Ocean and Cryosphere
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1 Introduction to the Cryosphere
Copyrighted Material 1 INTRODUCTION TO THE CRYOSPHERE In this place, nostalgia roams, patient as slow hands on skin, transparent as melt-water. Nights are light and long. Shadows settle on the shoulders of air. Time steps out of line here, stops to thaw the frozen hearts of icebergs. Sleep isn’t always easy in this place where the sun stays up all night and silence has a voice. —claire Beynon, “At Home in Antarctica” earth surface temperatures are close to the triple point of water, 273.16 K, the temperature at which water vapor, liquid water, and ice coexist in thermo- dynamic equilibrium. Indeed, water is the only sub- stance on Earth that is found naturally in all three of its phases. Approximately 35% of the world experi- ences temperatures below the triple point at some time in the year, including about half of Earth’s land mass, promoting frozen water at Earth’s surface. The global Marshall_FINALS.indb 1 8/24/11 8:07 AM Copyrighted Material CHAPTER 1 cryosphere encompasses all aspects of this frozen realm, including glaciers and ice sheets, sea ice, lake and river ice, permafrost, seasonal snow, and ice crystals in the atmosphere. Because temperatures oscillate about the freezing point over much of the Earth, the cryosphere is particularly sen- sitive to changes in global mean temperature. In a tight coupling that represents one of the strongest feedback sys- tems on the planet, global climate is also directly affected by the state of the cryosphere. Earth temperatures are pri- marily governed by the net radiation that is available from the Sun. -
Cryosphere: a Kingdom of Anomalies and Diversity
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 6535–6542, 2018 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-6535-2018 © Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. Cryosphere: a kingdom of anomalies and diversity Vladimir Melnikov1,2,3, Viktor Gennadinik1, Markku Kulmala1,4, Hanna K. Lappalainen1,4,5, Tuukka Petäjä1,4, and Sergej Zilitinkevich1,4,5,6,7,8 1Institute of Cryology, Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russia 2Industrial University of Tyumen, Tyumen, Russia 3Earth Cryosphere Institute, Tyumen Scientific Center SB RAS, Tyumen, Russia 4Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research (INAR), Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland 5Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland 6Faculty of Radio-Physics, University of Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia 7Faculty of Geography, University of Moscow, Moscow, Russia 8Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia Correspondence: Hanna K. Lappalainen (hanna.k.lappalainen@helsinki.fi) Received: 17 November 2017 – Discussion started: 12 January 2018 Revised: 20 March 2018 – Accepted: 26 March 2018 – Published: 8 May 2018 Abstract. The cryosphere of the Earth overlaps with the 1 Introduction atmosphere, hydrosphere and lithosphere over vast areas ◦ with temperatures below 0 C and pronounced H2O phase changes. In spite of its strong variability in space and time, Nowadays the Earth system is facing the so-called “Grand the cryosphere plays the role of a global thermostat, keeping Challenges”. The rapidly growing population needs fresh air the thermal regime on the Earth within rather narrow limits, and water, more food and more energy. Thus humankind suf- affording continuation of the conditions needed for the main- fers from climate change, deterioration of the air, water and tenance of life. -
Causes of Sea Level Rise
FACT SHEET Causes of Sea OUR COASTAL COMMUNITIES AT RISK Level Rise What the Science Tells Us HIGHLIGHTS From the rocky shoreline of Maine to the busy trading port of New Orleans, from Roughly a third of the nation’s population historic Golden Gate Park in San Francisco to the golden sands of Miami Beach, lives in coastal counties. Several million our coasts are an integral part of American life. Where the sea meets land sit some of our most densely populated cities, most popular tourist destinations, bountiful of those live at elevations that could be fisheries, unique natural landscapes, strategic military bases, financial centers, and flooded by rising seas this century, scientific beaches and boardwalks where memories are created. Yet many of these iconic projections show. These cities and towns— places face a growing risk from sea level rise. home to tourist destinations, fisheries, Global sea level is rising—and at an accelerating rate—largely in response to natural landscapes, military bases, financial global warming. The global average rise has been about eight inches since the centers, and beaches and boardwalks— Industrial Revolution. However, many U.S. cities have seen much higher increases in sea level (NOAA 2012a; NOAA 2012b). Portions of the East and Gulf coasts face a growing risk from sea level rise. have faced some of the world’s fastest rates of sea level rise (NOAA 2012b). These trends have contributed to loss of life, billions of dollars in damage to coastal The choices we make today are critical property and infrastructure, massive taxpayer funding for recovery and rebuild- to protecting coastal communities. -
Global Warming Impacts on Severe Drought Characteristics in Asia Monsoon Region
water Article Global Warming Impacts on Severe Drought Characteristics in Asia Monsoon Region Jeong-Bae Kim , Jae-Min So and Deg-Hyo Bae * Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Sejong University, 209 Neungdong-ro, Gwangjin-Gu, Seoul 05006, Korea; [email protected] (J.-B.K.); [email protected] (J.-M.S.) * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +82-2-3408-3814 Received: 2 April 2020; Accepted: 7 May 2020; Published: 12 May 2020 Abstract: Climate change influences the changes in drought features. This study assesses the changes in severe drought characteristics over the Asian monsoon region responding to 1.5 and 2.0 ◦C of global average temperature increases above preindustrial levels. Based on the selected 5 global climate models, the drought characteristics are analyzed according to different regional climate zones using the standardized precipitation index. Under global warming, the severity and frequency of severe drought (i.e., SPI < 1.5) are modulated by the changes in seasonal and regional precipitation − features regardless of the region. Due to the different regional change trends, global warming is likely to aggravate (or alleviate) severe drought in warm (or dry/cold) climate zones. For seasonal analysis, the ranges of changes in drought severity (and frequency) are 11.5%~6.1% (and 57.1%~23.2%) − − under 1.5 and 2.0 ◦C of warming compared to reference condition. The significant decreases in drought frequency are indicated in all climate zones due to the increasing precipitation tendency. In general, drought features under global warming closely tend to be affected by the changes in the amount of precipitation as well as the changes in dry spell length. -
Savor the Cryosphere
Savor the Cryosphere Patrick A. Burkhart, Dept. of Geography, Geology, and the Environment, Slippery Rock University, Slippery Rock, Pennsylvania 16057, USA; Richard B. Alley, Dept. of Geosciences, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA; Lonnie G. Thompson, School of Earth Sciences, Byrd Polar and Climate Research Center, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio 43210, USA; James D. Balog, Earth Vision Institute/Extreme Ice Survey, 2334 Broadway Street, Suite D, Boulder, Colorado 80304, USA; Paul E. Baldauf, Dept. of Marine and Environmental Sciences, Nova Southeastern University, 3301 College Ave., Fort Lauderdale, Florida 33314, USA; and Gregory S. Baker, Dept. of Geology, University of Kansas, 1475 Jayhawk Blvd., Lawrence, Kansas 66045, USA ABSTRACT Cryosphere,” a Pardee Keynote Symposium loss of ice will pass to the future. The This article provides concise documen- at the 2015 Annual Meeting in Baltimore, extent of ice can be measured by satellites tation of the ongoing retreat of glaciers, Maryland, USA, for which the GSA or by ground-based glaciology. While we along with the implications that the ice loss recorded supporting interviews and a provide a brief assessment of the first presents, as well as suggestions for geosci- webinar. method, our focus on the latter is key to ence educators to better convey this story informing broad audiences of non-special- INTRODUCTION to both students and citizens. We present ists. The cornerstone of our approach is the the retreat of glaciers—the loss of ice—as The cryosphere is the portion of Earth use of repeat photography so that the scale emblematic of the recent, rapid contraction that is frozen, which includes glacial and and rate of retreat are vividly depicted. -
Ocean & Cryosphere
INSTITUTE FOR MARINE & ANTARCTIC STUDIES OCEANS & CRYOSPHERE RESEARCH CAPABILITY The Oceans and Cryosphere Centre combines three main Symposia research capability areas. We organise and run symposia and "round table" They are Antarctic and Ocean policy and law, discussions and meetings to related on current and oceanography (physical, bio-geochemical and emerging issues on ocean and Polar governance. These geophysics), and Antarctic science (sea-ice, ice shelf and symposia range from "Chatham House" type forums to open ice sheet research). Many of the studies we undertake in international conferences. These approaches provide science and policy have global scale and frequently opportunities to advance discussion and policy relevant contribute to the latest climate change assessments used outcomes to a range of decision-making groups. This in the reports of the Inter-governmental Panel for Climate capability enhances informed decision-making and research Change and in the Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meetings. outputs in Ocean and Polar governance, and frequently In oceanography, we focus on observational integrates research and decision-making. oceanography and ocean modelling. We lead Australian university research in blue-water oceanography and Oceanography and geophysics postgraduate research training. We work in the Antarctic, We have established programs that describe the large scale Southern and temperate oceans of the world. The circulation of the Southern Ocean including the Antarctic cryosphere studies cover sea-ice biogeochemistry and sea Circumpolar Current and its changes. We have the capability ice-ocean interactions, ice shelf dynamics and ice to deploy instrumentation, moorings, autonomous floats, shelf-ocean processes. gliders and undertake ship-based measurements. We do this observational work with our collaborators. -
Cryosphere Alex Gardner Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology
Cryosphere Alex Gardner Jet Propulsion Laboratory California Institute of Technology • ice sheets • ice shelves • glaciers • sea ice - best effort • terrestrial snow covered by hydrology Cryosphere Guided by two overreaching Decadal Survey questions: 1. How will sea level change, globally and regionally, over the next decade and beyond? [S-3, C-1] [Most Important] 2. What will be the consequences of amplified climate change in the Arctic and Antarctic? [C-8] [Very Important] Cryosphere How will sea level change, globally and regionally, over the next decade and beyond? • Sea level budget closer is necessary but not sufficient • Requires advancement in understanding of key time-evolving processes that regulate ice sheet flow, and exchanges of mass and energy at boundaries between ice-and-ocean and ice-and-atmosphere • It is your and my job to define the measurements needed to make these advancements Cryosphere Land ice and sea level rise Greenland IS Antarctic IS Glaciers Sea Level Potential 7.4 m 57.2 m 0.3 m Rate of SLE loss 0.6 mm/yr 0.3 mm/yr 0.8 mm/yr Cryosphere Key processes relevant to STV • Glacier sliding • Ice shelf and glacier calving • Ice shelf melting by ocean • Pre-existing ice sheet imbalance • Grounding zone mechanics • Shear margin mechanics • Surface mass balance • Ice fracture • Did I miss anything? Video by Whyjay Zheng, Cornell. Willis et al. “Massive destabilization of an Arctic ice cap.” Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 2018 DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2018.08.049 Vavilov Ice Cap March 2013 Kara Sea Vavilov Ice Cap -
Resolving Milankovitch: Consideration of Signal and Noise Stephen R
[American Journal of Science, Vol. 308, June, 2008,P.770–786, DOI 10.2475/06.2008.02] RESOLVING MILANKOVITCH: CONSIDERATION OF SIGNAL AND NOISE STEPHEN R. MEYERS*,†, BRADLEY B. SAGEMAN**, and MARK PAGANI*** ABSTRACT. Milankovitch-climate theory provides a fundamental framework for the study of ancient climates. Although the identification and quantification of orbital rhythms are commonplace in paleoclimate research, criticisms have been advanced that dispute the importance of an astronomical climate driver. If these criticisms are valid, major revisions in our understanding of the climate system and past climates are required. Resolution of this issue is hindered by numerous factors that challenge accurate quantification of orbital cyclicity in paleoclimate archives. In this study, we delineate sources of noise that distort the primary orbital signal in proxy climate records, and utilize this template in tandem with advanced spectral methods to quantify Milankovitch-forced/paced climate variability in a temperature proxy record from the Vostok ice core (Vimeux and others, 2002). Our analysis indicates that Vostok temperature variance is almost equally apportioned between three components: the precession and obliquity periods (28%), a periodic “100,000” year cycle (41%), and the background continuum (31%). A range of analyses accounting for various frequency bands of interest, and potential bias introduced by the “saw-tooth” shape of the glacial/interglacial cycle, establish that precession and obliquity periods account for between 25 percent to 41 percent of the variance in the 1/10 kyr – 1/100 kyr band, and between 39 percent to 66 percent of the variance in the 1/10 kyr – 1/64 kyr band. -
Earth's Energy Budgets
Earth’s energy budgets ESE 101 2016 Global energy balance Incoming Reflected Outgoing solar radiation solar radiation longwave radiation 340 100 240 TOA Atmospheric Atmospheric Cloud reflection window effect 77 40 165 35 Clear Sky 75 Atmospheric absorption 188 23 24 88 398 345 Absorbed Reflected SH LH LW up LW down SW SW F 7.1: Earth’s global energy balance. The energy fluxes through the climate system are global averages estimated from satellite data and atmospheric reanalysis. They 2 are indicated in units of W m− . At the top of the atmosphere, the energy fluxes are 2 best constrained and have errors of order 1Wm− . The errors in surface fluxes, and 2 particularly latent heat fluxes are considerably larger, of order 10 W m− . The indicated fluxes were adjusted within the measurement errors such that the energy balance closes.1 Climate_Book October 24, 2016 6x9 Climate_Book October 24, 2016 6x9 ENERGY BALANCES AND TEMPERATURES 109 ENERGY BALANCES AND TEMPERATURES 109 Surface energy balance @Ts c ⇢ ⇤ S# L" F F div F s s @t 0 − 0 − L − S − O F 7.2: Absorbed solar radiative flux at the surface. 7.3 LATENTF AND 7.2 SENSIBLE: AbsorbedSurface HEAT solar heat radiative FLUXES fluxes: flux at the surface. bulk aerodynamic formulae F ⇤ ⇢c ⇢C v T T z (7.2) 7.3 LATENT AND SENSIBLES p HEATd k FLUXESk [ s − a( r)] assume transfer coefficient Cd equal to sensible heat and latent energy (not F ⇤ ⇢c ⇢C v T T z (7.2) necessarily true) S p d k k [ s − a( r)] assume transfer coefficient Cd equal to sensible heat and latent energy (not ⇤ necessarily true) FL ⇢LCd v -
Guide to the Global Cryosphere Watch Surface-Based Observational Network - Cryonet
WMO Global Cryosphere Watch - CryoNet Draft 25-05-2013 Guide to the Global Cryosphere Watch Surface-Based Observational Network - CryoNet Wolfgang Schöner1, Eric Brun, Michele Citterio, Charles Fierz, Barry Goodsion, Jeff Key, Tetsuo Ohata, Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson, … 1Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), Vienna, Austria 2 Meteo France, Paris, France 3 Geological Survey of Greenland, Copenhagen, Danmark 4 Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland 5 Environmental Canada, , Canada 6 NOAA, , USA 7 , , Japan 8 Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research SLF, Davos, Switzerland 9 Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reyclavik, Iceland Version 0.2, 15 June 2013 1 WMO Global Cryosphere Watch - CryoNet Draft 25-05-2013 Document Version Version Authors Date Description 0.1 W. Schöner Jan. 2013 Initial draft 0.2 W. Schöner Jun. Major modification based on 2013 feedback from CryoNet team 0.3 2 WMO Global Cryosphere Watch - CryoNet Draft 25-05-2013 The CryoNet Working Group: Jeff Key [email protected] Barry Goodison [email protected] Wolfgang Schöner [email protected] Eric Brun [email protected] Christian Genthon [email protected] Charles Fierz [email protected] Tetsuo Ohata [email protected] Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson [email protected] Michele Citterio [email protected] Sandy Starkweather sandy.starkweather @noaa.gov Matthias Bernhardt [email protected] Hugues Lantuit [email protected] Xiao Cunde [email protected] Vasily Smolyanitsky [email protected] Juan Manuel Hörler [email protected] Kari Luojus [email protected] 3 WMO Global Cryosphere Watch - CryoNet Draft 25-05-2013 Table of Contents 1. -
126 Climate Change, Forests and Forest Management
ISSN 0258-6150 J, Climate change,change, : forests andand 126 J, forest managementmanagement i An overviewoverview s/ss 38V OL 111111sm-- ." Food and - AgdoultureAgriculture Organization - of _ the ,_. UnitedUnfted Nations , 11i - o Climate change,change, forests andand forest managementmanagement An overviewoverview by William M.M. CieslaCiesla Forest Protection Officer FAO Forest ResourcesResources DivisionDivision j ...... -..----- .. ,- -_'T~ ___ _ j t:;, .:;-~. ~ .. "_, , -' . .,. ,. ~, . '---~_~_l 1 ,,-, -" '.', I on LaLa DigueDigue i~_~: be particularlyparticularly )1irnate;limate change, andmd intensity of The designations employedemployed and the presentation of material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concemingconcerning thethe legallegal statusstatus ofof any any country, country, territory,territory, citycity oror area or ofof itsits authorities,authorities, oror concemingconcerning the delimitationdelimitation of its frontiers oror boundaries.boundaries. M-08 ISBN 92-5-103664-092-5-103664-0 All rights reserved.reserved. NoNo partpart ofof thisthis publicationpublication maymay bebe reproduced,reproduced, storedstored inin aa retrieval system, or transmittedtransmitted inin any formform oror byby any any means, means, electronic, electronic, mechanical,me.chanical, photocopying oror otherwise, without the prior permissionpermission of thethe copyright owner. Applications forfor such permission, withwith a statement -
Climate Change: Evidence & Causes 2020
Climate Change Evidence & Causes Update 2020 An overview from the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences n summary Foreword CLIMATE CHANGE IS ONE OF THE DEFINING ISSUES OF OUR TIME. It is now more certain than ever, based on many lines of evidence, that humans are changing Earth’s climate. The atmosphere and oceans have warmed, which has been accompanied by sea level rise, a strong decline in Arctic sea ice, and other climate-related changes. The impacts of climate change on people and nature are increasingly apparent. Unprecedented flooding, heat waves, and wildfires have cost billions in damages. Habitats are undergoing rapid shifts in response to changing temperatures and precipitation patterns. The Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences, with their similar missions to promote the use of science to benefit society and to inform critical policy debates, produced the original Climate Change: Evidence and Causes in 2014. It was written and reviewed by a UK-US team of leading climate scientists. This new edition, prepared by the same author team, has been updated with the most recent climate data and scientific analyses, all of which reinforce our understanding of human-caused climate change. The evidence is clear. However, due to the nature of science, not every detail is ever totally settled or certain. Nor has every pertinent question yet been answered. Scientific evidence continues to be gathered around the world. Some things have become clearer and new insights have emerged. For example, the period of slower warming during the 2000s and early 2010s has ended with a dramatic jump to warmer temperatures between 2014 and 2015.