The Island’s Demographics and Population Isle of Wight Facts and Figures 2011/12

Introduction  The average house price for the Island as at July 2011 was £152,609. Source Land Registry The following pages offer an insight to the Island The following chart demonstrates the changes in property beginning with some general information about the size prices for the Island over the past three years of the Island and how its communities are distributed; through to a range of information relating to its population, and projected changes to numbers over time.

Island Geography

Population

Based on the mid-2010 population figures of 140,500 people, the Isle of Wight was the tenth largest Unitary Authority in the South

East region (Source ONS).  The Isle of Wight lies off the south coast of mainland Resident Population England and covers an area of 146.8 sq miles 2 (ie, all those usually resident whatever their nationality): (38.016 hectares, or 380.16 km ) Isle of South East Great  Based on a 2010 mid year population estimate, there 2010 Wight Region Britain is an average population density per square (000’s) (000’s) (000’s) kilometre (km2) of 370 persons, or 3.70 persons per All people 140.5 8,523.1 60,462.6 2 hectare . Males 68.3 4,183.2 29,758.9 Females 72.2 4,339.8 30,703.7 This compares with a national average of 401 2 (Source: ONS mid-year estimates) persons per km and regional average of 447 2 persons per km for the South East. A comparison of the proportions of population by broad age Source Office for National Statistics (ONS) bands for the Island with those for the South East region and

England and Wales, shows the Island as having a greater  Currently there are c. 61,553 Residential proportion of older residents (aged 65 plus) and fewer younger households. people (those aged 0-14 years) than either of the other two areas. Source Isle of Wight Council (IWC) Gazateer as at May 2011

 Following a review concluded in 2008 by The Proportion of population by broad age band Electoral Commission, the Island now has a total of 39 Electoral Wards. The Isle of Wight Council has a Conservative majority. 0-14, Isle of 15-64, Isle of 65-90+, Isle Source iwight.com Wight, Wight, of Wight, 15.02% 60.85% 24.13%  In addition there are a total of 25 Parish and 8 Town 0-14 Councils. 0-14, South 15-64, South 65-90+, South15-64 Source iwight.com East, 17.66% East, 65.11% East, 17.23% 65-90+  The major towns of the Island are: 15-64, 65-90+, 0-14, England England and England and and Wales, Wales, Wales, Newport c.17,300 persons 17.49% Ryde c.18,800 persons 65.92% 16.59% West Cowes c.14,800 persons East Cowes c.7,600 persons

Sandown c.7,300 persons (Source ONS mid-Year population estimates 2010) Shanklin c.7,300 persons Ventnor c.6.100 persons

Based on 2010 ward projections mid-2010, Source Office for National Statistics (ONS)

1 Produced by IWC, Business Effectiveness Unit, October 2011 The Island’s Demographics and Population Isle of Wight Facts and Figures 2011/12

Gender split – Annual percentage change in residents, The overall proportions for the male/female population are mid-2006 to mid-2010 broadly similar when comparing the Island with those rates seen at a regional level and for England as a whole. A similar Isle of level of variance to that seen in the previous chart begins to Wight appear when the breakdown is viewed by age group UA bandings. South East *15- No. All *% of total *0-14 *65+ 64 2010 Ages population years years years England and Isle of 68,300 48.71% 7.69% 30.11% 10.75% Wales Wight Males Year ending South East 4,183,200 49.59% 9.05% 32.45% 7.58%

England 27,228,500 49.29% 8.95% 33.02% 7.32% and Wales (Source ONS Mid-year population estimates: Components of population change)

Isle of 72,200 51.49% 7.33% 30.46% 13.45% Net migration

Wight Females

South East 4,339,800 51.45% 8.60% 32.66% 9.66% Rate Net migratory flow for persons - Isle of (000's) Wight England 28,011,900 50.71% 8.54% 29.70% 9.27% and Wales (Source ONS mid-Year population estimates 2010)

Reflecting on the Past: 1991 125,900 2010 140,500 Change in numbers between 1991-2010 14,600 % Change between 1991-2010 10.4%

Male Female Persons Population change between 1991 and 2010 Population Total (Source ONS - Moves within the UK; Registered during the year end) The net-migration rate, which takes into account the numbers moving to and away from the Island, offers a similar picture in terms of a slowing in population increase that occurred in 2009. During that year there was a higher outflow of females than males as represented by the bar chart.

Percentage Change in population by broad age band change All ages 0-14 15-64 65+

65+, England 65+, Isle of 65+, South and Wales,

Wight, 14.5% East, 12.9% 10.6% All ages, (Source ONS Mid-Year population Estimates) All ages, Isle All ages, 15-64, of Wight,15-64, Isle of South East,15-64, South EnglandEngland and and Between 2000 and 2010, the Isle of Wight experienced an 6.9%Wight, 7.5% 6.7%0-14,East, South 6.9% Wales, 5.9%Wales, 6.3% overall rise in population, with nine out of the ten years seeing East, 0.3% an increase. The rate of increase showed signs of slowing from 2006, when annual increases dropped to below 1,000+ 0-14, Isle of 0-14, persons. Between 2008 and 2009 the annual increase was Wight, -6.2% England and less than 100 although it was projected to have returned to Wales, -2.5% increasing by almost 300 persons between 2009 and 2010. (Source ONS Mid-Year population Estimates)

During the past ten years (between 2000 and 2010) the overall increase in population was broadly similar to that experienced within the South East Region although marginally higher than in England and Wales.

The greatest increase was seen in the group aged 65+, which was higher for the Island than the increase seen at both regional and national levels. In the same period the Island saw the numbers of young people aged between 0-14 years drop by over 6%. This result contrasts strongly with the outcomes shown for the same age group at both a regional and national level.

2 Produced by IWC, Business Effectiveness Unit, October 2011 The Island’s Demographics and Population Isle of Wight Facts and Figures 2011/12

Looking towards the Future: Projections predict that the Island will experience an average annual growth of 1,250 persons over the next 22 years (2033) and the overall rate of growth will be among the very highest seen 2011 across the South East region. 90+ Males Females 85-89 Population Projections; 2011, 2021, 2033: by broad age groups. 80-84 Isle of Wight and South East 75-79 70-74 65-69 2011 2021 2033 % Growth 60-64 2011 to 55-59 % of % of % of 000's 000's 000's 2033 50-54 total total total 45-49

40-44 Under 29.8 21% 30.6 20% 32.1 19% 8% 35-39 20's

30-34 20 to 25-29 Isle of 78.8 55% 81.3 52% 82.4 48% 5% 64 20-24 Wight England 15-19 England 65 10-14 35.1 24% 44.0 28% 56.7 33% 62% Isle of Isle of Wight plus Wight 5-9 Total 143.7 155.9 171.2 19% 0-4

10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Under 2,031.4 24% 2,129.0 23% 2,243.2 22% 10% 20's

Ten Years ahead - 20 to South 5,031.9 59% 5,238.2 57% 5,361.8 53% 7% 64 East

2021 65 1,500.6 18% 1,881.2 20% 2,441.8 24% 63% 90+ plus Males Females 85-89 Total 8,563.9 9,248.4 10,046.8 17% 80-84 75-79 (Source: ONS 2008- based sub national population projections) 70-74 65-69 60-64 These same projections imply that the numbers of people aged 55-59 50-54 65+ will continue to grow and the proportion of the overall 45-49 population they represent will increase significantly. At the same 40-44 time the proportion of the overall population that will be made up 35-39 30-34 from those aged 64 years and below, is anticipated to gradually 25-29 get smaller. 20-24 England 15-19 England 10-14 Isle of Wight 5-9 Isle of Wight Note: Some additional information is included in the information 0-4 factsheet covering Equality and Diversity available on 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% iwight.com/Facts and Figures

Population projections suggest that the numbers of people aged 50+ years will increase over the next ten years with the margin for each age group growing wider when compared with the national average, although there is some suggested narrowing of the gap between Island and national levels for men in the age bands 85 years plus. Twenty-Five Years ahead – 2008 population estimate 140,158 2033 population projection 171,200 Projected growth in numbers (25 years) 31,042 Projected percentage growth (25 years) 22%

Comparisons with neighbouring counties: % growth 2008-2033 (25 yr growth) Kent 22.1% West Sussex 20.9% East Sussex 20.1% Surrey 19.5% Isle of Wight 18.2% Hampshire 18.1% Wiltshire 17.4% Dorset 12.7%

3 Produced by IWC, Business Effectiveness Unit, October 2011