Final Report Final Report Voannexlume Iii Volume Iii Pre-Feasurveyibility S Ontu Dtrafficy of Pr Idemandority Project Pre-Feaibility Study of Priority Project
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MINISTRY OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND HOUSING (MLGH) LUSAKAMINISTRY CITY OF LOCALCOUNCIL GOVERNM (LCC) ENT AND HOUSING (MLGH) LUSAKA CITY COUNCIL (LCC) JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY (JICA) JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY (JICA) THE STUDY ON COMPREHENSIVE URBAN DEVELOPMENT PLAN THE STUDY ON COMPREHENSIVEFOR URBAN DEVELOPMENT PLAN THE CITYFOR OF LUSAKA THE CITY OFIN LUSAKA THE REPUBLICIN OF ZAMBIA THE REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA FINAL REPORT FINAL REPORT VOANNEXLUME III VOLUME III PRE-FEASURVEYIBILITY S ONTU DTRAFFICY OF PR IDEMANDORITY PROJECT PRE-FEAIBILITY STUDY OF PRIORITY PROJECT MARCH 2009 MARCH 2009 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY KRI INTERNATIONAL CORP. KRINIPPON INTERNATIONAL KOEI CO., LTD.CORP. JAPAN ENGINEERINGNIPPON KOEI CONSULTANTS CO., LTD. CO., LTD. JAPAN ENGINEERING CONSULTANTS CO., LTD. EXCHANGE RATE USD 1 = ZMK 3,582 = JPY 106.53 ZMK: Average rate of Bank of Zambia, from January 2008 to October 2008 JPY: Average rate of JICA rate, from January 2008 to October 2008 The Study on Comprehensive Urban Development Plan Final Report for the City of Lusaka in the Republic of Zambia Table of Contents The Study on Comprehensive Urban Development Plan for the City of Lusaka in the Republic of Zambia Final Report ANNEX 1 SURVEY ON TRAFFIC DEMAND Table of Contents List of Tables List of Figures CHAPTER 1. TRAFFIC SURVEY ...................................................................... A1-1 1.1 Introduction....................................................................................................... A1-1 1.1.1 General ....................................................................................................... A1-1 1.1.2 Outline of Traffic Survey ........................................................................... A1-1 1.2 Description of Traffic Survey............................................................................ A1-2 1.2.1 Household Interview Survey...................................................................... A1-2 1.2.2 Cordon Line Survey ................................................................................... A1-6 1.2.3 Screen Line Survey.................................................................................... A1-8 1.2.4 Public Transport Passenger Interview Survey............................................ A1-9 1.2.5 Freight Interview Survey............................................................................ A1-9 1.2.6 Travel Speed Survey ................................................................................ A1-10 1.3 Survey Results and Major Findings .................................................................A1-11 1.3.1 Results of Household Interview Survey....................................................A1-11 1.3.2 Road Traffic Condition............................................................................. A1-13 1.3.3 Characteristics of Traffic across Lusaka District Boundary..................... A1-18 1.3.4 Public Transport Passenger...................................................................... A1-22 1.3.5 Freight Characteristics by Business Type ................................................ A1-24 1.3.6 Travel Speed............................................................................................. A1-25 1.4 Intersection Traffic .......................................................................................... A1-26 1.4.1 Intersection Turning Movement Survey................................................... A1-26 1.4.2 Results of Intersection Turning Movement Survey.................................. A1-27 1.4.3 Intersection Analysis................................................................................ A1-30 1.5 Traffic Count Survey....................................................................................... A1-33 CHAPTER 2. DEMAND FORECAST .............................................................. A1-44 2.1 General ............................................................................................................ A1-44 2.1.1 Approach .................................................................................................. A1-44 2.1.2 Zoning System for Demand Forecast....................................................... A1-44 2.1.3 Classifications of Trip Purpose and Transport Mode............................... A1-46 i The Study on Comprehensive Urban Development Plan Final Report for the City of Lusaka in the Republic of Zambia Table of Contents 2.2 Trip Generation and Attraction........................................................................ A1-46 2.2.1 Trip Generation and Attraction Model ..................................................... A1-46 2.2.2 Vehicle Ownership................................................................................... A1-47 2.3 Trip Distribution.............................................................................................. A1-48 2.4 Modal Split...................................................................................................... A1-48 2.4.1 Walk – Bus Split Model ........................................................................... A1-48 2.4.2 Modal Split by Trip Purpose .................................................................... A1-49 2.5 Adjustment Factor........................................................................................... A1-51 2.6 Other Traffic.................................................................................................... A1-51 2.6.1 External Traffic......................................................................................... A1-51 2.6.2 Truck Traffic Generated/Attracted by New Industrial Development....... A1-51 2.7 Traffic Assignment.......................................................................................... A1-52 2.7.1 Road Network.......................................................................................... A1-52 2.7.2 Passenger Car Unit (PCU)........................................................................ A1-53 2.7.3 Method of Traffic Assignment ................................................................. A1-53 2.8 Results of Demand Forecast............................................................................ A1-53 2.8.1 Trip Generation and Attraction................................................................. A1-53 2.8.2 Trip Distribution....................................................................................... A1-54 2.8.3 Modal Share............................................................................................. A1-55 LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1.1 Outline of Traffic Survey .....................................................................................A1-1 Table 1.2.1 Traffic Zones in Lusaka District ..........................................................................A1-3 Table 1.2.2 Traffic Zones in the Outside of Lusaka District...................................................A1-4 Table 1.2.3 Number of Samples for the HIS...........................................................................A1-5 Table 1.2.4 Survey Schedule for the HIS................................................................................A1-6 Table 1.2.5 Survey Location for Cordon Line Survey............................................................A1-7 Table 1.2.6 Survey Location for Screen Line Survey.............................................................A1-8 Table 1.2.7 Survey Routes for Travel Speed Survey ............................................................A1-10 Table 1.3.1 Traffic Volumes across Screen Line...................................................................A1-13 Table 1.3.2 Traffic Volumes across Cordon Line..................................................................A1-14 Table 1.3.3 Annual Growth Rate by Each Period.................................................................A1-17 Table 1.3.4 Number of Samples............................................................................................A1-18 Table 1.3.5 Average Passenger Occupancy ..........................................................................A1-19 Table 1.3.6 Average Load of Trucks.....................................................................................A1-19 Table 1.3.7 Commodity Type................................................................................................A1-20 Table 1.3.8 Truck Facilities of Origin and Destination.........................................................A1-20 Table 1.3.9 Result of Public Transport Passenger Interview Survey ....................................A1-22 Table 1.3.10 Score of Assessment Item ..................................................................................A1-23 Table 1.3.11 Main Input and Output of Manufacturers ..........................................................A1-24 Table 1.3.12 Average Travel Speed by Route.........................................................................A1-25 Table 1.4.1 Result of Intersection Analysis- Kabwe Roundabout ........................................A1-30 Table 1.4.2 Result of Intersection Analysis- Kafue Roundabout..........................................A1-31 Table 1.4.3 Result of Intersection Analysis- Great East Road and Kamloops Road.............A1-31 Table 1.4.4 Result of Intersection Analysis- Los Angeles Boulevard and Haile Selassie Avenue ........................................................................................A1-31