Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA Report
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PACIFIC EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING RESEARCH CENTER Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA Ground Motion Relations for the Geometric Mean Horizontal Component of Peak and Spectral Ground Motion Parameters Kenneth W. Campbell EQECAT, Inc. Beaverton, Oregon and Yousef Bozorgnia Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center University of California, Berkeley PEER 2007/02 MAY 2007 Technical Report Documentation Page 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient's Catalog No. PEER 2007/02 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA Ground Motion Relations for the May 2007 Geometric Mean Horizontal Component of Peak and Spectral Ground 6. Performing Organization Code Motion Parameters. 7. Author(s) 8. Performing Organization Report No. Kenneth W. Campbell and Yousef Bozorgnia UCB/PEER 2007/02 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS) Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center 325 Davis Hall MC 1792 University of California 11. Contract or Grant No. Berkeley, CA 94720 65A0058 12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address 13. Type of Report and Period Covered California Department of Transportation Technical report through June 2006 Engineering Service Center 1801 30th St., West Building MS-9 14. Sponsoring Agency Code Sacramento, CA 95807 06681 15. Supplementary Notes This study was sponsored by the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center’s Program of Applied Earthquake Engineering Research of Lifelines Systems supported by the California Department of Transportation, the California Energy Commission, and the Pacific Gas and Electric Company. 16. Abstract We present a new empirical ground motion model, commonly referred to as an attenuation relationship, which we developed as part of the PEER Next Generation Attenuation of Ground Motion (NGA) Project. Using a common database of worldwide strong motion recordings, we selected a subset of ground motion data and predictor variables that we believed were appropriate for use in developing our model. Consistent with the requirements of the PEER NGA Project, we developed both a median and aleatory uncertainty model for peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground displacement (PGD), and response spectral acceleration (PSA) and displacement (SD) for oscillator periods ranging from 0.01–10.0 s, magnitudes ranging from 4.0–8.0, and distances ranging from 0–200 km. We consider these models to be valid for use in the western United States and in other similar tectonically active regions of shallow crustal faulting worldwide. A comparison of our NGA model with our previous ground motion models (Campbell, 1997; Campbell and Bozorgnia, 1994, 2003) showed that the biggest differences in these models occur for sites located at small-to-moderate distances from large-magnitude earthquakes or near reverse faults with surface rupture, where the NGA model predicts lower ground motion, and for sites located on the hanging wall of dipping strike- slip and normal faults, where the NGA model predicts higher ground motion. We also found that the standard deviation is no longer a direct function of magnitude, which increases aleatory uncertainty for large-magnitude earthquakes and decreases it for small-magnitude earthquakes for stiff sites, compared to our previous models. However, the dependence of the standard deviation on nonlinear site effects in our new model can lead to less aleatory uncertainty for soft sites even at large magnitudes as compared to our previous models. 17. Key Words 18. Distribution Statement NGA, ground motion, Unlimited attenuation, near source, response spectra, site amplification, hanging wall, basin response 19. Security Classif. (of this report) 20. Security Classif. (of this page) 21. No. of Pages 22. Price Unclassified Unclassified 246 Form DOT F 1700.7 (8-72) Reproduction of completed page authorized Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA Ground Motion Relations for the Geometric Mean Horizontal Component of Peak and Spectral Ground Motion Parameters Kenneth W. Campbell EQECAT, Inc. Beaverton, Oregon and Yousef Bozorgnia Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center University of California, Berkeley PEER Report 2007/02 Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center College of Engineering University of California, Berkeley May 2007 ABSTRACT We present a new empirical ground motion model, commonly referred to as an attenuation relationship, which we developed as part of the PEER Next Generation Attenuation of Ground Motion (NGA) Project. Using a common database of worldwide strong motion recordings, we selected a subset of ground motion data and predictor variables that we believed were appropriate for use in developing our model. Consistent with the requirements of the PEER NGA Project, we developed both a median and aleatory uncertainty model for peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), peak ground displacement (PGD), and response spectral acceleration (PSA) and displacement (SD) for oscillator periods ranging from 0.01–10.0 s, magnitudes ranging from 4.0–8.0, and distances ranging from 0–200 km. We consider these models to be valid for use in the western United States and in other similar tectonically active regions of shallow crustal faulting worldwide. A comparison of our NGA model with our previous ground motion models (Campbell, 1997, 2000, 2001; Campbell and Bozorgnia, 1994, 2003a, 2003b, 2003c, 2004) showed that the biggest differences in these models occur for sites located at small-to-moderate distances from large-magnitude earthquakes or near reverse faults with surface rupture, where the NGA model predicts lower ground motion, and for sites located on the hanging wall of dipping strike-slip and normal faults, where the NGA model predicts higher ground motion. We also found that the standard deviation is no longer a direct function of magnitude, which increases aleatory uncertainty for large-magnitude earthquakes and decreases it for small-magnitude earthquakes for stiff sites, compared to our previous models. However, the dependence of the standard deviation on nonlinear site effects in our new model can lead to less aleatory uncertainty for soft sites even at large magnitudes as compared to our previous models. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This study was sponsored by the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center’s Program of Applied Earthquake Engineering Research of Lifelines Systems supported by the California Department of Transportation, the California Energy Commission, and the Pacific Gas and Electric Company. This work made use of the Earthquake Engineering Research Centers Shared Facilities supported by the National Science Foundation, under award number EEC-9701568 through the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the National Science Foundation. We would like to thank all of the NGA model developers and supporting researchers for their assistance and lively discussions throughout the project. We would especially like to thank Norm Abrahamson, Dave Boore, Brian Chiou, Ed Idriss, Walt Silva, and Bob Youngs for their many constructive comments during the many interaction meetings that were held throughout the project; and Maury Power, Tom Shantz, and Cliff Roblee for their dedicated efforts in managing the project. We would also like to thank Steve Day, Walt Silva, Paul Somerville, and Paul Spudich for providing us with ground motion simulation and analysis results that assisted us in developing our model. iv CONTENTS ABSTRACT.................................................................................................................................. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ........................................................................................................... iv TABLE OF CONTENTS ..............................................................................................................v LIST OF FIGURES ..................................................................................................................... ix LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................... xi 1 INTRODUCTION.. ...............................................................................................................1 1.1 Scope of the PEER NGA Project....................................................................................1 1.2 Objectives of the PEER NGA Project.............................................................................2 2 STRONG MOTION DATABASE.......................................................................................5 3 GROUND MOTION MODEL.............................................................................................9 3.1 Empirical Ground Motion Model .................................................................................10 3.1.1 Strong Motion Parameter ..................................................................................10 3.1.2 Median Ground Motion Model.........................................................................11 3.1.3 Aleatory Uncertainty Model .............................................................................13 3.1.4 Regression Results............................................................................................17 3.2 Justification of Functional Forms .................................................................................18