Impacts of Horizontal and Vertical Resolutions on the Microphysical Structure and Boundary Layer Fluxes of Typhoon Hato (2017)
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OCHA PHL TY Sarika Haima 17Oct2016
Philippines: Typhoons Sarika (Karen) and Haima (Lawin) (17 October 2016) Typhoon Sarika Japan Typhoon Haima Typhoon category Typhoon Sarika (Karen) made landfall in (Saffir-Simpson Scale) Typhoon Haima (Lawin) has intensified 22 October 2016 Baler, Aurora province, at 2:30 a.m. on Category 1: 119-153 km/hr from a severe tropical storm. It was last 16 October. It slightly weakend while spotted 1,265 km east of the Visayas with China Category 3: 178-208 km/hr crossing Central Luzon but slightly maximum sustained winds of up to 150 intensified as it moves away from the Category 4: 209-251 km/hr km/h and gusts of up to 185 km/h. It is Philippines. As of 6am 17 October 2016, Taiwan moving west northwest at 22 km/h and is Typhoon Sarika is out of the Philippines Category 5: > 252 km/hr expected to enter PAR by the afternoon Area of Responsibility (PAR) and all PAGASA category of 17 October. The typhoon is projected Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals Hong Kong Typhoon Karen (SARIKA) to intensify into a category 5 as it moves Macao (TCWS) have been lifted. Tropical depression closer to northern Philippines. 21 October 2016 Lawin (HAIMA) Tropical storm EFFECTS Forecasted to make landfall Severe tropical storm PROFILE Regions I, II, III, IV-A, V and CAR in Northern Cagayan Typhoon within the 100 km radius of typhoon track affected areas 20 October 2016 P.A.R. 4 47 Actual typhoon track provinces cities/municipalities 75,000 Typhoon Haima people affected Forecasted track 17 October 2016 1.9 Million 406,000 19 October 2016 people households 70,800 LUZON people displaced 18 October 2016 Lawin (HAIMA) Forecasted to enter P.A.R. -
4. the TROPICS—HJ Diamond and CJ Schreck, Eds
4. THE TROPICS—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck, Eds. Pacific, South Indian, and Australian basins were a. Overview—H. J. Diamond and C. J. Schreck all particularly quiet, each having about half their The Tropics in 2017 were dominated by neutral median ACE. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) condi- Three tropical cyclones (TCs) reached the Saffir– tions during most of the year, with the onset of Simpson scale category 5 intensity level—two in the La Niña conditions occurring during boreal autumn. North Atlantic and one in the western North Pacific Although the year began ENSO-neutral, it initially basins. This number was less than half of the eight featured cooler-than-average sea surface tempera- category 5 storms recorded in 2015 (Diamond and tures (SSTs) in the central and east-central equatorial Schreck 2016), and was one fewer than the four re- Pacific, along with lingering La Niña impacts in the corded in 2016 (Diamond and Schreck 2017). atmospheric circulation. These conditions followed The editors of this chapter would like to insert two the abrupt end of a weak and short-lived La Niña personal notes recognizing the passing of two giants during 2016, which lasted from the July–September in the field of tropical meteorology. season until late December. Charles J. Neumann passed away on 14 November Equatorial Pacific SST anomalies warmed con- 2017, at the age of 92. Upon graduation from MIT siderably during the first several months of 2017 in 1946, Charlie volunteered as a weather officer in and by late boreal spring and early summer, the the Navy’s first airborne typhoon reconnaissance anomalies were just shy of reaching El Niño thresh- unit in the Pacific. -
Action Proposed
ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee FOR PARTICIPANTS ONLY Fiftieth Session WRD/TC.50/7.2 28 February - 3 March 2018 28 February 2018 Ha Noi, Viet Nam ENGLISH ONLY SUMMARY OF MEMBERS’ REPORTS 2017 (submitted by AWG Chair) Summary and Purpose of Document: This document presents an overall view of the progress and issues in meteorology, hydrology and DRR aspects among TC Members with respect to tropical cyclones and related hazards in 2017. Action Proposed The Committee is invited to: (a) take note of the major progress and issues in meteorology, hydrology and DRR aspects under the Key Result Areas (KRAs) of TC as reported by Members in 2017; and (b) review the Summary of Members’ Reports 2017 in APPENDIX B with the aim of adopting a “Executive Summary” for distribution to Members’ governments and other collaborating or potential sponsoring agencies for information and reference. APPENDICES: 1) Appendix A – DRAFT TEXT FOR INCLUSION IN THE SESSION REPORT 2) Appendix B – SUMMARY OF MEMBERS’ REPORTS 2017 1 APPENDIX A: DRAFT TEXT FOR INCLUSION IN THE SESSION REPORT 6.2 SUMMARY OF MEMBERS’ REPORTS 1. The Committee took note of the Summary of Members’ Reports 2017 as submitted for the 12th IWS in Jeju, Republic of Koreq, highlighting the key tropical cyclone impacts on Members in 2017 and the major activities undertaken by Members under the various KRAs and components during the year. 2. The Committee expressed its appreciation to AWG Chair for preparinG the Summary of Members’ Reports. It is noted the new KRA and supportinG Priorities structure contained developed in the new TC StrateGic Plan 2017-2021 caused some confusion in the format of the Member Reports. -
Chapter 5. Focus and Perspectives
| 78 Chapter 5. Focus and perspectives Building on the CropWatch analyses presented in chapters 1 through 4, this chapter includes an updated production outlook for 2016 focused on wheat (section 5.1), as well as sections on recent disaster events (section 5.2), a focus on agriculture in the East and Southeast Asia (5.3) and an update on El Niño (5.4). 5.1 CropWatch production outlook The production outlook for the current bulletin includes only the major producers in the southern hemisphere, as assessments for the northern hemisphere would be too hypothetical at this early stage in the season. For Argentina, CropWatch puts its winter wheat production of 2016 at 11.245 million tons, an increase of 5.0% over the previous year resulting from increases in the major production area. This year, however, provinces that generally contribute relatively little to the global output outperformed the traditional “big” wheat producers from Córdoba to Buenos Aires. The same occurred in Australia where the wheat production increased more in minor producing areas (+45.1% over last year) than nationwide (+24.3%). The total output in Australia exceeds that of Argentina by a factor 3 and reaches 32.066 million tons. Finally, at 7.747 million tons, the output of Brazil stays behind that of its southern neighbor, increasing however 10.0% over the previous season. Contrary to the situation in Australia and Argentina, minor wheat producing areas in Brazil did poorly (-29%). Wheat production results for Argentina, Australia and Brazil are listed in Annex B. 5.2 Disaster events Introduction According to a recent World Bank study (Hallegatte et al, 2017), economic losses from natural disasters totaled US$92 billion in 2015, mostly in the building, infrastructure and agricultural production sectors. -
NASA Sees Typhoon Sarika Approaching Second Landfall 18 October 2016
NASA sees Typhoon Sarika approaching second landfall 18 October 2016 On Oct. 17 at 2:10 (06:10 UTC) NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite passed over Sarika and provided a visible-light image of the storm. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) instrument aboard NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite showed the cloud-filled center of circulation in the central northern South China Sea, southwest of Hainan Island, China. At 5 a.m. EDT (0900 UTC) Sarika had maximum sustained winds near 92 mph (80 knots/148 kph). It was centered near 18.0 degrees north latitude and 112.4 degrees east longitude, about 409 nautical miles east-southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. It was moving to the west at 10 mph (8 knots/16 kph). The Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts Sarika to move toward Hainan Island, China where it is expected to make landfall. Sarika is later forecast to continue west and make a third landfall in northern Vietnam. Provided by NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center On Oct. 17 at 2:10 (06:10 UTC) NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite captured a visible image of Typhoon Sarika approaching China. Credit: NOAA/NASA's Rapid Response Team NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite provided a visible look at Typhoon Sarika as it was poised for its second of three expected landfalls. When the satellite passed over Sarika it was in the South China Sea. Strong wind signal #3 is in force at Hong Kong, China, according to the Central Weather Bureau. Sarika, formerly known as Tropical Depression 24W fills up the northern half of the South China Sea on satellite imagery. -
Typhoon Sarika
Emergency Plan of Action (EPoA) Philippines: Typhoon Sarika DREF Operation: MDRPH021 Glide n° TC-2016-000108-PHL Date of issue: 19 October 2016 Date of disaster: 16 October 2016 Operation manager: Point of contact: Patrick Elliott, operations manager Atty. Oscar Palabyab, secretary general IFRC Philippines country office Philippine Red Cross Operation start date: 16 October 2016 Expected timeframe: 3 months (to 31 January 2017) Overall operation budget: CHF 169,011 Number of people affected: 52,270 people (11,926 Number of people to be assisted: 8,000 people families) (1,600 families) Host National Society: Philippine Red Cross (PRC) is the nation’s largest humanitarian organization and works through 100 chapters covering all administrative districts and major cities in the country. It has at least 1,000 staff at national headquarters and chapter levels, and approximately one million volunteers and supporters, of whom some 500,000 are active volunteers. At chapter level, a programme called Red Cross 143, has volunteers in place to enhance the overall capacity of the National Society to prepare for and respond in disaster situations. Red Cross Red Crescent Movement partners actively involved in the operation: PRC is working with the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) in this operation. The National Society also works with the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) as well as American Red Cross, Australian Red Cross, British Red Cross, Canadian Red Cross, Finnish Red Cross, German Red Cross, Japanese Red Cross Society, The Netherlands Red Cross, Norwegian Red Cross, Qatar Red Crescent Society, Spanish Red Cross, and Swiss Red Cross in-country. -
Typhoon Hagupit – Situation Report (20:30 Manila Time)
TYPHOON HAGUPIT NR. 1 7 DECEMBER 2014 Typhoon Hagupit – Situation Report (20:30 Manila Time) GENERAL INFORMATION - Typhoon Hagupit made landfall on Saturday 6 December at 9:15 pm in Dolores, Eastern Samar. After weakening to a Category 2 typhoon, Hagupit then made a second landfall in Cataingan, Masbate on Sunday 7 December. - Typhoon Hagupit has maintained its strength and is now (8:00 pm Manila Time) over the vicinity of Aroroy, Masbate. According to PAGASA’s weather bulletin issued today, 7 December at 18:00, the expected third landfall over Sibuyan Island will be between 02:00 – 04:00 in the morning tomorrow and will be associated with strong winds, storm surge and heavy to torrential rainfall. Hagupit is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday morning. - The typhoon is not as powerful as Typhoon Haiyan but Hagupit is moving slowly through the Philippines meaning prolonged rainfall and an increased likelihood of flooding and landslides. Currently the extent of damage is not yet clear. The authorities will send an assessment mission tomorrow to Region VIII where some municipalities in Eastern and Northern Samar are thought to have sustained heavier damage. Signal no. 1 has been issued in Manila, down from Signal no. 2 this morning Forecast Positions: - 24 hour (tomorrow afternoon): 60 km East of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro or at 160 km South of Science Garden, Quezon City. - 48 hour (Tuesday afternoon): 170 km Southwest of Science Garden, Quezon City. - 72 hour (Wednesday afternoon): 400 km West of Science Garden, Quezon City. TYPHOON HAGUPIT NR. -
Reprint 1345 Re-Analysis of the Maximum Intensity of Super
Reprint 1345 Re-analysis of the Maximum Intensity of Super Typhoon Hato CHOY Chun-wing, KONG Wai, LAU Po-wing The 32nd Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macao Seminar on Meteorological Science and Technology and The 23rd Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macao Meeting on Cooperation in Meteorological Operations (Macau 8-10 January 2018) 超強颱風天鴿最高強度的再分析 蔡振榮 江偉 劉保宏 香港天文台 摘要 二零一七年八月二十三日超強颱風天鴿(1713)吹襲香港期間,天文台需要 發出最高級別的十號颶風信號。當天早上本港風力普遍達到烈風至暴風程 度,南部地區及高地則持續受到颶風吹襲。天鴿吹襲香港期間,本港最少 有 129 人受傷。適逢天文大潮及漲潮,天鴿所觸發的風暴潮導致本港及珠 江口沿岸出現嚴重水浸及破壞。 天鴿橫過南海北部期間顯著增強,再分析顯示天鴿很可能在八月二十三日 早上登陸前在香港以南水域短暫發展為超強颱風,中心附近最高的 10 分鐘 持續風速估計為每小時 185 公里。本文利用所有可用的氣象資料如衛星、 雷達及地面觀測來評定天鴿的最高強度。 Re-analysis of the Maximum Intensity of Super Typhoon Hato CHOY Chun-wing KONG Wai LAU Po-wing Hong Kong Observatory Abstract Super Typhoon Hato (1713) necessitated the issuance of the highest tropical cyclone warning signal in Hong Kong, No. 10 Hurricane Signal, during its passage on 23 August 2017, with gale to storm force winds generally affecting Hong Kong and winds persistently reaching hurricane force over the southern part of the territory and on high ground that morning. At least 129 people were injured in Hong Kong and, coinciding with the high water of the astronomical tide, storm surges induced by Hato also resulted in serious flooding and damages in Hong Kong and over the coast of Pearl River Estuary. Hato intensified rapidly as it traversed the northern part of the South China Sea and re-analysis suggested that Hato very likely attained super typhoon intensity for a short period over the sea areas south of Hong Kong on the morning of 23 August just before landfall, with an estimated maximum sustained 10-minute mean wind of 185 km/h near its centre. -
Tropical Cyclones Near Landfall Can Induce Their Own Intensification
ARTICLE https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00259-8 OPEN Tropical cyclones near landfall can induce their own intensification through feedbacks on radiative forcing ✉ Charlie C. F. Lok 1, Johnny C. L. Chan 1 & Ralf Toumi 2 Rapid intensification of near-landfall tropical cyclones is very difficult to predict, and yet has far-reaching consequences due to their disastrous impact to the coastal areas. The focus for improving predictions of rapid intensification has so far been on environmental conditions. Here we use the Coupled-Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport Modeling System to simulate tropical cyclones making landfall in South China: Nida (2016), Hato (2107) and 1234567890():,; Mangkhut (2018). Two smaller storms (Hato and Nida) undergo intensification, which is induced by the storms themselves through their extensive subsidence ahead of the storms, leading to clear skies and strong solar heating of the near-shore sea water over a shallow continental shelf. This heating provides latent heat to the storms, and subsequently inten- sification occurs. In contrast, such heating does not occur in the larger storm (Mangkhut) due to its widespread cloud cover. This results imply that to improve the prediction of tropical cyclone intensity changes prior to landfall, it is necessary to correctly simulate the short-term evolution of near-shore ocean conditions. 1 School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. 2 Space and Atmospheric Physics Group, Imperial College London, ✉ London, UK. email: [email protected] COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT | (2021) 2:184 | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00259-8 | www.nature.com/commsenv 1 ARTICLE COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00259-8 ecause the damages caused by a tropical cyclone (TC) at moves over this warm water, and hence intensification occurs. -
Upper Ocean Response to Typhoon Kalmaegi and Sarika in the South China Sea from Multiple-Satellite Observations and Numerical Simulations
remote sensing Article Upper Ocean Response to Typhoon Kalmaegi and Sarika in the South China Sea from Multiple-Satellite Observations and Numerical Simulations Xinxin Yue 1, Biao Zhang 1,* ID , Guoqiang Liu 1,2, Xiaofeng Li 3 ID , Han Zhang 4 and Yijun He 1 ID 1 School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China; [email protected] (X.Y.); [email protected] (G.L.); [email protected] (Y.H.) 2 Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Fisheries and Oceans, Dartmouth, NS B2Y 4A2, Canada 3 GST at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/NESDIS, College Park, MD 20740-3818, USA; [email protected] 4 State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of Oceanography, Hangzhou 310012, China; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 12 December 2017; Accepted: 22 February 2018; Published: 24 February 2018 Abstract: We investigated ocean surface and subsurface physical responses to Typhoons Kalmaegi and Sarika in the South China Sea, utilizing synergistic multiple-satellite observations, in situ measurements, and numerical simulations. We found significant typhoon-induced sea surface cooling using satellite sea surface temperature (SST) observations and numerical model simulations. This cooling was mainly caused by vertical mixing and upwelling. The maximum amplitudes were 6 ◦C and 4.2 ◦C for Typhoons Kalmaegi and Sarika, respectively. For Typhoon Sarika, Argo temperature profile measurements showed that temperature response beneath the surface showed a three-layer vertical structure (decreasing-increasing-decreasing). Satellite salinity observations showed that the maximum increase of sea surface salinity (SSS) was 2.2 psu on the right side of Typhoon Sarika’s track, and the maximum decrease of SSS was 1.4 psu on the left. -
Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong
78 BAVI AUG : ,- HAISHEN JANGMI SEP AUG 6 KUJIRA MAYSAK SEP SEP HAGUPIT AUG DOLPHIN SEP /1 CHAN-HOM OCT TD.. MEKKHALA AUG TD.. AUG AUG ATSANI Hong Kong HIGOS NOV AUG DOLPHIN() 2012 SEP : 78 HAISHEN() 2010 NURI ,- /1 BAVI() 2008 SEP JUN JANGMI CHAN-HOM() 2014 NANGKA HIGOS(2007) VONGFONG AUG ()2005 OCT OCT AUG MAY HAGUPIT() 2004 + AUG SINLAKU AUG AUG TD.. JUL MEKKHALA VAMCO ()2006 6 NOV MAYSAK() 2009 AUG * + NANGKA() 2016 AUG TD.. KUJIRA() 2013 SAUDEL SINLAKU() 2003 OCT JUL 45 SEP NOUL OCT JUL GONI() 2019 SEP NURI(2002) ;< OCT JUN MOLAVE * OCT LINFA SAUDEL(2017) OCT 45 LINFA() 2015 OCT GONI OCT ;< NOV MOLAVE(2018) ETAU OCT NOV NOUL(2011) ETAU() 2021 SEP NOV VAMCO() 2022 ATSANI() 2020 NOV OCT KROVANH(2023) DEC KROVANH DEC VONGFONG(2001) MAY 二零二零年 熱帶氣旋 TROPICAL CYCLONES IN 2020 2 二零二一年七月出版 Published July 2021 香港天文台編製 香港九龍彌敦道134A Prepared by: Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong © 版權所有。未經香港天文台台長同意,不得翻印本刊物任何部分內容。 © Copyright reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced without the permission of the Director of the Hong Kong Observatory. 知識產權公告 Intellectual Property Rights Notice All contents contained in this publication, 本刊物的所有內容,包括但不限於所有 including but not limited to all data, maps, 資料、地圖、文本、圖像、圖畫、圖片、 text, graphics, drawings, diagrams, 照片、影像,以及數據或其他資料的匯編 photographs, videos and compilation of data or other materials (the “Materials”) are (下稱「資料」),均受知識產權保護。資 subject to the intellectual property rights 料的知識產權由香港特別行政區政府 which are either owned by the Government of (下稱「政府」)擁有,或經資料的知識產 the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (the “Government”) or have been licensed to 權擁有人授予政府,為本刊物預期的所 the Government by the intellectual property 有目的而處理該等資料。任何人如欲使 rights’ owner(s) of the Materials to deal with 用資料用作非商業用途,均須遵守《香港 such Materials for all the purposes contemplated in this publication. -
二零一七熱帶氣旋tropical Cyclones in 2017
176 第四節 熱帶氣旋統計表 表4.1是二零一七年在北太平洋西部及南海區域(即由赤道至北緯45度、東 經 100度至180 度所包括的範圍)的熱帶氣旋一覽。表內所列出的日期只說明某熱帶氣旋在上述範圍內 出現的時間,因而不一定包括整個風暴過程。這個限制對表內其他元素亦同樣適用。 表4.2是天文台在二零一七年為船舶發出的熱帶氣旋警告的次數、時段、首個及末個警告 發出的時間。當有熱帶氣旋位於香港責任範圍內時(即由北緯10至30度、東經105至125 度所包括的範圍),天文台會發出這些警告。表內使用的時間為協調世界時。 表4.3是二零一七年熱帶氣旋警告信號發出的次數及其時段的摘要。表內亦提供每次熱帶 氣旋警告信號生效的時間和發出警報的次數。表內使用的時間為香港時間。 表4.4是一九五六至二零一七年間熱帶氣旋警告信號發出的次數及其時段的摘要。 表4.5是一九五六至二零一七年間每年位於香港責任範圍內以及每年引致天文台需要發 出熱帶氣旋警告信號的熱帶氣旋總數。 表4.6是一九五六至二零一七年間天文台發出各種熱帶氣旋警告信號的最長、最短及平均 時段。 表4.7是二零一七年當熱帶氣旋影響香港時本港的氣象觀測摘要。資料包括熱帶氣旋最接 近香港時的位置及時間和當時估計熱帶氣旋中心附近的最低氣壓、京士柏、香港國際機 場及橫瀾島錄得的最高風速、香港天文台錄得的最低平均海平面氣壓以及香港各潮汐測 量站錄得的最大風暴潮(即實際水位高出潮汐表中預計的部分,單位為米)。 表4.8.1是二零一七年位於香港600公里範圍內的熱帶氣旋及其為香港所帶來的雨量。 表4.8.2是一八八四至一九三九年以及一九四七至二零一七年十個為香港帶來最多雨量 的熱帶氣旋和有關的雨量資料。 表4.9是自一九四六年至二零一七年間,天文台發出十號颶風信號時所錄得的氣象資料, 包括熱帶氣旋吹襲香港時的最近距離及方位、天文台錄得的最低平均海平面氣壓、香港 各站錄得的最高60分鐘平均風速和最高陣風。 表4.10是二零一七年熱帶氣旋在香港所造成的損失。資料參考了各政府部門和公共事業 機構所提供的報告及本地報章的報導。 表4.11是一九六零至二零一七年間熱帶氣旋在香港所造成的人命傷亡及破壞。資料參考 了各政府部門和公共事業機構所提供的報告及本地報章的報導。 表4.12是二零一七年天文台發出的熱帶氣旋路徑預測驗証。 177 Section 4 TROPICAL CYCLONE STATISTICS AND TABLES TABLE 4.1 is a list of tropical cyclones in 2017 in the western North Pacific and the South China Sea (i.e. the area bounded by the Equator, 45°N, 100°E and 180°). The dates cited are the residence times of each tropical cyclone within the above‐mentioned region and as such might not cover the full life‐ span. This limitation applies to all other elements in the table. TABLE 4.2 gives the number of tropical cyclone warnings for shipping issued by the Hong Kong Observatory in 2017, the durations of these warnings and the times of issue of the first and last warnings for all tropical cyclones in Hong Kong's area of responsibility (i.e. the area bounded by 10°N, 30°N, 105°E and 125°E). Times are given in hours and minutes in UTC. TABLE 4.3 presents a summary of the occasions/durations of the issuing of tropical cyclone warning signals in 2017. The sequence of the signals displayed and the number of tropical cyclone warning bulletins issued for each tropical cyclone are also given.