The Global Crisis and Financial Intermediation in Emerging Market Economies
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BIS Papers No 54 The global crisis and financial intermediation in emerging market economies Monetary and Economic Department December 2010 JEL classification: E4, E5, F3, G1, G2 Papers in this volume were prepared for a meeting of senior officials from central banks held at the Bank for International Settlements on 28–29 January 2010. The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS or the central banks represented at the meeting. Individual papers (or excerpts thereof) may be reproduced or translated with the authorisation of the authors concerned. Copies of publications are available from: Bank for International Settlements Communications CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland E-mail: [email protected] Fax: +41 61 280 9100 and +41 61 280 8100 This publication is available on the BIS website (www.bis.org). © Bank for International Settlements 2010. All rights reserved. Brief excerpts may be reproduced or translated provided the source is stated. ISSN 1609-0381 (print) ISBN 92-9131-850-7 (print) ISSN 1682 7651 (online) ISBN 92-9197-850-7 (online) List of participants Central Bank of Argentina Norberto Pagani Deputy Manager, International Relations Central Bank of Brazil André Minella Senior Adviser to the Board Economic Policy Directorate Central Bank of Chile Manuel Marfán Deputy Governor Kevin Cowan Director, Financial Policy Division People’s Bank of China Zhu Min Deputy Governor Yi Cheng Deputy Director General, Research Bureau Luo Pei Deputy Director, International Department Chen Jing Assistant to the Deputy Governor Bank of the Republic (Colombia) Hernando Vargas Herrera Deputy Governor Czech National Bank Miroslav Singer Vice-Governor Hong Kong Monetary Authority Dong He Executive Director, Research Department Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Hungary) Júlia Király Deputy Governor Reserve Bank of India Anand Sinha Executive Director, Banking Supervision Department Bank of Israel Rony Hizkiyahu Supervisor of Banks Bank of Korea Hee Chun Chung Director General, Monetary Policy Department Central Bank of Malaysia Muhammad bin Ibrahim Deputy Governor Bank of Mexico José Julián Sidaoui Deputy Governor Central Reserve Bank of Peru Renzo Rossini General Manager Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Diwa C Guinigundo Deputy Governor, Monetary Stability Sector National Bank of Poland Piotr Wiesiolek First Deputy President BIS Papers No 54 iii Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency Abdulrahman Al-Hamidy Vice-Governor Bader Hazzaa Alotaibi Economic Adviser, Research and Statistics Department Singapore Ong Chong Tee Deputy Managing Director South Africa Xolile Guma Deputy Governor Bank of Thailand Atchana Waiquamdee Deputy Governor Somchai Lertlarpwasin Senior Analyst, International Banking Policy Team Central Bank of the Mehmet Yörükoğlu Republic of Turkey Deputy Governor Bank for International Settlements Stephen Cecchetti Economic Adviser and Head of the Monetary and Economic Department Philip Turner Deputy Head of the Monetary and Economic Department and Director, Policy Coordination and Administration Ramon Moreno Head, Emerging Markets Dubravko Mihaljek Senior Economist Előd Takáts Economist Agustín Villar Senior Economist iv BIS Papers No 54 Contents Participants in the meeting................................................................................................... iii BIS background papers The global crisis and financial intermediation in emerging market economies: an overview...............................................................................................................................1 Cross-border bank lending to emerging market economies Előd Takáts.............................................................................................................................11 Domestic bank intermediation in emerging market economies during the crisis: locally owned versus foreign-owned banks Dubravko Mihaljek ..................................................................................................................31 Impact of the crisis on local money and debt markets in emerging market economies Ramon Moreno and Agustín Villar..........................................................................................49 Central bank instruments to deal with the effects of the crisis on emerging market economies Ramon Moreno.......................................................................................................................73 Contributed papers The international banking crisis and its impact on Argentina Central Bank of Argentina.......................................................................................................97 Brazil and the 2008 panic Mário Mesquita and Mário Torós..........................................................................................113 The evolution of credit in Chile Kevin Cowan and Manuel Marfán.........................................................................................121 Central bank instruments to deal with the crisis – from the perspective of the People’s Bank of China People’s Bank of China ........................................................................................................131 Effects of reserve requirements in an inflation targeting regime: the case of Colombia Hernando Vargas Herrera, Yanneth R Betancourt, Carlos Varela and Norberto Rodríguez ..............................................................................................................133 The international banking crisis and domestic financial intermediation in the Czech Republic Vitezslav Babicky..................................................................................................................171 Dislocations in the FX swap and money markets in Hong Kong SAR during the global credit crisis of 2007–08 Laurence Fung and Ip-wing Yu.............................................................................................181 The demise of the halcyon days in Hungary: “foreign” and “local” banks – before and after the crisis Ádám Banai, Júlia Király and Márton Nagy ..........................................................................195 Impact of the international banking crisis on the Indian financial system Anand Sinha .........................................................................................................................225 BIS Papers No 54 v Domestic bank intermediation: domestically owned versus foreign-owned banks in Israel David Marzuk ....................................................................................................................... 235 The Bank of Korea’s policy response to the global financial crisis Hee Chun Chung ................................................................................................................. 257 Impact of the global crisis on Malaysia’s financial system Muhammad bin Ibrahim ....................................................................................................... 267 The global financial crisis and policy response in Mexico José Sidaoui, Manuel Ramos-Francia and Gabriel Cuadra................................................. 279 Monetary policy during the global financial crisis of 2007–09: the case of Peru Zenon Quispe and Renzo Rossini ....................................................................................... 299 The impact of the global financial crisis on the Philippine financial system – an assessment Diwa C Guinigundo .............................................................................................................. 317 The international banking crisis and domestic financial intermediation: the experience of Poland Witold Kozinski..................................................................................................................... 343 The global financial crisis: impact on Saudi Arabia Abdulrahman Al-Hamidy ...................................................................................................... 347 The international banking crisis: effects and some key lessons Ong Chong Tee ................................................................................................................... 359 The international banking crisis and domestic financial intermediation in emerging market economies: issues for South Africa South African Reserve Bank................................................................................................ 365 The international banking crisis: impact on Thailand’s financial system and policy responses Bank of Thailand .................................................................................................................. 377 The effects of the global financial crisis on the Turkish financial sector Mehmet Yörükoğlu and Hakan Atasoy ................................................................................ 387 vi BIS Papers No 54 The global crisis and financial intermediation in emerging market economies: an overview1 Introduction Emerging market economies (EMEs) were significantly affected by the global financial crisis. Nevertheless, compared with their experience in previous crises, EMEs displayed remarkable resilience, maintaining robust rates of growth even as the crisis unfolded in advanced economies starting around mid-2007, and containing disruptions to financial markets so as to avoid experiencing crises themselves. The peak period of stress in EME financial markets was also comparatively limited, with severe pressures in the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy in mid-September