Annual Report 2010
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Dealing with a Rising Power
Dealing with a Rising Power: Turkey’s Transformation and its Implications for the EU Svante Cornell, Gerald Knaus, Manfred Scheich Dealing with a Rising Power: Turkey’s Transformation and its Implications for the EU Dealing with a Rising Power: Turkey’s Transformation and its Implications for the EU Svante Cornell, Gerald Knaus, Manfred Scheich CREDITS Centre for European Studies Cover design: RARO S.L. Layout: Victoria Agency Printed in Belgium by Drukkerij Jo Vandenbulcke Centre for European Studies Rue du Commerce 20 Brussels, BE – 1000 The Centre for European Studies (CES) is the political foundation of the European People’s Party (EPP) dedicated to the promotion of Christian Democrat, conservative and like-minded political values. For more information please visit: www.thinkingeurope.eu This publication receives funding from the European Parliament. © Centre for European Studies 2012 Photos used in this publication: Centre for European Studies 2012 The European Parliament and the Centre for European Studies assume no responsibility for facts or opinions expressed in this publication or their subsequent use. Sole responsibility lies on the author of this publication. 2 Dealing with a Rising Power: Turkey’s Transformation and its Implications for the EU About the CES The Centre for European Studies (CES), established in 2007, is the political foundation of the European People’s Party (EPP). The CES embodies a pan-European mindset, promoting Christian Democrat, conservative and like-minded political values. It serves as a framework for national political foundations linked to member parties of the EPP, with 25 foundations currently members. The CES takes part in the preparation of EPP political platforms and programmes. -
The Russian-Georgian War: Political and Military Implications for U.S
The Russian-Georgian War: Political and Military Implications for U.S. Policy Jon E. Chicky POLICY PAPER February 2009 The Russian-Georgian War: Political and Military Implications for U.S. Policy Jon. E. Chicky February 2009 © Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program – A Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center Johns Hopkins University-SAIS, 1619 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036 Institute for Security and Development Policy, V. Finnbodav. 2, Stockholm-Nacka 13130, Sweden www.silkroadstudies.org "The Russian-Georgian War: Political and Military Implications for U.S. Policy" is a Policy Paper published by the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center. The Policy Papers Series aims to provide concise and accessible analysis of contemporary issues and events. The Joint Center is a transatlantic independent and non- profit research and policy center. It has offices in Washington and Stockholm and is affiliated with the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University and the Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy. It is the first institution of its kind in Europe and North America, and is firmly established as a leading research and policy center, serving a large and diverse community of analysts, scholars, policy- watchers, business leaders, and journalists. The Joint Center is at the forefront of research on issues of conflict, security, and development in the region. Through its applied research, publications, research cooperation, public lectures, and seminars, it functions as a focal point for academic, policy, and public discussion regarding the region. The opinions and conclusions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and Silk Road Studies Program. -
The August 2007 Bombing Incident in Georgia: Implications for Thethethe Euroeuro----Atlanticatlantic Region
The August 6 Bombing Incident in Georgia: Implications for the Euro-Atlantic Region Svante E. Cornell David J. Smith S. Frederick Starr SILK ROAD PAPER October 2007 The August 2007 Bombing Incident in Georgia: Implications for thethethe EuroEuro----AtlanticAtlantic Region Svante E. Cornell David J. Smith S. Frederick Starr © Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program – A Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center Johns Hopkins University-SAIS, 1619 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036 Institute for Security and Development Policy, V. Finnbodav. 2, SE-13130 Stockholm-Nacka, Sweden www.silkroadstudies.org “TheThe August 2007 Bombing Incident iinn Georgia: ImplicationsImplications for the EuroEuro----AtlanticAtlantic RegionRegion” is a Silk Road Paper published by the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program. The Silk Road Papers series is the Occasional Paper series of the Joint Center, published jointly on topical and timely subjects. The Central Asia-Caucasus Institute and the Silk Road Studies Program is a joint transatlantic independent and non-profit research and policy center. The Joint Center has offices in Washington and Stockholm and is affiliated with the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University and the Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy. It is the first Institution of its kind in Europe and North America, and is today firmly established as a leading research and policy center, serving a large and diverse community of analysts, scholars, policy-watchers, business leaders and journalists. The Joint Center aims to be at the forefront of research on issues of conflict, security and development in the region. -
Geopolitics and Security
978- 9941- 449- 93- 2 GEOPOLITICS AND SECURITY A NEW STRATEGY FOR THE SOUTH CAUCASUS Edited by Kornely Kakachia, Stefan Meister, Benjamin Fricke The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung (KAS) is a political foundation of the Federal Republic of Germany. Democracy, peace and justice are the basic principles underlying the activities of KAS at home as well as abroad. The Foundation’s Regional Program South Caucasus conducts projects aiming at: Strengthening democratization processes, Promoting political participation of the people, Supporting social justice and sustainable economic development, Promoting peaceful conflict resolution, Supporting the region’s rapprochement with European structures. The Georgian Institute of Politics (GIP) is a Tbilisi-based non-profit, in- dependent, research and analysis organization founded in early 2011. GIP strives to strengthen the organizational backbone of democratic institutions and promote good governance and development through policy research and advocacy in Georgia. It also encourages public participation in civil soci- ety-building and developing democratic processes in and outside of Georgia. The German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP) is Germany’s network for foreign policy. As an independent, nonpartisan, and nonprofit membership organization, think tank, and publisher the DGAP has been promoting public debate on foreign policy in Germany for almost 60 years. The DGAP’s think tank undertakes policy-oriented research at the intersection of operational politics, business, scholarship, and the media. More -
Paradoxical South Caucasus: Nations, Conflicts and Alliances A
Paradoxical South Caucasus: Nations, Conflicts and Alliances A thesis presented to the faculty of the College of Arts and Sciences of Ohio University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Master of Arts Gevorg Melikyan August 2010 © 2010 Gevorg Melikyan. All Rights Reserved. 2 This thesis titled Paradoxical South Caucasus: Nations, Conflicts and Alliances by GEVORG MELIKYAN has been approved for the Department of Political Science and the College of Arts and Sciences by Patricia A. Weitsman Professor of Political Science Benjamin M. Ogles Dean, College of Arts and Sciences 3 ABSTRACT MELIKYAN, GEVORG, M.A., August 2010, Political Science Paradoxical South Caucasus: Nations, Conflicts and Alliances (172 pp.) Director of Thesis: Patricia A. Weitsman On one hand, the collapse of the Soviet Union was the end of a number of insolvable issues; on the other, it created new, no less challenging ones with which states that emerged from the ashes of the Red Empire had to deal. Ancient hatreds, hostilities and violence became an inseparable part of the South Caucasus where confrontations closed ways to cooperation and peace. How did the Soviet Union generate these hatreds and conflicts? Why these threats and bloody armed conflicts? Where do they come from? How does each state react to those threats? The newly independent states even had to fight each other by forming, inter alia, powerful military alliances. What are the dynamics and implications of the alliance formation in the South Caucasus? How do these states choose their strategic-military allies? To what extent do heterogeneous military alliances between Armenia and Russia or Azerbaijan and Turkey, along with Georgia’s effort to join NATO at any price despite negative messages from Russia, stabilize or destabilize the overall status-quo in the region? What drives those newly independent states in choosing their partners? Are those alliances cohesive? If so, how so? These questions are at the core of this research and are discussed and explored along with other important issues and conundrums. -
1 Introduction 2 Theorizing on the Causes of Civil War And
Notes 1 Introduction 1. Instead of the Russo-centric term “Transcaucasus” or “Trans-Caucasus” (commonly used until the breakup of the Soviet Union), the more politically neutral term “South Caucasus” is used throughout this study. 2. This fact may be at least partly explained by the high degree of politicization to which the social sciences were subjected within the post-Soviet states: In Soviet times, political science, history, anthropology, sociology, and related social sciences were either nonexistent or underdeveloped, or suffered from significant ideologization, which tended to deform them. Following the Soviet legacy, these disciplines – especially when issues of alleged national interest or security are believed to have been at stake – have been considered to be at the service of nation and society and thus have been brought into line with the political agenda of regimes and pro-regime intellectuals. 2 Theorizing on the Causes of Civil War and Ethnopolitical Conflict 1. Minorities at Risk Project (2002), Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland, http://www.cidcm.umd.edu (downloaded on June 15, 2011). 2. Christian Scherrer, Ethno-Nationalismus als globales Phänomen: Zur Krise der Staaten in der Dritten Welt und der früheren UdSSR, Duisburg, Germany: Gerhard-Mercator-Universität, INEF-Report 6 (1994), 75. 3. David Singer: “Armed Conflict in the Former Colonial Regions: From Classification to Explanation.” In Luc van de Goor, Kumar Rupesinghe, and Paul Sciarone, eds., Between Development and Destruction: An Enquiry into the Causes of Conflict in Post-Colonial States (The Hague: Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs/The Netherlands Institute of International Relations: St. -
Dear Friends and Colleagues
Newsletter May 2010 Dear friends and colleagues, We are proud to present a new form of the ISDP newsletter that will be issued on a monthly basis. ISDP has entered the new decade with a rede- signed website to provide you with better access to our news and publications. Our forums have been well attended by members of the diplomatic community, decision makers as well as fellow colleagues from academia and other research centers in Stockholm. In May, we will start posting recordings from our forums on the ISDP website so as to make them available to a wider international audience. All of our publications continue to be freely accessible on our website; should you wish to order printed copies, you can do so via Amazon.com. Our project on organized crime and narcotics continues to prosper having recently received new funding from the Swedish International De- velopment Agency (Sida) to embark on a new project in regard to organized crime in the Baltic Sea region. Furthermore, a new lecture series on transnational organized crime, which was launched in January, has quickly gained a wide audience, especially among members of the Stockholm diplomatic community. If you wish to register for our forums, please sign up via the newsletter link on our website. News ISDP VISITED DPRK NEW RESEARCH PROJECT ON ORGANIZED CRIME April 24, 2010 March 10, 2010 A delegation from ISDP led by Director Niklas Swanström visited With funding from the Swedish International Development Coop- the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) from April 24 to eration Agency (Sida), ISDP has initiated a new research project on April 30. -
Bibliography
BIbLIOGRApHY BOOKS AND PApERS Altstadt, Audrey. 1992. The Azerbaijani Turks: Power and Identity Under Russian Rule. Stanford: Hoover Institution Press. Assenova, Margarita, and Zaur Shiriyev. 2015. Azerbaijan and the New Energy Geopolitics of Southeastern Europe. Washington, DC: Jamestown Foundation. Blank, Stephen (ed.). 2012. Perspectives on Russian Foreign Policy. Carlisle Barracks: Strategic Studies Institute/U.S. Army War College. Blank, Stephen. 2013. Azerbaijan’s Security and U.S. Interests: Time for a Reassessment. Washington, DC/Stockholm: Central Asia-Caucasus Institute/Silk Road Studies Program. Broers, Laurence (ed.). 2005. The Limits of Leadership: Elites and Societies in the Nagorny Karabakh Peace Process. London: Conciliation Resources. Brzezinski, Zbigniew. 1998. The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives. New York: Basic Books. Caspersen, Nina. 2016. Peace Agreements: Finding Solutions to Intra-state Conflicts. Cambridge: Polity Press. Coppieters, Bruno, and Robert Legvold (eds.). 2005. Statehood and Security: Georgia After the Rose Revolution. Cambridge/London: MIT Press. Cornell, Svante E. 1999. The Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict. Uppsala: Department of East European Studies, Report No. 46. http://expert-translations.ro/uploads/ Nagorno%20Karabah.pdf. Cornell, Svante E. 2001. Small Nations and Great Powers. London/New York: Routledge Curzon. Cornell, Svante E. 2011. Azerbaijan Since Independence. Armonk: M.E. Sharpe. Cornell, Svante E., S. Frederick Starr, and Mamuka Tsereteli. 2015. A Western Strategy for the South Caucasus. Washington, DC/Stockholm: Central Asia-Caucasus Institute/Silk Road Studies Program. Croissant, Michael P. 1998. The Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict: Causes and Implications. Westport: Praeger. © The Author(s) 2017 213 S.E. Cornell (ed.), The International Politics of the Armenian- Azerbaijani Conflict, DOI 10.1057/978-1-137-60006-6 214 BiblioGraphy de Waal, Thomas. -
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Europe’s Energy Security Gazprom’s Dominance and Caspian Supply Alternatives Svante E. Cornell Niklas Nilsson Editors Europe’s Energy Security: Gazprom’s Dominance and Caspian Supply Alternatives Svante E. Cornell and Niklas Nilsson Editors © Central AsiaAsia----CaucasusCaucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program ––– A Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center Johns Hopkins University-SAIS, 1619 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036 Institute for Security and Development Policy, V. Finnbodav. 2, Stockholm-Nacka 13130, Sweden www.silkroadstudies.org "Europe’sEurope’s Energy Security: Gazprom’s Dominance and CCaspiaaspiaaspiann Supply AlternativesAlternatives" is a Monograph published by the Central Asia – Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program. The Central Asia – Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program is a joint transatlantic independent research and policy center. The Joint Center has offices in Washington and Stockholm and is affiliated with the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University and the Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy. It is the first Institution of its kind in Europe and North America, and is today firmly established as a leading research and policy center, serving a large and diverse community of analysts, scholars, policy-watchers, business leaders and journalists. The Joint Center aims to be at the forefront of research on issues of conflict, security, and development in the region. Through its applied research, publications, research cooperation, public lectures and seminars, it aspires to function as a focal point for academic, policy, and public discussion regarding the region. © Central Asia – Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, 2008 ISBN: 978-91-85937-09-7 Printed in Singapore Cover photo credits: Bottom left and top right - Courtesy of British Petroleum Azerbaijan. -
ISDP Annual Report 2008
Institute for Security and Development Policy Annual Report 2008 Report for the fiscal period January-December 2008 The Institute for Security and Development Policy is a Stockholm based independent and non-profit research and policy institute. The Institute is dedicated to expanding understand- ing of international affairs, particularly the interrelationship between conflict, security, and de- velopment. The Institute’s primary areas of geographic focus are Asia and Europe’s neighbor- hood. Research ranges from short research projects involving a sole researcher to larger, multi-year cooperative endeavors involving numerous researchers and institutions. This re- search is undertaken mainly at the Institute's offices. The Institute incorporates the Asia Pro- gram and the Silk Road Studies Program. The latter constitutes, since 2005, a Joint Center with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Johns Hopkins University-SAIS. ISDP often receives guest researchers at its office in Stockholm. With funding either from the Institute itself or from collaborating institutions or sponsors, such visitors carry out research which leads to monographs, articles, policy papers, or presentations in various media. Scholars stay for periods ranging from a few weeks to a year or more. Since the founding of ISDP, the Institute has hosted close to 60 Fellows and guest scholars. These have come from across Europe, Asia, and North America, as well as from many of the countries that the Insti- tute focuses on. Among their number have been former and future ministers, heads of insti- tutes of strategic studies, academics, NGO representatives, ambassadors, military experts, and senior parliamentary staffers. In fields formerly dominated by men, women have been promi- nent among scholars at the Institute. -
The Conflicting Theories of Ethnic
The Conflicting Theories of Ethnic Conflict: The Case of Nagorno-Karabakh By Sanan Mirzayev Submitted to Central European University Nationalism Studies Program In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Advisor: Professor Alexei Miller Budapest, Hungary CEU eTD Collection 2007 Table of Contents Introduction.................................................................................................................................3 Literature Review........................................................................................................................6 General Theories .................................................................................................................6 Theories of Extreme Ethnic Violence: ................................................................................10 PART I......................................................................................................................................14 Complexity of Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict ...............................................................................14 A Short History of Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh .............................................................14 Pre-Soviet Antagonism.......................................................................................................14 Uneasy, but peaceful coexistence until Gorbachev era.......................................................16 From Perestroika to 1992 ..................................................................................................18 -
China and Greater Central Asia: New Frontiers?
China and Greater Central Asia: New Frontiers? Niklas Swanström SILK ROAD PAPER December 2011 China and Greater Central Asia: New Frontiers? Niklas Swanström © Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program – A Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center Johns Hopkins University-SAIS, 1619 Massachusetts Ave. NW, Washington, D.C. 20036 Institute for Security and Development Policy, V. Finnbodav. 2, Stockholm-Nacka 13130, Sweden www.silkroadstudies.org "China and Greater Central Asia: New Frontiers?” is a Silk Road Paper published by the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program. The Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program is a joint transatlantic independent research and policy center. The Silk Road Papers Series is the Joint Center’s Series of Occasional Papers. The Joint Center has offices in Washington and Stockholm and is affiliated with the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies of Johns Hopkins University and the Stockholm- based Institute for Security and Development Policy. It is the first Institution of its kind in Europe and North America, and is today firmly established as a leading research and policy center, serving a large and diverse community of analysts, scholars, policy-watchers, business leaders and journalists. The Joint Center aims to be at the forefront of research on issues of conflict, security, and development in the region. Through its applied research, publications, research cooperation, public lectures and seminars, it aspires to function as a focal point for academic, policy, and public discussion regarding the region. © Central Asia – Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, 2011 ISBN: 978-91-86635-17-6 Printed in Singapore Distributed in North America by: The Central Asia-Caucasus Institute Paul H.