CLIMATE CHANGE REPORT 2017 Have a Seed Join APSA, the World’S Largest Regional Seed Association
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P1.24 a Typhoon Loss Estimation Model for China
P1.24 A TYPHOON LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL FOR CHINA Peter J. Sousounis*, H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA 1. INTRODUCTION the two. Because of its wind intensity (135 mph maximum sustained winds), it has been Nowhere 1 else in the world do tropical compared to Hurricane Katrina 2005. But Saomai cyclones (TCs) develop more frequently than in was short lived, and although it made landfall as the Northwest Pacific Basin. Nearly thirty TCs are a strong Category 4 storm and generated heavy spawned each year, 20 of which reach hurricane precipitation, it weakened quickly. Still, economic or typhoon status (cf. Fig. 1). Five of these reach losses were ~12 B RMB (~1.5 B USD). In super typhoon status, with windspeeds over 130 contrast, Bilis, which made landfall a month kts. In contrast, the North Atlantic typically earlier just south of where Saomai hit, was generates only ten TCs, seven of which reach actually only tropical storm strength at landfall hurricane status. with max sustained winds of 70 mph. Bilis weakened further still upon landfall but turned Additionally, there is no other country in the southwest and traveled slowly over a period of world where TCs strike with more frequency than five days across Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi in China. Nearly ten landfalling TCs occur in a and Yunnan Provinces. It generated copious typical year, with one to two additional by-passing amounts of precipitation, with large areas storms coming close enough to the coast to receiving more than 300 mm. -
OCHA PHL TY Sarika Haima 17Oct2016
Philippines: Typhoons Sarika (Karen) and Haima (Lawin) (17 October 2016) Typhoon Sarika Japan Typhoon Haima Typhoon category Typhoon Sarika (Karen) made landfall in (Saffir-Simpson Scale) Typhoon Haima (Lawin) has intensified 22 October 2016 Baler, Aurora province, at 2:30 a.m. on Category 1: 119-153 km/hr from a severe tropical storm. It was last 16 October. It slightly weakend while spotted 1,265 km east of the Visayas with China Category 3: 178-208 km/hr crossing Central Luzon but slightly maximum sustained winds of up to 150 intensified as it moves away from the Category 4: 209-251 km/hr km/h and gusts of up to 185 km/h. It is Philippines. As of 6am 17 October 2016, Taiwan moving west northwest at 22 km/h and is Typhoon Sarika is out of the Philippines Category 5: > 252 km/hr expected to enter PAR by the afternoon Area of Responsibility (PAR) and all PAGASA category of 17 October. The typhoon is projected Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals Hong Kong Typhoon Karen (SARIKA) to intensify into a category 5 as it moves Macao (TCWS) have been lifted. Tropical depression closer to northern Philippines. 21 October 2016 Lawin (HAIMA) Tropical storm EFFECTS Forecasted to make landfall Severe tropical storm PROFILE Regions I, II, III, IV-A, V and CAR in Northern Cagayan Typhoon within the 100 km radius of typhoon track affected areas 20 October 2016 P.A.R. 4 47 Actual typhoon track provinces cities/municipalities 75,000 Typhoon Haima people affected Forecasted track 17 October 2016 1.9 Million 406,000 19 October 2016 people households 70,800 LUZON people displaced 18 October 2016 Lawin (HAIMA) Forecasted to enter P.A.R. -
Help Families Affected by Typhoon Nina (Nock-Ten) Despite Typhoon
Help Families Affected by Typhoon Nina (Nock-ten) Despite typhoon Nina (Nock-ten) being downgraded to a severe tropical storm as it leaves the country, families in central Philippines will still need assistance following the damage to their homes and sources of income. “Clearing operations have started in the different parts of Camarines. While traveling to Naga City, we saw families leaving evacuation centres to head back home to gauge the damage caused to their property,” says Maricel Francia, World Vision‟s Programme Officer based in Camarines Norte. World Vision emergency response teams in the Bicol region have been constantly coordinating with local government units since yesterday, December 26 to determine the immediate need of the affected population and the extent of damages to infrastructure and property. World Vision‟s rapid assessment team of staff skilled in emergency response management, child protection, health and nutrition and documentation is now heading to Bicol region from Manila, to reinforce WV staff on the ground. According to the national disaster risk reduction and management council (NDRRMC), about 25,000 families, with around 81% coming from the Bicol region, were affected by typhoon Nina (international name: Nock-ten). Officials have declared a „state of calamity‟ in the provinces of Catanduanes, Camarines Sur and Albay. Six casualties have been reported. As of December 27, 13 road sections and three bridges in regions II, MIMAROPA, V and VII are still not passable while 114 areas are experiencing power cuts since December 25. “Our main focus is on assessing the immediate needs of families and communities, especially the children displaced by the typhoon. -
Review of Surge Practices
TYPHOON NOCK TEN - THE PHILIPPINES REVIEW OF SURGE PRACTICES TRANSFORMING SURGE CAPACITY PROJECT START NETWORK SURGE RESEARCH TEAM: LOIS AUSTIN, SARAH GROSSO AND GLENN O’NEIL DECEMBER 2017 TRANSFORMING SURGE CAPACITY 2 PROJECT Acknowledgements The research team would like to express its appreciation to the international, regional and national platforms of the Surge Capacity Project and the Core Humanitarian Standard on Quality and Accountability (CHS) Alliance for their support. Particular thanks to the Philippines platform and the Nock Ten learning report authors, Ana Marie Dizon and Mary Joy Gonzales. The team found the feedback and information provided by all project member agencies and their local partners very useful. Thanks also to the UK Department for International Development for funding the project that covers this research. About the authors This research is the work of Lois Austin, Sarah Grosso and Glenn O’Neil, who have extensive experience in the humanitarian and development sectors. The team has significant experience in research, managing surge responses and serving as part of surge teams. Lois Austin: Lois has worked for 20 years in the humanitarian field, serving in a broad range of field-based and headquarters positions. Lois has managed and provided technical inputs into wide-ranging assistance, protection and recovery programmes for vulnerable populations in a number of complex and often fluctuating environments in: the Balkans; the North and South Caucasus; the Middle East; Afghanistan; Asia and throughout Africa. Lois’ field and headquarters experience has formed the basis for a solid understanding of humanitarian issues, including approaches to surge response, from both policy and operational perspectives. -
Chapter 5. Focus and Perspectives
| 78 Chapter 5. Focus and perspectives Building on the CropWatch analyses presented in chapters 1 through 4, this chapter includes an updated production outlook for 2016 focused on wheat (section 5.1), as well as sections on recent disaster events (section 5.2), a focus on agriculture in the East and Southeast Asia (5.3) and an update on El Niño (5.4). 5.1 CropWatch production outlook The production outlook for the current bulletin includes only the major producers in the southern hemisphere, as assessments for the northern hemisphere would be too hypothetical at this early stage in the season. For Argentina, CropWatch puts its winter wheat production of 2016 at 11.245 million tons, an increase of 5.0% over the previous year resulting from increases in the major production area. This year, however, provinces that generally contribute relatively little to the global output outperformed the traditional “big” wheat producers from Córdoba to Buenos Aires. The same occurred in Australia where the wheat production increased more in minor producing areas (+45.1% over last year) than nationwide (+24.3%). The total output in Australia exceeds that of Argentina by a factor 3 and reaches 32.066 million tons. Finally, at 7.747 million tons, the output of Brazil stays behind that of its southern neighbor, increasing however 10.0% over the previous season. Contrary to the situation in Australia and Argentina, minor wheat producing areas in Brazil did poorly (-29%). Wheat production results for Argentina, Australia and Brazil are listed in Annex B. 5.2 Disaster events Introduction According to a recent World Bank study (Hallegatte et al, 2017), economic losses from natural disasters totaled US$92 billion in 2015, mostly in the building, infrastructure and agricultural production sectors. -
Preparing for a Changing Climate
CHAPTER ONE— INTRODUCTION History of the Assessment the box below). Such research includes long-term monitor- ing of greenhouse gases at sites like Mauna Loa in Hawai‘i; studies of the regional and global influence of Pacific “The impacts of the 1997–1998 El Niño are ocean-atmosphere processes such as ENSO; and studies of fresh in our minds, and the latest reports from the ocean’s role in the carbon cycle, as well as the region’s the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on significance in terms of biodiversity and endangered Climate Change (IPCC) confirm what all of you species. already know— changes in climate matter to individuals, communities, businesses and Finally, the Pacific Assessment was an effort to build on the governments who call islands home. Your valuable natural resources, traditional ways of leadership of the Pacific Region in establishing and sustaining a critical dialogue on climate variability and life, critical economic sectors, community support change among scientists, businesses, governments and infrastructure, and, to a great extent, your future, depend on developing an effective community leaders. Elements of this dialogue include the role of Pacific Island governments and regional organiza- response to the challenges presented by climate tions in raising international awareness of the potential variability and change.” (Morrison, 2000) consequences of climate change, as well as the success of innovative programs like the Pacific ENSO Applications With these words, Dr. Charles Morrison, President of the Center (PEAC), which is designed to facilitate use of East-West Center, welcomed participants to the “Workshop emerging climate forecasting capabilities to support on Climate and Island Coastal Communities” convened in decision-making. -
Incident Command System (Ics) Performance Evaluation Philippines
INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM (ICS) PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PHILIPPINES COUNTRY REPORT This publication was produced at the request of the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared independently by DevTech Systems, Inc. INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM (ICS) PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PHILIPPINES COUNTRY REPORT A Performance Evaluation of the ICS System in Philippines Covering the Assistance Provided by USAID/OFDA from 2011 August 14, 2017 USAID Contract No AID-OAA-I-15-0008 DISCLAIMER The author’s views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government. Cover photo: Microtel Incident Command Post managing ASEAN50 Meeting near Mall of Asia, Manila, Philippines i Contents Acronyms ....................................................................................................................................................................... ii I. Evaluation Purpose ............................................................................................................................................... 1 II. Evaluation Questions ............................................................................................................................................ 1 III. Project Background ............................................................................................................................................... 2 IV. Evaluation Methods & Limitations....................................................................................................................... -
NASA Sees Typhoon Sarika Approaching Second Landfall 18 October 2016
NASA sees Typhoon Sarika approaching second landfall 18 October 2016 On Oct. 17 at 2:10 (06:10 UTC) NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite passed over Sarika and provided a visible-light image of the storm. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) instrument aboard NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite showed the cloud-filled center of circulation in the central northern South China Sea, southwest of Hainan Island, China. At 5 a.m. EDT (0900 UTC) Sarika had maximum sustained winds near 92 mph (80 knots/148 kph). It was centered near 18.0 degrees north latitude and 112.4 degrees east longitude, about 409 nautical miles east-southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. It was moving to the west at 10 mph (8 knots/16 kph). The Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts Sarika to move toward Hainan Island, China where it is expected to make landfall. Sarika is later forecast to continue west and make a third landfall in northern Vietnam. Provided by NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center On Oct. 17 at 2:10 (06:10 UTC) NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite captured a visible image of Typhoon Sarika approaching China. Credit: NOAA/NASA's Rapid Response Team NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite provided a visible look at Typhoon Sarika as it was poised for its second of three expected landfalls. When the satellite passed over Sarika it was in the South China Sea. Strong wind signal #3 is in force at Hong Kong, China, according to the Central Weather Bureau. Sarika, formerly known as Tropical Depression 24W fills up the northern half of the South China Sea on satellite imagery. -
Typhoon Sarika
Emergency Plan of Action (EPoA) Philippines: Typhoon Sarika DREF Operation: MDRPH021 Glide n° TC-2016-000108-PHL Date of issue: 19 October 2016 Date of disaster: 16 October 2016 Operation manager: Point of contact: Patrick Elliott, operations manager Atty. Oscar Palabyab, secretary general IFRC Philippines country office Philippine Red Cross Operation start date: 16 October 2016 Expected timeframe: 3 months (to 31 January 2017) Overall operation budget: CHF 169,011 Number of people affected: 52,270 people (11,926 Number of people to be assisted: 8,000 people families) (1,600 families) Host National Society: Philippine Red Cross (PRC) is the nation’s largest humanitarian organization and works through 100 chapters covering all administrative districts and major cities in the country. It has at least 1,000 staff at national headquarters and chapter levels, and approximately one million volunteers and supporters, of whom some 500,000 are active volunteers. At chapter level, a programme called Red Cross 143, has volunteers in place to enhance the overall capacity of the National Society to prepare for and respond in disaster situations. Red Cross Red Crescent Movement partners actively involved in the operation: PRC is working with the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) in this operation. The National Society also works with the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) as well as American Red Cross, Australian Red Cross, British Red Cross, Canadian Red Cross, Finnish Red Cross, German Red Cross, Japanese Red Cross Society, The Netherlands Red Cross, Norwegian Red Cross, Qatar Red Crescent Society, Spanish Red Cross, and Swiss Red Cross in-country. -
7 the Analysis of Storm Surge in Manila Bay, the Philippines
INTERNATIONAL HYDROGRAPHIC REVIEW MAY 2019 THE ANALYSIS OF STORM SURGE IN MANILA BAY, THE PHILIPPINES By Commander C. S. Luma-ang Hydrography Branch, National Mapping and Resource Information Authority, (Philippines) Abstract In 2013, Typhoon Haiyan produced a storm surge over seven metres in San Pedro Bay in the Philippines that killed approximately 6,300 people. The event created significant public awareness on storm surges and exposed the lack of records and historical research in the Philippines. This study investigated the tidal height records during intense cyclone activities in 2016 and 2017 to provide accurate information about storm surge development in the largest and most populated coastal area in the country – Manila Bay. The results of this investigation indicated that there are consistencies in the characteristics of tropical cyclones that produce larger storm surges. The results also show that actual storm surge heights are generally smaller than predicted height values. Résumé En 2013, le typhon Haiyan a provoqué une onde de tempête de plus de sept mètres dans la Baie de San Pedro aux Philippines, faisant près de 6 300 victimes. Cet événement a provoqué une importante sensibilisation du public envers les ondes de tempête et a mis en évidence le manque d’archives et de recherches historiques aux Philippines. La présente étude a examiné les enregistrements des hauteurs des marées au cours d’activités cycloniques intenses en 2016 et 2017 afin de fournir des informations précises sur le développement d’ondes de tempête dans la zone côtière la plus étendue et la plus peuplée du pays, la Baie de Manille. -
Upper Ocean Response to Typhoon Kalmaegi and Sarika in the South China Sea from Multiple-Satellite Observations and Numerical Simulations
remote sensing Article Upper Ocean Response to Typhoon Kalmaegi and Sarika in the South China Sea from Multiple-Satellite Observations and Numerical Simulations Xinxin Yue 1, Biao Zhang 1,* ID , Guoqiang Liu 1,2, Xiaofeng Li 3 ID , Han Zhang 4 and Yijun He 1 ID 1 School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China; [email protected] (X.Y.); [email protected] (G.L.); [email protected] (Y.H.) 2 Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Fisheries and Oceans, Dartmouth, NS B2Y 4A2, Canada 3 GST at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/NESDIS, College Park, MD 20740-3818, USA; [email protected] 4 State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of Oceanography, Hangzhou 310012, China; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 12 December 2017; Accepted: 22 February 2018; Published: 24 February 2018 Abstract: We investigated ocean surface and subsurface physical responses to Typhoons Kalmaegi and Sarika in the South China Sea, utilizing synergistic multiple-satellite observations, in situ measurements, and numerical simulations. We found significant typhoon-induced sea surface cooling using satellite sea surface temperature (SST) observations and numerical model simulations. This cooling was mainly caused by vertical mixing and upwelling. The maximum amplitudes were 6 ◦C and 4.2 ◦C for Typhoons Kalmaegi and Sarika, respectively. For Typhoon Sarika, Argo temperature profile measurements showed that temperature response beneath the surface showed a three-layer vertical structure (decreasing-increasing-decreasing). Satellite salinity observations showed that the maximum increase of sea surface salinity (SSS) was 2.2 psu on the right side of Typhoon Sarika’s track, and the maximum decrease of SSS was 1.4 psu on the left. -
Pag-IBIG Calamity Loan Is Available to Eligible Members Living in Areas That Have Been Declared Under the State of Calamity
PRESS RELEASE Pag-IBIG Fund assists members in calamity areas affected by Typhoon Nina Pag-IBIG Fund readied its programs to assist members severely affected by Typhoon Nina (international name: “Nock-ten”) which recently hit the Bicol and Southern Luzon regions. “With the declaration of the state of calamity in the provinces of Albay, Catanduanes, and Camarines Sur, and in Calapan City, we are making available our Calamity Loan Program to those who have been affected by the typhoon. We have earmarked PhP 4.6 Billion for calamity loan assistance to our members who are hardest hit by Nina. Our branches in the Bicol Region and South Luzon Area are ready for the members’ applications. We will ensure that our branches have enough personnel to assist our members availing of the loan,” said Pag-IBIG Fund President and Chief Executive Officer Atty. Darlene Marie B. Berberabe. There are 261,300 Pag-IBIG members in Bicol. The members will be assisted by the branches in Legazpi, Naga, and Virac. There are 768,000 members in Southern Luzon. The Pag-IBIG branches in the cities of Batangas and Lipa in Batangas; Calamba, San Pablo, and Sta. Rosa in Laguna; Calapan, Oriental Mindoro; Puerto Princesa, Palawan; and Lucena, Quezon will be ready to provide the service. The Pag-IBIG Calamity Loan is available to eligible members living in areas that have been declared under the state of calamity. To qualify, members must have at least 24 monthly contributions, and must not be in default in their payments of their Pag-IBIG Housing Loan or Multi-Purpose Loan, if they have these.