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ORYX VOL 32 NO 4 OCTOBER 1998 Circumstantial evidence for the presence of monk seals in the West Indies

I. L. Boyd and M. P. Stanfield

Based on interviews with 93 fishermen in northern and during 1997 an assessment was made of the likelihood that monk seals survive in this region of the West Indies. Fishermen were asked to select marine known to them from randomly arranged pictures: 22.6 per cent (n = 21) selected monk seals. This number was significantly (P < 0.001) greater than the number who selected control species (, harbour seal, and sea-lion) that they were unlikely to have observed. However, it was not significantly different (n = 19, P > 0.1) from the number who selected manatees, which are known to occur in the region in small numbers. More than 95 per cent of respondents also identified species that are known to occur commonly in the region. Further questioning of the 21 respondents who selected monk seals suggested that 16 (78 per cent) of them had seen at least one in the past 1-2 years. Those fishermen that were able to provide further descriptions gave information about size and colour that was consistent with many of these seals being monk seals. It is possible that the is not extinct.

Introduction surviving at the time of publication of his paper was only 0.053. However, he used only The Caribbean or West Indian monk seal 'reliable' reports from the scientific literature. Monachus tropicalis has been classified as poss- The Caribbean monk seal has rarely been seen ibly extinct under the criteria used by the since it was first described in 1850, but inter- International Union for the Conservation of mittent sightings have occurred over more Nature (IUCN, 1996; Reijnders et ah, 1993). than a century (King, 1956; Rice, 1973). There have been no confirmed sightings of the The last confirmed sighting of a monk seal species since 1952 (Rice, 1973). An uncon- in the Caribbean was at the Serranilla Bank firmed report of a single individual on an off- (Rice, 1973), an area of cays that is rich in shore island in northern Haiti in 1985 led to an beach habitat. The unconfirmed sighting in investigation of this region sponsored by the 1985 also occurred on a beach (Woods and US Marine Commission (Woods and Hermanson, 1987). This suggests that beach Hermanson, 1987). Although little further evi- habitat was important to the Caribbean monk dence was obtained to support the view that seal and much of the past survey effort has monk seals survived in the West Indies, the targeted locations with suitable beaches authors concluded that it was too early to be (Kenyon, 1977; LeBoeuf et ah, 1986). However, certain that the species was extinct. Three pre- the presence of man at sites visited (Kenyon, vious surveys (Kenyon, 1977, Nichols et ah, 1977) gave little confidence that seals could 1980, LeBoeuf et ah, 1986) in recent years have exist there unmolested. also produced no evidence of monk seals. This paper reports the results of a survey Using a statistical analysis of the frequency of carried out in the West Indies in 1997. From past sightings, Solow (1993) suggested that the the outset, it was appreciated that the chances probability of the Caribbean monk seal of a survey team seeing a monk seal, even if it 310 © 1998 FFI, Oryx, 32 (4), 310-316

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was extant, were remote. Therefore, emphasis California sea-lion Zalophus californianus. was placed on questioning local inhabitants During these cruises the only area where local on the principle that, if seals are present in the inhabitants indicated that seals had been seen region, they will be most likely to have seen was in northern Haiti. them. In 1997, a formal questionnaire was used to estimate the proportion of fishermen in north- east Jamaica and northern Haiti who had seen Materials and Methods an looking like a monk seal in recent years (Table 1). The aim was to interview only The survey was conducted from the sailing fishermen and estimate the probability that vessel Janetta Emily, a 13.4-m ketch. The vessel they had seen monk seals. Based on their ex- was deployed in the West Indies during perience of the they have encoun- February and March 1997. Before this, the tered, these fishermen were asked to select vessel had spent two winter seasons pictures of animals they had seen from a (January-May 1995; November 1995-April group of nine pictures. The colour pictures 1996) cruising in the Caribbean. These cruises (taken from illustrations in Waller, 1996) were had covered coastal regions from Lesser mounted on stiff card like jigsaw pieces. Each Antilles to northern . Residents of the lo- measured 4-6 cm long and 2-4 cm broad and cations, including coastal fishing villages, that they were cut out in the shape of the outline of were visited were questioned informally and the animal concerned. All the pictures were shown photographs of Hawaiian monk seals placed face up on a board, arranged randomly and of several other species, including the by mixing them as one might mix dominoes, and presented to the interviewee. The pictures were (1) manatee, (2) walrus, (3) , (4) harbour seal, (5) sea-lion, (6) Table 1. Locations in Jamaica and Haiti in which dolphin, (7) , (8) barracuda, (9) sea turtle. fishermen were questioned about animals they had The picture of the monk seal illustrated an ani- mal with a creamy-white belly. The interviews were carried out as follows: No. No. identifying Ql. Are you a fisherman? Location interviewed seals If the answer was yes, We are interested to know what animals you see N.E. Jamaica while you are fishing. Port Antonio 5 0 Panton's Hope 2 0 Q2. Could you please pick out the animals you Rural Hill 1 1 have seen? Robin's Bay 1 0 The respondent was then presented with the Manchioneal 16 1 board of pictures. The order in which he selec- Long Bay 1 0 ted the pictures from the board was recorded. N. Haiti When a picture was selected, it was set to one Mole St Nicolas 8 4 (main port) side. If the interviewee picked out the monk Carnage (Mole) 4 1 seal, harbour seal or the sea-lion, and if cir- La Presquil (Mole) 6 1 cumstances permitted, he was asked a further Baie du Port Ecu 14 4 set of questions with reference to the specific Port de Paix 5 0 picture selected. lie de la Tortue These were: Port Vincent 5 3 Q3. Where did you see this? Basse Terre 13 7 Cayenne 4 1 Q4. When did you see this? Pointe aux Oiseaux 3 1 Q5. How many did you see? Tete Ligne 5 1 Q6. What size was it? Q7. What colour was it? © 1998 FFI, Oryx, 32 (4), 310-316 311

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Depending on the degree of difficulty there In general, the response from fishermen was communicating with the interviewee, it questioned in Jamaica and Haiti was similar was sometimes possible to enter into further except that a greater proportion had seen discussions. We attempted to ask if the animal manatees in Jamaica than in Haiti and more had hair or scales and if it breathed when it had seen monk seals in Haiti than in Jamaica came to the surface. If a monk seal had been (Figure 1). selected, we also asked several respondents to The proportion of respondents selecting a compare the selected animal with the harbour monk seal was not significantly different from seal and the sea-lion and to confirm that the the proportion selecting a manatee (normal animal they had seen was more like the monk approximation to the binomial distribution, seal than anything else. In all cases, even if a t = 0.365, P > 0.1). However, the proportion monk seal picture had not been selected from selecting a monk seal was significantly greater the picture board, a photograph of an than the proportion selecting the walrus , showing no white belly, (t= 4.22, P< 0.001), harbour seal (f = 3.67, was also shown to the interviewees at the end P < 0.001) or sea-lion (t = 3.67, P < 0.001) but of the questionnaire. If the interviewee recog- less than the proportion selecting the dolphin, nized it then Q3 to Q7 were asked with refer- shark, barracuda or sea turtle (t > 8.8, ence to this photograph. P < 0.001 in all cases). A Monte Carlo simu- In Jamaica and Haiti, interviews were con- lation, which randomized the selection pro- ducted in English and French, respectively. cedure, involving those individuals that had Additional informal enquiries made in pre- selected at least one of the , showed vious years in Cuba, the Dominican Republic that the probability of the observed frequency and Haiti were conducted in Spanish and distribution of pinnipeds occurring by chance Creole as appropriate. was < 0.0001. The sea turtle was the species most fre- quently chosen first, followed by the bar- Results racuda, the shark and the dolphin. Other marine were never chosen first or Based on reports obtained from fishermen second (Figure 2). There was a significant during the cruise in 1996, which indicated the negative relationship between the proportion possible presence of monk seals in northern of respondents choosing a particular species Haiti, this survey concentrated on northern group and the mean selection number of each Haiti in 1997 and used northern Jamaica as a species group (r2 = 0.762). This suggests that control. All but one of the 93 people ques- the sequence in which a species group was tioned in the whole survey claimed to be selected reflected the respondent's familiarity fishermen (in all cases these were subsistence with that group. Assuming that selection fishermen). The great majority (87-96 per cent) number followed a Poisson distribution, there of respondents selected the four species was no significant difference between the groups (dolphin, shark, barracuda, sea turtle) selection number of the monk seal and the that we would have expected them to have manatee (P > 0.1) but that number was signifi- observed. Only 2 per cent (n = 2) selected a cantly greater than for the dolphin, shark, bar- walrus, which is most unlikely to occur in the racuda and sea turtle (P < 0.01 in all cases). Caribbean; in one of these cases, it was sus- In cases where the monk seal or harbour pected that it had been confused with another seal was selected, most respondents were seal or even a manatee. Four percent (n = 4) of questioned further. When asked when they respondents selected a harbour seal and the had seen the animal, 75 per cent (18 of 24) of same proportion selected a sea-lion. The man- respondents answered 'this year' or last year'. atee was selected by 19 per cent (n = 18) of re- The furthest back that any individual could re- spondents and the monk seal was selected by call seeing a seal was 10 years. This was a 23 per cent (n = 21; Figure 1). Jamaican fisherman who had apparently seen 312 © 1998 FFI, Oryx, 32 (4), 310-316

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flS n CUD Jamaica S 100 ^^ Haiti •S3 ••1 Combined

CO a> 80 "o Q. .cCO o 60 CO CD D5 c I 40 g o Figure 1. Frequency with which §" 20 each species was selected from the range presented to fishermen in Jamaica and Haiti. The frequency combining the results from Jamaica and Haiti is also shown. Species

several on Pedro Bank, south of Jamaica; a lo- two indicated that the size varied from the cation where some of the authenticated sight- size of a child to the size of a man. One fisher- ings were made earlier this century (King, man indicated that the animal he had caught 1956). All other interviewees had seen seals in in a fishing net was the size of a small child. In the area in which they fished. Ten of the 21 one location, five fishermen indicated that fishermen (48 per cent) who claimed to have they actively hunted monk seals when they seen monk seals said that they had seen more had the opportunity, usually with spear guns. than one individual. Only two indicated that In these cases we asked what type of surface these seals had been in groups but eight others the animal had and all indicated that the sur- indicated they had seen seals on several differ- face was hair. These fishermen also said that ent occasions. Statements included 'three this the animals returned to the surface to breathe. year', 'one or two each year', 'five this year', On three occasions we rejected the fisher- 'two or three each year', 'several every year'. man's selection of the monk seal or the har- Eleven of 14 fishermen who were asked the bour seal because, on further questioning, two colour of the seal they had seen said they were fishermen thought that the harbour seal was a either brown-and-white or black-and-white catfish and another thought the monk seal with white located on the belly. The remaining was a Moray eel. In addition, one individual three said they were all black. Of the 10 fisher- that selected a walrus called it a 'sea cow'. men that selected the monk seal and were also These selections were not included in the questioned about the size, four indicated that above analysis. seals were the size of a large man, three indi- cated they were a little smaller than a man,

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Figure 2. Frequency with which each species group was selected by fishermen in relation to the sequence in which they were selected. MONK SEALS IN THE WEST INDIES

Discussion being observed occasionally. Descriptions of colour suggest that the pelage of these seals Questioning inhabitants about the wildlife in was similar to that of the other species of their local environment could lead to mislead- monk seals. The size and colour of the seals ing conclusions. In this study, we can be cer- conform to the type specimen of Monachus tain that fishermen did not know the purpose tropicalis in the British Museum and other de- of the questionnaire in advance. The question- scriptions summarized by King (1956). naire was also structured to try and eliminate Based on the results of this study, the aver- potential bias due to respondents intentionally age sighting frequency for fishermen in the deceiving the questioner. Most of the people area where monk seals may occur was c. 0.19 questioned were extremely poor, almost cer- seals per fisherman year. The fishermen who tainly illiterate and survived in isolated vil- were most likely to have observed monk seals lages on subsistence fishing, either from open were those who mainly used diving to capture rowing boats or by diving. We received no in- fish or shellfish. This suggested that monk formation to suggest that there was any inten- seals are rarely seen at the surface or, when tional deception or that the respondents had they are, they were rarely recognized as such. misinterpreted any of the questions put to The area identified by this survey as being them. potentially important for monk seals is virtu- The results of this study suggest that fisher- ally the same as that identified by Woods and men in northern Haiti and, to a lesser degree, Hermanson (1987). We consider that the in north-east Jamaica, see seals regularly. This coastal region from Port de Paix to Mole St is within the apparent historical range of the Nicolas and He de La Tortue (especially the species (Timm et al., 1997). These reports indi- north coast), both of which are in northern cate that large phocid seals, probably from the Haiti, is likely to provide suitable habitat for subfamily , are regularly sighted monk seals. Much of the coastline is formed of by fishermen in the areas surveyed. The most coral limestone with numerous deep caves likely explanation of these sightings is that and wave-cut platforms. Positive responses they are of Caribbean monk seals, but the were obtained from fishermen throughout this presence of other species in the area cannot be region. discounted. We can be reasonably certain of Woods and Hermanson (1987) reported that this because fishermen chose the animals that only two of 77 people interviewed in this area are known to occur commonly in the vicinity in 1985 had seen a seal. There are several poss- of Jamaica and Haiti with greatest frequency ible reasons for the difference between our re- whereas, in general, they rejected animals that sults and those of Woods and Hermanson. we would not have expected them to see. The These include: (i) the concentration in the cur- frequency of selection of the monk seal was rent survey on fishermen, whereas Woods and significantly (P < 0.001) greater than for the Hermanson included people with a wider animals that were not expected to have been range of backgrounds, including coastal resi- seen. Moreover, the fishermen chose the monk dents and seamen as well as fishermen; (ii) seal with the same frequency as they chose the whereas our survey was conducted in a simi- manatee, a species that is known to occur in lar manner in that pictures were used, we of- these waters (Rathbun et al., 1985), even if it is fered the fishermen familiar subjects to help not common. The significant difference be- them become comfortable with the method- tween the frequency with which the monk ology and adjust their judgement to the seal and the harbour seal were selected is po- method of presentation of the images; or (iii) tentially revealing because this suggests that the frequency with which monk seals are the identification was specific to the monk seal sighted in the area has increased in the past 12 or some very similar looking species. The de- years. However, the frequency of sightings of scriptions of the size of the animals seen by re- manatees has declined because Woods and spondents also suggested that juveniles were Hermanson (1987) found 66 per cent of

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respondents had seen manatees. This com- King, J.E. 1956. The monk seal (Genus Monachus). pares with only 10 per cent of those ques- Bulletin of the British Museum of Natural History, 3, tioned in northern Haiti in the present study. 201-256. LeBoeuf, B.J., Kenyon, K.W. and Villa-Ramirez, B. Woods and Hermanson (1987) concluded 1986. The Caribbean monk seal is extinct. Marine that 'a remote possibility continues to exist Mammal Science, 2,70-72. that the Caribbean monk seal is not extinct'. Nichols, G., Campbell, D. and Sargent, D. 1980. Ours is the first systematic survey to suggest Expedition of R/V Regina Maris to search for the continued existence of monk seals, or a Caribbean monk seals in the southeast Bahama Islands, species looking very similar to monk seals, in April 13-26, 1980. Unpublished Report to World the West Indies. As we have shown from the Wildlife Fund. sighting frequencies estimated for resident Reijnders, P., Brasseur, S., Van der Toorn, ]., Van der Wolf, P., Boyd, I., Harwood, ]., Lavigne, D. and fishermen, the methodology used by other Lowry, L. 1993. Seals, Fur Seals, Sea Lions, and surveys (Kenyon, 1977; Nichols et al., 1980; Walrus: Status Survey and Conservation Action Plan. LeBoeuf et ah, 1986) was most unlikely to have IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. provided a sighting of a monk seal. Although Rathbun, G.B., Woods, C.A. and Ottenwalder J.A. Solow (1993) suggested there was a c. 0.05 1985. The manatee in Haiti. Oryx, 19,234-236. probability that the Caribbean monk seal was Rice, D.W. 1973. Caribbean monk seal CMonachus not extinct, our analysis suggests the prob- tropicalis). Proceedings of a working meeting of seal specialists on threatened and depleted seals ability is much greater, based on the compari- of the World. International Union for the son with control species (walrus, harbour seal, Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources, sea-lion). Gland, Switzerland. Solow, A.R. 1993. Inferring from sighting data. Ecology, 74,962-964. Acknowledgements Timm, R.M., Salazar, R.M. and Peterson, A.T. 1997. Historical distribution of the extinct tropical seal, Many people dedicated themselves to this project Monachus tropicalis (: Phocidae). through significant hardships. We are grateful to Conservation Biology, 11,549-551. Professor Uwe Ackerman, Comdr Frank Brown RN Waller, G. 1996. Sealife. A Complete Guide to the ret., Dr Karen Gardiner, Dr Mike Hart, William Marine Environment. Pica Press, Robertsbridge, Jameson, Ian Rees, Miles Sutherland Pilch, Bridget East Sussex. Simpson, Charlie Stanfield and Andy Wilson. We Woods, C.A. and Hermanson, J.W. 1987. An investi- are especially grateful to Dr Mike Hart who cured gation of possible sightings of Caribbean monk seals, the sick and who provided critical support to see us (Monachus tropicalis), along the north coast of Haiti. through the most important part of the survey; Report to US Commission, con- Professor Uwe Ackerman and Ian Rees for their un- tract number MM3309519-2,10pp. paralleled crewmanship and unstinting faith in the project; and Dr Karen Gardiner for important sup- port during the early stages of the expedition. We I. L. Boyd, Seamark Trust, 165 Woodstock Road, thank Professor John Harwood and Dr John Croxall Oxford OX2 7NA, UK. Address for correspondence: for comments on the manuscript. British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK. e-mail: [email protected] References M. P. Stanfield, Seamark Trust, 165 Woodstock IUCN. 1996. 1996 IUCN Red List of Threatened Road, Oxford OX2 7NA, UK. Animals. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland. Kenyon, K.W. 1977. Caribbean monk seal extinct. Received 12 January 1998 Journal of Mammalogy, 58,97-98. Accepted 20 July 1998

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