dan rakyat haruslah sedar akan akibat undang-undang yang menanti mereka yang melakukannya. Semasa diminta mengulas hukuman mati dan penjara sepanjang hayat yang dikenakan terhadap 19 anggota Al-Ma'unah kerana melancarkan peperangan terhadap Yang di-Pertuan Agong, beliau berkata: "Kerajaan tidak pernah bertolak ansur terhadap tindakan sedemikian. Rakyat patut tahu." Dr Mahathir, yang juga pengerusi Barisan Nasional (BN) dan presiden Umno berkata demikian pada satu sidang akhbar selepas merasmikan perhimpunan agung Parti Progresif Penduduk Malaysia ke-48 di Pusat Dagangan Dunia Putra (PWTC) di sini. Semasa ditanya sama ada beliau gembira dengan hukuman itu, Perdana Menteri berkata ia bukan soal suka atau gembira. "Saya tidak kata yang saya gembira. Saya tidak gembira apabila seseorang itu dihukum mati. Ini merupakan satu keputusan. Ia bukan soal kegembiraan atau suka hati atau apa-apapun. Ia merupakan soal mendukung keadilan," katanya. Mereka yang dihukum mati ialah ketua kumpulan Al-Ma'unah Mohamed Amin Mohamed Razali, orang kanannya Zahit Muslim dan ketua wilayah utara kumpulan itu Jamaluddin Darus. Kesalahan itu dilakukan di tiga tempat di Perak -- dua di Gerik, Hulu Perak dan ketiga Bukit Jenalek, Sauk di Kuala Kangsar. Detektif Korporal R. Saghadevan dan Truper Matthew Medan telah ditembak di Bukit Jenalek. Dr Mahathir berkata: "Saya fikir keluarga orang yang telah dibunuh itu tentulah berasa di negara kita ini terdapat keadilan tidak kira kaum atau agama.
    [Show full text]
  • Al-Qaeda Et L'etat Islamique
    Exploiter le chaos : al-Qaeda et l’Etat islamique Rapport spécial de Crisis Group | 16 mars 2016 Traduit de l’anglais Headquarters International Crisis Group Avenue Louise 149 • 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38 • Fax: +32 2 502 50 38 [email protected] Preventing War. Shaping Peace. Table des matières Synthèse .................................................................................................................................... i I. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 II. Une quatrième vague ........................................................................................................ 5 A. Des possibilités au cœur du chaos ............................................................................. 7 B. Priorité numéro deux ................................................................................................. 10 C. Espace politique et idéologique ................................................................................. 12 III. Un paysage en évolution ................................................................................................... 17 A. L’Etat islamique en Irak et en Syrie ........................................................................... 17 B. Un califat en expansion ? ........................................................................................... 22 C. Le tournant stratégique d’al-Qaeda ? .......................................................................
    [Show full text]
  • The Lahad Datu Incursion and Its Impact on Malaysia's Security
    THE LAHAD DATU INCURSION its Impact on MALAYSIA’S SECURITY by JASMINE JAWHAR & KENNIMROD SARIBURAJA “Coming together is a beginning. Keeping together is progress. Working together is success.” - Henry Ford - Perpustakaan Negara Malaysia Cataloguing-in Publication Data Jasmine Jawhar THE LAHAD DATU INCURSION AND ITS IMPACT ON MALAYSIA’S SECURITY ISBN: 978-983-44397-8-1 1. National security--Malaysia 2. Territorial waters--Sabah (Malaysia(. 3. Internal security-- Malaysia-- Lahad Datu (Sabah). 4. Security clearances-- Malaysia -- Lahad Datu (Sabah). 5. Lahad Datu (Sabah, Malaysia)-- emigration and immigration. I. Sariburaja, Kennimrod, 1983-.II. Title. 959.52152 First published in 2016 SEARCCT is dedicated to advocating the understanding of issues pertaining to terrorism and counter-terrorism and contributing ideas for counter- terrorism policy. The Centre accomplishes this mainly by organising capacity building courses, research, publications and public awareness programmes. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored, transmitted or disseminated in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of the publisher. All statements of facts, opinions and expressions contained in this work are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Malaysia. The Government of Malaysia assume no responsibility for any statements of facts or opinions expressed in this work. PUBLISHER The Southeast Asia Regional Centre for Counter-Terrorism (SEARCCT), Ministry
    [Show full text]
  • The East Turkistan Islamic Party (E.T.I.P.) University Honors Capstone, Spring 2014
    The East Turkistan Islamic Party (E.T.I.P.) University Honors Capstone, Spring 2014 Author: Kathryn Appelman Advisor: Tricia Bacon, JLC This study investigates the motives, history, leadership, impact, and future of the East Turkistan Islamic Party (E.T.I.P.), a little-studied ethno-nationalist separatist terrorist organization in China’s Xinjiang province. Basing findings on existing literature, original Chinese news reports and press releases, and firsthand interviews with experts, it concludes that while E.T.I.P.-proper does not pose a significant threat to U.S. national security, issues surrounding it present significant foreign policy problems vis à vis China and the human rights community. However, ETIP members in Pakistan are likely cooperating with known enemies of the United States, and the United States should continue its CT efforts against them without infringing on China’s sovereignty. The East Turkistan Islamic Party (E.T.I.P.) I. Overview and Literature Review ETIP, or the East Turkistan Islamic Party, is a religious ethno-nationalist terrorist organization, made up of Uighur separatists who aim to establish a fundamentalist Islamic state in the West Chinese province of Xinjiang. In the United States, it is known largely for its connection to Al Qaeda, its threats against the 2008 Beijing Olympics, and its members detained in Guantanamo Bay. However, in China, ETIP is considered a serious threat to the internal security of the country. The study of active terrorist groups will always be a murky subject, but ETIP takes “murky” to a new level. Members of ETIP are Uighur Muslims; however, much further information, such as education level, structure, or community support, even the size of the organization, is tightly guarded by the PRC.
    [Show full text]
  • Association for Chinese Music Research Bibliography 2017
    Association for Chinese Music Research Bibliography 2017 Compiled by Alec McLane and Ai Mei Luo Books: Bao, Huai. 2017. Cross-Gender China: The Revival of Nandan Performance in Jingju. Routledge Advances in Theatre and Performance Studies;. Abingdon, Oxon: Routledge. [ISBN: 9781138057906] Chiu, Elena Suet-Ying. 2017. Bannermen Tales (Zidishu): Manchu Storytelling and Cultural Hybridity in the Qing Dynasty. Harvard-Yenching Institute Monographs; 105. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Asia Center. [ISBN: 9780674975194] Clark, Paul, Laikwan Pang, and Tsan-Huang Tsai, eds. 2016. Listening to China's Cultural Revolution: Music, Politics, and Cultural Continuities. Chinese Literature and Culture in the World. Houndmills (Basingstoke, Hampshire): Palgrave Macmillan. [ISBN: 9781349565085] Cupchik, Jeffrey W. 2017. The Sound of Vultures' Wings: The Tibetan Buddhist Chöd Ritual Practice of the Female Buddha Machik Labdrön. Suny Series in Religious Studies. Albany: State University of New York Press. [ISBN: 9781438464411] Editorial Department of the Journal of the Central Conservatory of Music. 2016. Researches on Traditional and Contemporary Music in China. Beijing: Zhong yang yin yue xue yuan chu ban she. [ISBN: 9787810967372] Hanneken, Bernhard, and Tiago de Oliveira Pinto, eds. 2017. Music in China Today: Ancient Traditions, Contemporary Trends. Intercultural Music Studies. Würzburg: Department of Ethnomusicology, Institute for Music Research, Julius-Maximilian University of Würzburg. [ISBN: 9783861356523] Ho, Wai-chung. 2017. Popular Music, Cultural Politics and Music Education in China. Ashgate Popular and Folk Music Series. Abingdon, Oxon: Routledge. [ISBN: 9781472476548] Lawson, Francesca R. Sborgi. 2017. The Women of Quyi: Liminal Voices and Androgynous Bodies. Soas Musicology Series. Abingdon, Oxon: Routledge. [ISBN: 9781138234130] Meyer-Clement, Elena. 2016. Party Hegemony and Entrepreneurial Power in China: Institutional Change in the Film and Music Industries.
    [Show full text]
  • Sheikh Qassim, the Bahraini Shi'a, and Iran
    k o No. 4 • July 2012 o l Between Reform and Revolution: Sheikh Qassim, t the Bahraini Shi’a, and Iran u O By Ali Alfoneh The political stability of the small island state of Bahrain—home to the US Navy’s Fifth Fleet—matters to the n United States. And Sheikh Qassim, who simultaneously leads the Bahraini Shi’a majority’s just struggle for a more r democratic society and acts as an agent of the Islamic Republic of Iran, matters to the future of Bahrain. A survey e of the history of Shi’a activism in Bahrain, including Sheikh Qassim’s political life, shows two tendencies: reform and t revolution. Regardless of Sheikh Qassim’s dual roles and the Shi’a protest movement’s periodic ties to the regime in Tehran, the United States should do its utmost to reconcile the rulers and the ruled in Bahrain by defending the s civil rights of the Bahraini Shi’a. This action would not only conform to the United States’ principle of promoting a democracy and human rights abroad, but also help stabilize Bahrain and the broader Persian Gulf region and under- mine the ability of the regime in Tehran to continue to exploit the sectarian conflict in Bahrain in a way that broadens E its sphere of influence and foments anti-Americanism. e Every Friday, the elderly Ayatollah Isa Ahmad The Sunni ruling elites of Bahrain, however, l Qassim al-Dirazi al-Bahrani, more commonly see Sheikh Qassim not as a reformer but as d known as Sheikh Qassim, climbs the stairs to the a zealous revolutionary serving the Islamic pulpit at the Imam al-Sadiq mosque in Diraz, d Bahrain, to deliver his sermon.
    [Show full text]
  • CONFLITOS, ATORES, AGENDAS E AMEAÇAS
    SÉRIE AFRICANA CONFLITOS, ATORES, AGENDAS e AMEAÇAS © Nilton César Fernandes Cardoso 1ª edição: 2020 Direitos reservados desta edição: CEBRAFRICA – UFRGS [email protected] | ufrgs.br/cebrafrica Revisão: Paulo Fagundes Visentini Projeto Gráfico: Walter Diehl e João Corrêa Capa: Walter Diehl Diagramação: Walter Diehl e Luana Margarete Geiger Impressão: Gráfica UFRGS Apoio: Reitoria UFRGS e Editora UFRGS Série Africana Conselho editorial: Analúcia Danilevicz Pereira (UFRGS) - coordenadora do CEBRAFRICA Paulo Fagundes Visentini (UFRGS) - coordenador do NERINT José Carlos dos Anjos (UFRGS - UniCV) Luiz Dario Teixeira Ribeiro (UFRGS) Marco Cepik (UFRGS) Alfa Diallo (UFDG) Pio Penna Filho (UnB) Mamoudou Gazibo (Univ. de Montréal - Canada) Gladys Lechini (U.N. Rosário - Argentina) Gerhard Seibert (UFBA) Hilário Cau (ISRI - Maputo, Moçambique) Loft Kaabi (ITES - Cartago, Tunísia) Chris Landsberg (Univ. de Joanesburgo - África do Sul) [T]he peace of Africa is to be assured by the exertions of Africans themselves. The idea of a “Pax Africana” is the specifically military aspect of the principle of continental jurisdiction. ALI A. MAZRUI SUMÁRIO PREFÁCIO 11 INTRODUÇÃO 15 [ 1 ] ÁFRICA NO SISTEMA INTERNACIONAL: ESTRUTURA, AGÊNCIA E ‘DEPENDÊNCIA’ 23 1.1 Estabelecimento do Sistema de Relações Interafricanas (1946–1970) 26 1.2 Reordenamento, Crises e Tensões (1970–1990) 39 1.3 Vazio Estratégico, Marginalização e Crise dos Estados (1991–2000) 47 1.4 Renascimento e Reafirmação da África (2000–2017) 55 [ 2 ] CONSTRUÇÃO DE ESTADO E FORMAÇÃO DO CHIFRE DA
    [Show full text]
  • Geopolitical Realignments
    ARCHIVED - Archiving Content ARCHIVÉE - Contenu archivé Archived Content Contenu archivé Information identified as archived is provided for L’information dont il est indiqué qu’elle est archivée reference, research or recordkeeping purposes. It est fournie à des fins de référence, de recherche is not subject to the Government of Canada Web ou de tenue de documents. Elle n’est pas Standards and has not been altered or updated assujettie aux normes Web du gouvernement du since it was archived. Please contact us to request Canada et elle n’a pas été modifiée ou mise à jour a format other than those available. depuis son archivage. Pour obtenir cette information dans un autre format, veuillez communiquer avec nous. This document is archival in nature and is intended Le présent document a une valeur archivistique et for those who wish to consult archival documents fait partie des documents d’archives rendus made available from the collection of Public Safety disponibles par Sécurité publique Canada à ceux Canada. qui souhaitent consulter ces documents issus de sa collection. Some of these documents are available in only one official language. Translation, to be provided Certains de ces documents ne sont disponibles by Public Safety Canada, is available upon que dans une langue officielle. Sécurité publique request. Canada fournira une traduction sur demande. Competing Visions of the State Political and Security Trends in the Arab World and the Middle East Highlights from the conference 19-20 January 2012, Ottawa Think recycling This document is printed with environmentally C friendly ink FSC World Watch: Expert Notes series publication No 2010-09-02 This report is based on the views expressed by presenting experts and other participants at a conference organised by the Canadian Security Intelligence Service as part of its academic outreach program.
    [Show full text]
  • 9/11 Report”), July 2, 2004, Pp
    Final FM.1pp 7/17/04 5:25 PM Page i THE 9/11 COMMISSION REPORT Final FM.1pp 7/17/04 5:25 PM Page v CONTENTS List of Illustrations and Tables ix Member List xi Staff List xiii–xiv Preface xv 1. “WE HAVE SOME PLANES” 1 1.1 Inside the Four Flights 1 1.2 Improvising a Homeland Defense 14 1.3 National Crisis Management 35 2. THE FOUNDATION OF THE NEW TERRORISM 47 2.1 A Declaration of War 47 2.2 Bin Ladin’s Appeal in the Islamic World 48 2.3 The Rise of Bin Ladin and al Qaeda (1988–1992) 55 2.4 Building an Organization, Declaring War on the United States (1992–1996) 59 2.5 Al Qaeda’s Renewal in Afghanistan (1996–1998) 63 3. COUNTERTERRORISM EVOLVES 71 3.1 From the Old Terrorism to the New: The First World Trade Center Bombing 71 3.2 Adaptation—and Nonadaptation— ...in the Law Enforcement Community 73 3.3 . and in the Federal Aviation Administration 82 3.4 . and in the Intelligence Community 86 v Final FM.1pp 7/17/04 5:25 PM Page vi 3.5 . and in the State Department and the Defense Department 93 3.6 . and in the White House 98 3.7 . and in the Congress 102 4. RESPONSES TO AL QAEDA’S INITIAL ASSAULTS 108 4.1 Before the Bombings in Kenya and Tanzania 108 4.2 Crisis:August 1998 115 4.3 Diplomacy 121 4.4 Covert Action 126 4.5 Searching for Fresh Options 134 5.
    [Show full text]