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Evaluasi Publik Terhadap Kinerja Penanganan Pandemi, Vaksinasi Dan Peta Elektoral Terkini

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Evaluasi Publik Terhadap Kinerja Penanganan Pandemi, Vaksinasi Dan Peta Elektoral Terkini EVALUASI PUBLIK TERHADAP KINERJA PENANGANAN PANDEMI, VAKSINASI DAN PETA ELEKTORAL TERKINI T e m u a n S u r v e i N a s i o n a l : 3 0 J u l i - 4 Agustus 2021 J l . C i s a d a n e N o . 8 , M e n t e n g – Jakarta Pusat Telp: (021) 31927996/98, Fax: (021) 3143867 Website: www.indikator.co.id PENDAHULUAN • Sebagai salah satu negara yang tidak luput dari wabah COVID-19, Indonesia hingga saat ini masih berjuang untuk mengatasinya. Melalui Keppres No 12 Tahun 2020, pemerintah Joko Widodo menetapkan status penyebaran COVID-19 sebagai Bencana Nasional. Gugus Tugas dibentuk untuk menanggulangi wabah ini, dengan susunan keanggotaan lintas Kementerian/Lembaga dan banyak melibatkan pakar. Tujuannya untuk mempercepat penanganan wabah COVID-19. • Penanganan yang dilakukan pemerintah terutama terkait dengan bidang kesehatan, baik kuratif maupun preventif, antara lain adalah program peningkatan kapasitas layanan kesehatan dan Pembatasan Sosial, mulai dari Pembatasan Sosial Berskala Besar (PSBB) di awal masa pandemi hingga Pemberlakukan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat (PPKM) sampai saat ini. • Kemudian program vaksin secara nasional. Untuk menjamin kesuksesan pelaksanaannya, beberapa payung hukum ditandatangani oleh Presiden Joko Widodo. Pemerintah menargetkan program vaksinasi ini bisa tuntas dalam waktu 15 bulan kepada sekitar 181.5 juta penduduk Indonesia. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 2 PENDAHULUAN • Dalam upaya untuk mengetahui persepsi publik terkait kebijakan-kebijakan pemerintah dalam menanggulangi pandemi, Indikator Politik Indonesia mengadakan survei kepada warga nasional. Survei ini dilakukan untuk mengungkap respon publik terhadap pandemi hingga sejauh ini serta evaluasi umum terhadap langkah-langkah pemerintah dalam upaya penanggulangannya. • Hasil survei dapat memberi gambaran tentang situasi terkini penanggulangan pandemi, sehingga dapat digunakan oleh para pengambil kebijakan untuk meningkatkan peluang kesuksesan program-program untuk mengatasi wabah dan pemulihan perekonomian yang terdampak hebat akibat pandemi. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 3 METODE • Populasi survei ini adalah seluruh warga negara Indonesia yang punya hak pilih dalam pemilihan umum, yakni mereka yang sudah berumur 17 tahun atau lebih, atau sudah menikah ketika survei dilakukan. • Penarikan sampel menggunakan metode multistage random sampling. Dalam survei ini jumlah sampel sebanyak 1.220 orang. Dengan asumsi metode simple random sampling, ukuran sampel 1.220 responden memiliki toleransi kesalahan (margin of error--MoE) sekitar ±2.9% pada tingkat kepercayaan 95%. Sampel berasal dari seluruh provinsi yang terdistribusi secara proporsional. • Responden terpilih diwawancarai lewat tatap muka oleh pewawancara yang telah dilatih. • Quality control terhadap hasil wawancara dilakukan secara random sebesar 20% dari total sampel oleh supervisor dengan kembali mendatangi responden terpilih (spot check). Dalam quality control tidak ditemukan kesalahan berarti. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 4 FLOWCHART PENARIKAN SAMPEL Populasi desa/kelurahan (PSU). Strata 1 Strata k Desa/kelurahan (PSU) di tiap Strata dipilih secara random dengan jumlah proporsional. Strata …. PSU-1, PSU-2 … PSU-n PSU-1, PSU-2 … PSU-n PSU-X Di setiap PSU terpilih, dipilih sebanyak 5 RT (satuan lingkungan terkecil di atas KK) dengan cara RT1 RT2 RT3 RT4 RT5 random. Di masing-masing RT/Lingkungan terpilih, dipilih KK-1 KK-2 secara random dua KK. Di tiap KK terpilih, dipilih secara random satu orang LAKI-LAKI PEREMPUAN yang punya hak pilih, laki-laki/perempuan. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 5 TEMUAN: VALIDASI SAMPEL PROFIL DEMOGRAFI: SAMPEL VS POPULASI KATEGORI SAMPEL POPULASI KATEGORI SAMPEL POPULASI GENDER AGAMA Laki-laki 50.2 50.3 Islam 87.3 87.2 Perempuan 49.8 49.7 Lainnya 12.7 12.8 DESA-KOTA ETNIS Pedesaan 50.0 50.2 Jawa 41.8 40.2 Perkotaan 50.0 49.8 Sunda 15.9 15.5 USIA Batak 3.4 3.6 <= 21 tahun 12.6 12.7 Madura 3.2 3.0 22 - 25 tahun 9.7 10.1 Betawi 3.0 2.9 26 - 40 tahun 36.6 37.0 Minang 2.8 2.7 41 - 55 tahun 25.7 25.0 Bugis 2.4 2.7 > 55 tahun 15.4 15.2 Melayu 2.2 2.3 Lainnya 25.3 27.1 SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 7 PROFIL DEMOGRAFI: SAMPEL VS POPULASI KATEGORI SAMPEL POPULASI KATEGORI SAMPEL POPULASI PROVINSI PROVINSI ACEH 1.8 1.8 NUSA TENGGARA BARAT 1.9 1.9 SUMATERA UTARA 5.1 5.1 NUSA TENGGARA TIMUR 1.8 1.8 SUMATERA BARAT 1.9 1.9 KALIMANTAN BARAT 1.9 1.9 RIAU 2.0 2.0 KALIMANTAN TENGAH 0.9 0.9 JAMBI 1.3 1.3 KALIMANTAN SELATAN 1.5 1.5 SUMATERA SELATAN 3.1 3.1 KALIMANTAN TIMUR 1.3 1.3 BENGKULU 0.7 0.7 KALIMANTAN UTARA 0.2 0.2 LAMPUNG 3.2 3.2 SULAWESI UTARA 1.0 1.0 KEPULAUAN BANGKA 0.5 0.5 SULAWESI TENGAH 1.0 1.0 KEPULAUAN RIAU 0.6 0.6 SULAWESI SELATAN 3.2 3.2 DKI JAKARTA 4.1 4.1 SULAWESI TENGGARA 0.9 0.9 JAWA BARAT 17.4 17.4 GORONTALO 0.4 0.4 JAWA TENGAH 14.6 14.6 SULAWESI BARAT 0.5 0.5 D I YOGYAKARTA 1.4 1.4 MALUKU 0.7 0.7 JAWA TIMUR 16.2 16.2 MALUKU UTARA 0.4 0.4 BANTEN 4.3 4.3 PAPUA BARAT 0.4 0.4 BALI 1.6 1.6 PAPUA 1.9 1.9 SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 8 EVALUASI ATAS KONDISI EKONOMI, POLITIK, DAN PENEGAKAN HUKUM KEADAAN EKONOMI NASIONAL Bagaimana Ibu / Bapak melihat keadaan ekonomi nasional pada umumnya sekarang? sangat baik, baik, sedang, buruk, atau sangat buruk?… (%) 100 90 52.5% 80 70 60 50 42.2 40 33.5 30 20 12.6 10.3 10 0.9 0.5 0 Sangat Baik Baik Sedang Buruk Sangat Buruk TT/TJ Kebanyakan menilai kondisi ekonomi nasional pada umumnya sekarang buruk/sangat buruk 52.5%. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 10 TREN KONDISI EKONOMI NASIONAL 90 Baik 80 Sedang 81.0 70 Buruk 69.2 TT/TJ 60 65.5 61.8 50 52.5 50.5 49.5 48.1 47.2 47.9 40.5 40 40.2 39.5 39.2 40.3 39.4 38.4 37.8 37.5 33.4 33.3 38.8 38.433.0 37.331.9 36.1 32.2 31.9 39.030.1 37.7 28.5 29.3 33.8 33.5 31.0 34.9 26.6 31.3 30 25.1 33.124.9 31.7 27.831.1 27.8 20.5 28.9 25.4 28.1 19.5 28.1 23.0 17.9 25.7 20 24.2 24.5 24.1 19.6 15.2 14.9 13.4 13.5 11.4 9.8 9.8 6.7 10 8.9 6.3 3.9 4.5 4.4 3.4 2.4 2.0 3.1 2.9 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.9 0 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.8 0.5 OKT SEPT SEPT OKT SEPT OKT DES SEPT OKT OKT OKT OKT 2017 2018 2019 Feb'20 Mei'20 Juli'20 Sep'20Feb'21Mar'21Apr'21 Juli'21 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Persepsi terhadap kondisi ekonomi terburuk sejak tahun 2004. Sejak Maret hingga Juli, kondisi ekonomi relatif stagnan dengan kecenderungan sedikit memburuk. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 11 KONDISI EKONOMI RUMAH TANGGA SAAT INI Apakah Ibu/Bapakmelihat keadaan ekonomi RUMAH TANGGA Ibu/Bapak sendiri pada umumnya SEKARANG INI menjadi jauh lebih buruk, lebih buruk,tidak ada perubahan, lebih baik, atau jauh lebih baik dibanding TAHUN LALU?… (%) 100 90 80 53.3% 70 60 50 44.9 40 27.7 30 20 16.1 8.4 10 2.9 0.0 0 Jauh lebih buruk Lebih Buruk Tidak ada Lebih Baik Jauh lebih baik Tidak tahu/jawab perubahan Kebanyakan menilai kondisi ekonomi rumah tangga saat ini, pada umumnya sekarang lebih buruk/jauh lebih buruk 53.3%. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 12 TREN KONDISI EKONOMI RUMAH TANGGA SAAT INI 90 80 83.7 70 71.5 69.7 60 65.3 50 42.7 53.3 40 34.9 30 26.2 27.7 Membaik 23.1 19.0 20 22.0 18.4 Tidak berubah 9.4 11.4 7.1 7.7 Memburuk 10 4.1 TT/TJ 0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.0 Feb'20 Mei'20 Juli'20 Sept'20 Feb'21 Juli'21 Mayoritas masih merasa memburuk, tapi semakin menurun, yang menilai membaik meningkat. SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 13 PENDAPATAN RUMAH TANGGA Bagaimana pendapatan rumah tangga Ibu/Bapak sekarang ini dibanding sebelum adanya imbauan pemerintah bekerja dan belajar dari rumah (untuk mencegah penyebaran virus Corona)?… (%) 100 90 80 72.9 70 60 50 40 30 22.8 20 10 3.7 0.6 0 Naik Tetap Turun TT/TJ Mayoritas, 72.9%, merasa pendapatan rumah tangga sekarang ini turun dibanding sebelum adanya imbauan pemerintah bekerja dan belajar dari rumah (untuk mencegah penyebaran virus Corona). SURVEI NASIONAL: 30 JULI - 4 AGUSTUS 2021 14 TREN PENDAPATAN RUMAH TANGGA 100 90 80 86.1 70 75.7 72.6 72.9 60 66.6 50 40 Naik 30 31.4 Tetap 23.4 22.8 20 20.1 Turun 12.7 10 3.7 0.5 1.6 1.2 2.4 TT/TJ 2.6 0 0.8 0.8 1.7 0.6 Mei'20 Juli'20 Sept'20 Feb'21 Juli'21 Tidak berbeda dengan temuan lima bulan lalu.
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