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A Thesis Submitted for the Degree of PhD at the University of Warwick Permanent WRAP URL: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/145151 Copyright and reuse: This thesis is made available online and is protected by original copyright. Please scroll down to view the document itself. Please refer to the repository record for this item for information to help you to cite it. Our policy information is available from the repository home page. For more information, please contact the WRAP Team at: [email protected] warwick.ac.uk/lib-publications APPENDIX A Containing Violence to What End? The Political Economy of Amnesty in Nigeria’s Oil-Rich Niger Delta (2009-2016) by Elvis Nana Kwasi Amoateng A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Politics and International Studies University of Warwick, Department of Politics and International Studies February 2020 Contents Acronyms ...................................................................................................................... 4 List of Figures ............................................................................................................... 5 Acknowledgement ........................................................................................................ 7 Abstract ......................................................................................................................... 8 Introduction: ................................................................................................................ 9 Amnesty and the Changing Landscape ...................................................................... 9 of the Niger Delta Conflict .......................................................................................... 9 0.1 Amnesties in the post-Cold War Era .................................................................. 10 0.2 Conflict and Actors in Focus ............................................................................... 13 0.3 Central Explanatory Framework ............................................................................... 17 0.4 Overview of the Niger Delta ................................................................................ 22 0.5 Research Questions .............................................................................................. 26 0.6 Contributions to Knowledge and Outline ................................................................. 27 0.7 Thesis Structure ........................................................................................................... 30 Chapter 1: ................................................................................................................... 34 RESEARCH METHODS AND METHODOLOGY ...................................................... 34 1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 34 1.3 Primary Research ........................................................................................................ 38 1.4 Ethical Considerations and Challenges .............................................................. 48 1.4 Conclusion .................................................................................................................... 52 Chapter 2: ................................................................................................................... 53 Towards Understanding Conflict ............................................................................. 53 2.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 53 2.1 Conflict in Modern States ........................................................................................... 54 2.2. Theories of Conflict .................................................................................................... 62 2.3 Natural Resources, Conflict, and Development ........................................................ 74 2.4 Conclusion .................................................................................................................... 82 Chapter 3: ................................................................................................................... 85 From Onset to Escalation of Violence in the Niger Delta ....................................... 85 3.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 85 3.1 Niger Delta and Armed Rebellion .............................................................................. 86 3.2 Causes of the Niger Delta Conflict ............................................................................. 96 3.4 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 112 Chapter 4: ................................................................................................................. 114 Who is to blame? A Critical Analysis of Key Actors in the Niger Delta ............. 114 4.0 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 114 4.1 Primary Actors .......................................................................................................... 115 4.1a Political Elites in the Niger Delta ....................................................................... 116 4.1b Business Elites ..................................................................................................... 121 4.1c Youths and the Niger Delta Conflict .................................................................. 125 4.2 Secondary Actors ....................................................................................................... 127 4.2a Traditional/Community Leaders and the Niger Delta Conflict ...................... 128 4.2b Religious Leaders and the Niger Delta Conflict ............................................... 131 4.2c Civil Society and the Niger Delta Conflict ........................................................ 135 4.2d The Media ............................................................................................................ 139 2 4.3 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 142 Chapter 5: ................................................................................................................. 145 2009 Amnesty in the Niger Delta ............................................................................ 145 5.0 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 145 5.1 Foundation of the 2009 Amnesty Programme in the Niger Delta ......................... 146 5.2 Amnesty Implementation in the Niger Delta .......................................................... 151 5.3 2009 Amnesty and the Persistence of the Niger Delta Conflict ............................. 162 5.4 The Amnesty Trap and Patronage Dynamics in the Niger Delta .......................... 172 5.5 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 177 Chapter 6: ................................................................................................................. 180 2009 Niger Delta Amnesty: ..................................................................................... 180 A Case of Conflict Containment, Management or Resolution? .......................... 180 6.0 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 180 6.1 Conflict Cycle in the Niger Delta .............................................................................. 182 6.2 The Conflict Containment Logic .............................................................................. 193 6.3 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 198 Chapter 7: ................................................................................................................. 201 Whither Resolution? ................................................................................................ 201 7.0 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 201 7.1 Conflict Management in the Niger Delta ................................................................. 203 7.1a Rule of Law for Elites ......................................................................................... 206 7.1b Perpetually Lived Forms of Elite Organisations .............................................. 213 7.1c Consolidated Political Control of the Military ................................................. 220 7. 2 What Path can Nigeria Follow to Initiate the Transition from LAO towards OAO in Order to Resolve the Niger Delta Conflict? .............................................................. 223 7.3 Conclusion .................................................................................................................. 229 Conclusion ................................................................................................................ 232 Violence and Social Equilibrium in the Niger Delta ...................................................