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Economic development drives world-wide 10 September 2015

Stocks of wild cannot be protected from development had a much stronger influence on the overfishing in the long term by the expansion of than we had expected," says first author alone. Economic driving forces such Prof. Martin Quaas from the Institute of Economics as increasing global demand for fish or improved at Kiel University and head of the research group methods will in future to increased "Sustainable " in the Cluster of Excellence pressure on the most popular types of "The Future ." edible fish. Ocean researchers from Kiel and Finland come to this conclusion in a current study, Increasing aquaculture production can relieve wild which will be published online yesterday fish stocks; however this positive effect will (September 8th) in the journal "Global Change probably be overwhelmed by a greater demand and Biology". technological progress in the – both increasing the fishing pressure on wild stocks. Economists, fisheries and evolutionary biologists Under present conditions aquaculture production from Kiel University, the GEOMAR Helmholtz would have to increase by 15 to 24 percent in order Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, and the Finnish to sustain stocks – an unrealistically high amount University of Helsinki working together in an from the point of view of the researchers. Added to interdisciplinary project have calculated how that is the problem that fish from aquaculture is fishery and aquaculture will develop in the coming often fed with fish from wild capture. "Even if we decades in regard to popular types of edible fish were to set very optimistic rates and raise the such as bass, , and . These amount of vegetable protein in the feed, the four are among the most important fish on pressure on fisheries and fish stocks would the North American and European markets. increase enormously and likely cause their Salmon and sea bass come mostly from fish collapse", says co-author Thorsten Reusch from farming, while cod and tuna stem from wild-capture GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research fisheries. Kiel. Sustainable use of wild fish stocks could however be achieved by means of a considerable The focus of the study was the question of how increase in the effectiveness of fisheries wild fish stocks will develop up to the year 2048 management, far above today's standard. and beyond. The authors take into account here not only biological influencing factors but also In order to prevent the collapse of the fish stocks especially how future economic developments will the researchers therefore see the only solution as affect fisheries. The researchers simulated institutional change, which considerably improves particularly technical progress in fisheries, the effectiveness of for wild increasing global demand for fish and a growing fish species. The researchers consider the most supply of fish from aquaculture. In addition the recent reforms of the fisheries policy of the study examined the interrelation of these factors in European Union a step in the right direction. In the various scenarios with limited effectiveness of course of the reforms agreed upon in 2013, for regulation on . example, multiple-year management plans should be introduced for further stocks. In addition strict "A realistic projection of the future development of landing obligations shall be introduced. The economically important wild fish populations can researchers see particular need for action for high only be reached if, in addition to biological factors fisheries, including a significantly improved we also take into account economic driving forces. international coordination in determining and The result surprised us, as the economic enforcing restrictive catch quotas.

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More information: "Projecting the fate of fish populations using ecological–economic modeling." Global Change Biology (2015), DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13060.

Provided by Christian-Albrechts-Universitaet zu Kiel APA citation: Economic development drives world-wide overfishing (2015, September 10) retrieved 30 September 2021 from https://phys.org/news/2015-09-economic-world-wide-overfishing.html

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